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USDCAD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
37
USDCHF COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
2
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
2
Opportunity for gold price to return to ATH: 3500✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/16/2025 - 06/20/2025 ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices surged for a third straight session on Friday as geopolitical tensions flared following Israel’s military strikes on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leadership. The escalation sparked a broad risk-off move across global markets, fueling demand for safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,422, marking a gain of over 1% on the day. The yellow metal briefly soared to a five-week high of $3,446 before paring gains, as traders took profits ahead of the weekend. The geopolitical unrest, combined with dovish signals from recent US inflation data, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates later this year—despite improving consumer sentiment. Together, these dynamics continue to support the bullish momentum in gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Military tensions continue next week, which is a big boost for gold prices to continue rising above 3500. 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562 Support: $3382, $3342 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
1
NASDAQ Daily Observation Scenarios & Probabilities In ContextCME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! IG:NASDAQ BLACKBULL:NAS100 EIGHTCAP:NDQ100 Well obviously they're 3 possible outcomes but the idea is how we read the context in the upcoming week as the market unfolds each day. But, weighing the outcome based on the current news / fundamentals I would be leading towards 2/3 the the Bullish Long-Term Trend still holds true. My assumptions would be holding on to the news development of the Iran Israel conflict. Based on TA heavy we would be still be bullish but a good retracement as the Negotiations of ceasefire with market volatility increase as each time there's a news update with the Conflict & top that with the current Trump Tweets, Tariffs, FED Rate cuts. Market is weighing the value of this Conflict escalation and deciding the time to price it in. Because market is always forward thinking, IMO. I personally will be trading these scenarios each-day as the market updates me with NEWS, TA and mainly the Key Levels. As a day futures trader, I will be preparing for volatility. Not as much as the "Liberation Day Sell Off" or the "90 Day Tariff Extension Rally", but futures traders thrive in these kind of market conditions. It is also sad to hear about the news, or course fundamentally. I am also hoping for the market to make a strong stance absorbing it all with a positive outlook. Bullish Scenario: - Market ignores all the war in the Middle East and a rally continuation to make New All Time High. - News updates on the development of de-escalation war negotiations each day which ends up with a Weekly positive green candle. Neutral/Consolidation - News updates brings about both positive & negative impact causing market to range giving the opportunity for accumulation / distribution. Bearish - Bad news WAR escalation, Tariffs, Not enough Rate Cuts, Bearish Data. - Sell side Liquidity wipeout NOTE: * 2/3 outcome leaning Bullish because even when a retracement / pullback happens we will rally back up * since it's a daily observation, i will be looking into the Daily Key Levels of Support/Resistance, Fib Levels, Liquidity Zones, Volume Levels to be tested. * I wish all good luck and god bless. Thank You.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Gone_Trading
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs and closed shorts at the same time. So for that reason I see the highs as a liquidity for their longs profits taking. COT Data Commentary – EURUSD (Last 5 Weeks) EURUSD climbed steadily from 1.11 to 1.15 over the past five weeks, and the COT reports consistently showed market makers increasing their long positions during this period. This steady accumulation aligns with the bullish price action and reinforces the strength behind the uptrend. Institutional interest seems to be backing the move, suggesting continued upside potential as long as positioning remains supportive. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
by David_Perk
Short Uber to deathUber driver's pay is declining constantly. This week it reached the point where good drivers are quitting. The self driving technology to replace these drivers is not yet here. Uber will start absorbing the self driving cars maintenance costs. They will be surprised how much money it takes to have a running clean car. Uber jacked up riders prices to prepare for this; accounting them as insurance costs. Riders are looking more and more into cheaper alternatives. Public transportation is making a come back. Uber will be bankrupt with this model. Their biggest mistake is not taking care of their biggest asset; their drivers. I'm shorting UBER to their death.
NYSE:UBERShort
by gastonvazqz
NASDAQ Weekly Analysis TA & Fundamental News Alignment CME_MINI:MNQ1! IG:NASDAQ CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:NDX BLACKBULL:NAS100 Highest Probability for the upcoming week? Not looking good with the Friday news tension of Israel Iran war escalation. Not much of a selloff coming in, I guess the market is still in the wait and see mode of the upcoming weekend news development; could even be in the next week if the success of de-escalation negotiations. The TA sure look eerie though, big a** H&S formation completion of the last leg. If successful, could we well be in the recession? Will this scare off the FED and force them to CUT RATES? Smart money opportunity to buy another big dip? Have we been in a real proper pullback after a massive rally from "Liberation Day" ? I wonder why we can't break this level in the last week, could it be that the Smart Money selling to Retail? It sure does look like an exhaustion point doesn't it? BEARISH SCENARIO: - Final Leg of the H&S lead to a massive selloff by Retail and Smart Money buying the dip. - News WAR breakout with Iran vs Israel, with every development leading to a sell-off / rollover. - Weekend news leading to a massive gap lower in the Monday Asia Open. - Last week weekly candle close RED wick/shadow suggesting a strong resistance/ rejection level. A high-probability of the next candle will also be a RED Weekly Continuation? BULLISH SCENARIO: - Healthy Retracement and holding strong support levels. - Even for any bearish news the market holds & the participant buying power will maintain a healthy pullback. - Sweep up to the liquidity making New All Time High. NOTE: *This is a weekly analysis, Price Action within the week will reflect differently from day to day. *The outcome will only be projected by the end of next week. *Please do comment on your thoughts, a healthy discussion is always welcomed. *I am publishing my thoughts and context to the way I interpret the market, in no way I am giving any financial advise.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Gone_Trading
Is SPX at a crucial point here.... inflection point?Until yesterday, it seemed that bulls were fully in control chugging along to make new ATH or go closer to previous ATH. Seemed like SPX was breaking from ascending triangle. Looked bulllish going into this Opex close, certainly propped by good data and good tariff comments. Now with the recent war news, and the dip we had yesterday, seems like new pattern emerging (rising wedge) which is bearish. Also keep in mind the JPM hedge that expires end of month. The open interest shows that JPM hedge is still alive (they havent closed) and based on my calculations currently JPM has a loss of around $622M. To stem losses market at minimum needs to be below 5900 by end of month (at 5900 JPM loses $59M but its chump change for them) and for them to be neutral or make money then SPX needs to be 5300 and below by end of month. Currently around 5975, would mean a drop of 500-600 points in next 2 weeks... certainly can happen.... Appreciate your comments!
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Options_Life_
3
Iran-Israel Political Tension & End of Crypto marketDo geopolitical tensions truly cause markets to crash or pump? In a world where financial safety is more fragile than ever, how do traders react? This analysis dives deep into how pro traders think and act during critical moments. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Bitcoin is experiencing a fear-driven shock amid escalating geopolitical tensions, triggering potential downside volatility toward the $98K level 📉. Despite this risk-off sentiment, the broader market structure remains intact, and I maintain a bullish bias. A recovery from key support zones could pave the way for a renewed breakout above $100K in the mid-term . Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🧠 Fear, Safety or Opportunity? Trading Psychology in Crisis 🧨 Markets don’t move based on headlines—they move based on how the crowd feels about those headlines. Political tension triggers emotional responses, especially panic selling. However, experienced traders spot opportunities while others flee. In such moments, two emotional extremes dominate: 🔸 Fear of losing capital (FUD) 🔸 Greed to seize a rare opportunity (FOMO) Both are dangerous if uncontrolled. Tools like RSI and Fear & Greed Index (via external APIs) can provide rough estimates of market sentiment and potential turning points. 📊 Practical TradingView Tools for Analyzing Crisis-Driven Markets 🔍 When global tension spikes, the markets reflect collective emotion like a mirror. During uncertain times, smart traders rely on tools that turn raw data into sharp insights. TradingView provides several features that become extremely useful in times of high uncertainty: 1. Crypto Volatility Index Proxy (using ATR + Bollinger Bands) These indicators help detect when the market is driven more by fear than logic. They show increasing volatility levels as tensions rise. 2. Sentiment Indicators – Funding Rate & Long/Short Ratios These metrics, pulled from major exchanges, show whether traders are overly bullish or bearish. A sudden imbalance usually hints at insider expectations or fast-breaking news. 3. DXY and Gold (XAUUSD) Side-by-Side with BTC Analyzing Bitcoin’s performance alongside USD and gold gives insight into whether investors are going risk-off or seeking crypto as a hedge. 4. Volume-Based Indicators – OBV & Volume Profile While headlines can lie, volume doesn’t. These tools highlight areas of serious buying/selling interest and help identify where smart money enters or exits. 5. Multi-Chart Layout Feature TradingView allows you to analyze multiple assets together—BTC, gold, oil, and stock indices like S&P 500—on one screen. Perfect for understanding macro capital flow during geopolitical events. 💣 Interconnected Markets During Regional Conflict 🌍 Crypto often acts like a risk-on asset during global crises. If traditional markets fall, Bitcoin may follow—unless it’s being viewed as a safe haven. That’s why watching DXY, gold, and oil charts alongside BTC is crucial. Understanding these correlations using TradingView’s comparison features gives you a better sense of where capital is flowing during uncertain times. ⏳ What Traders Should Focus on in Crisis Mode 💼 1. Focus on chart confirmations, not news hype. 2. Use multi-dimensional analysis with TradingView. 3. Prioritize risk management more than ever. 4. Cash is a position. Sometimes the best move is no move. 5. Always have a backup scenario—no analysis is guaranteed. 📌 Final advice: When headlines play with your nerves, data becomes your best ally. With the right tools and a disciplined mindset, traders can navigate even the stormiest markets with confidence. The market rewards the calm, not the reckless. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
22
BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first) Summary: The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound. Why is BTC dropping? The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook. Bullish Thesis: * Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty * Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks * The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement * Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance Technical View: * The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective * BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest * This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction * If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold: * Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk * Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level * If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC * This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support Expectations: * Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels * A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind * As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet Conclusion: The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has displayed both upward and downward movements throughout this week's trading session, narrowly missing the targeted Outer Index Rally level of 6073. Currently, the index is characterized by a bearish trend, warranting attention towards the Mean Support level of 5940, with additional critical support identified at 5888. Conversely, there exists a significant potential that, upon reaching the Mean Support of 5940, the index may recover and rise to the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate an interim rally, culminating in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073 and enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level positioned at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Eurodollar has exhibited notable volatility, mirroring patterns observed in the preceding week. The currency has surpassed both the Mean Resistance level of 1.145 and the Key Resistance level of 1.151, subsequently retesting the significant completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.157. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to revisit both the Key Resistance and the completed Outer Currency Rally and expand further to the next Outer Currency Rally of 1.177 in the forthcoming trading session(s). However, there exists a potential for a continuation of the downward trend from the current level, which could lead to the price action targeting the Mean Support level at 1.149 and possibly a further extension to the Mean Support level at 1.140.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter