Beyond Technical Analysis
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD remains below a key resistance zone, and at this stage, it does not appear to have enough momentum to break through.
We are watching for potential sell setups around this area.
As long as there is no daily candle close above the resistance, we expect a pullback toward the specified support level.
If a daily candle closes above the resistance zone, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, and the structure may shift.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
H100 Group AB - Une bitcoin Treasury : 7.7 BTH100 Group AB is a company listed on Nasdaq First North (NGM Sweden), positioned as a Bitcoin Treasury Company. Formerly known as eBlitz Group, it recently underwent a major strategic pivot through a reverse merger with Healthy to 100 AS, a company focused on health, longevity, and sustainable technologies.
Since April 2025, H100 has started shifting to a hybrid model combining:
Bitcoin holdings as its primary treasury asset,
Investments in healthtech and wellness innovation,
An aggressive fundraising strategy through convertible loans to expand BTC acquisition and fund growth.
The company has recently accumulated 7.7 BTC in a “MicroStrategy-like” approach.
Trading volume has surged since May 2025.
The stock shows high volatility, often correlated with Bitcoin movements.
Active financing through convertibles (dilution risk to monitor).
Conclusion: H100 is a speculative play on Bitcoin performance, supported by a growth-oriented vision in the health and digital assets sectors.
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (SELL LIMIT)🔍 Technical Breakdown:
H1 (Primary Trend Context):
• Strong downtrend: clean lower lows and lower highs
• Price broke below previous day’s low, now acting as resistance
• 20 SMA below 50 SMA, both sloping downward
• Volume increased during selloff = strong participation
• Price currently retracing into prior broken support, now potential supply
M15 (Entry Zone Confluence):
• Micro bullish structure pushing into:
• Prior M15 demand turned supply
• Dynamic resistance (20/50 SMAs)
• Thin volume / inefficiency area
• Retrace remains within context of a bearish flag/pullback
M3 (Entry Precision):
• Price approaching clean M3 supply zone between 3326.0 – 3329.0
• Minor FVG and untested supply at 3327.50
• Good stop placement just above 3332 (above M3/M15 structure)
⸻
📌 Trade Setup Details
• Sell Limit Entry: 3327.50
• Stop Loss: 3333.00 (5.5 pts)
• Take Profit: 3302.00
• Risk-to-Reward: ~4.63R
⸻
🔁 SL to Breakeven Criteria
Move SL to breakeven only after:
1. A 15-minute candle fully closes below 3312.00, breaking current bullish microstructure
2. Price either:
• Bases under 3312 or
• Retests 3312–3314 as fresh resistance
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
GBPJPY Hello Traders,
There is a potential Buy opportunity on the pair, and I’d like to share it with you.
The setup provides an ideal buying condition, and I’ve configured the trade with a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of 1:2.
According to my personal entry model — which includes three different rating levels (a-b-c) — this setup has received the highest rating, which increases the likelihood of a successful outcome based on historical performance.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.654
✔️ Take Profit: 196.179
✔️ Stop Loss: 195.391
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Important support and resistance sections: 267.07-311.48
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(TSLA 1D chart)
If you see support within the important support and resistance sections, it is a time to buy.
However, if a strong decline occurs, strong buying is expected around 172.6-234.59.
It is expected to be an important buying period for long-term investment.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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JPYUSD Smart Money VIP Analysis – Eyeing High-Probability Target📈 Market Context:
The JPYUSD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) is currently navigating through a critical structure phase where price is reacting to previously established institutional zones. Recent price movements reveal a clean and structured setup — one that aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and CHoCH (Change of Character) theory.
This 2H chart provides a roadmap for anticipating the next high-probability reversal, giving traders an edge in both short-term scalps and mid-term swing trades.
🔍 In-Depth Chart Analysis:
🧱 Resistance Zone (0.007020–0.007040):
This area has been tested multiple times in the past and acted as a strong supply zone. Institutional orders have previously caused significant bearish pressure from this level. Unless a strong bullish breakout occurs with volume, this zone is likely to hold again.
🔁 Next Reversal Zone (0.006975–0.006985):
Price is currently climbing from the SR Interchange Zone, heading toward this marked reversal area. Here's why this zone matters:
Confluence of past resistance and imbalance
Potential liquidity sweep above minor highs
Perfect setup for a bearish reaction to form a lower high
Traders should watch for signs of weak bullish candles, wicks, or a bearish engulfing here.
🔄 SR Interchange (Support-Resistance Flip):
This level held firm, showing buyer interest after a previous structure break. It signals a healthy correction phase — a typical SMC signature before larger moves occur. The market is offering a retracement opportunity.
🟡 CHoCH Zones:
Minor CHoCH (0.006900): A break and close below this level would invalidate bullish correction and confirm the shift in momentum.
Major CHoCH (0.006840): The final confirmation of bearish dominance. A breach here opens the door for new lows, targeting long-term support areas.
⚔️ Smart Money Playbook:
Current Move: Price is in bullish retracement from previous demand zone
Watch Zone: 0.006975–0.006985 (Potential Smart Money sell zone)
Reaction Setup:
Bearish structure forms (e.g., M pattern, liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing)
Price breaks minor CHoCH
Sell Entry: After confirmation, with stops above reversal zone
TP1: SR Interchange level
TP2: Major CHoCH zone
📅 Fundamental Triggers Ahead:
Watch for upcoming USD economic data (CPI, PPI, interest rate decisions) between June 11–14, which could act as catalysts for volatility and confirm technical setups.
🧠 Educational Note:
This setup is a classic example of market structure shift, liquidity engineering, and order block theory — concepts used by banks and smart money traders. Retail traders often get trapped on the wrong side of these zones. Your edge lies in anticipating the trap, not reacting to it.
🎯 Conclusion:
JPYUSD is offering a textbook Smart Money setup. The current retracement gives an opportunity to position early into a likely bearish continuation, provided structure confirms at the next reversal zone. Patience, discipline, and precise timing will be key to capitalizing on this move.
NQM June 9 Breakout in Play| Momentum Building Toward 22000📝 Description:
📅 Date: 09 June 2025
📊 Instrument: NQM2025 (Micro Nasdaq Futures)
NQM has successfully broken above the critical 21700 level, confirming a bullish breakout from the earlier consolidation zone (21605–21675).
This move has unlocked a fresh momentum zone — supported by strong bullish candles and higher timeframe RSI strength.
🔥 Active Bullish Outlook:
📌 Breakout Level: 21700 ✅
📈 Next Targets:
1)🎯 21850
2)🎯 22000
Above 22000
🛑 Temporary Pause Expected: 21980 – 22080
→ Market may range or pull back slightly in this zone
💥 Post-Pause Momentum: Targeting up to 22200
🔍 What to Monitor:
A clean breakout above 22000 may stretch up to 22020–22050, where we may see a short pause.
If the price holds above 21980, the next leg toward 22200 could begin.
Avoid chasing entries near 22000 — wait for either a dip to support or clear breakout continuation.
📊 Analysis Based On: Emperor Pivot + RSI Candle Setup
🔹 Emperor Candles confirm trend & Strength
🔹 Emperor Pivots define Buyer and Seller zones
BTCUSD VIP Analysis – Clean Breakout Toward 109K + Target🧠 Full Technical Breakdown for TradingView & Minds
🗓 Date: June 9, 2025 | Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | Chart: 2H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently staging a strong breakout rally after consolidating within a bullish structure. This move appears to be fueled by smart money accumulation and could lead us directly into a high-probability reversal zone just below 109K.
Let’s dive into the full structure and what traders should look out for next.
🔍 1. Previous Market Behavior (Left Side of Chart):
Before the breakout, BTC had been trading inside a bearish channel, experiencing sharp rejections and forming lower highs. This downtrend climaxed at the Previous Reversal Zone, where strong buyer interest kicked in — this is a textbook example of a liquidity grab followed by buyer absorption.
📈 2. The Reversal & Blue Ray:
From the Previous Reversal Zone, BTC formed a solid impulsive move upward — this is where the Blue Ray trendline was drawn. This level acted as the initial support for the new bullish structure.
The move from this point formed a new trend, indicating that buyers had successfully reclaimed short-term control of the market.
🟩 3. Central Zone – Bullish Reaccumulation Area:
As BTC progressed, it entered a green bullish channel, which we’ve labeled the Central Zone. This zone shows consolidation within a rising wedge, typically a continuation pattern if volume remains steady.
Notice how price respected both boundaries of the channel multiple times before exploding upwards. This is a sign of smart money reaccumulation, where institutions are quietly preparing for the next leg.
🚀 4. Breakout to the Upside:
BTC has now broken out cleanly from the Central Zone with an aggressive bullish candle, pushing price above 106,000. This breakout suggests a mid-move continuation, and current price action is heading straight for the Next Reversal Zone between 108,800–109,200.
Also note the clean cross above the 50% Fibonacci zone, which further supports the bullish thesis.
🔹 5. Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
This is the most critical zone on the chart. Price may:
Reject sharply from this area (short opportunity),
Consolidate before continuation,
Or sweep liquidity above it and reverse hard.
This zone could act as a smart money sell zone, where large players unload positions, especially if retail traders jump in late.
🧮 6. Possible Scenarios Ahead:
Scenario A – Bullish Continuation:
Price breaks 109K cleanly with volume.
Next target: 111K–112K (extension level).
Scenario B – Rejection from Reversal Zone:
Price stalls near 109K.
Bearish engulfing candle forms.
Short opportunity back toward 106K–104K.
Scenario C – Fakeout Above 109K:
Price sweeps highs (liquidity trap).
Fast reversal back into Central Zone.
🎯 Trade Setups:
🚨 Breakout Buy (Already Triggered):
Entry: 105,500–106,000
Target 1: 107,500
Target 2: 108,800
SL: 104,800
🛑 Reversal Short (Pending):
Entry: 108,900–109,100 (with confirmation)
Target: 106,000
SL: 109,600
⚠️ Fundamental Awareness:
Multiple U.S. economic events this week (see calendar icons below the chart).
Increased volatility expected — use smaller positions or wider stops near data release times.
📌 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic example of smart money behavior — liquidity grab, controlled reaccumulation, then a breakout toward a magnet zone (reversal supply). If you're already in the move, manage your positions. If not, wait for price action confirmation near the key zone.
Bitcoin — Breakout or Bull Trap? SFP Setup ExplainedAfter a clean drop that nearly tagged the psychological $100K level, Bitcoin printed a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) — sweeping the lows and snapping back with strength. That bounce wasn’t just a reaction — it was a liquidity reclaim.
Now, price structure is shaping into a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders — a classic reversal pattern often forming before a bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Level to Watch:
$106,694.63 — This recent key high was just taken out. If we see rejection here (SFP), it could set up a high-probability low-risk short opportunity.
🎯 Short Trade Idea (Only on SFP confirmation):
Entry: After price sweeps $106,694.63 and shows rejection
Stop-Loss: Above wick high (e.g., ~$107.4K)
TP Zones: $103.5K and $101.7K
R:R: ~1:7
✅ Cleaner setup with confluence from structure and liquidity — high probability if confirmed.
📚 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Work So Well
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the most powerful setups in trading because they:
Trap breakout traders
Sweep liquidity and reverse quickly
Offer clear invalidation (wick high/low)
Allow for tight stop-loss and high R:R setups
Using SFPs in conjunction with key highs/lows, volume, and structure dramatically increases your edge.
📈 Why Order Flow Is Crucial for SFPs
1. See the Trap Form in Real Time
SFPs are essentially traps — price sweeps a key level, sucks in breakout traders, and then reverses. Order flow tools let you see this happen:
A spike in market buys above resistance
Followed by a lack of follow-through (no new buyers)
And then an aggressive absorption or reversal (selling pressure hits)
Without order flow, this is all hidden in the candles.
2. Confirm Liquidity Sweeps with Delta & CVD
Watch for a delta spike or Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence — a clear sign that aggressive buyers are getting absorbed.
This gives you confirmation that the sweep failed, not just a random wick.
3. Tight Entries with Confidence
When you see actual trapped volume or liquidation clusters at the SFP level, you can enter tighter with conviction — because you're not guessing, you’re reacting to actual intent and failure in the market.
4. Early Warning System for Reversal or Continuation
If the SFP fails to trigger a reversal (e.g. buyers step back in with strength), you’ll see it early in the flow — and can quickly reassess.
🧠 Bottom Line:
Order flow lets you stop guessing and start seeing the actual fight between buyers and sellers. Combine it with SFPs, and you're not just trading price — you're trading intent. That edge is huge.
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Dollar - Still going for TargetAs mentioned in the video on Friday 2 min before NFP. We could run higher on the dollar and i didnt want it to take out the 4 hour candle as shown here.
Go back and see the video for reference. Link below
We should head towards the Target now and im still bearish dollar. Very Bearish
Workforce participation is declining, government debt is risingWorkforce participation is declining, government debt is rising. Are we seeing the makings of major military conflicts?
This chart shows two key economic indicators for the U.S. from 2001 to 2025:
- U.S. labor force participation rate: the percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or actively looking for work.
- U.S. government debt as a % of GDP: the ratio of total federal debt to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP), but the scale is flipped - meaning higher debt appears lower on the graph, and vice versa.
What does “government debt as a % of GDP” mean?
This ratio shows how much the government owes relative to the size of the entire economy. If the ratio grows, it means debt is rising faster than the economy. The debt-to-GDP ratio surged sharply after the 2008 crisis and again during the COVID-19 pandemic. By 2024, it reached around 124% and is expected to keep rising. Since the chart uses an inverted scale, the red line drops lower as debt increases.
This graph clearly illustrates an inverse relationship between labor force participation and government debt as a share of GDP:
As workforce participation declines → government debt grows. This pattern is especially visible during major economic shocks like the 2008 crisis and the 2020 pandemic.
Why does this happen?
- Economic downturns: when fewer people are working or job-hunting, economic growth slows, tax revenues fall, and the government tends to borrow more to support the economy and social programs.
- Demographic shifts: as the population ages (e.g, baby boomers retiring), fewer people remain in the labor force. This slows down growth and increases the strain on government programs, which also drives up debt.
- Government policy: during times of crisis, the state often increases spending - and thus borrowing- to support the economy, pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio higher.
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview:
Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal.
📌 Key Levels & Price Zones:
🔻 Trendline Breakdown
A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength.
🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330)
This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish.
🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350)
A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again.
⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290)
This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone.
🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280)
A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation.
🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265)
This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement.
📈 Forecast Path:
Based on the price projection:
Expect lower highs to form.
If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone.
A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control.
📊 Trade Ideas:
🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario:
Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones.
Entry: After confirmation below 3,330
Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265
SL: Above 3,350
🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario:
If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal.
Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone
Target: Back to 3,322 or higher
📅 Upcoming Events to Watch:
There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely.
✅ Final Thoughts:
Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management.
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