BTCUSD Hits Premium FVG – Liquidity Raid Incoming?BTCUSD | 4H Chart Breakdown – FVG, Order Block, and Smart Money Confluence
Here’s a killer SMC-based short opportunity forming on BTCUSD. Let’s decode this clean setup:
⚙️ 1. Market Structure Snapshot
Change of Character (ChoCH) confirmed on lower timeframe
Price aggressively retraced into a premium zone
Now tapping a combo zone:
✅ Fair Value Gap
✅ Order Block
✅ Sell-side OB mitigation
✅ Sitting right below Buy-Side Liquidity
We’re in prime territory for a liquidity raid followed by a sharp rejection.
📊 2. Key Price Zones
📈 Current Price: ~105,257
🟪 OB + FVG Zone: 104,766 – 105,257
🟦 Weak High (Target for Raid): ~106,200
🔻 Sell Setup Activation: If price shows rejection at OB zone
📉 Sell Target: 103,800 (Strong Low + liquidity pocket)
This is textbook bearish structure after a sweep of weak highs — time to watch the market respond.
🧠 3. SMC Logic Breakdown
ChoCH marks the first sign of bullish intent
But price is now entering a premium zone above equilibrium
Liquidity lies just above the weak high
We expect:
Raid of the weak high / buy-side liquidity
Rejection at the OB + FVG
Sharp drop to take out the strong low
This pattern = a high-probability SMC trap short.
📉 4. Risk-Reward Plan
🛑 Stop Loss: Just above 106,314.50
🎯 Take Profit: Near 103,800 (Strong Low)
🔁 RR: ~1:3 to 1:4 if you enter after a M5 rejection
🧼 Partial TP: Midway at 104,200 to reduce exposure
🧩 5. Entry Strategy
Monitor M5–M15 around OB + FVG zone
Wait for bearish engulfing / BOS
Refine entry with tighter SL
Let it play toward sell-side liquidity
⚔️ 6. Trader Notes:
Don't short early. Wait for reaction and structure shift
This is liquidity engineering – smart money lures in longs before nuking
Pair this chart with volume divergence confirmation if available
💣 Type "Liquidity Trap 💀" in the comments if this setup matches your bias
🔁 Save this if you scalp or swing SMC-based setups
🔔 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for clean smart money plays
