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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)

Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 –(MASSIVE 'Resistance or Breakout')🚀📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 – The Final Test is Near! 🔥🔍 Welcome to Part 8 of “Where Can Bitcoin Go?” – the update of this long-running series. Since mid-2023, not much has changed in the structure. That’s the power of solid technical analysis – levels don’t lie. 🟨 The Setup Bitcoin is now approaching a third test of a major structural resistance. If you’ve followed my 1-2-3 strategy, you know this is where decisions are made: ✅ Test 1: Rejection ✅ Test 2: Rejection ⏳ Test 3: Now pending… the TERMINAL and DECISIVE 'Breakout or Rejection', and this will change everything. But here’s the deeper layer: We’re not just testing one sequence. We now have two separate sets of 1-2 rejections — 🔹 One set from 2021 (the Red 1 and 2) 🔹 And a recent one in 2025 (the white 1 and 2) This upcoming test is the third rejection attempt on both timeframes, making it a rare and extremely significant technical moment. 📐 Price is now near a critical ascending trendline around $115K–$116K, which has been the gatekeeper to parabolic moves in previous cycles. 🔄 Based on historical halving cycles: 548 days post-halving in 2016 → ATH 2017 565 days post-halving in 2020 → ATH 2021 Halving #4 was in April 2024 → 👀 Could this point to a new ATH by end of 2025? 📊 Probabilities 🔹 83% chance we see the third test before year-end 🔹 57% chance of breakout 🔻 43% chance of rejection ⚠️ And here’s the reality check: If we see that breakout — the market unleashes itself. We’re talking major pumps, potential follow-through moves, and price discovery into untouched zones like $188K, $197K, and beyond. But... if we get rejected, it won’t be pretty. We could retest major levels like $66K or worse, and lose momentum that took years to build. And unfortunately — this isn’t like 18K, or 40K, or even the 79K retest. Things are much more complicated now. The sentiment, the structure, the risk profile — they’ve all evolved. We cannot afford to have the same blind bullishness we had in those earlier phases. This is a mature part of the cycle, and it demands discipline over emotion. 💬 What’s your take? Will Bitcoin finally break through? Is this just another fakeout in disguise? Are you feeling this same tension in the market? Let’s talk structure. Let’s talk price. Let’s talk reality. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
by FX_Professor
5
TON/USDT : TON at a Key Breakout Level – Will $3 Hold or Break?By analyzing the TON Coin chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after climbing back to the $3 level, this zone has now turned into a key resistance area. The most important condition for further bullish movement is a strong breakout and confirmation above $3. If that scenario plays out, the next potential upside targets are $3.15, $3.63, $4.20, and $4.68. ⚠️ (A deeper and more detailed analysis is recommended for long-term investment considerations.) Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #123👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll go over the trigger levels for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin is currently below a resistance zone at 109135 and is approaching this level with strong bullish momentum. ⭐ If the price breaks and stabilizes above this level, we can open a long position. Both the volume and market momentum are confirming this setup well, but the main long trigger remains the breakout of 109135. 📈 If this bullish move turns out to be fake and the price starts heading downward, the first trigger we have for a short position is the 107853 level. A break below this level would give us an entry for a short. 👀 Overall, I think the market has been pretty straightforward lately, and we don’t need complex tools to analyze it. Just these support and resistance levels and simple triggers are sufficient. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving on to Bitcoin Dominance, the 65.04 floor has finally broken, and dominance is now trending downward. 💫 The next support ahead is at 64.81, which the price is approaching. We’ll have to see how the market reacts to this level. For now, the trend of dominance in the 1-hour timeframe appears bearish. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let’s look at Total2. With Bitcoin Dominance dropping and Bitcoin itself moving upward, Total2 has started a strong bullish leg and is heading toward the 1.18 level. 🔑 Many of the altcoins I’ve analyzed have triggered their entries, and as long as Total2 remains bullish, these moves can continue. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now to Tether Dominance. After breaking below the 4.76 level, it has now reached the 4.72 floor. 💥 A break below this floor could confirm continuation of the downtrend, but in my opinion, the price may pause here for some correction and consolidation. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout.🚨 Bitcoin Technical Update – Key Levels Ahead! 🚨 Bitcoin is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic setup that often signals a strong move ahead. At the moment, the market is leaning toward the upside, showing early signs of bullish momentum. 📈 If we see a breakout to the upside, it's crucial to wait for a retest of the breakout level. A successful retest could confirm the move, setting the stage for a strong upward rally. However, if the breakout fails, don’t rush in — just observe the price action closely to see how the market reacts. ⚖️ There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout, as liquidity is still building above, and there are strong support levels holding below. This combination could act as a springboard for price to move higher. 🔍 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
Long
by Peter_Wade
Bitcoin vs Gold: Driving the Point Home📉 Bitcoin vs Gold: Driving the Point Home The long-term comparison we can't afford to ignore. Gold, after achieving mainstream status, weathered a 20-year consolidation phase, low volatility, muted investor excitement, but enduring presence. This historical precedent forces us to reconsider expectations for Bitcoin, now in its 15th year. ⚡ While Bitcoin’s adoption curve has been sharper, its market dominance has steadily declined since 2017. Despite intermittent, and often deceptive relief rallies, the trend remains downward. Altcoins, forks, and shifting narratives (DeFi, NFTs, meme tokens) continue to fragment attention and capital. ⚡ Could Bitcoin follow gold’s path and enter a prolonged era of post-hype consolidation? If so, the next bull run might be a decade away or more … if it happens at all. In an age of digital abundance, durability; not innovation, may define Bitcoin’s legacy. 📊 Chart Highlights: The latest image visualizes Bitcoin’s current phase against gold’s historical arc. The final label "Monetary Maturity" suggests a shift from speculative highs to a more sober test of endurance. 🔍 Will Bitcoin evolve into a true store of value or fade as just another chapter in financial innovation? Let the markets answer, but history offers clues. Only Time will tell. #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoAnalysis #BTCdominance #CryptoHistory #DigitalAssets #TradingView CRYPTO:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:TSLA TVC:DXY NYSE:CRCL
TVC:GOLD
by CassianDrake
3
BITCOIN turning the Bull Flag into Support??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading sideways, almost flat, since the July 03 High, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Perhaps the strongest development of the week though is the fact that this consolidation has been taking place at the top (Lower Highs) of what we previously identified as a Bull Flag pattern. Together with the 1D MA50, this Lower Highs trend-line forms a formidable Support, which as long as it holds, can technically fulfil the technical expectations out of this pattern and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $168500. Is this one step closer to our 'fair valued' $150k Target for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 2025.Jul.9 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Short
by GPTradersHub
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bounce off a multi-swing-low supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 107,504.00 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 106,700.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support. Take profit is at 109,163.00 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
Quantum Computing - Why BTC isn't the biggest worryYou’ve probably heard that quantum computing could break Bitcoin’s encryption—and that’s true. But here’s the thing: Bitcoin might not even be the biggest target. The real risks? Financial systems, national security, healthcare, and even the internet itself. These areas rely on the same encryption methods that quantum computers could crack, and the fallout could be far worse than a Bitcoin hack. Let’s break it down. 1️⃣ Financial Systems: A Global Crisis Waiting to Happen Imagine if hackers could: Drain bank accounts at will. Manipulate stock markets. Fake trillion-dollar transactions. This isn’t just about stolen crypto—it’s about economic chaos. Banks, stock exchanges, and payment systems all depend on encryption. If quantum computers break it, we’re looking at a meltdown way bigger than Bitcoin’s $3 trillion market. 2️⃣ National Security & Internet Privacy: A Hacker’s Dream Governments and militaries use encryption to: Protect classified intelligence. Secure communications between leaders. Guard critical infrastructure (power grids, water supplies). If quantum computers crack these codes, entire nations could be exposed to cyberwarfare. Your private data? At risk too—email, messaging, even your online banking could be decrypted years later. 3️⃣ Healthcare, Supply Chains & IoT: The Hidden Vulnerabilities Medical records could be leaked, exposing sensitive health data. Smart devices (like home security systems) could be hacked. Supply chains might collapse if logistics networks are breached. These systems weren’t built with quantum threats in mind—and upgrading them won’t be easy. 🔴 The Bigger Picture: A "Civilizational Upgrade" Switching to quantum-resistant encryption is like rebuilding the internet’s foundation. It’s necessary, but messy. Some experts compare it to the Y2K bug—but way harder. 🔷 So, Is Bitcoin Safe? Not entirely—about 25% of all Bitcoin could be stolen if quantum computers advance fast enough. But compared to the risks facing banks, governments, and hospitals? Bitcoin might be the least of our worries. 🔷 What’s Next? Governments & companies are already working on fixes (like NIST’s post-quantum cryptography standards). The transition will take years—and hackers might exploit weak spots along the way. Staying informed is key. If you’re in tech, finance, or security, this affects you. ℹ️ Want to Dive Deeper? Deloitte’s take on quantum computing & Bitcoin Forbes on quantum risks beyond crypto 🤷‍♂️ Bottom line? Quantum computing is coming—and while Bitcoin has risks, the real danger lies in the systems we all depend on every day. ❔What do you think? Will we be ready in time? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Profit_Through_Patience
28
What is the key that makes you start trading? Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts. Therefore, they are determined by Heikin-Ashi's Open, Close, and RSI values. If the RSI indicator value is above 70 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-High indicator is generated. If the RSI indicator value is below 30 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-Low indicator is generated. Therefore, rather than judging the rise and fall with your eyes, you can judge the rise and fall transitions with more specific criteria. If you look at a regular chart, you can see that there are many rise and fall transition points, unlike the Heikin-Ashi chart. The Heikin-Ashi chart has the effect of reducing fakes. Therefore, it has a higher reliability than judging with a regular chart. The biggest disadvantage of the Heikin-Ashi chart is that it is difficult to know the exact values ​​of the Open and Close values. Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used to accurately and quickly identify the Open and Close values ​​by indicating the rising and falling transition points of the Heikin-Ashi chart on a general chart. - The Heikin-Ashi chart uses the median. Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the low range, and the HA-High indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the high range. If the HA-Low indicator is generated and then receives support, there is a high possibility that an upward trend will begin, and if the HA-High indicator is generated and then receives resistance, there is a high possibility that a downward trend will begin. Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used in basic trading strategies. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, and if the HA-High indicator supports and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise rise. Therefore, to compensate for this, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators were used. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators. When these indicators are above 60 or below -60, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators are created. In other words, the DOM (60) indicator corresponds to the overbought range and indicates the end of the high point. The DOM (-60) indicator corresponds to the oversold range and indicates the end of the low point. Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, the actual stepwise decline is likely to start when it falls below DOM (-60). On the other hand, when the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, the actual step-up trend is likely to start by rising above DOM (60). This compensates for the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. - There is no way to be 100% sure in all transactions. Therefore, if the motivation to start a transaction is clear, it is only worth challenging the transaction. Finding that motivation and deciding how to start a transaction that suits your investment style is the trading strategy and the core of trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
2
Bitcoin Dominance, RSI Bearish Divergence & Decreasing VolumeThis is a classic signal and we are going to be looking at it on two different timeframes, daily and weekly. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is producing a strong bearish divergence with the RSI. The weekly timeframe is very pronounced and I will show you the details below. This type of signal tends to support a change of trend. It appears before the reversal happens but sometimes it can take years before it goes into effect. » BTC.D Weekly RSI Here you can see the RSI peaked October 2023. Then a lower high October 2024, then again in April 2025 and finally last month. As the RSI produces lower highs BTC.D is producing higher highs. This signal is supported by decreasing volume. Bitcoin Dominance continues to climb higher while trading volume continues to drop. Both signal support a change of trend soon and together they become stronger. » BTC.D Daily RSI The daily RSI peaked June 2023 but we will focus on the short-term as we already have a strong signal coming from the weekly. Here we have a peak in May 2025 and a strong lower high in June. Needless to say, BTC.D peaked 27-June thus the divergence but the action is clearly weak. » Bitcoin daily There is a long-term rising wedge on the weekly timeframe and this pattern can also support a reversal. All these signals are bearish but not very strong, still, there is some weakness on the bearish side for this index. This means that the action can turn bearish tomorrow or it can continue rising for weeks or months before turning red. These signals are pointing to a reversal but they do not give us a specific date. Can happen next week, next month or in seven months. If we focus on the altcoins, the way they are looking and how long will it take for them to grow, then this index can turn bearish within 2-4 weeks. Bitcoin will also grow as the altcoins market grow. Everything Crypto will grow in late 2025. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
14
Bitcoin Dominance Daily Bullish Altcoins ConfirmedThere is an interesting signal here on the daily Bitcoin Dominance index chart. Four days red. This signal has not happen since February and it is most certainly bearish. After 26-June the index went red four days after hitting the highest reading since January 2021. This highest reading ended up producing a rounded top and the action moved back below the 7-May top which was the previous highest reading since 2021. Now notice the purple line on the chart. This is the 7-May peak price. Yesterday, BTC.D was trading above this level but moved below today. The candle ended as a Doji, lower high and today turning bearish signals growing bearish momentum. You can check the weekly timeframe for additional signals including the MACD and RSI. You can find it by visiting my profile @MasterAnanda (Make sure to follow.) In November 2024 BTC.D went extremely bearish and the entire altcoins market produced a major advance; Bitcoin also moved forward, the same can happen today. It is not certain the specific date, can be tomorrow, in a weeks time or within months... What is certain is that the bullish wave won't last as little as in April-May 2025 nor November-December 2024, both instances lasted only one month, this time around the bullish wave can last between 3-6 months. Some pairs will grow straight up for months. Others will experience strong volatility but with a bullish bias. Marketwide bullish action. Bitcoin and the altcoins. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
3
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th. The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6. It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart. For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators. Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed. What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point. - It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart. Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period. If not, it will eventually show a downward trend. As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction. Conditions for continuing the uptrend include: 1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend, 2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line, 3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend, If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. - If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important. If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21. If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline. The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section. Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far. Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow. Past action · consolidation We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025. Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing. Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6. The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth. Chart patterns · candlestick reading The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis. In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green. The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high. Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days. This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up. Down has been eliminated based on past action. Sideways is happening now. Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL - Markets are Ready to PUMP Again! At the 4th of July, the Independence Day, the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" was signed into law by President Trump. In this idea I want to take a closer look at some points of this law and explain why I consider it VERY bullish for most of financial markets, and especially for crypto. Here are some key points of the law: Raises the U.S. debt ceiling by $5 trillion, the largest single increase in U.S. history Makes many Trump-era 2017 tax cuts permanent: keeps lower individual tax rates, preserves expanded standard deduction, retains corporate tax rate at 21% Introduces new tax breaks: increases Child Tax Credit, exempts tips, overtime, and Social Security from federal income tax (with limitations) Adds ~$150 billion to defense and another $150 billion toward border enforcement, including massive ICE budget increase Trims SNAP food aid by ~$186–200 billion, tightening eligibility (e.g. raising work‑requirement age) What changes can happen in the economy? Big tax breaks combined with increased expenses cause the growth of financial deficit, the projected by CBO deficit can reach $3 trillion. In this situation the only solution is increasing the national debt which makes Interest Rates climb higher (Yale’s Budget Lab forecasts a 1.2 pp increase in the 10‑year yield). Why do I think this is bullish for most of stocks and mainly for crypto? The increase of debt ceiling has always had a positive impact on the crypto and namely on $BTC. The best example is Fiscal Responsibility Act that was signed back in June 5, 2023. This act increased the debt ceiling for +$4.7 billion, after that Bitcoin surged upwards from $25,000 to $75,000 in ~half a year. Similar outcome can be expected now too. Market perceives U.S. fiscal loosening as inflationary and dollar-weakening, making Bitcoin (as a decentralized and limited-supply asset) more attractive. TVC:DXY has already shown signs of weakness. Large deficits often force future monetary easing or Fed bond buying to absorb debt. Lower interest rates and more liquidity are historically bullish for risk assets, including crypto. Rising yields and bond sell-offs spook traditional markets. In this situation, Bitcoin becomes an attractive uncorrelated hedge for portfolios amid volatility in traditional assets. To sum up , I believe the Big Beautiful Law is, to put it mildly, not good for US economy. However, local effects on stock & crypto markets can be considered positive for investors & traders. With this said, I believe we can expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to reach $150,000 goal this year and mark this milestone as an ATH for the current bull cycle.
BNC:BLXLong
by RobertMercer
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner) • Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years • Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD • Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history • New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets • Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history Possible Reasons for the Move • Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security • Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered • Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off • Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms • Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs • Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup • OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale • Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market • Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction Market Reaction • COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move • ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment. • What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling Near term support & resistance $106000 support $109500 first resistance 👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍 Best Reguards MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
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