Price correction and re-increase in copper prices1.Growing Global Demand: Rising infrastructure projects and renewable energy initiatives (like EVs and energy storage systems) are boosting copper demand.
2.Supply Constraints: Declining reserves in major mines, production disruptions in key producers (e.g., Chile, Peru), and limited new investments are tightening supply.
3.Weaker USD: If the Fed cuts interest rates, a weaker US dollar (as copper is dollar-denominated) could push prices higher.
4.China’s Recovery: Economic stimulus in China (the world’s top copper consumer) is expected to drive stronger demand.
5.Inflation Hedge: Copper is seen as a hedge against inflation, attracting more investor inflows if global inflation persists.
Strong demand, tight supply, and supportive macro trends could drive copper prices upward in the coming months.
Sasha Charkhchian
Beyond Technical Analysis
Keep Trading Binary.....buy or sell? then support your argument All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Gold Consolidates Around $3,340–Mild Bullish Bias Ahead CPI Data📊 Market Summary
Gold is consolidating around $3,340/oz, up about 0.5% today, as investors seek safe-haven assets amid ongoing US–China trade tensions. The market is also closely watching the upcoming U.S. CPI data release.
📉 Technical Analysis
Key Resistance:
• $3,350–3,360 – recent swing highs, aligning with the intraday EMA50 and Fibonacci resistance.
• $3,370–3,380 – major monthly high, potential breakout zone.
Nearest Support:
• $3,320–3,330 – EMA20–21 zone, daily support and key pivot level.
• Below $3,320, next support lies near $3,300.
EMA 09:
• Price is trading above EMA9 but still below EMA21–50 → suggests neutral-to-slightly bullish intraday bias.
Candlesticks / Volume / Momentum:
• Small-bodied candles with low volume → signs of sideways movement.
• RSI on H1 ~60, H4 ~55 → modest upward momentum, not yet overbought.
📌 Outlook
Gold is likely to continue consolidating around $3,340, with mild upside potential if the U.S. CPI data comes in hot or trade talks remain inconclusive.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350–3,355
🎯 TP: $3,330–3,335
❌ SL: $3,360
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,320–3,330
🎯 TP: $3,340–3,345
❌ SL: $3,310
SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅SPY went up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 610$
Which is also an All-Time-High
So its a very strong level
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 596.43$
SHORT🔥
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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 12th June 2024)Asian + London Session
Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Core PPI m/m
-Unemployment Claims
Notes:
- CPI data negative for DXY
- Looking for continuation to 2400
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300,3410
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
USDCHF - TIME TO MAKE MILLIONSTeam, we been waiting over a week by now
Last time we kill the market well
I only trade when i see opportunity, otherwise I do not trade
Most of my trade are 95% winning ratio and accuracy.
I hope you enjoy the ride for USDCHF
Dont forget when it hit above 0.82000 zone, take 50% and the rest is above 0.8215-8230
SEAT BELL UP AND ENJOY THE RIDE.
aLL fALL dOWN lOOK oUTPredicting whether Bitcoin is on the verge of a "free fall" is challenging due to its volatile nature and the complex factors influencing its price. Based on available data up to June 11, 2025, here’s an analysis to address your question:
### Current Sentiment and Market Context
Bitcoin's price has been highly volatile in 2025, with significant fluctuations driven by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. Recent reports indicate Bitcoin has experienced corrections, with prices dropping below $80,000 in March 2025, hitting a low of $77,396.43, and recovering to around $78,146.03 by early April. This followed a peak of $109,350.72 earlier in the year, showing a decline of about 28% from its high. Despite these drops, Bitcoin has shown resilience, with some analysts noting it doesn’t always follow broader market downturns as closely as traditional risk assets.
### Factors Suggesting a Potential Free Fall
1. **Macroeconomic Pressures**: Global trade tensions, particularly U.S. tariffs on countries like China, Mexico, and Canada, have fueled recession fears, prompting investors to shift toward safe-haven assets like gold, which can pressure Bitcoin prices. Weak consumer sentiment and disappointing economic indicators add to this risk.
2. **Profit-Taking and Market Dynamics**: On-chain data from Glassnode shows high profit-taking by long-term holders and declining buyer momentum, with Bitcoin’s supply in profit at 96% as of June 3, 2025. High profitability often precedes corrections as investors cash out.
3. **Technical Resistance**: Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $106,000–$108,000 resistance zone, with failure to do so potentially leading to a drop toward $100,000 or lower, as noted by Cointelegraph. Short-term holder losses are also comparable to early bear market conditions.
4. **Historical Cycles**: Bitcoin’s price often follows cyclical patterns tied to halving events. The April 2024 halving reduced miner rewards, which historically leads to price corrections before potential rallies. Some analysts, like those at Forbes, suggest a possible drop to $70,000 or lower if bearish trends continue.
### Factors Against an Imminent Free Fall
1. **Support Levels**: On-chain models indicate key support zones at $95,600 and $103,700, which could prevent a drastic collapse unless broken. Bitcoin’s ability to recover above $78,000 after dipping to $74,420.69 in April suggests strong buyer interest at lower levels.
2. **Institutional Accumulation**: Despite retail investor concerns, institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin, with wallets holding over 1,000 BTC increasing by 1.45 million BTC in 2024. This suggests sustained demand from large players.
3. **Regulatory Tailwinds**: The U.S. government’s pro-crypto stance, including President Trump’s executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve in March 2025, could provide long-term support, even if short-term buying pressure was underwhelming.
4. **Supercycle Potential**: Some analysts, like those at Bitcoin Magazine, argue Bitcoin is in a potential "supercycle," with metrics aligning with past bull runs (e.g., 2017). Strong long-term holder conviction and a 91.5% behavioral correlation with the 2013 cycle suggest a third peak could still occur, potentially pushing prices higher.
### Conclusion
While there are risks of further price declines due to profit-taking, macroeconomic uncertainty, and technical resistance, an imminent "free fall" (implying a catastrophic drop) is not guaranteed. Bitcoin’s history shows it can weather significant corrections and rebound, especially with institutional support and potential regulatory clarity. However, a failure to hold key support levels ($95,600–$103,700) or a worsening global economic outlook could lead to sharper declines, possibly toward $70,000 or below.
For a definitive outlook, monitor upcoming economic indicators like the consumer price index and producer price index, as well as Bitcoin’s ability to break above $106,000. Given the volatility, cautious trading strategies and risk management are essential. For real-time updates, you may want to check platforms like Coin Metrics or Glassnode. (www.cnbc.com) (www.cnbc.com) (cointelegraph.com)
> **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NZD_CAD RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_CAD has been falling recently
And the pair seems locally oversold
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal support of 0.8230
Price growth is to be expected
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)📈 ADBE Earnings Play – Moderately Bullish into AMC (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NASDAQ:ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
Event: Earnings Report — 🗓 June 12, After Market Close
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 72%
Strategy: Single-leg Call | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market & Options Snapshot
• Price: ~$416.06
• Historical Move: ~6.5% avg. post-earnings (5 of 8 quarters up)
• IV Rank: 0.75 — Elevated, with expected 25–30% crush post-release
• Narrative Drivers: AI/Creative segment strength, positive analyst sentiment
• Max Pain: $400 (below current price, but overshadowed by bullish catalysts)
🧠 AI Model Consensus
✅ Bullish Bias (3/4 Models):
Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor the $420 Call (ask $12.65) for a balanced risk/reward
Gemini/Google: Also bullish, suggests call spread but agrees $420 Call is viable
⚠️ Contrarian (1/4 – DeepSeek):
Flags overbought RSI & IV crush risk
Proposes a deep-OTM $472.50 Call for asymmetric upside (lower conviction)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $420
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 (weekly after earnings)
💵 Entry Price: $12.65
🎯 Profit Target: $15.00 (+19%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $10.00 (–21%)
📈 Confidence: 72%
⏰ Entry Timing: Pre-earnings close
📏 Size: 2 contracts (≈2% portfolio risk)
⚠️ Key Risks
IV Crush: If the move disappoints, premium may collapse
Overbought RSI: Short-term pullback risk pre-release
Negative Surprise: Weak guidance could send stock lower
Volatility Whipsaws: Earnings reactions can be choppy—use disciplined stops
💬 Are you playing Adobe this quarter? Calls or skips? Drop your strategy below!
ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)📈 ORCL Earnings Play – Riding AI Momentum (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:ORCL (Oracle Corp)
Event: Earnings Report — 📆 June 11, After Market Close (AMC)
Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish | Confidence: 70%
Strategy: Call Option | Expiry: June 13, 2025
🔍 Market Snapshot
📍 Price: Trading near recent highs
📈 RSI (Daily): 87.66 — Extremely overbought
📊 IV Rank: 0.75 → Implied volatility is high
📦 Options Market: Bullish skew; max pain at $170 suggests risk, but not dominant
🧠 Narrative Drivers: AI/cloud strength, institutional accumulation, strong uptrend
🧠 AI Model Consensus Summary
✅ Bullish (3/4 Models):
• Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google → all recommend a long call
• Favor upside potential due to strong trend + favorable sentiment
• Strike debate: $195 vs. $200 → $200 favored for cost/leverage
⚠️ Bearish (1/4 Models – DeepSeek):
• Flags overbought RSI + $170 max pain
• Recommends buying puts (contrarian sell-the-news play)
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: CALL
📍 Strike: $200
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.86
🎯 Profit Target: $1.00 (+16%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.25 (–71%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Before earnings close
📏 Size: 1 contract (limit to ~1% of capital)
⚠️ Risk Factors
• ❗ Binary Event: IV crush or weak results can kill premium
• 🧊 RSI > 87 → potential for short-term correction
• 🔁 If no move materializes, you may lose full premium
📣 Will NYSE:ORCL deliver an AI-fueled beat or flop on IV crush?
💬 Share your take ⬇ | Follow for daily earnings plays and AI-backed trade alerts.
TSM Weekly Options Setup – Overbought with Max Pain Pressure (20📉 TSM Weekly Options Setup – Overbought with Max Pain Pressure (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor)
Bias: 🔻 Moderately Bearish (Short-Term)
Setup Type: Max Pain Reversion Play | Confidence: 65%
Expiry: June 13, 2025 | Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
📍 Price: ~$214.10
📈 Short-Term Trend (5-min): Strong bullish momentum, price > EMAs, MACD positive
📉 Daily Chart: RSI ≈ 80.79 → extremely overbought, price above upper Bollinger Band
🎯 Max Pain: $205 → possible gravitational pull
💬 Options Sentiment: Heavy open interest at $205 Puts; cautious tone across models
🧠 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
🔹 Bullish Bias (Short-Term Momentum)
• Grok/xAI & Llama/Meta: Favor riding remaining upside with $217.50 Calls
• Justification: Intraday signals strong, MACD bullish, RSI not peaking yet on M5
🔹 Bearish Bias (Daily Overextension & Max Pain)
• Gemini/Google & DeepSeek: Favor reversion to $205 using $205 Puts
• Justification: RSI > 80, price extended, high put OI & max pain align around $205
✅ Recommended Trade Plan
🎯 Direction: PUT
📍 Strike: $205
📅 Expiry: June 13, 2025 (Weekly)
💵 Entry Price: $0.63
🎯 Profit Target: $1.20 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
📏 Size: 1 contract
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
• 🚀 A breakout above $215.50 could invalidate the bearish thesis
• ⏳ Theta decay is aggressive in weeklys – move must come quick
• ⚡ Intraday bullish signals are still strong → this is a contrarian trade
• 🛡️ Use disciplined stops and size conservatively to manage risk
💭 Will NYSE:TSM fade off its overbought highs or keep ripping?
📉 Put or 📈 call — what’s your play? Drop your take 👇
OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)📉 OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:OKLO | Bias: 🟥 Moderately Bearish
Entry Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 65%
🔍 Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$68.00
📈 Short-Term (5-min): Strong momentum, price > EMAs, MACD bullish
📉 Daily Chart: RSI >80, price well above upper Bollinger Band → overbought
📉 News Catalyst: $400M dilutive equity offering adds downside pressure
⚠️ Max Pain: $58 → suggests strong gravitational pull
🧠 AI Model Breakdown
Bullish View (Grok/xAI):
• Strong intraday chart → targets $70+
• Recommends call play (low conviction)
Bearish View (Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek):
• Daily exhaustion + dilution = reversal setup
• Favor puts (strikes around $61) for downside exposure
• Use weekly contracts for high R:R plays on reversion toward $60–$58
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
📍 Strike: $61
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.55
🎯 Profit Target: $1.10 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.26 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry: At open
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-controlled)
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
• 🚀 Bullish momentum at open could squeeze premiums
• ⏳ Weekly theta decay = fast time burn if reversal is slow
• ⚡ Gaps or price whipsaws could breach stops before thesis plays out
• 📉 Trade only with capital you’re prepared to risk on rapid decay
📉 NYSE:OKLO is hot but stretched — fading momentum or riding breakout?
💬 Drop your play 👇 | Follow for more AI-powered weekly setups.
UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)📉 UNH Weekly Options Setup – Short-Term Pullback Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: NYSE:UNH (UnitedHealth Group)
Bias: Short-Term Bearish
Setup Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 70%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$310.56
📈 Momentum: Strong intraday bullish momentum — price above 10, 50, and 200 EMAs
📉 RSI: 5-min RSI ~79 → overbought
🎯 Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational pull
🧠 Sentiment Split:
Bullish Models: Grok/xAI & DeepSeek
→ Focus on short-term momentum and trend continuation
Bearish Models: Llama/Meta & Gemini/Google
→ Emphasize overbought conditions & option pressure to steer price toward $300
⚖️ Strategic Summary
All models agree that:
• UNH is technically strong, but very overbought
• Max pain at $300 presents a downside magnet
• Both call and put options have tradable liquidity
Disagreement:
• Bulls see trend continuation
• Bears expect short-term correction before any continuation
✅ Recommended Trade
🎯 Direction: PUT
🛒 Strike: $300
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.60
🎯 Profit Target: $0.90 (+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.30 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market open
⚠️ Risk Factors
• Continuation of bullish breakout can kill put value fast
• Sharp intraday whipsaws common near RSI extremes
• Price staying pinned above $310 would weaken max pain magnet effect
• Use tight stop-losses and limited position sizing
📣 Do you fade overbought RSI or ride momentum on NYSE:UNH ?
💬 Drop your setup 👇 & follow for more AI-backed trade ideas.
ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)📈 ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)
Ticker: NYSE:ES | Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish
Setup Time: Market Open | Confidence: 65%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
📍 Price: ~6,027.25
📊 Trend: Above 20-, 50-, and 200-day MAs
📈 RSI: 64.25 – bullish but nearing overbought
📉 MACD: Bearish crossover → possible short-term pullback
📎 Bollinger Band: Price near upper band – may act as resistance
✅ Majority Long Bias (3 of 4 Models Agree)
Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google:
• Solid technical structure (higher highs/lows)
• High open interest and positive momentum
• Slight MACD concern, but bullish setup intact
• R:R ≈ 1.5:1 with upside target in 6,100 area
⚠️ Contrarian View – DeepSeek:
• Warns of overextension after a 30-day rally
• Suggests bearish MACD could drive pullback
• Recommends short targeting 5,930
📌 Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: LONG
📥 Entry: 6,027.25 (at market open)
🛑 Stop Loss: 5,980.00 (below short-term support)
🎯 Take Profit: 6,098.00 (R:R ≈ 1.5:1)
📊 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⚠️ Risk Watch
• 📉 MACD crossover = potential short-term weakness
• 🧊 Near upper Bollinger Band = possible resistance
• 💨 Volatility at open can cause whipsaw → manage risk strictly
• 🌐 Monitor news/macro events for any directional shift
📣 Are you taking the NYSE:ES long today or fading it like DeepSeek?
Drop your view ⬇️ | Follow for more AI-powered market setups.
GBPUSD - ShortsFirst published idea of the year!
I am looking for the markets to pull back into the 1.28 area before looking for a potential bullish continuation.
Note(s): My entry got missed by 2.4 pips lol & the 1.26 area is a bit ambitious haha..
Lets see how markets move in the Asian session going into the London open.
Safe Entry Zone INTCPrice Movement Ranging.
Price Targeting 1h & 4h Green Zone.
Green Zones Are Buying Zones & Red Zones Are Selling Zones In Case Buying Zone broken down stock movement will be down and Vice Versa.
P.High(Previous High) & P.Low(Previous) Acts As significant Support and Resistance Levels.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.