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Bearish Patterns

GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 197.518. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUD/USD Short: Riding the Perfect Storm to 0.6400Hello, traders! 🚀 A rare and powerful setup is forming on AUD/USD, and all signs are pointing decisively lower. 👇 This isn't just a simple technical pattern; it's a perfect storm of fundamental, technical, and event-driven factors aligning to create a high-conviction short opportunity. If you're looking for a clean setup with a clear catalyst, this is it. Let's break it down! 🧐 The Core Thesis: Why We're Bearish 🌪️ This trade is built on three powerful pillars that are converging at the same time: Massive Policy Divergence: 🇺🇸 vs 🇦🇺 This is the engine of the trade. The Fed (USD): Remains HAWKISH 🦅. They are laser-focused on fighting stubborn inflation and have signaled they are in no rush to cut rates. The RBA (AUD): Is actively DOVISH 🐨. They've already cut rates and are widely expected to cut again this week to support a weakening economy. Result: This widening gap in interest rate policy creates a fundamental tailwind that heavily favors a stronger USD and a weaker AUD. 💸 The Dual-Catalyst Event (July 9th): 🗓️ This is the trigger. FOMC Minutes Release: The minutes from the Fed's last meeting are expected to confirm their hawkish stance, reinforcing USD strength. Tariff Deadline: A 90-day suspension of Trump-era tariffs expires on the same day . The base case is that tariffs will be reimposed, sparking a risk-off move in the markets. Result: Risk-off sentiment is toxic for the risk-sensitive Aussie dollar (AUD) and a magnet for the safe-haven US dollar (USD). This is a potential double-whammy for AUD/USD. 💥 The Technical Picture is Screaming "Down" 📉 The chart tells a crystal-clear story of rejection and weakness. As you can see on the 4H chart, the price action is incredibly bearish after failing to break out higher. The Great Wall of Resistance: Bulls threw everything they had at the 0.6590 - 0.6600 resistance zone and were decisively rejected. 🧱 This wasn't just any level; it was an 8-month high and a major long-term resistance area. A failure this strong is a huge red flag for buyers. 🛑 Momentum has Flipped: We saw classic bearish divergence on the higher timeframes, and as you can see on this 4H chart, we have now decisively broken below the recent rising channel. The path of least resistance has flipped from up to down. 👇 The Trade Plan 🎯 Here are the precise levels for executing this trade idea. Asset: AUD/USD Direction: Short (Sell) 📉 Entry Zone: ➡️ Look for a patient entry on a pullback to the 0.6535 - 0.6550 area. This was previous support and is now expected to act as strong resistance. We want to sell into strength. Stop Loss: 🛑 A daily close above 0.6610 . This level is safely above the recent highs. A break here would invalidate our bearish thesis. Target 1 (TP1): ✅ 0.6475 . This is the first logical support level. A good area to take partial profits and move your stop loss to break-even. Target 2 (TP2): 🏆 0.6400 . This is our primary target, representing the bottom of the multi-week trading range and offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion: 💡 It's rare for fundamentals, technicals, and a major event catalyst to align so perfectly. The rejection at major resistance, combined with the powerful fundamental driver of policy divergence and the upcoming dual-catalyst on July 9th, makes this a high-conviction setup. This is my analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk carefully. What do you think? Are you bearish on the Aussie too? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 And if you found this analysis helpful, please give it a BOOST 🚀 and FOLLOW for more trade ideas! 👍
Short
by MaxellAguiran
1
NZD/JPY: Bearish Wedge Before RBNZ CatalystThis is a high-conviction trade idea for NZD/JPY , where a perfect storm of technical and fundamental factors is aligning for a significant short opportunity. The setup is clean, the reasoning is strong, and we have a clear catalyst on the horizon. 🚀 Fundamental Analysis 🌪️ The macro picture is the primary driver here, creating a powerful bearish case. 1️⃣ Monetary Policy Divergence (🇳🇿 vs 🇯🇵): This is the core engine of the trade. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is dovish, signaling rate cuts amid a fragile domestic economy. In stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is hawkish, having started a historic policy normalization to combat persistent inflation. This fundamental clash is strongly bearish for NZD/JPY. 2️⃣ Risk-Off Catalyst (🇺🇸): The market is nervous ahead of the July 9th US tariff deadline . This uncertainty is creating a classic "risk-off" environment, which typically strengthens the safe-haven JPY and weakens risk-sensitive currencies like the NZD. 3️⃣ The RBNZ Decision (🏦): The main event on July 9. The market expects a "dovish hold," meaning even if rates are unchanged, the forward guidance will likely be very cautious, highlighting economic risks and signaling future cuts. This is the catalyst that could trigger the sell-off. Technical Analysis 📉 The 4H chart provides crystal-clear confirmation of the fundamental weakness. 1️⃣ Bearish Rising Wedge: Price is being squeezed into a classic bearish reversal pattern. This shows that buying pressure is exhausted, and the market is preparing for a move to the downside. 2️⃣ Key Resistance Zone: The wedge is pushing directly into a heavy supply zone between 87.80 and 88.00 . This area has acted as a firm brick wall 🧱, rejecting multiple attempts to move higher. 3️⃣ RSI Momentum: The RSI below the chart confirms the weakening momentum. It's failing to show strong bullish power, which supports the price action and signals that the uptrend is running out of steam. 💨 The Trade Plan 🎯 Based on this analysis, the plan is to enter with a limit order to get an optimal entry price on a potential final spike into resistance. Direction: Short (Sell) 📉 Order Type: Limit Sell Entry: 87.80 📍 Stop Loss: 88.40 🛡️ Take Profit: 86.00 💰 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3 ⭐⭐⭐ This setup presents a rare confluence of fundamental divergence, technical weakness, and a clear catalyst. Trade safe and manage your risk.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp) 📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025 🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread 📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration) 💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21 🎯 Trade Thesis This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25. Key Drivers: 🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness. 📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP. 🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44. 🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility. 📊 Technical Setup (Daily) EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact. VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone. MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence. ⏳ Strategy Notes Max loss: $0.21 Max gain: $0.79 Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30 Expiration: July 18 🧠 Journal Note Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by DarkPoolRay
GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.358 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! We are now examining the EUR/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 167.939 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆 Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline. If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold. Key Factors to Watch: ✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up ✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance ✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60) ⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers ⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control Trading Insight: This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties. Trade Safely... #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 142.829 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
BTC Dominance – History Repeating? Altseason 2025 Loading? Hey Traders! If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver! This chart is SCREAMING for attention 👀 We’re at a critical inflection point on the weekly BTC Dominance chart — and if history has taught us anything, it’s that altseasons are born when dominance collapses from resistance. 🧠 Key Observations: 🔺 Macro Resistance Trendline: Rejected in 2017 → Altseason 🔥 Rejected in 2021 → Altseason 🔥 Now (2025?) — BTC.D is again touching this same red trendline... 🟢 Support Trendline: BTC.D formed a clean long-term support from which previous dominance drops have bounced — currently lining up around 42–45%. 📉 Previous drops after rejection: 2017: –50.79% 2021: –45.10% 2025 projection? –36.91% (which would bring us to the same support zone again) 🟡 What It Means: If BTC.D gets rejected from this resistance again, it could mark the start of the long-awaited Altseason 2025. A breakdown from this wedge would likely result in capital rotation from BTC into altcoins — just like in previous cycles. 🔍 What to Watch: A confirmed rejection from this red resistance line Drop below the yellow wedge support BTC sideways / ETHBTC strength = green light for ALTS 💥 This could be the altcoin opportunity of the next couple of years. Conclusion: All eyes on BTC Dominance — because when it falls, altcoins usually FLY. 📊 Stay updated, stay ready.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CoreCrypto1
39
EURUSD - Macro Trend Shift Soon?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈From a macro perspective, EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling red channel. Medium-term, EURUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the rising channel in orange. Moreover, the green zone is a massive monthly resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and orange trendlines and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
13
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.333 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1