Bitcoin 1/hr Fib ConsolidationBitcoin 1/hr chart shows price trending between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels in a tight $1,800 range. The fib levels are drawn from the recent peak at $57,670(100%) and $42,333(0%). What we’re looking for here is a price move above the 61.8% fib level at $51,811 if we want to see continue gains. Should price fail to hold support at the 50% fib level at $50,000, then we can start to look at possible points of support at the 38.2%, 23.6% and 0% fib levels. Price would technically still be in an uptrend, albeit under a period of consolidation, as long as the $40k level isn’t breached. Should price fall below $40k the trend would flip from a period of consolidation to a new bear trend.
Lower indicators are looking favorable for bulls as they stand. The PPO indicator is showing both the green PPO line and purple signal line above the 0 level. In order for the uptrend in price to continue we need to see the green line cross back above the purple line and for both lines to move higher. That would indicate healthy bullish momentum behind price.
The ADX indicator shows the purple DI line above the green DI line which indicates a bearish trend behind price. The lines appear to be on the verge of another crossover though which would put the green line back above the purple line and indicate that there is a positive trend behind price.
The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line trending in the lower half of the purple BBands which indicates a negative trend for price in the short-term. The RSI line also recently attempted to cross above the 50 level, but rolled back over. Bitcoin needs to see an RSI reading above 50, and preferably 60, in order for momentum to be considered bullish.
Overall, neutral on price until the more risk-tolerant traders move it one direction or another. Above the 61.8% fib at $52k and bulls will be in charge, below the 50% fib at $50k and bears will have the upper hand on price movement.
ADX
Bitcoin Holding 50% Fib Level After a large drop over the weekend Bitcoin is holding above the 50% Fibonacci retracement level which is drawn from the July 20 low near $29,500(100% Fib) to the Nov 10 high at $69,000(0% Fib). This level is acting as decent support for now, but we have yet to see any eager buyers of size step in and push price back up into the blue uptrend channel, and above the 38% Fib level which is where price needs to be if we want to see the uptrend in Bitcoin continue-and by proxy the rest of the cryptosphere. For now the lower blue line of the uptrend channel and 39.2% Fib level can be considered overhead resistance levels for price in the short-term.
Should bulls be unable to push price higher from here and the 50% Fib level fails as support, we’re looking at a potential move back down near the yellow 61.8% Fib level to re-test the weekend lows. Just below there I’ve drawn a teal line near $40,000 that stems from local lows made back in September. That was the last area of strong demand prior to the dip this past weekend, and price held above it on this most recent dip. For now we can consider that area of support to still be valid.
Price will technically remain in an uptrend unless/until the $40k level is taken out as price stands right now. Should price fall below $40k bears will most likely take it all the way back down to test the summer lows near $29k as there are likely a lot of newly leveraged bulls in the market right now.
Currently neutral on price due to the magnitude of the weekend drop and lack of follow-through after the jump back up to $50k. Lower chart indicators are all showing negative trend and momentum for price which isn't helping the bullish case right now. Will turn bullish again if price can move back into the blue uptrend channel and above the 38.2% Fib level.
🆓Ambire AdEx (ADX) Dec-5 #ADX $ADX
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📈RED PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes ABOVE 0.55$ zone
🔴Buy : 0.6 - 0.55
🔴Sell : 0.75 - 0.9 - 1.1
📉BLUE PLAN
♻️Condition : If 1-Day closes BELOW 0.55$ zone
🔵Sell : 0.55
🔵Buy : 0.48 - 0.42
❓Details
🚫Stoploss for Long : 10%
🚫Stoploss for Short : 5%
📈Red Arrow : Main Direction as RED PLAN
📉Blue Arrow : Back-Up Direction as BLUE PLAN
🟩Green zone : Support zone as BUY section
🟥Red zone : Resistance zone as SELL section
ADA Primed for Another Bullish Runw Crypto Traders,
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Analysis:
ADA forming bottom structure. Multiple RSI support validations in the same region, in conjunction w/ the most recent RSI down trend making a higher low.
Volume is setting up for an inverses head and shoulders type of structure. Volume spike over the overhang diagonal resistance line would be a solid entry signal.
VWAP RS flip @ buy trigger. These events should happen concurrently with -DI trending down, as it appears to have hit a local top, signaling a quality bottom structure.
FLWS Range BreakoutFLWS has been range trading since the earnings reported in April. We experienced one false breakout back in early June, but it was quickly thrown back into the range. Disregarding the intra-day break in September, we are in the middle of a second breakout attempt, which started with the October earnings. This break experienced a brief throwback before continuing on the bullish trend. A throwback tends to forewarn a weaker breakout.
Looking at RSI and ADX, we see bullish trends in both. There is a lack of volume accompanying this break. Breakouts can be valid without an accompanying increase in volume.
Fundamentally, FLWS tends to have its bests sales and revenues in the 4th quarter. This breakout coincides with the start of the 4th quarter. Optimistically this bullish trend could last into the holiday season.
Looking at the factors of the trade, I believe a half position and tighter stop are warranted.
4hr and Weekly charts provided for perspective
AdxUsdt#1234567890
#Abcdefghijklmnobqrstuvwxyz
I think It will fly soon
Not advice to buy or sell
just expectation
$IOST - Bullish Pinbar formed in Daily. Entering LONG#IOST has formed one of the most beautiful chart formations for me, consisting of a Daily pinbar in a strong support zone plus the MACD forming a twist in its MA’s, indicating a strong exchange in market direction.
ADX is super strong also, indicating the strong power of the current trend.
Placing Long positions from right here.
**WILL BE UPDATING**
LINK longEnglish:
$LINK remains above the EMA (55, Close) but without clearly exceeding the bearish trend line.
The Momentum has upward directionality but with an ADX below level 23, beyond that level the ADX would be confirming an upward trend that could take the price to the previous maximum, obtaining a 68% increase approximately.
I would say that this is an ideal scenario because we can see that it is in the low zone of a bullish channel.
$LINK se mantiene por encima de la EMA (55, cierre) pero sin superar claramente la línea de tendencia bajista.
El Momentum tiene direccionalidad alcista pero con un ADX por debajo del nivel 23, al superar ese nivel el ADX estaría confirmando una tendencia alcista que podría llevar el precio al máximo anterior, obteniendo un aumento del 68% aproximadamente.
Yo diría que este es un escenario ideal porque podemos ver que está en la zona baja de un canal alcista.
VET - weekly chart analysisVET has broken back ABOVE its massive Symmetrical Triangle and has so far successfully tested it as support on this 1w timeframe. VET needs to 110% CLOSE this weekly candle ABOVE the Descending Trend-line of the Symmetrical Triangle.
Note that VET is still safely above its Longterm Upwards Trend-line (Ascending Dashed Line) on this 1w timeframe.
VET is still above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1d timeframe. Note that VET has room to move up before hitting the Bollinger Bands Upper Band on this 1w timeframe.
VET is still above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1w timeframe. For this indicator, ABOVE the LSMA is a potential ‘BUY’ and BELOW the LSMA is a potential “SELL’.
Note that VET is still above its Volume Profile Fixed Range POC for the fixed range of 5 weekly candle that i have selected.
Note that Volume has increased slightly but note that the Volume Bars are still Below its Volume 20 Period MA.
I have added various support and resistance areas on this chart and you can clearly see the interaction with theses area. Note that VET has found some resistance from its first resistance line.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating that the trend strength is sideways but strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 22.69. Note that the 9 Period EMA is above the ADX at 25.38 but is dropping. The +DI (Green Line) has dropped slightly to 21.79 but the -DI (Red Line) has also dropped slightly to 14.34. This indicates both positive and negative momentum has dropped slightly. We will potentially see a massive move upwards if the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) if the +DI (Green Line) is still above and moving away from the -DI (Red Line) on this 1w timeframe.
The OnBalanceVolume (OBV) is indicating momentum is sideways within a range. Note that the OBV (Blue Line) has crossed back above the 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating upwards strength on this 1w timeframe.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating that we have had the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1w timeframe. Note that the MACD is still in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line and note that we have had our first proper Green Histogram for the first time in 7 weeks.
I have also added a Trend-Based Fib Extension to show some potential FIB levels if VET continues the upwards trajectory on this 1w timeframe.
VET is also in a very thin Rising Wedge Pattern. VET needs to invalidate this bearish pattern by breaking back above it and successfully testing it as support on this 1w timeframe. What is interesting is that the Rising Wedge takes us right up to the 4.236 Fib Level at $0.5147. This is something to keep an eye on on this 1w chart.
Note that this chart is looking at the longterm without taking into account what is happening on lower timeframes, which you should be watching & analysing as well. All in all, VeChain is looking great so it should be an interesting couple of weeks for VET providing BTC behaves herself.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
Notes:
Bollinger Bands = Grey Bands on chart
LSMA = Blue squiggly line on chart
VPFR POC = Short horizontal red line on chart
VPVR POC = Long horizontal red line on chart
50EMA = Yellow squiggly line on chart
Symmetrical Triangle = Converging ascending and descending black lines
Rising Wedge = Ascending converging dotted lines
Longterm upwards Trend-line = Ascending dashed black line.
Support and resistance areas = Horizontal black lines with yellow shading
LSK (LISK) lateralizingLSK has a very ugly long-term chart.
On the daily, it looks like it's in a "Shoulder-Head-Shoulder" pattern, however the Stochastic, RSI and ADX indicators indicate a sideways move with a possible rally.
If the BTC rises it can only follow later.
However, now is not the best time to position yourself on altcoins.
I would particularly be left out.
The risk return would be approximately 1 to 1, which should be reflected if it is really worth it.
"Not to act is also to act. Sometimes the best thing is to do nothing."
Bitcoin Three Day Directional Index just got bearishFresh off the presses from the 3 day close. The current top and the top of early 2021 have a lot of similarities. Key for this idea are the bearish rising wedges which are confirmed by falling volume as the pattern continues. If this is going to keep going with the similarities we are going to see the red volume really begin to pick up now that the DI+ has crossed under the DI-. There is always a chance that this DI cross will not be maintained but that remains to be seen. I have not shown the ADX because with price in a consolidation/reverersl pattern the ADX is low. I am looking to use this DI+/- cross in conjunction with the chart pattern and volume to predict an increase in the ADX.
Linked ideas show broader bearishness in crypto.
BTC will touch 40k before continuing to riseBTC will touch 40k before continuing to rise
It still brings downward force, the Squeeze Momentum and the ADX confirm it, we must wait for the Squeeze to form a red valley and for the ADX to change directionality.
I estimate this will be between 38k and 40k.
QS Long - Fibonacci TradeDaily Chart - Swing Trade - Fibonacci Retracement Strategy
QS retraced significantly from its ATH and is currently consolidating at the Point of Control (POC) also a Demand Zone right around $50.00. ADX is below 25, meaning QS is not trending right now. You'll notice on the left that the fib retrace level shows, just over 78.6% price retraced, which is big and a good opportunity to take a position for this kind of strategy when the price moves up to retest that Supply Zone in Purple.
MACD crossed so we should see some price action to the upside. RSI is good, not overbought, not oversold.
Earning was today and was... o k.
Looking long term QS has potential with the solid-state battery technology for EVs.
This was the first significant retrace and I've taken a position on this trade with a target of 150%.
I am speculating but maybe by mid-summer, we could see this.
Trade at your own risk. This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.
Buy ABFRLA Symmetric Triangle formation has occurred on the weekly charts.
Above average high volume on breakout.
Also price has been in an expanding formation since 11th May 2020.
Price objective as per Triangle formation comes to 382.9
Other near term price targets are shown by green horizontal lines
Rising ADX line + Bullish MACD crossover on weekly charts further confirm the bullish trend
Stop Loss can be kept at 184.3
Risk/Reward Ratio is 4.35
Unity $U formming a "low cheat"I usually have a number of stocks that I like because of the fundamentals, and I just wait for the technicals to do what I like. This time NYSE:U is doing it in a very good way. The price is not yet above its MAs but it has a strong divergence with the MACD and the ADX is below 20 points, all this while formming a "low cheat" which is like a mini "cup & handle" (I learned this reading Mark Minervini).
Normally the "cup & handle" pattern is one of the best reversal patterns, adding this with the other technical signals I think this stock is close to a buy point. Still, for my strategy this setup is high risk. I always wait for confirmation with a second base. IBD has NYSE:U in rank 7 in its industry, and a realtive stength rating of 37; not my usual stock.
The thing adding to my optimism is that breakouts have been working better for the last 2 weeks. I even missed a few stocks because I was being cautious. With this one I would add just half my position size and if it goes my way I'll add my full postion.
All bullish signs for $GBTCI'll open this saying that always wait for confirmation. Now, all I can see in this chart are bullish signs. The ADX is above 40 points stating the end of a trend. The MACD is making the bullish cross while in good divergence with the price action for the last month. Last week OTC:GBTC made a bullish candlestick pattern called "the island reversal", is when two gaps are formed on the same zone creating an "island" on at least one candle; and to add, that candle is a "shooting star", one of the most bullish candle formations.
Regardless of what I see, OTC:GBTC is still on a downtrend. This could only be the start of a reversal, which it would be foolish, at least for me, to buy it. This analysis is to have a close eye on this security that's all.
I'll leave a bearish analysis to give some perspective. Is in spanish.