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Alt-season

$ETH Did The Poke Above All Time High!As I said in my last update it would be unusual to complete the Elliot wave motif wave without a poke above all time high first and we got that this week adding confluence to an expected retracement ahead in wave 2. Poke above all time high shows long term strength. Weekly RSI has bearish divergence from the wave 3 top in overbought territory. Initial target is the (4) bottom and weekly pivot point at $3200 followed by $2800 High Volume Node and then the weekly 200EMA, S1 pivot and High Volume Node support at $2250. I will look out for longs in these areas. Analysis is invalidated if proceed into price discovery. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$ETH Topping Without All Time High?Has the most anticipated all time high of the year been cancelled? The crowd does not get what it wants! Everyone from CNBC to my grandmas goldfish have been bullish on ETH for the past few months so what a fitting psychological mess it would be if we significantly pulled back here! Firstly it may just be a temporary set back to the High Volume Node support at $3900 before a move to all time high. Even then I am expecting a deeper pullback to set us up for all time high in Q4. Losing this support bring up the ascending daily 200EMA right at the Fibonacci golden pocket, which you can see is the wave 3 high! The next target, which is my next buy level, is the larger degree Fibonacci golden pocket, major support High Volume Node and wave 4 bottom at $2100. This would be a capitulation area for many! RSI has printed confirmed bearish divergence with plenty of room to fall. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$HBAR Printing an ABC in wave 4?Wave C of an ABC correction in wave 4 appears to be underway in CRYPTOCAP:HBAR This would see price have a quick drop below the daily pivot testing the major support High Volume Node and rising daily 200EMA as support before continuing up in wave 5. This is also the .382-.5 Fibonacci retracement a typical area for wave 4 to end per Elliot wave rules. Lots of confluence in this area. RSI is still making its way down from overbought. Investor psychology is still irrationally bullish giving opportunity for professional traders to make some volatility bucks. Analysis is invalidated if price breaks $0.273 upgrading the count to wave 4 completing at the current wave (a) bottom. Safe trading
COINBASE:HBARUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
$AAVE Continues to follow the path!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE was immediately reject from the swing high as expected, per the percentage band take profit rules. Daily RSI has plenty of room to grow to reach the all time High Volume Node resistance which is the next target at $430. Based on the depth of wave (2) after touching the daily 200EMA as support, wave 3 is still underway to complete the larger degree wave 5 with a poke above all high, the highest probability terminal target per Elliot wave rules. Safe trading For those interested in trading signals / diary & trade management / trading parameters etc... Signals updated for 15/08/25 ✅ LSE:ONDO DEMA Percentage Band rule added ✅ CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit take profit #2 for 2.59RR ✅ CRYPTOCAP:AAVE (DEMA) HIt take profit 1 for 1.45RR ✅ CRYPTOCAP:ADA moved 10% after signal activation but still not hit take profit 1 ✅ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple) very close to take profit #1 ✅ BTC added to completed trade signals along side Take profit 2 for google, 700, HBAR and a few stop (INJ, SOL, BTDR) and invalidations for META, SHIBINU, WLD) Safe trading
COINBASE:AAVEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$SOL Short term Bearish Outlook ?CRYPTOCAP:SOL Solana is currently testing the daily pivot as support which must hold to keep the bullish count alive. I have 2 Elliot Wave counts, short term bullish and bearish that I am patiently waiting to see unfold. Long term is still bullish. The white count suggests that we have printed a wave (1) and are completing a wave (2) now at the daily pivot just above the daily 200EMA where price should move powerfully in a wave 3 upwards. Alternatively, the red count, wave B of a larger corrective could also be complete at the recent swing high and losing the pivot and daily 20EMA would confirm this. Wave C has a target of the triple support alt-coin golden pocket 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, S1 daily pivot and major support High Volume Node at $142 to complete wave 2. The bearish analysis is my preferred count due to the amount of confluence, including the fact we are entering mid August and this move would also push daily RSI back into oversold. This would set up new long signals! The asset is in limbo atm, not very impulsive as you would expect for wave 3. Safe trading
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$RENDER bearish triangle or motif wave?I have 2 local Elliot Wave counts for CRYPTOCAP:RENDER the bearish triangle yet to complete wave D which would result in a final thrust down before a new macro uptrend and a (1) (2) with wave (3) started. The overlapping and slow price action does not suggest RENDER is in a wave as it is not moving impulsively. Many alts have failed to move from the bottom while others have shined like ETH and XRP etc.. Either this is the new normal behaviour for 'alt season' or we are not actually in alt-season yet with a big move lower around the corner! Safe trading
by Maddox_Metrics
$ETH All Time High Soon?CRYPTOCAP:ETH wave 3 is still underway and its the only news you've been hearing about for 2 weeks! The hype is real making the potential top of this move much closer as institutions will be selling into the FOMO soon. There is no better way to trap newbies than a poke above all time high before a savage retracement! Retracement targets are the daily pivot and rising 200EMA at $3337 the .382 Fibonacci retracement from the wave 2 bottom, just above the weekly pivot point. Daily RSI has huge bearish divergence. Secondary retracement targets are the weekly 200EMA and S1 weekly pivot sitting at $2250 which could present an incredible buying opportunity before the real alt season! Analysis is invalidated below $2122 New long signals are building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very good profits lately in these markets! Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$FET local ending Diagonal and wave 2 near completion?NYSE:FET was rejected for the 4th time at the daily 200EMA! Each time the probability of a breakout increases. I have adjusted the High Volume Nodes for accuracy. Locally Fetch appears to have completed a motif wave up with an ending diagonal for wave 5. Wave 2 is expected to find support at the daily pivot and .618 Fibonacci retracement before attempting a breakout of the daily 200EMA once more. A move below wave II will invalidate this analysis. Safe trading
COINBASE:FETUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$ETH Hit Our Targets and was rejectedCRYPTOCAP:ETH hit our signal take profit target at $3820 and was rejected at the High Volume Node EQ to the penny. That appears to have completed wave 3 of this motif wave. Wave 4 has an expected target of the R2 daily pivot and 0.236-0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $3260 before continuing to the upside in wave 5 with a target of the all time high. This aligns with my views of a significant pullback at the end of August and September which is typical after a summer rally. No divergences yet in daily RSI. Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$AAVE Daily Hidden Bullish divergence?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE and alts begin their retracement Wednesday but is this a long term top or just local? Im betting we have a higher to go this summer.. Hidden daily bullish divergence is printing on RSI at the daily pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement which should all act as strong support provided BTC doesn't dump. The 'alt-coin golden pocket' Fibonacci retracement 0.786 sits at the descending daily 200EMA and High Volume Node support offering a secondary target for reversal and continued upside. Losing this and closing below would flip me bearish until a new bullish signal emerges. Safe trading.
COINBASE:AAVEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5. The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend! Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4. Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5. Safe trading
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation! It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target. Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also. The next take profit is $0.39 Safe trading
COINBASE:HBARUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
$HBAR Weekly Pivot Time...In classic CRYPTOCAP:HBAR fashion what a powerful move this week! Moves like this leave me skeptical of continuation straight away as you often get a pretty decent pullback afterwards before the next leg up. However how many times have you seen a move like this that completely unwinds weeks later and goes lower? Wave (3) looks truly underway after wave (2) tested the High Volume Node and 'Golden Pocket' 0.50.618 Fibonacci retracement as support on weekly bullish divergence from the RSI. The weekly pivot is now resistance and it already proving itself. If price continues the all time high is next resistance and price has a weekly R5 pivot target of $1.2 while the Fibonacci extension targets have a minimum of $5.2.. Analysis is invalidated below $0.12 Safe trading
COINBASE:HBARUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
4
$AAVE Macro outlook Grinding the PathCRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to grind higher poking above the swing high which was rejected to test the weekly pivot and .382 Fibonacci retracement as support successfully. This was a shallow wave 2 so I am expecting a big thrust up in wave 3. However, the alternative count could suggest a wave is only completing now with wave 2 actually being wave (4) of 1, this would be the case if price falls back below $171. Weekly RSI is still bullish with plenty of room to rise ahead of it. It printed a weekly bullish divergence at the wave II low and major support high volume node. AAVE is definitely one too watch this cycle. Safe trading
COINBASE:AAVEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics