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Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour Close since 2011 - looking forward May Closed GREEN, and We are currently on a Very small Green candle for the month open. Last month, in this series of monthly charts posts, I mentioned this.. "On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL And Both of them were on the way to ATH. ( Arrows ) On both those occasions we had a GREEN MAY, though the gains were minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June." And we just closed May with a minimal GREEN candle. This is important to understand, This month, we have a 50/50 chance of repeating the Green June candle in this pattern. Outside of this pattern, The previous MAY closes, 7 Green to 6 Red. Of the 7 Green, 5 were followed by a Green June With this, we have a higher % chance of a Green June Of All previous June Closes, we had 7 Green to 6 Red. Of those 7 previous Green June Closes, 3 were followed by GREEN July Of the 6 previous RED Junes, ALL were followed by GREEN July With this in mind, we maybe in a better position if we did close June with a small RED candle, as we did in the 2020 sequence ( right hand Arrow) Should we close June RED, I will then expect a fairly level summer period with PA beginning to start moving again around September / October Bitcoin PA is in an excellent position to move higher now though. It is also in an excellent position to move away from previous cycle patterns and begin creating new one. We do have to remain vigilant as markets are moving everywhere and Macro conditions could change rapidly But the one thing that seems to remain static is that it is a VERY GOOD IDEA to Buy Bitcoin and HOLD IT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTCUSD Mind Mapping Analysis (MMC) + Structure Mapping + Target🕵️‍♂️ Introduction Welcome traders! In today’s BTCUSD analysis, we dive deep into the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC) with curve-based support, smart money structure shifts, and mapped liquidity levels. This chart reveals how institutional players moved price through liquidity traps, accumulation zones, and major breakout points, culminating in a reversal zone. This breakdown is ideal for traders using: Smart money concepts (SMC) Curve theory Liquidity sweeps Structure mapping 🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart: 🔹 1. Ellipse Zone – Liquidity Trap Phase The blue ellipse on the left shows a clear area of price compression and indecision. This is where retail traders often enter prematurely, expecting reversal. Smart money exploits these zones to collect liquidity — this is not yet a trend shift, but a trap. You can observe multiple wicks and fakeouts, signaling manipulation and preparation for expansion. 🔹 2. Expanding Channel – Volatility Phase Following the trap, price enters an expanding pattern (also known as a megaphone). These structures indicate uncertain market behavior, often manipulated to clear both highs and lows. Smart money uses this to exhaust both buyers and sellers before deciding the real trend direction. 🔹 3. Previous Target & SR Flip Zone Price reaches the previous downside target, completing a downward liquidity move. From here, the market forms a support-resistance flip (SR-Interchange) — a textbook zone for institutional entries. Once this zone holds, it confirms that buyers are absorbing sell orders. The curve starts forming, indicating deeper market structure realignment. 🔹 4. Black Curve – Mind Mapping Curve Support One of the most important elements of MMC — the curve — acts as a psychological and algorithmic support line. The curve captures the accumulation structure in a flowing manner. Repeated touches and rejections confirm its strength. As long as price respects the curve, the bullish momentum remains intact. 🔹 5. Breakout Confirmation Price breaks through mid-range consolidation and hits Target 1. This move confirms a shift in market sentiment from indecision to bullish control. The breakout is supported by volume, structure alignment, and curve acceleration. 🔹 6. Major Breakout Zone A major resistance line is broken — this marks a shift in macro structure. At this point, we label the zone as “Major Breakout” — any retest of this can offer a high-RR entry. 🔹 7. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Zone) Price is now inside the Next Reversal Zone, which is a potential supply area or liquidity magnet. Institutional traders may use this zone for profit-taking or to initiate a deeper retracement. Watch for rejection signs, such as long wicks, engulfing patterns, or volume divergence. If this zone is absorbed (i.e., broken cleanly), expect another leg higher. 💡 MMC Summary (Flow Recap): Trap → Expansion → Liquidity Target → SR Flip → Curve Accumulation → Breakout → Target Hit → Reversal Zone Each stage reflects smart money behavior and follows the natural cycle of manipulation → accumulation → distribution. 📊 What to Watch Next? Confirmation Rejection in Reversal Zone? Short entries could be valid with curve re-entries. Bullish Continuation? A clean break above reversal zone = new weekly highs likely. Retest of Curve? If price pulls back, watch for rejections on the curve for safer long positions. 🚨 Trade Tips Based on This Setup: ✅ Use multi-timeframe confluence (M30 + H1 or H4) ✅ Always mark out previous liquidity zones ✅ Place SL below the curve or zone rejections ✅ Avoid entering trades inside expanding zones – wait for structure confirmation 🔖 Conclusion This BTCUSD setup showcases a masterclass in smart money behavior using the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC). From trap to breakout, every move is cleanly mapped, providing a strong edge to traders who understand institutional footprints. Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, incorporating MMC curve support and liquidity logic can take your trading precision to the next level.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC Faces Critical Resistance—Breakout or Further Decline?FenzoFx—Bitcoin continues its bearish trend after hitting its 2025 all-time high at 113,165. BTC/USD is currently trading near $105,400, a high-volume area where price could either bounce or break lower. The key resistance level rests at $103,170, supported by a bullish Fair Value Gap. If price holds above this zone, Bitcoin could rise toward $107,090. However, a close below $103,170 would invalidate the bullish outlook, with the next bearish target at $99,435.
CME:BTC1!
by FenzoFxBroker
BTCUSD Weekly Structure Analysis – Bearish Trend + Target🔍 Overview: Bitcoin has shown us a classic market structure shift, moving from bullish strength into a clear bearish retracement, all while respecting major zones and smart money concepts. This current price action highlights a Bearish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a continuation move toward a key demand zone, which we are eyeing for the next potential reversal opportunity. 🧩 1. TRC Breakout & Early Bull Run The chart shows a strong bullish phase starting from November 2024, which peaked in late May 2025. The TRC (Trendline Resistance Channel) Breakout marked the shift from lower highs to higher highs. This breakout was the initial sign of bullish strength, leading to a break of structure (BOS) around the $108,000–$110,000 level. ⚠️ 2. BOS Confirmed – Structure Starts to Crumble Once price reached the reversal area near $112,000 (supply zone), we saw a failure to form new highs. The Bearish BOS was confirmed when price failed to hold support and aggressively broke below the previous higher low. This BOS is our first confirmation of trend exhaustion and a transition into bearish structure. 🧠 3. Structural Analysis & Smart Money Behavior Notice how price moved sideways near the top before dropping — a typical distribution phase. This is where smart money distributes positions to retail buyers at the top before the markdown. After the BOS, each lower high confirmed the bearish market structure, with no strong bullish CHoCH in sight. 🧱 4. Major CHoCH & Interchange Zone Look lower on the chart — the SR Interchange Zone around the $76,000–$78,000 area is significant. This acted as resistance in early 2025, flipped into support later, and now stands as a potential Major CHoCH (Change of Character) if price revisits and reverses here. If price respects this zone again, it could mark the next bullish accumulation phase. 🎯 5. Current Target: $83,000–$85,000 Zone Based on structural behavior, liquidity voids, and past interaction, our short-term target is the $83,000–$85,000 demand zone. This area is marked as “Target + Next Reversal” on the chart. We expect either: A reaction and reversal from this zone Or a deeper push toward SR Interchange depending on volume and macro triggers 🧮 Key Technical Breakdown: Component Observation Trendline Break TRC Breakout in February Bullish BOS Confirmed around $108,000 Reversal Area ~$112,000 (Supply/Distribution) Structure Shift Bearish BOS confirmed Current Target $83,000–$85,000 CHoCH Potential $76,000–$78,000 Bias Bearish short-term 🧠 Trading Wisdom: “Structure tells the story — price action confirms it.” Always analyze shifts in structure, not just candle patterns. BOS and CHoCH are some of the most reliable tools in understanding true market intent, especially when aligned with high-volume reversal areas. ✅ Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is currently in a controlled retracement phase, and we are watching closely how price behaves near the $83K–$85K demand zone. If that fails, the deeper SR Interchange at ~$76K becomes the next high-probability zone for long entries. This is a time to be patient, analyze clean structure, and ride with smart money, not against it.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward. The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone. This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes. 🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown: 1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation. Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins. Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal. 2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up: The price reversed sharply. This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout. This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move. 📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat. 3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control. This moment is crucial: It confirms the smart money’s intention. It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup. Sellers now have control. 💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns. 4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows. 5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with: A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before). A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart. This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target. 🎯 Key Zones: Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep) CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100 Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000 Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700 📈 Trading Strategy Recap: Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+) Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700) This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep). 🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup: Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key. Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders. Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes. CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes. 🔎 Final Thoughts: This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study. Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BTCUSD Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Action + Target🧭 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Explained Mirror Market Concepts analyze repeating emotional and structural patterns in the market—like looking at a price “mirror” that reflects past movements into the present. Core tools include: Mind Curve Resistance/Support CHoCH (Change of Character) BOS (Break of Structure) Price Reflection Zones These tools let us understand not just what price is doing—but why it's reacting at specific levels. 📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart 🔹 1. Black Mind Curve Support & Resistance The chart is framed between a rising support curve and a descending resistance curve, forming a psychological squeeze zone. These mind curves represent subconscious institutional memory—where reactions often repeat based on historical liquidity and risk-off/on behavior. 🔹 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character) Price broke below a previous minor higher low, shifting sentiment from bullish to neutral/bearish. This CHoCH happened within the mind curve boundary, signaling that we’re transitioning into a decision phase. 🔹 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure) The BOS occurred during the recent drop, confirming sellers took temporary control. However, price respected the lower mind curve support, which may still hold as the "mirror zone." 🔹 4. Key Compression Pattern (MMC Symmetry) Price is forming a symmetrical wedge between the two curves, often seen in MMC just before a major explosive move. The pattern resembles past behavior where price compressed before breaking out in either direction. 🎯 Potential Scenarios (Plotted on Chart) 📈 Bullish Path: If BTC breaks above the descending curve + confirms above 109,000, we may see: ✅ Target 1: 111,000 (BOS retest) ✅ Target 2: 112,500–113,000 zone (previous emotional high + liquidity sweep) 📉 Bearish Path: A breakdown below 107,000 and curve support suggests sellers regain control: ⚠️ Target 1: 105,000 (local demand zone) ⚠️ Target 2: 102,500–103,000 (full MMC retrace) ⚠️ Watchlist Considerations: Two key economic news events (highlighted on chart) could serve as catalysts. Wait for confirmation and volume breakout before committing to either side. This is a textbook MMC compression pattern, and patience is key before reacting. 🧠 What Makes This an MMC Setup? 🔄 Mirror Reflection of past rallies and drops forming current wedge 🧩 Mind Curve Boundaries acting like subconscious trend guides 🔁 CHoCH + BOS sequencing for momentum shift detection 💡 Psychological memory zones holding strong reactions 📌 Summary BTC is caught in a psychological squeeze between mind curve support and resistance. Structure favors a coming breakout or breakdown, but confirmation is critical. MMC tools show a high-probability setup—either toward 112K or 103K based on where the breakout happens. 📣 Community CTA (Call-to-Action): 📊 How are you trading this BTC curve compression? 💬 Share your charts, setups, or alternate views below. Let’s decode the market mirror together.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC Short analysis + GRID Bot Scalper Strategy for BTC FuturesHELLO DEAR TRADERS, If you're reading this right now, consider yourself one of the lucky few. You're gaining access to insights that, until now, have remained exclusive — reserved for a very small circle of insiders and influencers. For a long time, we've hesitated to step into the spotlight and reveal the deeper truth behind the movements of financial markets. But everything comes in due time… and that time is getting closer. Have you ever wondered how figures like Trump or Elon Musk always seem to bet on the right horse? Many believe they're the ones moving the markets — but that’s far from the truth. The real secret? Their teams have access to advanced tools and knowledge — the right kind of science — to analyze the markets in ways most people can’t even imagine. We won't go into too much detail here — some information is too powerful (and risky) to be shared publicly. But remember this: "Trading is a game. And if you know the rules, you always play to win." Starting today, we’ll be introducing a completely new vision of how to trade the financial markets — or any asset whose price is reflected on a chart. Get ready to see the markets like never before. 🔥 Scalping Made Simple: The Power of GRID Bots If you're serious about scalping the markets, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the GRID trading bot. When properly configured, it can deliver consistent, automated profits by executing micro-trades around the clock. Let’s be real: Sitting in front of charts all day, hunting for the perfect sniper entry, is not just exhausting — it’s inefficient. Why not let automation do the heavy lifting while you focus on strategy? ________________________________________ ⚙️ AUTO SCALPER MODE: ON (SHORT TERM BOT Here are the optimal parameters to configure your GRID BOT on Binance for effective scalping: 🔧 Recommended Settings: o Trading Pair: BTC/USDTP (futures GRID) o Mode: Grid Trading (long) o Price Range: 105000 – 112000 USDT o Current leverage : x18 o Number of Grids: 22-25 levels o Order Size: Depends on your capital) o Profit Mode: Arithmetic o Margin mode : isolated o Trailing up : Disabled o Take-Profit: 112000 o Stop-Loss: 104000 o Open a position on creation : Disabled o Close all position on stop: Enabled o Close all positions on TP/SL stops: Enabled 📌 Notes : ⚠️The settings listed aboce have been meticulously calculated using precise algorithmic models. Every parameter serves a purpose — and even the slightest deviation can significantly impact performance, potentially leading to capital loss. ⚠️Do not judge the bot’s performance based on its real-time PNL. The true profit is only realized once the bot reaches its target and closes all active orders. ⚠️These bots are designed with high-level precision, offering a powerful edge when configured and used correctly. ✋ Manual Entries (For Experienced Traders) If you're a more advanced trader, you can combine the GRID bot with manual entries based on: o Buy orders listed on the chart o You can enter a buy position at any price within the defined range on the chart — as long as the price does not break above the upper boundary of that range o Using leverage is possible, but only under one condition: -Your stop-loss and liquidation price must always remain below the highest protected low or in the SL area o Your stop loss should always be bellow the highest protected Low 🔍 Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. 💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
Long
by LEETALGOCONCEPT_Mentor
2
Bitcoin Bounce on Trump Tariff Delay – Short Setup Still Valid!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , and declined near the Support lines . Bitcoin started pumping after the news that " US President Trump agreed to postpone 50% EU tariffs until July 9th ." Do you think this pumping of Bitcoin will continue? Bitcoin is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,800) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . From the Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to be in corrective waves , which is why I am labeling this idea as a ''Short''. The corrective waves structure is of the Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) type. I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines once again, and if these lines are broken, it will decline to the Targets I have indicated on the chart. Notes : MicroStrategy bought another 4,020 Bitcoins, but it didn't have much of an impact on the market. If the Bitcoin price falls back below $109,000, about $185 million in long Bitcoin positions will be liquidated . = Attractive for exchanges Bitcoin 2025 Conference to be Held in Las Vegas, Tuesday-Thursday = Could Cause Market Excitement . Note: If Bitcoin touches $112,080, we should expect more pumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
23
LongTerm BITCOIN LINEAR chart & NUPL tells a story -August Top We can start with the main chart. This is a LONG TERM LINEAR chart, showing the price action Directly, unaltered by mathmatics, Long Term charts usualy are shown by logarithmic charts. Linear and logarithmic trading charts differ in how they represent price changes. Linear charts display equal price changes the same, making them suitable for short-term traders focusing on exact price movements. On the other hand, logarithmic charts show percentage changes, which makes them better for long-term investors or volatile assets, as they help in analyzing trends and patterns more clearly over time. This chart starts just before the 2017 ATH and you can easily see the line that rejects ATH and how PA is up near that area right now. Things to note are the day count from 2017 ATH to 2021 Final ATH and the day count between that double Top in 2021. These numbers are projected to our current cycle and show we are near the projected Top using this style of Chatr, The Log charts project further into the year. It may also be worth noting how the 50 EMA (red) was used by PA after the Drop after the first ATH, to bounce back up to the next ATH at the end of that year. We have just done exactly the same again, PA was rejected by that long term Line and Dipped down to the 50 EMA and has since bounced back up to the rejecting line. IS REJECTION LIKELY NOW? [/b This is something that is impossible to answer with any real Fact But we can look at data and make eductaed projections. PA has the ability and strength right now, to range high, running up under this line of rejection until it becomes overbought on the long term MACD, RSI , TSI etc But something that will absolutely decide when the top is in is the Profit taking by Holders. We are currently seeing Selling taking place and we can see the potential profit by looking at NUPL NUPL, or Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, is an indicator used in trading to measure the difference between unrealized profits and losses in the Bitcoin market. Here is the chart from all the way back to 2010 Lots to see here but to summerise. See how there are Peaks each cycle of Maximum available profit. The point where profit taking Tops out is arrowed. This area, up to the red line, shows us the TOP zone. What is VERY noticable this cycle is how we have not yet reached that upper Red line. Sellers appear to be taking theor profits earlier. The upper day counts have been consistant in the past, with 2 double tops of potential profit before the selling sold it all off. Many people, including me, have been saying "This time is different" and this is VERY clearly shown here by the fact that we have already had the 2 peaks of potential profit and we are currently climbing to the 3rd This has NEVER happened before and, technicaly, this could continue. The Lower day counts are from Mid Double Tops to the Next Mid double top of potential profits mentioned above, The Next "Mid point" is projected to be around July. This NUPL also shows ua how the high level of potentia profits was reached Quicker this cycle than previously. This was helped by the Corporations buying Early and Massive amounts, putting Large numbers of coins into profit In Conclusion [/i We have the Linear Bitcoin chart pointing towards a JULY / August Top We have the NUPL also pointing towards a July / August Mid point of Potential profits. If you loo cloely, BOTH charts, using differnet data, suggest 28 July What also maybe worth considering here is how we see that Potential profits are reducing in availability. As the asset becomes more expensive to buy, it also gets harder to push the price higher and so make more profit. I,E. It was eaier to double the price of Bitcoin when it was $50 a coin Of course, non of this may play out, Things ARE DIFFERNT but I have now decided to have another plan ready for August and we need to wait and see what happens Next BE PREPARED FOR ALL POSSIBILITIES
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC finds support around ATHsBitcoin is potentially finding support around $107k after making new ATHs last week around $112k. Assuming these levels as S and R, a strong break could signal the direction of price in the coming days. If local support is lost, we can expect price to at least test $104.9k. Assuming the bullish momentum continues, breaking resistance would signal higher prices. Still in tact, a continued bull flag breakout from $104.9k (20 May) could still put BTC at around $115k.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RayneOnChain
BTCUSD Rejection Setup – Order Block Hit, Weak Lows in Sight!📉 BTCUSD is setting up a textbook bearish reversal — Smart Money style. This 1H chart shows Bitcoin tapping into a high-timeframe Order Block at ~$104,190–104,560, with a clear rejection from the premium zone and confluence with the upper trendline. 📊 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Order Block tapped at $104,190–104,560 ✅ Strong rejection candle near the trendline resistance ✅ Price failed to break above the Strong High — a sign of Smart Money distribution ✅ Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity at $101,420 ✅ Final target? Weak Low and liquidity pool around $99,189 🔍 Smart Money Confluence: Price has moved into a premium selling zone, aligning with the upper bounds of market structure Order Block rejection suggests institutional selling interest Weak lows below $100K are prime targets for liquidity grabs Retail longs are likely trapped — ideal conditions for a downward sweep 🧠 Institutional Logic: Smart Money doesn’t chase price — it delivers it. This move likely represents a "Mitigation and Distribution" phase before a deeper selloff: 📌 Mitigation of previous long positions inside the OB 📌 Distribution at the highs before targeting the next liquidity pool 📉 Trade Idea: Short Entry Zone: $104,200–104,500 Targets: TP1: $101,420 (Sell-side Liquidity) TP2: $100,000 (Psych level / Weak Low) TP3: $99,189 (Liquidity Magnet) Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 (above the OB and Strong High) 🧠 Tip for Traders: Wait for a confirmation bearish structure shift or lower high on the LTF (15m/5m) before entering full size. Smart Money leaves clues — not impulses. 💬 Comment "BTC Setup" if you’re trading this drop 🔁 Save this analysis — this is how Smart Money dominates crypto markets.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
4
Bitcoin Be Setting Bull Trap?_Breakout Without High VolumeBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall yesterday after forming a new All-Time High(ATH) with high volume , but started to rise again. One of the reasons for Bitcoin’s sudden drop yesterday was the sharp drop in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) index . First of all, I must say that Bitcoin’s situation is a bit complicated and difficult to analyze , so pay more attention to money management. Be prepared for any scenario. Bitcoin is trading above the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) and near the Resistance lines and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($113,020-$111,833) . What is worrying is that the break of the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) was NOT accompanied by high volume , suggesting a bull trap is possible . I see a correction to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,972-$108,609) given the low breakout volume for Bitcoin and the large sell orders in the upper prices for Bitcoin . -------------------------------------------- Today, the Flash PMI data from the U.S . came in stronger than expected: Flash Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 49.9, previous 50.2) Flash Services PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 51.0, previous 50.8) Analysis : Both numbers exceeded expectations, signaling stronger economic activity in the U.S. This is bullish for the USD( TVC:DXY ) and could put short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, as it lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts. -------------------------------------------- Do you think Bitcoin is completing a Bull Trap or should we expect Bitcoin to increase further? Note: If Bitcoin breaks above $114,500 with high momentum, we can expect Bitcoin to rise to near $119,000. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
Bitcoin’s Pump to NEW ATH($109,845) Ends in High-Volume ReversalBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved towards the targets as I expected in my previous idea , although it faced pump and dump moves in reaching the targets . Bitcoin managed to create a new New All-Time High(ATH=$109,845) but immediately began to decline on high volume . Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,860) and near the Resistance lines , Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 5 . I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least $102,200 AFTER breaking the Support zone($105,100-$104,140) , and the possibility of further declines is very high . Also, on the 1-hour timeframe of the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, a bullish and regressive Falling Wedge pattern is visible , with its upper line broken. Do you think Bitcoin can finally create a NEW All-Time High(ATH) Again!? Note: If Bitcoin touches $110,100, we should expect a pump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
24
Bitcoin vs Resistance Zones | Fake Breakdown Below the Channel!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving up and down with high momentum over the past 24 hours and finally fell below the lower line of the ascending channel . Is this break of the lower line of the ascending channel valid? Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($104,478-$103,941) . Since the volume of breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel is NOT high, the probability of a fake break is very high (in my opinion). In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the structure of the main wave 4 seems to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The main wave 5 could lead to the formation of a new All-Time High(ATH ). One of the reasons why I think we saw a Fake Break below the lower line of the ascending channel is that I think the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) will trend upward , and given the high correlation between Bitcoin and S&P500 Index these days, we can expect Bitcoin to increase . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) and touch the targets I have indicated on the chart. Note: If Bitcoin touches $101,800, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
15
Bitcoin Hourly Analysis (2H)Given Bitcoin's rapid movement near previous highs, along with quick pump-and-dump action and liquidity grabs, it's expected that the liquidity pool below the price will be swept, collecting orders from the green zone, and then price may reverse back to the upside. A 4-Hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BITCOIN Daily Bullish / Bearish days ahaed with Big push after Even though I have mentioned that we maybe in for some RED days this week, this chart shows how, ultimately, we are in a Bullish momentum still. The CUP pattern that we have printed ( adjusted since I last posted this) , Goes from ATH line back to the ATH line. We also see how there is this APEX that PA has fallen into that has its peak at the end of this month. PA always reacts before the APEX But before this, we may range across or drop down onto the CUP. This has Strong support and could possibly propel PA above thaT ATH line. We do need to also understand, there is a 618 Fib circle at this intersection and that may not be easy to break through. But PA has often searched out intersections of resistance to break through and so I am looking to this as the way forward. The 2.618 Fib Ext on this chart may also offer support at around 98K if we loose support higher. The RSI is already dropping from OverBought and so will probably continue to do so till we reach Neutral / Over Sold again. And the Daily MACD, is also turning Bearish, But as mentioned before, this is possibly repeating what happened in Nv 2024 See the Arrow on the left...The Histogram is the one to take note of. Two Green peaks and then a red Dip We have just begun the Red bit after the two Green peaks. The scale is larger here and so we may have to wait longer till we return out of the green. In 10 dayts, we will be near end of month So, for me, this week will be possibly Red but towards the end of the month, things will begin to move higher. All depends on PA following expected patterns and that does not always happen We can only look, plan and react.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin could be SO close to take off - certainly shows Strength Before we go anywhere with this, we MUST remember that a "TREND LINE " requires a minimum of 3 points of Contact to make it Valid. The more points of contact the better. All of these Trend lines in this chart are therefore Valid. But what needs to be questioned is maybe the PA trend between the lines...... And because of the Scale of this, we are using only 2 past Factual data sets and one expected. So NOT a confirmed Trend But I shall continue anyway as there are a number of things that make this idea a possibility. So, on the chart we have the Upper and Lower day counts. The Lower is number of days between ATH 2013 -> 2017 = 1491 days 2017 -> 2021 = 1431 days 2021 -> 2025 = ...............Expected anytime from October to Dec. This is IF we follow the "pattern" 50 day difference between the 2 sets of Past data The Upper day count uses just ONE data point from the 2013 -> 2017 cycle. It is from the ATH to when PA made the BIG move to begin the climb to ATH. That was around 1277 days after the 2013 ATH and you can see the candle that rose off that line of support was substantial. As many of you know, I am firmly in the belief that this run is mimicking the 2013 -> 2017 run in many ways So, The same day count takes us past the First 2021 ATH, which I have always said was a "False" ATH in that PA was driven High, to early, by leveraged and hopeful gains. However, if you look at the distance from the end of that day count to when the ATH was reached, it is similar to the 2017 ATH So if we Project that same day count onto current PA, THIS MONTH is the month for take off. And again, See the difference between the end of the day count and the projected ATH daye. Similar to previous occasions. This is also reflected on the Fractal, that arrives on the upper trend line in November. One thing that makes me hesitate a little here is the projected ATH Price of Near 700K USD. I am not sure that is going to happen....And so we wait to see what happens. But I will watch this and see where we go I have pointed out in another chart, how Bitcoin PA is under a Very long time Arc of resistance and this could be in play and if so, This chart Will become invalidated. We Wait to see
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
6
BTC still consolidates within a rangeIf you were like me, you got a little dose of hopium after BTC closed above last week's resistance around $105k. Nonetheless, resistance was expected from $105k - $108k with price starting the week with a bearish engulfing candle, currently trading around $103.1k. We will have to see if last week's support around $101.5k holds. If the price continues with bullish momentum and does something like the period from 22 Apr - 6 May, a successful bull flag breakout could take BTC to $115k. If support is lost, we could see retests of previous levels as low as $94.5k. However, my guess would be a test of $97.5k before going higher, creating a HHHL market structure.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by RayneOnChain
Bitcoin Weekly Closed GREEN -opens RED. Whats next ? After 6 consecutive Green Weeks, Bitcoin maybe about to Turn around and Cool for a bit. BUT DO NOT PANIC We have opened the week with a sharp drop back below the 2.618 Fib Extension. This in itself is a major move if unsurprising Last week, we talked about this possibility by looking at the Daily MACD. MACD Rising above the Signal line is a Bullish indication and Visa Versa See the Arrow on the left, how MACD had 2 slight pullbacks and then went higher. This was in Nov 2024, just as the Ranging was finishing and PA was getting ready to push up to its Current ATH line What I was looking at mostly though, was the Histogram. The Histogram shows us the distance between the MACD line ( yellow ) and its Signal line ( Red ) . The Bigger the bar, the bigger the difference between them. See how it rose twice and then, went red for 2 days, recovered for a day and then , OFF WE WENT And I am suggesting this is what may happen again. So far, that pattern is repeating and the Histogram just went Red. We may need to understand the difference in scale of this histogram though. This could point towards a Week of unsettled PA, maybe Longer. Notice how the MACD ( yellow) has now dropped below the Signal line ( red) as it did in Nov 2024. During this period of MACD dropping and going red in 2024, we had 6 days of Red PA candles before the Bigger push higher. This may take longer this time but we have to wait and see. We need to watch this close as the lines of support are in different place now. If We zoom in on the Weekly PA chart, we see things a little more clearly PA has fallen back below a line that was required as support. If you Look back to Nov 2024 area, we can also see a very Big difference in how PA is on the lines of support. In 2024, we bounced off support. We are currently being Rejected. This Daily chart offers some more detail The Circled area is the Nov 2024 area I been talking about. Todays pull back is sharper but as we saw with the Histograms, we are in a bigger scale anyway We could also see a similarity if we look back before the Circled area, see the W shape? A Double Bottom that appeared just before the push up. Well, we just did that too.......If you back from where we are now, to the Low..There were 2 Dips down and then we pushed higher. And, again, It is the scale that is Bigger..... So, for me, this week maybe a bit bloody, but over all, Still Highly BULLISH We need to regain that 2.618 Fib ext on this chart as support but that may not happen just yet. There are "Local" lines of support near by and the LOG Daily chart I will post later gives some hope that Big Drops may not happen The line of resistance just over head is strong and untill we break 112K and Hold it, we are likely to remain being bounced around. But I do believe we Will do this and that we do seem to be repeating a pattern that led to a Goodpush higher. We just have to wait and see
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin at Resistance With Weak Momentum-Bearish SetupBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) finally reached the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) as I expected yesterday. Of course, the way Bitcoin reached the resistance zone was NOT with high momentum , so I decided to share this analysis with you. In terms of Classic Technical Analysis , Bitcoin appears to have formed a Rising Wedge Reversal Pattern between Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) over the past few hours . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s low momentum and the Heavy Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,180-$104,412) ahead of Bitcoin, it appears that Bitcoin has completed microwave B of the main wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least $102,800 at the first target AFTER breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern, and if the Support zone($103,320-$102,600) and lower line of the ascending channel(Major) are broken, we should expect a drop to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($100,763-$99,600) . Note: If Bitcoin touches $105,850, we can expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
53
Bitcoin Breakout Loading: Resistance Zone Under Pressure!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) made the correction I expected , as I predicted in my previous idea . Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and near the Resistance lines . Given the momentum of the previous hour's candle and the fact that the previous three candles together formed a Morning Star Candlestick Reversal pattern , it is expected that the Resistance lines will be broken soon. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like Bitcoin has completed the main wave 4 as I expected with a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . A break of the Resistance lines by Bitcoin could confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Also, given Bitcoin's higher correlation with the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) and the fact that I expect the S&P500 Index to increase , the increase in the S&P500 Index could help Bitcoin increase further . I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance zone($103,320-$102,600) and Resistance lines soon and attack towards the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,520) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,360-$100,600 Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,280, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
24