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AUD (Australian Dollar)

VALID POI'S AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25🔥VALID POI'S AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block identification 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Potential bullish rise?GBP/AUD has bounced off the pivot, which acts as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 2.0789 1st Support: 2.0703 1st Resistance: 2.1072 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/AUD has bounced off the pivot, which is a pullback support, and could rise to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.75099 1st Support: 1.73653 1st Resistance: 1.77533 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is also an overlap support. Pivot: 93.36 1st Support: 91.10 1st Resistance: 94.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?AUD/NZD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.0750 1st Support: 1.07095 1st Resistance: 1.08521 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?AUD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5372 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.54491 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.5251 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPAUD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of its channel acting as an over-bought zone. And the $2.1 - $2.104 is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order block rejection ✅4H Order block identification ✅15' Order block identification ✅4H 50EMA target ✅Daily 50 EMA target 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
IN DEPTH HOT PICK ALERT AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25🔥IN DEPTH HOT PICK ALERT AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15’ order block identification 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
#GBPAUD: Will price reverse to bullish, or continue dropping? GBPAUD fell further below our expectations in our previous analysis, but the price remains extremely bearish. GBP failed to hold on to its bullish momentum, leading the pair to drop 300 pips from our previous entry zone. Currently, price is trading at a key buying level, where we can expect a strong bullish volume to kick in the market and help us gain a nice clean bullish move. There are two areas for both entries. At the moment, you can use a small time frame to take any swing buy entry. Please ensure you manage your risk accurately before getting into the market. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
12
HOT PICK ALERT AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25HOT PICK ALERT AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25 SELL SELL SELL Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. 💡In depth trade confluences provided during the week 📝 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
WHO LOVES A STRONG JPY ( YEN )BASKET FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25WHO LOVES A STRONG JPY ( YEN )BASKET FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! ✅The JPY Basket tracks the overall strength of the JPY against a weighted average of other currencies. ✅It can be used as an indicator of YEN strength which can be a tool for analysing and potentially hedging for or against the Index. ✅ Pairs to watch - GBPJPY, USDJPY EURJPY, CADJPY, AUDJPY 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
FX:JPYBASKET
by JCFRGNT
AUDCAD – breakout and short likely .. the week of 26 MayThe support zone between 0.8890 and 0.8870 has been holding firm, while this pair has been making lower highs for the past couple of weeks. Price is now below the 50ema too. The most recent bounce from the zone looks rather weak and IMO a breakout to the downside may happen in the next few days. I see an initial target around 0.8730 with the potential to go much lower. Anything can happen in the markets, so best to monitor price action on lower time frames to look for bearish evidence before committing to a trade. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
GBP/AUD Forex Heist - Bearish Breakout Blitz!🔥 Thief Trading Style: GBP/AUD Bearish Heist Plan 🔥 Hello, Profit Pirates & Market Marauders! 🤑 Get ready to raid the GBP/AUD (Pound vs. Aussie) forex market with a slick bearish strategy! 📊 Our Thief Trading Style fuses technical precision and fundamental insights to target a sharp downside move. Follow this charted plan to hit the high-risk Blue MA Zone and slip away with profits. Let’s make this heist count! 💪🎯 --- 📊 Heist Blueprint: Trade Setup - Market: GBP/AUD (Forex) 🌐 - Bias: Bearish Breakout 🌟 - Timeframe: 4H (Scalping/Day Trade) ⏰ Entry 📉: - Breakout Move: Wait for a confirmed break below the Neutral Level at 2.05300. Place Sell Stop orders just below 2.05300 to ride the bearish wave. 🚀 - Pullback Play: For safer entries, set Sell Limit orders at the nearest 15M/30M swing high (e.g., 2.05600-2.05800) after a support break for pullback trades. 📍 - Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 2.05300 breakout to catch the action live! 🔔 Stop Loss 🛑: - Breakout Traders: After the break confirms, place your Stop Loss above the recent 4H swing high at 2.08000 to shield against reversals. ⚠️ - Pullback Traders: Adjust Stop Loss based on your risk (e.g., 1-2% of account). Factor in lot size and multiple orders for precision. 📏 - Risk Alert: This is a high-octane heist! Keep position sizes tight to protect your capital. 🔥 Target 🎯: - Aim for 2.03200, near the risky Blue MA Zone (an oversold area with potential consolidation or reversal). 🏴‍☠️ - Exit Strategy: Take profits early if bullish signals (e.g., pin bars, high volume) appear near 2.03200. 💸 Scalpers 👀: - Focus on short-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Pair with day traders for the full heist or snag quick pips if your account supports it. 💰 --- 📡 Why This Heist Could Pay Off GBP/AUD is showing bearish momentum, fueled by: - Technicals: A break below 2.05300, backed by lower highs on the 4H chart, signals strong downside potential. 📊 - Fundamentals: Weak UK economic data and Aussie strength (check COT reports) support a bearish outlook. 📰 - Seasonal Trends: GBP/AUD often softens in Q2 due to macroeconomic shifts. 📅 - Intermarket Factors: AUD’s correlation with commodity prices could pressure GBP lower. 🌎 --- ⚠️ Risk Management: Guard Your Loot - News Caution: Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., UK CPI, RBA minutes) to sidestep volatility spikes. 🗞️ - Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to secure profits as price approaches 2.03200. 🔒 - Position Sizing: Cap risk at 1-2% of your account per trade to stay in the game. 🚨 --- 💥 Fuel the Heist! 💥 Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more electrifying trade plans! 🚀 Your support powers our market raids, helping us score profits with flair. Let’s dominate GBP/AUD together! 🤝🏆🎉 Hashtags: #GBPAUD #Forex #Bearish #DayTrading #Scalping #Breakout Stay Alert: Another heist is brewing. Keep your charts primed, traders! 🐱‍👤😎
Short
by Thief_Trader
AUD/JPY “Aussie vs. Yen” Skyrocketing Safari!🌈 G’day, Forex Adventurers & PIP Hunters! 🌏✨ Join our epic AUD/JPY Forex expedition! 🦘🚀 Our Stellar Navigator Strategy fuses pinpoint technicals with powerful fundamentals to chase profits in the Aussie-Yen jungle. Ready to soar to new heights and grab those pips? Let’s embark on this bullish quest! 🌍💰 🌟 The Stellar Navigator Plan Entry Points 🛫: 🦅 Bullish Launch: Jump in after a breakout above the Sky High at 94.800—your cue for bullish gains! 🐾 Pullback Path: Place buy limit orders near the 15M/30M support (94.200) for a savvy entry. Pro Tip: Set alerts to spot the breakout spark! 🔔 Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️: Bullish Trade: Secure SL at the 2H support (93.600) for day trades. Tailor SL to your risk, lot size, and order count. This is your safety net—keep it snug! ⚠️ Take Profit (TP) 🎯: Bullish Explorers: Aim for the Star Peak at 96.500 or exit if the momentum dips. Scalpers: Grab quick pips on the long side, but lock in gains with trailing stops! 🚨 🌏 Why AUD/JPY? The Aussie’s soaring 📈 as of May 12, 2025, powered by: Fundamentals: RBA’s 4.35% rate dwarfs BoJ’s 0.1%, boosting AUD. Macroeconomics: Australia’s commodity boom (gold, iron ore) outpaces Japan’s slow recovery. COT Data (May 9, 2025): Rising AUD net longs signal bullish sentiment (source: CFTC). Intermarket: AUD/JPY tracks Nikkei 225’s risk-on rally. Quantitative: RSI (14) at 59 and a break above the 50-day SMA (93.57) confirm upward momentum. 📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1) Retail Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 53% 😊 (RBA strength, China trade optimism) 🔴 Bearish: 37% 😣 (Yen safe-haven demand on tariff risks) ⚪ Neutral: 10% 🤔 Institutional Traders: 🟢 Bullish: 46% 💼 (Commodity demand, risk-on flows) 🔴 Bearish: 39% ⚠️ (BoJ intervention fears, US yields) ⚪ Neutral: 15% 🧐 📰 Market Buzz (May 12, 2025) - US-China trade progress lifts risk appetite, pushing AUD/JPY to 94.50. - Easing tariff concerns weaken JPY safe-haven appeal. - Japan’s soft consumer spending data pressures JPY. 📡 Risk Navigation ⚡ Markets can be wild—tread carefully: - Avoid new trades during major news (RBA, BoJ, US CPI). - Use trailing stops to protect profits and cap losses. - Watch for BoJ moves if JPY weakens sharply! 🌪️ 💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1) - Forex: AUD/JPY at 94.50, up 0.5% daily (source: Financial Juice). - Commodities CFD: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, up 0.2%; Iron Ore at 105.50, flat. - Metals: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.820, down 1.3%. - Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.40, up 0.6%. - Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,300, down 0.5%. - Indices: Nikkei 225 at 39,200, up 0.7%; ASX 200 at 7,850, up 0.4%. 🚀 Join the Stellar Navigator Squad! Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Stellar Navigator Strategy and make this safari epic! 🌟 Every boost empowers our crew to dominate the markets. Let’s conquer AUD/JPY together! 🤝 Stay glued to your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, adventurers! 🤑🎉 #StellarNavigator #AUDJPY #AussieYen #TradingView #ChaseThePips
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
AUD/NZD "Aussie vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/NZD "Aussie vs Kiwi" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1.07300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.06700) Day / Swing trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 1.08600 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸AUD/NZD "Aussie vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURAUD – Bullish Breakout from Inverse Head & Shoulders + Target🔍 Pattern Insight: Inverse Head & Shoulders – A Powerful Reversal Formation On the weekly timeframe, EURAUD has completed and broken out of a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) pattern — a highly regarded bullish reversal setup that often signals the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a sustainable uptrend. Let’s break it down: Left Shoulder: Formed in mid-2021 after a strong downtrend, price found support and rebounded, forming the initial shoulder low. Head: A lower low was established around early 2022, marking the deepest point of the pattern. This represents the last dominant push by sellers before exhaustion. Right Shoulder: In late 2022 to early 2023, bulls stepped in earlier than before, establishing a higher low — a strong sign of decreasing bearish momentum and accumulation. Neckline : A descending resistance trendline connecting the peaks between the shoulders and the head. Once broken, it confirms the IHS breakout and trend reversal. This multi-year formation reflects a major psychological shift: sellers lost control at the head, and buyers gradually regained dominance at the right shoulder, eventually breaking resistance. 📉 Retest in Progress – High Probability Entry Zone Post-breakout, price action has pulled back for a technical retest of the neckline and curve line support — a dynamic trendline representing growing bullish momentum. This retest is essential for validating the breakout and building the base for a continuation rally. The convergence of support zones (neckline + curve line) around the 1.70–1.72 area provides a strong confluence zone where buyers may step in again. This is often viewed as a second-chance entry for traders who missed the breakout. 🎯 Measured Target Projection & Resistance Levels The IHS pattern gives us a clear measured move: Measured Move Target: Distance from the head to neckline (~2,800+ pips) projected from the breakout point. Target Zone: 1.92 – 1.95, just above the major resistance zone. Resistance Zone: 1.85 – 1.87 is a historically significant supply area and may act as interim resistance. Break and close above the resistance zone would further validate the bullish trajectory and open the door for higher targets. 📌 Risk Management – Defined Parameters To manage risk effectively, consider: Stop Loss: Below the recent retest low and curve line support, ideally placed at 1.63848, protecting against a false breakout. Entry Idea: If bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, higher low on lower timeframe) appears at retest zone, initiate a long position. Risk-to-Reward (RR): Targeting 1.92 from an entry around 1.72 offers a 4:1 RR or better — highly attractive for swing and position traders. 🧠 Psychological and Structural Significance This pattern is not just technical — it represents behavioral change in the market: The head shows capitulation — a final wave of bearish pressure. The right shoulder indicates growing confidence in bulls and waning selling interest. The neckline breakout is where sentiment flips — traders recognize the change and enter long positions, fueling the breakout. The current retest phase is crucial. Many professional traders wait for this moment to confirm that support holds before fully committing. 🔎 Final Thoughts & Strategy Trend has shifted bullish on the weekly chart after years of consolidation and decline. We’re seeing a classic breakout–retest–continuation setup. A breakout above 1.85 would likely trigger momentum traders and institutions, driving price swiftly toward the 1.92–1.95 range. Invalidation: Break below 1.63848 would invalidate the pattern and shift sentiment back to neutral or bearish. 📈 Trade Plan Summary: Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (weekly) Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 1.70 – 1.73 (retest area) Target: 1.92+ Stop Loss: Below 1.63848 Risk Level: Medium (weekly setup, but long-term play)
Long
by GoldMasterTrades