BITCOIN Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 105,496.60.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 106,868.68 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally.
Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable.
This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
BTC - UPDATE - $84,500 target BTC appears to reluctantly be topping, with a while probability of having already topped at $112,000. My best estimate of the next on boarding price for BTC is in the $84,500 area. Prices above $108,632 indicate I was wrong. Pros could consider shorting to the same number. This is just conversation. And not trading advice. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave , Kumar Wave being employed. See past charts for how we got to here.
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡
Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻.
Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉.
This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good.
In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range.
📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear.
💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Technical Analysis – HBAR/USDT + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – HBAR/USDT (Daily Chart as of June 4, 2025)
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, often interpreted as a bullish reversal signal.
This pattern is marked by descending converging trendlines, suggesting declining volatility and potential breakout.
Breakout point is illustrated just above the wedge’s resistance line, with a bullish breakout expected.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support Zone: $0.1625 – $0.1723 (blue zone)
Primary Resistance Targets:
Short-term: $0.1849 (top of Bollinger Band)
Mid-term: $0.2070 – $0.2200
Long-term: $0.3400 (strong historical resistance)
Indicators Summary
Bollinger Bands: Price near the lower band, indicating potential upside volatility.
Volume Profile: Slightly increasing near wedge apex, often a precursor to a breakout.
VMC Cipher_B: Multiple green dots signal bullish divergence; momentum may be reversing upward.
RSI (14): Currently recovering from oversold territory (~39.5), suggesting bullish momentum building.
Money Flow Index (ArTy): Moving back into the green, indicating capital inflow and potential accumulation.
Stochastic RSI: Crossed upward from oversold zone (currently ~23), a common signal for trend reversal.
Trading Plan
Long Position Setup (Swing Trade)
Entry Zone:
$0.1650 – $0.1725 (upon retest of breakout from wedge or candle close above wedge resistance)
Stop-Loss:
$0.1580 (below wedge support and key structure low)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $0.1850 (Bollinger Band and resistance zone)
TP2: $0.2070 (resistance from March 2025)
TP3: $0.2200 – $0.2400 (target zone for full wedge breakout)
TP4: $0.3400 (macro-level resistance, if rally continues)
Risk-to-Reward:
Minimum R:R of 1:2.5 to 1:5 depending on TP level.
⚠️ Risk Management & Strategy Notes
Wait for confirmation breakout candle with strong volume above wedge resistance before entering.
Scale in gradually between $0.1650–$0.1725 if confirmed.
Trail stop-loss after reaching TP1 to lock in profits.
Monitor Bitcoin price trend and overall market sentiment—HBAR tends to follow macro market structure.
The combination of the falling wedge, bullish divergence, and oversold momentum indicators supports a strong potential for bullish continuation. However, conservative confirmation is essential before committing capital.
Outlook: Bullish bias, pending confirmation breakout above the wedge resistance.
Technical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLAN
Date of Analysis: June 4, 2025
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: $0.0023541
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal Potential)
Pattern Description: The price is consolidating within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish reversal pattern.
Breakout Potential: If price breaks upward through the wedge resistance, strong momentum could follow.
Support Zone: $0.0020 – $0.0022 (Weekly low zone, strong historical support)
Resistance Zones:
Immediate: $0.00339 – $0.00397
Secondary: $0.00444 – $0.00513
Major: $0.00707 (high target zone)
Indicators Overview
VMC Cipher_B (Momentum Oscillator):
Momentum is deep in the red, approaching oversold territory.
Green dots signal potential bullish divergence forming (trend exhaustion).
RSI (14):
Current: 13.30 → Oversold, significant bounce potential.
Last low this deep preceded a strong rally — suggesting a possible bottom.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI):
Shows low volume inflows → not ideal, but can turn quickly on bullish reversal.
Stochastic RSI:
Crossing upwards from deep oversold (<15).
Bullish crossover forming → early sign of reversal.
Two Scenarios – Trading Plan
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Primary Scenario)
Entry: On confirmed breakout of falling wedge → above $0.0026 with volume
Targets:
TP1: $0.00339
TP2: $0.00444
TP3: $0.00513
TP4 (Moon Target): $0.00707
Stop Loss: $0.00215 (below wedge bottom)
Risk/Reward: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on TP level
Confidence: 4/5 (RSI + Wedge support)
Scenario B: Bearish Continuation (Fails to Break Out)
Trigger: Break below $0.00215 with volume
Action:
Short-term panic sell possible down to $0.0015 – $0.0012
Watch for capitulation wick and rapid V-recovery
Re-entry Opportunity: If oversold bounces with large green engulfing or V-bottom reversal
🧠 Strategic Notes:
Velas is at a make-or-break point. Fundamentally, adoption and development updates from the team (esp. Alex & Co.) will heavily influence investor confidence.
DYOR Reminder: This is a highly speculative coin in an oversold state. Best used for swing trades or speculative long-term entries with tight risk control.
Bull market scenario LITECOINAt this period, I'm speaking about LITECOIN, which currently has one of the strongest bull-looking charts on cryptocurrency!
We may see the price testing Fibo's higher levels very soon...
A bull market may begin, so I recommend focusing on higher price markings...
On another market, like BTC, Ethereum, or Pepe, we do not have vivid bull pictures.
That was one of the reasons for making this trading analysis...
Enjoy!
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions.
Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern.
We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade.
Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher.
Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect.
However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not.
1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely.
I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
Check support near 106775
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(MBT1! 1D chart)
The prerequisite for the previous ATH to rise above is that the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain there.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near 106775.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the 96600-101495 area.
The 96600-101495 area is an important support and resistance area for continuing the uptrend.
Therefore, if it falls in the 96600-101495 area, it is likely to fall sharply.
If it falls,
1st: Around 89745
2nd: M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or 74105-79025
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Therefore, the 96600-101495 area can be seen as an important support and resistance area.
-
(30m chart)
It played the role of support and resistance by touching the area around 105385 several times.
It is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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BTC 12H – Slightly Different Picture
The 12H chart tells a slightly different story.
From the PSAR point of view, price has tapped it twice, but that’s not enough for confirmation.
From the system perspective, price is trading above the BB center, with both MLR and SMA also above it—this could justify small scaling.
From the S/R view, price is currently testing weekly resistance and the dotted line marking the daily close. That’s a strong reason to apply proper risk management.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC Daily – Mixed Signals, Patience Required
From the PSAR perspective, BTC remains in a bearish phase. We need to wait for a PSAR flip to green before considering new long entries.
From the second system view, we’re also still in bearish territory. The setup will shift once MLR crosses above the SMA and BB centre. Currently, price is holding the SMA as support and has paused at the BB centre.
Looking at S/R levels, we’ve seen a solid bounce from the 3D + 5D support and are now holding at the weekly support zone.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure.
At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure.
It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing.
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Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
The Bitcoin Illusion: Unraveling the Largest Financial Bubble inIntroduction
Bitcoin, often hailed as the future of money, a decentralized dream, and a hedge against fiat currencies, has captured the imagination of millions. Its meteoric rise from obscurity to a trillion-dollar market cap has fueled narratives of financial liberation and technological revolution. However, beneath the surface lies a troubling reality: Bitcoin’s story is a carefully orchestrated illusion, a bubble of unprecedented scale propped up by insiders, manipulative schemes, and a lack of real-world demand. This article dissects the claims surrounding Bitcoin’s legitimacy, exposing the mechanisms behind its inflated value and the insiders who control its narrative, wallets, and even laws. From El Salvador’s failed experiment to Tether’s opaque operations and the leveraged plays of figures like Jack Mallers and Michael Saylor, we’ll uncover why Bitcoin is poised to become the largest financial scandal in history.
1. The El Salvador Mirage: A Manufactured “Adoption” Narrative
In 2021, El Salvador made headlines as the first nation to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, a move championed by President Nayib Bukele and Bitcoin advocate Jack Mallers. The announcement, delivered with emotional fanfare at the Bitcoin Conference in Miami, was sold as a revolutionary step toward financial inclusion and sovereignty. But the reality is far less inspiring. Blockchain data and reports suggest that El Salvador’s Bitcoin “investment” is not what it seems, revealing a troubling connection to Tether and Bitfinex that undermines the narrative of organic adoption.
The Blockchain Evidence
Recent on-chain analysis indicates that of the 6,114 Bitcoin held in El Salvador’s treasury, 6,111 BTC were transferred directly from wallets linked to Bitfinex and Tether, not purchased on the open market. This raises serious questions about the authenticity of El Salvador’s Bitcoin strategy. If a nation were truly adopting Bitcoin as a currency, one would expect transparent, market-based purchases, not opaque transfers from a single entity. Tether, the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, has deep ties to Bitfinex, and both entities have been scrutinized for their lack of transparency and history of regulatory violations. The fact that Tether reportedly drafted El Salvador’s Bitcoin legislation further muddies the waters, suggesting a coordinated effort to create the appearance of national adoption.
The Chivo Wallet Collapse
El Salvador’s Chivo Wallet, launched to facilitate Bitcoin transactions, was supposed to be the cornerstone of this experiment. Yet, it has been an unmitigated failure. Usage plummeted by 98.9% shortly after its launch, and the wallet is now effectively defunct. Reports indicate that the infrastructure was plagued by technical issues, low adoption rates, and a lack of trust among citizens. This collapse undermines the claim that Bitcoin enjoys organic demand in El Salvador. Instead, it points to a top-down push, likely incentivized by Tether and Bitfinex, to create a facade of success.
A Liquidity Laundering Scheme?
The involvement of Tether and Bitfinex suggests a deeper motive: a liquidity laundering scheme designed to prop up Bitcoin’s price and Tether’s reserves. By transferring Bitcoin to El Salvador’s treasury, Tether could inflate the perception of institutional adoption, encouraging retail investors to buy in. Bukele’s government, facing economic challenges and seeking global attention, was an ideal partner. The arrangement benefits all parties: Bukele gains PR as a forward-thinking leader, Bitfinex secures liquidity, and Tether maintains its fragile peg. But the lack of real demand in El Salvador exposes this as a manufactured narrative, not a genuine economic shift.
2. Jack Mallers and Twenty One Capital: Tether’s Puppet Play
Jack Mallers, the charismatic CEO of Strike and now Twenty One Capital, has positioned himself as a Bitcoin evangelist, promising to outdo Michael Saylor in the race to accumulate BTC. His new venture, Twenty One Capital, launched with a $3.6 billion Bitcoin treasury, backed by Tether, Bitfinex, and SoftBank. But a closer look reveals that this is less an investment firm and more a cog in the Tether-Bitfinex machine, designed to perpetuate the illusion of Bitcoin’s dominance.
On-Chain Revelations
On-chain data shows that 25,812 BTC, worth over $2 billion, were transferred to Twenty One Capital from Tether and Bitfinex wallets in June 2025 alone. An earlier transfer of 4,812 BTC for $458.7 million was also traced to Tether. These transactions, detailed in reports from Bitcoin Magazine and other sources, indicate that Twenty One’s Bitcoin holdings are not the result of market demand but rather internal movements within the Tether ecosystem. This is not investment—it’s accounting sleight of hand, designed to create the appearance of institutional interest.
Strike’s Tether Dependency
Mallers’ other venture, Strike, has long relied on Tether’s USDT for its payment infrastructure. Despite Mallers’ public Bitcoin maximalism, Strike’s operations have historically leaned on USDT, with reports confirming that 100% of its payments flow through Tether’s stablecoin. This dependency raises questions about Mallers’ independence and suggests that his ventures are extensions of Tether’s agenda. Strike’s reported $6 billion in transaction volume in 2024 and high profit margins are impressive, but they hinge on Tether’s opaque operations, not a decentralized Bitcoin economy.
The Saylor Playbook, Amplified
Twenty One Capital explicitly models itself after Michael Saylor’s Strategy, aiming to “Saylorize” corporate Bitcoin adoption. But unlike Strategy, which at least operates as a publicly traded company with some regulatory oversight, Twenty One is majority-owned by Tether and Bitfinex, entities with a history of legal troubles. Tether’s $145 billion market cap and lack of independent audits make it a risky linchpin for such a venture. Mallers’ promise to grow “Bitcoin per share” sounds innovative, but it’s a repackaged version of the same leveraged speculation that fuels Bitcoin’s bubble.
3. Michael Saylor and Strategy: The Leveraged Ponzi Loop
Michael Saylor, the outspoken CEO of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), is often credited with pioneering corporate Bitcoin adoption. His company holds over 580,000 BTC, valued at approximately $64 billion as of June 2025. But Saylor’s strategy is not about sound money—it’s a high-stakes gamble that relies on perpetual hype and leverage to sustain itself.
The Circular Scheme
Saylor’s playbook is simple: raise capital through debt or equity, buy Bitcoin, hype the price, raise more capital, and repeat. This circular loop has driven Strategy’s stock to dizzying heights, with a market cap of $94 billion despite minimal operational revenue. The company’s aggressive borrowing—over $4 billion in convertible notes—makes it one of the riskiest stocks in the market. If Bitcoin’s price falters, Strategy’s debt obligations could trigger a catastrophic unwind, wiping out shareholders and exposing the fragility of its model.
No Real Innovation
Strategy’s pivot from a struggling software company to a Bitcoin proxy is not innovation—it’s financial engineering. By tying its value to Bitcoin’s price, Saylor has created a vehicle for speculation, not utility. The company produces no meaningful Bitcoin-based products or services, relying instead on market sentiment to drive its stock price. This mirrors the dot-com bubble, where companies with no viable business models soared on hype alone.
Insider Connections?
While direct evidence of Saylor’s ties to Tether is lacking, the parallels between Strategy’s strategy and the Tether-Bitfinex ecosystem are striking. Both rely on inflating Bitcoin’s price through artificial demand, whether via Tether’s unbacked USDT minting or Strategy’s leveraged purchases. The lack of transparency in both operations suggests a coordinated effort to maintain the illusion of Bitcoin’s value.
4. Tether and Bitcoin: A Circular Backing Loop
At the heart of Bitcoin’s bubble lies Tether, the stablecoin issuer that has become the crypto market’s central bank. Tether’s USDT, pegged to the dollar, is the lifeblood of crypto exchanges, accounting for over 70% of trading volume. But its opaque reserves and history of regulatory violations make it a ticking time bomb, with Bitcoin as its primary collateral damage.
Tether’s Bitcoin Hoard
At the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, Tether announced it holds over 100,000 BTC and 50 tons of gold, alongside its $145 billion in USDT reserves. This revelation confirms long-standing suspicions that Tether is a major buyer of Bitcoin, using freshly minted USDT to pump prices. The strategy is straightforward: mint USDT, buy BTC, sell excess BTC for USD and gold to bolster reserves, then parade those reserves as proof of legitimacy. This creates a circular loop where Tether props up Bitcoin, and Bitcoin’s rising price justifies Tether’s peg.
The Mt. Gox Parallel
This setup mirrors the collapse of Mt. Gox, the infamous Bitcoin exchange that imploded in 2014 after losing 850,000 BTC. Like Mt. Gox, Tether operates with minimal transparency, refusing independent audits and facing regulatory scrutiny. Posts on X highlight this concern, with users noting Tether’s failure to comply with Europe’s MiCA regulations and its history of printing unbacked tokens. If Tether’s reserves are overstated or its Bitcoin holdings lose value, the entire crypto market could collapse, taking Bitcoin with it.
Saifedean Ammous’ Warning
Bitcoin maximalist Saifedean Ammous, author of The Bitcoin Standard, inadvertently exposed the fragility of this system at Bitcoin 2025. He suggested that Tether’s growing Bitcoin reserves could one day surpass its dollar reserves, potentially revaluing USDT above the dollar. While framed as a bullish prediction, this scenario highlights the absurdity of a stablecoin backed by a volatile asset like Bitcoin. If Tether’s peg breaks, the fallout would be catastrophic, echoing the Lehman Brothers collapse of 2008.
5. Institutional Retreat: The Fading “Smart Money” Narrative
Bitcoin’s proponents often cite institutional adoption as proof of its legitimacy. But recent data paints a different picture. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $267.5 million in net outflows on June 2, 2025, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals. Since the 2021 hype peak, institutional interest has dropped by over 91%, reflecting growing skepticism. Even the SEC, despite a pro-crypto shift under the Trump administration, remains cautious, hesitating to approve new ETFs from firms like Bitwise and Grayscale due to concerns over fraud protections.
The ETF Exodus
The steady outflows from Bitcoin ETFs signal that institutions are not “all in” as claimed. The initial FOMO-driven inflows of 2021 have given way to a more sober assessment of Bitcoin’s risks. Volatile prices, regulatory uncertainty, and a lack of clear use cases have eroded confidence. This contradicts the narrative that Bitcoin is a safe haven or a maturing asset class, exposing it as a speculative bubble driven by retail hype.
Regulatory Headwinds
The SEC’s reluctance to expand Bitcoin ETF approvals underscores the market’s vulnerabilities. Fraud, manipulation, and lack of transparency—issues tied to Tether and Bitfinex—remain significant concerns. Even in a pro-crypto regulatory environment, these structural flaws cannot be ignored, further undermining Bitcoin’s institutional appeal.
6. The House of Cards: Why Bitcoin’s Collapse Is Inevitable
Bitcoin’s value proposition rests on three pillars: decentralization, scarcity, and utility. Each is weaker than it appears, and together, they form a house of cards waiting to collapse.
Centralization in Disguise
Despite its decentralized rhetoric, Bitcoin’s ecosystem is controlled by a handful of players. Tether and Bitfinex dominate liquidity, exchanges like Binance and Coinbase control trading, and figures like Mallers and Saylor shape the narrative. Wallet concentration is another issue: the top 1% of Bitcoin addresses hold over 90% of the supply, undermining the idea of a democratic currency.
Scarcity Myth
Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap is often touted as a hedge against inflation. But scarcity alone doesn’t guarantee value. Without real-world utility, Bitcoin’s price is driven by speculation, not fundamentals. Tether’s ability to mint USDT and buy BTC artificially inflates demand, creating a false sense of scarcity.
Lack of Utility
Bitcoin’s use as a currency or store of value is limited. Transaction fees remain high, scalability is a persistent issue, and adoption as a payment method is negligible outside niche communities. El Salvador’s failed experiment and the collapse of Chivo Wallet demonstrate that Bitcoin struggles to gain traction in real-world economies.
The Tether Time Bomb
Tether’s role as Bitcoin’s primary buyer is the linchpin of this bubble. If Tether’s reserves are exposed as inadequate or its USDT peg breaks, the crypto market will face a liquidity crisis. Bitcoin’s price, propped up by Tether’s printing, would plummet, triggering a cascade of liquidations across leveraged players like Strategy and Twenty One Capital.
7. The Psychological Trap: Why Bitcoiners Are Blind to the Truth
Bitcoin’s community, often called “maximalists,” is driven by a mix of ideology, greed, and denial. They view Bitcoin as a rebellion against centralized finance, ignoring the centralization within their own ecosystem. This cognitive dissonance is fueled by charismatic figures like Mallers and Saylor, who promise wealth and freedom while orchestrating speculative schemes.
The Cult of HODL
The “HODL” mantra—holding Bitcoin regardless of price—encourages blind loyalty over critical thinking. Maximalists dismiss criticism as FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), refusing to engage with evidence of manipulation or fragility. This cult-like behavior mirrors historical bubbles, where investors ignored red flags until it was too late.
The Role of Influencers
Figures like Mallers, Saylor, and even Bukele serve as influencers, leveraging charisma and media to sustain the hype. Their promises of endless growth and financial revolution obscure the reality of a market propped up by unbacked stablecoins and leveraged bets.
8. Historical Parallels: Lessons from Past Bubbles
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrors historical financial bubbles, from the Dutch Tulip Mania to the dot-com crash. Each was driven by speculative fervor, a lack of intrinsic value, and insider manipulation. The dot-com bubble, for instance, saw companies with no revenue soar on hype, only to collapse when reality set in. Bitcoin’s reliance on Tether’s unbacked USDT and leveraged corporate plays like Strategy and Twenty One Capital echoes this pattern.
The collapse of Mt. Gox in 2014 is a closer parallel. Like Tether, Mt. Gox was a central player in Bitcoin’s early ecosystem, handling 70% of transactions. Its failure exposed systemic vulnerabilities, and Tether’s current dominance poses a similar risk. If Tether falters, the fallout could dwarf Mt. Gox’s impact, given Bitcoin’s $1.5 trillion market cap.
9. The Endgame: A Scandal of Historic Proportions
Bitcoin’s bubble is not just a financial phenomenon—it’s a scandal waiting to unravel. The interplay of Tether’s unbacked stablecoin, insider-controlled wallets, and leveraged corporate plays creates a perfect storm. When the music stops, the consequences will be severe:
Retail Investors: Small investors, lured by promises of wealth, will bear the brunt of the collapse. Many have invested life savings, unaware of the manipulation behind Bitcoin’s price.
Institutional Fallout: Firms like Strategy and Twenty One Capital, heavily leveraged, face insolvency if Bitcoin’s price crashes. This could ripple through equity markets, affecting broader portfolios.
Regulatory Crackdown: A Tether collapse would prompt global regulators to crack down on crypto, potentially stifling innovation but exposing the industry’s weaknesses.
10. Conclusion: Time to Wake Up
Bitcoin’s story is a seductive illusion, a carefully crafted narrative designed to enrich insiders while exploiting the hopes of retail investors. From El Salvador’s manufactured adoption to Tether’s opaque reserves, Jack Mallers’ Tether-backed ventures, and Michael Saylor’s leveraged gamble, the evidence points to a bubble built on smoke and mirrors. The decline in institutional interest, coupled with Tether’s central role, signals that the end is near.
Bitcoiners may cling to the dream of decentralization, but the reality is a centralized ecosystem controlled by a few powerful players. The largest financial scandal in history is not a question of “if” but “when.” Investors must look beyond the hype, question the narratives, and protect themselves from the inevitable crash.
Bitcoin's Battle: $107K Resistance or $100K Support?Bitcoin is currently trading at $106,522, showing a consolidation pattern after a recent rally. The price has been moving between $103,000 and $107,000, with $107,000 acting as a strong resistance level. This ceiling has been tested several times but hasn’t been convincingly broken yet. On the flip side, $100,000 has proven to be a solid support, with buyers stepping in whenever the price dips near this key psychological level. If BTC breaks above $107,000, it could target $110,000 or higher; however, a drop below $100,000 might see it test $97,000 or lower.
From a technical standpoint, the 4H chart shows a short-term bullish trend line around $105,800, which has been holding the price up during small pullbacks. That said, there are signs of weakening momentum, the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) is flashing a bearish divergence, hinting that the upward push might be losing steam. On the daily chart, the MACD has turned negative, which could signal a broader trend shift. For now, traders should keep an eye on whether BTC can push past $107,000 or if it falls below $100,000, as these breaks will likely dictate the next big move.
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin’s price is being shaped by several external factors. Recent news, like the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Binance and a new crypto market structure bill in Congress, could bring more regulatory clarity and lift investor confidence. Economic uncertainty and tariff relief are also driving some to see BTC as a hedge, much like gold. Stablecoin market caps have hit all-time highs, suggesting more liquidity in the crypto space. But there’s a flip side: China’s heavy gold buying and the US-China tariff war could throw a wrench into BTC’s trajectory.
Analyst sentiment is split. Som e see a bearish flag pattern pointing to a potential drop to $97,000, while others are betting on a bullish surge to new highs, maybe $120,000 or even as far as $325,000. This consolidation phase could be the calm before a major breakout, either up or down. Keep an eye on volume and those key levels ($107,000 and $100,000) for hints about what’s next. As always, stay sharp, manage your risk, and keep up with the latest market updates!
HolderStat┆BTCUSD stairway to athCRYPTOCAP:BTC marched out of strong consolidation, sliced a falling wedge, then keeps stacking bull-flag consolidations on an ascending trendline. Uptrend channel, breakout energy and 100 k support line up for an assault on the 112 k ATH level — bullish momentum in full swing.
BTC: Still in the Grip of Wave BBitcoin is holding steady near the same levels seen at the time of yesterday’s update — and so is the structure. According to our primary scenario, we expect the current corrective wave B to complete soon within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once that happens, a wave C selloff should follow, likely targeting the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That said, our alternative scenario (30% probability) remains intact. In that case, the high of blue wave (i) has yet to form — a breakout above $130,891 would confirm that view and open the door to further upside before a correction resumes.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BITCOIN Is this even a possibility?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a short-term pull-back, following the impressive rally to new All Time Highs (ATH) from the April 07 bottom. This first 'serious' short-term relief correction has stopped on the former Lower Highs trend-line, which previous acted as a Resistance and is now holding the price from further downfall, acting potentially as Support.
This is the exact same price action that BTC had during its break-out from the previous Lower Highs trend-line last October. The symmetry between the two fractals is remarkable as not only did they both form their 1D Death Cross patterns on their bottoms and their 1D Golden Cross patterns on the Lower Highs break-out but also their Phase 1 rallies (1st Bullish Leg) have been exactly the same: +49.58%.
As a result, as long as the Pivot holds, there is a good chance we see a strong rebound, which if it holds the same total symmetry of the previous fractal, it should peak at +120%, which gives a $164000 Target.
Do you think that's even a possibility? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #106👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and the key crypto indices. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, the 105800 trigger was activated yesterday and Bitcoin’s trendline was broken. However, the price failed to hold above 105800 and quickly fell back below, making it a fake breakout.
⚡️ For now, I’m keeping the 105800 level as the long trigger to observe how the price reacts. We need to wait for a clear reaction to this zone to better refine the trendline. On the next test, if it breaks successfully, we can enter a long position.
🔍 If a higher low forms above 103899 and the RSI finds support above 50, the likelihood of breaking the 105800 resistance increases, potentially leading to a stronger upward move.
✨ On the short side, since the 105800 breakout failed, bearish momentum could increase. A breakdown below 103899 would trigger a short position with a target at 10750.
If you’ve already opened a short position before this trigger, be aware that it's a risky trade and shouldn’t be relied on as a long-term position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
The downtrend in Bitcoin dominance has continued following the breakdown of 64.29, and now it has also broken below 64.15, heading toward 63.87.
⭐ For now, BTC dominance is temporarily bearish. If the market corrects, Bitcoin might fall harder, but if the market recovers, altcoins could perform better — unless BTC dominance reverses trend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the long trigger at 1.16 was activated, and now the index has reached 1.18. Thanks to falling Bitcoin dominance, altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin.
✔️ If 1.18 breaks, the uptrend could continue. Key levels to watch next are 1.21 and 1.24.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
This index formed a lower high below 4.79 yesterday and is now retesting 4.70 after breaking below it.
🎲 If this pullback gets rejected, it confirms weakness in USDT dominance — which supports long positions on altcoins. However, if USDT.D climbs back above 4.70 and it turns into a fake breakdown, there’s a strong chance it could revisit 4.79 or even break that resistance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.