BTC Setup: Watching for a Trap — Bids Below, Flip Above!Scenario 1 (Fakeout & Reversal):
Watch for push to $107,000–$108,000 (potential bull trap)
Close longs on move into resistance zone
Look for reversal signals (SFP, strong rejection) to re-enter lower
Scenario 2 (Sweep and Bounce):
Place bids at/just below $100,272 (1D Support) and within $98,000–$100,000 (FVG)
Target: Move back toward trendline resistance ($107k+)
Stop: Below $97,200
Invalidation:
Structure flips bearish on a clean break/close below $97,200
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Enter longs only on SFP or strong bounce confirmation in FVG zone
Avoid chasing if price is between $102k–$106k (“no-trade chop”)
📝 Order Placement & Management:
🔼 Buy Limits: $100,300 / $99,000 / $98,000 (staggered bids in FVG)
🛡️ Long Stop: $97,200
🎯 Target: $107,000–$109,000 (trendline resistance)
📝 Take profits on spike to $107k+
🚨 Risk Warning:
Friday volatility, news risk
Avoid new longs above $107k — watch for failed breakout/fakeout
4h
Nasdaq Bearish 4hNasdaq Bearish after the failure in continuation through Previous Weekly High and the rejection afterwards.
Setting the Target to 21,471.00 Swing Low and using 21,716.00 as Low Easy Hanging Fruit (LEHF) objective that We may even reach today despite the small range day expectation (pre-CPI)
BTC — Compression Into Downtrend Line, Key Demand Zone BelowPrice is compressing into a macro descending trendline, with recent strength off the $101.4k key demand zone. Structure shows potential for continued chop before a proper breakout or rejection decision is made.
🟩 Key Demand Zone: $101,300–101,800
• Previous strong reaction area
• Aggressive bids expected here again if retested
• Still valid while above — structure remains intact
📉 Trendline Resistance: ~$105.5k
• Critical compression point
• Watch for reaction here — breakout = bullish trigger
• Rejection = likely continuation of chop or lower retest
🔁 Playbook:
Rejection from trendline → range & chop → sweep demand
Clean breakout above = targeting $107k+
Deep flush back into $99–101k zone = buy opportunity
📌 Compression into major levels sets up explosive follow-through — either way, volatility incoming.
BTC - HTF confirmation pending...BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Sweeping H4/H12 range low — watching for SFP or strong bounce as a long trigger.
H4 structure broke bullish, flipped OB to breaker (unicorn overlap).
Long on sweep & SFP, target back to H4 MSB and range high.
Break below $104,400 — plan invalid, stay flat.
Wait for candle close, don’t front-run.
SPXUSDT bounce setup — Low Conviction Play Off Demand ZoneMEXC:SPXUSDT is testing a demand zone built from the H1 order block + H4 swing failure pattern (SFP). While the structure remains weak, the current zone offers bounce potential — but conviction is low.
Setup:
🟩 Demand Zone: $0.90–$0.93
• Area of previous demand, also aligned with SFP
• Bounce possible, but high risk of fading without strength
🎯 First Target: $1.11 (Daily S/R)
🟥 Major Resistance: $1.20 — monthly level, likely hard cap
🚫 Invalidation:
• Clean break below $0.90 opens door to deeper drop
• No setup continuation if zone fails to hold
Plan:
• Short-term bounce trade only
• Not a high conviction long — manage risk closely
• Reassess if reclaim and structure form above $1.00+
📌 Dead cat bounce potential — keep stops tight and expectations measured.
BTC | short bias — Rejection from H4 Bearish OBPrice is currently reacting from a 4H bearish order block ($105.9k–106.4k), which acted as resistance after sweeping local highs. This is a limit short zone, with confluence from lower timeframe SFPs or M15 confirmation entries.
Main Play:
🔻 Short Entry: $105.9k–106.4k
• TP1: $104.8k
• TP2: $103.2k
• SL: Close above $106.8k = short invalidated
📌 Support/Invalidation Levels:
• Break & close below $104.4k = all longs invalid, bearish continuation expected
• Break below $104k = full confirmation of downside scenario
🟢 Bullish Alternative:
If price bounces strongly with confirmation above the sweep zone, a quick long toward the range high (~$106k) is possible — but only on strong recovery.
Summary:
• ✅ Main bias: short from OB after local sweep
• ❌ Longs off the table unless reclaim and structure shift
• 🕵️♂️ Decision zone between $104.4k–$106.8k
LDO S/R reclaim setupBINANCE:LDOUSDT has reclaimed a key 4H support/resistance zone around $0.86–$0.85. This level previously acted as a pivot, and the successful reclaim signals renewed bullish intent.
Entry Zone:
🟩 $0.83–$0.86 (Buy zone)
• Setup activated on reclaim of S/R
• As long as price holds above $0.83, structure favors upside
• Invalidation on clean break below $0.83
🎯 Target:
• First resistance: $1.02
• Additional supply zones lie above for partial profit-taking
Plan:
• Long position valid while price holds above reclaimed S/R
• Invalidation below $0.83 — structure would shift bearish
• Scalp-to-swing setup depending on reaction at $1+
📌 Clean level reclaim + bullish structure = solid R:R opportunity.
BTC — Choppy Range Until BreakoutPrice is caught between key levels:
• Support: $101.8k (4H demand)
• Resistance: $106.6k–107.1k (4H supply zone)
Current structure suggests range-bound price action with low conviction for directional trades until one of these levels is broken.
Plan:
🔁 Range: $101.8k–$106.6k
• Expect multiple drives and fakeouts
• Ideal zone for scalping only, take profits fast
• Avoid breakout anticipation — let the level break first
🚀 Breakout Scenario:
• Flip of $106.6k opens the path to new ATHs
• Break and hold above → long trigger to $110k+
📉 Breakdown Scenario:
• Loss of $101.8k leads to $100k–$98k zone
• Break below $100k = deeper market flush possible
📌 No big move expected until range resolves. Patience and precision are key.
ETH | (reversal setup) — Waiting for Sweep & Reclaim to Trigger BINANCE:ETHUSDT is approaching a key liquidity pocket around $2,440, where multiple wicks have stacked. Price is likely to sweep this zone before any sustained move higher. The current plan favors waiting for the trap → then reacting.
Setup:
🟩 Trigger Zone: $2,440–2,400
• Expecting a sweep of $2,440
• Long setup only valid if price sweeps + reclaims on lower timeframe
• Break below $2,400 = invalidation, wait for new structure
🚫 No entry on first touch — avoid longs without a strong reclaim
🎯 Target Zone: $2,738+
First resistance comes from the H4 supply and the previous range high.
Plan:
• Monitor for liquidity grab and reclaim
• If structure holds — good R:R swing setup
• If not — stand aside, reassess at deeper levels
📌 Smart money needs liquidity. Let it sweep first — then strike.
Solana (SOL) Rectangle (4H)BINANCE:SOLUSDT appears to be forming a rectangle, clearly visible on the 4H chart.
Key Levels to Watch
• $160: Support
• $185: Resistance
Measured Targets
Activated, respectively, with a 4H close with good volume below support or above resistance.
• $135: Rectangle Short Target
• $210: Rectangle Long Target
CRV (HTF trigger zone) — Eyes on Sweep and MSBLSE:CRV has swept into a major bullish OB cluster, entering a high time frame sweep zone where potential reversals often occur. This area aligns with previous equal lows (EQL) and liquidity pockets, creating the conditions for a HTF long setup — but only with confirmation.
Setup:
🟩 Sweep Zone: $0.64–0.68
This is the trigger area. Watch for a clean sweep and a bullish MSB on M15 or H1. If the sweep includes the EQL below, even better — deeper liquidity grab improves the setup quality.
❗ Entry only on confirmation:
• Strong candle close above
• MSB on intraday chart
• Clear reversal pattern
📌 No knife-catching — let the pattern form and confirm.
🎯 Targeting eventual reclaim of mid-range and possible revisit of $0.75–0.80 if bounce holds.
BTC 4H VS 1D 200 EMAIt's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup.
On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure.
On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend.
Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure.
Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week.
In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.
XAUUSD SHORT
On 4H, I see a strong confirmation of a bearish trend. Price closed magnificently below the prominent low. Now I am waiting for the Sweep of so marked high, which may look more clear and prominent on lower timeframes and I also want to see price filling the FVG on 4h. Then, after getting the strong bearish candle confirmation I will sell.
Also, according to Trumps' tariffs, the US economy should see an incline whilst being opposite for XAU
OANDA:XAUUSD
LITECOIN 4H (LTC)Litecoin is one of the best performing majors in recent weeks and finds itself around the mini range highs in an area of key resistance. The way I'm looking at this chart is in two separate sections of the same mini range, a lower range and upper range with an area of indecision between that separates the two.
Despite how choppy the market has been price can be clearly analyzed in this format:
Lower range - Clear level of support where buyers are stepping into the market aggressively to rebound any sell off and pushing price up further towards the 1D 200 EMA. There is one instance of price sweeping below range low and quickly reclaiming back above, that move has been a catalyst for bullish PA ever since with a strong bullish structure.
Upper range - The top of the upper range has yet to be retested as there is major resistance area position just before it, this bearish orderblock has rejected 4 times and is now being tested for a 5th at time of writing. It is important to note that the 1D 200 EMA is currently at its highest point during this rangebound environment, coupled with higher highs and higher lows on the low time frames, Litecoin is looking good currently.
However, bitcoin is still very much the dominant force in the market, and without bitcoin paving the way I can't see LTC making a breakout move just yet. In order for Litecoin to make a run for the highs I would like to see BTC @ $98,000 with a full reclaim of the weekly midpoint (See weekly outlook).
To conclude, Litcoin is in better shape than most other coins but this rangebound environment should be treated as such until proven otherwise, no action needs to be taken in the main bulk of either the upper or lower range, just the tops and bottoms are worth acting on IMO.