BABA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025
🐉 NYSE:BABA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025 🐉
📈 Strong RSI. Institutional Accumulation. Gamma-juiced upside.
Momentum is building — timing is key.
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📊 Trade Setup
🔹 Type: Long Call
🎯 Strike: $130.00
📆 Expiry: July 25, 2025 (4 DTE)
💰 Entry Price: $0.52
🎯 Profit Target: $0.74 (📈 +42%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (~40% Risk)
📈 Confidence: 70%
🕰️ Timing: Enter at Monday Open
📦 Size: 1 Contract (or scale accordingly)
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🔍 Why This Trade?
✅ Daily RSI = 68.3 → Bullish momentum building
✅ Volume = 1.3x week-over-week → Institutional buying confirmed
📊 Neutral Call/Put Flow → Sentiment not overheated = better entry
🧠 Multiple models agree on MODERATE BULLISH bias
🌬️ VIX stable = ideal for controlled option premium entries
💎 Gamma risk manageable, but monitor price spikes at resistance near $130–132
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⚠️ Risk Management Notes
🔸 RSI near breakout zone → monitor for fakeouts
⏳ Only 4 days to expiry → time decay risk accelerates
📉 Watch for rejection near key levels ($130.50–132.00)
🛑 Respect the stop: If momentum stalls early, exit fast
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📌 Execution Strategy
🔹 Enter clean, single-leg naked call
🔹 Exit partial at 30% profit, full by Thursday unless breakout is strong
🔹 Avoid spreads: delta exposure preferred for upside spike capture
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🏁 Verdict:
All models point to upside, but not full conviction.
This is a momentum + positioning trade, not a breakout gamble.
NYSE:BABA 130C – Risk $0.30 to Target $0.74 📈
Tight structure. Moderate aggression. Execute with precision.
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