Lets look at ETH V Bitcoin for a moment, before you jump in
Ever since Nov 2021, ETH has Lost Value compared to Bitcoin, as we can see on this ETH BTC chart.
Even while Bitcoin entered a Deep Bear market, ETH lost More....
And now, as we see ETH make a strong move, we have people screaming, "ETH to 10K"
And given how ETH is backed by almost everything American, as America wants ETH as its own Crypto.
Nut lets look here at simple idea.
ETH is up agains Stiff long Term resistance right now.
If we look at the daily chart.
We can already see how PA has been bumped down...an is trying again, even with a daily MACD turning Bearish
The weekly MACD has room to go higher and so I do expect PA to break over resistance and to nreak higher should sentiment remain strong.
As ever, this relies HEAVILY on BTC Dominance and Bitcoin PA to play along.
For me, I am not touching it, even if I can make money on it..
Principles
Altseason
PENGU. Main trend. Trend reversal zone. 04 07 2025Logarithm. Main trend. Fresh cryptocurrency, which is being driven into hype.
Locally now. Price at the median of the bowl.
Buyer volume dominates. Most likely, there will be a large pump in case of a breakout.
The chart is somewhat reminiscent of the Bitcoin chart, the reversal zones of this secondary trend, after the first local wave of growth. The first local, significant target is shown.
There is a possibility of a helicopter, that is, to collect stops in both directions, and thereby dump passengers before a potential pump.
Such cryptocurrencies (low liquidity, monopoly over the price due to the concentration of cryptocurrency in “one hand”) at a good time "the hamster is not scared", will be pumped up conditionally, like Shiba Inu (SHIB), driving the hype (raising the price over and over again, and coming up with positive news) and 0.5 million Twitter subscribers (X). Medium-term — long-term level zones are shown on the chart.
ZK - Golden opportunity? 0.40? Hello everyone, here’s my new analysis on ZK.
Recently, the price surged nearly 80%, followed by an 18% pullback over the last two days. From its all-time high, ZK is currently down about 80%, which in my opinion presents a golden opportunity.
Based on my research, the peaks of altseasons often occur between December–January or April–May. After analyzing the Others Market Cap dominance chart, I believe we’re setting up for a strong altseason in the next 5 months. Over the last few years, BTC has significantly outperformed altcoins—but recently, I’ve noticed a major shift in market dynamics, indicating that capital might be rotating back into alts.
On the chart, ZK is showing a classic crypto crash-recovery pattern. For example, SUI dropped around 80–85% before rallying over 1000% in just 4 months. I see a strong structural similarity between the bottoming pattern of SUI and the current structure of ZK.
If ZK breaks the resistance zone at 0.080–0.095, I expect a rapid move up toward 0.22–0.26. After that, a healthy correction around the previous ATH would be expected—before potentially heading to 0.40 as Take Profit 1 (TP1).
$HBAR Wave 4 finishing soon?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR Hedera appears to have completed wave 4 with the test of the High Volume Node support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
Wave 5 has an expected target of the High Volume Node resistance at $0.4 before a larger retracement in wave 2 aligning with my summer pump august / September dump view.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.1933 at the 0.5 Fib retracement and will be updated to a wave 2 instead of 4.
Safe trading
$FET local ending Diagonal and wave 2 near completion?NYSE:FET was rejected for the 4th time at the daily 200EMA! Each time the probability of a breakout increases.
I have adjusted the High Volume Nodes for accuracy.
Locally Fetch appears to have completed a motif wave up with an ending diagonal for wave 5. Wave 2 is expected to find support at the daily pivot and .618 Fibonacci retracement before attempting a breakout of the daily 200EMA once more.
A move below wave II will invalidate this analysis.
Safe trading
$ETH Hit Our Targets and was rejectedCRYPTOCAP:ETH hit our signal take profit target at $3820 and was rejected at the High Volume Node EQ to the penny.
That appears to have completed wave 3 of this motif wave. Wave 4 has an expected target of the R2 daily pivot and 0.236-0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $3260 before continuing to the upside in wave 5 with a target of the all time high.
This aligns with my views of a significant pullback at the end of August and September which is typical after a summer rally.
No divergences yet in daily RSI.
Safe trading
#SEIUSDT – Testing Resistance with Eyes on Breakout SEI is currently approaching a major descending trendline resistance after reclaiming the key weekly support zone around $0.20–$0.31. Price action is showing strength with a potential reversal setup building.
🔹 Key Technical Levels:
🔽 Support: $0.20–$0.31 (reclaimed zone)
📉 Resistance: Descending trendline from previous highs
🎯 Target 1: $0.5571
🎯 Target 2: $0.9109
🛑 Invalidation: Break below $0.1165 (risk zone)
📌 Technical Outlook:
Bullish structure forming above a long-held support
A breakout from the trendline could initiate a strong leg upward
Risk-to-reward remains favorable for mid-term swing setups
Watch for volume confirmation if SEI closes above the trendline. Momentum may accelerate toward the targets with bullish follow-through.
$AAVE Daily Hidden Bullish divergence?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE and alts begin their retracement Wednesday but is this a long term top or just local? Im betting we have a higher to go this summer..
Hidden daily bullish divergence is printing on RSI at the daily pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement which should all act as strong support provided BTC doesn't dump.
The 'alt-coin golden pocket' Fibonacci retracement 0.786 sits at the descending daily 200EMA and High Volume Node support offering a secondary target for reversal and continued upside.
Losing this and closing below would flip me bearish until a new bullish signal emerges.
Safe trading.
Altcoins are getting absolutely decimated relative to ETHWhile Ethereum has been on a massive run from its lows this year — pulling altcoins up with it — most alts are still lagging far behind.
This chart clearly shows how poorly altcoins are performing against ETH, reinforcing why, at least for now, ETH remains the better hold.
It also fits the classic money flow rotation: BTC → ETH → Large Caps → Small Caps — and right now, we're still in the ETH phase. Until we see strength return in these ETH pairs, chasing altcoins may just lead to more underperformance.
Altcoin Season Has Started. And A Quick Look At The Stock MarketHey Traders,
Time for me to catch you up on the latest price action in both the stock market and crypto as well as touch upon a few changes on my platform and subscription services and what I plan for the future.
Timestamps:
00:00 | Housekeeping - site changes, etc
04:35 | BTC Dominance
06:45 | DXY Dollar Chart
10:00 | SPY
14:25 | BTC Bitcoin Chart
15:45 | Bitcoin Liquidity Heatmap
17:30 | Solana
19:05 | Ethereum
20:20 | Crypto & Stock Trackers
24:25 | My Indicator
26:10 | Where I Went Wrong & How I Plan To Course Correct
✌️ Stew
HYPE Swing Long Opportunity - Altcoin Season📌 Fundamental Sentiment:
The crypto market — alongside broader risk assets — continues to gain traction. This momentum is largely fueled by rising expectations of policy shifts in the U.S., with Trump intensifying pressure on Jerome Powell and advocating for aggressive rate cuts from the Fed.
📌 Technical Analysis:
HYPE is approaching a key HTF bullish trendline, and confluences are stacking up in the same region:
✅ HTF Demand Zone
✅ Equilibrium (EQ) of the HTF bullish trend
✅ Bullish Trendline Support
These three HTF confluences overlapping at the same price zone indicate a high-probability setup for a significant bounce and a possible swing long opportunity.
📌 Gameplan:
Price hits HTF bullish trendline
HTF demand zone gets tested
EQ level tapped → discount offered to buyers
📌 LTF Confirmation Criteria:
I’ll wait for:
A 1H swing break
A strong 4H rejection candle
These will confirm momentum shift. If confirmed, I’ll enter a swing long.
🎯 Target: $60
💰 Potential gain: ~+50%
❗ Stop-loss: Below the swing low that triggers the LTF confirmation
—
🔔 Follow for daily setups and weekly macro recaps
💬 Drop your chart or questions below!
ETH - Altseason ??ETH has rallied sharply and is now entering the major resistance zone between $3,725 and $4,081, which has repeatedly acted as a local top during previous cycles.
This red zone represents a high-supply area, and historically ETH has struggled to break and hold above it without a significant catalyst.
Rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the $2,300–$2,000 range.
A clean breakout and weekly close above $4,081 would flip this resistance into support and open the path toward the all-time high (ATH) at $4,868.
If ETH reclaims this red zone and flips it to support, it will act as a major trigger for a broad Altseason.
Historically, such ETH strength is a key confirmation that capital is rotating from BTC into the altcoin market.
Currently, momentum is favoring bulls unless this red supply zone causes a strong rejection.
4/ Altseason: Live -The Final game is in September. My plan Altszn Live #4: My <50% Win Rate, the Psychology of Missed Profits, and the Endgame in September. Start with 10k
Let's be brutally honest. Running a public trading experiment comes with immense psychological pressure. This isn't a game. It's real money, real nerves, and a real reputation on the line. The last 9 days have been tough; I hit a losing streak, and I want to show it to you, not hide it. Because trading isn't a non-stop party of green numbers. It's a marathon where your own psychology is both your greatest enemy and your greatest ally.
Section 1: Working on Myself. My System vs. Crowd Psychology
To be profitable in the long run, you have to be honest about your strengths and weaknesses. My weakness? My trade win rate is less than 50%. Yes, more than half of my positions do not close in profit.
My strength? I've developed one rule that allows me to stay profitable despite this win rate. This isn't some pretty quote; it's a hard-won system: "Hold your profitable positions for as long as possible, and close your losing positions as quickly as possible."
Now, look at the market. Most people do the exact opposite. They "marry" their losing positions for years, while a 20-30% profit is an irresistible temptation they must lock in immediately.
This leads to the pain of missed opportunities (FOMO). I went through this myself with $RSR. I was waiting to buy at 0.081. The price touched 0.083 and then flew to 10 cents without me. That feeling of the market leaving without you while you wait for the perfect correction is familiar to everyone. It's that burnout that causes you to make mistakes. But I've learned my lesson: there will be no deep corrections this season.
Section 2: Altseason in Full Swing. Where is the Money Flowing, and Where is the "Final Station"?
Altseason is already here. This isn't a guess; it's a fact. Billions of dollars in USDT and other stablecoins are pouring into the market right now. Bitcoin is at its highs. Ethereum is moving up aggressively, just as I've said in my previous posts. But the biggest potential isn't in them right now.
Money moves in waves in the market. You need to understand this to avoid getting on at the "final station":
1. First, Tier-1: Capital flows into BTC and ETH. (This phase is almost over).
2. Then, Tier-2: The flow shifts to large-cap projects (LINK, UNI, SOL, etc.). (Happening now).
3. Next, Tier-3 & Tier-4: Money moves into smaller, riskier altcoins. (Our main target).
4. The Finale - Memecoins: Euphoria, insane percentages, media headlines. When your grandmother asks you about Dogecoin — that's the "final station." It's time to get off the ship.
And we have a date. September 2025. For me, this is the deadline, after which I'm moving into stablecoins and waiting for major shifts in the global economy.
Section 3: My Hunt for "Green Flags" and the XETR:HEI Trade
How do you find that Tier-3 project in this chaos that could deliver massive returns? I look for "green flags." The main one is a rebranding. New tokenomics, a new chart, a new concept. It's a startup with a history.
It was precisely this principle that led me to XETR:HEI (formerly AMEX:LIT ). A small capitalization, a strong narrative, and a complete reset of old holders. The probability of such a project taking off is extremely high.
I'm managing this trade, from entry to exit, in real-time within my private channel. These aren't just signals; it's a demonstration of the system in action.
Conclusion & Call to Action
This public experiment is my personal challenge. I have one shot and only two months to show a result. I'm sharing everything: the wins and the losses. All proof of my trades is available on streaming platforms.
In the first post about Altseason, I invited you to join this journey, and the response was incredible. It brought many strong and mindful people into our community. Let's continue.
If you want to follow my trades in real-time, and ride this final wave of the altseason with me, write "Altseason " in the comments or in pm
And I have a question for you. Share your thoughts, your pain points, your projects. What's on your radar? And one more thing: would you want me to open a separate public account with $1000 and trade it in parallel for transparency? Let's discuss. I'm open to any suggestions.
Best regards EXCAVO
Ethereum Breakout Could Spark the Next Altseason!A Massive Altseason Is Brewing… 🚀
Ethereum just flashed a major monthly breakout after printing a clean Morning Star reversal right at key support.
Now it's pushing against the upper resistance zone, a structure that held it back for over two years.
If CRYPTOCAP:ETH breaks and closes above this level, it won’t just be bullish for Ethereum — it could ignite the biggest altcoin season since 2021.
Why it matters:
📌 ETH is the heart of the altcoin ecosystem.
📌Historical breakouts like this led to 1500%+ moves.
📌The pattern and price action are lining up perfectly again.
Once Ethereum breaks cleanly above $4,000, expect altcoins to explode across the board — Layer 2s, DeFi, AI tokens, and even the meme coins could all start flying.
Keep your eyes on ETH. Its breakout is the spark… the altseason fire is coming.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Eclipse Wakes Up After Bleed – Bounce Incoming?ES/USDT just broke above the short-term downtrend line after a long bleed.
Volume is still low, but this could be the first sign of a shift.
As long as it holds above $0.2188, there’s a good chance of a relief bounce toward $0.33.
Early, risky, but worth watching closely.
DYOR