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#BCH/USDT#BCH The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 456. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are heading for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 471 First target: 480 Second target: 489 Third target: 500
BINANCE:BCHUSD.PLong
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Is the Bitcoin Cash Hype Over? BCH/BTC Ratio Flashes WarningThe Great Divergence: Why the Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin Ratio Breakdown Signals More Than Just a Price Drop In the unforgiving arena of the cryptocurrency markets, every chart tells a story. Some whisper of quiet accumulation, others scream of speculative frenzy. But few charts tell a story as profound and historically charged as the Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio. For years, this ratio has been the ultimate barometer of a digital civil war, a measure of the hopes and failures of a project born from a contentious schism. Recently, that barometer has given its clearest signal in months: a decisive and powerful breakdown from a multi-month triangle pattern. This technical event is far more than a simple squiggle on a screen for traders. It represents the potential end of a speculative, hype-driven rally and the forceful reassertion of a brutal, long-term trend. It signals that the fundamental chasm between Bitcoin, the undisputed king of digital assets, and Bitcoin Cash, its most famous and ambitious offshoot, may be widening once again. The breakdown suggests that the brief period of optimism for Bitcoin Cash, fueled by its own halving event and a broader market updraft, may be conclusively over. To understand the gravity of this moment, one must dissect not only the technical pattern itself but also the deep-seated historical and fundamental weaknesses that made this breakdown almost inevitable. The Anatomy of a Technical Collapse: Smashing the Triangle For much of 2024, the BCH/BTC ratio was trapped in a state of compression. On the chart, this appeared as a classic symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, creating two converging trendlines that form the shape of a triangle. In market terms, it represents a period of intense equilibrium and indecision. Buyers and sellers are locked in a fierce battle, with neither side able to gain a definitive edge. The price coils tighter and tighter, like a compressed spring, building up energy for an explosive move. The only question is which direction it will break. In the case of the BCH/BTC ratio, that question has been answered with a resounding crash. The price has decisively broken below the lower trendline of the triangle. This is known as a "breakdown," and it is a powerfully bearish signal. It signifies that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, the equilibrium has been shattered, and the path of least resistance is now firmly downwards. Traders often measure the potential target of such a breakdown by taking the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Given the scale of this particular pattern, this technical measurement points to a significant further decline in the ratio, potentially revisiting and even surpassing its all-time lows. This isn't just a minor dip; it's a structural failure on the chart that suggests a new, sustained leg down in Bitcoin Cash's performance relative to Bitcoin. The "hype rally" that saw the ratio climb in the lead-up to the Bitcoin Cash halving has been effectively erased, and the market is signaling that the fundamental gravity of the long-term downtrend is taking hold once more. A Ghost in the Machine: The Lingering Shadow of the 2017 Fork This technical breakdown did not occur in a vacuum. It is a single chapter in a long and bitter saga that began in 2017. To grasp its significance, we must revisit the great "Block Size War" that tore the Bitcoin community apart. At its heart was a philosophical disagreement about how to scale Bitcoin to accommodate more users. One camp, which included many of the earliest adopters and evangelists, argued for a simple solution: increase the block size. By allowing more transactions to fit into each block, the network could process more volume and keep fees low, preserving what they saw as Bitcoin's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system." The other camp, which ultimately retained control of the Bitcoin protocol, argued for a more cautious approach. They feared that large blocks would lead to centralization, making it too expensive for ordinary users to run a full node and validate the blockchain. Their solution was to keep the base layer small and secure, and to build scaling solutions on top of it, such as the Lightning Network. This ideological impasse led to a "hard fork" in August 2017, creating Bitcoin Cash. For a brief, euphoric period, BCH was seen as a legitimate contender. Fueled by a powerful narrative and influential backers, its price soared, and the BCH/BTC ratio hit an all-time high of over 0.5 in late 2017, sparking serious talk of a "flippening"—the moment BCH would overtake BTC in market capitalization. That moment never came. Since that peak, the BCH/BTC ratio has been locked in a devastating, multi-year downtrend. The recent triangle pattern was merely a pause, a brief consolidation within this much larger waterfall decline. The breakdown from the triangle is therefore not a new event, but a continuation of a historical trend. It is the market's brutal verdict on the outcome of that civil war. The Fundamental Chasm: Why Bitcoin Cash Keeps Losing Ground A chart pattern is ultimately a reflection of underlying fundamentals. The relentless decline of the BCH/BTC ratio is a direct consequence of the widening gap between the two networks across every meaningful metric. 1. Narrative and Brand Identity: Bitcoin has successfully cultivated a simple, powerful, and globally understood narrative: it is digital gold. It is a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a pristine, unconfiscatable asset. This narrative has attracted institutions, nation-states, and trillions of dollars in potential capital. Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, has struggled to define itself. Its narrative as "peer-to-peer electronic cash" is less compelling in a world with countless low-fee payment options, including stablecoins and Bitcoin's own Lightning Network. Without a clear and unique value proposition, it has failed to capture the market's imagination. 2. Security and Hash Rate: The most critical measure of a proof-of-work blockchain's health is its hash rate—the total computational power dedicated to securing the network. Here, the difference is staggering. Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than Bitcoin Cash's. This makes Bitcoin exponentially more secure and resistant to a 51% attack, where a malicious actor could gain control of the network. Bitcoin Cash, with its comparatively minuscule hash rate, remains theoretically vulnerable, a fundamental flaw that deters serious institutional capital. 3. Developer Activity and Innovation: The heart of any technology is its developer community. The most innovative and exciting developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem are happening on the main chain. The activation of Taproot, the explosion of Ordinals and Inscriptions, and the continued growth of the Lightning Network all demonstrate a vibrant and evolving protocol. In contrast, the developer ecosystem for Bitcoin Cash has been far less dynamic. While it has its dedicated builders, it has not produced the kind of groundbreaking innovation needed to attract new users and capital. 3. Adoption and Network Effects: Bitcoin's network effect is its ultimate moat. It has spot ETFs trading on major stock exchanges, granting it unparalleled access to traditional finance. It is held on the balance sheets of public companies and is recognized as legal tender in some countries. Bitcoin Cash has none of these things. Merchant adoption has stalled, and institutional interest is virtually non-existent. In the world of networks, winners tend to take all, and Bitcoin's lead has become seemingly insurmountable. The Aftermath: What Comes Next for the BCH/BTC Ratio? With the triangle pattern now shattered, the path forward for the BCH/BTC ratio looks precarious. The most likely scenario is a continuation of the bearish trend that has been in place for over six years. The breakdown has released the coiled energy to the downside, and the ratio will likely seek out lower levels of support, potentially bleeding towards its all-time lows. For investors, this serves as a stark reminder of the risks of holding assets that are fundamentally and technically weaker than the market leader. Is there any hope for a reversal? A bull case for Bitcoin Cash would require a monumental shift. It would need to carve out a sustainable niche that Bitcoin cannot serve, perhaps in ultra-low-fee microtransactions. It would require a renaissance in developer activity, producing a "killer app" that draws in millions of users. More likely, any significant bounce in the BCH/BTC ratio would probably be a result of a massive, indiscriminate altcoin rally that lifts all boats, rather than a specific vote of confidence in Bitcoin Cash itself. Even then, history suggests such bounces are temporary and ultimately present better opportunities to sell than to buy for the long term. Conclusion: The Market Has Spoken The breakdown of the BCH/BTC ratio from its multi-month triangle is a technically significant event with profound fundamental implications. It is the market's latest verdict in the long-running war for the "real Bitcoin" title. The verdict is clear: the hype is over. The dream of a "flippening" is a distant memory, a ghost from 2017. The story of the BCH/BTC chart is a powerful lesson in market dynamics. It shows that in the brutal competition of open-source protocols, a superior narrative, impenetrable security, and a powerful network effect are the ultimate weapons. Bitcoin Cash began its life as a legitimate contender with a compelling vision. But over time, it has been outmaneuvered, out-developed, and out-adopted. The chart does not lie. It simply reflects this divergent reality, and its latest signal suggests that the great divergence between Bitcoin and its most famous offspring is set to continue.
Short
by bryandowningqln
3
BCH is a rocketFrom where we placed the green arrow on the chart, the correction of BCH is over and the diamond diametric pattern has started. Now it seems that BCH is going to start wave E of this diametric. It can go up while maintaining the green range. The target is the red box, actually the target can be higher but the red box is an important supply Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
$BCH : Short or Long? I vote Short!!!!Bitcoin Cash was created as an alternative to the first and most valuable cryptocurrency — Bitcoin (BTC). In 2017, BCH developers modified the BTC code, releasing their software version and a full-fledged competitive product, which split Bitcoin into two blockchains: Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. Bitcoin Cash is a result of a hard fork in the blockchain due to differences in the community over Bitcoin scaling and the SegWit upgrade. Moreover, another hard fork, which divided Bitcoin Cash into two parts, Bitcoin ABC and Bitcoin SV, took place in the fall of 2018.
Short
by M2it2M
BCH ANALYSIS (4H)From where we put the "start" on the chart, it looks like a triangle is forming. The depth of wave D is high, which strengthens the possibility of forming a triangle. It is expected that we will have a return from the green range to the red range and then the main drop will occur Closing the daily candle above the invalidation level violates the analysis For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BCH ( Bitcoin Cash ) tm:1hHello traders. I hope you doing well. These areas are based on my personal strategy and I will share it with you. Open a sell position on the supply area or open a buy position on the demand area. Your entry point, stop loss, and target point are based on money management and the amount of money in your trading account. But I promise you that by trading in the areas of my trading strategy, you will definitely make a profit, because these areas, although they seem simple, are my experience of 8 years of learning and trading. I hope you will achieve maximum continuous profit with me by using supply and demand areas. Good luck traders. Mohammad Goodarzi
by itsbluemorpho
BCH buy setupThe price structure is bullish. A resistance range has been strongly broken, but we did not have a pullback on this range. It is expected that if a pullback is made at this level, the price will jump higher. I specified the targets on the chart. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate the analysis Note that the financial market is risky, so: Do not enter any position without confirmation and trigger. Do not enter a position without setting a stop. Do not enter a position without capital management. When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit. If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance Thanks
Long
by iMoneyTeam
BCH is going up regardless BTC. Another 100% profit.BCH is strong and is rising, while BTC is currently down. Why is that? If we take a look at the price action, we can see that it very much differs from the BTC price action in many ways. We have had a range that broke up, and the price is currently almost at the previous major swing high from June 2023. My Elliott Wave count suggests that we should see a huge pump soon. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! I am not a huge fan of BCH, but there are some facts. Why BCH? Bitcoin Cash was considered by some supporters to be the legitimate continuation of Satoshi Nakamoto’s vision of Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer electronic cash. All Bitcoin holders at the time of the fork (block 478,558) automatically became owners of Bitcoin Cash. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin Cash is similar to the Bitcoin algorithm. Namely: both projects have a hard cap of 21 million coins and also use Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus framework and nodes to verify transactions. Unlike Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Cash aims to scale to meet the demands of a global payment system. At the time of the split, the Bitcoin Cash block size was increased from 1MB to 8MB. An increased block size means Bitcoin Cash can now handle significantly more transactions per second (TPS) while keeping fees extremely low, solving the issues of payment delays and high fees experienced by some users on the Bitcoin BTC network. As of 2023, Bitcoin Cash has a block size of 32MB, compared to Bitcoin’s block size of 1MB. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
4
BCH Feb 13th long-term updateAnother week and another free sharing from the TTR most recent #cryptocoin pick update: Bitcoin Cash is another quite undervalued token. The breakout level sits at 329.50 followed by a main breakout zone resistance at $400-410 I don’t own much of this coin, only 20, but I see great potential here if 1450 is broken to the upside. A test of the 1400-1450 zone will be a big one as it will set a W multi-year pattern and potentially can breakout hard with an upside target of 3225 and ideally above 4.5k I like the potential here, but I won’t be long if 1450 is not broken to the upside by sometime this year, especially if BTC will be above 90k There is a clear 4-5x potential here, and I’m fine with holding this token till the 1400 zone exit at minimum.
COINBASE:BCHUSDLong
by TheTradersRoom
11
Breakout & Re-test of ~5.5 year Falling WedgeBitcoin Cash was in a falling wedge for nearly five and a half years before it broke out of it back in June of 2023. Presently, it is re-testing the top of a dashed-line wedge drawn from wick to wick and has failed to reach the top of the solid wedge drawn from the line chart. Holding above the wedge could lead to an approx 5.25x move against Bitcoin from its current position at 0.0057 to TP 1 at 0.030 and an 11.75x move should it reach TP 2 at 0.067. It's possible we could see a double-bottom with a slightly higher low around 0.0041 or 0.0040 if it re-tests the solid wedge's top over the next weeks or into March or June, before moving up towards targets. Should a wedge re-test and double-bottom occur first, the possibility for already major gains vs. Bitcoin increases to 7.3-7.5x at TP 1 or 16.34-16.75x at TP 2.
Long
by dudebruhwhoa
2