BTC ANALYSIS🌸#BTC Analysis : Bullish Trend 🚀🚀
🚀As we can see that there is a formation of Flag & Pole Pattern in #BTC in daily time frame. Right now we can see that #BTC again retest from the resistance zone and we can see a bounce back from its support zone 💪
🔖 Current Price: $1,08,050
⏳ Target Price: $1,20,000
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the #BTC chart and make some profits. Keep your eyes on chart price action, observe trading volume. Always observe market sentiments and update yourself everyday.🔰🔰
#BTC #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC - Bullflag Pattern points to new ATHMarket Context
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined descending channel for several weeks now, respecting both upper and lower boundaries with precision (3 touches on the top, 2 on the bottom). This structure suggests an orderly pullback after a strong impulsive leg to the upside in Q2. As price compresses within this flag-like pattern, market participants are watching closely for signs of breakout or breakdown.
Bullish Fair Value Gap Reaction
Recently, price dipped into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and bounced strongly — a key bullish signal indicating that demand stepped in at the inefficiency. The FVG also aligns with a retest of the channel’s resistance-turned-support, further validating the bounce. This confluence zone acts as a springboard for potential continuation.
Channel Breakout & Liquidity Above ATH
Price has now broken above the channel structure, shifting the market narrative from consolidation to potential expansion. The breakout zone is located just beneath the All-Time High (ATH) — an area that’s likely loaded with stop orders and breakout buys. A sweep or clean break above the ATH would not only invalidate the prior bearish structure but also trigger a fresh wave of bullish momentum.
Bull Flag Continuation Potential
Structurally, this chart presents a classic bull flag breakout. After a strong impulsive leg up and a controlled consolidation phase, we now see bullish continuation potential toward the 112,000–114,000 region. If the ATH gets breached and reclaimed, it could become strong support in the next leg higher.
Final Thoughts
This is the type of setup that blends both technical precision and market psychology — structure, liquidity, and momentum all coming together. Whether you're already long or watching for confirmation, this move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s next major rally.
If you found this analysis helpful or thought-provoking, please give it a like! And let me know in the comments — do you see this as a true breakout or a trap in disguise?
ES, SPY, SPX will be testing key support on Sunday After a welcome rally into new highs for the s&p, there appears to be a critical crossroad forming. Using the ES continuous contract I have placed 2 anchored VWAP's. The first being anchored to the last higher low on Thursday, June 19. And the the second, being anchored to this last Thursdays high on July 3rd.
For this post we will call the anchor from June 19 - VWAP1. And for the July 3rd anchor - VWAP2
VWAP1 r1 has acted as a key support line since the higher low was set. Successfully bouncing and holding support several times.
As we headed lower on this Thursdays July 3rd session, we remained between the center and r1 of VWAP2 indicating strong selling pressure for the day. With it being a shortened trading day with less liquidity however, I have less concern over the days price action. The forming crossroads and the upcoming Sundays open will be more telling for where we likely head this week.
The blue Horizontal Line at 6266 is placed directly on VWAP1s r1 (green line) which has acted as support. If we trade into this level on the Sunday open, it's a clear signal the sellers are still in control. If however, price can consolidate at that level (6266) and form structure, a breakout of the structure would be evidence of sellers backing off and buyers stepping in creating a good buying opportunity for the week.
Another possible scenario, if we first manage to trade up into s1 of VWAP2 (orange line) around the 6300 level, I will be looking for a short scalp down to the r1 of VWAP1 at 6266. From here it would be prudent to sit and wait for more confirmation on if this is a reversal, or just another pullback in the uptrend.
These are my two trade setups and ideas for Sunday's open. Hope this analysis helps. Happy trading 🤙💰📈
HelenP. I Bitcoin may correct to support level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, the price has formed a clean upward channel after bouncing from the strong support zone at 103500 - 103000 points. This movement marked the beginning of a new bullish phase. Price continued to rise step by step, confirming the structure with higher highs and higher lows. After reaching above 110000 points, it made a minor pullback but still trades above Support 1 - 108800 points. This zone, 108800 - 108200 points, aligns well with the midline of the channel and may serve as a strong area for buyers to re-enter. The price is currently trading around 110382 points and is still respecting the channel structure. As long as BTCUSD stays above the support zone and inside the ascending channel, I expect a potential continuation toward the upper boundary. My current goal is 114000 points - near the resistance line of this bullish channel. Given the strong trendline support, clean reaction at each correction, and buyer activity on lows, I remain bullish and anticipate further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN - Price can drop from resistance area to $103000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price entered a pennant pattern, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line.
Then the price reached $98700 level and soon broke it, after a small correction, and then continued to move up.
Later BTC rose to the resistance line of the pennant, but soon turned around and started to decline, breaking $110000 level.
Price little corrected and then tried to bounce back and failed, after which it fell to $98700 level and then started to grow.
In a short time, BTC rose to a $110000 resistance level and tried to break it again, but recently turned around and started to fall.
Now, I expect that BTC can grow to the resistance area and then drop to $103000 support line of the pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
LITECOIN (LTC) - On The Verge Of Exploding - ETF Catalyst?Litecoin: A Decentralized Network with a Differentiated Risk Profile
Litecoin (LTC), launched in 2011 by former Google engineer Charlie Lee, is one of the oldest and most active Layer-1 blockchain networks in the cryptocurrency space. Often referred to as the “digital silver” to Bitcoin’s “digital gold,” Litecoin was designed to offer faster transactions, lower fees, and broader accessibility while maintaining a similar monetary policy and codebase.
This post aims to provide an overview of Litecoin’s technical structure, usage, risk profile, and current developments—without speculative bias—so readers can form their own assessments.
1. Transparent Origins and Founder Dynamics
One key difference between Litecoin and Bitcoin lies in the identity of their respective creators. Bitcoin was developed by Satoshi Nakamoto, a pseudonymous and still-unknown individual or group, who is estimated to hold 750,000 to 1.1 million BTC—a significant portion of the total supply that has never moved. The dormant status of these holdings has occasionally raised concerns about future market impact if they were ever activated.
In contrast, Litecoin was founded by Charlie Lee, a known and public figure who was active in the community before, during, and after the launch. In 2017, Lee announced he had sold or donated nearly all his LTC holdings to avoid any potential conflict of interest. Today, no founder or insider is known to hold a disproportionate share of the Litecoin supply. This level of transparency and decentralization has been interpreted by some as a factor that lowers long-term governance and concentration risk.
2. Structural Simplicity and Leverage Exposure
Another distinction between Litecoin and Bitcoin lies in market structure and exposure to leverage.
Bitcoin is widely used as collateral in crypto lending markets and institutional derivatives, including perpetual futures and structured products. This has introduced significant systemic risk during periods of market stress, as high leverage has historically led to cascading liquidations across centralized and decentralized platforms.
Litecoin, in contrast, has relatively limited exposure to leveraged products and collateralized lending. It is not commonly used as collateral in CeFi or DeFi protocols, and institutional futures markets for LTC are smaller and less active. As a result:
Litecoin is less likely to trigger or be affected by mass liquidations
It has reduced systemic risk due to lower market entanglement
Its price tends to reflect more organic supply/demand dynamics
It is less involved in cross-collateralized or rehypothecated loan systems
This simpler structure may appeal to risk-aware investors looking for cleaner exposure without the reflexivity effects common in heavily leveraged markets.
3. Scarcity and Monetary Policy
Litecoin shares a similar deflationary model with Bitcoin, with a hard cap of 84 million LTC and scheduled halving events every four years. The most recent halving occurred in August 2023, reducing the block reward from 12.5 to 6.25 LTC per block.
With over 75 million LTC already mined, fewer than 9 million remain in future issuance. The protocol’s monetary policy is deterministic and cannot be altered unilaterally, which may appeal to those who prioritize predictable supply and inflation resistance.
While Litecoin’s cap is four times higher than Bitcoin’s, the relative issuance schedule and halving dynamics mirror Bitcoin’s design. Some investors view this as a hedge against fiat currency debasement, although the asset's volatility and adoption context should be taken into account.
4. Network Fundamentals and Real-World Use
Litecoin has maintained near 100% uptime since inception, and its transaction throughput and fee structure are generally favorable compared to many competing networks.
In 2024, Litecoin became the most used crypto for payments via BitPay, surpassing Bitcoin in transaction volume, driven by its fast 2.5-minute block times and low transaction fees. It is supported by major platforms including PayPal, and accepted by thousands of online and retail merchants.
From a security perspective, Litecoin’s hashrate reached all-time highs in 2025, partly due to merge-mining with Dogecoin, which has helped strengthen its proof-of-work infrastructure. Network upgrades like MWEB (MimbleWimble Extension Blocks) have added optional privacy layers to Litecoin’s UTXO model, while Lightning Network integration supports instant payments.
These developments suggest that Litecoin continues to evolve, with emphasis on efficiency, user privacy, and practical usability.
5. Institutional Presence and ETF Outlook
Litecoin has seen modest but growing institutional involvement. Products such as the Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) have existed for several years, and Coinbase introduced Litecoin futures trading in 2024. Fidelity also offers LTC trading and custody to institutional clients.
More notably, a Spot Litecoin ETF application is currently under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), with analysts from Bloomberg estimating a 95% probability of approval before the end of 2025. If approved, this would make Litecoin one of the first proof-of-work assets outside of Bitcoin to gain direct exposure through a regulated ETF vehicle.
Should that happen, it may increase access, liquidity, and legitimacy among traditional investors. However, as always, regulatory decisions remain uncertain and subject to broader political and market conditions.
6. Technical Structure and Long-Term Price Action
From a macro-technical perspective, Litecoin has historically followed a pattern of higher lows and higher highs across each market cycle. This structure remains intact as of 2025, with a strong support at 81 USD on a 6 months timeframe.
Summary
Litecoin presents a combination of characteristics that differentiate it from other crypto assets, including:
✅ A public, transparent founder and no major insider dominance
✅ Limited exposure to leveraged lending, reducing systemic risk
✅ Deterministic monetary policy with a fixed supply and halving schedule
✅ Real-world usage in payments and retail adoption
✅ Strong network security and development activity
✅ Potential ETF approval that may broaden accessibility
These features do not necessarily imply outperformance, but they form the basis for an asset with a relatively clean structure, historical resilience, and a distinct position in the crypto ecosystem.
🔎 Disclaimer:
The information presented here is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Always conduct your own research, assess your individual risk profile, and make investment decisions based on your own analysis and objectives.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #119👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over the analysis of Bitcoin and the key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis I’m going to review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the price broke out of the range box between 108619 and 110256 that I had marked for you, and with the heavy selling volume that entered the market, this bearish move took place.
✔️ This move continued to the 107448 zone, and as you can see, we are now in a consolidation and rest phase, and once again the volume has dropped significantly.
✨ As I mentioned in yesterday’s analysis, I believe this low volume will persist through the weekend, and for a solid move to happen, we’ll need to wait for the new week to begin.
💥 For now, the price has room to move up to 108619 and perform a retracement. A break above the 50 zone on the RSI greatly increases the likelihood of this move.
📊 If selling volume re-enters the market and the price moves downward, the short trigger we have is the 107448 level, and breaking it could start the next bearish leg.
📈 For a long position, the price must first stabilize above 108619, and then, if we see that buying volume continues and increases, we can enter a long position. The main trigger will be 110256.
⭐ I myself won’t be opening any positions for now and will wait until the market shows some proper volume and trend before entering. If you plan to open a position based on these triggers, I suggest you take on very little risk so that in case your stop-loss is hit, you don’t lose much money.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin dominance. Yesterday, dominance touched the trendline I had marked and is still dealing with this dynamic resistance.
💫 A bottom has formed at 65.38. If this bottom is broken, we’ll get confirmation of rejection from the trendline, and dominance could have a bearish move down to 65.04.
⚡️ If the trendline is broken instead, we’ll have a new trigger at 65.52, and breaking it would confirm a bullish reversal in dominance. The main trigger will still be a break of 65.64.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now let’s move on to Total2. This index dropped to the 1.13 zone and has now pulled back to 1.14. It seems like it’s getting ready for another downward move.
☘️ If Bitcoin dominance gets rejected from the trendline and moves down, and if Bitcoin moves upward, Total2 could make a very sharp move.
🔑 Even if Bitcoin drops, Total2 might range or even move up. For now, our short trigger is 1.13, and aside from 1.14, we don’t have any specific long trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s look at Tether dominance. This index made a bullish move to 4.85 after breaking 4.78 and is now in a corrective phase.
📊 If 4.85 is broken, the next bullish leg could continue up to 4.93. If a correction happens, dominance might pull back to 4.78.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Candlestick Patterns - How to read them like a ProOverview
Candlestick charts serve as a cornerstone in technical analysis, presenting price activity in a visually digestible format. By examining how prices move over a given timeframe, traders gain key insights into potential market direction, sentiment shifts, and trend strength.
Mastering candlestick interpretation is essential for identifying bullish or bearish sentiment, as well as for spotting possible trend reversals or continuations. Still, candlesticks alone don’t paint the full picture—using them without broader context increases the risk of false signals.
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What You'll Learn
What are candlestick charts?
Common bearish candlestick patterns
Common bullish candlestick patterns
How to apply candlestick analysis in trading
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What is a Candlestick Chart?
A candlestick provides a snapshot of an asset’s price behavior during a specific time interval, whether it's one minute, one hour, or one day. This format allows traders to quickly assess how the price has moved within that period.
Each candle reveals four price points:
* Open – the price at the beginning of the interval
* Close – the price at the end of the interval
* High – the highest price reached
* Low – the lowest price during that time
Anatomy of a Candlestick:
* Body: The thick section between the open and close. A green (or white) body means the close was higher than the open (bullish), while red (or black) means the opposite (bearish).
* Wicks (or Shadows): Thin lines extending from the body to indicate the high and low.
* Upper wick: Marks the highest traded price
* Lower wick: Marks the lowest traded price
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Bearish Candlestick Patterns
Understanding bearish candlestick patterns helps traders identify moments when buying momentum might be running out—setting the stage for a potential downward shift.
Evening Star
A three-candle formation that signals a shift from buying pressure to selling dominance. It starts with a strong bullish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle of indecision, and concludes with a large bearish candle that cuts deep into the first. This pattern often appears at the end of an uptrend.
Bearish Engulfing
This setup includes a small bullish candle followed by a large bearish candle that completely swallows the previous one. It indicates that sellers have seized control, potentially marking the beginning of a downward trend.
Shooting Star
With a small real body near the low and a long upper wick, this pattern reflects strong early buying that is ultimately rejected by the close—suggesting fading bullish momentum.
Gravestone Doji
This candle opens, closes, and hits its low all around the same price, leaving a long upper wick. It suggests that bulls pushed higher during the session but were overpowered by bears by the close.
Three Crows
Three consecutive bearish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a sell off is coming soon.
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Bullish Candlestick Patterns
Bullish patterns can alert traders to possible reversals after a downtrend or strengthen conviction during an uptrend.
Morning Star
This three-candle formation marks a potential turning point from bearish to bullish. It begins with a strong bearish candle, followed by a smaller candle showing indecision, and ends with a large bullish candle breaking upward—signaling buying strength is returning.
Bullish Engulfing
This two-candle pattern begins with a bearish candle, then a larger bullish candle that completely envelops the previous body. It reflects a sharp transition in sentiment, suggesting renewed buying pressure.
Dragonfly Doji
A single candle where the open, close, and high are all very close, with a long lower wick. It shows sellers pushed prices lower but buyers stepped in and brought them back up—an early sign of possible reversal.
Hammer
A classic bullish reversal signal that features a small real body near the top and a long lower shadow. It indicates a battle where sellers initially dominated, but buyers managed to close near the open price.
Three soldiers
Three consecutive bullish candles, all approximately the same size. These indicate that a big buy is coming soon.
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Trading with Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick patterns become more meaningful when they align with major chart areas—such as previous support or resistance, trendlines, or retracement zones. A bullish signal at a support level can hint that the downward pressure is fading, while a bearish pattern at resistance may warn of an upcoming decline.
To increase the reliability of your trades, combine candlestick patterns with other forms of technical analysis:
* Support & Resistance Zones: These are price levels where the market has historically reacted. Candlestick patterns forming near these zones have stronger potential implications.
* Fibonacci Levels : These help identify likely retracement areas. When a candlestick pattern forms near a key Fibonacci level like 61.8%, it adds strength to a potential reversal setup.
* Liquidity Areas: Clusters of orders (buy or sell) tend to create strong reactions. When patterns appear in these zones, they often precede more decisive moves.
* Technical Indicators : RSI, MACD, Moving Averages, and Stochastic RSI can provide confirmation. For instance, a bullish reversal pattern that appears when RSI is oversold strengthens the signal.
💡 Tip: Don’t rush into trades based on one candlestick alone. Always wait for the next candle or price confirmation (e.g., a break of a previous high/low) to validate your signal.
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Thanks for Reading!
✨ If you found this helpful, show some love by liking or commenting!
🔔 Don’t forget to follow for more technical breakdowns and trading insights coming soon!
Bitcoin Roadmap => Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving above a Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($110,300-$111,177) and is approaching All-Time High(ATH) .
Do you think Bitcoin will create a new All-Time High(ATH) in this rally?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin's rise over the last two days appears to have been in the form of wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Bitcoin to start declining in the coming hours. Targets are marked on the chart.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,750-$106,202
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $111,223
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSD – Long Setup (2H Chart)👆👆🚀🚀Boost it if you like it (Thanks)🚀🚀👆👆
Idea:
Bitcoin is breaking out above the descending Flag after testing the upper boundary multiple times, showing bullish momentum confirmed by price holding above the 15 EMA and 50 EMA. The breakout aligns with strong impulse candles and sustained buying pressure.
Entry:
✅ Buy near $110,000
Stop Loss:
🔴 Below $108,500, under the breakout structure to protect against a false breakout.
Take Profit:
🟢 Tp1 $111,245
🟢 Tp2 $112,600
Rationale:
Clear breakout of the channel top resistance.
Bullish EMAs crossover with sustained slope.
Strong impulse move suggesting continuation.
Risk Management:
Position size accordingly, max risk 1–2% capital per trade.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #Breakout #LongSignal #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
ADA/USDT : First Target Reached, Ready for Next ? (READ)By analyzing the #Cardano chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $0.57. After reaching the first target at $0.61, a slight correction occurred, but ADA has managed to hold above the key support level of $0.55 — which is a significant sign of strength. As long as this level holds, we can expect further bullish continuation.
The next potential targets are $0.76, $0.93, $1.05, and $1.33.
The Latest Analysis (Tap for More Details) :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin Recovers Above 105,000, Extremely Bullish +AltcoinsBitcoin produced only two days red, a bear-trap, and is now trading daily back above $107,000, an extremely bullish development.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having wonderful day.
The altcoins market bull market is confirmed and what Bitcoin is currently doing gives further strength to the bullish case and bias. It will be only a matter of days before the entire altcoins market turns strongly bullish with major momentum.
The range is still valid though, $100,000 - $110,000. But this time around the upper-boundary is likely to break and the last ATH tested, a new all-time high is even possible and also highly probable which is what will propelled the altcoins to hit multi-year highs and some even new all-time highs. Many pairs will move ahead.
With each passing day, the Cryptocurrency market will continue to heat up. We can expect growth long-term.
The 2025 bullish cycle started with the 7-April market low. The start of the third wave started 22-June and should go for 2-3 months. Then we will have a correction, the fourth wave followed by one final jump, the fifth wave.
We can expect growth now and all through late 2025. The entire period will be bullish. Only when the marketwide correction comes there will be a pause but many pairs will grow even at this point.
Choose wisely. Low risk vs high potential for reward.
Aim high. Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
All this just before Fedwire implements ISO20022?#bitcoin #btc price attempted a breakout but today failed with dumps. There "may" be other attempts but while ISO20022 subject is approaching, isn' t it wise to think about #xrp and other ISO20022 licenced coins will overperform the others (BTC, ETH, SOL and all other non iso certified coins) in near future? Not financial advice.
SOL/USDT : Strong Bullish Move Ahead?By analyzing the #Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $149.62. If the price holds above the key level of $146.28, we could expect the beginning of a strong bullish wave, potentially delivering over 25% short-term returns.
If this scenario plays out, the next bullish targets are $168.50, $187, $220, and $263.
(Personal research is strongly recommended for long-term investment decisions.)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC vs DXY – Macro Setup at a Crossroads
Looking at BTC and DXY on the weekly, we’ve seen 3 key periods so far. In the first two, the pattern was clear: BTC went up, DXY went down.
Now we’re in the third period: what’s next?
👉 Has the move already played out?
👉 Is it happening now?
👉 Has DXY bottomed and BTC topped, or will DXY go lower while BTC climbs?
Macro conditions may help guide us.
BTC looks strong — supported by ETF inflows, on-chain strength, and institutional demand.
DXY looks weak — with softer economic data and rising expectations for rate cuts.
In my view, tariffs are likely to weigh heavier on DXY than BTC, favoring more upside for BTC.
The recent Big Beautiful Bill could also add fuel to BTC while adding pressure on DXY.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTCUSD Halving Pic Cycle next top at 140 000 in next 3 MonthsFirst Halving (Nov 28, 2012)
- Price at halving: ~$12.
- Peak price: ~$1,150 (Nov 29, 2013, ~366 days later). Multiple: $1,150 / $12 ≈ 95.83x
- Bottom after peak, before second halving (Jul 9, 2016): ~$185 (Jan 14, 2015, ~413 days after peak).Drop from peak: $1,150 to $185 = -83.9%.
Price relative to halving: $185 / $12 ≈ 15.42x the halving price.
Second Halving (Jul 9, 2016):
- Price at halving: ~$651.
- Peak price: ~$19,700 (Dec 17, 2017, ~526 days later). Multiple: $19,700 / $650 ≈ 30.31x.
- Bottom after peak, before third halving (May 11, 2020): ~$3,122 (Dec 7, 2018, ~355 days after peak).Drop from peak: $19,700 to $3,122 = -84.2%. Price relative to halving: $3,122 / $650 ≈ 4.80x the halving price.
Third Halving (May 11, 2020):
- Price at halving: ~$8,800.
- Peak price: ~$67,549 (Nov 8, 2021, ~546 days later). Multiple: $67,549 / $8,750 ≈ 7.72x.
- Bottom after peak, before fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): ~$15,479 (Nov 21, 2022, ~378 days after peak). Drop from peak: $67,549 to $15,479 = -77.1%. Price relative to halving: $15,479 / $8,750 ≈ 1.77x the halving price.
Fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024):
- Price $65,000.
- Dipped to $49,577 on May 7, 2024 (18 days post-halving. Estimated multiple: ~2.21x (based on trend analysis).
- Projected peak price August-November 2025: $64,000 × 2.21 ≈ $140,000.
- Drop from peak: $30 000 August–September 2026
at 80% drop from peak and 0.5x of last Halving price
Price Fifth Halving April 2028 $123456
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #118👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indexes. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, the price remains within the same range box between 108619 and 110256, and it is currently sitting at the bottom of that box.
✔️ Since yesterday, market volume has significantly declined — as you can see, there's practically no real volume in the market.
⭐ On the other hand, it seems the 108619 trigger is about to be activated, and price may move downward. However, personally, as long as market volume stays this low, I prefer not to open any positions.
📊 If we see selling volume entering the market following a break below 108619, I’ll consider opening a short position. But in the current situation, as mentioned, I prefer to stay out of the market.
💥 The RSI oscillator is steadily and gradually declining like a waterfall. This is also due to the lack of volume in the market, which has led to very low price volatility.
⚡️ So for now, it's better not to rely on RSI data because without volume, RSI readings won't be useful.
📈 If the price gets supported at the 108619 level with a good buying volume and starts moving toward 110256, the chance of breaking that level will increase significantly.
👀 If that happens, I’ll personally try to open a long position once 110256 breaks. But I think today, Saturday, and Sunday will remain the same in terms of market conditions, and real volume will likely return starting next week.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin Dominance, a descending trendline can be drawn here, which has been tested twice and is now being approached again.
☘️ If BTC dominance gets rejected from this trendline and moves downward, it will likely reach the 65.04 support level. If the trendline breaks, the next resistance will be 65.64.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, you’ll notice it’s showing more bearishness than Bitcoin and has lost the support it formed at the 1.15 level.
💫 This happened because BTC dominance has been rising since yesterday, which means more money has been flowing into Bitcoin than into altcoins.
🔼 The next support level for Total2 is at 1.13, and a potential downside move may reach this zone. The suitable long trigger remains a break above 1.17.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, USDT Dominance has exited the range box it had formed and climbed back above the 4.78 level.
🎲 If this upward move continues, the next major resistance will be 4.90. However, if this move turns out to be fake, the short trigger for a bearish reversal will be a break below 4.72..
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
A Comprehensive Analysis !!!This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat.
In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.