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Big bull pump after mega bearfake should send us to $6715Very exciting price action in the past hour looks like we are now back above the 4hr 50ma and appear to be breaking up out of the symmetrical triangle...this could be another megafake the other way of course so we must take that into consideration and still watch for candle close and follow up confirmation candle price action but at the rate it is flying upward probability is very high that we will see a bull break...be prepared for a bull trap though just to be safe.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
Will the bart end soon? We touched the support levels i mentioned before and it bounced back bit, but we still cant hit the 6400 POC. I think the 6360 might be good entry for short and the redline is stop loss i will look for my short ( if we gonna break the 6400) . I think 70:30 we may touch the 6360 above soon and 30:70 we go down back to support levels at 6160-80 without touching the 6350 above . If the 6360 hits without stop loss trigger i may look for 1. PT at 6260 level and second one on 6200 level. After first PT i trail my stop loss to 6280 levels. What do you think are we gonna break the 6400 or stay bouncing around here for longer?
BITMEX:XBTShort
by RasmonT
EUR/USD - 700 Pips Down Potential!Hello traders, I bring you here an interesting view LONG TERM on EUR/USD. In this chart we can see EUR/USD is about to become a long time bear. We have a bearish cross on MAs, Broke an almost 2 year old support trend line and now after retest the trendline a Shooting Star Candle. This trade has big downside potential and for those who love swing trading will certanly appreciate this analysis. I personally am more of a Daily trader, but i spotted this oportunity and wanted to share with you all. If you find this post useful dont forget to leave a like :) See you on next trade, ForexAcademyClub
Short
by RodrigoFAC
1
EUR/USD - From Bull to Bear! Hello traders, I bring you here a trade on EUR/USD, and i must say, EUR/USD is about to Become a Bear for a long time!! I was analyzing the weekly chart and price broke a trendline with almost 2 years and has just retested it and made a Shooting star on the weekly chart. Bearish MAs crossover on the Weekly chart also confirms more downside movement, the final target on the weekly is almost 1000 pips down. I will post later a weekly chart technical analysis if you want to so you can see how crazy can things get on this pair on long term! Big opportunity for us traders for sure. We are now going to touch de 0.5 Fib area and maybe going to retest the 0.382 area, and after that a big move down is expected. Wait for the entry zone to SELL! Feel free to comment your ideia below! If you like this post dont forget to leave a LIKE i appreciate it very much ;) I will update this trade when needed.
Short
by RodrigoFAC
7
Big Experiment (part 2). Line Break ChartBITFINEX:BTCUSD Dear friends, I continue my big experiment with different chart types. In the previous training article, I described the advantages and disadvantages of Renko chart. After that, I was testing the signals, sent by Renko, and those, provided by common technical analysis tools, like MACD and moving averages, on different cryptocurrency pairs. I analyze four-hour timeframe in my experiment. Finally, after one week of tests, I can draw the following conclusions: • The quality of Renko signals mostly depends on the right box size. • MACD oscillator is quite good to find out the appropriate box size. You adjust the box size in the selected timeframe until there are as few false signals as possible, or there aren’t any. • As Renko chart hardly indicates the minor sideways price movements, you can reduce the periods of moving averages by a few times, so that their signals won’t be too late. • To filter false signals, sent by Renko, you also need to use candlestick chart at the same time. • A perfect buy/sell entry point is when the signals in the candlestick chart coincide with the Renko signals. An example of a perfect buy position: An example of a perfect sell position. Finally, I can conclude that Renko chart is an excellent instrument that will perfectly supplement any trading system. The drawbacks are the need to adjust the brick size to each timeframe and the time lags in signals, compared to the corresponding ones in the candlestick chart. The next chart type in my experiment will be Line Break Chart. Although it may seem complicated, it is quite simple to apply. It displays only the price moves that break through the last three closing price levels. The default number of Line settings is three, but you can change it just like the Renko box size, in order to make the chart more or less responsive. Unfortunately, I haven’t discovered the way to change the type of the levels displayed. I believe it would far more interesting to see not the closing price lines, but, rather, the highs or lows, because these movements provide the final signal to determine the trend direction. So, I really hope that someone will hear me and develop such an indicator ;)) To make it clearer for you how a Line Break Chart is built, let’s study it on a real example. There are two charts of the weekly timeframe above. The candlestick chart is on the left. The Line Break chart is on the right. I marked the analyzed zone with the green circle. You see, a long bullish candlestick emerged on July 16. It broke through the closing price levels of the three previous candlesticks (I marked close levels by numbers), and so there is a bullish bar in the Line Break chart (green). Besides, the bar’s high coincides not with the high of the Japanese candlestick, but with its closing level. As you see, in this case, the opening level of a bar in the Line Break chart is always the closing price level of the previous bar. The indicator alone sends quite simple signals. 1. A buy signal is when three consecutive bearish bars (down lines) are followed by a bullish one (an up line). 2. A sell signal is when three consecutive bullish bars (up lines) are followed by a bearish one (a down line). Here, I should mention that many Line Break chart users suggest expecting an additional bar in the signal direction, following the reversal bar (breakout). Therefore, if the pattern is not complete, and down lines are alternated with up lines, you’d better avoid trading. As known, Japanese like creating names for their patterns, and this case is no exception. For clarity, I presented the bullish pattern in the Line Break chart. I marked three bearish bars with the red circle, Japanese call it Black Shoes. The bullish bar, following three black shoes, is marked with the yellow circle. It is called Suit. A white suit means to buy, and a black suit means sell. The line in the green circle is the confirming bar, it is called Neck. Japanese say that you are to buy when the market “puts on black shoes and shows the neck in the white suit”, that is the market a kind of puts on a white bullish or a black bearish suit before it moves on)) It is important, how long is the Suit line; if it is not that long, a false breakout is likely to occur. It occurred in the first case, when the Suite was rather short. In the BTCUSD price chart above, I present an example of a sell signal (similar to the bullish one), when the market has put on a black suit. Basically, this pattern has a big flaw; by the time there is the Neck, a half or even the most of the general trend can be over. To reduce the time lag, you can cut the number of break lines. In addition to this, I suggest doing the experiment with the standard indicators, MACD and moving averages. In the Bitcoin/Dollar four-hour char above, you see that the Line Break chart sends the signal a little later. However, if there is the price sideways move (marked with the red circle), the indicator sends many false signals and is not efficient. There, MACD is of help. In case with the Line Break chart, the indicator doesn’t suggest strong volatility and indicates the sentiment rather definitely; it doesn’t feature the same in the Japanese candlestick chart. Summary: The Line (Three-Line) Break Chart is obviously worth studying and can serve as a confirming indicator of the trend reversal. Like Renko chart, Line Break can remove the noise, resulted from minor volatility during short time periods; however, it is likely to send many false during a long sideways trend inside a wide price range. Moreover, I don’t think it is right to analyze the close levels to spot the breakout, as, according to technical analysis, the more important levels during the price breakouts are the highs or lows for previous periods. To study the indicator in more detail, I’m going to test in practice, applied to different trading instruments. I will present the results of my tests, traditionally, the in the next educational post. I wish you good luck and good profits! PS. If you agree with the forecast write “+” in the comments, if you don’t agree, put “-”. If you liked the post, just write thank you, and don’t forget to share the post. It is easy for you and I will be very pleased :)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Hypov
1
USDJPY Weekly Trendline Violated! Chance To Go LONG The weekly long term trendline on this pair has been broken and a potential long opportunity is setting up. I am currently waiting for the channel that is forming on the 4 hour chart to break and retest the 50 EMA on 4 hr chart. Stay tuned for any updates! However i will only take this trade when i exit my other active USD position. I do not want to risk my capital buying 2 USD pair at the same time. Nevertheless its a good opportunity and if your analysis meets the criteria you can execute at your own risk!
Long
by FX618Analysis
Make or Break for Bitcoin in week of 16th July 2018 [BTFD]Looking at four hour chart on Bitcoin/USD we see over the weekend it good bounced from around the 0.618% fib level... The new Cycle of Power Indicator is showing a change from bearish to bullish conditions and the RSI coming into the overbought levels - this is shown by the change of colour of the line to grey We also have a Death Cross on a 55/100MA that has just formed So very mixed signals for bitcoin starting this week, if the 0.618% fib level holds and some buying momentum takes us up over 6800 during the week, then we may see some gains and be good for longs, firstly 6400 need to be broken and established as a floor support and solid buying action as the week starts and then going up to 6600 and above.... IF the 0.618% fib level breaks (currently around 6180 area) then most likely we will be back in power with the Bears and price will come down to touch just below $6,000, even going as low as 5800 area, now if buy support is strong and this does play out we will examine the market after we see the moves that start the week weekday markets open 10pm GMT +1, so get used to checking the price and movement once the institutions are back on the board and moving pieces around, expect a few squeezes along the way i'm calling neutral for this chart but im kinda leaning towards the bearish scenario, the psyche levels of 6300 and 6200 are pretty important, so keep eyes peeled on these levels of support and watch for opposite from 6600 & 6800
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by majorlee
1
EURUSD [Daily, Long] False Break/Failure TestMarket has been in a range from the 1.163 level to 1.207 level. Price action towards support at 1.163 is clean. Price took out the previous candle structure low on 7 Nov 2017. There was strong price rejection following this. Sellers who short the break of the support are now trapped, many would sell off their position when price goes to breakeven, fuelling the buying pressure. Entry: Market order of 1.16373 Stop: I placed a more aggressive stop loss just a few wicks below the candle structure, referenced on the 4hr timeframe as that is where my trade would be invalidated. Also to trade with a larger position to fulfil a 1:2 risk reward ratio. TP: 1.19 as I foresee price rejection at this region due to resistance.
Long
by TanYuFeng
We leave the corridorOur pair has been trading for a long time in the corridor. For two weeks it had found levels of support and resistance on the levels of 1.2755 and 1.2890 However, yesterday the dollar went on the offensive and overcame the upper boundary of the channel. At the moment, we assume that the pair will continue the upward movement to the next resistance level drawn on the chart. Therefore, we advise you to occupy long positions and consider the resistance levels as your goals.
Long
by SuperForex
EURUSD Trying For Break-Out Counter-Rally HereEURUSD Trying For Break-Out Counter-Rally now Using DXY as the confirming signal (please see DXY updates) we've been short EURUSD for some time now, looking for a test of 94.20 on DXY as the likely medium term top for Dollar strength across the pairs. That came yesterday (too busy shorting Bitcoin to notice, sorry for that). But EUR didn't quite make it to the next downside target at 1.1665 here, bouncing away 11 pips higher than really expected, though it did bounce precisely off the lower parallel of the little pattern EUR is now trapped within. Yesterday was mostly bear closing by look of the chart. Today it's more bull buying with a small impulse candle arriving as London opened after an aimless overnight session in far East. It can rally to 1.1756 and then will probably need impetus and follow through from New York to push any higher still. Only once it can get above here should it push back up to the 1.1823 level, presnting a potential long opportunity if we see it develop later. But until we see that evidence present itself EUR is becoming vulnerable to another sell off, though this time it should only come back to the 1.1721 line to begin with and will need US selling to drive it lower still towards the 1.1679-1.1665 range. With the Dollar expected to enter an extended period of consolidation under 94.2 on DXY it's no longer appropriate to be looking for big EUR weakness in the nearterm. However, looking a little further out in time, DXY is expected to rally a further 1% or so from 94.2 to 95.15 and EUR to fall back to 1.1558 eventually before any real change in overall trend is likely on this pair. This update was posted shortly after the DXY companion forecast this morning. It never loaded correctly. Very annoying. Anyway, what was expected above is happening pretty much as it should so far - EUR is about to break higher as DXY unravels under the dynamic from the highs a while longer.
by sumastardon
4