Tezos short to $0.5362Stop: $0.5605
Tp: $0.54-0.5362
3.8RR
DTT setup
Market looks likely to fall lower before continuation back to the upside
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold Rises Amid Growing Economic RisksXAU/USD (Gold) Rises Amid Growing Economic Risks
Gold surged 1.5% on Friday during Asian trading as investors sought refuge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The safe-haven demand pushed gold prices closer to a 7-week high. If the conflict intensifies further, prices could potentially reach the $3,500 mark.
Resistance zone 3450 / 3480
Support Level 3420 / 3410
Technically if the gold consolidation 3420 above continues to start the resistance Growth may continue you may see more details in the chart.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
US BOND Market ROUGH CORRECTION Q3 ?Us bond market failed the initial demand zone & drop 8 % in 2nd quarter & recovered, might visit the extreme demand zone in coming Q 3 which is around 9 % drop
Gold's Wild Ride: Must-Know Price Predictions for Next Week!I can write a lot of smart words but lets make it short, like and sub from you for that)
3 options that i can see:
1- dump to Gap at 3292 then bounce target PWH or higher
2 - move a bit lower till PWL and then all the way up till PWH or ATH
3 - cancel all longs, move down below , break 3250 lvl with fvg and second shift on 4h time frame and then gold will keep going lower all the way down to 3k (Low-probability)
SaylorCycle - The Next 100XWe are in the first year of the SaylorCycle.
The next decade we will see a complete change in the structure of the Bitcoin market as there is a 10 year boom in bitcoin accumulation on a global level.
Bitcoin will be seen as a corporate treasury, and there will be thousands of public companies hoovering up Bitcoin for their Corporate Treasuries.
Bitcoin will also been seen as a Strategic Reserve and countries will compete with each other to accumulate as much as possible.
Individuals will also be given plenty of options to earn bitcoin as companies like Square and other major payments companies adopt Bitcoin for merchants.
Retail will have plenty of options to get bitcoin exposure and new technologies like chaumain ecash mints will scale Bitcoin to billions enabling small retail savers to accumulate sats.
The last decade was the story of Bitcoin transitioning from an illegitimate asset to a legitimate asset, and now Bitcoin is transitioning from a legitimate asset to a must own asset.
Over the next decade Bitcoin will become a global reserve asset up there with US treasuries and Gold.
We should no longer see 80-90% drawdowns and the Bitcoin market structure should move like the rest of the global markets as there is a strong bid for bitcoin from institutional & sovereign buyers.
In this 10 year SaylorCycle, we should expect to see "bear market" declines as low as 50% and "bull market" rises as high as 200% year over year.
I believe the days of parabolic bitcoin advances and brutal 90% drops are done, and Bitcoin will advance to levels as high as $10 million per coin over the next decade or 2, giving parabolic-like returns.
I believe there is one last 100X in Bitcoin, but it will happen over 10-20 years instead of 1-2.
I am going to position myself conservatively to be ready for the worst case scenario where this is wrong and we do see a -90% drop. Don't over-leverage yourself. You should always be able to survive -90% without being a forced seller or being liquidated on loans.
Gold weekly outlookFib zones for buys and sells as well as the regression trend channel.
I suspect Gold will reverse to the upside soon, possibly once the Gap is filled
Gold weekly outlookThis is my outlook for gold this week, however due to increased Geopolitical developments trading Gold could result in extreme volatility.
please take note of all different zones for buys and sells according to the Fibs. Also if the trend breaks the trend regression channel we could see a pivot to the downside.
PTON Peloton Potential Buyout Interest from Amazon or NikeIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON, before the rally:
Now Peloton Interactive PTON remains a compelling bullish candidate in 2025, supported not only by strategic buyout interest from major players like Amazon and Nike but also by significant unusual options activity signaling strong investor conviction in a near-term upside move. These factors combined create a powerful catalyst for a potential stock rally.
1. Confirmed Buyout Interest from Amazon and Nike
Since 2022, credible reports have indicated that Amazon and Nike are exploring acquisition opportunities for Peloton, recognizing its value as a leading connected fitness platform with over 2 million subscribers.
Amazon’s interest fits its broader health and smart home ambitions, while Nike sees Peloton as a strategic extension of its digital fitness ecosystem.
Such buyout interest implies a potential premium valuation, which could trigger a sharp upward re-rating of Peloton’s shares if a deal materializes or even if speculation intensifies.
2. Massive Unusual Call Option Activity for July 18, 2025 Expiry
A mystery trader recently purchased over 80,000 call options on Peloton with a $7 strike price expiring July 18, 2025, representing a $3.1 million bet on a price rise within the next few months.
On May 20, 2025, over 90,000 contracts of the $7 strike call expiring July 18, 2025 traded, equating to roughly 9 million underlying shares—well above Peloton’s average daily volume.
This unusually high call volume signals strong bullish sentiment and possible insider or institutional anticipation of a positive event, such as a buyout announcement or operational turnaround.
3. Strategic Fit and Synergies for Acquirers
Peloton’s subscription-based connected fitness platform offers Amazon and Nike a valuable recurring revenue stream and engaged user base.
Amazon could integrate Peloton’s offerings into its ecosystem of devices, health services, and e-commerce, while Nike could leverage Peloton’s content and hardware to deepen its digital fitness presence.
The potential for cross-selling, brand synergy, and data monetization enhances Peloton’s attractiveness as an acquisition target.
4. Attractive Valuation and Growth Potential
Peloton’s market cap has contracted significantly, making it an affordable target for large corporations with strategic interests in health and fitness.
Recent product launches, cost-cutting measures, and renewed marketing efforts aim to stabilize and grow Peloton’s subscriber base and revenue.
The connected fitness market continues to expand, driven by consumer demand for at-home and hybrid workout solutions.
5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators
The stock has shown signs of stabilizing after recent volatility, with support forming near $6–$6.50.
The surge in call options activity, especially at strikes above current prices, suggests growing investor confidence in a near-term breakout.
Historical patterns show Peloton’s stock reacts strongly to buyout rumors and unusual options volume, often resulting in rapid price appreciation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap"Due to the economic crisis, the gold market may open with a gap tomorrow."
This upward trend is attributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainties. The conflict has also led to a spike in oil prices and a decline in global stock markets, further enhancing gold's appeal .
WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Company Potential Bullish ReversalIf you haven`t sold WOOF before this major retracement:
WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company has experienced a notable selloff recently, with its stock price declining to around $2.47 as of mid-June 2025. However, several fundamental and technical factors suggest that WOOF could be poised for a meaningful reversal and upside recovery in the near to medium term.
1. Attractive Valuation and Upside Potential
Despite the recent pullback, Petco’s stock is trading at a compelling valuation relative to its long-term growth potential.
Price forecasts for 2025 indicate an average target of approximately $3.55, representing a 43.7% upside from current levels.
More optimistic scenarios project highs up to $7.05 within this year, suggesting significant room for a rebound if market sentiment improves.
Long-term forecasts are even more bullish, with price targets of $14 by 2030 and as high as $77 by 2040, reflecting confidence in Petco’s strong market position and growth prospects.
2. Resilient Business Model in a Growing Pet Care Market
Petco operates in the resilient pet care and wellness industry, which benefits from secular trends such as increased pet ownership, premiumization of pet products, and growing consumer spending on pet health.
The company’s omni-channel approach—combining e-commerce with physical stores and veterinary services—positions it well to capture multiple revenue streams.
Petco’s focus on health and wellness services, including veterinary care and pet insurance, provides higher-margin growth opportunities that can drive profitability improvements.
3. Technical Signs of Stabilization and Potential Reversal
After the recent selloff, WOOF’s stock price has found some support near the $2.40–$2.50 level, with increased trading volumes indicating growing investor interest.
The stock’s recent modest gains and stabilization suggest that selling pressure may be easing, setting the stage for a potential technical rebound.
Options market activity and analyst upgrades reflect improving sentiment.
4. Improving Operational Execution and Financial Health
Petco has been investing in expanding its veterinary services and digital capabilities, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth and margin expansion.
The company’s recent earnings calls and financial reports highlight progress in cost management and customer engagement initiatives.
Strong cash flow generation and manageable debt levels provide flexibility to invest in growth and weather macroeconomic uncertainties.
5. Market Sentiment and Analyst Support
While some analysts remain cautious, the overall sentiment is shifting toward a more constructive outlook, with several price target upgrades and “hold” to “buy” rating adjustments.
The combination of attractive valuation, improving fundamentals, and sector tailwinds is likely to attract renewed institutional interest.
BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 22 JUNI 2025💹 BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 💹
BTCUSD is currently trading below Magnet Area (spH4) 106035.00 – 106931.00, and is showing potential for a retest toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00.
As long as price holds above Magnet Area (dmD) 102098.00 – 97411.00, the market may resume bullish momentum toward the next Magnet Area (spH4) 110067.00 – 110412.00.
However, if price breaks below Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00, a deeper drop may occur toward the next Magnet Area (dmH4) 100793.00 – 99880.00.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔄 Retest zone: 103579 – 102849 (dmH4)
📈 Upside continuation: valid above 102098 – 97411 (dmD), target 110067 – 110412
📉 Bearish breakdown: below 102849 could trigger drop to 100793 – 99880
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before entering any trade.
WULF TeraWulf Leader in Clean Crypto Mining & HPC InfrastructureIf you haven`t bought WULF before the rally:
Now TeraWulf WULF is emerging as a compelling growth story in the digital infrastructure and cryptocurrency mining sectors, distinguished by its commitment to zero-carbon energy and expanding high-performance computing (HPC) hosting capabilities. Despite near-term financial challenges, the company’s rapid capacity growth, strong cash position, and strategic initiatives position it well for substantial upside in 2025 and beyond.
1. Rapid Expansion of Mining Capacity and Hashrate Growth
TeraWulf energized Miner Building 5, increasing its total mining capacity to 245 MW and boosting its Bitcoin mining hashrate to 12.2 exahashes per second (EH/s), a 52.5% increase year-over-year.
This significant growth in self-mining capacity enhances revenue potential and operational scale, positioning TeraWulf among the more efficient and sizable clean-energy miners.
The company’s vertically integrated model, powered primarily by zero-carbon energy, aligns with increasing regulatory and investor demand for sustainable crypto mining.
2. Strategic Buildout of High-Performance Computing (HPC) Infrastructure
TeraWulf commenced the buildout of dedicated HPC data halls and remains on track to deliver 72.5 MW of gross HPC hosting infrastructure to Core42 in 2025.
The company is actively pursuing additional HPC customers, targeting 200–250 MW of operational HPC capacity by the end of 2026, which diversifies revenue streams beyond crypto mining.
HPC infrastructure is a high-growth segment driven by demand for AI, big data, and cloud computing, offering TeraWulf exposure to secular technology trends.
3. Strong Financial Position and Capital Allocation
As of March 31, 2025, TeraWulf held approximately $219.6 million in cash and bitcoin holdings, providing liquidity to fund expansion and weather market volatility.
The company has repurchased $33 million of common stock in 2025, signaling management’s confidence in the business and commitment to shareholder value.
While total outstanding debt is around $500 million, TeraWulf maintains a strong current ratio (~5.4), indicating solid short-term liquidity.
4. Industry-Leading Sustainability Profile
TeraWulf’s focus on zero-carbon energy for its mining operations differentiates it in an industry increasingly scrutinized for environmental impact.
This green positioning not only appeals to ESG-conscious investors but may also provide access to incentives, partnerships, and preferential contracts as governments and enterprises emphasize sustainability.
5. Revenue Growth Outlook and Market Opportunity
Despite a temporary revenue dip to $34.4 million in Q1 2025, the company is projected to deliver a 53% increase in revenue for the full year 2025, significantly outpacing industry averages.
The combination of expanding mining capacity and HPC hosting services positions TeraWulf to capitalize on the growing demand for digital infrastructure powered by clean energy.
6. Navigating Financial Challenges with Growth Focus
TeraWulf reported a GAAP net loss of $0.16 per share in Q1 2025, reflecting ongoing investments in capacity and infrastructure.
Operational cash flow remains positive and improving, with management focused on scaling efficiently and improving margins over time.
EURUSD POTENTIAL SHORT OPPORTUNITYHello Everyone!
How are you all?
EurUsd is a pair to watch in the coming days/weeks, because it is shaping up very nicely for a short trend reversal that we can capitalize on.
So, I will be looking for a sell opportunity because of the following reasons:
1. The price has formed a sell reversal structure with two lows and a potential third touch at the high.
2. The price is approaching a value area.
Game Plan:
If the price comes to the VA, and rejects at that level or sweeps the High, and makes a bearish impulse followed by a H1 flag with two highs and lows.
Entry : will look for a risk sell entry within the flag or a reduced risk entry on the breakout of the flag.
U Unity Is the Leader Powering the Mobile Gaming Boom in 2025If you haven`t bought the dip on U:
Now you need to know that U Unity Software stands as the dominant platform for mobile game development, fueling one of the fastest-growing segments in the global gaming industry. As mobile gaming continues its explosive expansion, Unity’s leadership in providing an accessible, powerful, and cross-platform game engine positions it for substantial growth and sustained market dominance in 2025 and beyond.
1. Unity Powers Over 70% of Mobile Games Worldwide
Unity is the engine behind more than 70% of all mobile games, a staggering market share that underscores its ubiquity and developer preference in the mobile gaming space.
This dominant position is supported by Unity’s user-friendly interface that appeals to a broad spectrum of developers—from indie studios to AAA game creators—enabling rapid prototyping and high-quality game production.
The company’s “build once, deploy anywhere” approach allows developers to launch games seamlessly across iOS, Android, consoles, and emerging platforms like AR/VR, saving time and development costs.
2. Mobile Gaming Market Growth Fuels Unity’s Expansion
The global mobile gaming market is projected to grow by $82.4 billion from 2025 to 2029, at a CAGR of 11.3%, driven by rising smartphone penetration, 5G connectivity, and increasing demand for multiplayer and free-to-play games.
Unity’s platform is uniquely positioned to capture this growth, as 90% of developers surveyed in 2025 reported launching their games on mobile devices.
The Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, accounting for over half of the mobile gaming market, represents a key growth area where Unity’s tools are widely adopted.
3. Cutting-Edge Technology and Innovation in Gaming Development
Unity’s continuous innovation, including the release of Unity 6 and Unity Vector, supports developers with advanced rendering, AI-driven content creation, and enhanced networking tools for smoother multiplayer experiences.
The platform’s integration of AI enables real-time, player-driven experiences such as dynamic content and adaptive storylines, which are becoming industry standards in 2025.
Unity’s cloud-based services and analytics empower developers to optimize monetization strategies, balancing user experience with in-app purchases and rewarded ads, which are booming in hybrid-casual games.
4. Thriving Developer Ecosystem and Support Network
Unity boasts a massive and active developer community, with over 8,000 companies worldwide adopting its platform for game development.
The Unity Asset Store and extensive tutorials reduce development time and costs, enabling faster time-to-market and innovation cycles.
This ecosystem fosters collaboration and accelerates problem-solving, making Unity the preferred choice for both startups and established studios.
5. Strong Financial Performance and Market Position
In Q1 2025, Unity reported revenue of $435 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19%, reflecting operational discipline and strong demand for its platform.
Despite a GAAP net loss, Unity’s positive adjusted earnings per share ($0.24) and growing free cash flow demonstrate improving profitability metrics.
Unity’s leadership in mobile game development and expanding footprint in AR, VR, and metaverse projects provide multiple avenues for future revenue growth.
6. Cross-Platform and Metaverse Growth Opportunities
Unity’s “build once, deploy anywhere” philosophy extends beyond gaming into virtual concerts, interactive worlds, and digital marketplaces, positioning the company at the forefront of the metaverse evolution.
Enhanced networking and cloud gaming capabilities enable high-quality experiences across devices, including mobile phones and AR glasses, broadening Unity’s addressable market.
SNAP Upside PotentialIf you haven`t bought SNAP before the previous earnings:
SNAP Key Fundamental Strengths in Q1 2025:
Metric Q1 2025 Result Year-over-Year Change
Revenue $1.36 billion +14%
Daily Active Users (DAU) 460 million +9%
Monthly Active Users (MAU) 900 million+
Net Loss $140 million -54% (improved)
Adjusted EBITDA $108 million +137%
Operating Cash Flow $152 million +72%
Free Cash Flow $114 million +202%
SNAP strong fundamental performance in Q1 2025, marked by accelerating revenue growth, expanding user engagement, sharply improving profitability, and robust cash flow generation, sets a solid foundation for a potential stock rally this year.
The company’s innovation in AR, diversified revenue streams, and healthy balance sheet further support a bullish outlook. Investors focusing on fundamentals can view Snap as a growth stock with improving financial health and significant upside potential in 2025.
My price target is $14.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📉 NASDAQ TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📉
The NASDAQ has rejected Magnet Area (SpH4) 21767.00 – 22067.00, signaling potential downside movement.
As long as price stays below Magnet Area (dmD) 21736.00 – 21863.00, the market is likely to continue its decline toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00, especially if price breaks through Magnet Area (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00.
📌 Roadmap Summary:
🔻 Rejection confirmed from (SpH4)
⬇️ Bearish bias valid while below (dmD)
🚨 Breakout trigger: (dmH4) 21524.00 – 21445.00
🎯 Target zone: (dmH4) 21136.00 – 21020.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
Bullish Thesis: Why Oscar Health OSCR Could Rally Strong in 2025Oscar Health, OSCR, a technology-driven health insurance company, is positioned for a significant stock price appreciation in 2025. Despite some mixed short-term sentiment, the long-term outlook and recent analyst forecasts suggest a potential rally that could more than double the current share price. Here’s why OSCR could be a compelling bullish opportunity this year:
1. Strong Analyst Price Targets Indicate Upside of Over 125%
According to recent forecasts, OSCR is expected to reach an average price of $31.40 in 2025, with some analysts projecting highs as much as $41.31—a potential upside exceeding 125% from the current price near $13.95.
Monthly forecasts show a steady upward trajectory, with July 2025 targets around $37.24 and December 2025 targets near $34.67, highlighting sustained bullish momentum throughout the year.
The average 12-month price target is around $34.40, representing a 146% upside, signaling strong confidence in OSCR’s growth prospects.
2. Innovative Business Model and Growth Potential
Oscar Health leverages technology and data analytics to offer user-friendly, transparent health insurance plans, differentiating itself in a traditionally complex industry.
Its focus on member engagement, telemedicine, and cost-effective care management positions it well to capture market share as healthcare consumers increasingly demand digital-first solutions.
The company’s expanding footprint in both individual and Medicare Advantage markets provides multiple growth avenues.
3. Long-Term Vision and Market Opportunity
Beyond 2025, forecasts remain highly bullish, with OSCR projected to reach $53.77 by 2027 and nearly $100 by 2030, reflecting strong secular growth potential in the health insurance and digital health sectors.
Analysts see Oscar as a disruptive force with the potential to reshape healthcare delivery, driving substantial long-term shareholder value.
4. Improving Financial Metrics and Operational Execution
Oscar has been improving its loss ratios and operating efficiencies, which are critical for sustainable profitability.
The company’s investments in technology infrastructure and data-driven care management are expected to translate into better margins and revenue growth over time.
5. Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings
While some platforms show mixed short-term sentiment, the dominant analyst consensus is a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy," supported by strong price targets and growth forecasts.
The stock’s current undervaluation relative to its growth potential creates a favorable risk-reward profile for investors.
Why CSX Corporation CSX Could Reach $37.50 by the End of 2025If you haven`t bought CSX ahead of the previous earnings:
Now CSX Corporation CSX, a leading North American rail freight operator, is positioned for a meaningful upside in 2025, with a realistic price target of $37.50. This target is supported not only by strong fundamentals and industry tailwinds but also by recent options market activity showing significant call option interest at the $37 strike price, indicating growing investor conviction around this level.
1. Strong Options Market Signals at $37.50
Recent options data reveals a notable concentration of call open interest and volume at the $37 strike price in the CSX options chain, especially for near- and mid-term expirations.
This elevated activity suggests that institutional and retail investors are positioning for a rally toward $37–$38, reflecting confidence that the stock will surpass $35 and approach $37.50 by year-end.
The options market’s pricing and demand at this level provide a real-time, market-driven validation of the $37.50 target, adding weight to the fundamental bullish case.
2. Analyst Price Targets and Upward Revisions Support $37.50+
Several analysts have price targets ranging from $35 up to $38–$39, with recent upward revisions reflecting improving operational metrics and resilient demand.
Bank of America and Goldman Sachs, among others, have raised targets closer to or above $35, and the options market activity suggests investors expect further upside beyond these levels.
3. Operational Improvements and Network Optimization
CSX continues to address past network challenges, improving service reliability and operational efficiency, which are expected to drive volume growth in key sectors such as agriculture, minerals, and intermodal freight.
These improvements are critical for margin expansion and revenue growth, underpinning the stock’s appreciation potential.
4. Favorable Macroeconomic and Industry Tailwinds
The resilient U.S. economy and ongoing federal infrastructure investments support sustained freight demand.
Rail’s environmental advantages and cost efficiency over trucking position CSX to capture increased market share as companies seek sustainable logistics solutions.
5. Financial Strength and Shareholder Returns
CSX boasts strong free cash flow generation, enabling consistent dividend growth and share repurchases.
The company’s valuation remains attractive relative to peers, with a P/E around 15.5 and a dividend yield near 1.4%, making it appealing for both growth and income investors.
6. Technical Support and Market Sentiment
The stock has held solid support near $30–$31 and is trading near $34.60 as of mid-June 2025, showing resilience amid market volatility.
Positive sentiment from institutional investors and steady trading volumes reinforce the potential for a breakout toward $37.50.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD TRADING ROADMAP - 16 - 20 JUNI 2025📈 XAUUSD TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 📈
Currently, XAUUSD is trading inside Magnet Area (SpH4) 3430.00 – 3438.00. There is a potential retest toward Magnet Area (SbD) 3411.00 – 3393.00, as long as price remains above Magnet Area (dmD) 3380.00 – 3357.00.
🔍 If the price holds above (dmD) and successfully breaks out of (SpH4), there is a strong potential for bullish continuation toward the Daily High at 3495.00.
📌 Scenarios to Watch:
🔁 Retest Zone: (SbD) 3411.00 – 3393.00 (valid if price stays above dmD)
🚀 Breakout Confirmation: Above (SpH4) 3438.00
🎯 Upside Target: Daily High 3495.00
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This trading roadmap is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading in financial markets carries high risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case.
1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence
On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share.
About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time.
This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure.
The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end.
2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement
AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025.
This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst.
3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion
Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix.
The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S.
4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience
AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production.
Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand.
In conclusion:
Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
Why Recursion Pharmaceuticals RXRX Could Be the NVDA of BiotechRecursion Pharmaceuticals RXRX is rapidly emerging as a transformative force in drug discovery, leveraging cutting-edge artificial intelligence and automation to industrialize and accelerate the development of new medicines. Here’s why RXRX could be the next NVIDIA (NVDA) of biotechnology and why its stock could soar by year-end:
1. AI-Powered Drug Discovery Platform with Unmatched Scale
Recursion integrates AI, machine learning, automation, and advanced data science to decode biology and chemistry, dramatically reducing the time and cost of drug discovery.
The company’s proprietary BioHive-2 supercomputer, built with NVIDIA’s DGX H100 systems, is the most powerful AI computing system wholly owned by any biopharma company, enabling Recursion to process biological data at unprecedented speeds.
By reducing the number of compounds needed for clinical candidates from thousands to just 136–200 and shrinking development timelines to under a year, RXRX is fundamentally changing the economics of pharmaceutical R&D.
2. Strategic Partnerships and Industry Validation
RXRX has forged high-profile partnerships with pharmaceutical giants such as Bayer, Roche/Genentech, Takeda, and Sanofi, validating its platform and unlocking milestone payments that could exceed $20 billion over time.
The company’s collaboration with AI biotech Exscientia in a $700 million deal further cements its leadership in the AI-driven drug discovery space, creating a pipeline of 10 clinical and preclinical programs with hundreds of millions in potential milestones.
NVIDIA itself holds over 7.7 million shares of RXRX, making it one of NVIDIA’s largest biotech investments and a strong endorsement of Recursion’s technology and long-term vision.
3. Explosive Revenue Growth and Strong Cash Position
Analysts forecast Recursion’s revenue to grow at a 65% CAGR from $58.8 million in 2024 to $263 million by 2027, far outpacing the broader biotech sector.
The company ended 2024 with over $600 million in cash, providing a solid runway for continued investment in R&D, platform expansion, and clinical trials.
Wall Street analysts expect more than 50% upside in RXRX stock over the next 12–24 months, with multiple clinical milestones and partnership announcements as near-term catalysts.
4. Disruptive Vision: The “Virtual Cell” and Beyond
RXRX is building toward a “virtual cell,” where AI models can simulate biological processes with such accuracy that wet lab experiments shift from data generation to validating computational predictions.
This approach could dramatically improve drug development success rates, addressing the industry’s notorious 95% failure rate and positioning Recursion as the go-to platform for next-generation drug discovery.
5. Market Sentiment and Institutional Support
RXRX has caught the attention of growth investors and major funds, including Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest, further boosting its profile and liquidity.
Recent stock surges and high trading volumes reflect growing investor confidence in Recursion’s disruptive potential and the broader AI-in-biotech trend.
Bullish Thesis for INTC Intel Stock in 2025If you haven`t bought INTC before the previous earnings:
Now Intel INTC is positioned for a potential turnaround and upside by the end of 2025, driven by strategic leadership changes, foundry business expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical dynamics. Here’s why INTC could head higher this year:
1. Leadership Transformation and Strategic Vision
The appointment of Lip-Bu Tan as CEO in March 2025 has injected new optimism into Intel’s prospects. Tan is a respected semiconductor industry veteran, and his arrival was met with a 10% jump in INTC’s share price, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the company’s direction.
2. Foundry Business Expansion and Government Support
Intel’s pivot toward a foundry-centric model is gaining momentum. The company is leveraging its U.S.-based manufacturing footprint to attract domestic and international clients, especially as geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions make U.S. chip production more attractive.
There is speculation about strategic partnerships, such as TSMC potentially acquiring a stake in Intel’s foundry operations, which could accelerate technology transfers and client wins.
The U.S. government is likely to continue supporting domestic semiconductor manufacturing through incentives and tariffs, directly benefiting Intel’s foundry ambitions.
3. AI and Next-Gen Product Launches
Intel is aggressively targeting the AI and data center markets. The upcoming Jaguar Shores and Panther Lake CPUs, built on the advanced 18A process node, are set for release in the second half of 2025. These chips will be available not only for Intel’s own products but also for external clients like Amazon and Microsoft, expanding the addressable market.
Intel’s renewed focus on AI accelerators and competitive cost structures could help it regain share in high-growth segments.
4. Financial Resilience and Market Position
Despite recent setbacks, Intel remains a dominant player in the PC CPU market and continues to generate substantial revenue, outpacing some key competitors in the latest quarter.
Analysts have revised their short-term price targets upward, with some projecting INTC could reach as high as $62—a potential upside of over 170% from current levels.
Forecasts for 2025 suggest an average price target in the $40–$45 range, with bullish scenarios pointing even higher if execution on foundry and AI strategies meets expectations.
5. Technical and Sentiment Factors
While technical analysis currently signals caution, the $18.50–$20 zone has provided strong support, and any positive news on foundry contracts or AI wins could catalyze a breakout from current consolidation patterns.
Market sentiment has shifted more positively following the CEO change and strategic announcements, suggesting the potential for a sustained rebound if Intel delivers on its promises.
In conclusion:
Intel’s combination of visionary leadership, foundry expansion, AI innovation, and favorable geopolitical trends sets the stage for a potential stock price recovery by the end of 2025. With analyst targets and investor sentiment turning more bullish, INTC presents a compelling case for upside as it executes its turnaround strategy
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX | HTF Breakout Confirmed, Watching for Pullback EntryHTF still bullish — watching W iFVG & weekly OB below as major bid zone.
Breakout to 2.13 next if structure holds.
Lose W OB? Full reset.
Best R:R for swings if we get a flush into 0.75–0.95.
