Gold selling pressure decreased at the end of the week⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under modest pressure during Friday’s Asian session, unable to build on the previous rebound from the mid-$3,300s. Renewed strength in the US Dollar, which extends its recovery from a multi-week low, acts as a headwind for the non-yielding metal. Additionally, fresh optimism surrounding the US-Japan trade agreement has dampened safe-haven demand, keeping gold on the defensive for the third consecutive day.
That said, lingering uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, along with concerns about its independence amid growing political pressure, could limit the USD's upside. Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions—this time along the Thailand-Cambodia border—may lend some support to bullion. Investors now await US Durable Goods Orders data, which could influence the greenback’s direction and provide short-term cues for the XAU/USD pair going into the weekend.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are consolidating and starting to fall below 3400 to stabilize. The momentum for an early rate cut is waning.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3399- 3401 SL 3406
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3310-$3312 SL $3305
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3333
TP3: $3345
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold – 25 July: Watching M15 Demand for Bullish Reversal📍 Gold – 25 July Outlook
Early Signs of Reversal from H4 OB Zone – Wait for Clear Continuation
🔍 Market Recap & Context:
Yesterday, the H4 Order Block zone (3359–3345) was retested and showed signs of holding. A visible M15 structure shift (ChoCH) suggests the market may be preparing to resume the uptrend.
However, the M15 Break of Structure (BoS) has not yet occurred — so this is not a confirmed reversal .
📍 Current Zone to Watch:
M15 Demand Zone: 3359.5 – 3351.5
Price is retracing into this zone. If respected, it could be the base for the next bullish leg.
📌 Trade Setup Possibility:
If price holds the M15 demand zone and M1 gives confirmation (e.g., micro-ChoCH + micro-BoS , a long trade could be considered.
But keep in mind — this would be an aggressive entry , because the M15 BoS is still pending.
This setup would rely on:
• Candlestick behavior
• Volume spikes or reaction
• Price action psychology
✅ Strategy Note:
Wait for signals like:
– Bullish engulfing on M1 or M5
– Micro ChoCH + demand hold
– Volume absorption or imbalance reaction
Only act if the market shows strength — not just a zone tap.
📝 Summary:
• Bias: Early bullish reversal watch
• Zone in Play: 3359.5–3351.5 (M15 demand)
• Confirmation: M1 LTF shift + strong candlesticks
• Caution: No M15 BoS yet — be precise and patient
• Risk Management: 1:3 RR — 40 pip SL / 120 pip TP
Let the chart speak first — observe with stillness, execute with precision.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
SPK Market Update – Key Levels Ahead 🚨 SPK Market Update – Key Levels Ahead 🔄📉📈
SPK previously formed a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, which was confirmed by a breakdown. So, what’s next?
🔹 Option 1:
Price could move down to the two blue support levels — these zones may offer potential long entries, as buyers were active here before. Watch for confirmation! 👀
🔺 Option 2:
We also have a red resistance zone, located around the right shoulder of the H&S.
If INDEX:SPK breaks above this zone, it may signal the return of buyers and a potential bullish reversal.
Quarterly Candle AnalysisQuarterly candle data going back to 1928 was exported and analyzed in Excel .
The purpose of doing so was to identify candles comparable to the candle we had in Q2 of 2025 (last quarter) in terms of scale and form.
Two properties of the candles were considered:
1. Candle Length as a % of Close (Column L)
2. Lower Wick as a % of Close minus Upper Wick as a % of Close (Column R)
The product of these properties (Column S) was considered as the primary quantitative metric for this analysis.
The two quarters determined to be most similar based on having green candles with forms similar to Q2 2025 were as follows:
Q4 1998
Q1 2016
Both quarters were followed by at least 4 more bullish quarters, hence, the result of this analysis is bullish, as should be expected with such a bullish candle.
GAMUDA CONT MARKING UP PHASEThis is a continuation from my prev post
**Refer to the link below
This is a play coming from the Stepping Stone (SS)
-SS is a term, in wcykoff methode , particularly describing a momentarily 'pause' in between, consecutive mark up phase.
Absoprtion detected from the on going SS
*Black arrow
with the possibility of Trigger Bar today, in the background of SpringBoard Schematic #2 *Purple arrow
-Position initiated as attached
PureWyckoff
XAU/USD – Elliott Wave Update | Wave (2) in Progress)OANDA:XAUUSD
🔍 Wave Structure Overview
We’re currently in a
Prior impulse (likely 1-2-3-4-5) completed, forming (Circle) wave ①
Current correction unfolding as (A)-(B)-(C) in yellow
↳ Presently in wave (A) or transitioning into (B)
↳ Within (B), structure is forming as A-B-C
↳ Currently tracking 5-wave move from 4 to 5
📐 Fibonacci & Key Levels
Watching 61.8% retracement as a critical support zone ✅
This level also marks a high-probability TP area for short positions
Strong confluence:
🔹 Fibonacci retracement
🔹 Extension alignment (e.g. yellow fib extension to ~4403)
🔹 Trendline reaction expected
🧠 Trade Setup (Scenario-Based)
🔸 Scenario A – Early Entry:
Enter small long near 61.8% Fib zone
SL: Below last swing low
TP: To be refined once C-wave completes
🔸 Scenario B – Confirmation Entry:
Wait for break above red trendline
Add position
SL below Fib zone low
TP around Fibonacci extension / structure resistance (~4403)
⚠️ Key Considerations
Many positions will close in this zone → increase in selling pressure
Possible reversal zone → watch for confirmation (impulse or ABC)
Once wave (C) completes, we’ll likely see entry into a larger bearish move
📎 Conclusion
This is a high-probability reversal zone, supported by Elliott structure and Fib levels. I’m planning to scale in based on price action and confirmation.
📈 Stay flexible, manage risk, and watch the structure evolve.
MOH PUT TRADE ALERT (07/24)
🚨 MOH PUT TRADE ALERT (07/24) 🚨
📉 Extreme Oversold. Institutional Selling. Setup is Real.
🧠 Key Stats:
• RSI: 13.2 = insanely oversold
• Volume: 🔺2.6x last week = institutions dumping
• Put/Call Ratio: 0.33 → heavy bearish bets
• VIX: Low → IV still cheap 💰
🔥 TRADE IDEA
🔻 Buy MOH $150 PUT exp 8/15
💰 Entry: $4.20
🎯 Target: $8.40
🛑 Stop: $2.50
📈 Confidence: 75%
📊 Why this works:
• Everyone’s selling, and the chart confirms it
• IV still low → great R/R for puts
• Only risk? Dead-cat bounce — use stop.
🧨 Execute at open — momentum is accelerating.
#MOH #PutOptions #BearishSetup #OversoldRSI #UnusualOptionsActivity #TradingView #InstitutionalSelling #SmartMoney #SwingTrade #WeeklyOptions #ShortTheBounce
EW EARNINGS TRADE SETUP
📈 EW EARNINGS TRADE SETUP (07/24) 📈
💥 Quiet stock, loud opportunity. Fundamentals strong. Market asleep. We’re not.
🧠 Quick Read:
• Beat rate: 88% over 8 quarters
• Margins elite (OP Margin: 29%, Net: 75.7%)
• RSI 43 → Neutral setup with room to run
• Big OI at $80 calls (6.7k+) 💪
• IV not bloated → low crush risk ✅
🎯 TRADE IDEA
🟢 Buy EW $80 Call exp 8/15
💰 Entry: $1.55
🎯 Target: $4.65
🛑 Stop: $0.77
📈 Confidence: 70%
📊 Why it works:
• Medical device demand + aging population = macro tailwind
• Market ignoring it = opportunity
• Risk-on tape + IV sweet spot
#EW #OptionsAlert #MedicalTechStocks #EarningsSetup #LongCall #RiskReward #OptionsTrading #StockAlert #SwingTrade #TradingView #SmartMoneyFlow
HCA EARNINGS TRADE (07/24)
🚨 HCA EARNINGS TRADE (07/24) 🚨
🏥 Healthcare with earnings tonight after close — high-upside setup brewing.
🧠 Quick Breakdown:
• 📊 Revenue Growth: +5.7% (stable, defensive sector)
• 💸 Margins: Operating 15.6%, EBITDA 19.9% = efficient and strong
• 🧠 Beat Rate: 75% with 6.7% avg surprise → credible upside
• 📉 RSI: 22.5 → OVERSOLD and primed for bounce
• 💬 Whisper sentiment strong from sector peers (e.g., Tenet)
• 🔥 Analysts target: $391.54 → 13.8% upside
💥 TRADE SETUP
🟢 Buy HCA $375 Call exp 8/15
💰 Entry: $3.90
🎯 Target: $11.70 (200–300%)
🛑 Stop: $1.95
📈 Confidence: 73%
⏰ Entry: Before Close Today (Pre-Earnings)
📆 Earnings: Today After Market (AMC)
📊 IV Rank: 0.60 → fair pricing
📉 Expected Move: ~5%
⚠️ RSI this low + sector strength = earnings bounce candidate. Watch the $375 breakout zone. 🎯
#HCA #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #HealthcareStocks #UnusualOptionsActivity #CallOptions #TradingView #DayTrading #OversoldBounce #EarningsSeason
07/24/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +1452
Sleep: 4 hours
Overall health: need to catch up on sleep
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) **
— 9:37 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :white_check_mark:
— 10:10 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal :white_check_mark:
— 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :x:
— 1:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal :white_check_mark:
— 1:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3:white_check_mark:
**What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? **
Today's market was a bit wild in the morning with a lot of big moves, sot here was opportunity to money if followed the signals.
I mostly finished trading by 12:30 because there was so many big moves.
**News**
(US) Pres Trump: Regarding firing Powell, would be a big move, it's not necessary; No pressure for Powell to resign; Have 1-3 names in mind for Fed Chair position
**What are the critical support levels to watch?**
--> Above 6370= Bullish, Under 6355= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
BX EARNINGS TRADE (07/24)
🚨 BX EARNINGS TRADE (07/24) 🚨
💼 Blackstone drops earnings after close — setup looks 🔥 bullish
🧠 Key Insights:
• 📉 TTM Revenue: -8.2%, but Q2 bounce back = $764M profit
• 💰 Margins: Strong → 45.3% operating, 20.6% net
• 📈 RSI: 73.88 = HOT momentum
• 🧠 AUM: $1.2 Trillion = 🐘 heavyweight
• 🔥 Options Flow: Call skew at $182.50 = institutional bullish bets
• 🧮 Expected move: ~5% post-earnings
💥 TRADE SETUP
🟢 Buy BX $182.50 Call exp 7/25
💰 Entry: $0.69
🎯 Target: $1.38–$2.07 (200–300%)
🛑 Stop: $0.34
📈 Confidence: 85%
⏰ Entry: Before Close Today (Pre-Earnings)
📊 IV Rank: 0.75 → options decently priced
⚠️ Watch resistance at $185 — breakout = 🚀
Tight risk, big reward. Pure earnings momentum play.
#BX #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #Blackstone #UnusualOptionsActivity #CallOption #TradingView #FinanceStock #InstitutionalFlow #OptionsAlert
INTC EARNINGS TRADE (07/24)
🚨 INTC EARNINGS TRADE (07/24) 🚨
🎧 Earnings drop after close — here’s the high-conviction setup 📊
🧠 Key Highlights:
• 💥 Surprise Beat Rate: 88%, avg surprise = 419%
• 📉 Margins: Ugly (-36% net margin) but improving sentiment
• 📈 Volume Surge + $24 resistance test = pre-earnings drift 🚀
• 🔎 Mixed options flow → cautious bulls leaning in
• 🎯 Sector: SEMI = 🔀 rotating hard, competition vs AMD/NVDA rising
💥 TRADE SETUP
🟢 Buy INTC $23.50 Call exp 7/25
💰 Entry: $0.59
🎯 Target: $1.18
🛑 Stop: $0.29
📈 Confidence: 75%
⏰ Entry: Before Earnings (Close 07/24)
📆 Earnings: Today After Market (AMC)
📊 Expected Move: 5%
⚠️ Play the earnings drift → gap up = profit. Miss = cut fast. Risk = defined. Reward = explosive.
#INTC #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #IntelEarnings #UnusualOptionsActivity #TechStocks #Semiconductors #TradingView #EarningsSeason #DayTrading #CallOptions
Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn█ Liquidity ≠ Volume: The Truth Most Traders Never Learn
Most traders obsess over volume bars, but volume is the footprint, not the path forward.
If you’ve ever seen price explode with no volume or fail despite strong volume, you’ve witnessed liquidity in action.
█ Here’s what you need to know
⚪ Volume Is Reactive — Liquidity Is Predictive
Volume tells you what happened.
Liquidity tells you what can happen.
█ Scenario 1: Price Jumps on Low Volume
❝ A price can jump on low volume if no liquidity exists above.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
The order book is thin above the current price (i.e., few or no sellers).
Even a small market buy order clears out available asks and pushes price up multiple levels.
Volume is low, but the impact is high because there’s no resistance.
⚪ Implication:
This is called a liquidity vacuum.
It can happen before news, during rebalancing, before session openings, on illiquid instruments, or during off-hours.
Traders often overestimate the strength of the move because they only see the candle, not the absence of offers behind it.
█ Scenario 2: Move Fails on High Volume
❝ A move can fail on high volume if it runs into a wall of offers or bids.❞
⚪ What’s happening?
There’s a strong surge of aggressive buying or selling (high volume).
But the order book has deep liquidity at that level — large resting limit orders.
The aggressive traders can’t chew through the liquidity wall, and price stalls or reverses.
⚪ Implication:
This is called liquidity absorption.
Market makers or institutions may intentionally absorb flow to stop a breakout.
Many retail traders mistake this for “fakeouts,” but it’s really liquidity defending a level.
⚪ What the Research Says
Cont, Stoikov, Talreja (2014): Price responds more to order book imbalance than trade volume.
Bouchaud et al. (2009): Liquidity gaps, not trade size, are what truly move markets.
Hasbrouck (1991): Trades only impact price if they consume liquidity.
Institutions don’t chase candles — they model depth, imbalance, and liquidity resilience.
⚪ Where the Alpha Lives
Liquidity tells you where the market is weak, strong, or vulnerable — before price moves.
Fakeouts happen in thin books.
Reversals occur at hidden walls of liquidity.
Breakouts sustain when liquidity follows the price, not pulls away.
If you understand this, you can:
Enter before volume shows up
Avoid chasing dead breakouts
Fade failed moves into empty space
█ Final Truth
Volume is the echo. Liquidity is the terrain. Alpha is in reading the terrain. You want to study the structure, because price moves toward weakness and away from strength. Learn to see where liquidity is, or where it’s missing, and you’ll see trading with new eyes.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Safe Entry Tesla1h & 4h Green Zones are safest entry Zones.
Stop loss Below.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the