How to Tell BITCOIN is BULLISH using MOVING AVERAGES OnlyBTC is trading sideways and it sparks a lot of debate whether or not we are at the beginning of a new bearish cycle, or if there is still a push upwards waiting to happen.
Here's how you can use the Moving Averages to determine whether or not BTC is bullish.
Don't miss this update on my stance on the market and why I think ALT Season is waiting:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
ALTS
Altcoin Season - Just around the corner!!!In this analysis I share my hypothesis on #OTHERS CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS as to why the big awaited alt season is right around the corner !
After analysing how the Trump mania season unfolded, I could see plenty of similarities:
1. Price filled the supply before the last retrace - gray rectangle
2. Then it broke the downtrend line and made a decent move up - red dot
3. Price correction to the 618 retrace on fib AND in the supply -> became demand from #1
4. RSI formed a hidden bullish divergence, marking a potential start of the rally
5. Time passed from #2 trendline breakout to the big impulse -> around 50 days
-> now we are around 60 days, which means more time to accumulate, bigger impulse
In an ideal scenario, the total OTHERS cap (all crypto excluding top 10) should at least reach the last high of 450 billions, and to pour some hopium, to around 600-700 billions...
So if you filled your bags around recent prices on your alts, you should expect at least 10-20x imo!
AAVE Standing out among the alt coins!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE is looking stronger than most for now. Local analysis has broken the bullish market structure on what appears to be a textbook Elliot Wave 1.
Price is testing quadruple support: Daily 200EMA, daily pivot, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracements. This should be a tough nut to crack (as long as CRYPTOCAP:BTC doesn't dump hard).
Wave 2 retracement's are usually deep and come with a strong fear. It is where most retail investors capitulate only to find price turns around and continues bullishly without them in a aggressive wave 3.
Analysis is invalidated below $111, so quite a ways off yet.
If war escalation continue, irrational investor behaviour will likely break this technical analysis.
Safe trading.
ALTCOINS: Market bottomed and about to surge.The Altcoin market is almost oversold on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 30.160, MACD = -0.160, ADX = 18.210) but this very same 1W RSI pattern has emerged numerous times before an altcoin market surge (Altseason). How high it can go depends on whether the Fed will cut on its next meeting or not. Nevertheless, this level is an excellent opportunity to start investing in altcoins.
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ATOM | SLEEPING GIANT | Altcoin GEMATOM is an alt that I have high expectations for.
From a 4h perspective, we can see the short term price is still very bearish.
This is confirmed by trading under the moving averages, which indicates that the sellers are in control.
The great news about this is that the price doesn't stay long UNDER the moving averages in the 4h. From the chart below, we see a very evident bearish trend - the price STAYS under the moving averages, with occasional, random wicks above and to the upper purple (200d MA).
After the bottom, marked the " BIG TURNAROUND ", we see the price trading mostly just under or just above, as we observe range trading. This is how we know, the bottom is in / close. And from here, it's only a matter of time until we start turning around to another bullish cycle . Where the gains far outweigh the risk.
Following this logic, the next reasonable ( very reasonable ) target, is the purple moving averages, and beyond. Currently at $4.3, a nice +8% from here.
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Cardano UpdateA lot of you have been DMing me asking for altcoin analysis. i hear you, but here's the truth:
- Right now, most altcoins are simply too weak to offer a reliable forecast. I prefer to post when timing makes sense, not just for engagement, but to avoid misleading anyone.
- BTC Dominance is still heavily suppressing the altcoin market, and I’d rather wait than risk rekting my followers with premature calls.
So why do I post about Cardano? :
- Simple, Cardano is one of the most established altcoins. It makes sense to track its evolution alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum. When you're analyzing the broader market cycle, starting with BTC, ETH, and ADA gives meaningful context. Newer cryptocurrencies from 2020+ don’t have the same historical data, which makes reliable analysis much harder.
Back to Trading (Everything is marked on the chart for easier reading) :
- Cardano got rejected around $1.25, which aligns with its 2018 ATH, a key historical resistance.
- Check the bullish megaphone pattern and how it connects with the trendline and that $1.25 level (marked with yellow dotted lines).
- Also observe the minor bounces and retests above the bearish triangle trendline (light blue).
What we can do now?
- Nothing. If BTC dips, altcoins will likely follow and get rekt.
Best strategy for now:
- Consider setting a buy order around $0.41 (don’t go all in).
- Keep some dry powder in case of further downside, potentially to rebuy around $0.21 if pressure continues.
Be wise, be patient, ride the wave, don’t fight it.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Alt Season: When’s the Big Boom?TOTALE100 refers to small caps or the total market capitalization of the top 100 cryptocurrencies , excluding stablecoins. It is part of the CRYPTOCAP series.
It measures the total combined market cap (price × circulating supply) of the top 100 crypto assets by market cap.
Useful for:
* Gauging overall market strength or weakness.
* Spotting macro-level trends or capital inflows/outflows into the crypto sector.
Technical Outlook:
On the weekly chart, the price is facing rejection at 16B, forming a triple-top distribution pattern.
For positioning in small caps, we should wait for a price pullback to the key support zone between 5B and 3B.
Altcoins: Warning. Check this chart!On the weekly timeframe, I’ve noticed a striking similarity between the 2021 cycle and the current one.
Take a close look at the chart—once you see it, you can’t unsee it.
Are we at the same point we were in March 2022?
The MACD is nearly identical
The RSI mirrors the same pattern
The Vortex Indicator stands at a critical crossroad
The only difference: trading volume is significantly higher
This setup resembles a potential triple top formation. If it confirms, it could completely contradict the bullish forecast I’ve held for months—or it might just be a fakeout.
We're at a decision point for altcoins: either the altseason kicks off in September and invalidates this bearish pattern, or we're headed toward a dot-com-style crash for most altcoins—excluding the top 10.
Keep a close watch on $OTHERS. History tends to repeat—let’s hope not this time.
DYOR
#Crypto #Altseason #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #MACD #RSI #BitcoinDominance #Altcoins #TradingView #TripleTop #CryptoCrash #Blockchain #CryptoCycle #MarketAnalysis
$INJ to re-enter my buy zone? $11.12 must hold!Altcoins are experiencing another pullback.
CRYPTOCAP:INJ had a solid pump recently, but it’s now facing a significant drop.
This could be a good buying opportunity — assuming we’re not entering a bear market.
Key level: $11.12 must hold.
If it breaks, the next major support is around $9.10.
While the macro trend remains bullish, this retracement is concerning.
Set your stop losses accordingly.
DYOR.
#INJ #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #MarketUpdate #CryptoAlert #BuyTheDip #DYOR
ADA | Liquidity Drain or UPSIDE POTENTIAL??ADA is lacking behind in terms of altcoins this season. We've not yet seen the new highs or parabolic increases that is due for a new BTC ATH.
We're seeing higher highs, and higher lows in the macro which is a bullish sign - indicating the trend is still BULLISH
From the macro, we do see a better picture.. at least THIs time around, the accumulation cycle isn't in such a tight range, and you could day trade / swing trade:
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
Ethereum Is About to Start Making Its Move to $4100Trading Fam,
Lot's of good patterns occurring on the crypto charts recently, Ethereum is no exception. Here you can see a valid inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed. 85% of the time, these patterns play out.
If we do break that neckline to the upside, I would suggest that $4100 will come fairly quickly. We do have a few resistance areas ahead of us where I expect some pause. But this will only give the market enough time to recognize they may be missing the rocket ride and hop in.
If we don't break that neckline this week, we could pull back for another week. But I think by the end of June our neckline will break and we'll be on our way.
Best,
Stew
BTC.D forecast until Autust 2025This is an update of previously made forecast.
Now is a reversal week. Some alts may start running this week. But the main alts bullrun will start next week. Altseason will come in waves as usually with main events happening in July-August 2025.
Some lagging altcoins in the outskirts of crypto markets may show incredible profits in the end of August and will mark the end of 2025 summer altseason.
Don't get driven away, don't use leverage. In September we may see DXY reversal and bear market start. This will be epic for leverage and making fortunes.
For 1D charts look my Profile 'Also on'
BTC Dominance looking real heavy up hereWouldn't be surprised in the least if we see a freefall on BTC Dominance over the next few months.
Of course there is no guarantee, and things may look different in a month, however as it stands, I think there is a potential ALT cycle on the cards for 2025.
RSI needs a reset, amongst other things.
New cycle growth - GTFO moment soonNo analysis, simply an observation of what the market has been preparing for for many years. Since 2017, the ICO era, since then the market has matured to a completely new level.
Be careful with following Ben Cowen and other social influencers.
Given the market maturity since 2017, I believe what we call alts season will turn into a slow steady growth, last time it took a year, this time I think it will be the entire Trump's term if not longer.
GRT | Altcoins | MASSIVE UPSIDE Potential on The GraphAnother altcoin that has great upside potential is the Graph BINANCE:GRTUSDT
The Graph from a weekly perspective may seem like there's not much action, but if you zoon in to the daily timeframe we see a different picture.
WEEKLY:
VS DAILY:
We can see anything from a +40% increase to a -30% dip in just a few days; a picture that is lost when we look at the weekly. This is IDEAL for swing trading.
Once you've established the general direction from the MACRO, swing trades become very viable (spot). If your patient enough to wait for a few days, a +30% could easily be achieved within a two week timespan.
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BINANCE:GRTUSDT
ALTCOINS made a 1D Golden Cross. First since U.S. elections.Crypto Total Market Cap just formed the first 1D Golden Cross ince November 6th 2024, which was right after the U.S. elections. The rally that followed made new highs. Since the Bear Cycle bottom, that is the 4th 1D Golden Cross and the minimum the market surged around such formation was +73.10%. This means that we can expected a 4.03T market cap at least.
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