$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
Safe trading
Alt-season
$AVAX Ready to breakout!CRYPTOCAP:AVAX looks ready to pop.
High Volume Node resistance and daily 200EMA is clear and now support. We don't want to see price rejected and moving back below this area.
The R5 daily pivot is my first partial take profit $35-36 followed by the major resistance High Volume Node at $48
Daily RSI is overbought with unconfirmed bearish divergence so watch out for this but should be good to run in the mean time. BTC permitting...
Safe trading
$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5.
The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend!
Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5.
Safe trading
$HBAR Weekly Pivot Time...In classic CRYPTOCAP:HBAR fashion what a powerful move this week! Moves like this leave me skeptical of continuation straight away as you often get a pretty decent pullback afterwards before the next leg up. However how many times have you seen a move like this that completely unwinds weeks later and goes lower?
Wave (3) looks truly underway after wave (2) tested the High Volume Node and 'Golden Pocket' 0.50.618 Fibonacci retracement as support on weekly bullish divergence from the RSI.
The weekly pivot is now resistance and it already proving itself. If price continues the all time high is next resistance and price has a weekly R5 pivot target of $1.2 while the Fibonacci extension targets have a minimum of $5.2..
Analysis is invalidated below $0.12
Safe trading
$AAVE Macro outlook Grinding the PathCRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to grind higher poking above the swing high which was rejected to test the weekly pivot and .382 Fibonacci retracement as support successfully. This was a shallow wave 2 so I am expecting a big thrust up in wave 3. However, the alternative count could suggest a wave is only completing now with wave 2 actually being wave (4) of 1, this would be the case if price falls back below $171.
Weekly RSI is still bullish with plenty of room to rise ahead of it. It printed a weekly bullish divergence at the wave II low and major support high volume node.
AAVE is definitely one too watch this cycle.
Safe trading
$XRP Macro Tiangle Final Thrust ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:XRP completed a macro triangle pattern last year. Triangles proceed a terminal motif wave which already completed a wave 3.
Wave (3) of (5) is underway with a terminal target around $5.7 after price broke out of the pennant / wedge pattern.
Weekly RSI confirmed bullish divergence.
Safe trading
$SUI Wave 3 to Continue with a Strong Weekly CloseCRYPTOCAP:SUI printed a great weekly candle that will be closing today above the weekly pivot point with RSI trying to flip bullishly.
Price found support at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node.
Wave 4 penetrated wave 1 which we potentially have a ending or leading diagonal Elliot Wave count limiting the potential upside with my current terminal target being around $10-13. Wave 4 could also actually be another wave 2 which would give us ridiculous targets but this is my preferred count for now.
Safe trading
$HBAR Shooting Up in Wave 3CRYPTOCAP:HBAR is flying off the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with Elliot wave 3 characteristics keeping the count alive.
Price is testing the weekly pivot point which should act as resistance for the time being but a break straight through will demonstrate a very bullish trend. Traders should be cautious about entering here.
RSI confirmed a weekly bullish divergence
Safe Trading
$ETH clear for an impulsive move to $3600?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has slowly but surely cleared resistance, with just the swing high to tackle which will activate another trade signal in my Trade Signals Substack.
Major support High Volume Node, daily pivot and daily 200 EMA proved tough support and demand continues to come in.
ETFs had an astonishing amount of inflows yesterday at $200M+
Analysis is invalidated below $2100
Safe trading
$HBAR Resistance at daily 200EMA!CRYPTOCAP:HBAR analysis continues to play out but should consolidate for a while before moving to the next target at $0.22.
This area should be tough resistance as its the daily 200EMA and major High Volume Node resistance and R1 daily pivot.
The CRYPTOCAP:HBAR signal has now hit take profit #1 from my Trade Signals Substack posted last week.
Safe trading
$SUI Big Breakout Happening?CRYPTOCAP:SUI is smashing above triple resistance: a major High Volume Node , daily 200EMA and the daily pivot. The signal I posted in my trading signals Substack is now live, and the HBAR one is about to hit take profit 1.
Target for this rally remains $4.2 High Volume Node near the swing high.
Analysis is invalidated below the daily pivot at $2.8
Safe trading
$XRP Bias Change: Bullish Elliot Wave CountCRYPTOCAP:XRP is breaking out the descending resistance causing me to take another look at my WXYXZ corrective Eliot Wave count expecting lower. I have adjusted the count to WXY and a 1-2 new motif wave with a target of $3.8
Price is well above the daily 200EMA and daily pivot after testing both as support including the High Volume Node. Closing above the descending resistance today will be a bullish signal but a retest of that resistance as support before continuing onwards its what to look out for.
Analysis is invalidated below $1.8
Safe Trading
$SUI Gearing Up to Break Triple Resistance?CRYPTOCAP:SUI is consolidating under resistance which often leads to a breakthrough but can take some time.
Price is sat above the daily pivot after breaking the downward trend resistance, but still under the daily 200 EMA and High Volume Node resistance. A pop above $3.09 swing high would be a bullish signal to long towards a first target of $4.2 High Volume Node.
Analysis is invalidated with a move below $2.7, leaving heavy resistance still ahead.
Safe trading
$FET Ready for the next move up?NYSE:FET looks ready for the next move up with a similar analysis to many other alts I have shared.
It is breaking out of descending resistance after testing the .618 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node (HVN) as support. Price broke above the daily pivot and is now swinging below, a recovery above the local swing high will be a bullish signal to go long with a wave 3 target of the R3 daily pivot and major resistance HVN at $1.13.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.54
Safe trading
$AAVE Going Through a Major Bullish Trend Shift!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to outperform on pumps and retracements this cycle after being beaten down for many years!
Price consolidated below the weekly pivot and found support, only retracing to the .618 Fibs.
Wave 3 of iii pf a new Elliot Motif Wave looks well underway with the next price target being the R1 weekly pivot High Volume Node at $448.
Long term outlooks is very bullish for AAVE with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot £1155
Safe trading
Bitcoin Dominance Ascending Channel and Altseason (1W Log)CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been in a clean uptrend inside an ascending channel for over 2 years.
• The midline has consistently acted as a magnet, but BTC.D has recently detached from it and might be headed for another retest of the upper boundary.
• Unless major macro catalysts intervene, I expect no notable changes until the 72-73% key area, the same zone that triggered 2021's altseason.
Regarding altseason, this cycle isn't like previous ones. With millions of tokens today, dilution is real, and a full-blown altseason where everything pumps seems unlikely.
Instead, I expect selective rotation into quality projects, and that might actually make it easier to find real outperformance.
Big Fish said to the swarm of tiny little fish: ......"You little filthy retail, take my ETH now. Since it is unlocked and in a profit. and choke on it ! "
You can already see how they 'talk' via all the twitter and YouTube influencer b.s. feed.
BTC Dominance without stable coins tells the real story.
BTD Dominance is in uptrend.
It did not finish yet.
This is the 'buy local top on ETH' moment for retail.
and they will shove it up your throat if you let them.
ETH is between 100-144% in profit since major bottom.
***there will be upticks on ETH usd valuation to keep 'little fish' excited and interested.
DOT - Strong bounce from the ultimate low ?Bounced each time for consequent gains around 3.75, so I expect the same now
placed a SL a bit wide, a good fuel could be the 2.0 update of Polkadot but didn hear any news about it to be honest
In the other hand, lower would means I'll quit this asset for a mid/long term hehe,
Cheers
When Will Altseason Start? When BTC reached 120k📈 One of the most common questions I get:
WHEN WILL ALTSEASON START?
Here’s the answer 👇
🔻 The real problem: memes drained all the liquidity.
The money that was supposed to go into fundamental projects in the summer of 2024.....got redirected into memes.
Yes, some people made money on that. But most retail traders?
They didn’t.
Of course, you can show profitable wallets. I also made money, but it was on insider information.
I think it would be perfect if Trump launched his token —
just like Argentina’s Libra — to show people one clear thing:
- Memes are dangerous.
-They suck liquidity and leave you with nothing but losses.
It’s a necessary wake-up call.
I didn’t want to say this, but maybe we need people to get burned by memes so they stop blindly throwing money at hype.
Some memes might still pump.
Yes, even some “fundamental memes” might outperform serious altcoins.
But in general?
The meme market is a trap. It's a money pit.
People think they’re great investors, but in reality — it’s a casino.
There’s no tech. No fundamentals.
I don't deny the “fundamental” memes may show growth more than other altcoins. I don't rule that out. But if we are talking about the general pool of memes, there is such a problem going on here that most people will lose money.
5% make money on memes, 95% lose.
I'm self-aware, and I'm in that 95%.
That's why I didn't invest in altcoins.
Development is dead ... for now. Nobody cares about building.
You can spend two years developing a serious product, burn through money, and try to improve the crypto space…
But most people don’t want that.
They want:
To buy pictures they like
As long as they look well-packaged.
That’s why we see so few good projects today —
everyone ran off to create memes.
But finally, we’ve reached a new stage:
People are starting to realize...
We need real, fundamental projects again.
Memes might still spike — especially near the end of the bull run.
But the market has finally started waking up.
⚠️ Yes, the market is broken.
But that’s exactly what we need — A bottom to bounce from.
Crypto’s future is bright.
The next 10 years — and even the end of this year — could look very strong.
But right now?
We’re not at the bottom in price.
We’re at the bottom in sentiment.
In faith. In energy.
This is a real turnaround.
From here, real projects will emerge with real audiences and real goals. That’s what will grow this industry—and this industry will shape the world.
Crypto moves fast.
All it takes is two green daily candles,and suddenly everyone screams:
“It’s back! New bull market!” Funny… but predictable.
Back to reality.
We’re at a point where liquidity is gone. People are out of funds.
Panic is setting in. “Cycles don’t work anymore,” they say.
People start selling to survive — for business, travel, life.
Even long-time holders are taking losses.
But when all the weak hands are gone, only the true holders will remain.
And who will move the market next?
Institutional investors
When the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve (which might already happen this May)... Other countries will follow.
Bitcoin will rally — and drag the market upward.
That’s when we’ll see:
The alt season will start only when Bitcoin is 120-130k.
Then profit taking and overflow into alts will start.
That’s when we’ll see:
-Institutional investors
-The Web2 audience
-Capital flowing into fundamentals, not memes
Because eventually, people will realize:
You don’t invest in memes.
You invest in utility. In value. In tech.
💥 Retail is the key.
The market needs mass participation.
Retail brings volume, and for that, we need:
Real news, Clear regulation, Trust and confidence
When that happens —people will believe again. And they’ll come running.
But then, like always...
Everyone will be convinced:
“Crypto is in permanent bull mode!”
Money will pour in. FOMO will take over…
...and then it ends.
The new bear market begins.
And I’ll be screaming about it — loud.
I do my best for you, EXCAVO.
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC.D - Bitcoin dominance about to fall hard ?Violet bars pattern is move from 4 years ago
as you can see its copying it right in term of time and price action, not exactly in term of price but proportionnal
those blue trendlines converging to the same point indicate btc.d might have made a local top
all of these above indicate that we are picking and alt season will start, with a big acceleration in 2 weeks when we go below 60%
you can expect bounce from there for bitcoin or 94k6 then we should be fine
target for btc dominance is just the fib
58%
55%
49%
45%
39%
as btc.d seems to react less to volatility this year, theres a chance we dont go to the lowest fibs
Cheers