$AMZN is at risky area going into the earningsAmazon's last six earnings moves:
🟢 +7.5%
🔴 -12.7%
🟢 +3.4%
🟢 +8.2%
🟢 +8.7%
🟢 +11.4%
Options market expecting a 6.6% swing for NASDAQ:AMZN
Cloud drives 70% of profits
Retail? Barely profitable.
Amazon's market cap: $2.5T
For that price, you could own:
The entire Bitcoin market 5 times over
Every billionaire in the world’s top 500 list
Analysis
Are You a Technical or Fundamental Trader? (And Why It Matters)Financial markets are a battleground of opposing forces: buyers vs. sellers, bulls vs. bears, diamond hands vs. paper hands. But one of the oldest rivalries in trading doesn’t involve price movements at all — it’s the ongoing feud between technical and fundamental traders.
One side believes the charts hold all the secrets (you, maybe?), while the other insists that cold, hard data dictates market direction (you, maybe?). In this Idea, we break down the two and ask: which side are you on?
📈 The Chartists: The Lost Art of Tape Reading
Technical traders are the wizards of the candlestick, seeing patterns where others see chaos. To them, a moving average isn’t just a squiggly line — it’s guidance. Fibonacci levels ? More sacred than grandma’s secret pie recipe. They don’t care if a company just launched the greatest product of the century — if the RSI says it’s overbought, they’re out.
Technical analysis thrives on one simple principle: price action reflects all available information and hints at the next possible move. Instead of diving into earnings reports or economic data — the fundamental traders’ bread and butter — technical traders study past price movements, volume, and momentum indicators to predict the next leg up or down. They’re the ones glued to their TradingView charts, eyes darting between support and resistance levels, waiting for the perfect breakout.
💸 The Fundamentalists: Betting on Real-World Events
Fundamental traders scoff at the idea that lines on a chart can predict the future. Instead, they dig into earnings reports , economic calendars , and all sorts of reports and data. They believe markets, like everything else in life, move based on value, supply and demand, and macroeconomic forces—not just on price action.
To them, a stock isn’t just a ticker symbol; it’s a business with revenues, expenses, and growth prospects. If they’re trading forex , they’re looking at interest rates USINTR and inflation reports USCPI , not head-and-shoulders patterns. The goal? To determine an asset’s intrinsic value and bet on it going up or down, ideally running ahead of the pack.
If a company’s earnings are strong, like Spotify’s SPOT latest earnings figures , they buy—regardless of what a stochastic oscillator says. And vice versa, if a company’s earnings are weak, like Google parent Alphabet’s GOOGL latest showing , they sell.
👉👈 Who’s Right?
Both, depending on who you ask. Technical traders argue that prices move in patterns, and those patterns repeat. Fundamental traders counter that real-world events drive prices, and charts are just a delayed reflection of reality.
The truth may actually be somewhere in the middle — markets are a mix of both. Even the most die-hard fundamentalist will glance at a chart before making a trade, and many technical traders keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid being blindsided by major news.
💡 Why It Matters
Your trading style affects everything: the markets you trade, the tools you use, and even your level of stress. If you’re a fundamentals-first trader trying to scalp five-minute charts, you’re in a world of pain. Conversely, if you’re a technical trader attempting to hold trades for years without considering financial data, you might miss obvious warning signs.
Understanding your own tendencies can help refine your strategy and improve your results. Are you more comfortable crunching numbers and reading financial statements? You might be in the same boat with other cash-flow guys like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio. Do you prefer spotting patterns and reacting to price action? Say hello to your billionaire buddies Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller.
💚 Final Thoughts
Bottom line, trading isn’t about proving one method superior — it’s about making the right decisions, and, let’s be frank, turning a profit. Whether you’re a chart junkie or an earnings aficionado, what matters most is having a strategy that works for you.
So now the big question… which side are you on? Fundamental analysis or technical analysis? Comment below and let’s see who’s who!
GBP/NZD Channel Breakout (5.2.2025)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1862
2nd Support – 2.1765
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Fundamental Market Analysis for February 6, 2025 EURUSDThe euro is trying to consolidate after breaking a six-day losing streak, with EUR/USD still holding at 1.0400.
US employment change data from ADP showed stronger-than-expected results for January, with a net increase in the number of people employed coming in at 183k, beating the expected decline to 150k from December's revised 176k. While the ADP jobs data unreliably predicts the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data expected later in the week, the increase bolsters investor confidence that the US economy remains on solid ground.
Early Thursday will see the release of pan-European retail sales data for December. Median forecasts expect the figure to rise to 1.9% y/y, up from 1.2% in the previous period. However, the month-on-month figure is expected to fall to -0.1% from 0.1%.
The most important release this week will be the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday. Investors expect the January NFP to fall to 170k from December's 256k. Traders will also be watching for revisions to previous months' data. Those expecting a rate cut are becoming increasingly frustrated with the sustained strength of the US economy as labour statistics are often revised upwards.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0370, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
BTC/USDT -H1- Bearish Channel (06.02.2025)The BTC/USDT Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 90412
2nd Support – 87124
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Bullish Trading Setup on XAU/USDGold looks to poised for more gains, might run into some resistance around $2784-$2790 but overall since bullish trend line support seems to be intact for now. We will look for a breakout and targets around $2812 & $2868. Risk to reward on this is 1:2.
Entry: $2756.00
Stops: $2700.00
Targets: $2812 & $2868
Follow me for more trading setups & opportunities.
Note: Financial Markets carry a great risk. Manage your positions wisely. This isn't trading advice. The setups I post are my own perspectives and how I view the markets after personal analysis of market structures and price action.
Gold Breaks Records Above $2,850Gold surged past $2,850 per ounce, hitting a record high as investors turned to reliable long-term assets with fears that the US-China trade war could slow global growth. While President Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, he imposed a 10% duty on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to announce retaliatory tariffs on US energy products effective next week.
Adding to the uncertainty, Trump suggested US control over the Gaza Strip for reconstruction. Meanwhile, interest rate futures signaled rising expectations for two Fed rate cuts this year, a sharp shift from last month’s outlook. Weaker-than-expected job openings in the JOLTS report and a six-month low in factory orders reinforced this sentiment.
Technically, resistance levels stand at 2879, 2917, and 2950. Support is at 2830, followed by 2790 and 2760.
EUR/NZD Triangle Breakout (5.2.2025)The EUR/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8220
2nd Support – 1.8140
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Fundamental Market Analysis for February 5, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is attracting fresh buyers after data released during Wednesday's Asian session showed a rise in real wages in Japan, confirming bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again. This is significantly at odds with expectations that the Federal Reserve (BoJ) will cut borrowing costs twice before the end of this year. As a result, the narrowing rate differential between Japan and the U.S. will support yen yields.
In addition, the weakening U.S. dollar (USD) led the USD/JPY pair to fall to mid 153.0, or the lowest level since December 18, in the last hour. Meanwhile, investors remain concerned that Japan could also be targeted by US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs. This, along with a risk-on sentiment, could deter traders from making new bullish bets on the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop supports the outlook for further yen strength.
The Japanese yen hit a one-month high against the US dollar amid expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Expectations of further narrowing of the rate differential between Japan and the US also support the yen.
Trading recommendation: Trade mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Dogecoin (DOGE)📌 Dogecoin (DOGE) Technical Analysis
🔷 Introduction:
Dogecoin (DOGE) is one of the oldest meme coins in the crypto market, consistently remaining in the spotlight thanks to strong community support and endorsements from influential figures like Elon Musk. Given the recent surge in trading volume and price fluctuations, a technical analysis of DOGE can provide valuable insights for investors.
📊 Technical Analysis
📌 Overall Market Condition:
🔹 After a sharp rally, DOGE has entered a correction phase and is currently fluctuating within a descending channel.
🔹 The price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the key support zone of $0.19 - $0.20.
🔹 Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
✅ Reaction to the bottom of the descending channel → potential for an upward trend.
✅ Entry confirmation upon signs of reversal and a breakout above the channel.
✅ Possible targets if the descending channel is broken:
🔸 TP1: $0.52 - $0.57
🔸 TP2: $0.85 - $0.94
✅ Key Consideration: After reaching TP1, market behavior and trend strength should be reassessed.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
❌ If the $0.19 support level is broken and the price stabilizes below it, further decline is likely.
❌ Key support levels in case of a breakdown:
🔻 $0.128
🔻 $0.093
❌ A decline in trading volume and increased selling pressure would indicate weak buyer momentum.
📌 Conclusion:
🔹 The bottom of the descending channel could present a buying opportunity, but it comes with high risk.
🔹 A breakout above the channel may trigger a price surge toward $0.52 and beyond.
🔹 Risk management is crucial—breaking below $0.19 could be a strong bearish signal.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The crypto market is highly volatile. Always define your exit strategy before entering a trade and strictly adhere to your stop-loss plan.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish with Possible Pullback?Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Bullish Trend with Possible Pullback
Key Observations:
1. Price Action & Trend:
The price is currently trading around $2,817.685.
The trend appears bullish, with a strong upward move.
There is a marked internal liquidity (Int. LQ) taken, indicating that liquidity has been absorbed, which could lead to further upside.
A market structure break (MB filled) suggests past resistance turned into support.
2. Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA 200, red line) is at $2,709.123, which is significantly below the current price. This suggests that gold is in a strong uptrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14 close) is at 68.56, nearing the overbought zone (70) but still has room for potential upside.
3. Projected Movement:
The chart suggests a potential pullback (small consolidation) before further upward movement.
Fair volume ranges (marked in red) indicate levels where price may slow down or consolidate before continuation.
Price is above key liquidity levels, which may act as support.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bullish, and the price could continue rising after a minor consolidation.
Key levels to watch:
Support: Around $2,800 (former liquidity level).
Resistance: Next potential target is $2,840 - $2,860.
Risk Consideration: RSI is approaching overbought levels, so a short-term correction could occur before another push higher.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock AnalysisPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has recently demonstrated strong financial performance, leading to a significant surge in its stock price. The stock currently trades at $103.32, reflecting a 22% increase, reaching an all-time high of $106.91.
Recent Financial Performance
In Q4 2024, Palantir reported revenue of $828 million, marking a 36% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations of $776 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 75% to $0.14, beating the estimated $0.11 EPS. The company’s 2025 revenue outlook is highly optimistic, forecasting between $3.741 billion and $3.757 billion, well above the market’s expectations of $3.503 billion. For Q1 2025, Palantir expects revenue between $858 million and $862 million, again exceeding analysts' estimates of $799 million.
Analyst Ratings & Market Sentiment
Investment firms have taken note of Palantir's impressive performance:
Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating from "underweight" to "equal weight", raising its price target from $60 to $95, acknowledging the company’s strong AI-driven growth and optimistic outlook.
Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives increased the price target to $120, citing Palantir’s dominant position in the AI market and its continued expansion in both government and commercial sectors.
Stock Performance & Outlook
Palantir’s stock price has seen a sharp rise, fueled by strong AI-related growth, increased government contracts, and expanding enterprise adoption. The stock’s 22% surge reflects investor confidence, but some analysts remain cautious due to valuation concerns.
Conclusion
Palantir's strong earnings, aggressive revenue growth, and increasing adoption of its AI-driven platforms make it a promising investment opportunity. However, potential risks include high valuation and market volatility. Investors should conduct further research to assess whether Palantir fits their portfolio strategy.
Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis – Potential Downside RisksAlphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon:
Extended Distance from 55 EMA:
The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible.
Bearish Divergence:
The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence.
Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings:
Earnings Report on Tuesday:
Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures.
Revenue Growth Concerns:
The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services.
Competitive Pressure in AI:
Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability.
While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level.
92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment.
This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.
EUR/USD Poised for Reversal from Key Demand Zone – Smart Money A📊 Market Outlook: Bullish Reversal from Demand Zone
EUR/USD is approaching a critical daily demand zone (highlighted in yellow), where we anticipate a potential trend reversal. The technical and fundamental data suggest that a buying opportunity is emerging.
🔹 Why Am I Bullish on EUR?
✅ Retail Traders Overloaded on Shorts – The retail crowd is excessively short, which often leads to short squeezes when smart money steps in.
✅ Non-Commercial Traders are Overly Short – CFTC data reveals that large speculative traders hold extreme short positions, signaling a potential contrarian move.
✅ Commercial Traders Accumulating Longs – The smart money (hedgers & institutions) are heavily long on EUR, suggesting value buying at these levels.
✅ Key Demand Zone in Play – Price is approaching a major liquidity pocket, historically acting as strong support and a reversal zone.
🔹 Technical Levels to Watch
📍 Support Zone: Yellow Area On Chart
📈 My Trade Bias:
Waiting for confirmation signs in the demand zone.
Looking for bullish structure shifts & momentum buyers stepping in.
🚀 What do you think? Will EUR/USD bounce from here or break lower? Comment below! 👇📩
#EURUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #Liquidity #PriceAction #CFTCData #ForexTrading #FXAnalysis
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Gains as U.S. Factory Growth and Market Deficit Support Prices
Silver rose above $31.5 per ounce, staying near its highest level since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data increased demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs reduced concerns over protectionist policies. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, strengthening silver’s outlook as a key industrial metal. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive market deficit in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.80 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90. On the downside, 30.90 will be the first support level. 30.20 and 29.30 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Gold Nears Record as Investors Eye U.S.China Tariffs - NFP DataGold held above $2,810 per ounce on Tuesday, near its record high, as safe-haven demand stayed strong amid global trade uncertainties. Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada for a month after steps to address border security and drug trafficking, while 10% tariffs on China are still set for today. These tariffs could increase gold's appeal as an inflation hedge but might lead to higher interest rates, weighing on non-yielding gold. Investors are also focused on this week’s U.S. labor data, especially Friday’s nonfarm payrolls, for economic insights.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 2830 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2858 and 2900. On the downside, 2760 will be the first support level. 2727 and 2710 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
GBP/USD Analysis by zForex Research TeamGBP/USD Recovers as Trump Pauses Tariffs, But Risks Persist
The British pound rebounded above $1.24 after falling to $1.225, following Trump’s deal with Mexico’s President Sheinbaum to pause tariffs for a month. Uncertainty remains as Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, 10% on China, and threatened the EU and UK. Growing trade tensions have fueled expectations of Bank of England rate cuts, with markets pricing in 81bps of cuts by December and a 95% chance of a 25bps cut to 4.5% this Thursday.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2450. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2500 and 1.2600. On the downside 1.2265 will be the first support level. 1.2100 and 1.1900 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
EURCAD - Sell Setup at Clear Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to reversals. If the price confirms rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.49600 level.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside.
Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. And let me know what you think of this setup in the comments!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Analysis: Critical Support Test –(caption)🚀 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis (Feb 2, 2025) 📊
🔍 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Strong Support Zone (Red Box) 🛑
BTC is currently testing the $98,000 - $99,000 support zone.
This level has previously acted as a demand area, meaning buyers might step in.
2️⃣ 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Resistance (Red Line) 📉
The 200 EMA at $100,718 is acting as dynamic resistance.
A break and close above this level would indicate bullish strength.
3️⃣ Key Resistance Levels 🚧
$100,718 (200 EMA Resistance)
$102,884 (Major Horizontal Resistance)
If price breaks these levels, next targets: $104,000 - $106,000.
4️⃣ Key Support Levels 🛠️
$98,000 - $99,000 (Current Demand Zone)
$90,000 - $89,184 (Next Major Support Below)
📈 Possible BTC Price Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Case (Price Bounces from Support) 🟢
If BTC holds above $98,000 - $99,000, a move toward $102,884 and higher is possible.
Breaking above $102,884 could trigger a rally toward $104,000 - $106,000.
Watch for volume increase & bullish candlestick confirmation.
❌ Bearish Case (Break Below Support) 🔴
If BTC breaks below $98,000, we could see a drop to $90,000 - $89,184.
A break below $90,000 could lead to further downside toward $88,000.
Watch for strong selling pressure & breakdown candle.
📊 Final Thoughts: BTC at a Critical Level!
🚨 Decision Point: BTC is at a key support level—will bulls step in, or will bears take control?
🔹 For Bulls: Need to reclaim $100,700+ for bullish continuation.
🔹 For Bears: Losing $98,000 could open the door for a drop toward $90,000.
👀 Keep an eye on price action & volume for the next big move!
🔥 What’s your bias? Bullish 🚀 or Bearish 📉? Let’s discuss!
BTC MARKET ANALYSIS (4H(TF)) | Bitcoin Update BTC Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked three key zones for BTC:
Strong Resistance – The current market structure’s upper boundary.
Central Zone – A critical area acting as a pivot point.
Strong Support – The lower boundary of the current structure.
Since breaking out of the 70-80 zone, BTC has established a new structure, which is clearly visible on the chart. Over the past few days, BTC has been circulating within this zone. Today, it tested the support level and showed a healthy reversal, which is a positive sign. This zone has historically acted as a strong support area, and the market has repeatedly reversed from here, as seen in the price action between 91,260 and 89,260.
For now, BTC is respecting this support level and following the current structure. A breakdown below this zone could lead to a bearish move, but as of now, the support is holding strong.
Central Zone: The Key Pivot Area
The Central Zone is a crucial part of the current structure, acting as both support and resistance (SR/Rs interchange). It provides valuable insights into BTC’s price action, indicating when the price is likely to test resistance or support.
Currently, BTC has faced minor rejection from the Central Zone. However, given the strong bounce from the support level, there’s a possibility that BTC could break through the Central Zone. If this happens, the price may move toward the resistance level again.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
From a supply and demand perspective, BTC is currently showing strong demand near the support level. This demand could push the price toward the resistance level. However, for this upward move to sustain, BTC needs to break the downtrend choch (swing high) between resistance and support. This break is likely to occur if the Central Zone is breached.
If the Central Zone breaks, the demand could fully play out, and BTC may retest the resistance level.
Needed Volume: A Critical Factor
At the bottom of the chart, I’ve marked the “needed volume” level. This is an important area that cannot be ignored. For the needed volume to fill, the market might retrace lower.
If the Central Zone breaks, the needed volume will likely fill after testing the resistance. However, if the Central Zone holds and rejects the price, BTC could retrace to fill the needed volume level. In this scenario, the market might also break the current structure, targeting the 89,000–91,000 zone.
Summary : Two Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: The Central Zone breaks, and BTC moves toward the resistance level.
Bearish Scenario: The Central Zone rejects the price, and BTC retraces to fill the needed volume level.
These are the two primary scenarios to watch for. The market is currently straightforward, and no additional complexities are at play.
Note: My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
CDW Corporation: Bullish Trap or Breakout Play?NASDAQ-CDW at a Pivotal Moment—Can Bulls Hold the Line?
CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is standing at a crossroads. The stock currently trades at $199.14, recovering from its January lows but still 24.3% below its all-time high of $263.37 set in April 2024. With a key resistance looming at $200.31, traders are asking: Will this level act as a launchpad for further gains, or is this the last breath before a deeper pullback?
Technicals present a mixed picture. On one hand, RSI (14) is hovering at 56.44, keeping the stock in neutral momentum, while MFI (60) at 48.22 suggests liquidity is balanced. The 50-day moving average sits at $195.92, reinforcing a support zone, yet sell volumes have increased over recent sessions. Recent candlestick patterns indicate a battle between bulls and bears, with sell volume spikes on January 31st hinting at potential exhaustion.
So, what’s next? Will CDW break above resistance and retest higher levels, or are sellers about to regain control? Stay tuned—this could be the breakout (or breakdown) of the month.
CDW Roadmap: Navigating the Market Waves
CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) has been riding a turbulent wave of buying and selling forces, creating a roadmap of high-impact trading signals. By breaking down recent validated patterns, we can see the key price shifts that traders should have caught—and what might come next.
January 27 – Buy Volumes Surge: Start of the Accumulation?
Opening at $192.13 and closing at $194.1, this session kicked off a strong bullish impulse. A classic Increased Buy Volumes pattern formed, signaling that buyers were stepping in near the lows. The movement of +3.49% indicated a clear upward drive, setting the stage for continuation.
January 28 – Confirmation of Strength
Another Increased Buy Volumes signal appeared, reinforcing bullish control. The price climbed to $194.56, and despite some hesitation, the closing candle suggested buyers were still in the game.
January 29 – Trap or Breakout? The Sell Shakeout
A sudden shift—VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st appeared. Despite an opening near $195.15, price action reversed downward to $194.69. This was the first sign that sellers were lurking, potentially setting up a fake breakout to trap late bulls.
January 30 – Sell Pressure Grows
A Sell Volumes Takeover pattern developed, pushing CDW to $197.7 at the close. Bulls absorbed some pressure, but the next move would decide the fate of the trend.
January 31 – The Decision Zone
Sellers made their presence known. Increased Sell Volumes took over, with CDW slipping from $199.31 to $199.11. With the price rejecting the $200.31 resistance, traders had to decide—was this a healthy pullback or the start of a larger downtrend?
What’s Next?
The last confirmed direction was bearish, but with price hovering near resistance, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers reload for another push higher, or are we gearing up for a deeper correction? Keep an eye on the next patterns—this roadmap is far from over. 🚀
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels in Play
CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is testing critical levels that could dictate the next major move. If these zones hold, they’ll act as springboards for the next leg up—but if they fail, expect them to flip into resistance. Here’s what’s on the radar:
Support Levels to Watch:
$173.35 – First line of defense; bulls need to hold this to keep the uptrend alive.
$159.06 – The key retracement zone; failure here opens the door to lower levels.
$155.63 – Last stop before sellers take full control.
Resistance Levels to Break:
$200.31 – Immediate challenge; a breakout could fuel a push higher.
$213.00 – A major hurdle that aligns with previous liquidity traps.
$222.98 – If bulls take control, this is the next big test.
$226.67 – Where things get serious; failure here would signal exhaustion.
$239.45 – The ultimate upside target for now.
Powerful Support Zones:
$222.04, $232.57, $245.92 – If the trend stays strong, these levels will act as deep re-entry zones for dip buyers.
Powerful Resistance Zones:
$174.90, $158.66 – If these levels get rejected, expect a heavier correction.
Trading Strategies: Riding the Fibonacci Rays
The VSA Fibonacci Rays provide a roadmap for dynamic price interaction, where movements are dictated by liquidity, market psychology, and technical confluence. These rays aren't just static levels—they adapt as the market evolves, defining key zones where price is most likely to react.
Every trade setup is based on price interacting with a ray, confirming direction, and then targeting the next ray as the first milestone. Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) act as additional dynamic resistance and support.
Scenario 1: The Bullish Playbook 📈
Break Above $200.31 – The Path to Strength
If price interacts with a VSA Buy Ray near $200.31 and confirms strength, we target:
First Target: $213.00 – A historical liquidity pocket
Second Target: $222.98 – Next dynamic resistance zone
Final Target: $226.67 – The last stronghold before a trend shift
Dips to $195.92 (MA50) – The Reload Zone
A pullback to MA50 ($195.92) that aligns with a buy ray could be a prime entry:
First Target: $200.31 – Retesting resistance as support
Second Target: $213.00 – If momentum builds
Break Above $226.67 – The Power Move
Clearing this level unlocks a potential swing trade:
First Target: $239.45 – The major resistance
Final Target: $245.92 – High-probability take-profit zone
Scenario 2: The Bearish Playbook 📉
Rejection at $200.31 – The Short Setup
If price interacts with a VSA Sell Ray and confirms weakness:
First Target: $195.92 – MA50 convergence
Second Target: $186.08 – MA200 key zone
Final Target: $173.35 – Deep support
Break Below $195.92 (MA50) – Bearish Acceleration
A failure to hold $195.92 flips structure bearish:
First Target: $186.08 – A critical test
Second Target: $173.35 – A strong demand zone
Break Below $173.35 – Downtrend Confirmation
A decisive move below this level signals a long-term shift:
First Target: $159.06 – The next buyer zone
Final Target: $155.63 – Extreme retracement zone
Key Takeaways:
✔️ Trade from ray to ray – Every breakout or rejection defines the next move
✔️ MAs act as dynamic validation – Moving Averages filter weak setups
✔️ No early entries – Let price interact with rays before committing
What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk!
Trading is all about precision and timing, and if you’ve made it this far, you already know the importance of levels and price reactions. Now it’s your turn—drop your questions in the comments! Want to see how this setup plays out? Hit Boost, save this idea, and check back in a few days to see how price respects the levels.
My private strategy automatically maps out all rays and key zones—if you’re interested in using it, send me a private message. It’s not public, but for those who want an edge, we can talk.
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This method works on any asset—price moves in waves, and the rays show the roadmap. If you want a personal markup, just reach out. And if you want to stay ahead of the market, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I drop the insights first. 🚀