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Fundamental Market Analysis for May 16, 2025 GBPUSDU.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell in April as the cost of services fell the most since 2009. The Bureau of Labour Statistics on Thursday released data that the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 2.4 per cent in April, down from 2.7 per cent previously. This figure was weaker than market expectations of 2.5%. In addition, initial jobless claims in the US for the week ending 10 May were 229 thousand, compared to the previous week's 229 thousand (revised from 228 thousand). This value was in line with initial estimates. Swap markets priced in the first Fed rate cut of 25 basis points (bps) at the September meeting and expect two more rate cuts before the end of the year. Some analysts believe policymakers may wait until December. Favourable UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data suggests the UK's economic health is robust, dampening hopes of aggressive monetary policy easing by the Bank of England (BoE). This, in turn, provides some support for the British pound against the US dollar. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3350, SL 1.3250, TP 1.3550
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GOLD 1H Chart Analysis – Market Structure Shift & Liquidity ZoneThis 1-hour chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) from TradingView displays a detailed technical analysis highlighting key market structure events such as Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), and liquidity zones. A descending trendline indicates bearish pressure, while recent CHoCH suggests a possible bullish reversal. Key supply and demand zones are marked in red, with liquidity grabs and imbalances visualized using shaded areas. Price currently hovers around the 3,211 level, approaching a resistance zone after reclaiming bullish momentum. Traders may look for reactions near the supply zone or a break above trendline resistance for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1321 2nd Resistance – 1.1376 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
BTCUSD Next MoveNote: This chart presents a short-biased plan for BTC/USD based on key technical levels and price action signals. 🔍 Key Levels : Resistance / All-Time High Area: $105,000 : Support Zone: Around $101,000 : Sell Trade TP1: $99,000 : Sell Trade TP2: $96,000 : Final Target: $93,500 : Critical Breakdown Level: $101,000 (Support) 📌 Plan Breakdown 🟦 Bearish Bias Setup: > The market is consolidating between $101,000 support and $105,000 resistance, forming a range-bound structure near all-time highs. > A breakdown below $101,000 support with a confirmed candle close below that level would trigger a sell signal. > Rewritten chart note: If the price breaks below the $101,000 support area and a candle closes beneath it, we can consider initiating a sell trade. 🔽 Downside Path: : If the price breaks the support: : First target: $99,000 — minor support. : Second target: $96,000 — highlighted range zone. : If the price breaks below $96,000, expect further downside toward $93,500 (final target). 🔄 Sideways Possibility: : If the price breaks below $101,000 but fails to push through $96,000, the market may range between $96K–$99K before choosing a direction. : The purple box (around $96K) is expected to be choppy — a break below confirms strong bearish continuation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
BITCOIN BTC Is Entering Into The Correction Read Caption Bitcoin Chart Analysis: Potential Correction Incoming In my opinion, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of entering a correction phase. The price is approaching its previous all-time high (ATH), and historically, such levels often act as strong resistance. With the market exhibiting signs of exhaustion and profit-taking behavior, a short-term pullback or consolidation could be expected before any further bullish continuation. --- Would you like a more technical version with indicators (like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci levels), or a visual chart to accompany
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SadarExplore
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 145.34 2nd Support – 143.81 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
29
AUD/CHF - Trendline Breakout (15.05.2025)The AUD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.5338 2nd Support – 0.5308 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
10
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (15.05.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.1085 2nd Support – 1.1030 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Is DAX ready for a slight correction lower?We are watching the German XETR:DAX as it is currently struggling to go for a new all-time high. Can this be the moment for a deeper correction lower? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
XETR:DAX
by Marketscom
Gold - $3160 before the next move up?Introduction Gold is currently exhibiting interesting price behavior across multiple timeframes, reflecting a mix of short-term bullishness within a broader context of consolidation. On the one-hour chart, gold is trading within a well-defined rising channel, suggesting a controlled upward correction following a strong impulsive move downward. This upward movement appears to be a retracement rather than a full reversal, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the higher timeframes. Daily tight range Zooming out, gold remains range-bound between the key levels of $3,500 and $3,200. The market has been oscillating within this wide horizontal band, making relatively equal highs and lows. This type of price action typically signals indecision or accumulation, where neither buyers nor sellers are firmly in control. Such a range can often precede a more decisive move in either direction once a breakout occurs. Until then, the market remains reactive to both support and resistance zones within this range. Latest Gold sell-off Yesterday’s trading session introduced a notable shift in momentum, as gold posted a large bearish candle on the one-hour chart, marking a sudden and aggressive sell-off. This move established a short-term bearish impulse. Since that moment, however, the price has been gradually recovering, climbing back within the confines of the rising channel. This rebound appears corrective in nature and has yet to reclaim the previous levels before the sell-off. Above the current price action lies a one-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could be an area of interest for liquidity hunters. Should gold manage to break out to the upside of the channel, it is quite possible that price action will aim to fill this FVG, which sits around the $3,300 level. This could represent a short-term bullish target before any potential continuation lower. Bearish scenario On the flip side, the more compelling scenario from a technical standpoint lies on the downside. If gold fails to sustain its upward trajectory and breaks below the lower boundary of the rising channel, the probability of a move toward the strong support level at $3,160 increases significantly. This level is particularly noteworthy because it aligns with multiple technical confluences. It represents a historical support area where price has previously reacted strongly, and it coincides with the so-called “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci retracement, typically considered a high-probability reversal zone by many traders. The presence of this confluence suggests that a breakdown could trigger a swift move toward this level, possibly attracting buyers once again if the support holds. Bullish scenario While the potential to move higher toward the $3,300 region and fill the FVG remains valid, especially if the current bullish momentum within the channel continues, it is, in my view, the less probable scenario. The recent sharp downward candle suggests that sellers have established control in the short term, and the current upward movement may simply be a retracement before a continuation lower. Conclusion In conclusion, the most likely and technically supported path for gold appears to be a breakdown from the rising channel, followed by a decline toward the $3,160 support level. This zone, bolstered by historical significance and Fibonacci confluence, presents a strong target for price if bearish momentum resumes. While a temporary push toward $3,300 is possible, especially to fill the FVG, it should be seen as a lower-probability scenario compared to the downside risk currently unfolding. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Youriverse
39
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 15, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.12000 in Thursday's Asian session, recovering the day's losses as the euro (EUR) gains momentum ahead of the preliminary Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) report for Q1 2025 to be released later in the day. The euro is being bolstered by growing confidence in its role as a reserve currency. Analysts at Capital Economics noted that the single currency is now in its strongest position in years and is closing the gap with the US dollar (USD) in global reserves. This shift is partly due to the policies of US President Donald Trump, which are seen as undermining the traditional appeal of the USD as a “safe-haven currency”. Further boosting the euro's reserve status was Germany's move to loosen fiscal restraints to boost defense and government spending, sparking additional demand for the currency. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) officials continue to emphasize the need for further interest rate cuts amid growing confidence that U.S. tariff measures will not significantly boost inflation in the eurozone. While interest rate cuts usually have a negative impact on the euro, the currency has so far remained resilient. EUR/USD is also finding support from a softer US Dollar as markets remain cautious amid continued, albeit slightly diminished, trade uncertainty. Attention now turns to upcoming US data releases, including retail sales and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Adding to the broader context, speculation is growing that Washington may favor a weaker dollar to boost its trade competitiveness. The Trump administration has argued that an overvalued dollar puts U.S. exporters at a disadvantage against competitors with weaker currencies. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.11900, SL 1.11400, TP 1.12600
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC - Will we repeat last year price action?Bitcoin (BTC) has recently been trading within a relatively wide range, fluctuating between the $108,000 and $74,000 levels. Over the past several months, the asset experienced a notable decline from its local high of $108,000 down to a low of around $74,000. However, since reaching that bottom, BTC has been on a recovery trajectory, climbing back up toward the $106,000 region as of May. This rebound has brought renewed optimism to the market, but the key question now arises: is this upward momentum sustainable, or is it merely another temporary relief rally within a larger consolidation phase? To evaluate the potential sustainability of this move, it is insightful to compare the current price action with that of exactly one year ago. In the same May period last year, BTC was also trading within a defined range, between $73,000 and $56,000. The pattern that unfolded then may offer clues as to what might happen next. At that time, Bitcoin formed a double top, a classic technical pattern that often signals weakening bullish momentum. This structure developed over two distinct peaks, let's call them Point 1 and Point 2. Following the double top formation, the market began to retrace, initiating a decline that led to the creation of Point 3. This low established a key trendline, marking the beginning of a longer-term structural setup. After bouncing from Point 3, BTC managed to rally once more, approaching a new all-time high but falling just short. This rally formed what can be referred to as Point 4, and notably, this occurred in May, exactly where we are now on the calendar. However, this attempt to break to new highs ultimately failed. The market lost momentum, and BTC turned downward once again, culminating in another test of the established trendline. This next low, which we can label Point 5, occurred in July and served as the third touchpoint of the trendline, reinforcing its significance. Fast forward to the present, and it appears that Bitcoin may be following a similar structural path. The current price action suggests that Points 1, 2, and 3 have already been formed in recent months. The bounce that we’re witnessing now could potentially be developing into Point 4, mirroring the rally seen last May. If history were to repeat or even slightly rhyme, we may be approaching a local high, after which the market could face renewed downward pressure. Such a move would align with a third touch of the longer-term trendline, potentially occurring in the coming months, perhaps around July, just as it did the previous year. Furthermore, this prospective downside move would also serve to close a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has remained largely unfilled, a technical factor that many traders are currently watching. In summary, while the recent price recovery in Bitcoin is encouraging, a closer examination of past market structure and recurring seasonal patterns suggests caution. The market may be setting up for a local high in May, followed by a potential retracement that would once again validate key support levels and trendlines. Whether this scenario plays out in full remains to be seen, but the parallels with last year’s behavior are worth noting for any trader or investor closely monitoring the charts. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Youriverse
64
Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play! Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Double Top pattern on the daily chart. After hitting an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase and is now hovering dangerously close to key psychological support at $3,200. Technical Analysis Breakdown: A clear Double Top pattern is forming on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks near the same resistance level — a classical bearish signal indicating bullish exhaustion. If today’s daily candle closes below the $3,200 level, we could see a rapid decline toward $3,000 in the short to medium term. The neckline for this pattern aligns with the critical support zone between 3196–3200, which is the key area to monitor for potential breakdown confirmation. What’s the Smart Money Doing? Investors are currently pulling out of gold and rotating into higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies, looking for higher yields and growth potential. This shift in investment suggests that the current sell-off might not just be a technical correction, but also a sign of changing macro sentiment — particularly if the Fed continues with a hawkish stance and delays rate cuts. Suggested Trade Scenarios: 🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200: High probability sell setup based on the Double Top pattern Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000 🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces: Watch for a retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with a tight SL below 3190 What to Watch This Week: Keep an eye on key US economic data, including CPI, PPI, and a Fed Chair speech, which could cause significant volatility. The market is highly reactive right now — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear confirmation from the charts. Risk management is essential, especially during these uncertain times. Final Thoughts: The Double Top pattern on Gold is becoming a significant technical signal for a potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,000. 📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical insights, and trading setups during every market session.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
EURCAD Bearish Breakdown – More Downside Potential Ahead?# EURCAD Bearish Breakdown – More Downside Potential Ahead? **Analysis:** EURCAD has broken below a key support level at **1.5710**, which previously acted as a consolidation base. This breakdown could signal the start of a deeper bearish move. The market structure is clearly shifting to the downside, with **lower highs and lower lows** forming. If bearish momentum continues, the price could drop toward the psychological zones around **1.5000** and potentially **1.4500**. --- **Key Technical Highlights:** - **Breakdown level:** 1.5710 (former support) - **Structure:** Bearish - **Target zone:** 1.5000 – 1.4500 - **Invalidation:** Bullish recovery above 1.5710 --- **Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):** Watch for retests below 1.5710 to confirm bearish continuation. Short positions may be considered with proper risk management. --- > **Disclaimer:** > This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Short
by Forex_Int
btc . wednesday . may . w3yesterday . no LONG - only at bigger retracement - didnt come . no SHORT - as 10pm (UTC+2) has recently been a little unpredictable today - wednesday - LIQUIDITY + VOLATILITY ?! . no SHORT - as we are nowhere price opportunity wise + BULLISH outlook . yes COMPOUND LONG . I had wanted to see the drop towards 2pm (UTC+2) - run yesterdays NewYork low and push up . didnt happen, but as I was waiting for the level, I had limit orders prepared of which 4 triggered during LondonSession . additional little compound now prepared at 103622 - LPOC + VWAP - bullish continuation . price is consolidating and momentum of this week is turning to the upside - bearish continuation . see a rejection here at dOpen + wOpen . have price loose its cwLow . catch everyone of guard (unlikely by the outlook, but neverless)
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
2
TA on WTI Oil - 2025.05.14Quick technical analysis on WTI oil. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
GOLD XAU-USD CORRECTION COMPLETE REALLY TOWARD UP $3400 0PEN XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined bullish channel, showing strong adherence to upward trendlines and key support levels. Recent price action confirms the ongoing strength of bullish momentum, with higher highs and higher lows reinforcing the prevailing trend. Technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, remain aligned with buyers, while macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns and global risk sentiment further support the upside narrative. As the precious metal steadily advances, the $3400 level emerges as a key psychological and technical target, suggesting that, barring significant shifts in market dynamics, gold may continue its trajectory towards new highs in the medium term."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 14, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to strengthen against its US counterpart for the second consecutive day on Wednesday and reacted weakly to the Producer Price Index (PPI), which was largely unchanged. Aggressive comments from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shin'ichi Uchida on Tuesday keep the door open for further policy normalisation and continue to serve as a tailwind for the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, continues to be threatened by weaker US consumer inflation data released on Tuesday, which raised the odds that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates at least twice this year. This is seen as another factor putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair. Meanwhile, optimism about a 90-day tariff truce between the US and China continues to keep the market upbeat. This may deter traders from aggressively bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the diverging policy expectations between the BoJ and the Fed indicate that the path of least resistance for the low-yielding Yen lies to the upside and support the prospects of further downside for the USD/JPY pair. In the absence of any market-relevant economic data from the US, traders will focus on speeches from influential FOMC members. In addition, broader risk sentiment may give the currency pair some momentum. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 147.30, TP 146.10
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250514)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.3% in April, the lowest since February 2021. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 147.76 Support and resistance levels: 148.83 148.43 148.17 147.34 147.08 146.68 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 147.76, consider buying, the first target price is 148.17 If the price breaks through 147.34, consider selling, the first target price is 147.08
Short
by Toml1314
1
COIN ~ Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout -- Key Levels- Hello traders! COIN made a massive move today, breaking out of a beautiful Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern. So whats next? - There are significant resistance levels approaching between $267 and $302 (including the Inverse H&S target level) which could potentially make for a good intraday short trade opportunity. - Watch for a quick reversal from these levels in the coming days, if you're quick you may be able to catch a short trade. - Theres no gaurantee that price will bounce from these levels, however this zone will certainly act as significant resistance in the short term. ~ Thanks everyone and best of luck in your trading journey!
NASDAQ:COINShort
by natef1