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btc . may . w1 . waiting for lower pricesThe squeeze of shorts saw MayOpen pump through the resistance zones finally. Friday 2pm, gave us the ladder entry to SHORT an SFP just before the weekend. short . entry . 97368 . tp1 taken . ride the trend Monday showed no volatility, no trades taken. Too low to SHORT, too soon to LONG. I'd rather: SHORT higher - add to position size. cmVAL . pw0.5 . pwVwap entry . 95347 tp1 . 90216 . +5.3% tp2 . 88600 ish . +7% LONG intraday cwLow around 2pm and ride this for an intraday LONG into entry SHORT entry . 93454 tp1 . 95347 . +2%
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Dartagnones
EurCad = ascending channel + symmetrical triangleHere we have something that to me looks like a combination of a symmetrical triangle and an up ascending channel. It is currently evolving within, and I think it will continue to do it a bit more, especially now that is successfully broke above the symmetrical triangle. It might look like it already has broken out prior, but it wasn't fully formed. Nearer the end, it can be seen that price bounced back and forth within the triangle two times, and accurate. Now that it's broken above, I know of a potential idea which is to buy from a pullback into the level marked which I believe is demand zone. I also think it can be normal for price to be traded as a break below and selling an ascending channel. But I think in this case it is being held up in a stronger format with support from triangle which might guide its meaning to a different turn.
Long
by CyberFxTrader
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 6, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, albeit without any follow-through selling. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ‘restrained’ guidance last Thursday, Japan's rising inflation and prospects for continued wage increases leave the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and rising geopolitical tensions continue to act as tailwinds for the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, the prospect of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is not helping the US Dollar (USD) attract meaningful buyers and is helping to limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders also seem unwilling to wait for more signals on the Fed's policy outlook before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. Thus, the main focus will be on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, which starts this Tuesday and which will give the dollar a fresh impetus. Trading recommendation: BUY 143.90, SL 143.60, TP144.80
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/CAD - Wedge Breakout (06.05.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3893 2nd Resistance – 1.3928 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup Chart Type: Candlestick Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814 EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559 🔍 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950 Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area. Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100 Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels. Current Price: ~32.618 Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA. 🔄 Market Structure The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA. Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone. The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now) The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move. If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100). This move aligns with: Breakdown below EMAs Failed bullish continuation Rejection from a strong resistance zone 🧭 EMA Analysis EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness. If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term. ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis. Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically. ✅ Conclusion The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by MrStellanSight
8
Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support🧠 Market Overview: Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name). Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure. 📊 Key Technical Components: 🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): 50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price. This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs. 🔹 Market Structure: POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged. The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move. 🔹 Resistance Zone: Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher. Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure. 🔹 Support Zone: Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2. Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce. 📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection: The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs. The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH). The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone. ✅ Bias: Short-term bias: Bearish Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone. 🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook: Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance). Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling). Clear market structure shift to the downside. Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by MrStellanSight
4
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily EMAs: 🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend) 🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend) 🧱 Key Zones 🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area) 📍 ~3,320–3,400 🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here. ⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone 📍 ~3,200–3,250 🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔 🟦 Main Support Zone 📍 ~2,980–3,030 🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound. 📉 EMA Analysis 🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅ 🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️ ⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️ 🔮 Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Path ✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA: 🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone 📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA 🐻 Bearish Path 🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA: 🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone 📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest ✅ Conclusion 📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200 ⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA 🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
8
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Technical + Fundamental OutlookTechnical Outlook Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel and has reached the midline, which is acting as dynamic resistance. 📍 Key Levels: Resistance: 3310 – 3320 (aligned with the midline of the channel) – price has not yet confirmed a breakout above this zone Next Bullish Targets: 3350 – 3358 / 3385 – 3390 Support Zone: 3270 – 3280 (potential bullish re-entry area) 🟣 All key price levels are marked on the chart with light purple lines for clarity. 🟠 RSI is near 65, showing bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory, signaling a possible short-term pullback. 🔁 Likely scenario: A minor correction toward 3270–3280 followed by continuation toward 3350+ if support holds. Fundamental Context The ISM Services PMI came in stronger than expected (51.6 vs. 50.2 forecast), reflecting economic resilience in the U.S. This typically supports the USD and weighs on gold, but: Rising tariff threats from Trump raise recession concerns. Services Prices Index rose to 65.1, signaling growing inflation pressures. These inflation concerns may impact the Fed’s upcoming rate decisions. Central bank demand and geopolitical risks continue to support gold medium-term. Summary Despite being inside a descending channel, gold is showing short-term bullish strength. A confirmed break above 3320 could open the way toward 3350+. Otherwise, a pullback to the 3270–3280 area may offer the next setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by uPaSKaL
Watching carefully USDCAD this weekWith the abundance of US & CAN data this week, we may see some interesting action in USDCAD pair. Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
AUDJPY, our risk on/off monitor, is near a key resistance areaAUDJPY has been on a good run lately. The driving force behind it was the improved market sentiment due to the calming moment in the tariff wars. Can this be sustained? Let's look at the technical picture of AUDJPY. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
EURO - Price can rise to top part of flat from support areaHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago, price entered to wedge, where it bounced from support line and rose to $1.0860 level, breaking $1.0470 level. Then price broke $1.0860 level too, but then it made correction to support line of wedge and then made upward impulse. Euro exited from wedge and continued to grow to $1.1260 level, after which broke this level and started to trades in flat. Inside flat, price rose to top part of flat and then made correction to support area, where it some time traded close. At the moment, Euro trades inside support area, near support level, so, I think that price can correct to $1.1260 level. After this movement, in my mind, EUR can start to grow to $1.1570 top part of the flat. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
13
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 6, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair started the new week on a subdued note and is fluctuating in a narrow trading range around 1.3260-1.3265, near the one-week low reached during the Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) remains on the defensive below multi-week highs amid heightened economic uncertainty amid US President Donald Trump's tariff plans and is a key supportive factor for the GBP/USD pair. Furthermore, the prospect of more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is further undermining the US Dollar. Despite a better than expected US non-farm payrolls report on Friday, investors seem convinced that the US central bank will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and reduce borrowing costs by 100 basis points by the end of this year. This, along with optimism about a potential de-escalation of the trade war between the US and China, is reducing demand for the safe-haven dollar. However, traders seem reluctant to make new bullish bets on GBP/USD and prefer to wait for this week's key event - the Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The UK central bank is expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and take a somewhat soft stance amid downside risks to growth from the trade war. In addition, this week traders will face the publication of the FOMC meeting minutes, which will affect the USD price dynamics and give a meaningful impetus to the GBP/USD pair. Trading recomendation: SELL 1.3280, SL 1.3290, TP 1.3180
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Week ahead analysis May 4th to 11th**Week Ahead Analysis (May 5 – May 11, 2025)** ### **Baseline: Market Expectations** - **Tariffs & Fed Policy:** Trump's tariff announcement has heightened concerns about economic slowing, prompting bond markets to price in up to four Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. - **Trade Talks & Sentiment Shift:** Reports suggest China may restart trade negotiations, boosting risk sentiment. However, China insists the U.S. must first remove all unilateral tariffs, adding uncertainty to the discussions. - **Market Reaction:** Risk assets—equities and high-beta currencies like AUD, NZD, and CAD—are climbing as volatility cools. Meanwhile, safe havens such as JPY, CHF, and gold are facing selling pressure, though overall risk sentiment remains cautious. ### **Potential Surprise Scenarios** - **Trade Deal Secured:** A deal would likely send equities higher, strengthen risk-sensitive currencies, and drive safe havens lower. - **No Deal Reached:** In contrast, safe havens could gain while risk assets retreat. ### **Big Picture Outlook** Regardless of the immediate outcome, the market's medium-term trajectory hinges on the broader effects of trade policy. If tariffs persist, economic uncertainty may sustain the Fed’s dovish stance. A successful trade deal, however, could restore confidence, shifting expectations back toward growth stabili
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Midas_Macro
btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE - out of pwRange - into cwRange + 1 step higher - all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum 02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA - after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range - approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time - ladder in for possible SFP - give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R entry. 97368 tp1 . 950908 tp2 . 94095 tp3 . 85113 LONG IDEA - wait and see where the price find its support - possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA - on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Dartagnones
Gold can correct to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After studying this chart, we can track the progression of Gold's price action from strong bullish momentum to its current consolidation. Initially, the market trended confidently inside an upward channel, with steady growth supported by the lower boundary of the channel and occasional corrections after touching the resistance line. Each pullback respected previous support zones, a strong signal of buyer control at the time. The most impulsive move came after the price exited the buyer zone, followed by a clean breakout above the resistance line of the channel. However, once the price entered the seller zone, we saw the momentum start to fade. A strong rejection occurred near the resistance level at 3370, which eventually triggered a series of lower highs and shifted the market into a more neutral, range-bound phase. Currently, Gold is trading inside a defined range between 3205 and 3370. The bottom of this range aligns perfectly with the buyer zone, which already acted as a strong support during the last decline. We can also observe the market beginning to show signs of reversal after tapping the zone again. Given the reaction from the support area and the structure of the range, I expect the price can bounce back and make another attempt to reach the 3370 resistance level, which is my TP1 for this scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
14
HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line and then rebound upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a sharp, impulsive rise, price entered a broad consolidation phase between 1.1575 and 1.1270 levels, creating a horizontal channel where price oscillated for several sessions. This type of structure often serves as a re-accumulation zone during a trending market. What's particularly notable is the recent touch of the lower boundary of the range, which coincided with a retest of both the ascending trend line and the support zone around 1.1270 points. This confluence of technical factors makes the current area critical for further price development. Following the bounce from the support zone, the pair is showing early signs of recovery. The trend line has held firmly, and buyers stepped in with a reaction candle confirming demand interest. While EUR is not yet out of the consolidation, the structure suggests strength and potential continuation. Given the alignment of the upward trend line, support zone validation, and stabilization after the drop, I expect that EURUSD may climb almost toward the upper boundary of the consolidation. That's why my current goal lies at 1.1500. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
9
GOLD - Price can grow to $3370 resistance levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Recently, price entered to pennant, where it at once bounced from support line and started to grow, but soon corrected. After this movement, Gold made upward impulse, and broke $3205 level, after which it made retest and continued to move up mext. Soon, it reached $3370 level, broke it and then rose to resistance line of pennant, after which started to fall. In a short time, price declined below $3370 level, breaking it again, and then some time traded below. Later, Gold continued to fall and declined to support level, which coincided with support line of pennant. Now, I think that price can bounce up from support level to $3370 level, exiting from pennant pattern. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
14