BTC fire saleBTC rolling over, however market structure on higher timeframes doesn't suggest continuation yet. Momentum and trend oscillators are in a slump until they get oversold.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD: Neutral on 1D means buy opportunity during rallies.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.351, MACD = 2908.600, ADX = 27.535) which is far from alarming as during Bull Cycle rallies such pullbacks are buy opportunities. Especially now that the price is even supported by the 1D MA50, which having cross above the 1D MA200 last week, they formed a Golden Cross. The pattern is identical to the last 1D Golden Cross, steady rally phases supported by HL trendlines that rose by roughly the same percentage. Their 1D RSI sequences also display similar formations. For that reason, we remain bullish on Bitcoin despite the current correction, targeting short term 119,000.
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TradeCityPro | Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis for 2025👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go for the most complete BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin analysis you can see. In this analysis, we are going to examine the data from monthly to weekly to daily time frames and more in the most complete way possible!
🌐 Monthly Timeframe
In the monthly timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is positioned between two curved trendlines and has reacted to these zones multiple times.
The last time the price hit the bottom of this channel, it recorded a low of 16,000, after which the crypto bull run began. The top of this channel also coincided with the 69,000 peak in the previous bull run, allowing us to identify the end of that bull run.
One key point about this channel is that the slope of its trendlines is decreasing, and overall, a weakening trend in Bitcoin is observed, which is logical. This is because every time Bitcoin has made an upward leg, a massive amount of capital has flowed into it, so it naturally moves less in the subsequent leg.
This point might seem negative to newer market participants, as Bitcoin’s bull runs used to happen faster in the past, and the price moved more significantly in percentage terms. For example, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin grow by nearly 7,000%, while in the 2019 bull run, it grew by about 1,500%.
However, within this seemingly negative point, there’s a positive aspect: this reduction in volatility indicates Bitcoin’s maturity and that of the broader crypto market. When an asset has a large amount of capital invested in it, its volatility naturally decreases, but this also reduces the risk of investing in that asset.
For instance, gold currently holds the top spot globally with a market cap of 21 trillion dollars, while Bitcoin’s market cap is around 2 trillion dollars. This gap makes Bitcoin appear as a better investment choice at first glance, as its lower market cap suggests greater growth potential.
On the other hand, the risk of investing in Bitcoin is higher because it has less capital invested in it, and large institutions like governments prefer to invest in gold, earning lower returns over time compared to Bitcoin. For these institutions, the most important factor is risk optimization, and gold has proven itself as the lowest-risk asset over centuries.
So, overall, we can conclude that the more capital flows into Bitcoin, the lower its volatility becomes. As volatility decreases, it becomes a safer asset for investment, attracting more interest from large institutions.
Additionally, we should consider that if Bitcoin isn’t destroyed or proven to be a scam, it could become a safe-haven asset like gold in the future. Its supply is well-optimized, and due to the halving mechanism, its issuance is tightly controlled, which gives it an inherently bullish nature like gold.
Note that when I say Bitcoin’s movements are slowing down and more capital inflow reduces its volatility, I don’t mean it will stop moving upward. Rather, it means its cycles will take longer, and its movements will be heavier. For example, gold, despite its high market cap, still moved upward last year.
Currently, Bitcoin has started a new upward leg after rising from the 16,000 zone. It first reached the previous high, then, after reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level (which overlapped with the 71,000 zone), it pulled back to the 57,000 zone and has now moved to the 0.618 level near 101,000.
Based on the candles formed in the monthly timeframe, it seems the upward movement is ongoing. If the 0.618 level is broken, the price could see a few more bullish candles. The next Fibonacci level is 0.786, near 165,000, and if the price movement extends a bit longer, this level could also overlap with the top of the curved channel.
In my opinion, the maximum potential for Bitcoin in this bullish cycle is between 160,000 and 180,000. However, keep in mind that this is just my personal view, and I’m not making decisions based solely on this analysis or planning to sell if Bitcoin reaches this range. This is merely a mental target, and if I see Bitcoin reaching this range with strong bullish momentum, there’s a chance it could break through.
In that scenario, if Bitcoin reaches this range without any trend weakness and with high momentum, I’ll update the analysis for you and examine higher targets Bitcoin could reach.
On the other hand, if I see Bitcoin’s momentum weakening and showing trend deterioration before reaching the resistance zone, I’ll adjust my perspective. If the trend reversal triggers I’ll discuss later are activated, I’ll exit the market.
In the RSI oscillator, we have very important zones that can help us assess the trend’s health. A ceiling at 77.65 has formed, which, if reached by RSI, could indicate a momentum-based market top. However, if this level is broken, the bullish scenario I mentioned is highly likely to occur, and the price could move beyond our expected target.
On the other hand, there’s a support floor at 58.90, and I believe the confirmation of the end of Bitcoin’s bull run will come with a break of this level in RSI. If RSI consolidates below this zone, bullish momentum will weaken, and the price will gradually enter a corrective phase.
Regarding volume, I should note that the decreasing volume in this timeframe isn’t reliable data because Bitcoin’s volume is spread across various exchanges, and comparing volume at this scale isn’t accurate or useful.
I have nothing more to say about the monthly timeframe. Let’s move to lower timeframes.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
Let’s dive into the weekly timeframe, where we can observe price movements in greater detail.
As you can see, after being supported at the 16,000 zone, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance at 31,000. Breaking this level kicked off the bullish trend. In the first leg, the price moved from 16,000 to 31,000, and after breaking 31,000 in the second leg, the upward move continued to 72,000.
One of the main reasons for this bullish cycle was the U.S. interest rate. Simultaneously with the breakout of the 31,000 zone, the U.S. Federal Reserve changed its policies and began lowering interest rates. This triggered a massive capital inflow into Bitcoin, initiating its bullish move.
During the corrective phase, the price oscillated between the 72,000 and 55,000 zones for several months. After breaking the 72,000 ceiling, another bullish leg took the price to 105,000.
One of the reasons for this bullish move was Trump’s strong support for crypto during the U.S. election. He frequently mentioned Bitcoin positively in his speeches and considered it part of his policies.
However, after Trump was elected president, he didn’t fully deliver on his promises. The imposition of tariffs not only impacted Bitcoin but also significantly affected the U.S. dollar, major company stocks, and indices like the S&P. As a result, Bitcoin dropped back to near the 72,000 zone.
Additionally, for the past few months, the U.S. Federal Reserve has not changed interest rates due to these tariffs. In all its statements, it has indicated that it’s waiting for the tariffs to be finalized and is in no rush to make decisions regarding monetary policy. Thus, in recent months, the interest rate variable has been effectively neutral, with the most significant fundamental news being the U.S. tariffs against China and Europe.
After Bitcoin’s drop to near 72,000, news of a 90-day agreement between China and the U.S. emerged, stating that tariffs would be lifted for 90 days to allow negotiations. This news was enough to restart the bullish move for Bitcoin and stocks like the S&P. As you can see, Bitcoin has now surpassed the 105,000 ceiling and is currently deciding its next move above this zone.
Looking at RSI, there’s a key support level at 44.75, where every time the price has hit this level, a new bullish leg has started. This level accurately indicated the 55,000 and 72,000 bottoms and has been very reliable.
However, there’s a clear divergence in RSI between the 72,000 and 105,000 peaks. The current peak above 105,000 is higher, but RSI is still forming lower highs, which could strengthen the divergence.
Currently, RSI is near the overbought zone and appears to be rejecting from the 70 level. If RSI is rejected from this zone, the price might fake out the 105,000 breakout and drop below it. If this happens, it would signal a significant trend weakness, greatly increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal.
However, if RSI consolidates above the 70 level and the price makes another bullish leg, we’ll still have divergence, but the trend weakness will be much less severe than in the fake-out scenario. If the price makes another bullish leg, our targets based on Fibonacci are the 130,000 and 160,000 zones.
In any case, if RSI forms a lower high compared to its previous peak and the price enters a corrective phase, I believe the 44.75 level will break, activating the divergence. If this happens, we’ll get a momentum-based confirmation of the bull run’s end, and we’ll then need to wait for a price-based confirmation.
Currently, the price confirmation for a trend reversal would first be a fake-out of the 105,000 breakout, with the main trigger being a break of the 72,000 level. If the price forms a higher high, we’ll need to wait and identify the trend reversal trigger based on market structure and conditions.
Personally, I believe Bitcoin will have another bullish move to the 130,000 zone, and simultaneously, dominance will move upward again. After this move, as Bitcoin consolidates or corrects, dominance will drop, leading to an altcoin season for a few months. After Bitcoin’s consolidation and the end of the altcoin season, the market’s bearish phase will begin, which I’ll discuss further if it occurs.
If you’ve bought Bitcoin at lower levels and are holding, I think you can continue holding, as there’s a high chance of another bullish leg, and we don’t yet have any confirmation of a trend reversal. I suggest continuing to hold until we get a clear reversal signal.
For buying Bitcoin on the spot market in this timeframe, it’s not possible to provide a trigger right now, as we’re at the end of a bullish leg, and the upward trend from 16,000 has been very prolonged. I believe we’ll see at most one more bullish leg, so if you’re skilled at trading, I suggest using this capital to open positions in futures to maximize profits.
Be cautious—I’m saying this only if you have trading skills, not to blindly open positions with all your capital without a trigger. That would only lead to losses.
If you haven’t bought any Bitcoin in this bullish trend yet, you can wait for the potential altcoin season. I suggest starting now to identify good projects so that when Bitcoin dominance shows bearish confirmation, you can buy the altcoins you’ve researched and profit from that market phase.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin underwent a corrective phase, dropping to the 76,000 zone. After forming a base at this level, a bullish leg to 106,000 was triggered at 87,700.
Currently, the price is above the 106,000 zone but hasn’t consolidated above it yet. The reason I say it hasn’t consolidated is that market volume is decreasing after the breakout. Additionally, when the price breaks through a supply zone like an all-time high, significant momentum is required, but that hasn’t happened, and the price is ranging above this zone without significant movement.
If Bitcoin consolidates above this zone, the bullish move could continue. The targets we can consider are the 116,000 and 130,000 zones.
The RSI oscillator has a critical support at 59.78, which is a very important momentum level. If this level is broken, this bullish leg could end, and the market might enter a corrective phase. Volume is also slightly decreasing and showing some divergence with the trend, which is another sign of trend weakness.
If the price consolidates below 106,000, we’ll get confirmation of a fake-out of this breakout, and the price could move downward again. The lower support zones are 102,600 and 92,300.
If the price forms a lower high and low below 106,000, we can confirm a trend reversal. Breaking the 76,000 level would be the main confirmation of a trend change.
💼 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching the 111,700 zone and has formed a descending triangle between the 106,000–107,000 range and a downward trendline.
The 106,000–107,000 range is a very strong support zone, and the price has tested this level multiple times but keeps forming lower highs compared to 111,700, increasing the likelihood of breaking this support zone.
On RSI, there’s a support level at 35.94, which is a very strong momentum zone. Breaking this level could confirm the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking the support zone.
With a break of the support zone and the 35.94 level in RSI, we can enter a short position. If the price forms a lower high and low below this support zone, we can confirm a trend reversal. The next key support zones are 101,600 and 93,700.
For the bullish trend to continue, breaking the downward trendline would confirm an upward move. If the trendline is broken, the price could rise to 111,700. Breaking the 111,700 level would be the main confirmation of the bullish trend’s continuation, activating the trendline breakout as the primary trigger.
🔍 Binance Open Interest is Surging as BTC Regains Bullish Momentum
Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure.
Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume.
As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor.
This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way.
Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile.
At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet.
📊 Minimal Sell Pressure Despite STH & LTH Deposits on Binance
Keeping an eye on STH (Short-Term Holders) and LTH (Long-Term Holders) behavior gives us valuable clues about market sentiment.
In this update, we’re focusing on Bitcoin inflows to Binance from both STHs and LTHs. These flows help us measure selling pressure and get a feel for how price action might unfold.
Let’s start with STHs the group that tends to react quickly and emotionally to market shifts.
🧠 We’ve seen their behavior play out clearly in the past:
During the August 2024 correction, they sent over 12,000 BTC to Binance.
Then again, around late February to early March, during the tariff news-driven panic that pushed BTC below $80K, they dumped over 14,000 BTC.
But here’s the good news: right now, STH inflows are still moderate only about 8,000 BTC has been sent to Binance so far, which is roughly in line with the last correction.
🔍 As for LTHs, the numbers are even calmer.
Currently, just 86 BTC has flowed in from long-term holders—far lower than the 254 BTC seen before the last major top and way below the 626 BTC peak back in 2024.
📊 Bottom line?
Whether we’re looking at STHs or LTHs, there’s no real sign of strong selling pressure at the moment. Still, it’s worth watching in the context of ongoing demand—which remains relatively healthy for now.
Coinbase Premium Signals Strong Institutional Demand
There’s no doubt institutions are stepping in and no, it’s not just because of ETFs.
💡 Why not ETFs?
Because spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t exclusive to institutions. Retail investors can access them just as easily, and in terms of raw volume, ETFs still don’t come close to the spot or futures markets.
That said, the inflows are still impressive: the 30-day average daily inflow is now over $330 million, and that trend is holding strong.
🚀 The Real Signal? The Coinbase Premium Gap
This metric tracks the price difference between Coinbase Pro (favored by U.S. professional/institutional investors) and Binance. Right now, the 30-day moving average of the premium gap is 55 a clear sign of heightened U.S. investor activity, which strongly points to institutional participation.
💰 Futures Activity Surges as Spot Demand Fades on Binance
Futures volume on Binance has been rising, while spot volume has dropped significantly in recent days even as Bitcoin broke into price discovery. This shift in volume composition is worth watching closely, as it provides important clues about the market’s internal strength.
Volume isn’t just a number—it reflects the type of demand driving the market. When demand comes from spot markets, it often suggests long-term conviction. In contrast, demand driven by futures markets tends to reflect short-term speculation, which can introduce instability.
Since May 5, we’ve seen futures activity increase modestly, while spot volumes have clearly declined. This suggests that the current price action may be fueled more by leverage and short-term bets than by solid, long-term buying.
Without strong spot support, trends powered by derivatives are more fragile and prone to sharp reversals. This environment calls for increased caution, especially for those considering new entries or leveraged positions.
⚡️ BTC Gains Bullish Momentum as Binance Open Interest Rises
Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure.
Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume.
As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor.
This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way.
Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile.
At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet.
🔄 Bitcoin Heatmap Analysis
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin heatmap analysis, which was missing from this analysis and completes the most comprehensive data for these days. I hope it’s useful for you.
In the 6-month timeframe, Bitcoin has had a good upward trend but experienced a rejection after hitting orders in the 110,000–113,000 range. It’s currently in the 104,000 zone, with the most important support zone at 92,000, which is likely to hold.
In the monthly timeframe, we’ve broken through the 106,000 zone, which was a strong support level based on orders, but there isn’t a strong support zone immediately below. The next support level is 100,000–102,000, which could be a solid level, while the 110,000–112,000 zone is currently the most valid resistance level for Bitcoin.
In the weekly timeframe, a similar event has occurred. We’ve been rejected from the significant 110,000 resistance zone and are heading for further downside, but at a slow pace. In this timeframe, no specific support orders have been registered yet, and it will take some time for traders to place their buy orders on exchanges. However, even if we bounce from this level, we shouldn’t underestimate the 110,000 resistance.
📝 Final Thoughts
This is the most comprehensive Bitcoin analysis for the community.
We’ve done our best to collect the data comprehensively in this post for your awareness and present it to you in this analysis, hoping it has been useful for you!
Our team has worked on this analysis for several days, so we’d be thrilled if you boost, comment, and share the analysis with your friends.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Local Downtrend
Hello everyone! This is the daily analysis from a trader-analyst at CryptoRobotics.
Yesterday, contrary to expectations and the overall bullish context, we broke the local low and entered a phase of a local downtrend, within a broader uptrend.
At the moment, despite buyer defense and weakening selling pressure, we should expect a test of the buyer zone below $104,200–$102,300 (slightly adjusted based on the daily timeframe), from which stronger buying is more likely to resume.
A local resistance area has also formed during the decline at $106,800–$107,600 (aggressive selling volumes).
Sell zone:
$106,800–$107,600 (aggressive selling volumes)
Buy zones:
$104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume)
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Short-Term, Aims Below $100,000 (Alert!)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, overall, the market looks great.
The market looks great but never forget that nothing is set in stone, market conditions can always change.
Let's consider Bitcoin for once on the short-term timeframe.
The long-term timeframes are good to spot the bigger cycle; the smaller timeframes are good to know what will happen next.
— Bitcoin 4H TF (Short-term)
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high and was followed by a strong bearish volume session. The action went on to move below a strong resistance zone, the ath range.
Now Bitcoin is trading below "local resistance" and this opens up a bearish bias short-term. When it moves back above $110,000, we can say the bulls are back in. When it trades below $106,000, we can say bearish confirmed.
Here we can see Bitcoin bearish while aiming lower.
If it continues dropping, 100K won't be the end. Either it recovers now, or else we will see a test of the low 90Ks.
Leave a comment if you agree.
Follow if you disagree.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bullish Altcoins: Bitcoin Dominance In Correction ModeHere BTC.D is still moving within a classic ABC correction. The peak happened 7-May. After 14-May there was a bounce but this bounce ended in a lower high. The correction is not over.
As this index moves lower, the Altcoins market will grow.
When Bitcoin turns sideways, retraces or consolidates, it is an opportunity for the smaller Altcoins to move forward. This is the scenario we are entering right now.
» Bitcoin sideways. Altcoins bullish. Long-term growth.
The 2025 bull market is only starting now. Prepare for growth until late 2025 or beyond (early 2026).
Namaste.
Bitcoin Strong-Bullish Above 102000, Remember The Bigger PictureWe've defined $102,000 as the strongest support level ever based on the long-term. This number was extracted using the 2021-2022 bear market. It is mapped which a red dotted line on the chart.
On this chart you can see how this level worked as resistance in December 2024 and January 2025, later to become the strongest support ever now, in May 2025. Bitcoin is 100% bullish as it trades above $102,000.
» I should say super-bullish, hyper-bullish, ultra-bullish, etc.
Right now Bitcoin is safe and sound when considering the bigger picture.
The Altcoins market is also safe and we can continue to accumulate; Buy and hold.
If you have any questions do not hesitate to leave a comment.
Please keep in mind that market conditions can always change. In a day without notice.
Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated.
Namaste.
SHORT Bitcoin 10X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 175.6%)For experts only. This is not for beginners.
Leveraged trading is ultra-high risk and it is even harder when it comes to shorting.
This is not medical advice. This is not spiritual advice.
This is definitely not financial advice. This is just a chart and some numbers.
How you decide to use these numbers is completely up to you.
I am wishing you tons of luck and success; profits 100%.
This is a strong chart setup. It looks great.
_____
SHORT BTCUSDT
Leverage: 10X
Entry levels:
1) $111,111
2) $109,255
3) $108,000
4) $107,000
Targets:
1) $103,149
2) $101,012
3) $98,790
4) $94.239
5) $89,999
11) $88,888
Stop-loss:
Close weekly above $115,000
Potential profits: 175%
Capital allocation: 4%
_____
Thank you for reading.
If you enjoy the content make sure to follow.
(Leave a comment with your toughts.)
Namaste.
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
HelenP. I Bitcoin can start to grow from support zone in rangeHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the support zone, which coincided with support level 2, and fell to the trend line. After this moment, BTC started to grow near this line and soon broke support 2. Then it made a correction below the trend line, but soon turned back and continued to grow. Later, Bitcoin reached support 1, which coincided with the support zone too and then some time traded in this area. Price traded between the support area and the trend line, and later finally broke support 1 and entered into a consolidation. In this pattern, BTC rose to the top part of the range and then made a correction to the trend line at once. Soon, Bitcoin broke this line and continued to fall, and at the moment it traded near support 1, which is the bottom part of the consolidation as well. So, I expect that BTCUSDT will correct to the support area and then start to grow. For this case, I set my goal at 109000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BITCOIN Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 108,507.32.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 105,553.71 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): A Deeper Correction?!
After Bitcoin updated the All-Time High, the market became
weak and exhausted.
A violation of a support line of a rising channel and a breakout
of a key horizontal support indicate a highly probable continuation
of a correction.
Our closest demand zone is 103200. It can be the goal for the sellers for now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
$BTC $104K TO $121K
Bitcoin's retreat to the $104k major support will be welcomed as a healthy bit correction, and I think the target will be $121k unless closures below this level are seen.
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin moving downwardsHello dear friends.
According to the chart and the performance that Bitcoin has shown, it seems that we are in a short-term downtrend.
Bitcoin is expected to move to the resistance of 104,700 and then we will have a rebound.
❗Please note that this is an analysis and the possibility of a reversal is possible.
Bitcoin's Breakout Fizzles: Is a Major Reversal in Play...?Bitcoin Technical Analysis – In-Depth Breakdown
Over the past two months, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong bullish trend, appreciating by approximately 51%. The sustained rally was primarily driven by bullish momentum, increased investor confidence, and broader market sentiment.
Recently, Bitcoin broke through its all-time high (ATH) of 106,500, surging to a new peak near 112,000. However, this breakout was short-lived as the price failed to sustain above this level, indicating significant profit-taking activity by traders and long-term holders. This inability to hold the ATH region highlights a potential liquidity pocket where sell orders accumulate, resulting in a rejection wick and a subsequent reversal.
From a Technical perspective:
The price has now fallen back below 106,500, turning this key level into a major resistance zone. Historically, once a strong resistance level (like an ATH) is breached and subsequently reclaimed, it often acts as a formidable barrier to upward price movement unless there’s renewed bullish momentum.
Additionally, Bitcoin has broken its ascending trendline (drawn from the lows of the uptrend) and has already retested this trendline from below. The retest was successful in confirming the breakdown, which further strengthens the bearish bias.
The price structure is now forming a potential lower high pattern near the 106,500 resistance. This could signal a shift in market sentiment from bullish continuation to consolidation or correction.
In terms of market psychology, the all-time high region represents a crucial psychological barrier. Traders and investors often exhibit heightened caution near such levels. Many choose to lock in profits due to fear of a double top or a false breakout. This behavior can create increased volatility, especially when combined with institutional and retail order flows.
Trading Strategy and Risk Management
Given the technical breakdown and the psychological factors at play:
✅ A short position can be considered, particularly around the 106,500 resistance, with confirmation from the trendline retest.
✅ However, exercise caution due to the high volatility typically observed near ATH levels. Whipsaws and fakeouts are common as both bulls and bears battle for control.
✅ Avoid high-leverage positions unless you have a strict stop-loss in place. Ideally, place the stop-loss just above the 106,500 - 107,000 zone, where a decisive breakout would invalidate the short setup.
✅ For profit targets, initial supports are seen around 100,000 - 98,000, and a deeper correction could test the 94,000 - 92,000 zone.
✅ Wait for clear confirmation, such as a strong bearish candle on the retest of the resistance, before entering the trade.
Bitcoin Sideways Then UpI think we will go sideways and then bounce off the 4hr 200ma as we run up to higher prices, thus continuing the pursuit of price discovery towards $115k-120K +/-. Not financial advice. DYOR.
$BTC Trend Broken - $102k NextThe trend has broken.
₿itcoin respects thy squigglets 🤓
$102k CRYPTOCAP:BTC here we come 🥸
If that doesn't hold, the 200DMA prophecy ~$95k will be fulfilled 🥲
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, within the Crypto Fund for my investors. Price is currently retracing down after peaking at a new ATH of $111,000.
I'll be keeping an eye on market structure & deciding if I should close out early, or hold on a little longer. Always stay adapted to the markets!
Bitcoin Weekly, Why $20,000 Is Not Necessary!After closing 7 consecutive weeks green, Bitcoin turned red for the first time. Is this situation bullish or bearish? Will Bitcoin test $20,000 as support before hitting $200,000? Boost & follow to continue reading below.
The fact that Bitcoin found resistance is a non-event. After a very strong rise with 50% growth, it is normal to see a retrace or correction, it is as normal as it gets. Think back to August 2024. Bitcoin crashed and started to recover. The recovery didn't produce one long single up-wave, after some bullish action there was a retrace, this retrace ended in a higher low followed by additional growth. Exactly what I told you would happen if a drop develops. Yes, prices move lower but always end in a higher low. The higher low means that the bullish structure remains intact. An intact bullish structure means that market conditions do not change. This is only negative for those that bought at the top, short-term traders and over-leveraged traders, and those without a plan.
The rest of the market is sound and safe and will continue to profit long-term. Now, how far down will Bitcoin go? Will support be found around $100,000, $90,000, $80,000 or $76,000?
Remember, even if Bitcoin hits $76,000 on a flash crash this is still a higher low compared to $74,500 and thus bullish. We are bullish long-term. So, regardless of the short-term, noise, Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Prepare for the crash.
Buy and hold.
Namaste.
Bearish Bitcoin Confirmed —$20,000 Is Not Possible, Much Higher!After a lower high, Bitcoin is now on three days red. There is nothing bullish about this chart setup.
Think of it this way: Would you trust me to buy Bitcoin when it was trading below 80K? Now, Bitcoin moves from a low point of $74,500 to a high of $112,000 in less than two months. Isn't it normal for the market to look for some relief, a retrace or correction?
Please, do not be offended by me sharing a simple chart, reading a chart. It is very normal and I always mention that the market never moves straight down, nor straight up. Bitcoin doesn't need to crash, but after a rise of 50%, I wouldn't be surprising to see the development of a higher low.
If you are going crazy right now, maybe you didn't do your homework but it is definitely not my fault. The market moves up and down, up and down... It was going up, now, down we go.
Adapt to market conditions rather than fight.
If you are fighting, then you are not prepared.
If you have to write insults in the comments section, then it means you are not doing your homework.
It is your money. Be smart.
Don't be stupid.
You can do this.
P.S. If you can easily see the market fluctuating and this type of post doesn't create a mental breakdown, then all is good. You are great and you will continue to enjoy huge profits in this 2025 bull market.
Prepare for the crash.
Namaste.
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownCRYPTOCAP:BTC lost 50MA that may act as resistance now, retracement down to 200MA support seems next.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (19.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
107480.5
Entry Zone:
108234.7 - 109274.5
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 106010.9
2) 103944.6
3) 101878.3
Stop Targets:
1) 111050.5
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.9% | +84.0% | +120.1%
Possible Loss= -40.1%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders,
First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers!
Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts.
With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market.
My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late.
In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends!
I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery.
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
