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Beyond Technical Analysis

BTC - AnalysisWe’re currently back at the short-term trend reversal zone, which has been reactivated after price moved 3% away from it. The zone itself spans 1.6%, so a new reaction from this level is likely. If the bottom at $102,500 holds, we’ve activated a valid bullish structure that could take us up to the $119,000 target zone — which also overlaps with a weekly target region. We’ll see what the next few days bring... Key events to watch right now: 1️⃣ Israel & Iran – Will the conflict escalate or calm down? 2️⃣ Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting – Will QT be addressed? Feel free to drop any questions or feedback — I’ll read and respond to everything. LFG 🚀
by The-white-goat
Safe Entry Zone VCVTStock current at SIGNIFICANT Support Level. My Beloved Gathie Wood's Best investor ever just bought the stock too. P.High's & P.Lows(Previous Highs & Previous Lows) acts as good Support and resistances levels. 4h Green Zone Is Buying Zone. 4h Red Zone is Selling Zone. In case Break Throught red Zone stock will change to UP-Movement and Vice Versa. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NASDAQ:VCYTLong
by Faisalzor
BTC accumulates above 104,300 zonePlan BTC today: 17 June 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) price falls to around $106,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following a mild recovery the previous day. The decline comes as investors continue to digest the escalation of the Iran-Israel conflict and after US President Donald Trump highlighted concerns and asked his security advisors to meet in the Situation Room. While institutional interest in Bitcoin remains robust, any further escalation in the Middle East could impact global risk assets. The US steps in to resolve the Iran-Israel war Bitcoin price action remained broadly resilient on Monday despite escalating tensions in the Middle East. The four-day-old war between Israel and Iran, which began on Friday, has so far failed to trigger a sharp correction. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization held above its key psychological threshold of 100,000 despite the initial shock — a contrast to April last year, when BTC fell more than 8% amid similar Iran-Israel turmoil. The New York Times reported on Monday that US President Donald Trump has encouraged Vice President JD Vance and his Middle East envoy, Steve Witkoff, to offer to meet with the Iranians this week. personal opinion:!!! Gold price continues sideways and accumulates in 2 trend lines, support 104,300 Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 104.300 - 104.100 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
USDCHF: Up for a ride?What we just saw on USDCHF is a classic move that catches many traders off guard: Price swept the Previous Day’s Low (PDL) That’s where most retail traders get stopped out. It’s also where smart money often steps in. Break of Structure (BOS) followed immediately A clean shift in direction. Momentum flipped bullish. Fair Value Gap (FVG) below That’s likely where price will return to rebalance. If price respects that zone, the next destination? The liquidity resting above. This is one of those setups that reminds me: It’s not about catching every move. It’s about understanding why the move happened. Let’s see how it plays out.
Long
by Crusade1Jay
INTELLECT: BFSI + IT PlayBFSI sector has been buzzing over the last few months. This company is an IT sector company catering to them. Fundamentally, this is a strong company. Has had a vertical sort of rally in the last 6 weeks or so. Any dip in here will be bought. Nature of the market is mildly bullish with bouts of volatility. Use it to your advantage. The pivot marked on chart is roughly 7% away from current market price. Look to average out your buy price over the next few weeks and hold till stock is in Stage 2.
NSE:INTELLECTLong
by bharatbulls
GBPUSD consolidates resistance zone and declinesPlan GBPUSD day: 16 June 2025 Related Information: !!! The Pound Sterling (GBP) ticks up to near 1.3590 against the US Dollar (USD) so far on Monday, remaining inside Friday’s trading range. The GBP/USD pair is expected to keep trading within a tight range as investors have sidelined ahead of monetary policy announcements by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE), due on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively. At the start of the week, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, edges down to near 98.00. Investors will closely monitor the interest rate guidance from both central banks, while they are expected to leave those unchanged at their current levels personal opinion:!!! At the beginning of the week, there was not much important news. GBPUSD price was sideways and reacted to resistance and support zones. Important price zone to consider : SELL point: zone 1.35950 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Short
by JJainy
1
VIX Trade Plan – May 23, 2025⚠️ VIX Trade Plan – May 23, 2025 📊 Instrument: VIX (Volatility Index) 🎯 Strategy: Long Exposure via Direct Shares 📈 Confidence: 70% 📅 Time Horizon: 3–4 Weeks 📌 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot Price @ Entry: $21.88 Chart Structure: • M30 / Daily: Bullish – above 10/50/200 EMAs • Weekly: Mixed, but showing upward bias • RSI: Neutral to slightly overbought • MACD: Bullish cross on intraday; flattening on higher timeframes Volatility Context: • VIX up +26.9% over 5 days • Backwardation in VIX futures • Elevated VIX/VVIX ratio hints at further fear pricing Headline Risk: • Geopolitical + macroeconomic uncertainty • Trade war tensions and surprise policy risk driving implied vol 🔽 TRADE RECOMMENDATION Parameter Value 🔀 Direction LONG 💵 Entry Price $21.88 🛑 Stop Loss $20.14 (–8%) 🎯 Target Price $25.62 (+17%) 🧮 Size 100 shares 🏦 Risk Level ~1.5% of account ⏰ Entry Timing Market Open 📆 Hold Time 3–4 weeks 🧠 Rationale Behind the Trade All 5 models agree on a moderately bullish short- to mid-term trend in VIX. Momentum is supported by: Rising geopolitical risks Backwardated futures curve Technical setups across intraday/daily charts Entry point near $21.88 gives strong R/R if VIX spikes toward $25–$27 range. ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch VIX Mean Reversion: VIX tends to drop quickly if risk subsides. Overbought Intraday: May cause short-term pullbacks even in a bullish context. Headline Dependency: Any peace deal, central bank surprise, or good news may instantly crush implied vol. Liquidity Spreads: Use limit orders on open — VIX ETPs (e.g., VXX, UVXY) can see wide bid/ask gaps. 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "VIX", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 21.88, "stop_loss": 20.14, "take_profit": 25.62, "size": 100, "confidence": 0.70, "entry_timing": "open" } 💡 If VIX holds above $21.50 with momentum, this setup offers asymmetric upside. Stop placement near $20.14 helps protect against false breakouts or mean reversion traps.
TVC:VIXLong
by quantsignals
GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025🪙 GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025 🎯 Instrument: GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) 📉 Strategy: Short Bias via Puts 📅 Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence Level: 65% 🧠 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot Current Price: $311.78 5-Min Chart: Below EMAs (10/50/200); RSI ≈ 34 → short-term oversold Daily Chart: Above 10EMA ($309.94), RSI ≈ 56 → neutral-to-bullish Bollinger Bands: Near lower band on M5 → volatility likely Support/Resistance: • Support: $311.68 / $307.28 • Resistance: $312.20 / $313.00 🗞️ Market Sentiment Overview VIX: Elevated at 20.82 → high risk premium environment Options Flow: Heavily put-weighted near $305–$310 strikes Max Pain: $285 → bearish options bias into expiration News: Geopolitical tensions increase flight-to-safety temporarily, but fading momentum fuels retrace setups 🔽 Recommended Trade: GLD PUT Parameter Value 🎯 Strike $307.00 💵 Entry Price $0.84 🎯 Profit Target $1.25–$1.70 🛑 Stop Loss $0.50 📅 Expiry June 20, 2025 📏 Size 1 contract ⚖️ Confidence 65% 🧷 Trade Plan 📥 Entry: At market open 📈 PT Zone: $1.25 to $1.70 premium, based on drop to $306–307 🛑 Stop: If premium drops to $0.50 OR GLD breaks above $313 💰 Risk Mgmt: Keep exposure <2% of total account equity ⚠️ Key Considerations Upside Risk: Sudden bullish shift or risk-off headlines can drive reversal Time Decay: Premium erosion risk is higher if GLD consolidates Volatility Drag: VIX dropping could suppress put premiums quickly 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "GLD", "direction": "put", "strike": 307.0, "expiry": "2025-06-20", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.25, "stop_loss": 0.50, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.84, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-16 16:15:17 UTC-04:00" } 💡 If GLD struggles to reclaim $312.20 at the open, the put setup becomes attractive. Breakout above $313? Exit quickly.
AMEX:GLDShort
by quantsignals
CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025🛢️ CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025 🎯 Instrument: CL (Crude Oil Futures) 📉 Strategy: Short Swing 📅 Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence: 68% 🔍 Model Insights Recap 🧠 Grok/xAI – Bearish due to overbought RSI + price stalling near MAs 🤖 Claude/Anthropic – Bearish pullback expected, despite recent strength 📊 Llama/Meta – Overextended Bollinger Band + RSI = short bias 🧬 DeepSeek – Supports downside via divergence + high volatility ⚠️ Gemini/Google – Bullish thesis based on momentum; diverges from consensus 📉 Consensus Takeaway While short-term momentum is strong, most models forecast a pullback due to: 🔼 Overbought RSI readings 📈 Price extended well above key moving averages 🧨 High volatility and profit-taking zone near $73–$74 ✅ Recommended Trade Setup Metric Value 🔀 Direction Short 🎯 Entry Price $72.65 🛑 Stop Loss $74.20 🎯 Take Profit $68.80 📏 Size 1 contract 📈 Confidence 68% ⏰ Timing Market Open ⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations 🌍 Geopolitical events or OPEC news can cause unexpected surges 📉 If bullish momentum resumes, upside breakout could invalidate short thesis 📏 Risk management is critical—stick to stop-loss if price breaks above $74.20 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "CL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 72.65, "stop_loss": 74.20, "take_profit": 68.80, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.68, "entry_timing": "market_open" } 💡 Watch price action at the open. If oil opens weak or fails to reclaim $73, this short setup has a strong edge.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by quantsignals
Gold Weekly Outlook – 17 June 2025Gold Weekly Outlook – 17 June 2025 Gold has been trading within a tight range over the past few weeks, repeatedly finding support along its upward trendline. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to be a key driver for gold prices in the coming weeks. Monday’s trading saw gold drop by over 700 pips amid escalating tensions in the region. This “flash crash” may well clear the path for bulls to regain control and push the yellow metal toward new all-time highs. For now, we remain on the sidelines, waiting to see how price reacts around the 3,360 level, which could serve as a launchpad for a bullish reversal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Sanmi
What Fuels Cisco's Quiet AI Domination?Cisco Systems, a long-standing titan in networking infrastructure, is experiencing a significant resurgence, largely driven by a pragmatic and highly effective approach to artificial intelligence. Unlike many enterprises chasing broad AI initiatives, Cisco focuses on solving "boring" yet critical customer experience problems. This strategy yields tangible benefits, including substantial reductions in support cases and significant time savings for customer success teams, ultimately freeing resources to address more complex challenges and enhance sales processes. This practical application of AI, coupled with a focus on resiliency, simplicity through unified interfaces, and personalized customer journeys, underpins Cisco's strengthening market position. The company's strategic evolution also involves a nuanced embrace of Agentic AI, viewing it not as a replacement for human intellect but as a powerful augmentation. This shift from AI as a mere "tool" to a "teammate" enables proactive problem detection and resolution, often before customers even recognize an issue. Beyond internal efficiencies, Cisco's growth is further fueled by shrewd strategic investments and acquisitions, such as the integration of Isovalent's eBPF technology. This acquisition has rapidly enhanced Cisco's offerings in cloud-native networking, security, and load balancing, demonstrating its agility and commitment to staying at the forefront of technological innovation. Cisco's robust financial performance and strategic partnerships, particularly with AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, underscore its market momentum. The company reports impressive growth in product revenues, especially in its Security and Observability segments, signaling a successful transition toward a more predictable, software-driven revenue model. This strong performance, combined with a clear vision for AI-driven customer experience and strategic collaborations, positions Cisco as a formidable force in the evolving technology landscape. The company's disciplined approach offers valuable lessons for any organization seeking to harness the transformative power of AI effectively.
NASDAQ:CSCOLong
by UDIS_View
Telefónica: Consolidation or the Start of a New Bullish Phase?Ion Jauregui –ActivTrades Analyst Telefónica is experiencing one of its strongest market moments in recent years, with a nearly 20% appreciation so far in 2025 and a share price that has reached €4.73. These are levels not seen since July 2022, sparking renewed investor interest, although questions remain regarding its ability to sustain this momentum. Fundamental Analysis The company is undergoing a structural transformation aimed at improving profitability and reducing operational risk. In this regard, it has accelerated the divestment of assets in less strategic Latin American markets such as Ecuador, Peru, Argentina, Uruguay, and Colombia, focusing instead on its core operations in Europe and Brazil. This strategy has allowed Telefónica to reduce its exposure to currency volatility and improve capital allocation efficiency. Despite reporting a net loss of €1.304 billion for the fiscal year, this figure is primarily attributable to accounting write-downs related to asset disposals and does not undermine its cash flow generation capacity or its commitment to maintain the annual dividend of €0.30. With a customer base exceeding 390 million and a solid infrastructure network, the operator remains a key player in the markets where it operates. Its current focus on financial discipline and risk profile improvement aligns with an environment in which operational stability and efficiency outweigh aggressive growth strategies. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, Telefónica broke through a significant resistance level at €4.430 at the end of May — a ceiling in place since its sharp price drop in 2020. This breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in volume, adding validity to the move. The current price of €4.610 aligns with a medium-term high. If the stock manages to consolidate above the €4.628 high in the coming weeks, it could pave the way toward €5.00, where the next relevant resistance level lies, coinciding with the current point of control at €5.064. Conversely, a failure to hold above current levels could lead to a retracement toward the current moving average around €3.930 or slightly above, where previous highs now act as support. The RSI currently stands in overbought territory at 64.67%, suggesting there may still be room for an upward move toward the €5.00 point of control zone if bullish momentum persists. Conclusion Telefónica is at a pivotal stage in its strategic redefinition, a process that has begun to reflect positively in its share price. This shift is driven by a more rational approach to risk management, a clear focus on priority markets, and a sustained commitment to financial discipline. The technical breakout from historic resistance levels strengthens the case for a continued bullish trend, although caution remains warranted: further upside will depend on sustained consolidation above current levels and the emergence of solid catalysts to support the company’s narrative. After years of sideways movement, the stock has finally broken out — now comes the true test: turning this rally into a lasting trend. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BME:TEFLong
by ActivTrades