ALPHA/USDT — The Final Battle at the Descending Trendline!Full Daily Analysis
Since early 2025, ALPHA/USDT has been locked in a strong downtrend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows along a descending trendline (yellow line). Selling pressure remains dominant, yet price action is now consolidating right below the trendline, with a tightening range that signals an explosive move ahead. The market is preparing for a major decision — breakout or rejection.
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🔎 Structure & Price Pattern
Primary Trend: Long-term downtrend (dominant since Q1 2025).
Current Pattern: Compression zone under descending resistance — a setup often leading to a strong breakout or breakdown.
Nearest Support: 0.00952 (key low).
First Resistance: 0.02000 (psychological + structural level).
Key Levels Above: 0.02582 → 0.03397 → 0.04193 → 0.05516 → 0.07075 → 0.09015.
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🚀 Bullish Scenario
If price successfully breaks out and closes a daily candle above the trendline (~0.016–0.017):
1. First confirmation: strong bullish daily close + rising volume.
2. Initial Target: 0.02000.
3. Next targets: 0.02582 → 0.03397 → 0.04193.
4. Mid-term potential: 0.05516 up to 0.07075 (+380% from current price).
5. Indicator signals: RSI >50, daily MACD bullish crossover.
📌 Note: A breakout retest of the trendline as support often provides a safer swing entry.
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🔻 Bearish Scenario
If price fails at the trendline and faces strong rejection:
1. Downside path: revisit minor support 0.012–0.011.
2. Main target: 0.00952 (key chart low).
3. If 0.00952 breaks, further downside to new lows (check weekly chart for deeper historical levels).
4. Bearish confirmation: strong rejection candles + rising selling volume + RSI below 50.
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🎯 Key Takeaways & Trading Strategy
ALPHA/USDT is approaching a decisive moment.
Breakout above the trendline → potential trend reversal toward 0.02–0.02582.
Rejection from the trendline → continuation of the bearish cycle toward 0.00952.
Aggressive traders: may scale in right after breakout confirmation with tight stops.
Conservative traders: wait for daily close + retest before positioning.
Risk management: never risk more than 1–3% per trade. Fakeouts are common in crypto — patience and discipline are key.
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“ALPHA/USDT has been trapped under a heavy downtrend for months. Now price is consolidating just below the descending trendline — the decisive move is coming soon. Will ALPHA break out into a new bullish phase, or will bears push it back to the 0.0095 low?
Wait for daily close confirmation before making moves. Remember: in every opportunity lies risk, and proper risk management is your best weapon.”
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Alphausdc
ALPHA inverted H&SAlpha Finance Lab is forming Inverted Head and Shoulders🤷 and if price breaks up I think there is chance for run to 1.1 and even higher. Will set the BUY LIMIT order to catch the pullback to Neckline (testing it from above).
ENTRY : Backtest of the broken Neckline @ 0.9610
SL : Right Shoulder @ 0.9047
TARGET : Inverted H&S target projection @ 1.1030
RRR : 2.6
INVALIDATION : when SL level hit
Check my other stuff in related ideas.
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⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.