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IWM: The Rotation Rocket? Waiting at the ShoulderIWM: The Rotation Rocket? Waiting at the Shoulder The market is flirting with new highs—and you know how this game goes. If the S&P breaks out clean, expect the "rotation to small caps" narrative to come flying in right on cue. Rinse and repeat. We've seen this before. 📈 Chartwise, IWM is either: Breaking out from a complex inverse head and shoulders, or... We’re seeing the formation of a final right shoulder just above $198–$200. That red zone is key. A retest of the shoulder trendline near $200 could offer a sweet spot for re-entry. My Position: Started with 10 June 30 $220 calls back in the April flush Sold 8 contracts to lock in profit and now holding 2 runners free and clear Watching price action near the neckline/shoulder zone—may reload if we dip with volume drying up. Macro Context: The tape has been dull. VIX is dropping. Summer float season is coming. The Fed and Wall Street crew might just levitate this market while the banksters summer in Europe on their yachts. Trade Setup Logic: Breakout = rocket fuel. IWM has lagged hard—it may finally play catch-up. Pullback to $200 = re-entry zone. Over $220 = squeeze territory. Targeting a move to $233 (top of the range from late 2023).
AMEX:IWM
by TheAccidentalRetiree
ZCU25 CORN... It ALWAYS comes down to cornAND I'M BACK AND DUMBER THAN EVER Listen up Honkies, this trade has a 93% probability based on the historical data over the last 30 years. So I bet Muhammad my 3rd ex-wife and a half of my second step child. The reason this trade works is easy! We all have felt and understand FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and how the market reacts, I understood this on my second ex-wife when she got a boyfriend. So in late June pollination season occurs with corn and the yield is unknown for the next year, this is a very simple way of looking at the agricultural industry and how the market corrects. The trade is set up in two stages in order to maximize profit. The first stage, with the FUD in pollination season typically results in a 15-20% drop, I split the difference at 17% lets make it easier than my first divorce. This usually occurs around June 26th and can extend to July 17th. Around July 15th to the 20th the projected yield is shared and the market recorrects to the upside as the numbers represented due to the FUD don't represent the price action in the futures market, and because the futures market is speculatory (Adult Gambling) the degens will pump the contracts up looking for a quick buck like my third wife. Now in order to not go broke while you're trying to buy your ex wife's boyfriend's son a new car, you need to hedge the contract in a calendar spread aka intra-commodity spread, so do the opposite in combination on the march 2026 corn contract as the maintance is lower and the price action isn't there due to open interest in the market, so let that contract ride if it goes against you. SO! you short the ZCU25 while longing the ZCH26, then offset the contracts when direction changes and long ZCU25 and short ZCH26, it's as easy as 1,2,8. Had to repost this forgot the Tags my bad. "all I need is one trade to pay all the alimony for this year." -KewlKat
CBOT:ZCU2025Short
by kewlkat
1
BTCUSDOKAY DEGENS BTC is on a growth cycle not an innovation cycle which means slower growth, extended top, hypercycle on the backside and no double top BS like last time. The market will act like it did in 2017 going parabolic in LATE OCT/EARLY NOV. My low end target is 140k but it works on a time fractal for a November exit, so if we ain't at 140k by AUG that will probably be the top in NOV. So readjust, but I am a degen so I will shoot for 180k unlike the tards going for 240k thinking this is 2017 expect 1000% gains, we are at the top of the stock to flow model... This means adoption is slower and at the price action we are at now it is more difficult to "make number go up." Muhammad can't through a 60$ 100x trade anymore on swaps to push the price. Imagine that 240k for fake internet money, WILD, anyway don't make your greed translate into stupidity. Trust me I know, alright then... going to hang out with my second ex-wife's boyfriend Tyrone, see ya fellas. I would be happy to share my thoughts on growth models vs innovation models in the BTC market. "Where are my kids?" -KewlKat
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by kewlkat
INTC: Legacy Laggard or Coiled Spring? June 2026 $25 Calls in PlINTC: Legacy Laggard or Coiled Spring? June 2026 $25 Calls in Play INTC is a strange bird. A legacy tech giant that’s been trading since before I was born in 1968, it's spent the last few years struggling to keep up in a fast-moving semiconductor world. But here’s what stands out: 📉 The Stock: Brutally sold off, now hovering just above multi-year support in the $19–$20 zone. 📈 The Setup: Descending triangle structure with multiple support tests. Tuesday’s bounce from $20.28 to $22.08 showed real strength on volume—then came the pullback. The 200 EMA remains overhead, but this consolidation looks more like accumulation than distribution. The Trade: I’ve started building a position in June 2026 $25 calls at $2.70, betting that INTC doesn’t die quietly. With a market cap of $89B in a space that now sees $1T+ valuations, it feels like Intel is priced for irrelevance. I don’t buy that narrative. There’s evidence of institutional support near these levels, and any progress in: Foundry business AI silicon Onshoring chip production ...could light a fire under this stock. Targets: Target 1: $26.89 Target 2: $30.15 (stretch) I’m open to adding on weakness—especially if it dips near $19.11 with volume support. Sometimes the market gives up on a name right before it turns around. INTC feels like it’s coiling for something bigger.
NASDAQ:INTC
by TheAccidentalRetiree
2
ZCU25 ITS CORN! AGAINAND I'M BACK AND DUMBER THAN EVER Listen up Honkies, this trade has a 93% probability based on the historical data over the last 30 years. So I bet Muhammad my 3rd ex-wife and a half of my second step child. The reason this trade works is easy! We all have felt and understand FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) and how the market reacts, I understood this on my second ex-wife when she got a boyfriend. So in late June pollination season occurs with corn and the yield is unknown for the next year, this is a very simple way of looking at the agricultural industry and how the market corrects. The trade is set up in two stages in order to maximize profit. The first stage, with the FUD in pollination season typically results in a 15-20% drop, I split the difference at 17% lets make it easier than my first divorce. This usually occurs around June 26th and can extend to July 17th. Around July 15th to the 20th the projected yield is shared and the market recorrects to the upside as the numbers represented due to the FUD don't represent the price action in the futures market, and because the futures market is speculatory (Adult Gambling) the degens will pump the contracts up looking for a quick buck like my third wife. Now in order to not go broke while you're trying to buy your ex wife's boyfriend's son a new car, you need to hedge the contract in a calendar spread aka intra-commodity spread, so do the opposite in combination on the march 2026 corn contract as the maintance is lower and the price action isn't there due to open interest in the market, so let that contract ride if it goes against you. SO! you short the ZCU25 while longing the ZCH26, then offset the contracts when direction changes and long ZCU25 and short ZCH26, it's as easy as 1,2,8. Anyway now I gotta go do BTC for all the younger degens and my first ex-wife's boyfriend. "all I need is one trade to pay all the alimony for this year." -KewlKat
CBOT:ZCU2025Short
by kewlkat
EUR/USD: Euro Pops Above $1.16 in Four-Year High. What’s Next?The dollar wobbles, Trump talks tariffs, and the euro’s got its dancing shoes on. The Euro Wakes Up, Stretching Its Legs at $1.16 Look who just rolled out of bed and decided to make a scene. For the first time in four years, the euro has finally leapt out of its slumber and sprinted to $1.16 — all at the expense of the US dollar, which continues to shed value. The FX:EURUSD isn’t just crawling higher. It’s flexing, fueled by dollar fatigue, political drama, and some very European stubbornness. So what’s behind the move? Why is the euro soaring while the European Central Bank is actually cutting rates? And what’s the dollar doing? Let's unpack it all — one central bank, one tweet, and one inflation print at a time. Trump’s Tariff Ping-Pong: Back On, Back Off Let’s start with the one thing that never quite leaves the headlines: Trump’s trade policy. Just when traders were catching their breath after some tariff reprieve on China, the market got pulled back into the mess. “WE ARE GETTING A TOTAL OF 55% TARIFFS, CHINA IS GETTING 10%. RELATIONSHIP IS EXCELLENT,” Trump posted on Truth Social late on Wednesday, reigniting fears that the trade war is getting heated up again. Especially after a US squad of negotiators touched down in London and walked away with some promising news . Markets don’t love confusion. Investors especially don’t love a US trade policy that changes faster than the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC during CPI week. This kind of noise erodes confidence in US economic leadership and — more importantly — in the dollar. The world’s most important currency is starting to feel… less important, less relevant, and less reliable. And while it’s not collapsing, it’s definitely catching fewer friends at the FX party. On the other side of the pond, the euro isn’t rising because Europe is crushing it (even though it’s doing pretty well against rival currencies, just check the forex heatmap ) — it’s rising because the dollar is slipping off its pedestal. So yes, the euro’s up. But this isn’t a standing ovation for Europe — it’s more of a polite shrug away from America. US Inflation Creeps Higher — And That Means a Cut? US inflation picked up to 2.4% in May but still left the door open for a cut by the Federal Reserve. So what does the market do? It prices in a cut. Lower rates mean lower yields on Treasuries, which means less incentive for global investors to hold dollars. And when the yield game turns dull, guess what gets more attention? Gold OANDA:XAUUSD — because if your asset doesn’t yield anything, at least let it be shiny. ECB Cuts Again, and the Euro Still Rises? Now here’s the riddle. The ECB last week cut its benchmark rate to 2% , hitting a two-year low. By all textbook logic, a rate cut should weaken the local currency. Here’s why it’s rising instead: Markets are forward-looking . The rate cut was expected and already priced in. What matters now is whether more cuts are coming (spoiler: not too many). Traders are betting the ECB is nearing the end of its easing cycle — and may turn neutral soon. The Fed looks more dovish . Rate differentials still matter. Even if the ECB is cutting, the Fed is expected to cut more over the next 12 months. That narrows the gap between euro and dollar yields, making the euro more attractive in relative terms. Eurozone data isn’t great — but it’s not falling apart either. While growth in the eurozone isn’t setting any records, it’s been just OK to support the currency. Inflation is cooling in line with ECB targets, unemployment remains low, and key sectors like manufacturing are showing signs of life. Put it all together and you get a euro that’s rising despite rate cuts — a phenomenon that would make FX professors tear their hair out, but makes perfect sense when you zoom out. Technicals: This Isn’t a Flash in the Pan From a chartist’s perspective, the FX:EURUSD breakout above $1.16 was a big deal. That level had acted as resistance since November 2021. Now cleared, a flurry of algo buys and retail FOMO might fuel the next leg in either direction. From the bulls’ perspective, momentum is picking up, and the euro looks poised to test $1.17–$1.18 if the dollar stays fragile (that said, keep your eye on any hot news coming out of the economic calendar ). RSI is not yet flashing overbought, and MACD is still screaming “more grounds to cover.” Question is: How long can the euro dance before the music changes? And we’re asking you — share your thoughts on the euro-dollar pair and let’s see who gets it right!
by TradingView
16
BTCUSDT – Ready for the Next Leg Up?Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $107,000 after a strong rally from the ~$73,000 region. I'm using Fibonacci extensions and key support/resistance levels to anticipate potential continuation targets and pullback zones. Technical Analysis: Fibonacci retracement levels from previous move: 0.786 – ~$102,359 → strong local support 0.618 – ~$96,382 0.5 – ~$92,185 Current price: ~$106,990 Key resistance: ~$109,971 (Fib 1.0 level) Potential bullish targets: 1.618 extension → ~$131,956 (medium-term target) 2.618 extension → ~$167,530 (long-term projection) Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the $102K–$104K area, we could see continuation towards $110K, followed by a breakout toward $132K (1.618 Fib). The structure remains bullish as long as higher lows are maintained. Bearish Scenario: A break below $102K opens the door for a deeper retracement toward $96K or even $92K, which aligns with 0.618 and 0.5 Fib levels, respectively. Conclusion: Bitcoin is sitting at a critical point. A short-term dip might offer a strong buy-the-dip opportunity. The market structure still favors the bulls unless key support levels are broken.
Long
by MantasJogminas
Judas Swing Monday Recap – Sticking to the Plan Pays 09/06/2025In case you're new to the Judas Swing Strategy, here’s the strategy in a nutshell: It’s a classic price manipulation strategy where the market fakes a move in one direction (the “Judas” move), usually after the 00:00–08:30 EST window, before sharply reversing. This tactic is often used by smart money to trap retail traders around key highs/lows, followed by a reversal into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) for entry confirmation. We began Monday spotting a textbook Judas Swing on FX:EURUSD which was our first trade of the day. Price took out session lows, grabbing liquidity, then gave us a break of structure to the upside and a clean reversal into the FVG. We entered long with our stop loss below the manipulation low. The trade moved nicely into profit and came within points of our target but just as we were anticipating a clean 1:2, price stalled and reversed aggressively, stopping us out. Trade Outcome: Loss Risk-Reward: -1% Lesson: Even the most valid setups will sometimes fail The next Judas swing setup came on $GBPUSD. Price swept the low of the zone, then gave a break of structure, with price retracing into the FVG. We entered long, placing the stop loss 10 pips below entry price. The trade rallied hard post-entry, hitting our target with minimal drawdown Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% This is why we take every valid setup. The win here offset the earlier FX:EURUSD loss, keeping us net even on the day at this point The final Judas swing setup on Monday was on OANDA:AUDUSD , and it couldn’t have been cleaner. After a strong sweep of previous lows, price reversed and broke structure convincingly. An FVG formed and price retraced into it beautifully. We entered long, placing the stop below the liquidity sweep. Price then rallied steadily throughout the session, and retraced almost hitting our stop loss but turned around and hit our 1:2 target. Trade Outcome: Win Risk-Reward: +2% Despite starting the day with a loss, staying disciplined and trading all valid Judas setups left us with: 1 loss ( FX:EURUSD -1%) 2 wins ( FX:GBPUSD +2%, OANDA:AUDUSD +2%) Net Gain: +3R This is why a rules-based approach beats emotional trading. Stick to the process, and the edge takes care of the rest.
by CleoFinance