BTC/USD Long-Term Channel Targeting 120,721 – 136,849Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the weekly timeframe. After a healthy corrective phase, price action is rebounding strongly off the channel’s lower boundary, aligning with the ongoing long-term bullish trend.
🔹 Wave Structure and Fibonacci Extensions:
The corrective structure suggests a completed ABC pattern, with the current move potentially initiating a new bullish impulse.
Key Fibonacci extension levels:
161.8% at 120,721
200% at 130,246
224% at 136,849
These levels correspond to the upper channel boundary, providing potential long-term upside targets.
🔹 Oscillator Confirmation:
The DTOsc indicator is rebounding from oversold territory, suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
📌 Trade Idea:
Long-term bias: Bullish, targeting upper Fibonacci levels within the channel
Invalidation: A weekly close below the channel’s lower boundary (~85,000) would challenge this scenario
This chart supports a patient, long-term bullish view for BTC/USD, with significant upside targets over the coming months.
Bitcoinsignals
"BTC - Time to buy again!" (Update)As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price reached the top of the wedge and broke out with a price increase. Now that Bitcoin's price is above the wedge, it can be said that with a slight price correction, it could follow the pattern and make a measured move where AB = CD.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
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⚠️Things can change...
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CULT DAO ON ITS WAY TO A BILLION DOLLAR MARKET CAPIf you want an in-depth look at everything CULT DAO, check out the TA below:
This is just a technical update.
A massive breakout occurred as expected. I’ve been highlighting the divergence forming in the MACD for months — it’s all detailed in the TA above.
Over the last 1,096 days, CULT DAO has formed a giant descending wedge — both in price structure and on the MACD. The path was clear.
Onwards and upwards.
A billion-dollar market cap is very possible by Q4 2025.
Breakthrough tech.
Mainnet launch around the corner.
Rocket ship loading.
Bitcoin Be Setting Bull Trap?_Breakout Without High VolumeBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall yesterday after forming a new All-Time High(ATH) with high volume , but started to rise again. One of the reasons for Bitcoin’s sudden drop yesterday was the sharp drop in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) index .
First of all, I must say that Bitcoin’s situation is a bit complicated and difficult to analyze , so pay more attention to money management. Be prepared for any scenario.
Bitcoin is trading above the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) and near the Resistance lines and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($113,020-$111,833) . What is worrying is that the break of the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,820) was NOT accompanied by high volume , suggesting a bull trap is possible .
I see a correction to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,972-$108,609) given the low breakout volume for Bitcoin and the large sell orders in the upper prices for Bitcoin .
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Today, the Flash PMI data from the U.S . came in stronger than expected:
Flash Manufacturing PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 49.9, previous 50.2)
Flash Services PMI: 52.3 (vs. forecast 51.0, previous 50.8)
Analysis :
Both numbers exceeded expectations, signaling stronger economic activity in the U.S. This is bullish for the USD( TVC:DXY ) and could put short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin, as it lowers the chances of near-term Fed rate cuts.
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Do you think Bitcoin is completing a Bull Trap or should we expect Bitcoin to increase further?
Note: If Bitcoin breaks above $114,500 with high momentum, we can expect Bitcoin to rise to near $119,000.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN is attempting to converge with past Cycles!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is experiencing the weakest Bull Cycle in its history, a natural product of the Theory of Diminishing Returns (TDM).
This chart couldn't have put it better as we show all Cycles since BTC's first day, one on top of the other. Naturally the first Cycles were the most aggressive, witnessing extraordinary gains as the upside potential of a fresh market was enormous in its early days.
The 2015 - 2017 (blue trend-line) and 2019 - 2021 (black trend-line) Bull Cycles have been harmonized to a more traditional capital market state and this is obvious on their trend-lines, which exhibit similar parallel price action. Whenever the two diverged, they converged at some point during the Cycle.
The current Cycle (2023 - 2025) following the late February 2025 divergence, is now attempting to converge again with its strong rebound in the past 6 weeks. Being however within a Channel Up throughout the entirety of the Cycle, it appears that it will do so in a structured way and as the TDM suggests, will offer weaker gains.
What we can project, as we've shown on previous studies in great detail, is the timing of the Cycle Top. Based on past Cycles, it should be within October - December 2025. Timing your exit strategy can perhaps be more effective than assigning a certain Target, even though the peak is expected to be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range.
So do you agree that the rise we're witnessing is the Cycle's attempt to converge with past ones and close the gap before it tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN : FREE SIGNAL (DON'T MISS)Hello friends
According to the upward trend we had, you can see that the price is stuck in a channel and after the third collision with the channel ceiling, it has managed to break the channel, which indicates the power of buyers and you can buy within the specified support ranges with capital and risk management and move with it to the upcoming goals.
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): The Next Resistances
As Bitcoin is trading in the no man's land again,
violating a resistance cluster based on a previous ATH,
here are the next potentially strong resistance to watch.
Resistance 1: Narrow area based on 115000 level - the closest strong
psychological level.
Resistance 2: Narrow area based on 120000 level - the next
psychological level.
Resistance 1 is going to be the next goal for the buyers
and will most likely reached soon.
Its breakout will push the prices to Resistance 2.
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Maybe your biggest risk is your biggest chance !!!Bitcoin will reach $130k with a slight price correction.
my previous analysis in last year !!
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Bitcoin’s Pump to NEW ATH($109,845) Ends in High-Volume ReversalBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved towards the targets as I expected in my previous idea , although it faced pump and dump moves in reaching the targets .
Bitcoin managed to create a new New All-Time High(ATH=$109,845) but immediately began to decline on high volume .
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,860) and near the Resistance lines , Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin was able to complete main wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least $102,200 AFTER breaking the Support zone($105,100-$104,140) , and the possibility of further declines is very high .
Also, on the 1-hour timeframe of the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, a bullish and regressive Falling Wedge pattern is visible , with its upper line broken.
Do you think Bitcoin can finally create a NEW All-Time High(ATH) Again!?
Note: If Bitcoin touches $110,100, we should expect a pump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN made new ATH but still much time left before a Cycle topBitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the final week of May, with the month mostly likely to close on a strong green candle, the 2nd straight. Though it made yesterday a new All Time High (ATH) above 109k and many are already talking about a bearish reversal, this chart shows that there is still plenty of time left before the current Bull Cycle tops.
If fact a simple measurement of the Bottom to Bottom and Bottom to Top ranges of the last 3 Cycles is enough to present all the evidence that are needed for this case.
As you can see, the previous 2 Bull Cycles lasted for 35 months (1065 days) from Bottom to Top. Similarly, the Bottom to Bottom (Bear Cycle to Bear Cycle) measurement has been 47 months (1430 days).
This amazing symmetry suggest that BTC is more likely than not to repeat this feat on the current Cycle as well. A 35 month range from Top to Top indicates that the Bull Cycle is expected to peak on October 2025, while a 47 month Bottom to Bottom range indicates that the next Bear Cycle should bottom in October 2026! As far as a potential price top is concerned, various of the previous analyses we've conducted show that $200k is a fair maximum, but the current study focuses on the timing of profit taking and not specific price levels.
So are you willing to book your profits by this October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USD Facing Key Resistance – Watch for Daily Close ConfirmatiBitcoin is currently testing a critical resistance zone between 107,150 and 107,800, which has previously acted as a strong supply area. For the bullish trend to continue, we need to see a daily close above this resistance range.
Until a confirmed breakout occurs, the price is vulnerable to a pullback toward the rising trendline, which has been supporting the uptrend since April.
📌 Key Points:
Strong horizontal resistance at 107,150–107,800
Rising wedge structure could signal exhaustion
A daily candle close above 107,800 is required for further upside continuation
Failure to break this resistance increases the probability of a correction toward the ascending trendline support
This is a critical area to monitor for both breakout traders and those looking for potential short-term reversal setups.
BITCOIN Ultimate Cycle Zones breakdown! See when to sell!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its amazing rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having recovered all of the losses sustained following the U.S. - Chine Trade War. Based on this Cycle's pattern, this 1W MA50 rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg, essentially its 4th of this Cycle.
Among all this, we managed to identify another cyclical pattern, separating the Cycle in terms of Activity Zones:
Naturally its very bottom is what we call the 'Best Buy Zone' (green), where BTC's earliest and most optimal buy opportunities existed. That ranges within the 0.0 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels.
Above that it's the 'Final Buy Zone' (yellow) where in relative efficieny terms, the last long-term buy opportunities existed. That Zone consists of the 1.0 and 2.0 Fibonacci levels.
Third in line is the 'First TP Zone' (orange) where long-term investors who seek lower risk, can start taking profit on their positions. The range on that is the 2.0 - 3.0 Fibonacci levels.
Lastly it's the 'Fina TP Zone' (red) where obviously it is the last opportunity (and with the greatest return but also elevated risk) to take profits before the Cycle prices its Top. This consists of the 3.0 - 4.0 Fibonacci range.
As you may have noticed, each Zone has a .618 interval (highlighted in blue). Zone 1 has the 0.618 Fib, Zone 2 the 1.618 Fib, Zone 3 the 2.618 Fib and one 4 the 3.618 Fib. This is where (so far) the price has made a first consolidation - correction after the start of the new Bullish Leg and before it gets completed at the top Fib. The last such consolidation was from mid December 2024 to late January 2025 and as you see those tend to be significant marks.
This model shows that the current Bullish Leg should prepare us for the Final TP Zone and its first stop is the 3.0 Fib at $135k. This is the bottom of the Final TP Zone and the first region that long-term investors should consider taking profits. The key 3.618 Fib extension is at $210k and in our opinion is the absolute max level we should look to sell all positions as chronologically Cycle wise the trend falls there towards the end of the year, which is where all Cycles topped. A 4.0 Fib test is highly unlikely to take place within this Cycle, unless macroeconomic fundamentals (extreme adoption and/or monetary intervention) kick in and that sits at $280k.
But what do you think? Do you agree with this Zones break-down and if yes are you considering taking profits at 135000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin vs Resistance Zones | Fake Breakdown Below the Channel!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been moving up and down with high momentum over the past 24 hours and finally fell below the lower line of the ascending channel . Is this break of the lower line of the ascending channel valid?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($104,478-$103,941) . Since the volume of breaking of the lower line of the ascending channel is NOT high, the probability of a fake break is very high (in my opinion).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the structure of the main wave 4 seems to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) . The main wave 5 could lead to the formation of a new All-Time High(ATH ).
One of the reasons why I think we saw a Fake Break below the lower line of the ascending channel is that I think the S&P500 Index ( SP:SPX ) will trend upward , and given the high correlation between Bitcoin and S&P500 Index these days, we can expect Bitcoin to increase .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again AFTER breaking the Resistance zone($105,100-$104,140) and touch the targets I have indicated on the chart.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $101,800, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction.
Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%.
This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension.
So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Stairway to 134k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is unfolding a very interesting pattern since its April 07 bottom. That was at $74500 and since that level, it has been consistently targeting all 10k intervals above it: From 74k to 84k, 94k and is now on 104k.
Once it hit all those levels, the price consolidated, forming a very structured Channel Up. Now, the Channel Up may not hold forever but this consistency gives us the idea that it can continue targeting all those levels above it: 114k, 124k, 134k. If this pattern continues to hold for as much time as it has since the bottom, then we may see $134k by late June/ early July.
Do you think it is possible to stay this consistent for that long? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin at PRZ! Is This the Calm Before a Drop?As I expected in yesterday's idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from near the Support line and hit the Target .
Bitcoin is trading near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , the upper line of the ascending channel(minor) , and the Resistance line .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has successfully completed the microwave B of the main wave 4 in the ascending channel(minor). A break of the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) could be a sign of the completion of this wave. The corrective structure of the main wave 4 so far could be a Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $100,923 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel(minor) and breaking the Support line, the next target could be the lower line of the ascending channel(major) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,525-$104,500
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,763-$99,774
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $105,300, we can expect more pumps.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $99,400, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN 's 'Final 6 months rally' kickstarts the Altseason!This isn't the first time we show you this chart but it couldn't be more relevant than today. We have established on previous analyses how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has most likely started the final rally of its Cycle, historically the parabolic rally of the last 6 months of the Bull Cycle that ends with its Top.
The addition of today's analysis is that with Bitcoin Dominance (orange trend-line) approaching its 8-year Lower Highs trend-line, this 'Final 6 months rally' of BTC is what technically also starts the Altseason. This is when lower cap coins see massive gains compared to the high cap ones.
At the same time, we get one more confirmation of why a $150k BTC Target is realistic, as by the end of 2025, this price would still be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the 8-year Fib Channel Up, a rather 'bad case' scenario based on this pattern.
So what do you think? Will BTC's Final 6 months rally spark a massive Altseason too? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin’s Path to ATH: Final Wave or Just a Pause? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) pumped about +2% after the " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. " news, but then started to decline again. Do you think Bitcoin can see the new All-Time High(ATH)?
Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) and Support line .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 and is currently completing microwave 4 of the main wave 5 .
Given the momentum of the decline a few hours ago , I expect Bitcoin to either touch the previous low or create a new low in the 1-hour timeframe .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($102,200-$101,680) once again and possibly touch the Support line and then attack towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) with the two scenarios I outlined on the chart .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $106,943-$105,913
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,313-$104,787
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,198-$101,697
Note: If Bitcoin can move above $104,500 without correction, we can expect more pumping.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $101,500, we can expect more declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive.
On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross.
The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%.
As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks.
Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Breaks Wedge! Correction Coming Before Next Leg? After Trump said in the press conference, " Better go out and buy stocks now ." The SPX500 index started pumping , and as I said in the ideas of the last few days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )'s correlation with this index has increased. Bitcoin also started pumping.
Yesterday's Bitcoin pump succeeded in failing the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern , generally, if the reversal pattern fails, it will play a continuation role .
Bitcoin is moving between the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) and the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) . The question is whether Bitcoin will touch the Support zone($100,270-$97,700) again and move towards the Resistance zone($109,588-$105,865) or will it continue its upward trend.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has completed microwave 3 of the main wave 5 . We can expect an even Time Correction on Saturday and Sunday when trading volume is low . There is also a possibility that microwave 4 of the main wave 5 in Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($101,838-$101,432) will be completed.
One of the reasons I think we should wait for a correction is the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart, which we used as a guide in previous ideas .
USDT.D% has reached Monthly Support(1) and a Heavy Support zone(4.73%-4.50%) , which I believe is unlikely to be broken within in first attack , and I expect an increase to the Fibonacci lines on the chart.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again after a correction .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $105,114-$104,100
Note: If Bitcoin touches $97,500, we should expect further declines.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
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