BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusHello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily analysis.
Yesterday and today, Bitcoin continued to trade sideways and even attempted to break the local high, but was met with market selling pressure.
At the moment, we still prioritize the short scenario. Around the ~$84,700 level, we observed a battle between buyers and sellers. If the price consolidates below this level, it will confirm the bearish scenario and we’ll look for a move down to the next buy zone.
If buyers strongly defend this level, we may retest the local high.
Sell zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buying),
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volume),
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
Level at $74,800,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think will happen first?
A full breakout through the sell zone and continuation of the uptrend, or a correction?
Share your thoughts in the comments — would be interesting to compare views!
This post is not financial advice
Bitcoinidea
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, our main scenario was implemented and a full–fledged rebound from the $77,000-$73,000 zone was achieved (volume anomalies, pushing volumes).
After passing through several large selling zones, we’ve reached a resistance level from which we can get a significant correction.
At the moment, the $85,600–$88,000 zone is being tested (absorption of the buyer's market aggression). The latest wave of buys, which began on April 10, is inertial. Trading volumes have decreased, and there is no clear dominance between one side and the other.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
There are strong anomalies along the delta, which can provoke a significant correction. Below the current price, we have a support zone of $82,700–$81,400, but with high activity from the seller, it can only slow down the fall slightly.
The main expectations are the beginning of a corrective movement, as indicated by the nature of growth, the current volume zone, as well as delta protection.
A less likely scenario is a surge in the buyer's market activity, which will take the quote above the $88,000 level. In this case, the priority will change dramatically to long.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of aggressive buyer activity)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected:
• Wednesday, April 16, 2:00 (UTC) — publication of China's GDP for the first quarter and in comparison with the first quarter of 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone for March and in comparison with March 2024;
• Wednesday, April 16, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic index and volume of US retail sales for March;
• Wednesday, April 16, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision;
• Wednesday, April 16, 17:15 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, as well as the Philadelphia manufacturing activity index from the Federal Reserve Bank for April;
• Thursday, April 17, 12:45(UTC) — European Central Bank press conference;
• Thursday, April 17, 13:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate in the Eurozone.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC to likely kiss the $74K - $69KBitcoin Market Analysis and Forecast
Bitcoin has retraced over 50% from its all-time high (ATH). Despite a rebound from the Fibonacci 50% level to its current price of $84,600, continued selling pressure could push BTC lower toward the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement zone, which lies between $74,000 and $69,000.
This potential pullback presents strategic entry points for long-term investors who have the patience to hold through market cycles.
Given the current market conditions, I will continue to accumulate using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy to mitigate volatility and optimize long-term gains.
I will be monitoring the price action closely and providing further updates as the market develops.
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Bitcoin BTCUSDT – 4H Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently approaching a key downtrend resistance line that has been respected several times since early February. The price action suggests a potential rejection from this level, which could lead to a move toward the lower boundary of the broader descending channel.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the resistance holds, we may see a continuation of the downtrend with possible targets near the $71K– FWB:73K region.
🔹 Bullish Invalidator: A confirmed breakout above the trendline would invalidate the bearish setup and could signal a shift in market structure.
⚠️ Watch price action closely around this level for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Shorts in FocusYesterday, Bitcoin showed no buyer reaction from our highlighted zone at $81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes). Therefore, even though we've been climbing throughout the day, short positions remain the priority.
At the moment, we've reached a mirrored volume zone at $81,000–$82,700, which has slightly shifted. We're currently near the upper boundary of this zone.
We've observed abnormal buyer activity in this area that so far hasn't led to any meaningful result, along with signs of hidden selling. A break below $81,000 would confirm the short scenario.
Sell Zones:
$81,000–$82,700 (mirrored zone, volume anomalies)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC : What I’m Watching Now AND What I'm Worried AboutWhat I’m Watching Now:
I’m eyeing a potential buy from the 1H Order Block below.
It lines up clean, and the move makes sense…
But Here’s What I’m Worried About:
There’s a double bottom resting at the weekly FVG.
Which means: liquidity.
If price wants that liquidity first,
it might run deeper —
breaking the OB before the bounce.
Stay sharp.
And like always — wait for confirmation.
Patience > Prediction
BTC/USDT Analysis – Trump Surprises the Market AgainOn Wednesday evening, Trump once again shook the global community by announcing a 3-month suspension of tariffs, while keeping the base rate at 10% for all countries except China. This triggered a wave of euphoria in the markets: the S&P 500 surged 9%, Bitcoin gained just over 8%, and Ethereum jumped 13%.
Bitcoin broke through the key sell zone at $78,000–$80,000 (volume zone) without any noticeable reaction. Upon reaching the next sell zone at $82,000–$83,900 (volume zone), a correction followed.
A new pushing volume zone was formed during the rally at $81,000–$80,000. Whether buyers react here or not will determine the next direction.
We highlight two main scenarios:
No buyer reaction → decline toward the local low.
Strong renewal of buying → movement toward the next sell zone.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC Update... What To Expect Now??Currently BTC is facing resistance of major trendline (Blue line)+ wedge resistance+ bearish OB resistance...
For bullish trend, currently Bitcoin have to break above all these resistances along with 89k level for confirmation of bullish trend....
If it fails and retraces back inside Monday high range, then we can expect price dropping below Monday lows where major support level is present+ Bat Harmonic Potential Reversal Zone+ 61.8 Golden Fib Level around 72000-70500 levels.
BTC/USDT Analysis – Setup for a RangeYesterday, while we were trading within the $78,000–$80,000 zone, no significant market buying appeared, so the price moved to test the local low. The $74,500 level wasn't swept, and we saw strong absorption of market selling, which led to a rebound.
Currently, price is caught between a volume zone and an area of buyer activity, and the signs suggest a developing sideways range.
In the coming days, we expect a full test of the local low. A false breakout of this level could offer interesting long opportunities, though we also can't rule out a full breakdown and a move toward the next buyer zone.
Sell Zones:
$78,000–$80,000 (volume zone)
$82,000–$83,900 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
BTC/USDT Analysis – Expected ReboundWhile the entire market was panicking and selling off, our primary scenario was a rebound from the buyer zone at $77,000–$73,000, which has played out.
Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced an abnormal spike in volume. A breakout and consolidation either below or above the newly formed volume zone at $78,000–$80,000 will set the trend for the coming days.
Our main scenario suggests a move toward the sell zone above the current price. At the moment, we are seeing a slight absorption of market selling based on delta analysis.
In a bearish scenario, support is expected on a false breakout of the local low at $74,550.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
MAJOR BULL RUN RALLY INCOMING !!! Starting From MAY 2025 !!!On Big Picture starting from 2020....
Inverse H & S was formed... after breakout we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2020 To April 2021.
Then after deep bear market, we got Inverse H&S... after breakout, we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2023 To April 2024.
Now. we got big H&S... after breakout, we are getting pull back & now we are almost near at support level of H&S. From around 74-66K region, reversal bull run rally is expected which will most probably start from next month ( May 2025) and around after 8 months (October-December) we would be roaming ATH around 300K !!! which tags exactly at major resistance line. By copy pasting 2021 rally's candles pattern on current scenario, we can see exactly how things are going to shape in upcoming months.
Lets Hope For The Best !!!
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, US President Donald Trump announced the amount of trade duties on imported goods. Bitcoin was restrained from falling in the $83,600–$82,500 zone, but the selling pressure turned out to be stronger, and we updated the local minimum.
At the moment, we’ve dropped to the buy zone of $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies pushing volumes). Volumes have been increased, and most liquidations are priced at $75,200.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect a rebound from the current buyer's zone. The reversal formation hasn’t been formed yet, so long positions are only possible on the spot asset. For margin trading, it’s necessary to wait for additional confirmation.
A more negative scenario is a decrease to the next zone of accumulated volumes of $69,000-$60,600. The probability of such a decline without a proper rebound is very low.
Sell Zones:
$82,000–$83,900 (high-volume zone)
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer's market aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
We’re following these macroeconomic developments:
• Wednesday, April 9, 2:00 (UTC) — announcement of the New Zealand interest rate decision;
Wednesday, April 9, 18:00 (UTC) — publication of FOMC minutes;
• Thursday, April 10, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for March, as well as in comparison with March 2024, and the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Friday, April 11, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for February and German consumer price index for March;
• Friday, April 11, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US producer price index for March.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Time Has Came For Bitcoin NOW!!!As Updated previously on Macro, We have reached at crucial zone. According to Elliott wave count on big picture, BTC formed ending diagonal and now approaching at it's reversal points. From this area of 75-69k region, there's high probability of trend reversal and we will soon see shorters getting rekt
BITCOIN SEEMS TO FOLLOW THIS PATH TOWARDS 120k !!!According to elliott wave count, If BTC has completed it's macro wave (IV), then we can expect it moving to complete it's macro wave (V).
In this case if recently impulse move is counted as micro wave (i), then we can expect reversal from 81-79K region very soon.
Otherwise, if micro count gets Invalid, then reversal can be expected from up to 76-70k .
Important key level is breakout of 95k which would confirm reverse in trend.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local Growth or Continued Decline?Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline from the previously mentioned volume zone, but there was no confirmed breakdown below it or a breach of the local low.
At the moment, a trend reversal to the upside has formed.
Currently, the zone of accumulated volume has shifted and is now located in the $83,600–$82,500 range.
A breakout above or below this zone will define the local trend for the coming days.
Our primary scenario considers an upward move toward the $85,600–$88,000 sell zone (absorption of buyer aggression), from where we expect selling pressure to resume.
Sell Zones:
$85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Navigating BTC Volatility Storm: Buy, Hold, or Flee?Bitcoin's recent price action has been reminiscent of a rollercoaster, leaving investors grappling with a whirlwind of conflicting signals. From sharp drops mirroring stock market turmoil to the looming "death cross," the cryptocurrency's trajectory is shrouded in uncertainty. Is this a prime buying opportunity, a warning to retreat, or simply another bout of the volatility that defines Bitcoin?
The past few days have been a stark reminder of Bitcoin's inherent volatility. Reports of an 8% drop, coupled with the US stock market shedding $2 trillion in value, sent ripples through the crypto sphere. The catalyst? Concerns surrounding potential US tariffs and their impact on the global economic outlook. This sudden shift in market sentiment triggered a sell-off, reminiscent of the COVID-19 crash in 2020, during which Bitcoin’s pre-pandemic gains evaporated.
Adding to the unease is the looming "death cross," a technical indicator that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. Historically, this pattern has signaled bearish momentum. The 2022 death cross, for example, precipitated a significant price drop of nearly 20%. Conversely, "golden crosses," where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, have historically signaled bullish momentum, triggering rallies of over 500% in 2020 and 2021.
Currently, Bitcoin's 50-day moving average is edging closer to this critical crossover, prompting widespread speculation. Is this a repeat of 2022, or will the market defy historical patterns? The answer, as always, is complex and contingent on a confluence of factors.
One significant factor is the strength of the US dollar. While the dollar's strength can often negatively impact Bitcoin, the current increase in the money supply could potentially counteract this effect, creating a bullish flag pattern. The dollar's inflation may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value. The global market dynamics are currently shrouded in uncertainty, making it difficult to predict the long-term impact of these factors.
The recent price drops have pushed Bitcoin towards the $80,000 mark, with some analysts predicting a potential fall to $71,000. However, this level could also represent a "sizeable bounce," acting as a strong support zone for Bitcoin. The concept of an "oversold bounce" also comes into play. After a period of intense selling pressure, markets often experience a relief rally as traders capitalize on discounted prices. Whether this materializes remains to be seen.
Is it a Good Time to Buy Bitcoin?
The decision to buy, hold, or sell Bitcoin depends on an individual's risk tolerance, investment strategy, and understanding of the market. Here's a breakdown to consider:
• For the Long-Term Investor:
o Bitcoin's long-term potential remains a compelling narrative. Its decentralized nature, limited supply, and growing adoption continue to attract institutional and retail investors.
o Price volatility is an inherent part of the Bitcoin journey. Historically, periods of sharp declines have been followed by significant rallies.
o Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) can mitigate the impact of volatility by investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, regardless of the price.1
o The strength of the US dollar may become a catalyst for Bitcoin as a store of value.
• For the Short-Term Trader:
o The current volatility presents opportunities for skilled traders to profit from price swings.
o Technical analysis, including monitoring moving averages and support/resistance levels, is crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points.
o However, short-term trading is inherently risky and requires a deep understanding of market dynamics.
o The "death cross" should be monitored carefully.
• For the Cautious Investor:
o The current market uncertainty may warrant a more conservative approach.
o Diversifying investments across different asset classes can help mitigate risk.
o Staying informed about market developments and avoiding emotional trading decisions is essential.
The Death Cross: A Warning or a False Alarm?
The "death cross" is a significant technical indicator, but it's not a foolproof predictor of future price action. Historical data show that while it can signal bearish trends, it's not always accurate. Market conditions, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic factors can all influence Bitcoin's trajectory.
Ultimately, the Bitcoin market remains highly speculative. The current volatility, driven by a confluence of factors, underscores the importance of careful research, risk management, and a long-term perspective. While the "death cross" and market fluctuations may cause short-term panic, the long-term potential of bitcoin, and it's reaction to the weakening dollar, may still produce long-term gains.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Local EuphoriaYesterday, right after the release of our analysis, Bitcoin absorbed the entire breakout of the trendline with buyer aggression.
At the moment, we have reached the sell zone at $86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression) and have already observed an abnormal spike in volume.
The main expectation is a decline, at least to the new local buyer zone at $83,800–$82,800.
On a broader scale, we could still see a drop down to the $76,700 low.
Sell Zones:
$86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$83,800–$82,800 (local volume zone)
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios:
Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond.
Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ.
Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal.
Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.