Beyond Technical Analysis
NZDUSD Expecting ahead of GrowthNZDUSD Market Outlook
NZD/USD experienced a sharp decline during the Pacific and Asian sessions and is now testing support along its established upward trendline. This downward move appears to be a temporary correction, occurring amid broader U.S. dollar weakness and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Resistance zone 0.61200
Support Level 0.59800
Despite the recent drop, the overall trend for NZD/USD remains bullish, with the pair likely to find support at key technical levels. The correction in the U.S. dollar could offer further upside potential for the New Zealand dollar if the broader trend persists.
you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for modify Thanks.
Expect a Retracement... BUT not a Reversal in S&P Hi Trading Community,
Just a quick update on what I expect price action to look like for the ES over the next couple of days.
As you know, I've been bullish on this move — and I still am. However, there is some justification for a potential retracement to key levels. In particular, my attention is on the 5928 area.
It's too early to call this a full reversal, but let’s stay sharp in our trading and continue learning.
#OneCandleStickAtATime
NASDAQ Weekly Trading Strategy: Bullish Opportunities Amid Secto- Current Price: 21631.04
- Key Insights:
- NASDAQ’s mixed performance suggests an ideal opportunity for selective
trading, with robust long-term bullish trends juxtaposed against short-term
volatility.
- Traders should focus on support levels for entry and utilize resistance
targets for profit-taking. Technology stocks exhibit vulnerabilities but may
rebound if key supports hold. Tesla's relative strength over peers offers
additional momentum within the sector.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 22,000
- T2: 22,600
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 21,200
- S2: 20,800
- Recent Performance:
- The NASDAQ saw a -0.63% decline last week, performing better than the Dow
(-1.32%) but lagging behind the S&P 500 (-0.39%). Technology sector divergence
dominated trading, with weakness in Nvidia and Apple contrasting Tesla’s
resilience.
- Expert Analysis:
- Despite short-term challenges, investor sentiment remains optimistic based
on institutional data, provided that support levels hold firm. NASDAQ’s position
above crucial long-term moving averages suggests sustained bullish interest.
However, short-term signals warn of possible pullbacks due to broader risk
aversion.
- News Impact:
- Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East contributed to increased
market volatility. Risk-off sentiment pushed investors toward safer assets like
gold and oil, impacting equity flows. As tensions persist, the market may face
heightened challenges next week.
Nike’s Accumulation Zone Signals Bullish Reversal Potential
Current Price: $60.53
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $63.25
- T2 = $66.00
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $55.80
- S2 = $52.40
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Nike's stock.
**Key Insights:**
Nike is currently navigating bearish sentiment, but its long-term bullish potential remains intact. Institutional investors have identified the stock's accumulation zone near $54-$50, which suggests strong recovery prospects. Near-term resistance at $65-$70 will play a vital role in defining future price direction, and downside risk should be closely monitored around $52.40 support levels. Additionally, the influence of geopolitical events and economic headwinds should be factored into trading strategies.
**Recent Performance:**
In recent months, Nike's stock has struggled due to rising retail costs, supply chain challenges, and tightening discretionary spending. These factors have led to a bearish phase, but long-term resilience in Nike’s operational model allows it to weather such phases historically. Price action between $55 and $60 depicts bottoming tendencies, offering potential entry points for bullish investors.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts emphasize accumulation zones around $54-$50 as critical for institutional buying and long-term bullish setups. While immediate resistance close to $70 may face rejection, a breakout above this point will likely signal bullish reversals with price targets beyond $70. Nike’s brand value, evolving direct-to-consumer strategies, and market leadership position increase confidence in its mid- to long-term outlook. Technical indicators such as MACD and RSI suggest improving momentum, providing further validation for bullish positions.
**News Impact:**
Recent macroeconomic concerns, including inflation and geopolitical instability, continue to weigh on global consumer markets. Rising oil prices and constrained discretionary spending are notable challenges for retail stocks. However, Nike’s strategic focus on expanding its direct-to-consumer operations, coupled with its robust digital presence, could counterbalance some of these headwinds. Monitoring broader retail sector trends and geopolitical developments will be essential for optimizing timing and risk exposure.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Nike’s current price action suggests a slow recovery from bearish trends, with promising long-term growth potential. Investors could consider taking bullish positions at current levels with clearly defined stop-loss levels to mitigate short-term volatility risks. Success in breaking above resistance levels could spark a reversal rally exceeding $70, aligning with technical and fundamental factors supporting upward momentum.
BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab | (June 16, 2025)BTCUSD | Short Bias | Liquidity Grab Setup | (June 16, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Bitcoin hit a solid take-profit earlier, but now I’m watching for a potential liquidity grab near the highs to set up a short opportunity. The next key zone to watch is around 1:11 PM if price quickly spikes and reverses.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry: Around 113 (after a confirmed liquidity grab at the top)
Stop Loss: Just above the liquidity grab zone
TP1: Around 103900 (Point of Control zone)
TP2: Final target at 97900
Partial Exits: Possible scaling out at POC zone
3️⃣ Key Notes: Spot selling is active, but there's also a lot of buying interest—especially from those trying to long this dip. That mix can lead to a fast liquidity grab, flushing out early shorts before a reversal. Open interest suggests there's still a lot of activity, so I’m being patient and only acting on confirmation.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up: I’ll keep an eye on this setup and update if the reversal confirms after the grab.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Today's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsFrom a daily chart perspective, the violent rally in USOIL driven by external factors has completely disrupted prior technical expectations. The sharp surge has also significantly exhausted future upside potential, explaining today's gap-up and subsequent decline. With minimal likelihood of near-term de-escalation in the Iran situation, USOIL is likely to remain bullish. However, severe overbought conditions on technical charts have disrupted structural expectations, necessitating a price correction.
Technically, the $70-$75 range serves as a reasonable short-term consolidation zone, contingent on no severe escalation in Iran tensions. Given the high probability of worsening tensions, USOIL may retest $75 and even challenge $80 driven by geopolitical developments.
Thus, while the market remains focused on Iran-related risks, the short-term bias remains bullish. Avoid chasing the rally recklessly. Focus on the $70.5-$71.5 pullback zone early in the week—consider long entries only after price consolidation in this area.
USOIL
buy@70.50-71.50
tp:74-76-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
BTC is stuck in a tightening triangle — compression phaseVolatility building up into June 18–19.
Expect a big breakout.
Main scenario: breakout to the upside with a “God Candle” and new momentum for altcoins after prolonged BTC dominance.
Alts have been suppressed, but that’s part of the setup — don’t get tricked by the fake moves.
Stay patient, don’t lose focus, and be ready for a sharp move!
EUR/CAD Long Bias🚀 EUR/CAD – Strong Long Opportunity Based on Multi-Factor Confluence
Over the past week, I conducted a comprehensive macro and sentiment-driven analysis across G10 FX pairs. Among several potential setups, EUR/CAD emerged as the most fundamentally and technically aligned long opportunity, supported by a confluence of high-probability signals across positioning, macro divergence, and capital flow sentiment.
🔍 Key Drivers Behind the EUR/CAD Long Bias:
1️⃣ Macroeconomic Divergence (ENDO View)
🇪🇺 Eurozone has shown relative stability in core macro indicators:
Inflation continues to cool, providing flexibility for ECB rate guidance.
GDP growth remains structurally flat but not contracting — suggesting resilience.
🇨🇦 Canada, on the other hand:
Shows a deteriorating inflation-growth mix.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production trends are softening.
ENDO analysis flags CAD as one of the weakest among G10 currencies.
2️⃣ Positioning – COT Report & Z-Scores
Speculative traders are increasing their long exposure to EUR (COT net longs rising +13,887 last week).
Z-Score on EUR long positions: +1.33 → statistically elevated interest in long EUR exposure.
CAD positioning is flat-to-negative, with no bullish buildup in speculative flows.
This gives EUR a clear relative edge in terms of speculative conviction.
3️⃣ Score & EXO Sentiment Framework
EUR/CAD is one of few pairs showing clear directional consensus across:
✅ EXO Score Sheet: Long Bias confirmed.
✅ RR_w Sheet: Strong risk/reward rating supports further upside.
✅ IR Forecast Sheet: ECB-CAD policy spread favors EUR strength in medium term.
4️⃣ Market Sentiment – Risk Regime
We are currently in a “Risk-On” sentiment regime, which generally favors currencies like EUR over defensive, commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
CAD tends to underperform in reflationary sentiment waves — especially when Oil fails to support the currency.
5️⃣ Cluster & Trend Confirmation
While not a primary factor, cluster analysis shows that EUR/CAD is not in a weak trend regime.
Trend alignment over 30 and 14 days remains favorable.
🔚 Conclusion:
EUR/CAD is one of the few pairs this week that aligns across all analytical fronts: macro, positioning, sentiment, and structure. In a crowded FX environment, such confluence is rare and valuable.
$BANANOUSDT New ATH possible, nay, plausible??
An extreme local inverse head and shoulders formation can be observed in the area circled in white.
trading just under local VWAP, great entry for anyone lacking potassium.
HL double bottom observable on the daily chart.
if recent trends continue to develop, a strong surge past $0.00162477 could lead to a increase in momentum.
$0.00210914 would be the next resistance, although weaker than the one currently testing. if price continues to develop past $0.00236478, ill be looking for TP1 at $0.00274825, another rough patch through til $0.00339408 follows, about 50% thru that zone would be a good TP2 and 100% thru the zone would be my TP3. the last major resistance would be at $0.00385154 (TP4). after that, a new ATH for COINEX:BANANOUSDT becomes an increasing plausibility. i am long potassium at $0.00143801
ANYONE HAVE MUSCLE CRAMPS?
PLTR Quick Take: GEX & Chart Analysis-Jun 161️⃣ Gamma Context (1‑Hour Chart)
* A strong call gamma wall is forming around $143–145, with positive NET-GEX resistance near $150—dealers likely hedging up here, creating a short-term cap.
* Put gamma support sits at $131–134, providing a risk floor.
* Implied volatility sits mid-range (~25%), making options moderately priced—with bull call spreads around $140–145 being attractive if momentum aligns.
2️⃣ Price Structure & Momentum (15‑Min Chart)
* Support: Price held just above the $132–134 consolidation zone and bounced twice, showing clean rotation from support → BOS.
* Resistance: After the break above $139–140, sellers stepped in near $142–143 supply area, causing a CHoCH (Change of Character) indicating potential stall or pullback.
* Trendline dynamics: A rising trendline from morning lows offers intraday context. As long as that holds, upward bias remains valid.
3️⃣ Trade Idea & Execution
* Bullish Base: If PLTR climbs and retests $139–140 with momentum, consider initiating a $140–145 bull call spread. This plays for a move into the gamma wall while capping defined risk.
* Stop‑loss level: Watch for a dip below the trendline or $136–137. If that breaks, shift to neutral—no entries—until a fresh structure forms.
* Alternative scenario: A breakdown below $134 could trigger a put spread down toward $131–132, leveraging the put-side gamma wall as a target.
💡 Why This Setup?
* Gamma-based resistance aligns your trade horizon with key option dynamics—maximizing R/R while staying sensible.
* Defined-risk bullet spreads offer clarity and cost efficiency in these mid IV levels.
* Confluence on the chart—support hold and structural rotation—boosts confidence in directional bias.
⚠️ TradingView Disclaimer
This content is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Options involve significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always determine your strategy, position sizing, and risk management before trading. Ensure clarity on structure breakout or breakdown before opening a position.
TSLA: Gamma & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish-Jun 16TSLA: Gamma Setups & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish Run
1️⃣ Options GEX Insights
* Gamma ‘walls’ building: Strongest Call protection at 335–350, anchored by the largest NETGEX/Call Wall — signaling substantial gamma support in that zone.
* Current call exposure stands at 76.1%, with puts at 23.9%. With IV suppressed (28.2 vs 78.6 avg), volatility is compressed—ideal for a quick rebound if triggered.
* Price is near 325, resting above the 317.5 HVL, and poised to test the gamma shelf near 335–340. Entry into 0–5DTE or 3DTE calls around 325–330 offers leverage as gamma accelerates through these walls.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart & Trade Plan
* Structure: Broke down below ascending range, but just executed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) reversal near 309–310.
* Current trend: Eyes stacked higher lows (HL), structure confirmed—momentum is rebuilding.
* Key Zones:
* Entry area: on pullback/support near 325–326
* Target: 332.99–335+ (aligned with Call Wall)
* Invalidation: below 319.11, which would signal loss of structure.
⏫ Trade Suggestion: Consider initiating a bull entry on dip into 325–326, targeting 332–335 for the short term, and scaling out or trailing into gamma resistance zones.
🧠 Why I’m Interested
The alignment here is compelling: Options flow shows strong net gamma support ahead, IV is low (less decay hit), and structure reset (HL + BOS) confirms a textbook SMC setup. TSLA is carving out a classic bull signal off gamma-based support—ideal for scalping or short-term leg trades.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice—purely educational. Trade with proper risk management, and be aware options carry unique risks, including rapid theta decay and volatility shifts.
AMZN Quick Take: GEX & Chart Analysis- jun 161️⃣ Gamma Context (1‑Hour Chart)
* Call gamma wall clusters around $214–220, with the strongest resistance near $218–220—dealers may hedge/delta-neutralize here, creating selling pressure at that zone.
* Implied volatility is low (~13%) relative to average (~38%), making call spreads cheaper and appealing for defined-risk entries.
* Option setup suggestion: Consider a bull call spread around the $215–220 strike range. This targets the gamma resistance while managing risk—ideal in a low-IV environment.
2️⃣ Price Structure & Momentum (15‑Min Chart)
* Support: The $208–210 level has held twice, reinforced by a rising trendline—suggests short-term bullish structure.
* Resistance breakout occurred above the $214–217 supply box, confirming a short-term bullish shift (BOS). A strong volume breakout through this zone supports further upside.
* Key red flags: A breakdown below $208 or the trendline could invalidate the bull scenario, pushing price back toward $205 or lower.
3️⃣ Trade Logic & Execution
* Bullish Scenario: If AMZN holds above $210 and cleaves through $214–217 with conviction, initiate a $215–220 call spread with 5–10 days to expiration. This plays momentum toward the gamma ceiling.
* Risk Definition: Use a stop-loss just below the $208–210 trendline support. Breakdown triggers consideration for a bear put spread targeting $205, while maintaining risk discipline.
💡 Why This Setup?
* Gamma walls guide momentum: Targeting the $220 resistance uses options to your advantage while respecting dealer positioning.
* Low IV = cost efficiency: Spread premiums are cheaper, reducing breakeven pressure and making directional plays more attractive.
* Chart structure aligns: Support and breakout structure underpin the bullish thesis, giving confidence to engage defined-risk setups.
⚠️ TradingView Disclaimer
This analysis is educational, not financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always manage your position size, set stop-losses, confirm price action breaking structure, and be cautious around news or earnings events.
I'm selling EURUSD, you should too!!!War is always bullish Dxy and bearish Eur. Technically too, a high has been taken and expecting retracement.
TP1 @ 1.147
TP2 @ 1 137
Follow me as most of my trades are market orders, so you'll see them on time and enter the trades on time. I want you to recover the money you lost to the market and make so much more
Ya gazie
Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.