Bitcoin - Approaching the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - will break out again:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It has been quite some time since we saw such a strong move on Bitcoin. But finally - not totally unexpected to be honest - Bitcoin is following its destiny and about to create another new all time high. Patience is key and strategy, risk and mindset will help you master the volatility.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-05-26BTC Crypto Analysis Summary (2025-05-26)
Comprehensive Summary of Each Model
Grok/xAI Report
BTC at $109,553, trading above all major MAs (20/50/200 SMAs, 9/21 EMAs) → strong bullish trend RSI 67.02 (approaching overbought), MACD positive but slight bearish divergence Volume declining → possible consolidation or reduced buying interest Funding rate low (0.0002%) → not overleveraged long Trade suggested: long at $110,000, SL $107,000, TP1 $113,000, TP2 $115,000, size 1% equity, confidence 80%
Claude/Anthropic Report
Confirms price above all key MAs, RSI approaching overbought, MACD divergence Price near upper Bollinger Band → resistance Concludes short-term momentum weakening → moderately bearish bias Recommends no trade (confidence 72%), waits for break above $111,800 or below $105,000
Llama/Meta Report
Bullish MA alignment, RSI slightly overbought, price near upper BB Funding rate neutral, sentiment generally positive Trade suggested: long on pullback to SMA20 at $105,295.59, SL $103,000, TP $110,000, size = 2–3% equity, confidence 80%
Gemini/Google Report
Strong bullish trend (EMA9 > EMA21 > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), RSI 67, BB upper ~$111,724 MACD bearish crossover → potential short-term pullback Recommends long at ~$109,550, SL $107,700, TP $113,100, size 1 BTC, confidence 75%
DeepSeek Report
Price near upper Bollinger Band, MACD bearish crossover, RSI divergence Countertrend short trade: entry $109,553, SL $111,725, TP $105,295, size 1 BTC, confidence 75% Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
BTC is in a strong uptrend, trading above all major moving averages RSI ~67 suggests rising momentum but nearing overbought MACD shows a bearish divergence or crossover, warning of short-term momentum loss Price is close to the upper Bollinger Band → stretched conditions
Disagreement
Directional bias: Grok, Llama, and Gemini bullish; Claude is cautious/no-trade; DeepSeek bearish countertrend Entry levels: ranges from pullbacks to 105k (Llama) to market price ~109.55k (Gemini/Grok) Risk appetite: varying leverage and position-sizing recommendations Trade/no-trade: Claude advises holding; others recommend active positions Conclusion and Trade Recommendation
Overall Market Direction Consensus
Moderately Bullish: the dominant trend is up, supported by MA structure and recent performance, despite short-term momentum warnings.
Recommended Trade
Direction: Long BTC futures Entry Range: Near current market (109,500–109,600) or immediate retest of EMA9 (~109,550) Stop Loss: 107,700 (below EMA9 and minor support) Take Profit: 113,100 (just above recent swing highs/upper BB) Position Size: 1 BTC (adjust per account to risk ~1–2%) Confidence Level: 78%
Key Risks and Considerations
Momentum Divergence: MACD bearish crossover and RSI near overbought may trigger a pullback Volatility Spikes: leverage can amplify slippage and liquidation risk Broader Crypto Moves: altcoin correlation or market-wide news can quickly shift prices Funding Rate Shifts: a sudden spike could accelerate long-side liquidations
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 109550.0, "stop_loss": 107700.0, "take_profit": 113100.0, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.78, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: BTC 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 109550.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 107700.0 🎯 Take Profit: 113100.0 📊 Size: 1 💪 Confidence: 78% ⏰ Entry Timing: market_open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Bitcoin's Market Cycles — Are We Nearing the Top?Bitcoin is approaching a critical moment and the signs are everywhere.
After more than 900 days of steady bull market growth, BTC now flirts with all-time highs (ATH) while momentum stalls, liquidity thins, and emotions run hot. You might be asking:
Are we nearing the cycle top?
Is now the time to de-risk or double down?
What comes next?
This isn’t just a question of price. It’s about timing, structure, and psychology.
In this analysis, we’ll break down Bitcoin’s historical cycles, the current macro structure, the hidden signals from Fibonacci time extensions, and how to think like a professional when the crowd is chasing FOMO.
Let’s dive in.
📚 Educational Insight: Understanding Bitcoin Cycles
Bitcoin doesn’t move in straight lines, it moves in cycles.
Bull markets grow slowly, then explode. Bear markets fall fast, then grind sideways. These rhythms are driven by halving events, liquidity expansions, and most importantly: human emotion.
Here’s what history tells us:
Historical Bull Markets:
2009–2011: 540 days (+5,189,598%)
2011–2013: 743 days (+62,086%)
2015–2017: 852 days (+12,125%)
2018–2021: 1061 days (+2,108%)
2022–Present: 917 days so far (+623%)
Bear Market Durations:
2011: 164 days (-93.73%)
2013–2015: 627 days (-86.96%)
2017–2018: 362 days (-84.22%)
2021–2022: 376 days (-77.57%)
💡 What does this tell us?
Bull markets are growing longer, while bear markets have remained consistently brutal. The current cycle has already surpassed the average bull run length of 885 days (cycles #2–#4) and is quickly approaching the 957-day average of the two most recent cycles (#3 and #4). That makes this the second-longest bull market in Bitcoin’s history.
⏳ 1:1 Fibonacci Time Extension — The Hidden Timing Signal
In time-based Fibonacci analysis, the 1.0 (1:1) extension means one simple thing: this cycle has now lasted the same amount of time as previous cycles — a perfect time symmetry.
Here’s how I measured it:
Average bull market length #2–#4(2011–2021): 885 days
Average bull market length #3–#4(2015–2021): 957 days
Today’s date: May 27, 2025 = Day 917
✅ Result: We are well inside the time window where Bitcoin historically tops out.
You don’t need to be a fortune teller to see that this is a zone of caution. Markets peak on euphoria, not logic and this timing confluence is a red flag worth watching.
🗓️ "Sell in May and Go Away" — Not Just a Meme
One of the oldest market adages is showing its teeth again.
Risk assets — including Bitcoin — tend to underperform in the summer months. Why?
Lower liquidity
Institutional rebalancing
Exhaustion from prior run-ups
Vacations and reduced trading volumes
And here we are:
Bitcoin is hovering near ATH
It's been in an uptrend for 917 days
We just entered the time-extension top zone
Liquidity is thinning across the board
You don’t need to panic. But you do need to think like a professional: secure profits, reduce exposure, and wait for structure.
😬 FOMO Is a Portfolio Killer
This is where most traders make their worst decisions.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) isn’t just a meme — it’s the reason so many people buy tops and sell bottoms.
Before entering any trade right now, ask yourself:
Where were you at $20K?
Did you have a plan?
Or are you reacting to headlines?
📌 Clear mind > urgent clicks
📌 Patience > chasing green candles
📌 Strategy > emotion
Let the herd FOMO in. You protect your capital.
Will This Bear Market Be Different?
Every past cycle saw BTC retrace between 77%–94%. That was then. But this time feels… different.
Here’s why:
Institutions are here — ETF flows, sovereign wealth funds, and major asset managers
Regulation is clearer — and risk capital feels safer deploying in crypto
Supply is tighter — much of BTC is now held off exchanges and in cold storage
While a massive crash like -80% is less likely, that doesn’t mean a correction isn’t coming. Even a 30%–40% drop from here would wreak havoc on overleveraged traders.
And that brings us to…
🚨 Altseason? Or Alt-bloodbath?
Here’s the hard truth:
If BTC corrects, altcoins will crash — not rally.
Most altcoins have already seen strong rallies from their cycle lows. But if BTC drops 30%, many alts could tumble 50–80%.
Altseason only happens when BTC cools off and ranges — not when it dumps. Don’t get caught holding the bag. Be tactical. Be disciplined.
So Where’s the Next Big Level?
You may be wondering: “If this is the top… where do we fall to?”
Let’s just say there’s a very important Fibonacci confluence aligning with several other key indicators. I’ll reveal it in my next analysis, so stay tuned.
🧭 What Should You Do Right Now? (Not Financial Advice)
✅ Up big? — Take some profits
✅ On the sidelines? — Wait for real setups
✅ Emotional? — Unplug, reassess
✅ Are you new to Trading? — study, learn (how to day trade) and prepare for the next cycle
The best trades come to the calm, not the impulsive.
💡 Final Words of Wisdom
Bitcoin rewards discipline. It punishes emotion.
Right now is not about catching the last 10% of upside — it’s about:
Watching structure for potential trend change
Measuring risk
Avoiding overexposure
Protecting what you’ve earned
📌 The edge isn’t in indicators. It’s in mindset. Stay prepared, stay sharp because in this market…
🔔 Remember: The market will always be there. Your capital won’t — unless you protect it.
The next big opportunity doesn’t go to the loudest.
It goes to the most ready.
_________________________________
Thanks for reading and following along! 🙏
Now the big question remains: Is a bear market just lurking around the corner?
What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments. I’d love to hear your perspective.
_________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Bitcoin's upward movement continuesThe upward movement that Bitcoin started at $74,550 has many similarities between its waves. Considering the similarity in price and the large time between waves A-C-E-G and waves B-D-F, it is clear that a diametric or symmetrical is forming.
Considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not passed, there are two scenarios:
1- Formation of an x-wave after the diametric
2- Formation of a symmetrical
However, considering that the post-pattern movement after the g-wave has not been confirmed and the high similarity in price in all waves, my opinion is that a symmetrical is forming and we will have another upward wave. This upward wave could end at $115,500 or $123,000.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
$ETH - Ethereum enters buy zoneHey traders!
How is your portfolio doing? Trump is shaking us!
After all these months in 2025 I've tried to project a new scenario (bullish/bearish) that clarifies our next outlook.
Not an easy job. As you see day by day, markets are in high volatility due to trade war and (not trying to be pesimistic) could be worse.
However, In my opinion Ethereum (and altcoin markets) are entering into a golden opportunity. that has to be taken 100%. Don't know where is the bottom for CRYPTOCAP:ETH on a short scenario. But, what I can certainly say is that won't fall as a stone for too long.
Ranges between 1400 - 2000 USD are gold prices to make progressives buys. Although it could fall even more ( 900 - 1200 USD) I think this is a high Risk reward buy.
But, timing is not on time. Shouldn't I sell, expecting a bear market( you know Halving and Posthalving ideas). Times have changed as the macro scenario has not been the same as the previous bullruns.
So, it's time to accumulate and expect a possible expansion cycle in 2026.. That could lead Ethereum to prices never seen before. Yes, the range between 8.000 - 15.000 USD.
As I always say. Just my opinion. Stay safe!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #102👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, yesterday we saw a bullish move that pushed the price up to and beyond the 109229 level.
🔍 In the previous analysis, I mentioned that if the price finds support before reaching 106192 and breaks above 109229, we could draw a support zone between the recent low and 106192. That’s exactly what happened — I’ve now marked the support range between 106192 and 107010.
💥 This is a critical support area, and if price revisits it later, it could act as a strong support. For now, the price is moving upward, and after breaking 109229, the next resistance is at 111747.
✔️ If you didn’t open a long position on yesterday’s trigger, you’ll need to wait for the break of 111747. If you already have an open position, you can hold it for now, as Bitcoin’s long-term trend is bullish and the move may continue.
📊 If buying volume increases and RSI breaks above 70 and enters the Overbought zone, bullish momentum will strengthen significantly, and the chances of breaking 111747 will increase.
📉 As for short positions or trend reversal — it's better not to consider them yet, as long as the price remains above the support zone. The uptrend is strong and offers better setups.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is still oscillating below the 64.32 level and hasn’t broken it yet. A local low has formed around 64.18.
🔔 A break above 64.32 would confirm the start of the next bullish leg in dominance. Conversely, breaking 64.18 could lead to a deeper correction toward 63.97 or even 63.50.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, the descending trendline I highlighted was broken, and price moved up to 1.22.
✨ Breaking 1.22 would confirm the start of a larger bullish leg toward 1.26. If Total2 declines instead, we could enter on a break below 1.118.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Yesterday, Tether dominance was rejected from the 4.62 resistance and also broke through 4.51.
🎲 If price moves toward 4.38 again, the probability of breaking this level will rise significantly — especially since a lower high has formed at 4.72, indicating that bearish momentum could be entering the market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
26/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $111,965.73
Last weeks low: $101,994.78
Midpoint: $106,980.26
New BTC ATHs! Well done to those who capitalized on the move and continue to believe in this Bitcoin.
For the last two weekly outlooks I have talked about the pattern of consolidation for 1 week --> expansion the next. Last week We got our expansion week right on queue and this time around BTC made a new ATH hitting just shy of $112,000.
Should the pattern continue this week will be a week of consolidation/chop, however this week is different now that we're at ATH levels. My gut says a pullback is coming after such an aggressive move up with almost no pullbacks at all.
Should BTCs price drop below the Midpoint I think there will be a big struggle to continue this rally in the short term. Initially target would be weekly low and main HTF target would be $97,000 IMO. That would be a healthy pullback to continue the rally.
For the bulls you don't want momentum to stop in the short term, flipping $110,450 and weekly high would put BTC back into price discovery, once any asset is in price discovery it's very difficult to tell where the sell pressure will come from and so shorting becomes very risky.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin updated its historical maximum, after which it entered a correction phase. The price tested the key demand zone of $109,200-$106,500 (volume zone), where it encountered buyer activity: sales were absorbed, and a rebound followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, we’re still in an uptrend. This is evidenced by the unbroken trendline, the reaction during the test of the mentioned zone, as well as the absorption of sales along the delta within it.
In the opposite scenario and moving below the slope and the buyer's zone, we expect a decline to $103,000 and a change in the current trend, at least to the sideways.
Buy Zones:
$109,200–$106,500 (volume area)
$103,200–$102,000 (market sell absorption)
~$100,000 (aggressive buy volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 (support level)
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume)
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
$74,800 (support level)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume)
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic developments this week:
• Tuesday, May 27, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer confidence index for May from the Conference Board (CB);
• Wednesday, May 28, 02:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, May 28, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of the minutes of the US FOMC meeting;
• Thursday, May 29, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of GDP for the first quarter and the results of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, May 30, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the US consumer Price Index for May;
• Friday, May 30, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index of US personal consumption expenditures for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Saturday, May 31, 1:30 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the Chinese manufacturing sector for May.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Daily BTC OverviewThe daily chart in its simplest form can be broken down into this range. Since President Trumps inauguration, BTC has declined from a range high of $108,000 back to the lows of $74,500 closing the FVG caused by the US election rally. After a double bottom Bitcoin mean reverted back to the range midpoint which to me is the most important area on the entire chart because it decides if the bull run can continue or if it dies.
I like to keep a close eye on the 200 EMA on multiple timeframes but the 1D is important to gauge the momentum of the move. As the US election results came in a massive push away from this moving average causes the level to steepen in its climb showing strength. Since BTC spent quite some time in the top half of the range the 1D 200 EMA flattens out signaling a loss of momentum, once this level does become flat it no longer provides support. For a bullish cycle to be just that ideally the corrective moves do not spend too much time below this level before expanding above and beyond it once again starting the next leg of the move. A persistent move down below causes a rollover and the cycle looks to be over with a bear market beginning.
Bullish scenario - The correction is over and BTC consistently posts HH's & HLs bringing the 1D 200 EMA up with price and continues the previous bullish trend. I would want to see the retest of the midpoint be successful and then move to reclaim the next local high before targeting range high. The bull market correction looks to be over and bullish continuation resumes.
Bearish scenario - This move is nothing more than a LH, BTC wicks the supply above midpoint, swing fails back under and continues to make LH's & LL's back down to range low where the 1D 200EMA will have now rolled over providing more of a resistance level. The bear market looks to have begun.
I am not here to make a call on where BTC is going next as I do not have that answer, but I do have to plan for each eventuality and that is what I have done here from a TA pint of view. Now it is entirely possible that Geo-political news or an exchange hack etc throws TA out of the window and I have to rethink the plan but in a strictly chart structure perspective this is how I see it.
The indicator "TRADING ENVIRONMENT+V1.0" used in the Idea post is now publicly available for use, give it a try and leave your thoughts and suggestions on the post, thank you.
BITCOIN $119k coming shortlyBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a 6-week Channel Up and Friday's tariff threats led pull-back was its latest Bearish Leg. That pull-back hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday and rebounded. As long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) which is directly below the Channel Up holds, the current rebound is technically the pattern's new Bullish Leg.
All 4 previous Bullish Legs have ended on fairly similar % rises but the weakest has been +11.41%. With the 4H MACD just now completing a Bullish Cross (which has always been a strong buy signal), a repeat of the +11.41% minimum, gives us an immediate $119000 Target.
Do you think that's coming shortly before the beginning of June? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC finds support around ATHsBitcoin is potentially finding support around $107k after making new ATHs last week around $112k.
Assuming these levels as S and R, a strong break could signal the direction of price in the coming days.
If local support is lost, we can expect price to at least test $104.9k.
Assuming the bullish momentum continues, breaking resistance would signal higher prices. Still in tact, a continued bull flag breakout from $104.9k (20 May) could still put BTC at around $115k.
BTC (Y25. P2.E3).AB=CD scenarioHi traders,
In the past, ATH's have made consistent pullbacks soon after with 14%.
This time round I do expect the same, to shake out before we do new highs.
Macro wise, I still have the Cup and Handle targets.
Short term, this aligns well with my support levels.
For now, the VAL or neckline is likely to be resistance.
We had a obvious descending wedge breakout, its hit its target. and now we should range, consolidate here before price makes a decision.
For more updates, come to our forum.
All the best,
S.SAri
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Rise?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. A break of the drawn trend line will lead to a decline in Bitcoin. If Bitcoin moves downwards towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities. Maintaining the drawn trend line will lead to its reaching $120,000.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Over the past 200 days, since Trump’s electoral victory, investment funds (ETFs) and major corporations have collectively purchased and withdrawn approximately 607,000 bitcoins from the market.
▪️ Around 200,000 bitcoins were acquired by ETFs.
▪️ MicroStrategy alone accumulated nearly 300,000 bitcoins.
▪️ The remaining 100,000 bitcoins were bought by other companies.
This substantial level of acquisition has removed a significant portion of bitcoin from circulation, creating what is known as a “supply shock”—a situation where the reduced availability of bitcoin could drive prices higher due to scarcity.
On February 6, 2025, Eric Trump declared that it was an opportune time to invest in bitcoin. Shortly after this statement, the price of bitcoin dropped by about 25%. However, the market soon shifted momentum, and bitcoin entered a strong upward trend. On May 22, Trump tweeted again, stating: “Hope you listened… This is just the beginning!”
Meanwhile, U.S. Vice President JD Vance is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, set to take place on May 28 in Las Vegas.Earlier in March, President Trump signed an executive order establishing a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” and a “U.S. Digital Asset Reserve,” solidifying the government’s new, supportive stance toward cryptocurrencies.
The Vice President’s upcoming participation in this event underscores the seriousness of the administration’s digital asset policy and reinforces the likelihood that digital assets will gain a more formal and structured role within the U.S. financial and strategic reserve systems.
Jurrien Timmer, Chief Economist at Fidelity, believes that bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark signals its growing alignment with gold as a store-of-value asset. He suggests a 4-to-1 ratio of gold to bitcoin in a value-preservation investment portfolio.
Although bitcoin had a sluggish start in 2025, capital inflows into bitcoin ETFs have resumed—especially as macroeconomic conditions have begun to improve. While gold has posted gains of around 30% so far this year, bitcoin hasn’t matched that performance yet. Nonetheless, analysts continue to project significantly higher price targets for bitcoin within this same year.
Meanwhile, the crypto exchange Kraken announced that it will soon launch tokenized stock offerings for Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia. These tokenized stocks will be available for trading by users outside of the United States.
Importantly, these assets will be tradable 24/7—much like cryptocurrencies—which marks a major departure from the traditional trading hours of Wall Street. Kraken confirmed that the feature will roll out in the coming weeks, initially targeting regions such as Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia.
BITCOIN New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
In the previous analysis, we mentioned that you should avoid looking for sell/short positions, as Bitcoin's price pattern was designed to trap short positions. The price followed the direction of the previous yellow arrow as anticipated.
Currently, the major resistance zone for Bitcoin on the chart is the red area. In this zone, a complete bullish pattern could potentially form | or at the very least, one leg of a bullish pattern may be completed.
Let’s see how it plays out.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is It Time to Enter, or time to escape?One green candle is all it takes to trigger thousands of minds into thinking
Should I jump in now?
But is this truly a good entry point, or are you just afraid of missing the move?
Let’s break down how psychology tricks us into bad trades—and how to fight back with real chart data.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
📈 Bitcoin is currently respecting a well-structured ascending channel, with price action aligning closely with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a major daily support zone—both acting as strong technical confluence. Given the strength of this setup, a potential short-term move of at least +6% seems likely, while the broader structure remains supportive of an extended bullish scenario toward the $116K target. 🚀
Now, let's dive into the educational section ,
📉 Why Do We Buy More When Markets Are High?
It’s a simple question—but the answer runs deep into our psychology. When a crypto pumps, and we’re not in it, our brain doesn’t analyze—it rationalizes:
"If I don’t buy now, I’ll miss out."
But most people who think like this enter at the top—and exit with regret .
🧠 The Psychology of FOMO and Poor Timing
In every rally, a large chunk of entries are triggered by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).
But buying high means you're buying from those who bought lower.
And here's the trick: your brain loves the green candles—but ignores volume drops, RSI spikes, or exhaustion signals.
🛠 TradingView Tools to Spot Smart Entry Points
When it comes to entering a position, emotions are your worst advisor. Fortunately, TradingView offers powerful tools to help you act based on evidence, not instinct. Here’s how to use them:
🔹 Trend-Based Fib Extension: One of the best tools to estimate how much room a move still has. Plot it on the previous wave to identify realistic targets.
🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index): When RSI is over 70 or under 30, you’re in emotional territory. Be careful—buying during peak RSI often means you're entering late.
🔹 MACD: Look for crossovers between lines and histogram patterns. Use it as confirmation—not a solo trigger—for entries.
🔹 Volume Profile: This hidden gem on TradingView shows you where most trading volume has occurred. Buying at volume-supported levels is way safer.
🔹 Alerts & Watchlists: Don’t glue yourself to the chart. Set alerts for your conditions and build smart watchlists to stay updated.
🔹 Replay Mode: Want to master entries without risking real capital? Use Replay Mode to test strategies and train your eyes.
If you want to replace "guessing" with "planning," these tools should be your daily companions.
🔍 5-Point Checklist Before You Hit "Buy"
Ask yourself these five questions before entering a trade:
Is the broader trend actually bullish—or is this just a short-lived bounce?
What does RSI or other indicators say about overbuying?
Are there major support/resistance zones nearby?
Is the volume confirming the move—or fading out?
Do you have a target and stop in place—or just a “need to be in”?
📊 No Plan Entry = Planned Loss
If you jump in without a clear plan, your only focus becomes: “Am I in profit yet?”
Not “Is my strategy playing out?”
And that’s the trap.
A solid entry means you have a signal, a plan, and controlled risk.
🧲 How to Avoid Getting Pulled Into Fake Rallies
Always check higher timeframes for confirmation
Don’t enter without volume agreement
Plan entries after pullbacks, not mid-hype
Think in probabilities, not dreams
🧭 Final Takeaway & Recommendation
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
Opportunities never end in the market.
i should write this thousand of time ☝️
But rushing in only guarantees missed ones.
Use your tools and stay calm.
The trader who plans always beats the one who panics.
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
BTCUSDT – Reaccumulation Breakout or Bearish S/R Flip?Timeframes: 1W • 1D • 4H
Structure: Wyckoff Reaccumulation nearing Phase E — but ATH is acting as resistance
🔹 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: Macro Structure Points to Markup
Last weekly candle closed above the reaccumulation Buying Climax (BC), showing bullish intent
Weekly upper Bollinger Band is rising toward 113k
RSI at 67, strong but not overbought
Structure suggests we’re entering Wyckoff Phase E
Weekly Targets:
🟢 TP1: 113,049 (Upper BB)
🟢 TP2: 116,199 (measured move)
🟢 TP3: 118,237 (Fib 0.66 extension)
🔹 DAILY OUTLOOK: Still Holding Above Reaccumulation Range
Multiple daily closes above the BU (backup) zone, but all below 110k ATH
RSI is strong (~66), and price is tracking near the upper BB, but volume is not convincing
Until a daily close above 110,000, breakout remains unconfirmed
🔹 4H OUTLOOK: Structure Valid, Momentum Rising
BU zone held; price made two lower lows followed by a higher high
RSI has reclaimed 57+, and volume is picking up modestly
4H structure looks like an early Phase E breakout attempt, but...
⚠️ Caution: Is This a Bearish S/R Flip?
While the broader Wyckoff structure suggests a transition into markup, we must also consider the bearish scenario:
BTC may be failing a support/resistance flip at 110k
All timeframes have rejected at or below 110k, despite multiple attempts
If we see a lower high under 109k + 1D close below 105,863 with red volume and RSI < 45 → this becomes a confirmed bull trap
📊 TL;DR:
BTC is structurally bullish — but we are at the final test zone.
🔓 Breakout confirmed: Daily close above 110k
🔒 Failure confirmed: Close below 105,863 + red volume + RSI breakdown
Stay nimble. This is either the last shakeout before markup… or the top of the range before reversal.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #Reaccumulation #Breakout #SupportResistance
Next Step $155,600, Bitcoin Closes 7th Week Green +AltcoinsThe next target and major All-Time High has been confirmed as $155,601.73 for Bitcoin and this isn't likely to be the end of the bull market. This target is now confirmed after Bitcoin wicked lower on the weekly timeframe to test support but ended up closing green, the 7th consecutive week Bitcoin closes green.
This is a major, major bullish signal. It means one thing only, the demand for Bitcoin is just too strong. So strong, that nobody is willing to sell, at least not for longer than a few hours or a few days.
Sold at 100K? Good! Buy back in but higher.
Sold at 105K? Bad! Bitcoin continues rising.
Bought below $80,000? Congratulations, you are a genius and you are holding a great position, you have months and months of bullish action yet ahead of you.
Bought below $90,000? You are still good, you are wise, you are great. You have to congratulate yourself and know that all the gains you receive you deserve. You bought when the time was right, you bought regardless of what the others said.
Bought at $95,000 or lower? There was higher risk because resistance was strong right in front, 100K-110K, and yet, you took action, now you will be rewarded for being brave. The market will bless you with tons of profits and continued success.
Missed the Bitcoin bus? There is absolutely no need to worry, at all, because the Altcoins market is still trading near its bottom and is soon to grow; What one does, the rest follows.
The Altcoins market will follow Bitcoin. The Altcoins will move to strong highs, new heights and new All-Time Highs.
It is not too late... Crypto (Bitcoin & The Altcoins) is going up!
Namaste.
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
Bitcoin H1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,479.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 110,363.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Volatility Period: Up to May 29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
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If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
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The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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