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Beyond Technical Analysis

Next Volatility Period: Around June 22 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M chart) The morning star candle that we often heard about when studying candles appeared. However, since the candle has not closed yet, the shape of the candle may change. In stock charts, there were cases where the movement could be predicted with the shape of these candles, but in the coin market, it is impossible to predict. The reason is that trading is possible 24 hours a day. Most candle shapes occur with gaps, allowing for a comprehensive interpretation, but in the coin market, gaps are not likely to occur, so I think there is nothing that can be known from the shape of the candles. Therefore, it is recommended not to try to analyze the chart with the actual shape or pattern of the candles. However, you need to study to be able to read the arrangement of the candles in order to set support and resistance points. Even this is not difficult to indicate support and resistance points because there are indicators that indicate support and resistance points. - (1W chart) The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point, which corresponds to the end of the high point. Also, the 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point, which corresponds to the middle of the high points. Therefore, the 99705.62-104463.99 section can be interpreted as the high point boundary section. The actual trend is likely to occur while falling from 99705.62. The importance of the 99705.62 point is increasing because the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near the HA-High indicator point. If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is possible that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. Also, if it falls from the HA-High indicator, it can meet the HA-Low indicator. Therefore, if the price starts to fall, you should check whether the HA-Low indicator is generated. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low range. That is, just as the HA-High indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the highs, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the lows. The end point of the lows corresponds to the DOM(-60) indicator point. - (1D chart) For this reason, it is important to see support around 104463.99-106133.74. The trend is likely to appear after the next volatility period, around June 22nd (June 21st-23rd). Therefore, we should consider the 104463.99-106133.74 range as the middle range, - and see if it falls below 99705.62, - or rises above 108316.90. Accordingly, we should create a response strategy and be prepared not to panic when a trend appears. - The OBV is currently below the Low Line. Therefore, if it does not receive support at the 104463.99 point, it is likely to fall again. Since the OBV oscillator is still below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong. However, looking at the overall movement of the oscillator, we can see that the selling pressure is decreasing. Therefore, if there is another decline, the key issue is whether there is support near 99705.62. - In summary, the area around 104463.99 is playing an important role as support and resistance. Therefore, after the next volatility period, around June 22, we need to check and respond to the direction in which it deviates from the 99705.62-108316.90 range. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
CRUDE OIL: SHORT Swing Trade Idea - Israel & Iran Conflict Why SHORT it ? This first idea consist on shorting Crude Oil only if Iran is officially exploring peace initiative with Israel. Let's point out that Crude Oil's price was in a massive downtrend before the conflict. The conflict made the price spike up drastically due to disruptions made in the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important gateway for oil transportation. We can anticipate a drop of the price, stabilizing between 55$-65$ if Iran confirms peace with Israel and no disruptions being made in the Strait of Hormuz. Now, let's talk about technicals. We can see that price is heading towards a high resistance zone, made of a Weekly Breaker Block & a Daily FVG. We see how price reacts bearishly from that zone every time price visits it. We can anticipate the Buyside Liquidity as a important swing point (reversal), especially since it is inside one of our POI's ( Point of Interest - Daily FVG) making this play more valid. We will be targeting Sellside Liquidity as take profit target. With the idea of Iran exploring peace initiative, once it is confirmed, I would suggest to SHORT the price using the Buyside Liquidity as our Entry Point and using the most recent highs as Stop Loss. Let's wait on these confirmations ... As soon as we get that , LOCK IN ! If we do not have peace within both parties confirmed, I will look at a second idea and post it as well ! Please note that this trade might take days or even weeks before hitting our take profit target. Don't hesitate to show love to my Instagram page Chartyourway , I share daily motivation videos for traders ! Talk to you guys soon !
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by s_mesfioui
Turn Your Chart – Turn Your ViewCurious about tricking your trading mind? A lot of traders are constantly searching for new indicators or secret setups. But what if your biggest breakthrough is just a perspective shift away—literally? This article is about a unique but effective experiment: Rotate your candlestick chart by 90 degrees (horizontal instead of vertical) and see how your perception and analysis change. Example: ibb.co No, this isn’t a volume profile – this is the real NAS100 chart, just rotated by 90°! What do you see now? New patterns? Different price action? Sometimes a fresh angle reveals details you normally overlook and helps break your trading habits. --- What changes? 1. Patterns suddenly look different Trends, consolidations, and breakouts appear in a new light: – Uptrends and downtrends lose their emotional “up feels hard, down feels easy” effect. – Sideways markets become vertical clusters—your eye spots new structures. 2. Support & resistance become less dominant Your classic support and resistance zones disappear. You’re forced to rethink important levels—maybe you’ll notice supply/demand zones you always missed. 3. Emotional neutrality With a rotated chart, the usually existing “Long is better” bias fades. You view price action more objectively—and may discover signals you’d otherwise miss. --- Try it out! What did you discover by rotating your chart? Comment below or share your thoughts!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Education
by Precious_Life
ETH Short – Smart Money Setup | 17.06 🔍 Context: After a strong dump on ETH, clearly visible on the 1H chart (left side of image), I waited for a retrace into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone — typical Smart Money behavior. That’s where I started looking for a short setup. 🎯 Entry Logic: Now here's the part I’d love to discuss with you. The classic and maybe "cleanest" approach would be to wait for a market structure break on a lower timeframe and then enter on the continuation, targeting rejection zones visible again on the 1H. But… Lately, I’ve been taking entries directly from FVG, even before the break, if another FVG forms on the lower timeframe inside the higher timeframe zone. That’s what happened here — I saw a second FVG form in the key area, and took the short from that. Sometimes I even treat two FVGs in the same direction (on the same or different timeframes) as a valid entry point on their own. 🤔 Question to the community: How do you usually approach this? Do you wait for confirmation/structure break on the lower TF before entering, or do you also go straight from the FVG if the zone is respected well enough? Would love to hear how others manage similar setups.
Short
by SimonCryptoShmel
NZDUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🇳🇿 NZDUSD BUY SETUP – GLOBAL HORNS 🕐 Timeframe: 1H 📈 Direction: BUY 📍 Entry: 0.6012 (active) 🎯 Target: 0.6033 📊 Context: Price swept the lows and tapped into a prior structural zone. I’m positioned for a short-term rebound into the 0.6033 area, where liquidity likely sits from previous consolidations. 📌 As always, I manage these trades based on price action and time — not using traditional stops. #GlobalHorns #NZDUSD #ForexTrade
Long
by GlobalHorns
GBPUSD Sell Limit Activated June 17 2025This trade was taken today, (tuesday- june 17, 2025). Based on 1H timeframe Supply. I wait for London Session and check for possible liquidity sweep in 15 min and 5min timeframe. I noticed a CHOCH followed by tap in Supply zone of the schematics. I decide to create a sell limit order during New York Session to maximize the Risk to Reward Ratio. (Check the charts for detailed label and movement). 1:7RR Wyckoff schematics in 1H timeframe--> confluence of supply in lower timeframes for validity. RR:7 Another classic distribution. patience is the key :) #wyckoff #sell #supplyanddemand
Short
by glyrad
KTOS BUY Kratos Defense (KTOS) is a buy due to escalating global conflicts driving demand for low-cost, high-tech defense systems. KTOS aligns with shifting military priorities. Strong government contracts and rising revenues position it to benefit from sustained geopolitical instability and defense modernization. KTOS is pioneering AI-powered drones and autonomous systems, areas the Pentagon is prioritizing for future warfare capabilities. earnings showed double-digit YoY revenue growth and a rising backlog, confirming increasing contract momentum. The FY2025 U.S. defense budget remains robust, with a focus on next-gen warfare and drones. World conflicts not seeing improvement : Russia-Ukraine .. Israel-Iran
NASDAQ:KTOSLong
by wilhelmthethird
CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin | (June 17, 2025)CRCL (“Circle”) | Long | Stablecoin & Institutional Crypto Infrastructure | (June 17, 2025) 1️⃣ Short Insight Summary: Circle, known for its USDC stablecoin and institutional crypto infrastructure, displays a financially solid foundation with healthy free cash flow and an evolving product footprint, making it a compelling long-term play. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: Blue-chip levels in the $100–$120 zone (assumed range near current $160) Stop Loss: ~$90 (well beneath key support zones) Take Profit 1 (TP1): $200 (psychological & projected 5‑year mid-target) Take Profit 2 (TP2): $250 (upper end of 5‑year expectation) 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Latest revenue: ~$1.6 B with net income around $155 M; ~82–87 M floating shares, market cap ~$3 B. ✅ Free cash flow is ~6x less debt and matches cash levels—pointing to strong liquidity and balance sheet health. ✅ CEO Jeremy Allaire (since 2013) leads Circle’s path from peer payments to global crypto-financial infrastructure. ✅ Core stablecoin USDC, built on numerous chains (Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Optimism…), fuels 24/7 trading and reserves—~98% of income comes from net interest on reserves. ✅ Major partnerships include Visa, Shopify, Walmart, Ripple, Ledger, Coinbase, plus backing from Goldman Sachs—highlighting institutional trust. ✅ Regulatory-first design and transparency position Circle favorably amid evolving global crypto frameworks. 4️⃣ Optional Follow‑up Note: Will track key industry catalysts: regulatory clarifications (e.g. EU’s MiCA), stablecoin adoption rates, yield curve shifts impacting interest income, and enterprise integration announcements. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you find value in this idea! Also share your thoughts and charts in the comments section below! This supports keeping content free and reaching more people.
NYSE:CRCLLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
[ TimeLine ] Gold 9 & 11 June 2025📆 Market Update: Signal Timeline – Gold (June 9 & 11, 2025) 📌 Delayed Journal Entry — Trade Review & Breakdown 📍 Hi-Lo Ranges (with 60-pip buffer) • June 9, 2025: 3287 – 3344 (Single-candle setup) • June 9-10, 2025: 3287 – 3355 (Two-candle range) • June 11, 2025: 3294 – 3366 (Single-candle confirmation setup) 💡 Interestingly, these price patterns showed consistency, and I executed trades based on all three signals. ✅ June 9 – Buy Signal(s) 🔹 Trigger Points: • 3344 (Single-candle setup) • 3355 (Two-candle range) 🔹 Price Action: Strong bullish breakout toward 3451, but experienced significant retracement depending on entry point. • Drawdown: Up to 50–70% of the range based on entry. • Gain Potential: Approx. +960 to +1070 pips ⚠️ Fibonacci Note: Retracement to around 3310 aligned well with the 60% Fibonacci zone, providing a textbook re-entry opportunity. ✅ June 11 – Buy Signal 🔹 Trigger Point: 3366 🔹 Price Action: Continued bullish move to 3451, this time with less volatility and smaller pullback. • Gain Potential: Approx. +850 pips 📈🧠 Key Takeaway The June 9 signals required more patience and better handling of retracement, while June 11 offered smoother momentum with cleaner execution. Those following the Fibonacci strategy were well-positioned to catch the continuation. 📉📈 Chart Reference 🔗 Copy & paste into TradingView: TV/x/MyAsl0Gx/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
[ TimeLine ] Gold 17-18 June 2025📆 Today: Tuesday, June 17, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 17, 2025 (Tuesday) — Single-candle setup • June 17–18, 2025 (Tuesday–Wednesday) — Two-candle combined range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently posted a strong bullish rally of ~740 pips, breaking through the key psychological resistance at 3400. 🔁 Several re-entry opportunities emerged, especially around Fibonacci retracement levels, which served as reliable reaction zones. ⚠️ As of writing, the June 17 Hi-Lo range appears relatively narrow (~300 pips). It may be wise to wait for June 18 to form before committing to a trade, to avoid false breakout risks and gain clearer directional bias. ✅ I will personally trade both signals (June 17 and June 17–18) as part of my live research and strategy development. ⚠️ If you're feeling cautious, it's perfectly valid to skip the June 17 signal and prioritize the 2-day setup (June 17–18) instead. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range to fully form from the selected candle(s): ▫ Initially marked with purple lines on the chart. ▫ Additional levels (Fibonacci, buffer zones) will be added after market close. 🔹 Entry Rule: Triggered only on breakout beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 Recovery Rule: If SL is hit, cut/switch and double position size on the next valid breakout setup. 📉📈 Chart Reference 🔗 Copy & paste into TradingView: TV/x/Zg1X1vHF/ Stay tuned for the post-market update and range breakdown once the June 17 and 18 candles are closed. Let the chart guide you, and manage risk smartly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
What do we need to know before investing?If you are thinking about investing money for the potential returns it offers, you should know that it may go well, but that there are always risks. That’s why we are going to give you some basic tips to bear in mind before making any investment decision. How much money are you going to invest? First of all, you need to decide how much money you want to put towards your financial investments. The markets are subject to change The financial markets are constantly fluctuating. The term volatility is the most commonused term to describe and measure the uncertainty provided by changes to theprices of financial assets. Additionally, there are times in the market when the prices are more pronounced and every now and then there are crisis periods and asset prices fall dramatically. Investing in financial markets means that we have to assume that our investments will always be subject to these types of fluctuations. If you are going to invest in the financial markets the money that you invest must be money that you will not need during the investment term. That’s why, investing in order to obtain short term gains is inevitably associated with high risk. Furthermore, the larger our intended gains, the larger the associated risk. Always bear in mind that the greater the expected returns, the greater the assumed risk. Once again, be sure that you do not need the money that you are going to invest, as it may have losses. The opposite can be said of long term investments, where the capacity to wait and overcome falls in the market means that you can assume more risk with your investments. With a long term vision you will avoid having to experience any possible losses with your investment period due to any eventual liquidity needs. How much risk are you willing to take on? Before investing it is important to know the risk you can assume. Every investor has their own risk tolerance level that they need to be aware of. Risks and returns go hand in hand, because for more returns you also need to take on more risk, and vice versa. It is also good to know that just as with normal market conditions, those assets with a higher risk tend to suffer more fluctuations with their prices than those assets with less risk. Therefore, in general terms: When the forecasts for the financial markets are favourable and the market goes up, those assets with higher expected returns generally perform excellently. Whenever the financial markets are going through uncertain times, those assets with higher expected returns, and therefore more risk, tend to perform worse. You must start from a strong financial position To invest you need to be at a point where your accounts are well under control, including your debts. We do not mean to say that if you have any outstanding credit you cannot invest, but it is essential that everything is in order and that you are in a situation where you can fulfil your financial obligations. On the other hand, to build long term wealth, it is important that you assign part of your income to your savings, meaning that you have to invest with the money left over after making your payments while also saving part of what you earn. It is important to keep a composed outlook Now we know that investing bears its own risks and that the market is subject to change, it is essential to be composed when investing. When investing it is important to think positively, as if you don’t really believe that things will work out, why invest? It is one thing to be cautious, and to know how much money to invest and what level of risk tolerance to assume, and another to think negatively each time there is a drop in the market. In reality, investing is a combination of caution and composure. Diversification is the key to success Somebody with less investment experience may make the mistake of putting all of their investment budget into just one thing. However, it is much better to have diverse investments, as while some investments may not quite work out as you would have liked them to, some do even better. Losses are normal, and so are returns We previously said that when investing it is important to stay calm, and that is true. In this regard, you also have to bear in mind that it is normal for some investments in your portfolio to not perform as well as you had expected. We cannot predict the behaviour of the financial markets or of certain assets. We can also unexpectedly find ourselves with some assets that don’t perform as well as we had hoped. That is why we recommend, in addition to not risking more than you can invest, to diversify your investments well. We have already said that investment involves risk, which is why it is good to know that if you are willing to invest, you are also willing to take on risks. If you are prepared to take on this risk, you can be successful in your investments. Did you like it? Share with your friends by HollyMontt
SP:SPXEducation
by hollymontt
[ TimeLine ] Gold 2-3 June 2025Hello everyone, 📆 Today is Friday, May 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 2, 2025 (Monday) — Single candle setup • June 2–3, 2025 (Monday–Tuesday) — Two-candle range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently made a bearish move of ~780 pips, breaking below the prior key support at 3323, down to 3245 🔁 Multiple re-entry opportunities were identified using Fibonacci retracement levels, which provided solid price reaction points. ⚠️ If the June 2 Hi-Lo range appears wide and sideways, we may consider holding off until June 4 for confirmation of clearer directional bias. ✅ I will be trading both signals (June 2 and June 2–3) as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If the range is narrow or shows false breakout risk, it's okay to skip the June 2 signal and focus instead on the June 2–3 combined range. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candle(s) to fully form. ▫ These will be marked initially with purple lines on the chart. ▫ After market close, I’ll update the chart with additional indicator levels. 🔹 Entry triggers will be based on breakouts beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 If the trade hits SL, the plan is to cut/switch direction and double position size on the next valid signal as part of the recovery strategy. 📉📈 Chart Reference Copy & paste this code into your browser and add TradingView URL: 🔗 TV/x/iQrX0gJW/ ✅ Stay alert and follow the signal flow — upcoming entries could offer solid reward potential if executed with discipline. 📌 I'll post the final Hi-Lo levels and updated chart after the June 2 and June 3 candles close.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone, which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it. The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely. If the bottom at $102,500 holds, we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone — which also overlaps with a weekly target region. We’ll see what the next few days bring... Key events to watch right now: 1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down? 2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed? Feel free to drop any questions or feedback — I’ll read and respond to everything. LFG 🚀
by The-white-goat