Why DCA Does Not Work For Short-Term TradersIn this video I go through why DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) does not work for short-term traders and is more suitable for investors. I go through the pitfalls than come through such techniques, as well as explain how trading should really be approached. Which at it's cost should be based on having a positive edge and using the power of compounding to grow your wealth.
I hope this video was insightful, and gives hope to those trying to make it as a trader. Believe me, it's possible.
- R2F Trading
Analysis
My take on XRP for Vecino Peache.XRP is currently testing the 50 EMA on the daily time frame, a strong resistance level. Throughout February, it made multiple attempts to break above but failed. This suggests a possible correction. A confirmed break below the 200 EMA on the daily chart would further validate this bearish outlook.
My take; I have an OTZ (Optimal Trade Zone) on the 4-hour time frame, which acts as a strong support level. If price breaks below this zone, it signals a potential shift in market direction. As long as XRP respects this support, I will trade it conservatively.
Let me know what are your thoughts on my take.
#ATOM #ATOMUSDT #COSMOS #Analysis #Eddy#ATOM #ATOMUSDT #COSMOS #Analysis #Eddy
It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Atom currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of the important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your monthly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility.
Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area.
Important areas are drawn and labeled so you can make informed decisions.
Good luck.
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook: Wyckoff Accumulation & Breakout PotentXAU/USD (Gold) - 2H Chart Analysis 🏆📈
🔹 Wyckoff Structure Insight
The chart shows signs of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase.
UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) at the previous highs suggests a liquidity grab.
Test of the resistance level before a strong rejection downward.
SOW (Sign of Weakness) was observed, but buyers regained control.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Fair Value Range marked below, showing a potential area of demand.
Unfilled Imbalance (EMB unfilled) signals an area where price might revisit before continuing upward.
Gap below indicates a previous liquidity sweep before the bullish reversal.
🔹 Trend & Price Action
The 200 EMA (red line) is holding as dynamic support.
Current price action is showing higher lows and bullish structure development.
Projected bullish move 📈 is expected to test the $2,940+ region.
🔹 Trading Bias: Bullish ✅
A retracement to the EMA or minor pullback could offer re-entry opportunities.
Invalidation level: Below $2,900, where momentum could shift bearish.
🚀 Gold remains strong; watch for breakouts above $2,940!
Silver Is Eyeing 34-35 Area; Intraday Elliott Wave AnalysisSilver made a three-wave abc correction in wave 4 which can now extend the rally for wave 5 within a new five-wave bullish cycle towards 34-35 area. After recent five-wave impulse into wave "i", followed by an abc corrective setback in wave "ii", it formed a nice intraday bullish setup. Seems like it's now ready for a bullish resumption within wave "iii", so more upside is expected, especially if breaks above trendline and 32.66 level, just watch out on short-term pullbacks.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair continues to decline for the second consecutive session, trading near 1.29400 during the Asian session on Friday. The pair faces challenges as the Pound Sterling (GBP) struggles amid weakening risk sentiment, exacerbated by concerns over global trade after US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% tariffs on European wines and champagne, which worried markets.
Traders are now awaiting the UK's monthly gross domestic product (GDP) and factory data for January, which will be released on Friday. Investors will be keeping a close eye on the UK GDP data as the Bank of England (BoE) has expressed concerns about the outlook for the economy. At its February meeting, the Bank of England revised its GDP growth forecast for the year to 0.75%, up from the 1.5% projected in November.
The US Dollar (USD) is appreciating amid growing concerns about a slowdown in the global economy, with traders' attention focused on Friday's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, strengthened after Thursday's positive jobless claims report and weaker-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) data. At the time of writing, the DXY is trading near 104.00.
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ended March 7 came in at 220,000, below the 225,000 expected. Jobless claims fell to 1.87 million, below the forecast of 1.90 million, indicating a resilient U.S. labor market.
Inflationary pressures in the US showed signs of easing. The producer price index rose 3.2% year-on-year in February, down from 3.7% in January and below the market forecast of 3.3%. The core producer price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% on a year-over-year basis, up from 3.8% in January. On a monthly basis, the core price index was unchanged, while the underlying price index declined 0.1%.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.29400, SL 1.29900, TP 1.28600
GBP/USD Channel Breakout (14.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2890
2nd Support – 1.2862
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GBP/USD Trade Analysis**GBP/USD Trade Analysis**
📊 **Current Price:** 1.29300
📈 **Bullish Scenario:**
- **Buy above:** 1.29400
- **Target 1:** 1.29600
- **Target 2:** 1.29800
- **Stop Loss:** 1.29150
📉 **Bearish Scenario:**
- **Sell below:** 1.29150
- **Target 1:** 1.29000
- **Target 2:** 1.28800
- **Stop Loss:** 1.29400
📌 **Key Levels:**
- **Resistance:** 1.29450 - 1.29800
- **Support:** 1.29000 - 1.28600
📢 **Risk Management:** Keep SL in place and watch for volume confirmation. 🚀
Booze Wars... How DAX could react?Now it's time for US and EU to have their public tariff battle. Given that wine, champagne and beer are a huge part of EU export into the US, there might be some pain felt among the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. Let's dig in.
XETR:DAX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
GBP/CHF Channel Pattern (13.03.25)The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1490
2nd Resistance – 1.1540
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EUR/USD Triangle Pattern (13.3.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0805
2nd Support – 1.0771
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XAG/USD (Silver) Wedge Pattern (13.03.2025)The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 32.45
2nd Support – 32.00
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#BANANAUSDT maintains bearish momentum📉 Short BYBIT:BANANAUSDT.P from $14.905
🛡 Stop loss $15.490
🕒 1H Timeframe
⚡️ Overview:
➡️ The main POC (Point of Control) is at 16.112, indicating the area with the highest trading volume.
➡️ The 15.490 level acts as a local resistance, as the price previously faced selling pressure there.
➡️ The volume and market profile highlight areas of high trader activity, especially in the 14.250 – 15.500 range.
➡️ The chart shows a potential decline after an impulse move and profit-taking.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $14.580
💎 TP 2: $14.250
💎 TP 3: $13.920
📢 Monitor key levels before entering the trade!
📢 If 15.490 is broken upward, the trade may be invalidated.
📢 If the price continues to decline and breaks through TP 1, the downside potential remains.
BYBIT:BANANAUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum — expecting further downside movement!
XAG/USD Bearish Reversal Incoming? | Silver 4H Analysis📉 XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup 🚨
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (POI - Point of Interest) 🟪: The price is approaching a strong resistance area around $33.23 - $33.50.
Liquidity Grab (LQ) & Rejection Expected ❌: The previous major liquidity zone (LQ) suggests a possible fake breakout or rejection.
Bearish Projection ⬇️: The chart outlines a potential reversal after reaching resistance, leading to a drop towards $31.00 - $30.50.
📌 Trading Plan:
Short Entry 🎯: Around $33.20 - $33.50 (if price rejects this area).
Target 🎯: Major demand zone at $31.00.
Stop Loss 🚨: Above $33.60 (to avoid fakeouts).
Confirmation Needed 📊: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, wicks, or double top formations).
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
Bearish Bias ⚠️ unless price breaks and holds above $33.50.
Monitor market conditions 🧐—news and fundamentals could shift momentum.
🔥 Trade smart! What do you think?
BTC/USDT Price Analysis: Reversal or More Downside?:
📊 BTC/USDT 2-Hour Chart Analysis
🔻 Current Trend:
BTC is in a downtrend 📉, trading below the 30 EMA (🔴 84,270 USDT) and 200 EMA (🔵 88,644 USDT).
The price is currently 82,406 USDT and approaching a key support zone (🟣 ~80,000 USDT).
Support & Resistance Levels
🟣 Support Zone (~80,000 USDT) – Possible bounce area ⬆️
🟣 Mid-Resistance (~86,000–88,000 USDT) – First hurdle 🚧
🟣 Major Resistance (~96,000 USDT) – Final target 🎯
Possible Price Movement (🔵 Blue Line Projection)
✅ Bullish Case:
If BTC bounces off support 🏋️, it could move towards 88,000 USDT 🚀 and then 96,000 USDT 🎯.
❌ Bearish Case:
If BTC breaks below 80,000 USDT, we might see more downside ⚠️.
💡 Trading Tip:
Watch price action 📊 at support & resistance.
Look for confirmation signals ✅ before entering trades.
🚀 Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? 🔥
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses.
In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise.
Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – March 11, 2025Gold is currently trading near 2920 , showing bullish momentum after a strong recovery from recent lows. Price action suggests buyers are in control, but key levels must hold for continued upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Bullish Structure: The price has formed a bullish flag , signaling potential continuation toward liquidity above 2930.3 (swing high).
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) 2907 - 2900: This zone should act as support. If price stays above it, we could see bullish continuation.
✅ Bullish Order Block (OB) 2891 - 2880: If price retraces, this area could serve as a high-probability buy zone for another push higher.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support Zones:
2907 - 2900 (FVG, 4H) – Ideal for bullish continuation.
2891 - 2880 (OB, 4H) – Stronger demand zone if a pullback occurs.
🔹 Resistance & Targets:
2930.3 (Swing High) – Liquidity target for buyers.
A breakout above 2930 could trigger further bullish momentum.
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
📌 Bullish: A break above 2920-2925 could send price toward 2930+ liquidity.
📌 Bearish Pullback: A drop into 2907-2900 may present a buying opportunity before moving higher.
🛑 Final Thoughts:
The trend remains bullish , and as long as price stays above key FVG and OB zones, further upside is likely. Keep an eye on these levels for potential trade setups!
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & PredictioDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Analysis – Daily Chart
🔹 Recent Downtrend:
The DXY has been in a strong decline ⬇️ after breaking key support around 104.5 📉.
The price dropped sharply, showing bearish momentum 🚨.
🔹 Key Zones Identified:
Resistance Zone (104.0 – 105.0) ❌📊 (Previously support, now acting as resistance)
Support Zone (100.5 – 101.0) ✅📉 (Potential target for further downside)
🔹 Expected Price Movement:
A possible short-term bounce 🔄 back toward the 104.0 - 104.5 resistance ⚠️.
If rejected ❌, the downtrend may continue toward the 100.5 – 101.0 level 🎯📉.
🔎 Conclusion:
✅ Bearish Bias – Trend favors further downside unless the price reclaims 105.0.
📌 Watch for a retracement before another drop 📉.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: 104.0 – 105.0 🚧
Support: 100.5 – 101.0 🛑
BTC/USD Breakdown? Bearish Target at $70K!🔥
📉 Bitcoin Downtrend Alert! 🚨
📊 BTC/USD (4H Chart) - BITSTAMP
🔻 Bearish Structure!
📉 Lower highs & lower lows – trend is down!
📏 Descending trendline keeping price under pressure.
📌 Resistance Zone (~ FWB:83K - $85K)
🛑 Price struggling to break past strong supply area (purple box).
📉 Support Levels:
🟡 $77,500 🏗️ – Weak support? Possible break!
🔴 Target: $70,000 🎯 – Major support level ahead!
🛠️ Possible Price Action:
1️⃣ Retest resistance 🚀?
2️⃣ Rejection & drop to $77,500 ❌
3️⃣ Break below = CRASH to $70K 💥
⚠️ Warning: Bulls need to reclaim trendline for reversal! Otherwise, bears in control! 🐻💪
📢 Conclusion:
Trend = BEARISH! Until a breakout happens, shorting may be the best play! 🎯
🔥 What do you think? Bullish or Bearish? 🤔👇 #BTC #Crypto
Financial Apocalypse? Markets Crash as Billions Flow into Cash –A New Wave of Market Turbulence: How Trade Wars and Uncertainty Affect Investors
The US stock market is currently undergoing a massive sell-off, which analysts compare to previous financial crises. Both institutional and retail investors are actively exiting equities and high-risk instruments, including cryptocurrencies. The accumulated anxiety is driven not only by the global economic cycle but also by specific political decisions: trade wars and protectionist measures are putting significant pressure on corporate earnings and market expectations.
Early Signs: Tariffs and Escalation
When Donald Trump announced increased tariffs on imports from China a few years ago, the stock market reacted sharply but briefly. Many analysts hoped the tensions would turn out to be short-lived negotiating tactics. Ultimately, however, the trade confrontation evolved into a prolonged phase, affecting not only the US and China but also European partners.
Today we see a continuation of this policy, where new restrictions and tariff threats have been added to the previously introduced measures. This has prompted capital outflows and increased uncertainty, as global supply chains have come under question, and the prospects for global trade recovery are murky.
Parallels with the 2008 Crisis
Comparisons to 2008 are inevitable due to the scope and speed of the drop in stock prices. However, while the primary trigger in 2008 was the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and the banking sector, the current negative factors lie in the realm of trade and geopolitical tensions.
Leading companies' financial results are declining because of rising costs for raw materials and logistics due to mutual tariffs. Global demand is weakening, and heightened instability is causing management teams to cut back on investment programs. All this is reflected in stock market indices, which continue to lose several percentage points in a single trading session.
Buffett’s Role and the Cash Accumulation Strategy
Warren Buffett, one of the largest and most conservative investors, prepared for such a scenario by amassing an unprecedented amount of cash. Buffett’s approach does not involve “catching a falling knife” at the peak of panic, but as soon as the situation stabilizes or compelling long-term opportunities arise, he will likely begin buying undervalued assets.
This strategy is typical for major players who focus on fundamental indicators. They are not looking at short-term fluctuations but rather the potential gains when the market recovers and prices return to fair value.
Cryptocurrencies: Expectations vs. Reality
Many assumed that cryptocurrencies would serve as a haven during crises. However, experience shows that in periods of global uncertainty, risk-averse investors exit digital assets alongside everything else. Bitcoin and Ethereum have lost 20–30% since the latest “flare-ups” began, and even statements about a “national bitcoin strategy” have so far failed to influence their prices.
Meanwhile, fundamental factors—limited supply, the development of blockchain technology, and IT-sector interest—have not disappeared. These arguments gain traction when investors’ risk appetite returns. But when the market is dominated by fear of further declines, they tend to avoid risky trades and prefer liquid, proven instruments.
Where the Money Goes
Unlike previous downturns, capital has not rushed into gold. While gold prices reached their peak a few weeks ago, their growth has since slowed, as some investors opt to keep their funds in cash, considered the safest choice.
Such behavior may suggest that the sell-off is nearing its climax: when capital remains “on the sidelines,” it eventually starts seeking new opportunities—whether in bargain-priced shares of large industrial giants, the tech sector, or even the cryptocurrency market with its depressed valuations. The volume of outflows from the US stock market is colossal; over the last couple of weeks, the total market cap of leading indexes has fallen by several trillion dollars. It is expected that a substantial portion of this money will re-enter the market, though likely redistributed among different asset classes.
Medium- and Long-Term Outlook
Investors with a six-month or longer horizon often see the current levels as potential entry points. Historically, global conflicts and economic crises end sooner or later, opening opportunities for those who can tolerate temporary volatility.
However, short-term trading remains extremely risky: as uncertainty persists, we may see more waves of sell-offs that knock out speculators with weak nerves or insufficient liquidity. During such moments, those who remain disciplined and steadfast can find profitable opportunities.
Conclusion
Today’s financial market conditions stem from a convergence of factors: aggressive trade policies, geopolitical risks, and the natural winding down of certain economic cycles. The mass sell-off of stocks and cryptocurrencies indicates that investors are unwilling to take on new risks until tariff disputes calm down, a clearer picture emerges for corporate profits, and major economic centers reach some form of agreement.
Nevertheless, the market retains its cyclical nature: historical parallels show that after the steepest drops, recovery periods often follow. The only question is when the turnaround will occur and who will be the first to capitalize on it.