GOLD ANALYSIS BULLISH 13 JUNE 2025
As per previous analysis gold moved in the way as I was expecting. Gold is still strongly bullish, this is all due to geopolitics Iran and Israel war. As #gold made high to 3444 also took correction and now continue to it's bullish rally. Due to this war gold may surge to new high, for today I am again expecting to break yesterdays high. I will recommend please don't trade when there is such war and geopolitics issues because this is just analysis but market behavior is not normal and it will move in unwanted direction. Plan your trade accordingly and do trade. Key points 3402, 3415, 3424, 3440.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
Silver the sad metalIt's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week.
Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born.
So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees.
A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now.
Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165.
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SMH Long Swing Setup – Buy the Dip or Overbought Trap? (2025-06-📈 SMH Long Swing Setup – Buy the Dip or Overbought Trap? (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NASDAQ:SMH | Strategy: 🟢 Equity Long Swing
Bias: Bullish with caution | Confidence: 70%
Hold Period: 3–4 weeks | Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
• Trend (Daily/Weekly): Strongly Bullish
• Short-Term (30m): Mixed – price above 50/200 EMAs, but below 10-EMA, MACD cooling
• RSI: Overbought (~77), suggests caution
• Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band
• MACD Daily: Mild bearish crossover – signals a potential short-term pullback
• Support Levels: 260–261 zone
• Sentiment: Falling VIX, Intel-led chip sector strength → bullish backdrop
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ DS, LM, GK (3 Models):
• Recommend long trade at open
• Confidence: ~70–72%
• Target range: $269–276
• Stop zone: ~$255–259
⚠️ GM Report:
• Suggests waiting – daily overbought + bearish MACD → not favorable R:R
• Recommends no immediate entry
✅ Recommended Trade Plan
🎯 Direction: LONG (Buy Shares)
💵 Entry Price: 262.85
📅 Hold Period: 3–4 weeks
🎯 Take Profit: 269.66 (+2.6%)
🛑 Stop Loss: 259.50 (–1.3%)
📏 Size: 100 shares (adjust to your risk profile)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📍 Entry Validity: Only if SMH opens at/above 262.50 and holds support (~260–261)
⚠️ Risk Factors
• 😬 Overbought RSI may cause short-term profit-taking
• 📉 Bearish MACD crossover could lead to near-term consolidation
• 🧨 Negative market surprise could invalidate long setup
• 🧮 Risk only 1–2% of your portfolio on this trade
💡 SMH bulls stay in control—but for how long?
🗣️ Are you going long, waiting for a pullback, or shorting the top? Drop your plan below 👇
📲 Follow for daily AI-generated trade signals & edge-backed setups.
GE Weekly Options Trade – Bearish Setup After Breakdown (2025-0📉 GE Weekly Options Trade – Bearish Setup After Breakdown (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NYSE:GE | Strategy: 🔻 Naked PUT (Short Bias)
Bias: Moderately to Strongly Bearish
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 13, 2025 (Weekly)
🔍 Technical & Options Snapshot
• Trend:
– Daily: Bearish (below 10-EMA and Bollinger midline)
– 5-Min: Short-term bounce, but still under key EMAs
• MACD (Daily): Bearish
• Sector Catalyst: Negative headlines related to Boeing engine issues
• Max Pain: $242.50 → could slow full downside but not reverse bias
• OI Hotspot: $237.50 PUTs — strong volume + liquidity
🧠 Model Agreement Summary
✅ All 4 AI Models (Grok, Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek):
• Agree on bearish direction
• All favor puts at or around the $237.50 strike
• Daily breakdown confirmed; news pressure adds downside weight
⚠️ Gemini suggests: more aggressive $235 PUT → but $237.50 strike has better liquidity and balance of risk/reward
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $237.50
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.83 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.25 (+50–65%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.42 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risks to Watch
• 🔁 Bounce risk: Short-term rally may challenge entry
• 📰 Unexpected good news could reverse momentum
• 💸 Bid/ask spreads may widen at open — use limit orders when possible
• 🎯 Max pain magnet at $242.50 could suppress full downside extension
📉 GE downside continuation or oversold bounce incoming?
💬 What’s your take — buying puts, calls, or staying flat? Drop your thoughts ⬇
📲 Follow for daily AI-backed trade signals and market breakdowns.
DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-1📉 DOCU Swing Setup – Bearish Momentum Below Key Support (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NASDAQ:DOCU | Strategy: 🔻 Naked PUT Swing Trade
Bias: Moderately Bearish | Confidence: 80%
Timeframe: Short-term | Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Technical Overview
• Price: Near mid-$70s
• Trend: Trading below EMAs on all key timeframes
• MACD: Bearish
• RSI (Daily): Oversold, but no clear reversal
• Bollinger Band: Near lower band = downward momentum
• Max Pain: $77.00 → magnetic level
• OI Hotspot: $75 PUT strike → strong open interest
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Both Grok/xAI & DeepSeek agree:
• Bearish structure across timeframes
• Near-term downside likely with limited support
• Preferred trade: buying puts
Strike Debate:
• Grok: $74 PUT – for lower cost entry
• DeepSeek: $75 PUT – for better liquidity & R:R
→ Consensus pick = $75 PUT
✅ Trade Setup (Based on DeepSeek's Framework)
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $75
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $1.30 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $1.95 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.65 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 80%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Notes
• ⚡ An oversold bounce could break the bearish thesis
• 🔁 Broader market rally or sector recovery could cap downside
• ⌛ Swing window limited → manage time decay actively
• 📊 If price breaks above $77.50 = exit trigger
📉 DOCU: Breakdown or bounce?
💬 Are you swinging puts or watching from the sidelines? Drop your plan 👇
📲 Follow for more AI-powered trade setups.
RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)📈 RH Earnings Setup – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-12)
Ticker: NYSE:RH (Restoration Hardware)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close (AMC)
Strategy: Earnings Catalyst Call Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Pre-Earnings Close
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: N/A (based on latest data)
• Expected Move: ~10.8% (per IV expectations)
• Max Pain: $185.00
• Call OI Focus: $190 (614 contracts)
• Put OI Focus: $160 (797 contracts)
• Implied Volatility: Elevated (as expected pre-earnings)
• VIX: ~17.26 → Neutral backdrop
🧠 Trade Rationale
🟢 Bullish Catalysts:
• Narrower Q1 loss forecast → potential earnings beat
• AI/news-driven attention and solid call OI concentration at $190
• Normal IV conditions give the trade clean R:R setup
⚠️ Risk Factors:
• Max pain at $185 → possible pinning effect
• IV crush risk post-earnings
• Earnings miss = premium devaluation
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $190
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $9.70
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+54%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $6.00 (–38%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
📏 Size: 1 contract (~5% account risk suggested)
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
💬 Playing NYSE:RH earnings tonight? Are you leaning into the call momentum or fading it with puts? Drop your trade plan ⬇️ | Follow for more AI-powered earnings setups.
Over 450 ticks gone: S&P 500 Plunges ahead of today's key dataThe S&P 500, in the session reset following the U.S. market close, has begun a sharp downward move, dropping nearly 2% and more than 450 ticks. The decline has been so steep that it wiped out the entire bullish effort from last Friday, June 6th, when it surged strongly from the 5970 level. Today, the most important data point on the agenda is consumer sentiment, which is scheduled to be released at 10:00 AM EST.
NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)📉 NVDA Swing Trade – Overbought Reversal Setup (June 12, 2025)
Ticker: NASDAQ:NVDA | Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish
Strategy: Short-Term Swing | Timeframe: ~2 weeks
Confidence: 75% | Entry Timing: Market Open
Expiry: June 27, 2025
🔍 Market & Technical Snapshot
• Price: ~$144.67
• Trend: Weekly and M15 uptrend still intact
• RSI (Daily): ~70.63 → Overbought
• MACD: Bearish crossover on Daily
• Options Data:
– Heavy put OI at $140 (14,803 contracts)
– Max pain at $135 → potential pull lower
– High call OI at $145–$150 caps upside
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
🔼 Grok/xAI (Bullish Swing):
• Calls out strong technicals, 5-min momentum
• Suggests $155C for upside play
🔽 DeepSeek (Bearish Swing – Preferred):
• Overbought daily RSI + bearish MACD
• Strong put volume + options market pressure
• Targets pullback to $138–$140 → PUT @ $140
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $140
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-27
💵 Entry Price: $2.09
🎯 Profit Target: $3.10 (+48%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $1.25 (–40%)
📈 Confidence: 75%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Risk Considerations
• Weekly chart still bullish → risk of trend continuation
• Low VIX (17.26) = slower option premium movement
• Positive news surprise could cause upside gap
• Use tight risk controls and monitor intraday structure
💭 NASDAQ:NVDA : Extended or just gearing up for another breakout?
📉 Drop your play below — Put buyers vs. breakout chasers 👇
BTCUSDT ShortBTCUSDT – Watching 105.8K–106.5K Supply Zone
Price currently retracing after a strong dump from 108K. I'm eyeing the 105.8K–106.5K zone for a potential short — previous order block + premium zone for smart money selloff. If price rejects there, I’ll target 103.5K and possibly 101K. SL above 106.8K.
Structure still bearish until proven otherwise.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders.
📊 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve):
The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low.
This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline.
As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact.
In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control.
🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427):
This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6.
Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking.
This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance.
🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition:
After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development.
The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs.
🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360):
This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on:
Past price reaction.
Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11.
Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360).
Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend:
Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs.
Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength).
Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered.
Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again.
Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly.
🛠️ Potential Trading Plans:
✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400).
Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star).
Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420.
✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support
Monitor price action around $3,360 zone.
Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence.
Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H).
Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
Avoid entering in the middle of the range.
Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility.
Keep an eye on macro catalysts like:
US inflation reports
Fed commentary or interest rate decisions
Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold
🧭 Summary:
The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup:
Resistance rejection
Rounded support breakdown
Bearish structure
Approaching a high-probability support zone
Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits.
📌 Final Note:
This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision.
Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
Copper Nears Annual HighCopper Nears Annual High, Driven by Trade Optimism and Falling Inventories
By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
The copper market is once again in the spotlight. The metal is currently trading at around USD 9,756 per tonne on COMEX futures at the London Metal Exchange (LME), approaching its annual high reached at the end of March, near USD 10,000. This rally is supported by a combination of macroeconomic drivers and market-specific factors.
China–U.S. Dialogue Boosts Demand Outlook
One of the key catalysts behind this upward move has been the recent diplomatic thaw between China and the United States, which has improved the global trade climate. Trade negotiations held in London have renewed optimism about global economic growth, which naturally strengthens the projected demand for industrial metals like copper—widely used in construction, energy, and technology sectors.
LME Inventories at Lows Add Upward Pressure
Adding to this context is a significant decline in inventories recorded at the LME. This drawdown reflects both an increase in physical consumption and speculative positioning amid potential new tariff policies that could follow the current trade truce. This relative scarcity in physical supply has become another driver of price gains.
Technical Analysis of Copper (USD/lb)
As of early trading hours, copper is quoted at approximately USD 476.5 per pound, according to ActivTrades data. The asset has shown strong upward momentum from July 2023 through May 2024, with a brief correction down to USD 399.70, a key technical support level for the ongoing rally that began in mid-April. The Point of Control (POC) for volume is located around USD 467, holding above an intermediate support level at USD 449.13, reinforcing the short-term bullish structure.
As for resistance levels, USD 505.32 stands out as the main ceiling to overcome. Currently, the price is fluctuating within a technical range between USD 494.22 and USD 442.61, suggesting a consolidation phase ahead of a potential breakout.
Conclusion
Copper remains one of the most dynamic industrial metals in today’s macroeconomic landscape. Renewed trade optimism between the world’s two largest economies, combined with a sharp drop in LME inventories, has created a solid set of fundamentals justifying the approach toward annual highs. Technically, the bullish structure remains intact as long as key support levels hold, and a sustained close above USD 494/lb could pave the way for fresh short-term highs. In this context, copper not only reflects the pulse of global industry but also embodies the economic growth expectations in a time of geopolitical and energy transition.
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#AN007: Israel Attacks Iran, What's Happening? in Forex
Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, creator of the SwipeUP Elite FX Method, which allows me to analyze and operate in the Forex world as if I were a Hedge Fund or an Investment Bank. Today I want to talk to you about the relevant news of the last few hours, namely Israel's attack on Iran.
⚠️ What happened
Israel launched a massive preemptive air strike on numerous nuclear and military installations in Iran, including sites in Tehran and Natanz. Among the victims were key figures such as Revolutionary Guard commander Hossein Salami and several high-profile nuclear scientists.
The operation was completely "unilateral", with no direct involvement of the United States, according to official sources
reuters.com. However, it was previously coordinated with Washington, which received notification before the attack.
Iran has responded by announcing that it will respond “hard and decisively” and has begun planning missile and drone strikes against Israeli targets, with a response that could come as early as the next few days.
🌍 Global reactions
Australia, New Zealand, Japan and the UN have expressed alarm and called for maximum restraint.
Oil prices have reacted with a surge: WTI +9% due to fears of supply disruptions.
💱 Impact on Forex
↑ Oil prices → Strengthens CAD, NOK, and commodity currencies in general.
Global risk-off mode → Benefits safe haven currencies such as JPY, CHF, and temporarily also USD.
Rising geopolitical risk → USD may have swings: drops in risk-off phases, but bounces as a safe-haven.
EUR under pressure due to general risk aversion and physical demand for USD, CHF, JPY.
Finally, emerging markets (BRL, MXN, INR) could suffer high volatility: outflows towards safer assets.
🧩 Operational focus for Forex traders
Monitor oil and US yield bonds: rising signals could push commodity currencies.
Follow movements on USD/JPY and USD/CHF: potential breakouts in case of escalation.
Watch out for volatility on EUR/USD: the geopolitical crisis rewards USD and CHF.
Stay ready for emerging currencies to react: possible flash crashes or speculative rebounds.
To receive other news or other analyses, continue to follow me.
XAUUSD 4H 🟨 Technical Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold has rallied strongly into a significant supply zone (resistance) marked in red, spanning approximately the $3,445 – $3,500 range. This area aligns with:
A previous major distribution zone where a sharp bearish move initiated (highlighted with the green selloff).
A clear liquidity pool, where institutional sell orders likely sit.
Bearish order block from early May, now being re-tested.
However, price action shows bullish momentum into this resistance, suggesting a potential re-accumulation rather than rejection.
The projected price path (black arrow) on the chart indicates a temporary pullback followed by a break above the resistance, confirming bullish continuation.
📰 Macro + Geopolitical Overlay – Bullish Gold Bias
Despite hitting resistance, fundamental drivers support further upside in gold:
Tensions between Israel and Iran have escalated again, with recent reports of military strikes and retaliatory threats.
Investors often seek safe-haven assets like gold during such periods of global instability.
These geopolitical risks amplify market uncertainty, often leading to capital flight from risk assets (e.g., equities, currencies) into gold.
Central banks and institutions may increase holdings in gold to hedge against volatility and inflation, especially amid broader Middle East unrest.
✅ Conclusion
While the chart shows gold approaching a critical resistance zone, the contextual news catalyst (Israel-Iran conflict) is likely to:
Fuel further bullish momentum, allowing price to break above $3,500 after a minor pullback.
Encourage short-term dip buying, especially if price retests around the $3,400–3,420 region.
📌 Expectation: A short-term consolidation or retracement inside the red zone, followed by a bullish breakout if geopolitical tensions persist.
S&P 500, the technical battleground for JuneIn our April 15 analysis, we questioned the likelihood of a low point for the S&P 500 index based on technical analysis considerations. The VIX (the implied volatility of the S&P 500) also showed bearish technical characteristics (inverted correlation with the S&P 500), and indeed, the equity market offered a solid rebound against a backdrop of trade diplomacy.
With elements of technical overheating appearing in the short term, let's review the technical analysis signals to establish a diagnosis of the current situation in the US equity market.
To start with, you can reread our April analyses of the S&P 500 and VIX by clicking on the two images below.
1) Short-term technical overheating, but fundamental uptrend preserved above technical support at 5750/5800 points
The S&P 500 index has developed a bullish V-bottom rally since the beginning of April, and the global equity market even made a new all-time high last week.
The upward movement of the S&P 500 sees an alternation between bullish impulses and short-term consolidations/corrections, and this chart pattern is likely to repeat itself as long as trade diplomacy takes its course and as the market awaits the FED's next monetary policy decision next week. The daily chart suggests short-term technical overheating (small bearish price/momentum divergence, with momentum represented here by the RSI technical indicator). In any case, even if the market needs a breather in the short term, the underlying trend remains bullish above major support at 5700/5800 points, i.e. the bullish gap opened in mid-May and the 200-day moving average.
The chart below shows daily Japanese candlesticks for the S&P 500 future contract
2) In terms of retail investor sentiment, the reservoir of sellers has diminished, but remains well filled
The study of retail investor sentiment is part of contrarian analysis of financial markets, one of the disciplines of technical analysis of financial markets. Although the pool of sellers has shrunk, a significant proportion of retail investors are still doubtful about the recovery. This pessimistic sentiment among retail traders is an indicator that the recovery still has medium-term potential, as market peaks have always taken place amid retail investor euphoria.
3) On the quantitative side, watch out for a technical overbought situation in the short term
On the other hand, caution is called for in the short term, as the percentage of S&P 500 shares above the 50-day moving average (this tool here represents the quantitative side of the market) is approaching its overbought zone, a situation soon to be reversed from that of early April.
4) Institutional investors remain cautious ahead of the FED meeting on Wednesday June 18, while trade agreements are still pending
In conclusion, it is important to bear in mind that next week's fundamental highlight will be the FED's monetary policy decision. The market needs to know whether or not the FED will confirm two rate cuts between now and the end of the year. The FED will also be updating its macro-economic projections, and institutional investors are being cautious in the meantime, as shown by the CFTC's latest Commitment Of Traders report.
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Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties.
The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
USDT.D Bearish Cross Signals Potential Boom looks like history might repeat—last time USDT.D retested the bull market support band with a bearish cross, it dumped hard, paving the way for a market boom. If that pattern holds, we could see cash shift from stablecoins to BTC/alts, sparking an altseason.
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade.
It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
BTC Short-term selling pressure due to war news💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 13)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
Prices of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) slipped as rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran sparked a wave of risk aversion across crypto markets. As uncertainty deepens, the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are on track to close the week in the red, with current price action signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
Bitcoin bears regain control
After failing to reclaim its all-time high of $111,980 earlier in the week, Bitcoin lost upward momentum and began a steady pullback, slipping below key support at $106,406 on Thursday. As of Friday, BTC continues its downward trajectory, hovering near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,447.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE:
We successfully identified the peak at the 110K resistance level. As predicted, BTC dropped $7,000 following disappointing CPI and PPI reports. Currently, the price has fallen back into a descending channel pattern and is expected to decline further.
Bitcoin’s upward trend is under threat as funding rates become more constrained.
Earlier this week, Bitcoin hovered near its all-time high of $111,980, but market sentiment remained alarmingly cautious—likely due to uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment.
The path of least resistance is gradually shifting downward, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls to the midline at 50 from a recent high of 64 on the daily chart. Traders will look for bearish confirmation signals from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator—signaled when the blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line.
Watch for long positions around the 100K price area, with a target back to 103K. If the price breaks below the 100K support level, we should avoid holding onto a bullish bias.
At this time, whether you’re a newcomer or experienced trader, it’s advisable to spend time practicing and reinforcing technical analysis knowledge. Explore educational posts on the channel to build a stronger foundation and avoid potential losses.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!