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Alcoholstocks

MGP Ingredients | MGPI | Long at $29.57MGP Ingredients NASDAQ:MGPI has been in "crash" phase since 2023 due to lower U.S. liquor consumption, a whiskey glut, a CEO resignation, a facility closure, and a shift to higher-margin business. While currently trading near $30, the book value is at $39, forward price-to-earnings is 8x, debt-to-equity is 0.4x (low), and some insiders have been awarded stocks and options (although, selling has been rather high, too). Earnings and revenue are expected to grow slowly beyond 2025, but this year is anticipated to be the worst in some time. The low expectations may already be priced in, but time will tell. While I do not plan to be a long-term holder of the stock, the price is within my "crash" simple moving average area and the fundamentals aren't terrible. If interest rates are lowered within the next year, I believe this could begin the turnaround for the company (although slow). Thus, at $29.57, NASDAQ:MGPI is in a personal buy zone for a swing trade. Targets: $35.00 (+18.4%) $40.00 (+35.3%)
NASDAQ:MGPILong
by WorthlessViews
Why booze stocks are so cheap (part 1002)This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox. Now, I do not think Brown Forman will return to 32x earnings anytime soon — if ever — but if you even half the implied return from multiple expansion you still have plenty of upside. Ditto Remy — I do not love Remy because Cognac, for lack of a better term, is screwed. But there’s still obviously value there and it trades on a very depressed multiple — what’s to say the family has had enough and finds a buyer? Finally, Diageo. Less upside but more certainty — Guinness sells very well among Gen Z while their spirits portfolio continues to ebb along, if only growth in the low single digits. Valuations always tend to normalise, especially for companies which make staples. Paying 30x earnings was always too much — I used to look at Brown-Forman enviously, and wish it were cheaper. Well, now it is! And nobody likes it. On chart is a couple of headlines from Barron’s. I love to go counter-consensus to the media, because usually that’s a sign of peak pessimism. On chart are some headlines about Meta when everyone hated the stock in 2022/2023. Obviously, the booze stocks are not Meta — Meta is a cash flow machine! Zuck wears a gold chain! Zuck would like us to know he is a Cool Guy! But still — price drives narrative. Everyone was dissing Meta in 2022 (and I felt like an idiot buying it), now they love it. Ditto booze stocks. People aren’t going to stop drinking. That’s it. That’s the thesis.
NASDAQ:META
by BlackBull_Markets
TAP flushed on a good earnings beat into support LONGTAP appears to to have fallen into support on a good earnigns beat Perhaps traders were expecting a better beat. It is now 15% below the resistance zone where shorts will take positions and longs will sell- off. TAP has sales and consumer loyalty in its brands. It is free of the controversies that had bogged BUD down. I see this as an opportunity to get a decent stock at a discount. My target is 62 at the half way point has designated by the fib tool.
NYSE:TAPLong
by AwesomeAvani