Bitcoin Free Value Gaps getting filled - 109 K target >
If you look back at the last time I posted a chart with Free Value Gaps ( FVG ) you will see an orange bar where PA currently sits...The reason it is no longer there is because it ogt "Filled"
It is much the sameidea as CME Gaps. Thay also get filled very often/
So, we can see 2 more FVG before 107K line and so, in the current market state and with the knowledge that in August, Markets often Dip, we may well see PA retreat to the Gap at 109K
What a superb buying oppertunity
End of post as I am enjoying an evening in the south of France, with wine and Fun..
What it stopping you ?
Bitcoinprice
BITCOIN CRASH PREDICTED! HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS NEXT! (scary)Yello Paradisers, Bitcoin crashed exactly as we predicted in the previous videos that it will happen with the highest probability.
In this video I am explaining to you what's gonna happen next.
Head and shoulders, neckline, is be breaking to the downside, we need a clear confirmation of a reclaim Our channel on high timeframe is getting breakout to the downside and confirmation was that a reclaim was already successful.
In this video I'm sharing with you Elliott Way theory on low timeframe and what needs to be done for confirmation perspective in order for us to continue to go to the downside or have a reversal to the upside.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NOBODY IS WATCHING THIS PATTERN !!!(warning)Yello Paradisers, I'm updating you about the current Bitcoin situation, which is extremely dangerous for crypto noobs that will get rekt again very soon!
It's going to be a big move soon. I'm telling you on a high timeframe chart we are doing multi-time frame analysis and on a high timeframe chart I'm updating you about the RSI indicator, the bearish divergence, the moving average reclaim, and the channel reclaim that we are having right now.
We are observing a shooting star candlestick pattern, which is a reversal sign, and I'm telling you what confirmations I'm waiting for to make sure that I can say with the highest probability that we are going to the downside. On a medium timeframe, I'm showing you two patterns: one is a head and shoulders pattern, then a contracting triangle, and on a low time frame, I'm sharing with you the ending diagonal because on a high time frame chart, we are either creating ABC or impulse, and I'm telling you what the probabilities are for the zigzag, which is a corrective mode wave, or the impulse, which is a motive mode wave.
I'm sharing with you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Please make sure that you are trading with a proper trading strategy and tactics, and that's the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTCUSD Short Setup – 4H Bitcoin has broken below a key dynamic support zone, and current price action signals a potential continuation to the downside. This short entry is supported by multiple technical confluences:
🔻 Bearish Confluences:
Fibonacci Retracement Rejection: Price rejected the 61.8% Fib retracement zone near $114,978, confirming a potential local top.
Trend Structure: Clear lower high, lower low structure forming on 4H – momentum favors sellers.
EMA Cloud Pressure: Price is decisively below the multi-band EMA cloud, showing sustained bearish pressure and trend bias.
Volume Profile Gap: Price is entering a low-volume node between $113.8k and $112k, increasing likelihood of a sharp move down.
Bearish Candlestick Pattern: A strong bearish engulfing candle formed after the retracement – a classic reversal confirmation.
🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets:
TP1 – $11205 (38.2%): Initial demand zone and minor support.
TP2 – $11024 (61.8%): Mid-extension level, aligns with prior consolidation.
TP3 – $10731 (100%): Full measured move target if the downtrend accelerates.
SL: Placed just above the recent swing high at $11678, protecting against false breakouts.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis by the end of 2025🕯 July is coming to an end, with 3 weeks of OKX:BTCUSDT consolidation between $117k–121k.
Tomorrow begins the last month of summer — and it promises to be "hot" as, according to our earlier published calendar Trump's administration plans to send letters with new, increased tariffs to "all countries" on 01.08.
💰 Also, take a look at Bitcoin Monthly Returns. In our view, 2025 resembles 2020 the most.
What do you think?
👉 According to this dynamic, the real "hot" may come not in summer, but late autumn.
💰 We've also tried to find a price fractal for #BTCUSD that fits the current structure — and for now, it looks plausible:
◆ In the coming days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not rise above $121k.
◆ A low of correction might hit mid-September around $93k.
◆ A cycle top for #BTC could arrive to the end of 2025, near $147k.
📄 Now that you've seen our version — share your forecasts on future #BTCUSDC price action in the comments 👇
BITCOIN- Charging Towards 122k Momentum Building BTC/USD Long Setup – Targeting 122K 🔥
Bitcoin is holding strong above 118500, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Price broke key resistance & forming higher lows.
🟢 Current structure favors buy-side continuation with next major target at 122000.
Support Zones:
🔹 117800 – intraday bullish retest
🔹 116500 – strong demand zone
Resistance Ahead:
🔸 120200 – short-term reaction
🔸 122000 – major target
🚀 Expecting bullish wave continuation.
If momentum sustains above 118K, 122K breakout highly probable!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BTC122K #ChartAnalysis #BullishBreakout
BTC Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone HeldExhaustion Zone Update: 2025–208
📉 Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone Held
On Friday, BTC dipped to 114,700, printing a fresh Daily Swing Low — a classic liquidity grab. The bulls stormed in for reinforcements, pushed price back up late in the day…
but once again, the Exhaustion Zone stood its ground.
BTC closed lower than Thursday, and since then? Pure chop.
Feels like both bulls and bears took the weekend off to watch Netflix.
—
🔻 The Downward Trendline Still Rules
Today, it’s simple: Bulls must close above 118,477.
That’s the trendline test — hesitation here, and the bears come clawing.
Usually I’d say, "give the bulls until Monday"...
but this year has shown us one thing:
🐋 The Whales Hunt on Sundays.
If the bulls don’t step up today, we might learn the hard way why it’s called the Exhaustion Zone.
—
📉 The Risk if Bulls Fail
BTC already gathered all the bulls it could down at the Daily Swing Low — and they’re tired.
If they can’t break out, the High-Powered Short Zone (dashed red lines) will take over.
The bears? Heavy. Angry. Overdue for a window jump.
🎯 Next floors down:
• May ATH → 111,965
• January ATH → 109,354
That’s the Take Profit$ Zone 👇
And honestly? I’m letting a small short position ride in case the evil whales take us all the way to the 50% level (98,811).
—
📌 The Alpha View
To the bulls: It’s showtime.
Either close above 118,477 today…
or the All-Time High Parade might just reroute — straight down the fire escape. 🐻🔥
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced a notable pullback. The primary reason for this movement was the Key Resistance level, which led to a decline that reached our Mean Support level of 113000. This anticipated pullback is prompting the completion of the Outer Coin Dip target of 111000, with a strong likelihood of moving towards the Mean Support level of 108000.
Bitcoin has an upside to it if we hold above $14,900See what you think it’s simple Auto Fib Retracement and RSI. That’s all I’m using here and also past times and other data outside of this image but inside the CRYPTOCAP:BTC market.
What you think? Up to $118k again before down or sideways? Or will this be the end of the large bull flag formation? We’ll soon find out!
Has Bitcoin become a "SAFE" asset ? These charts show that......
After we heard the US Federal Reserve hold rates yesterday, Markets Fell some.
And Bitcoin joined them for a couple of hours but Look now.
While the $ falls, the S&P Falls, GOLD is the traditional haven of safety and we can see how it Rose in Value over the last 12 hours
The $ has Fallen over the last 8 hours
S&P Stalled for the last 24 hours
And the STRONGEST positive moves over the last 12 hours were from BITCOIN rising, though it is taking a breather for the moment.
SO, has it become a SAFE HAVEN ?
Put it like this. Bitcoin has NOT lost value like it used to when under pressure.
We have yet to see what would happen once it reaches its cycle Top. Will it retreat as it has historicaly...
But for now, it does seem to be a strong store of Value and remains with potential and likelihood of further rises.
The TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP chart below
This shows us that the investor market seems Very confident in the Crypto Market,,Just going from strength to strength.
The TOTAL 2 Market Cap chart shows us something very interesting.
The TOTAL2 chart is the Total Market Cap MINUS BITCOIN
Compare the 2 charts and you will see how the TOTAL chart has risen way over its previous cycle ATH but the TOTAL2 is currently being rejected off its previous ATH line.
This clearly shows us that BITCOIN is the strength in the Crypto Market.
It is the same story on the TOTAL3 chart ( TOTAL minus BTC & ETH )
It is the same on the OTHERS chart ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by market Cap )
BITCOIN CARRIES THE MARKET
These are early days but the Future of Bitcoin does seem VERY good
So far this cycle, the largest retrace was -31%
This drop was NOT a sharp Drop over a short period of time. It was an expected and controlled drop over 112 days.
But the zoomed out version of that chart tells us something VERY GOOD
PA has risen above and Tested and held that line of resistance that had rejected PA at Cycle Top ATH in 2017 and 2021.
That is a HUGE move and we wait to see if we Hold and move higher away from this line.
SO, Is Bitcoin a Safe Haven ?
It is certainly looking more and more like it.
PA is secure, has held position well and is in Price discovery...slowly and with caution...but always moving forward.
The traditional 4 yeat Cycle would end in late Q4 this year and so we have to wait and see what happens then.
But Bitcoin PA has moved into New ground on so many fronts now.
The traditinal BEAR market may not appear, in which case, YES, Bitcoin could become a New SAFE HAVEN
Buy Bitcoin
Hold Bitcoin
Bitcoin at a Decisive Moment! Rising Wedge Formed — Breakout?🧠 In-Depth Technical Analysis (BTCUSDT – Weekly Timeframe)
Bitcoin is currently trading within a large Rising Wedge pattern, formed over the long term from late 2022 to mid-2025. This structure is typically a bearish reversal formation, although it can also lead to a breakout in strong bull markets.
The wedge is defined by:
Consistently higher lows on the lower trendline
A gradually rising upper resistance line that currently caps price around $123K–$125K
Decreasing volume, indicating consolidation and energy buildup near the apex
This wedge reflects a period of euphoric price action post-2022 bear market accumulation, with price now testing the top of a historically significant resistance zone.
---
📊 Key Price Levels:
🔹 Current Price: ≈ $118,436
🔹 Recent Weekly High: $123,226
🔹 Critical Resistance (Wedge Top): $123,000–$125,000
🔹 Dynamic Support: Rising wedge base (~$90,000–$95,000)
---
🐂 Bullish Scenario: “Historic Breakout Incoming”
If BTC successfully breaks above the wedge’s upper resistance and closes a weekly candle above $125K with strong volume, it would signal a confirmed breakout from the long-term wedge structure.
📈 Upside Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $140,000
🎯 Target 2: $155,000+ (based on Fibonacci extension and macro targets)
🚀 A breakout of this magnitude may trigger a new parabolic rally, especially if accompanied by:
Increased institutional adoption
Spot ETF inflows
Favorable macroeconomic shifts (e.g., rate cuts)
---
🐻 Bearish Scenario: “False Breakout or Breakdown Risk”
If Bitcoin fails to break out and faces strong rejection from the resistance zone (possibly a false breakout), the rising wedge formation may break down — leading to a steep correction.
📉 A breakdown from this structure often leads to sharp drops due to:
Overextension of the current trend
Distribution phase by smart money
🎯 Downside Targets:
Support 1: $95,000–$90,000
Support 2: $76,000
Major Support: $54,000 (historical demand & EMA zones)
---
🔍 Optional Indicators for Chart Confirmation:
Weekly RSI: Watch for bearish divergence
Volume Profile: Can highlight distribution or accumulation zones
EMA 21/50: Ideal for identifying dynamic support levels in retracements
---
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a crucial inflection point within this multi-year Rising Wedge. A confirmed breakout could lead to new all-time highs, while a breakdown may trigger a broad correction. Traders should prepare for high volatility, wait for clear confirmation signals, and manage risk wisely in this pivotal zone.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #RisingWedge #BTCBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #PriceAction #BearishReversal #CryptoSignal #ChartPattern #BitcoinAnalysis #Cryptocurrency
Major test for crypto bulls - BTC and ETH Bitcoin has dipped below $118,000, putting pressure on the bullish structure that’s held for the past two weeks.
The attempted breakout above $121,000 has failed, and price is now breaking down through the middle of the consolidation range, threatening short-term higher lows. On the 4H chart, this move resembles a failed breakout with a potential double-top near $121,000.
If Bitcoin can’t reclaim $116,000 quickly, the next downside levels to watch are $114,000 and $110,000.
Ethereum, meanwhile, has stalled just below $3,800 after a strong rally this month. Price action has flattened out over the past few days, with several failed attempts to push through that level. The key upside trigger remains $4,000.
But if $3,700 gives way, ETH may slide back to the $3,450–$3,300 region, where previous resistance and the rising trendline converge.
BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?
🔍 Technical Analysis (July 29, 2025)
Chart Observations:
1. BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS events are identified, confirming key directional shifts in market structure. The last BOS near the support zone signals bearish intent.
2. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A clean bearish FVG is left behind after a sharp drop on the 25th, indicating institutional imbalance and potential retracement area. Price rejected from that FVG later.
3. Equal Low & Sellside Liquidity:
The highlighted equal lows around July 25-26 mark areas of resting liquidity—prime targets for smart money manipulation.
4. New FVG Formed (July 28):
Another bearish FVG appears just before the projected breakdown, strengthening the case for a bearish continuation.
5. Support Zone Target – $115K:
A clean support zone (marked between 114,500–115,500) sits directly below the current market price. This is the likely liquidity target after sweeping equal lows.
6. Volume Profile (VRVP):
Low-volume nodes between the current price and support suggest minimal resistance to a sharp downward move.
⸻
🎯 Conclusion:
The structure, FVGs, and liquidity pools all point toward a liquidity raid below the equal lows, aiming for the support target near $115K. Traders should watch for a decisive break below the current range, especially if the FVG acts as resistance again.
Bitcoin Are We Heading to 140K or 80K ??? Here is the Analysis Based on what is happening here is what we currently see with Bitcoin
Idea 1: If we can break 119K then here are the following levels Bitcoin can go to :
122K
126K
135K
140K
Idea 2: If we continue and break further bearish here are the levels BTC can go to
115,600
114,500
112,800
If we go below this level then a larger correction thesis would point us with a deeper bearish level
Happy Trading
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Kris
BTC FOMCOnce Again Ive the same view on BTC
There is a chance that it will go down now towards 113.500 straight so the internal buy towards 122.600 should be taken with low risk
if that level is reached the sell to 113.500 is prettyu much asured and also on 113.500 the buy to all time highs 127.500 and 133.000
GG
BTCUSD Analysis : Blue Ray + MMC Bullish Scenario + Target Zone🟢 Today’s BTCUSD Analysis (MMC) – Strategic Insight into Institutional Behavior 💪
📊 Chart Breakdown: Understanding Price Through MMC
This 4H BTCUSD chart highlights critical behavior using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) — where smart money traps, fakes, and flips market participants to create directional moves. Let’s break down the scenario:
🔸 1. Fakeout Zone – Smart Money Trap
Price initially surged to a local high, triggering a bullish fakeout, as shown in the green rectangle.
This move is designed to lure in breakout buyers above resistance, only to reverse sharply.
The sudden drop confirms smart money liquidation, catching retail longs off-guard.
A perfect example of a liquidity grab before shifting back into range.
📌 Fakeouts often mark the beginning of a new range or reversal setup in MMC methodology.
🔸 2. Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Structure
The consolidation after the fakeout forms the Blue Ray pattern, a recognizable trend continuation framework.
This structure signals smart money’s accumulation or re-accumulation phase.
Note how the price oscillates within the pattern, creating both lower highs and higher lows.
These compressions usually lead to explosive moves, either up or down, depending on liquidity build-up.
🔸 3. QFL – Quantity Following Line Event
Price briefly dips below the QFL level — another engineered stop-hunt to shake out premature longs and trap breakout sellers.
The reaction afterward shows strong buyer defense, confirming hidden demand.
MMC traders recognize this zone as a fake breakdown, setting up for the next trend wave.
🔸 4. Central Reversal Zone – The Decision Area
We’re currently hovering around the Central Reversal Zone, a key level of decision-making.
This is where liquidity from both buyers and sellers meets, making it a high-volatility zone.
Price could either:
(Scenario 1) Reject and fall lower to retest the trendline zone (marked with label 1).
(Scenario 2) Break above minor resistance and head toward the Next Reversal Zone (marked with label 2).
This structure aligns with MMC’s "Trap – Absorb – Break" cycle.
🔸 5. Major & Minor Resistance
Above the current price lies:
Minor Resistance (~$120,000): Immediate zone to clear for bullish continuation.
Major Resistance (~$121,000): Strong institutional supply, could act as the final hurdle before reversal.
If price clears these, BTC will likely target the Next Reversal Zone (~$122,500–123,500) for the next MMC reaction or short-term top.
🧠 Strategic Trade Outlook (MMC Logic)
✅ Bullish Playbook (Scenario 2):
Entry: Break and retest above $120,000 (Minor Resistance)
Confirmation: Hold above Central Reversal Zone with impulse
Target: $122,500–123,500 (Next Reversal Zone)
Risk: Close below $117,500 invalidates idea
🔻 Bearish Playbook (Scenario 1):
Entry: Rejection from $119,500–120,000
Target: Trendline support or prior QFL (~$116,000–115,500)
Invalidation: Clean 4H close above $120,500
📐 Key Concepts in This Analysis
Fakeout Trap: Retail euphoria liquidation
QFL Sweep: Smart money’s liquidity grab below structure
Blue Ray: Compression structure before continuation
Reversal Zones: Institutional interest areas where reactions occur
SR Flip Zones: Level conversion confirms trend maturity
📈 Summary
BTCUSD is currently in a smart money-controlled environment, compressing near key structural levels. The next move will be large, and by applying MMC, we’re prepared for both bullish breakout and bearish retest scenarios.
Be patient — traps come before trends.
$BTC Daily OutlookDaily Chart
Today’s close printed a small bearish doji; visually bearish but still another inside-day that keeps BTC boxed between the High-Volume Node / v-Level cluster at $116 860-$123 300.
Holding $116 860 remains critical; lose it on a daily close and price can easily slide to the weekly breakout shelf near $111 960. We are now 16 days inside this balance. Per Auction-Market-Theory rule #5, the longer price churns at the edge, the more resting liquidity is absorbed, eventually a decisive push will follow. If buyers defend $116 860 again, the path opens toward range high $123 300 and the prior ATH; if they fail, expect a fast flush to the weekly V-Level.
Footprint Read
Value Area High and Low span the full candle, with the POC parked mid-range, classic two-sided trade. Delta finished negative and the heaviest prints sit at session lows: sellers hit the bid hard, yet could not follow through. That absorption leaves shorts vulnerable to a squeeze if new selling momentum doesn’t appear quickly.
Fundamental Pulse – Week Ahead
ETF Flows: Spot-Bitcoin ETFs booked three consecutive inflow days to close last week (+$180 M net). Sustained demand under the range supports the bullish case.
Macro Data: U.S. FOMC & Federal Fund Rates prints for this week; expect more volatility starting from tomorrow.
Game Plan
Primary bias stays long while daily candles close above $116 860; upside trigger is a clean for now or shorts squeeze toward $123 300.
If $116 860 breaks with volume, prepare for a quick liquidity hunt into the weekly shelf at $111 960, where we reassess for swing longs.
Intraday: I’ll monitor the Intraday Chart on tomorrow's High impact events and look for best opportunities across the board. Alt window: a fresh downtick in BTC Dominance could spark rotation; watch high-Open Interest majors if BTC ranges.
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline.
📝Levels to watch:
$300.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader