EUR/USD | 15M TF Analysis Here is what I will be looking for on the 15M timeframe. We broke structure to the downside. I will want to see price come up and take out the built up liquidity, tap into the supply zone I marked out, drop down to the lower time frame and see if it offers an entry to sell back down to the swing low.
If you like this analysis, please hit that like and follow button! Trade Safe! -Remzy
Beyond Technical Analysis
LPTUSDT / LONG / 10.06.25⬆️ Buy LPTUSDT
💰 Entry: 7.725
🎯 Target: 14.501
⛔️ Stop: 7.199
Reasons for entry:
— 1D
Price in consolidation for more than 1 day
Correction to the discount zone
— 1H
Divergence in long, exit from correction
Decrease in volumes during correction
Predominance of volumes for purchase
— 15m
Breakdown of structure with correction to the discount zone
Strategy: medium-term, breakout
XAUUSD SNIPER PLAN – TUESDAY, JUNE 10, 2025👋 Good evening traders!
After a choppy NY that faked both directions, Monday closed with gold stuck around 3325. But don’t be fooled — the real plays are coming Tuesday as we align with clean structure, trap logic, and real macro catalysts. Focus only on what matters.
Let’s prep with clarity and intent. 🎯
🌍 TUESDAY MACRO PREVIEW (JUNE 10)
📊 12:00pm – NFIB Small Business Index
🗣️ 10:00pm – President Trump speaks (market-moving risk)
🛢️ 10:30pm – API Weekly Oil Data (impacts USD sentiment)
No CPI or FOMC yet — but volatility is brewing. Trump + late-day oil stats = prime conditions for NY tricks or late-session moves.
🧠 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE
🔹 Last impulse: 3292 → 3338
🔹 Price now: 3325
🔹 Asia swept 3293 — partial gap fill
🔹 NY faked above 3338 → rejected → no follow-through
🔹 HTF still bullish but in pullback mode
📏 Fibonacci (3292–3338)
– 50% = 3315
– 61.8% = 3310
– 78.6% = 3303
📊 EMAs: 5/21 kissing → possible expansion
📉 RSI: Mid-range → clear room to move
🔐 STRUCTURE ZONES – CLEAN & ACTIVE
Price Zone Type Logic
3345–3354 SELL ZONE 1 HTF FVG + inducement trap
3362–3368 SELL ZONE 2 OB + liquidity clear above final highs
3329–3332 FLIP ZONE NY trap → could flip support or reject
3307–3310 BUY ZONE 1 61.8% + CHoCH potential + OB
3292–3296 BUY ZONE 2 Asia low + FVG + discount sweep
🎯 PLAN OF ATTACK
✅ Bullish Plan
– Hold above 3315–3320
– Break 3338 → retrace into 3310/3307 = sniper long
🎯 TP: 3354 → 3368
❌ Bearish Plan
– Fail under 3332 → tap 3345–3354 for reaction
– Rejection = sell into 3310–3296
🎯 TP: 3310 → 3292
⚠️ 3329–3332 = reaction zone only
Do not sell blindly — wait for confirmation.
👀 EYES ON:
– 3338 = intraday BOS point
– 3307 = sniper trigger if CHoCH
– Trump speech = high spike risk
– NY tends to reverse early Asia setups
🚀 FINAL WORD
We’re not here to chase noise — we’re here to execute with structure.
You’ve got two clean sells, two sniper buys, and real macro risk on the table.
No guesswork. Just precision.
💬 What’s your plan for Tuesday?
Do you see the 3362 trap playing out?
Are you waiting for the 3307 sniper?
👇 Drop your scenario in the comments — let’s compare setups and grow together.
📲 Follow @GoldFxMinds for daily sniper clarity
🎯 Let’s dominate CPI week. Together.
💬 Drop a 🚀 if you’re locked in for NY
🔥 Let’s make Tuesday count — clean, confident, and calculated.
BTC long-term prediction
Hi all,
After initial reflection on Bitcoin's long-term prospects (see link below), I would like to make a more detailed analaysis for it in the next two or three years.
Development cycles and characteristics
I'll devide the evolution of BTC into three main cycles:
Cycle 0: From the birth of BTC until November 2021
Cycle 1: From Nov 2011 to Nov 2018. In this cycle, we have observed two Halving events (November 28, 2012) and (July 9, 2016
Cycle 2: From Nov 2018 to Nov 2025. This cycle encompasses the most recent halving event (May 11, 2020) and the upcoming one (April 26, 2024)
In every cycle, BTC has the following common price action
Main Trendline Support: it confirms the exponential increase in BTC's price.
Cycle High: it is intriguing to observe that Cycle Highs tend to materialize approximately 1 to 1.5 years after the halving event (or the birth) of BTC
Break-down event: It happened two times and both on November (2011 and in 2018). This marks the end of a cycle.
About historical BTC Highs
Since its birth, BTC has achieved four Cycle Highs. Connecting two consecutive Cycle Highs with a trendline reveals that the slope of this line is halved (devided by 2) between two Halving Events. This gradual decrease in slope appears rational and organic, as exponential growth is typically unsustainable. What's even more intriguing is that this 1:2 ratio aligns with the reduction of mined BTC by half after each Halving Event (or the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions).
Predictions for the next Halving and beyond
By considering the aforementioned characteristics in BTC's evolution, we can utilize historical patterns to provide potential insights into the future. Here's a possible scenario:
Leading up to the 4th Halving (scheduled for April 26, 2024), BTC prices are likely to align with the blue support trendline, and significant deviations from this trendline are not anticipated.
Following the 4th Halving, BTC may enter an accelerated phase, potentially triggering a major bull run.
A new price high could be achieved somewhere between May and September 2025, based on historical averages of the time needed for BTC to reach a new high after halving.
This new price high is projected to be approximately $120k.
However, it's essential to note that a subsequent bear market is expected to follow, possibly manifesting in November 2025. During this phase, BTC may experience a gradual decline, with prices potentially dropping as low as $30k.
It's vital to remember that predicting the future with certainty in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is challenging and often speculative. These projections are based on historical trends and patterns but are subject to various unpredictable factors.
What do you think about this analysis and what is your price prediction for BTC in the next bullrun?
Alibaba: A Strategic Long Play Amid Regulatory Easing
Current Price: $119.38
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $123.00
- T2 = $127.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $116.50
- S2 = $114.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Alibaba.
**Key Insights:**
Alibaba has shown impressive recovery momentum this year, with its stock surging 60% year-to-date. This resurgence is attributed to easing Chinese regulatory pressure, ongoing resilience in its e-commerce sector, and steady progress in cloud computing services. The strategic diversification of revenue streams has also positioned the company to weather economic challenges better than many of its peers. Furthermore, Alibaba's restructuring moves and initiatives in AI and innovative technologies continue to broaden its growth horizons.
However, significant risks remain. Short-term market fluctuations driven by macroeconomic uncertainties, competitive pressures from local and international e-commerce firms, and global trade dynamics could weigh on investor confidence. Yet, long-term prospects remain fundamentally sound for those willing to endure the interim volatility.
**Recent Performance:**
Alibaba's stock has recently consolidated around the $119 mark after a remarkable 60% gain earlier this year. This stabilization suggests a more balanced sentiment among traders, with buyers and sellers finding equilibrium. Notably, investor optimism surrounding regulatory easing in China and Alibaba's ability to sustain profitability in a challenging environment has kept the stock buoyant.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts emphasize that Alibaba's continued dominance in e-commerce and its ambitious strides in cloud computing make it a strong candidate for long-term portfolio inclusion. The company's investments in international expansion also provide exposure to diverse market opportunities. However, some analysts urge caution, noting that intensifying competition, both at home and abroad, and uncertainties in China’s economic policy could create headwinds.
Technical indicators reflect bullish sentiment in the near term, with moving averages forming strong support zones. Volume trends indicate steady accumulation, pointing to positive outlooks among institutional investors.
**News Impact:**
Recent announcements related to Alibaba's restructuring plans and its involvement in AI research have sparked renewed interest in the stock. Furthermore, signs of regulatory easing in China have fueled optimism regarding Alibaba's ability to regain its leadership footing in key markets. Investors should monitor news on any potential government support for Chinese tech giants, as this could be a decisive factor in shaping the company's trajectory.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the easing regulatory environment and Alibaba’s strategic initiatives aimed at driving long-term growth, a LONG position appears prudent for the medium term. With defined stop levels and upward targets, traders can balance risk while capitalizing on the stock's growth potential. Sustained focus on news flow, particularly regulatory and sector news, is critical to maintaining an informed trading strategy.
Amazon Breakout Signals Bullish Momentum — Eyeing $220 Target
Current Price: $213.57
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $217
- T2 = $220
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $208
- S2 = $204
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in AMZN.
**Key Insights:**
Amazon continues to stand out among technology stocks due to its consistent performance and strong technical indicators. The company's breakout pattern aligns with sector-wide momentum, suggesting further upward potential. Analysts note the $206-$220 price range as having significant activity, where resilient support levels provide a foundation for continued bullish sentiment. Trader consensus highlights Amazon's strategic positioning against competitors, leveraging its robust e-commerce and cloud operations to boost investor confidence.
**Recent Performance:**
Amazon has experienced steady gains over the past few weeks, maintaining solid support above its 50-day moving average. Recent trading activity indicates high interest from institutional investors, with the stock showing clear signs of an upward trend. After testing resistance at $215, AMZN's inverse head-and-shoulders pattern indicates further upside potential. As part of the MAG 7 (tier of top-performing tech stocks), AMZN continues to outperform competitors amid sector-wide market strength.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts point to strong accumulation phases during dips, signaling confidence in the stock's ability to deliver further upside. Amazon shows a clear pattern of higher lows, with medium-term upward momentum aligning with sector-wide bullish trends. Experts also highlight volume surges at key support levels, further reinforcing the bullish outlook. AMZN's price movement shows a correlation with broader indices, suggesting continued alignment with macroeconomic conditions favoring technology.
**News Impact:**
Recent easing of trade tariff concerns related to US-China negotiations has indirectly boosted sentiment within the technology sector. Amazon’s diversified revenue streams and growing dominance in e-commerce and cloud technology provide resilience against market fluctuations. Favorable developments in global trade discussions continue to lower uncertainty, enhancing overall attractiveness for long-term positions.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Amazon's technical setup and broader sector strength make it a compelling choice for a long position. Investors should consider entering near current levels, with a target range of $217-$220. Stops should be placed below $208 to manage risks effectively. With expert consensus favoring accumulation on dips, AMZN represents an opportunity grounded in both technical and fundamental strengths.
Euro's bullish momentum signals upside potential beyond $1.145
Current Price: $1.14247
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $1.14500
- T2 = $1.15000
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $1.14000
- S2 = $1.13700
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Euro.
**Key Insights:**
Euro's price momentum has shown steady consolidation above the $1.14000 mark, signaling strong underlying demand. Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest a gradual shift toward overbought territory, which could trigger bullish sentiment. Furthermore, the Euro's performance is reinforced by consistent volume levels, highlighting market participants' confidence in its upward movement. The recent shift in central bank monetary policy expectations toward stability is fostering optimism among traders.
Region-specific economic data points also support the currency. Improved manufacturing PMI data from core European economies, coupled with steady inflation trends, are providing a solid foundation for the Euro's bullish trajectory. Traders are closely watching these macroeconomic indicators to refine their strategies in line with prevailing market dynamics.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past week, the Euro has climbed steadily from $1.13500, consistently testing and holding resistance levels, which now act as support points. This steady rise is indicative of strong technical fundamentals, supported by resilient demand across trading zones. The transition to the current price of $1.14247 reiterates market conviction in the Euro's potential for further gains.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts have emphasized moving averages, with the 50-day and 200-day SMAs signaling alignment for sustained bullish movement. With a current price above the 200-day SMA, momentum indicators and Fibonacci retracement levels pinpoint the next potential resistance zones around $1.14500. Additionally, pattern analysis reveals an ascending triangle formation, which is a common precursor to breakout scenarios.
Expert macroeconomic outlook is reinforcing this bullish sentiment, citing gradual easing of geopolitical tensions and improved trade relations among Eurozone economies. Bullish divergence in MACD charts further supports the likelihood of an extended rally as technical setups align with the broader economic narrative.
**News Impact:**
The recent European Central Bank announcement indicates a steady rate environment, which has historically led to increased currency valuation amidst reduced speculation. Meanwhile, sustained demand from corporate trade flows driven by robust economic indicators fortifies the market outlook. Strength in global equities and a weaker U.S. Dollar further provide tailwinds to the Euro.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Market alignment with technical and macroeconomic conditions creates an optimal scenario for long positions on the Euro. Traders should watch for a breakout past the $1.14500 level, which could quickly propel prices toward $1.15000. Coupled with conservative stop placement below prior support levels, this trade setup offers a compelling risk-reward opportunity. Initiating a bullish stance on Euro provides potential gains supported by technical convergence and positive sentiment within the Eurozone economic landscape.
Will NASDAQ Continue Its Bullish Momentum Next Week?
- Current Price: 21761.79
- Key Insights: NASDAQ continues to exhibit robust bullish sentiment, driven by
technology sector strength. Investors should watch resistance at 22,385 and
key support near 21,414 for directional cues. While upside pressures remain,
risks of a short-term pullback could materialize if overbought conditions
persist.
- Price Targets:
- Target 1 (T1): 22,275
- Target 2 (T2): 22,385
- Stop Level 1 (S1): 21,600
- Stop Level 2 (S2): 21,414
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has shown resilience, maintaining its upward
trajectory amid potential headwinds such as weaker momentum signals and
geopolitical trade developments. Technology stocks, specifically
semiconductor firms, have powered market gains, buoyed by optimism in the
sector's outlook.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts agree on the likelihood of continued upside provided
key resistance levels are cleared. However, caution surrounds potential
reversals due to overbought technical conditions. A pullback might occur
within the next 3–6 weeks, reinforcing the importance of monitoring
divergence signals.
- News Impact: Optimistic US-China trade comments and semiconductor growth have
supported the rally. Broadcom's recent earnings could temper enthusiasm,
serving as a potential inflection point for the index's short-term
trajectory.
Nike's Pullback Provides a Valuable Long Opportunity
Current Price: $62.80
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $64.50
- T2 = $68.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $61.00
- S2 = $59.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Nike.
**Key Insights:**
Nike’s current valuation of $62.80 reflects a steep discount from its previous highs, presenting a compelling opportunity for a long position. Despite challenges in the broader consumer discretionary sector due to inflationary pressures and slowed economic growth, Nike's global brand strength, pricing power, and robust innovation pipeline continue to underpin investor confidence. The company remains a leader in sustainability, technology-driven product offerings, and market penetration across diverse demographics. Traders are closely watching the $60 price threshold as a potential pivot point for further accumulation.
**Recent Performance:**
Nike’s stock has dropped dramatically from its all-time high of $180 to its current level of $62.80, representing sustained weakness over the past two years. This decline mirrors a challenging macroeconomic environment but highlights an oversold condition relative to its historical valuation. Recent trading activity suggests that demand is stabilizing, with strong transactional volumes around the $60 level.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts maintain cautious optimism for Nike's recovery, citing its dominant market position and high-margin growth potential. Nike’s ability to diversify revenue streams with direct-to-consumer strategies has helped mitigate retail pressures. Experts acknowledge macro risks but champion Nike's ability to outperform peers through its brand loyalty and financial resilience. They suggest the current price levels are an exceptional value, with the potential for strong upside as broader market conditions normalize.
**News Impact:**
Recent headlines emphasize Nike's proactive approach to economic challenges, including operational adjustments to streamline costs and boost profitability. Announcements around expanded digital engagement and innovative product rollouts have softened concerns about dampened consumer sentiment. Analysts argue that increased focus on sustainability and community-driven initiatives positions Nike favorably in a crowded marketplace.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Nike currently offers an attractive entry point for traders looking to take a long position. With strong fundamentals, a proven ability to adapt to shifts in consumer demand, and significant trading activity at current levels, the stock appears poised for recovery. For long investors, $64.50 and $68.00 represent achievable price targets, while stop levels at $61.00 and $59.00 provide prudent risk mitigation. Strategic patience and disciplined execution could yield substantial returns as Nike leverages its brand power and innovations for growth.
Long Opportunity for Palantir Technologies: Next Week Trading InCurrent Price: $127.72
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $131.80
- T2 = $135.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $125.50
- S2 = $122.90
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Palantir Technologies.
**Key Insights:**
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) exhibits mixed indicators, with short-term bearish momentum counterbalanced by solid long-term support from government contracts and fundamental strengths. Breaking resistance levels at $135 could trigger a shift in sentiment and enable further upward momentum, providing opportunities for long positions. Monitoring critical support zones and broader market activity is essential.
**Recent Performance:**
Palantir has recently shown signs of short-term weakness, retreating from a prior high of $137.90 and closing below last week's price of $131.78. This decline suggests hesitation among market participants while leaving room for potential recovery based on favorable technical setups.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts remain optimistic about Palantir’s long-term viability due to its sustained pipeline of government contracts, a distinct advantage within the tech sector. However, resistance at $135 remains a critical challenge for the stock to regain bullish sentiment and achieve higher targets. While current bearish movements hint at caution, broader support above major moving averages signals resilience.
**News Impact:**
No new headlines have been identified as immediate catalysts for price movement. However, Palantir's reliance on government contracts underpins its stability. Tracking developments tied to contract renewals or expansions will be essential for assessing the stock's performance trajectory.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Traders should consider a long position in Palantir Technologies, aiming for a breakout above $135 while maintaining disciplined stop-loss levels at $125.50 and $122.90. A shift in sentiment and positive momentum could enable the stock to achieve upside potential with targets at $131.80 and $135.00.
Spotify's Bullish Momentum Indicates Upside Potential
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $733.63
- T2 = $747.89
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $700.02
- S2 = $692.45
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Spotify.
**Key Insights:**
Spotify's recent developments signal strong bullish potential, backed by both technical strength and robust fundamental drivers. The company's moves toward content diversification, including exclusive podcasts and audiobooks, promise sustained user engagement and revenue growth. Moreover, Spotify’s partnerships with major record labels contribute positively to market sentiment, enhancing its competitive edge in the audio-streaming industry.
From a technical perspective, Spotify's price action suggests higher lows and consistent upward momentum, signaling robust demand among institutional and retail investors. Breakthroughs above key resistance levels have reinforced long-term bullish sentiment, paving the way for further growth opportunities.
**Recent Performance:**
Spotify stock has seen steady upward performance over the past week, supported by stronger-than-expected earnings reports and an increase in monthly active users. With notable improvements in premium subscriptions, the stock has gained traction, showing resilience against broader market fluctuations. Near-term volatility has remained moderate, offering an attractive setup for long-focused strategies.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market analysts maintain a positive outlook on Spotify, highlighting its ability to innovate within a competitive landscape of streaming platforms. Strategic investments in AI-powered audio recommendations have amplified user retention rates while differentiating its offerings in an increasingly saturated market. Technical experts also point to robust support levels in the charts, suggesting favorable conditions for sustained upward price movement.
**News Impact:**
Recently, Spotify announced advancements in playlist curation powered by AI technologies, significantly enhancing user personalization features. This aligns with growing consumer trends toward tailored entertainment experiences. Additionally, new licensing agreements with key record labels contribute positively to content exclusivity, attracting both creators and listeners. These factors bode well for future stock performance in the medium term.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on strong fundamental drivers, continued technical momentum, and positive market sentiment, taking a bullish position in Spotify at current levels offers a compelling upside opportunity. With clearly defined stop-loss and target levels, traders can optimize risk-to-reward ratios while capitalizing on Spotify's growth trajectory in the audio-streaming industry.
Tesla's Bullish Momentum Points Towards $312 Target
Current Price: $295.14
Targets:
- T1 = $304.50
- T2 = $312.90
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $289.00
- S2 = $282.50
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla continues to demonstrate strong fundamentals backed by innovation in electric vehicles (EV) and sustainable energy solutions. Recent advancements in battery technology, coupled with expansion plans in international markets, are expected to drive significant growth over the next quarter. Technically, the stock shows consistent support levels formed during consolidation phases, suggesting a low-risk entry point for a bullish position. Market momentum indicators signal improving buyer strength, reinforcing the outlook for a continued rally.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla's stock has shown resilience in the face of broader market volatility. Over the past two weeks, Tesla has moved within a tight range, suggesting accumulation by institutional investors. The recent stabilization around $290-$295 indicates that previous resistance levels have now turned into support, paving the way for further price movement towards higher targets.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts at major investment firms have reiterated confidence in Tesla's capacity to maintain its leadership in the EV market. Factors such as improved gross margins, strong quarterly delivery numbers, and strategic partnerships contribute to an optimistic outlook. From a technical standpoint, the stock's moving averages show bullish alignment, indicating sustained upward momentum. Volume analysis portrays strong buying activity, further validating bullish momentum.
**News Impact:**
Positive sentiment has surged following Tesla's announcement of doubling production capacity at its key Gigafactories, including its Nevada facility. Additionally, international regulatory approvals for Tesla's next-generation vehicles have fostered enthusiasm among investors. Broader sector movements, supported by potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy, also boost Tesla's trading outlook.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Tesla offers an attractive long setup for traders looking to capitalize on both fundamental and technical strength. A bullish position at current levels aligns with professional trading insights, with reasonable targets set at $304.50 and $312.90. Recommended stop levels are placed at $289 (S1) and $282.50 (S2), ensuring risk management while allowing room for volatility. With favorable macroeconomic factors improving the environment for growth stocks, Tesla remains a strong candidate for upside potential in the short-term.
Trade Long on TLT: Opportunities Amid Weakness in Treasuries
Targets:
- T1 = $86.50
- T2 = $88.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $84.00
- S2 = $83.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in TLT.
**Key Insights:**
TLT, which represents long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, is currently trading at discounted levels following recent declines. This weakness stems from macroeconomic concerns and tightening monetary policies. Traders are paying close attention to the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, as hawkish behavior continues to suppress bond prices. However, current oversold conditions paired with strong technical levels around $85.00 suggest a potential reversal. A move higher could be catalyzed by dovish signals from policymakers or slowing inflation data, which may ease investor fears about prolonged rate hikes.
Treasuries often act as safe havens during volatile market conditions, and seasoned investors see value in entering positions during times of weakness. Traders should also monitor global economic indicators, as international risk events could fuel additional demand for long-term U.S. bonds.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the past week, TLT has experienced bearish pressure, losing nearly $1.50 in value. The asset's decline mirrors broader fixed-income struggles, with junk bonds (JNK) showing parallel weakness. However, late-stage declines and deceleration in momentum suggest stabilization might soon occur. TLT has maintained its position near the critical $85.00 support zone, hinting at limited further downside, especially as bond yields stabilize.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts highlight that TLT's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching oversold territory, reinforcing the likelihood of bullish momentum. Historical price action indicates that dips below $85.00 historically see swift recoveries, driven by renewed buying interest from institutional players. Additionally, macroeconomists suggest that reduced bond issuance paired with moderating inflation could support TLT prices in the medium term.
The current price range provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for those with an intermediate to long-term outlook. Tactical entries at these levels could yield gains if market dynamics shift in favor of easing rate pressures or economic uncertainties drive bond demand.
**News Impact:**
Recent news highlights sustained investor caution as markets digest hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve and await key economic data such as CPI and employment figures. While TLT remains under pressure from elevated bond yields, geopolitical tensions and emerging-market volatility could bolster demand for U.S. Treasury bonds as a safe-haven play. Events such as unexpectedly weak inflation data or dovish commentary from policymakers could further aid TLT's recovery.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Based on the analysis, TLT presents a favorable long opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on oversold conditions and technical support around $85.00. The proposed targets of $86.50 and $88.00 provide attainable high-probability price points, while stop-loss levels at $84.00 and $83.00 ensure minimal risk exposure. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators and policy announcements will be crucial in confirming the bullish outlook. Entering long positions at current levels provides a compelling risk-to-reward setup, aligning with professional trader consensus.
Long Opportunity as VIX Signals Potential Upside Amidst Falling - Key Insights: The VIX remains subdued, suggesting prevailing bullish sentiment
across equity markets. However, technical signals such as the falling wedge
pattern indicate a potential breakout upward, highlighting latent market
risks. Traders should consider taking a proactive long position to hedge
against anticipated volatility spikes, especially if geopolitical risks or
macroeconomic triggers re-emerge.
- Price Targets:
- Target 1 (T1): $17.85
- Target 2 (T2): $18.50
- Stop Level 1 (S1): $16.15
- Stop Level 2 (S2): $15.85
- Recent Performance: The VIX has steadily declined, breaking below
psychological resistance levels like $20 and stabilizing in the current
range of $15-$20. This reflects diminished market fear as equity indices
continue to rise. Historically, periods of low VIX readings have often been
followed by spikes driven by sudden risk-off sentiment.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts agree that while the current VIX level indicates
reduced fear, it may be giving investors a false sense of security.
Technical analysis suggests that the formation of the falling wedge pattern
could lead to upward price action, consistent with historical instances of a
volatility surge. Market sentiment appears optimistic, but caution is
warranted as the potential catalysts for a breakout remain unpredictable.
- News Impact: The current market calm suggests no immediate shocks or
surprises, but potential triggers such as central bank policy updates,
inflation concerns, or geopolitical tensions could shift sentiment and
amplify volatility. Traders should stay vigilant for macroeconomic data
releases and earnings reports in the upcoming week that could act as
catalysts for VIX movement.
Zscaler Inc. (ZS) – Multi-Year Breakout with Target at $700📅 1D Chart | Smart Money Concepts | Fibonacci Extensions | Volume Profile
Price: $301.19 | Volume: 1.59M
ZS has officially broken through its prior consolidation structure and is now trading firmly in premium territory. With the 0.786 Fib level at $298.27 now reclaimed, momentum traders are eyeing a run toward higher extensions.
🔍 Key Technical Zones:
✅ Breakout Confirmed: Structure shifted after reclaiming $250–$275
🟨 Premium Zone Begins: $300+
📈 Major Fib Extensions:
1.236: $444.89
1.618: $569.36
2.0: $693.82
🟡 Suggested Exit Zone: ~$696–700 (historical extension confluence)
🧠 Smart Money Context:
Clean Break of Structure (BOS) after a long accumulation phase
Volume supports breakout behavior
Weekly CHoCH + BOS align with institutional positioning
Little resistance until the $440–700 range based on past structure gaps
💡 Trade Plan (Probabilistic):
Upside Continuation (70%): Strong bullish conviction, targeting $444 then $569
Pullback Re-entry (30%): Retest of breakout near $270–$298 may offer a second-chance entry
🛡 Risk Management:
Entry: Current levels or on pullback to $298
TP1: $444
TP2: $569
TP3: $696–700 (consider reducing exposure)
SL: Close below $280 (invalidates breakout thesis)
📌 Conclusion:
ZS is in an extended markup phase. As long as macro conditions remain favorable, a long ride toward $700 is technically plausible. Watch volume and institutional behavior closely as we climb into uncharted premium zones.
#ZS #Zscaler #BreakoutStocks #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #TechnicalAnalysis #PremiumZone #TradingView #EquityMomentum
A Logarithmic Projection of Silver's LONG TERM Cup and HandleSilver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
Linear Projection for Silver LONG TERM Cup and Handle Pattern.Silver is perhaps one of the most under-valued assets of our time, with bubbles ragining in almost all asset classes, poor lowly silver is sitting well below historical fair value, when priced in gold. But The Gold Silver Ratio being at such extremes does not mean Silver will rise, it is indeed possible for Gold to collapse and for Silver to merely hold steady-ish, and the gold silver ratio would be back in-sync.
What makes this particular time of such undervaluations in Silver so interesting, is that on long term time frames we see some extrenely powerful chart patterns that have been shaping up for 50 years or so. It is a Bullish Cup and Handle Pattern and we're currently drawing in what could be the last few months of the handle and if we confirm this pattern, chartists would give price targets between $90 on the low end and $700 on the high end. I've show the reasons for both extremes below. Reality, likely, will wind up being somewhere between both camps (if we do confirm the pattern) and someone will get cheeky with some Fibs and say they saw the top coming all along, or something, lol.
Historically Silver has pulled back HARSHLY after these moves, as much as 80-90%, however that was when the USD still had a very high likelihood of remaining the world resere currency still moving forward. If this happens, this time that won't look so certain, but I would still expect major volatility once a top is found and a pretty wide trading range to form.
We expect governments to continue to devalue their currencies, deficit spend, take part in QE programs and other monetary tricks to inflate away the debate. They won't actually inflate it away, of course, it'll just become a more enormous monster, but that's another administration/generation's issue to deal with!
XAUUSD Gold Short: Premium Tap Into OB + Reversal Loading XAUUSD (30-Min) | Premium Rejection + Order Block + Fib Stack for Intraday Short
This GOLD setup is a surgical-grade short play — combining institutional Order Block, Fibonacci Premium Levels, and liquidity rejection for a high RRR sniper entry.
🔍 Smart Money Setup Breakdown:
🔴 Bearish Order Block Zone (OB)
Strong bearish engulfing forms OB between 3,312.949 and 3,319.292
Price is currently reacting off 70.5% – 79% Fib zone — a premium region
Bears defending aggressively as price fails to break above
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Fib drawn from recent swing high to swing low
Price retraced cleanly into 70.5% – 100% range
Current rejection forming just under 79% Fib at 3,312.949
OB + Fib = sniper confluence
📉 Bearish Reversal Behavior
Candle structure shows bullish exhaustion
Wicks into premium followed by strong rejections
Upcoming bearish candle could confirm shift in momentum
🎯 Target Zones Based on Fib Extensions
50%: 3,306.000
0% (Full move): 3,293.500
Extended TP: 3,288.000 for deeper draw
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 3,311.510 – 3,312.949 (OB + Premium zone)
🔻 SL Above 3,319.292 (above 100% + OB high)
📉 TP 1 3,306.000 (mid move)
📉 TP 2 3,293.500 (measured move)
⚖️ RRR Estimated 1:4+ depending on execution precision
🧠 Chart Ninja Wisdom:
"Gold respects the money, not the noise. If you know where Smart Money hides,
you’ll always catch the move before the herd even blinks." 🥷✨
🔁 Bonus Insight:
You can clearly see the liquidity engineered below 3,308 and resting near 3,293.5. Price may wick these areas fast, so set alerts or stagger TPs if you’re managing this intraday.
🚨 Chart this setup and watch for the breakdown confirmation
💬 What’s your SL placement for this? Drop it in the comments
EURJPY Supply Tap! Bearish Reaction Coming?EURJPY (30-Min) | Supply Zone Hit + Bearish Reversal Setup
This EURJPY move is brewing into a classic SMC bearish play — engineered liquidity run, supply zone reaction, and a projected melt to imbalance below. Let’s dissect the ninja logic 🧠📉
🔍 Breakdown of the Setup:
🟥 Supply / Order Block Zone
Price enters a strong bearish OB zone between 165.100–165.397
Previous rejection wicks in this zone = smart money sell interest
Price now testing that area again — potential for liquidity sweep + reversal
🟪 Multi-Zone Confluence
Multiple overlapping zones stacked: OB, mitigation block, and liquidity sweep area
Perfect spot for Smart Money to unload positions before sending price lower
📏 Risk-Reward Optimization
Entry near 165.100–165.397 zone
Stop Loss placed slightly above the last rejection wick (above 165.397)
Take Profit projected around 163.378 based on measured impulse leg and imbalance fill
🧠 Liquidity Narrative
The rally into supply is likely a buy-side liquidity hunt
Smart Money often drives price into key zones before triggering reversals
Price may wick above 165.171 to fake bulls before a strong sell-off
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔻 Entry Zone 165.100 – 165.397 (Supply OB)
🛡 SL Above 165.450 (above wick / last structure high)
🎯 TP Target 163.378 (imbalanced fill target)
⚖️ RRR Approx. 1:4+ depending on entry precision
🥷 Chart Ninja Note:
“The trap is always set where the crowd feels the safest —
and that’s exactly where the ninja strikes.” 🥷📉
This setup could be a clean ride down if price reacts as expected. Confirmation entry = bearish engulfing on M15 or M30.
🔁 Bonus Observation:
You can see lower timeframes building internal liquidity, meaning we might get a sharp, volatile drop once that top wick finishes sweeping.
📍Mark this zone and set an alert — entry can trigger fast!
🔥 What’s your confirmation style — engulfing candle or breaker structure?
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal: Discount OB + Fib Stack = Buy SetupXAUUSD (30-Min) | Discount Reversal Zone + Fib Confluence = Smart Long Setup
This GOLD setup is built like a sniper’s dream — liquidity engineered, OB discounted, Fib alignment — all signs point to a bullish reaction off a Smart Money zone.
🔍 Smart Money Setup Breakdown:
🟣 Bullish Order Block (OB)
OB identified between 3,320.792 and 3,324.063
Price is retracing into this discount OB zone
This level also aligns with 70.5% – 79% Fib retracement — high-probability reaction zone
📐 Fibonacci Confluence
Fib drawn from swing low to recent high
61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% zones stacked directly over the OB
This confluence amplifies the chances of institutional buying
📉 Engineered Liquidity + Wick Zone
Price is likely to dip into this OB zone to hunt stop losses
Expect wick reaction, then reversal — typical Smart Money behavior
Anticipated pattern: Drop > Tap > Reverse bullish
📈 Anticipated Price Path
Price dips into OB zone
Strong bullish engulfing expected for confirmation
Targeting retracement to previous high & extension levels
🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan:
🔹 Entry Zone 3,320.792 – 3,324.063 (Discount OB)
🔺 SL Below 3,316.000 (below 100% Fib / low structure)
📈 TP 1 3,336.080 (Recent high)
📈 TP 2 3,342.000 – 3,348.000 (Fib extensions -27% to -50%)
⚖️ RRR 1:3 to 1:5 depending on execution and TP
🧠 Chart Ninja Wisdom:
"Gold always dips to discount before it runs —
but only the patient ninjas catch it while others panic." 🥷💰
🔁 Bonus Insight:
Price is currently compressing near equilibrium — meaning volatility is building. The next impulse could be fast. Wait for bullish confirmation candle on the OB tap for low-risk entry.
📊 Drop this zone into your chart and alert the OB area!
💬 Where are you placing your stop loss for this setup? Let’s chat!
BTC - Ranges overview Let's have a look at BTC as we start this new week.
From a weekly perspective you can see how we through around the weekly gap (blue box)and respected it.
On the LTF we broke below it and failed to close below it.
From here expect us to aggressively trade back towards 110K and eventually new ATH.
IF we fail to hold the current sellside, we will revisit the weekly gap (blue box) and 105K.
As always WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.