Current Price Action All MarketsWanted to share a picture of the daily TF price action of the major markets.
1) August has been a very slow market for forex. Nothing but chop... Especially over the last 3 weeks.,
2)Stocks and gold have seen a slow grinding uptrend.,
Each market is unique in its own right and benefits not only different types of traders, but also different setups perform better during specific market conditions. It's essential to trade various types of market conditions to suit your style, as well as when you perform at your best and worst.
Ações
ES Futures LONG Setup | 6462 → 6556
# 🚀 ES Futures LONG Setup | 6462 → 6556 🎯 (1:2 R\:R)
### 📝 Market Bias
* **Conditional Bullish** into US open.
* Higher-timeframe trend strong (price > 10/20/50/200 SMAs).
* **BUT** intraday momentum still mixed (MACD bearish) + thin overnight liquidity.
👉 **Trade ONLY if liquidity & momentum confirm at open.**
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea
**Setup:** Conditional LONG (market open only)
* 📍 **Entry:** 6462.25 (acceptable range 6455 – 6475)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 6415.15 (0.75 × ATR = 47.10 pts)
* 💰 **Take Profit:** 6556.45 (2 × stop = 94.20 pts)
* ⚖️ **Risk/Reward:** 1 : 2
* 💪 **Confidence:** 60%
**Risk/Reward per Contract:**
* ❌ Risk = \$2,355
* ✅ Reward = \$4,710
---
### 📊 Position Sizing
* Formula: `contracts = floor((account_size × risk%) / (stop_pts × $50))`
* Example:
* \$100k acct @ 2% risk → 0 contracts (use micro/mini).
* \$200k acct → 1 contract.
* \$250k acct → 2 contracts.
---
### 📈 Scale & Exits
* Take **50% profit @ 6509.35** (1× stop).
* Hold rest to **6556.45 TP**.
* Move stop to breakeven after scaling.
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks
* Very thin overnight liquidity → slippage risk.
* MACD still bearish; must improve at open.
* Price near 20-day highs → upside limited.
* Event/headline risk at open.
---
### ✅ Pre-Conditions (MUST at Open)
* Strong liquidity/volume vs overnight.
* Price holds above SMA10 & SMA20.
* Preferable: MACD histogram improves in 15–30 mins.
❌ If conditions fail → NO TRADE.
---
### 📌 Trade JSON (For Algo/Notes)
```json
{
"instrument": "ES",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 6462.25,
"stop_loss": 6415.15,
"take_profit": 6556.45,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"point_value": 50,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-25 15:47:27"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Hashtags
\#ES #SP500 #FuturesTrading #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrading #TradeSetup #MarketOpen #RiskReward #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #StockMarket #TradingSignals #ScalpSetup
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-26This new video should help you understand the dynamics playing out related to SPY/QQQ, BTCUSD and GOLD/SILVER.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-22 : Is This The Top?This is a follow-up to my recent video to help answer questions and to share my analysis of the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin for all viewers.
This video also addresses the tools I use to stay on top of the swings in price movement and highlights why I believe the markets may continue to unwind from these lofty highs.
Get some.
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Is this the top? SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-20I know it has been a while since I shared a video.
This video is designed to share the downside risks I see as a potential for the markets IF this big speculative phase unwinds like I think.
Ultimately, you guys are the ones who will be making the trading decisions. I just want you to be aware that the markets are extremely volatile right now and the data is pointing to a very clean Excess Phase Peak (EPP) pattern.
As you are all aware, the EPP pattern suggests that a breakdown in price is likely where price may attempt to target the FLAG LOW.
If that happens, be prepared for a -15% to -20% breakdown in price before the end of 2025 - possibly seeing an even bigger price collapse.
In my opinion, this breakdown is the result of a broad unwinding of excesses related to the Biden economy (free money) and a move towards more reasonable US economic policies.
Overall, this pullback is necessary for the Wave 1 of Wave 5 structure to complete. Once this pullback is complete, the bigger rally phase (Wave 3 of Wave 5) will begin. And get ready for a big rally phase with Wave 3.
So, I hope this video helps you learn how to identify and plan for some of the biggest price swings in the SPY/QQQ, and prepare for even bigger moves in Gold/Silver and Bitcoin.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
ES (S&P 500 Futures) - Week Plan Aug 18–22Context (W/D/4H/1H/30M): ES is consolidating just under 6,500. Price is boxed roughly 6,466 ↔ 6,504/12 with a cluster of highs above and recurring demand tests below.
Key Levels (zones, not single ticks):
Resistance: 6,504–6,512 (near-term lid). Above that: 6,520–6,550 (weekly supply/“weak high”).
Decision level: 6,492–6,495 (where control often flips intraday).
Supports: 6,464–6,466 (first support) → 6,436–6,440 → 6,380–6,395 (deeper support).
How to read it:
Bull path: A firm break and hold above 6,504 favors a push toward 6,520 → 6,535 → 6,550.
Bear path: Failure at 6,495 or a clean break below 6,464 opens 6,440 → 6,390.
If price stays between 6,466 and 6,504, expect range behavior until a catalyst pushes it out.
Scenarios (next week):
Range continues: Chop between 6,466–6,512 until mid-week events.
Upside break: Hold above 6,504 → test 6,520–6,550 (watch for reaction there).
Downside break: Lose 6,464 with momentum → 6,440, then 6,390 if pressure persists.
Key events (ET):
Wed: Federal Reserve meeting minutes (afternoon).
Thu: Weekly claims; flash PMIs; existing home sales (morning block).
Thu–Sat: Jackson Hole economic symposium (watch for policy remarks).
Notes: Levels are zones and may see initial reactions before acceptance or rejection. This post is for market commentary/education only.
ES Futures — Week Ahead Playbook (Aug 11–15)Macro Drivers to Watch
Tue Aug 12 @ 8:30 AM ET — CPI (July)
Key inflation print; expect sharp vol expansion in NY AM.
Wed Aug 13 @ 2:00 PM ET — FOMC Minutes
Insight into Fed’s July 29–30 meeting tone.
Fri Aug 15 @ 8:30 AM ET — PPI (July) + Retail Sales (July)
Two high-impact releases within minutes.
Geopolitics:
US–China tensions over AI chip export controls & Russian oil tariffs
Possible Alaska summit with Trump, Putin, Zelenskyy Friday.
Bias & Structure
Trend (30m / 15m / 5m): Still bullish but pressing into 6415–6425 supply / weak-high zone.
Demand below: ~6410, ~6397, ~6386, ~6374.
Supply above: ~6425, ~6442–6446, ~6460–6465.
Setup 1 — Post-CPI Continuation Long
Trigger: First 5m close above 6422–6425 after CPI, then retest holds.
Entry: 6423–6427 (retest).
Invalidation: 5m close < 6418.
Targets:
TP1: 6432–6435
TP2: 6442–6446
TP3: 6460–6465
Notes: Needs bullish displacement, BOS hold, and Bookmap absorption on retest.
Setup 2 — Post-CPI Reversal Short
Trigger: Hot CPI or failed breakout → 5m close < 6406–6410, then retest from below.
Entry: 6406–6410.
Invalidation: 5m close > 6413–6415.
Targets:
TP1: 6388–6392
TP2: 6376–6378
TP3: 6358–6362
Notes: Needs trend flip on 30m/15m (CHoCH/BOS down) & heavy offer-side aggression.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 8-5This short video is to provide my followers with an update.
I'm still here. I'm still working on projects and new TV code. I have developed a couple of new strategies that I like and that seem to continue to perform.
Overall, I'm still doing my best to deliver superior analysis/results for my followers.
This video covers the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and BTCUSD (plus extras).
Hope you are all getting some great profits from these moves.
GET SOME.
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ES | SP500 - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
Traders are currently anticipating a possible 0.25% rate cut during the upcoming September FOMC meeting, which continues to support the broader bullish framework.
Although the market pulled back after the Non-Farm Employment Change data came in below expectations, overall optimism remains.
Sentiment has now cooled off from last week's greed and shifted to a more neutral stance. Historically, August tends to bring some chop and pullbacks, but the structural bias still leans bullish.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• ES kicked off the week with strong upward momentum, climbing steadily into Thursday.
• Along the way, price swept a key 4H swing high, breaking into new highs before initiating a retracement.
• This price action hinted at a short-term distribution and possible liquidity grab ahead of a correction.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I'm anticipating a move into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a high-probability liquidity zone on my radar.
→ That area could act as a springboard for bullish continuation or at least provide a strong reaction.
→ Until that happens, I remain short-biased targeting the 6226$ zone, which I've marked as a major level.
🎯 Setup Trigger:
Once price taps 6226$, I'll monitor for:
• Clear break of structure on the 4H and 1H timeframes
• Formation of new demand zones indicating potential reversal
→ On confirmation from the lower timeframes, I’ll shift my focus toward long setups, potentially targeting new highs.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the demand zone formed on 1H–4H
• Target: I’ll trail my stop to lock in profits as price moves higher
• Note: Although I’ll be watching for ATH retests, I plan to manage risk actively and book profits along the way
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! I’ll be sharing more detailed setups and educational posts — stay connected!
ES - August 1st, 2025 - Session Opening HourAugust 1st, 2025 - 6:53pm Session Opening Hour- Daily Plan
Thursday's high was 6468 and low was 6358. We have been in this range for the past week.
6366-74 was the area that we broke out into this range and have tested this zone the past 2 days.
In order for us to move higher, we need to break above 6366-70 which then can target 6403, 6417, 6433.
If we break below 6350 the next target areas for a reaction is 6336, 6317, 6272
Ideally, we can build structure here at 6350 and clear 6366-70 or look for price to touch the zones in blue below and then flush and recover 6350 zone for a nice move to the 6366-70 first target.
I will update the plan based on overnight price action by 8am EST, Friday August 1st, 2025
ES Weekly Recap & Gameplan – 27.07.2025🧭 Market Sentiment
The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by:
• Declining inflation figures
• Trump’s pivot toward aggressive rate cuts
This shift reinforces a risk-on environment across U.S. indices.
🔙 Previous Week Recap
• ES continued its price discovery journey
• Price ran the 4H swing liquidity and shifted market structure
• A clean 1H demand zone was established post-MSS, leading to a strong move toward new ATH
• A bullish trendline has also formed as a visual representation of this momentum
• I anticipated a deeper retracement last week but adjusted my execution based on the ICT SMT concept — see previous week’s ES plan for details
📊 Technical Analysis
Looking forward:
• My expectation is a continued bullish price discovery
• Watching for price to tap into and potentially deviate below the Daily Fair Value Gap (D-FVG)
• This zone also aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci equilibrium level, which I consider a discounted entry zone
• Confluence of liquidity + trendline + FVG + Fib makes this an ideal location for new long setups
⚙️ Setup Trigger & Trade Plan
Entry Strategy:
• Wait for a clear 1H–4H market structure shift
• Look for demand zone formation within the discount zone
• Execute long trades after confirmation and retracement into this zone
Trade Management:
🎯 Target: New All-Time Highs
⛔ Stoploss: Swing low beneath 1H–4H demand structure
🗨️ If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like and drop a comment below — I’d love to hear your thoughts and setups for the week!
📥 Follow me for more weekly breakdowns and real-time updates throughout the trading week.
07/24/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +1452
Sleep: 4 hours
Overall health: need to catch up on sleep
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 9:37 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :white_check_mark:
— 10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :white_check_mark:
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
— 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal :white_check_mark:
— 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3:white_check_mark:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
Today's market was a bit wild in the morning with a lot of big moves, sot here was opportunity to money if followed the signals.
I mostly finished trading by 12:30 because there was so many big moves.
**News**
(US) Pres Trump: Regarding firing Powell, would be a big move, it's not necessary; No pressure for Powell to resign; Have 1-3 names in mind for Fed Chair position
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6370= Bullish, Under 6355= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Extended rally off April lows should be completing imminentlyEvery so often, a market move defies conventional expectations of retracement—and the rally off the Liberation Day lows is exactly that. It’s extended longer and climbed higher than even the most bullish forecasts imagined in early April. No one remembers the calls for an imminent recession by most large Wall Street firms.
Now, we're pushing into yet another all-time high—despite glaring negative MACD divergence and a financial media landscape that’s nothing short of euphoric.
The narratives being pushed? Honestly, it’s hard to write them with a straight face:
Tariffs are no longer inflationary. Apparently, I wasted time and tuition learning international trade theory and macroeconomics. Who knew deficits and trade imbalances didn’t matter anymore? Who pays tariffs again? ...never mind.
Weak momentum since mid-May signals not exhaustion—but an “unhealthy absence” of institutional selling, which apparently means the retail trader is in full control now. Because that always ends well... right?
July 21 Special Update : Metals, SPY & More. What's Next.This special update is to highlight why I continue to believe traders should stay very cautious of this rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD.
Underlying economic data suggest that this is one big speculative rally following the April Tariff collapse.
And, the economic data I see from my custom indexes suggests the markets are moving into a very volatile and potentially dangerous topping pattern.
As I've stated many times in this video. I'm not saying the markets have topped and you should SELL EVERYTHING. I'm suggesting this market is extremely over-valued in terms of the underlying risk factors at play and the very clear data that suggests the markets are already in a recessionary price trend.
You may ask, "How can the markets continue to rally like this in a moderate recession?".
The answer is simple.
All bubbles end with a super-speculative phase. This phase is where everyone piles into a euphoric attempt to ride the rally higher.
It happened in the late 1990s. It has happened again through the 2000-2005+ housing bubble. Heck, it has occurred in the collectors market over the past few decades where people spent fortunes on the "hottest items" (think Beanie-Babies) only to find out they bought at the height of the bubble.
That is why I continue to urge traders to remain cautious and to withdraw profits from this speculative rally phase. Protect your investment capital immediately and consider the risks associated with the information I share in this video.
I'm not trying to scare anyone. I'm just trying to be realistic in terms of what I see in my data and why I believe now is the best time to MOVE TO SAFETY.
My data suggests that the markets are about to enter a fragile and potentially dangerous pullback phase. If you want to ride it out - go for it.
Otherwise, prepare for significant volatility over the next six months or more.
Get some.
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ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Market Context:
ES continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength.
We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH).
🎯 Game Plan:
I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment.
Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
DIYWallSt Trade Journal:$238 Lessons From Monthly Expiration07/18/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +238.75
Sleep: 5. hours
Overall health: Was working late last night and didn't get much sleep.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (didn't work that well)
— 12:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Sell Signal
— 12:19 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was monthly expiration for options and we got a lot of X7 Sell signals but structure was bullish so I tried to take a long at MOB and got burned. Flipped bearish and started shorting the rest of the day and ended up making money back.
News
*US STOCKS MOVE LOWER AFTER REPORT SAYS TRUMP PUSHES FOR 15-20% MINIMUM TARIFF ON ALL EU GOODS
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6335= Bullish, Under 6315= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
SP500 ES Weekly Recap | ATH Deviation → Pullback or Powell Pump?Overview:
ES made a new all-time high last week, sweeping the previous high with strong momentum.
However, the move ended up being a deviation, and the price quickly reversed — suggesting short-term exhaustion.
Bearish Scenario (Baseline):
🔻 Rejection from ATH
🔻 Possible retracement targets:
12H Swing Low (turquoise line)
Weekly Fair Value Gap (purple zone)
I believe a pullback into those levels could provide bullish continuation setups for new highs. I’ll look for LTF confirmation once price reaches those zones.
Bullish Scenario (Catalyst-Driven):
🚨 If Fed Chair Powell resigns this week (a circulating macro rumor), the market may not wait for retracement.
This could lead to an aggressive breakout, driving ES and risk assets straight into new ATHs again.
Plan:
✅ Watch for LTF confirmation after pullback
✅ Stay open to both scenarios
✅ Focus on HTF bullish structure as long as key levels hold
NQ Weekly Recap-Projection 13.07.2025NQ Weekly Recap + Outlook
1️⃣ Recap:
NQ made a new All-Time High, but the breakout ended up being a deviation. Price got rejected and started pulling back.
This signals potential weakness and suggests price may want to explore lower levels.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
📍Target: Daily Swing low (Blue line)
📍Deeper target: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Purple zone)
I’ll look for LTF confirmations around these zones to position for potential longs.
3️⃣ Bullish Catalyst Watch:
There’s increasing speculation that Powell may resign this week.
If that happens, we could see:
✅ Strong bullish momentum
✅ Little to no retracement
✅ Immediate push into new ATHs
Weekly Plan Summary:
🔸 Scenario 1 - Pullback Continuation:
Look for reactive long setups at Daily Swing or W FFVG zone.
🔸 Scenario 2 - Powell Resignation:
Expect a breakout move with momentum — potentially no retrace.
Stay nimble. Trade what the chart confirms, not what the news promises.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Special Update : BUCKLE UPThis video is a special update for all TradingView members. I felt I needed to share this information and present the case that I believe poses the most significant risk to your financial future - and it's happening right now.
Several weeks ago, I identified a very unique mirror setup in the SPY and kept an eye on how it was playing out. I needed to see confirmation of this setup before I could say it had any real likelihood of playing out as I expected.
As of today, I'm suggesting that we now have excellent confirmation that the US/Global markets are about to enter a deep consolidation phase, lasting through the rest of 2025 and possibly into 2026 and early 2027.
The interesting thing about this price pattern/structure is that it is almost exactly the same as the 2003-2007 structure, which I believe is the origin of this mirror setup. Almost down to the exact type of price bars/patterns I'm seeing.
Many of you are already aware that I've been calling for a critical low cycle in the SPY on July 18 for many months. What you may not realize is that the pattern is based on Weekly price data. The July 18 cycle low can have a span of +/- 1-3 weeks related to when and how the cycle low pattern plays out.
Watch this video. If you have any questions, message me or comment.
I'm still here, doing my best to identify and unlock the secrets of price action and to help as many traders as I can.
Price is the Ultimate Indicator.
Get some.
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Are We Completing the Larger Ending Diagonal Now?The last time I updated followers of my work; I stated that the pattern was advancing, but NOT with confidence, and that it is marked with choppy, overlapping price action that appears to be an ending diagonal. Those sentiments have not changed.
However, what has changed is I was forecasting a more pronounced drop first before getting to new highs. It is now possible; this move higher is completing that move on a more immediate basis. Although I cannot rule out the previous larger ABC... it is more likely once this high completes, it could represent the end of the bull market.
Only the structure of the decline will inform us what is playing out.
I will warn followers that once this more immediate high completes, I am expecting a forceful and swift reversal that will undoubtedly catch most traders off guard.
Best to all,
Chris
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade End Of Week Update For 7-4Happy 4th of July
I've been very busy with projects and new tools for traders, as well as the new book I'm working on, and thought I would deliver an End Of Week update for everyone.
In this video, I cover the past Cycle Patterns and how they played out for the SPY/QQQ, Gold/Silver, and Bitcoin, as well as add some of my own insight related to the market trends.
All of my systems are still LONG and have not changed. I still believe this market is extremely overbought, and I believe it could roll over at any moment into a pullback - but we need to wait to see if/when that may/does happen.
Gold made a big move higher this week, and I believe that move could continue throughout July.
Bitcoin made a surprising Double-Top and is not rolling downward. Could be a breakdown in the markets as BTCUSD tends to lead the QQQ/NQ by about 3-5 days.
The SPY/QQQ rallied like a rocket all week. It was absolutely incredible to see the markets rally like this. But, I'm still cautious of a sudden rollover top.
I managed to catch some nice trades with options spreads this week, and my metals positions were on fire. I'm still trading from a "hedge everything" mode as I don't trust this rally, and I'm still watching for REJECTIONS near these new highs.
Stay safe and GET SOME.
DM me if you have any questions.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 7-1 : Post Market UpdateToday was a very powerful day for the Cycle Patterns - particularly for Gold and BTCUSD.
Gold rallied as the Cycle Pattern predicted a RALLY in TREND mode.
BTCUSD collapsed on a CRUSH Cycle Pattern.
The SPY Cycle Pattern predicted a Gap Reversal pattern. We did see the Gap today and a moderate reversal in price. But the SPY, as usual, continued to try to melt upward.
I highlighted a very interesting TWINNING pattern in Bitcoin in this video. Pay attention.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver