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Audusdsell

AUD/USD SHORT from .6535AUD/USD has failed to break the 200 EMA on H4 and it looks like the BULLS are in retreat. On H1 we are below all major EMA levels (25,50,100,200) and the 25 and 50 are now under the 100 EMA. 100, 50 and 25 are gouping together and crossing over each other south. On the Nadean Oscillator we can see the green buy line is moving south over the signal line and the red SELL line is rising. The Pivot Point SuperTrend has repelled the price 3 times and AUD/USD BEARS are taking control. We can get a tight STOP on this trade at .6558 (23 pips) which is today's high. Target for this trade is open as there's clear daylight between the current price and the next significant support level at .6486 which is the notional target. It needs to be pointed out that the key WS1 pivot is only 8 pips away and this could support the price but the overall picture looks very BEARISH and I doubt if buyers will come in at WS1 sufficiently enough to deter the BEARS.
Short
by forextraplaces
AUDUSD H1 / Looking For a Short Entry in SUPPLY AREA 📉Hello Traders! This is my idea related to AUDUSD H1/ I will set a pending order in the supply area, where I expect the price to go bearish. I will look for a short trade (if I will see the confirmation) in the supply area as this is my area of interest. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: tradingview.sweetlogin.com
by GoodTradeST
AUDUSD: The USD stabilized amid the Fed's speculative cutsThe US greenback remained beneathneath a three-month top on Thursday, as marketplace individuals assessed the timing of capacity hobby fee cuts with the aid of using the Federal Reserve following remarks from Fed officers on inflation statistics. currently released. The yen, even though beneathneath stress this week, did now no longer fall to a three-month low towards the greenback on Tuesday, whilst Japan`s financial system entered recession with an sudden contraction in consecutive quarters because of vulnerable home demand. Inflation statistics from americaA shifted marketplace expectancies of a Fed fee reduce to mid-yr after the purchaser rate index confirmed a 3.1% upward push in January from a yr earlier, exceeding over the predicted 2.9% increase. Current marketplace valuations factor to no fee reduce in March, a giant alternate from a month in the past while there has been a 77% hazard of a reduce beginning there, in step with CME's FedWatch tool. The chance of hobby fees closing unchanged on the Fed's May assembly is presently at 60%. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, talking on Wednesday, stated the Fed ought to now no longer postpone reducing hobby fees for too long, although inflation is barely better than predicted withinside the coming months. Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Michael Barr mentioned that the adventure to accomplishing a 2% inflation fee can be challenging, as evidenced with the aid of using January CPI figures. The senior marketplace analyst from City Index cited that the Fed is taking a long-time period view in their course to 2% inflation, which lets in for a few deviation alongside the way. This sentiment is regular with remarks from Fed officers after the discharge of a better-than-predicted inflation document. The greenback index, a gauge of the dollar towards a basket of six fundamental currencies, consolidated beneathneath a three-month excessive of 104.ninety seven hit on Wednesday, in advance of americaA retail income document for the month January. It became ultimate recorded at 104.69.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD M30 / SHORT TRADE OPPORTUNITY 📉Hello Traders! This is my idea related to AUDUSD M30. I expect a bearish move after the retracement from the Resistance level, the exact level where we have also fibo 50%. My target is below the BOSS. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: tradingview.sweetlogin.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
AUDUSD: The dollar is on track for another weekly gain amid econThe dollar has trended higher for the second consecutive week, supported by a strong domestic economy and the central bank's cautious stance on interest rate cuts. The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose 0.9% this week to 103.4. The dollar has appreciated about 5% against the yen this year, and the exchange rate currently stands at 148.12 yen. Risk sentiment-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars rose 1.7% and 2%, respectively, and are poised for their biggest weekly gains since November and June. ,beginning%. The probability that the US will cut interest rates in March has decreased, with market odds falling to 57% from 75% the previous week. The change in expectations follows strong U.S. jobs data, with jobless claims at their lowest level in about a year and a half, putting pressure on the market to cut back. Interest fee. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects expectations for short-term interest rates, rose 22 basis points to 4.35%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange dropped, USD recovered waiting foMost Asian currencies fell on Tuesday, while the dollar rose as traders largely remained risk-averse ahead of further signals on when the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates. The dollar index and dollar index futures rose 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, during the Asian session on Tuesday. The dollar index is also trading at a small premium to futures, suggesting short-term demand for the greenback is growing. Traders are now awaiting further signals on the Fed and the US economy, with Fed Governor Christopher Waller due to speak later on Tuesday. On Wednesday, US retail sales and industrial production figures are expected to provide more clues on the world's largest economy, with any signs of cooling allowing for more bets on growth. cut interest rates soon. However, the market appears to have moderated bets that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates as soon as March 2024, according to Fed policy tracker CME
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange markets fall, USD rises ahead of The Australian dollar was among the few exceptions on the day, rising 0.3% as data showed CPI inflation eased in November, but remained well above the Reserve Bank's 3% target of 2%. annual. Core inflation also remains high amid high food and service prices. The dollar index and dollar index futures were mildly mixed during the Asian session on Wednesday, after seeing a sharp increase in overnight trading. The main focus remains on the upcoming US CPI data is expected to show a slight increase in inflation in December. But difficult inflation, along with recent signs of strength in the labor market, gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates higher for longer periods of time. While the central bank is expected to cut interest rates this year, the market is increasingly skeptical about whether a rate cut will come as soon as March 2024. Fed officials also resisted betting on an early rate cut, as inflation is expected to remain well above the Fed's 2% annual target in the near term.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
Divergent Inflation Paths: AUDUSD Set for Bearish MovementAnalysis for AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook 1. U.S. Inflation Trends: - Recent Data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 3.4% year-over-year in December, the highest in three months. This rise was more than expected, indicating a continued inflationary pressure. - Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, remains firm. Notable increases were seen in used cars, apparel, housing, and car insurance costs. - Federal Reserve's Challenge: The Fed faces a difficult path in achieving its 2% inflation target. The recent data suggests that the decline in goods and energy prices is slowing, while inflation in housing and services remains high. 2. Impact on AUDUSD: - Rising U.S. Inflation: Higher inflation typically leads to expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Fed. This could result in a stronger USD as interest rates may rise to combat inflation. - Market Response: The release of the inflation data led to a fall in the S&P 500 and fluctuations in Treasuries, reflecting market uncertainty. 3. Comparison with Australian Economy: - Australian Inflation: The Australian economy is reportedly experiencing a decrease in inflation, moving towards stabilization. This contrasts with the U.S. situation, where inflation remains a concern. - Economic Stability: Greater stability in the Australian economy, compared to the ongoing inflationary challenges in the U.S., might typically favor the AUD. However, the current global economic environment appears to favor the USD. 4. Global and Political Factors: - Global Risks: Rising shipping costs and potential escalations in the Middle East could impact global inflation trends, potentially affecting currency markets. - U.S. Political Climate: Inflation continues to be a significant issue in U.S. politics, affecting public opinion and potentially influencing economic policy. 5. Technical Analysis: - Technical Indicators: Traders should look for technical confirmation of a bearish trend, such as resistance levels, moving averages, and RSI indicators. - Price Action: Watch for bearish patterns or breaks below key support levels in AUDUSD. Conclusion: Given the higher inflation rates in the U.S. and the expectation of continued Fed intervention to control inflation, there is a potential for a stronger USD against the AUD. However, traders should continuously monitor evolving economic data and geopolitical events that could influence market sentiment and currency values. Technical analysis should be used to validate any trading decisions in the context of current market conditions.
Short
by Wiiso
3
AUDUSD: UBS: The Fed will still be cautious and declare the needUBS comments ahead of the December 12th and 13th FOMC meeting: The Summary Economic Outlook (SEP), released at the same time as the December policy statement, says there will likely be at least one, and more likely two, rate cuts in 2024. . While the market is happy with the FOMC's rate cuts, UBS expects the committee to be a little more cautious. The cumulative rate cuts deemed appropriate by a majority of FOMC officials over the SEP's forecast period are expected to be approximately 250 basis points. It's still too early to declare victory over inflation Even if the FOMC cuts rates, the Fed is likely to continue warning that it is prepared to raise rates again if there is any doubt that inflation is falling.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
4