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Bearish-options

$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp) 📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025 🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread 📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration) 💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21 🎯 Trade Thesis This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25. Key Drivers: 🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness. 📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP. 🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44. 🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility. 📊 Technical Setup (Daily) EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact. VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone. MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence. ⏳ Strategy Notes Max loss: $0.21 Max gain: $0.79 Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30 Expiration: July 18 🧠 Journal Note Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by DarkPoolRay
AAPL -very near term trade Idea I expect some very short term downside to finish this week. As can be seen on the four hour chart, rising wedge within a downward bearish channel. For short term I expect it to fall to position 5, finding a bottom and then reversing. Looking at the day chart I think its possible with the TTM squeeze turning positive as well as a possible cross on MACD we break out of the bearish channel and push higher permitting that there isn't any significant bad news market wide and for AAPL. Always do your own analysis before taking any position. share your thoughts.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by skmcgee
SPX500-Bear Setup (Update)This is an updated trade plan based on my last published trade setup (SPX500-Bear Setup)-posted yesterday. Just reading price structure and making some adjustments on where I think this correction might end. 3870 is going to be descent support and would complete a measured abc move from the local top. This would give us the correction we need to proceed to 4k+....nothing has changed with my longterm view on sp. We are still in a very strong uptrend and have key fib extensions at 3960 & 4k+. Please let me know if you have any questions but for now im leaning towards taking most of my profit @387 may lets some ride just depends. Thanks, and Happy Trading!
FX:SPX500Short
by wstchse
5
$FB Facebook - Head & Shoulders, Bearish Options Activity$FB Facebook - Not the cleanest looking Head & Shoulders and this would definitely be a risky short, but I could see this closing the gap from July 31st at $235.00 in the near term. Given the current trajectory of the 200d ema line, that would likely provide additional support at that level to prevent any further decline. Bearish Unusual Options Activity Today: $13.4M of $280.00 strike (deep ITM) December'20 puts traded today Near term target: $235.00 by early November Note: This is NOT investment advice.
FShort
by Triple_Barrel_Capital
19
ES!1 Higher or Lower?S&P 500 Futures With Quad witching this week, the market has been on a downtrend but reaching weekly demand zone. This could mean that we break lower next week if this does not hold but overall it looks like this will bounce from here. Moving into the hourly chart, ES1! Has repeatedly tested and failed to breach below demand. This could mean that investors are selling their monthly contracts and re-upping or rolling contracts in preparation for next week. What does that mean for Traders next week? With AMZN announcing the anticipated date for Prime Day, as well as hitting weekly demand zone, next week could be a ride back up as investors buy stocks at a discount. With elections and other political news to come surrounding the newly proposed stimulus check, we should see a bounce, whether we hit new ATH before elections is unclear but I would expect not to. This week has been very volatile and red, IMO options traders have invaded the market, and it would take one swift move to knock a lot out, which is what I believed happened this week. Softbank hiked us past $3530 resistance as they bought up $4bil in tech call options, this made investors think someone knew something, therefore buying and making us go higher than anticipated. This last week has been investors taking profits and trading more cautiously until everything calms down. Tomorrow should be very volatile either way, if you are trading options, I would say be cautious as big money is going to be moving around a lot trying to sell or roll their monthly contracts before they expire. My personal recommendation would be to wait until next week for a clear direction, whether we head back up or dip down lower.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Conner123
AAPL Trend & Volatility Likely Unsustainable - Sell SignalThe ADX indicator measures the strength of a trend, not its direction. The mid part of last week AAPL was in "full bull" mode printing 23 consecutive bullish 30m candles in our paintbar study. We've included a legend on the chart indicating bars colors and the corresponding strength of a trend. The Extreme Turn Sell Signal that our strategy generated on Thursday was confirmed for a short entry at 453 when the color rotated from full bull to bull neutral (lime to gray). Given the strength in AAPL and rich premiums, we chose to express the trade using a Bear Call Credit and even entered an ITM spread which is unusual for our models. Aug 14 250/255 Bear Call 2.25cr Underlying target will be the visible range POC at 437, but will manage exits to 50% of premium received.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TDGonTView
1
$PLNT Planet Fitness - Overbought at Resistance$PLNT Planet Fitness - Overbought at Resistance Expecting a near term retrace - targeting $60-$62 range within 1 month (depending on overall market conditions we could dip sub-$60) A nice way to play it might be a bear put spread, buying the Apr 18th $65.00 strike puts going for around $1.50 and selling the Apr 18th $60.00 strike puts going for about $0.45 for a total cost of about $1.00-$1.05 with a max profit of $5.00 per spread. (possible 5 to 1 return) Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
NYSE:PLNTShort
by Triple_Barrel_Capital
$NVDA Shooting Star on Daily - HUGE Put Options Activity$NVDA Bearish signs on the daily chart - Closed gap from late Jan near $156 then retraced - Rejected by the 50d ema on the daily chart - Formed shooting star candlestick marking possible near term top On top of all this, we saw some enormous put options activity today with upwards of $700M of March and June expiration puts traded at varying strikes all deep-in-the-money for big per contract premiums. Combined we're talking around 70k contracts vs OI of only 14k coming into the day. With earnings coming up late next week, someone is betting very big on a sell off in the very near future. See chart for two possible near term targets. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Triple_Barrel_Capital
$MU Further to Fall - Bearish Options Activity$MU Micron - Some significant bearish put options activity yesterday far out in time contracts deep in the money. - 15k $40.00 strike June'2020 put options traded vs OI under 2k for $18M in premium - 10k $45.00 strike January'2021 put options traded vs OI of 4.1k for $16M in premium If both trades were the same fund it's possible this was another diagonal calendar put spread similar to some others we've seen this week, buying the 2021 puts at the higher strike with higher delta and selling the 2020 puts at lower strike with lower delta. These creative variations of options strategies can be very interesting. Looking at the long term weekly chart I see two possible targets assuming current downtrend continues: Near term - $27.00 (by mid January) Medium term - $21.50 (by next ER late March) Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
NASDAQ:MUShort
by Triple_Barrel_Capital
3
$AAPL Short Covering Rally - Unusual Options Activity$AAPL Viewing today's bounce as a temporary short covering rally, as we were extremely oversold coming into today. As long as Apple has not broken through the downtrend line it's been riding since early November, I'm still bearish for the near term. See chart for a couple possible near term targets. Adding to the bearish near term sentiment, we saw some significant January expiration put buying today with around 37k deep ITM contracts traded at varying strikes for total premium outlay of about $180M. Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Triple_Barrel_Capital
GME short opportunityThe brick and mortar video game model is becoming obsolete. GameStop now competes with titans like Microsoft, Sony, WalMart, Amazon, and online marketplaces offered by Steam and Nintendo. To further support the continuation of this trend is the recent decay of fundamentals. They have spun off their telecoms branch, removing a source of revenue diversification and have invested heavily into doubling their physical locations over the past year. Their guidance continues to disappoint and while they've maintained a decent D/E ratio compared to the industry they are taking on more long term debt in a rising rate environment. I believe the dividend will be impacted within the next 12 months unless a profound new strategy is deployed. There are rumors of a private equity buyout but no real developments have materialized since September 2018. RSI is far from oversold and previous support has recently become resistance. I would not short common as the borrowing rates are relatively high. Instead, I would structure options strategies to sell premium with a bearish bias.
NYSE:GMEShort
by HyerQuality