EUR/USD Eyes Weekly Resistance as DXY Falls on Geopolitical Fear
EUR/USD Analysis
Recent global events particularly the ongoing conflict in Iran and associated political instability have contributed to a sustained downtrend in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY). The index is currently approaching major historical support levels, which further reinforces the weakening dollar narrative.
Inversely, EUR/USD continues to exhibit bullish momentum. The pair is steadily climbing and is now approaching a key weekly resistance level. If this resistance is broken, we anticipate a strong push toward our final take-profit (TP) target.
At present:
Market Structure remains bullish
We are watching for signs of continuation such as:
Change of character (ChoCH)
Break of structure (BoS)
Demand zone confirmations
We're currently scanning for a low-risk entry upon confirmation preferably via a clean pullback or bullish engulfing confirmation on the lower timeframes. The goal is to catch the next leg up with solid risk-reward.
For now, it’s a waiting game. The trend is our friend, and we’ll let price action show us the way.
Let’s see how this bad boy plays out.
Beyond Technical Analysis
LMT sky high rocket stock LMT has been experiencing some intense changes in geopolitical conflict for next week. Leading analysts to observe closely LMT price behavior according to avg volume. We’re al expecting LMT to rise just above $520 by next week in order to accommodate some liquidity. Keep buying if not yet more.
EURUSD LONGDolllar strength will come but not now the euro is still strong right now we saw the rejection to the downside and have clear choch to the upside . We could now see a little fall to the downside before price rallies creating higher highs . I’ve marked out where sellers would typically sell from and out the stop losses so we will should see a little drop (fakeout) then price retracing taking the sellers out and continuing up .
Amd - This starts the next +200% rally!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - is preparing a major rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It has - once again - not been unexpected at all that we now see a major reversal rally on Amd. After the harsh drop of about -65%, Amd retested a significant confluence of support and already created bullish confirmation. It is quite likely that this now starts the next bullrun.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBP_JPY LOCAL SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 196.400
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH ANALYSIS📊 #ETH Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #ETH performed same. Now we can see that #ETH is trading in a bullish flag pattern and its a bullish pattern. We could expect around 10% bullish move if it sustain above its major support.
👀Current Price: $2555
🚀 Target Price: $2815
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ETH price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders!
Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement
🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary
CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384.
Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level.
Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection.
Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg.
🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones
Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes
🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger
🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce
🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block
🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow
Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break.
Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls.
Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base.
🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200)
EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down.
Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280).
Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View
RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term.
Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones.
📌 Scenarios
🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress
Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction
If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone
🔼 Invalidation
Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384
Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either:
Sell retests into supply, or
Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs
Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure.
💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next.
Locked in for next move,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
Oil | Long | Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025)Oil | Long | Geopolitical Conflict & Smart Money Accumulation | (June 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
We're watching a long-term bullish setup in crude oil, driven by rising geopolitical tensions, smart money accumulation, and a potential reclaim of key levels from a historic triangle pattern.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: LongEntry: Watching for a reclaim of the $72 level (re-entry into triangle zone)Stop Loss: $62 (just below the recent liquidation zone)
TP1: $106
TP2: $116
TP3: $123
3️⃣ Key Notes:
This setup originates from a macro triangle structure formed since September 2012. Oil broke out post-2020 and surged, but recent volatility has shaken out many long positions—especially those from around $60.8. A reclaim of $72 would indicate a failed auction and potential continuation higher.
Geopolitical instability—particularly in the Middle East—continues to provide bullish tailwinds. JPMorgan has projected potential upside targets as high as $230 if tensions escalate.
The Volatility Index (VIX) is around 19, suggesting a calm market—often a precursor to strong directional moves. Smart money seems to be stepping in, accumulating positions during dips.
✅ This confluence makes oil a compelling candidate for macro upside, especially if global uncertainty deepens.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
If the setup confirms, I’ll update this idea with revised targets and entry levels. Keep an eye on geopolitical developments—they’ll be key triggers.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Tensions in the Middle East. (Levels to watch, things to do). Iran and Israel situation is tense. Lot of investors have lot of questions in mind. I am trying to provide my opinion for the same in the video. I am trying to give my Technical and Political commentary on the situation in this educational video. The political commentary is based on my 15+ years of experience in the Middle East and is my personal opinion. I hope this will answer a lot of questions for you. I have also tried to give Techincal support and resistance levels for Nifty. In the 10 minute I have tried to cover as many points as I can. Along with the list of things to do as an investor. I hope this will help many of you.
As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself.
Q&A
The Question now are we out of danger?
Answer: Not yet.
Question 2: Why we are not out of danger?
Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know.
Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries?
Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense.
Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets?
Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense.
Question 5: What should investors do?
Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start.
Things you can do:
1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times.
2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners.
3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly.
4) Re-calibrate your portfolio
5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective.
The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market.
To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
CVNA Swing Trade Plan – Bearish Breakdown (June 13, 2025)🛑 CVNA Swing Trade Plan – Bearish Breakdown (June 13, 2025)
📉 Setup Summary:
CVNA is flashing strong bearish momentum across 15-minute and daily charts, confirmed by multiple AI models. Although slightly oversold in the short term, the overall directional thesis remains intact: downside toward $293–$295 seems likely in the coming sessions.
🔍 Multi-Model Technical Consensus
Trend: Bearish across 15-min and daily; weakening on weekly
Momentum: MACD bearish, RSI near oversold but no bullish divergence
Volume: Spike on red candles confirms seller strength
Support/Resistance Zones:
• Resistance: $310–$320
• Support: $292–$295
Max Pain: $320 (may act as a temporary gravitational pull on bounce)
🧠 AI Model Signals
✅ Grok/xAI: $310 PUT — bearish, aligns with max pain retrace
✅ Llama/Meta: $300 PUT — short-term continuation
✅ Gemini/Google: $280 PUT — deep OTM swing toward structural support
✅ DeepSeek: $305 PUT — best balance between liquidity, risk/reward, and chart structure
🧩 Conclusion: Slight preference for the $305 PUT for its technical alignment and capital efficiency.
📈 Trade Recommendation
🔻 Strategy: Buy Naked PUT
Ticker: CVNA
Strike: $305
Expiry: 2025-06-27
Entry: At market open
Target Entry Price: $10.50
Profit Target: $15.75 (+50%)
Stop-Loss: $7.35 (–30%)
Confidence: 75%
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Short-Term Bounce Risk: Extremely oversold 15m RSI might trigger intraday upticks
Macro Reversal: Broader market rally or surprise CVNA news could invalidate the bearish thesis
Premium Sensitivity: CVNA is volatile; strict stop-loss adherence is key
Max Pain Risk: Reversion to $320 could neutralize gains quickly
💬 Swing traders — what’s your play here?
Do you ride the momentum lower, or is this oversold enough to fade?
Drop your take 👇 and follow for daily AI-backed trade setups.
VIX Call Trade Setup – Volatility Spike or Mean Reversion? (202⚡️ VIX Call Trade Setup – Volatility Spike or Mean Reversion? (2025-06-13)
Ticker: TVC:VIX | Strategy: 🔼 Weekly CALL Option
Bias: Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 65%
Expiration: June 18, 2025 | Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
• Current Level: ~20.96
• Short-Term Trend: Strong — Price above all EMAs (5m, 30m, Daily)
• Momentum: MACD bullish, 5m RSI >90 (overbought)
• Resistance Zone: $22.00 – $22.56
• Max Pain: $20.00 → potential magnet if reversal kicks in
• Sector Sentiment: S&P downtrend + macro risk keeping VIX supported
• OI Clusters:
– Puts: Heavy at $20.00
– Calls: Building interest at $22.00 and $23.00
🧠 AI Model Summary
✅ Grok + Gemini:
• Bullish bias, expect continued upside
• Favor calls: $22–$23 strikes
• Trade VIX strength on S&P weakness
⚠️ Llama + DeepSeek:
• Mean-reversion view → overbought conditions
• Suggest puts at $20.00 for reversion to max pain
📊 Consensus: Moderately Bullish
→ Ride momentum with tight risk controls
✅ Recommended Trade Plan
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: 22.00
📅 Expiry: June 18, 2025 (Weekly)
💵 Entry Price: $0.97
🎯 Profit Target: $1.45 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.73 (–25%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risks & Considerations
• RSI >90 → short-term pullback possible
• $22.00 resistance could cap the move
• VIX mean-reverting nature may drag it toward $20.00
• Equity stabilization (e.g. SPY bounce) = bearish for this call trade
• Manage size — weekly VIX options are very volatile
🔥 Volatility trades are fast and furious.
📣 Will VIX explode higher… or revert hard back to $20? Drop your setup below 👇
📲 Follow for daily AI-backed trading plans + option signals.
Title: BBI | Long | Post-Earnings Recovery | (June 2025)BBI | Long | Post-Earnings Recovery & Channel Support | (June 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
BBI is setting up for a potential bounce after recent earnings and a retracement into key support. Despite weak fundamentals, technicals show a possible move up if the support holds.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: LongEntry: Around $2.50 (current support level)Stop Loss: $2.36 (just below value area low)TP1: $4.37TP2: $5.44TP3: $6.47Final TP: $7.32
3️⃣ Key Notes:
BBI has had a tough fundamental track record, with overall financials declining since 2012 despite being founded in 2020. However, it experienced a recent price pump and is now pulling back into a strong technical support zone within an ascending channel.
Revenue is forecasted to grow slightly over the coming years, and the estimated Q2 earnings show a $401M revenue figure with $300M net income. Market cap sits at $1B with a 280M float. Volatility remains high, but that also offers opportunity.
✅ Watch for price action confirmation around the $2.50 level to validate a bounce setup.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue tracking this trade and post updates as the setup develops, especially near the first and second take profit levels.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Fomo is bullish, gold could hit 3480⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their rally for a second consecutive session on the back of weaker-than-expected inflation and labor market data in the United States (US), with XAU/USD climbing to $3,386—just below the key $3,400 threshold—amid mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The overall market sentiment remains buoyant, fueled by consecutive soft US inflation prints that have amplified pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin easing monetary policy. Meanwhile, signs of fragility in the labor market persist, as jobless claims exceeded 240,000 for the second week in a row, underscoring concerns about the broader economic outlook and lending further support to the safe-haven appeal of gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
War, a factor that helps gold prices grow, towards 3480
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3478- 3480 SL 3485
TP1: $3462
TP2: $3450
TP3: $3435
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3375-$3377 SL $3370
TP1: $3389
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3412
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Venta en Nasdaq impulsada por volatilidad macroeconómicaThe Nasdaq presents a technical short opportunity following a strong reaction to volatility triggered by recent macroeconomic events. This pressure has activated a risk-off environment, with capital flowing out of tech assets into safe havens like the dollar or bonds.
The price is respecting a bearish structure on higher timeframes and, after a technical pullback into supply zones, rejection is confirmed with volume and reversal candlesticks. I expect bearish continuation as long as key levels remain intact and macro uncertainty persists.
📍 Trade based on price action and fundamental context.
⚠️ Risk is managed according to the trading plan, adjustable based on macro developments.