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Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447. Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement. The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500. ⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Israel Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices SurgeIsrael Strikes Iran. Oil and Gold Prices Surge According to media reports, Israel launched a large-scale overnight strike on Iranian territory, targeting dozens of military and strategic facilities linked to the country’s nuclear programme and missile capabilities. Israeli officials justified the action by citing an existential threat from Tehran, which, according to their intelligence, is accelerating its development of nuclear weapons and expanding its arsenal of ballistic missiles. In response, Iran has vowed severe retaliation, stating that the United States and Israel will “pay a heavy price” for the attack. US President Donald Trump has urgently convened a meeting to assess the situation. Commodities Market Reaction In the wake of these developments, gold — the primary safe-haven asset — surged sharply. The XAU/USD price broke above its May high, rising past $3,440. However, the all-time high near $3,498 remains intact for now. Oil prices also spiked due to fears of supply disruption. The military conflict threatens shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial chokepoint through which one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes. Traders quickly priced in the risk of war, anticipating a supply shortage driven by large-scale instability in the Middle East. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Brent crude oil price has risen to the upper boundary of a large-scale descending channel (shown in red), which is defined by lower highs from 2024–2025. As anticipated, this upper boundary acted as resistance, with the price forming a peak above $76 before reversing downward (as illustrated by the black arrow). From a technical standpoint, following such a sharp rally, Brent is vulnerable to a corrective move. In this scenario, a pullback into the orange zone is possible, where support may be found at: → The psychologically important $70 level; → The 50% Fibonacci retracement level; → The former resistance of the purple descending trendline, now turned support. Nevertheless, given the scale of the geopolitical threat, it is unlikely that market sentiment will allow Brent to decline significantly in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Brent Bulls Eye $74 & $81 — 2 Profit Points, 1 Tight StopBrent crude has confirmed a bullish breakout on the daily chart after closing decisively above the key horizontal resistance near $66.65. This level had acted as strong overhead pressure over the last two months but has now flipped into support, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Price is currently trading at $68.18, just above the newly established support zone, and showing strength after consolidating in a tight range. The Ichimoku Cloud system further validates this bullish move. The price has cleanly broken through the Kumo (cloud), and the Tenkan-sen has crossed above the Kijun-sen, forming a classic bullish crossover. The Chikou Span is also above the price, indicating momentum is firmly in the bulls’ favor. The immediate upside target is the $74.38 resistance, which corresponds to a key prior swing high from earlier this year. This zone is expected to act as the first major take-profit level for swing traders. If the bullish momentum persists, the next target lies at $81.40, a previous supply zone and psychological resistance. The path from current levels to that area appears technically open, with relatively little congestion in between. Risk-reward analysis supports the long setup. Entering near the current price, with a stop-loss just below $66.10, provides a downside risk of around 3%, while the potential upside to TP1 and TP2 offers gains of approximately 9% and 19%, respectively. This yields a favorable R:R of roughly 1:3 to 1:6, depending on the exit strategy. For scalpers, the area around $68.42 marks an intraday take-profit zone. However, scalpers must adjust their stop-losses dynamically, based on individual risk tolerance. A tighter stop might sit around $66.65, while more conservative scalpers may prefer to give room down to $66.10. The secondary support around $58.83 marks a major floor but is currently distant and would only be in play if Brent fails to hold $65—an unlikely scenario given current strength and volume. In summary, Brent crude’s technical structure favors further upside, with bullish momentum confirmed by both price action and Ichimoku alignment. A retest of $66.65 could present a buying opportunity, but failure to hold above that would invalidate the setup. As long as the price stays above the cloud and key supports, the bullish case remains intact.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by SupertradeOfficial
Brent Oil Robbery: The Thief’s Guide to Energy Market Profits! 🚨💰 THE OIL VAULT HEIST: UK OIL SPOT/BRENT TRADING STRATEGY 💸🔫 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on our 🔥Thief Trading style analysis🔥 (both technical and fundamental), here’s the master plan to heist the UK Oil Spot/Brent Energy Market. Follow the blueprint carefully—this strategy focuses on long entries, with a daring escape planned near the high-risk RED MA Zone where bearish robbers and consolidation traps await. 🏆💸 Take your profit and treat yourself, fellow traders—you earned it! 💪🏆🎉 🕵️‍♂️ Entry 📈 💥 The vault is wide open! Time to swipe that bullish loot—heist is on! Place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe, near swing lows/highs for pullback entries. 🛑 Stop Loss 🛑 📍 Thief’s SL—recent swing low and below the moving average (4H timeframe) for day/swing trades. 📍 Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders. 🎯 Target 🏴‍☠️💥 70.800 (Aim for the big loot!) OR escape before the target 🔥 Market Heist Overview The UK Oil Spot/Brent market is currently showing bullishness 🐂, driven by key factors—perfect for a day/scalping trade robbery! ☝☝☝ 📰 Additional Tools & Analysis 📊 Get the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentiment Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Targets—check our bi0 liinks 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News Releases & Position Management 📰 News can rattle the vault! 💥 ✅ Avoid new trades during news releases. ✅ Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect profits. 💖 Supporting our heist plan? 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 to empower the robbery team. Let’s make money every day in this market with the Thief Trading Style! 🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 👀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan, thieves! 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
TRADU:UKOILLong
by Thief_Trader
XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Brent Crude Reaches 1.5-Month HighXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Brent Crude Reaches 1.5-Month High In our analysis of Brent crude oil six days ago, we identified a large contracting triangle and a local ascending channel. We also outlined a potential scenario involving a bullish breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle. Although this was not the base-case scenario, the XBR/USD chart now suggests it has played out: yesterday, the price climbed to nearly $67 per barrel — its highest level since the end of April. The main bullish catalyst appears to be ongoing trade talks between the United States and China, which have raised hopes of a resolution to tariff-related tensions between the world’s two largest economies. At the same time, rising oil prices may exacerbate geopolitical tensions, particularly amid Israeli threats to strike ports in Yemen — a risk that could disrupt supply chains across the Middle East. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart From a technical perspective: → Brent crude continues to move within an ascending channel (marked in blue); → the upper boundary may now act as a support level. The fact that the price is holding in the upper half of the channel indicates strong demand-side pressure. Based on this, it is reasonable to assume that as long as Brent remains above the $65.75 level (the retest zone of the breakout), the technical outlook will remain predominantly bullish. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Rises to Key ResistanceXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Rises to Key Resistance Yesterday, the price of Brent crude climbed above $65.60 — the highest level in over a week. According to media reports, several bullish factors are driving this move: → Stalled negotiations between the US and Iran over abandoning Iran’s nuclear programme in exchange for lifting oil export sanctions; → Wildfires in Canada, which have significantly reduced oil output; → Market reaction to the OPEC+ meeting held over the weekend; → A weakening US dollar. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart From a technical standpoint, Brent crude oil: → Has been forming a short-term ascending channel (marked in blue) since the beginning of the week; → Has approached a major resistance level. This resistance is defined by the upper boundary of a narrowing triangle, with its central axis around the $63.70 level — a price that could be considered a fair value based on trading over the past one and a half months. This situation points to two possible scenarios: → A downward reversal from the key resistance, with expectations that the price will return to the triangle’s central axis. A break below the lower boundary of the local blue channel would support this scenario. → An attempt at a bullish breakout of the triangle. While this scenario cannot be ruled out, it appears less likely due to the global economic slowdown risks posed by tariff-related trade barriers. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Brent Oil Breakout Heist – Bullish Robbery in Progress!🕶️ Brent Oil Job in Motion – Market Robbery Blueprint by The Chart Bandits 💼💸 What’s up, gang? 👋 Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🌍 Calling all market robbers, trend thieves, and slick profit snatchers! 🤑💰💥 We’ve got eyes on the UK Oil Spot / Brent Energy Market – and this time, it’s a clean breakout job. According to our Thief Trading Code (yeah, that’s the street manual we use), the setup’s lit and the vault’s wide open. Here’s the drill: 📈 Entry Plan – The Break-In Point: The score begins above MA level 65.400. When that line cracks, it’s time to move. You can either: 🔹 Set buy stop orders just above the breakout zone 🔹 Or wait for a pullback to a 15m or 30m swing low/high and enter with style 🚨 Pro tip: Set your alerts. Real thieves don’t sleep on breakouts. 🛑 Stop Loss – Safety First, Bandits: Let the breakout breathe. Don’t slam the SL too early. Once it confirms, tuck your SL near the 4H swing low – around 64.000. Lot size, risk appetite, number of positions – all play into where you hide your exit door. Just don’t blame the crew if you jump in blind. ⚠️ 🎯 Take Profit – The Escape Route: Target set at 70.000 – hit it, grab the bags, and disappear before the bears sniff us out. 🏃‍♂️💨 📊 Why This Heist Works: The market’s lookin’ bullish – real heat from fundamentals like: Macro setups COT positioning Intermarket analysis Sentiment vibes Storage & inventory updates 🔍 Want the full blueprint? Fundamentals, charts, deep dives – check my profille for the linkss 🔗👀 ⚠️ Heads-Up – News Drops Can Wreck the Getaway: Don’t enter during high-impact news Protect profits with a trailing SL Always expect the unexpected, robbers 🚧📉 💥 Smash the Boost Button if you’re part of the Thief Crew! We’re not just trading – we’re executing blueprints and stealing clean gains. Stay tuned for the next setup. You know what time it is... 🕶️ Trade smart, loot fast, vanish smooth. 🐱‍👤💸🚀
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Thief_Trader
Brent Crude Oil Weekly Short Trade SetupBrent Crude Oil Weekly Short Trade Setup (as of May 22, 2025) This chart reflects a prolonged downtrend within a clearly defined descending channel. Brent Crude Oil continues to respect the dynamic resistance of the upper boundary and has failed to sustain bullish momentum in recent months. The current price action presents a low-risk, high-reward short opportunity based on technical structure and projected price movement. Entry Price: 64.994 The entry level at 64.994 is tactically chosen near the midpoint of the descending channel and slightly below the recent consolidation area. This level marks a rejection zone where price previously attempted to break higher but failed to gain traction. The reason for this entry is: • Price is reacting to the 20-period moving average (blue line), which has consistently acted as dynamic resistance. • The last bullish push failed to close above the mid-channel zone and reversed near the projected retest line, indicating sellers are still in control. • Entering here means you're entering after confirmation of a failed breakout rather than preemptively. This is a conservative but smart entry point, favoring a continuation move in the direction of the dominant trend. Stop Loss: 68.867 The stop loss is placed at 68.867, which aligns with the chart’s "Conservative Projected Retest Price Level" marked in green. Here’s why this stop makes technical sense: • This area corresponds to prior horizontal resistance and is very close to the descending channel’s upper boundary. • A move above this zone would invalidate the bearish structure, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. • Setting the stop here protects the trade against a deeper bullish retracement while still giving it enough room to breathe around minor fluctuations. The risk is controlled, and you're only exiting if the market structure genuinely breaks. Take Profit: 56.850 The take profit level is projected at 56.850, slightly above the "Weak Support Zone" marked in red. The reasoning: • This zone has acted as prior psychological support, but the label “weak” implies limited buyer strength here, increasing the chance of a breakdown. • Price has tested this level before and rebounded only modestly, suggesting vulnerability. • It also aligns closely with the lower boundary of the descending channel, which provides technical confluence as a realistic downside target. • Setting TP just above support allows for safer profit booking without being too greedy, avoiding the risk of reversal right at a major support. This exit point balances profit potential and probability, giving the trade a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Trade Structure Summary • Trend: Bearish (confirmed by lower highs/lower lows and downward-sloping channel) • Technical Confluence: Dynamic resistance, channel boundaries, horizontal zones, moving average rejection • Market Sentiment: Weak upside follow-through despite occasional rallies, suggesting bearish control Risk-Reward Outlook • Entry: 64.994 • Stop Loss: 68.867 • Take Profit: 56.850 • Risk (SL - Entry): 3.873 • Reward (Entry - TP): 8.144 • Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2.1 This setup offers more than twice the reward for the risk taken, making it an attractive candidate for traders seeking asymmetrical returns.
BLACKBULL:BRENTShort
by SupertradeOfficial
Oil Prices Surge Amid Threat of Strike on IranOil Prices Surge Amid Threat of Strike on Iran As shown on today’s XBR/USD chart, Brent crude oil prices have jumped (as indicated by the arrow) to a one-week high. This surge follows U.S. intelligence reports suggesting that Israel may be preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. Although CNN, citing officials, noted that it remains unclear whether Israeli leaders have made a final decision, oil prices are rising as markets price in the risk of escalation disrupting Middle Eastern oil supply chains: → Iran is the third-largest oil producer within OPEC. → There is concern that Iran could retaliate by blocking the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf — a key shipping route used by Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and others to export oil products. Technical Analysis of XBR/USD Brent crude oil price has climbed towards the descending trendline (marked in black), drawn through key highs from April and mid-May. From a bearish perspective, this key resistance could trigger a downward pullback. On the other hand, recent price action in Brent suggests upward momentum (indicated by blue lines), with the $65.20 level — previously a cap — potentially turning into support after a breakout. Whether the black resistance line is broken will largely depend on geopolitical developments. It is possible that reports of an imminent missile strike on Iran may later be refuted. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
BRENT Crude INTRADAY oversold bounce capped at 6533The price sentiment for Brent Crude Oil remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action shows an oversold rally, which has stalled near a previous consolidation zone around 6533 — a key resistance level. Key Resistance Level: 6533 This level marks a previous intraday consolidation area and could act as a ceiling for the current rally. Bearish Scenario: If WTI fails to break above 6533, it may resume its decline toward: 6207 (near-term support) 6080 5885 (longer-term support) Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout and daily close above 6533 would shift momentum and open upside targets at: 6707 6860 7040 Conclusion: WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure unless it breaks and closes above 6533. Traders should monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or breakout. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by TradeNation
Brent under pressure: A rebound may be comingIn 2025, oil prices have come under significant pressure, falling more than 21% since the beginning of the year — from $75 to around $59 per barrel of #BRENT. This decline was driven by increased production from OPEC+ countries, weak global demand (particularly in Asia), heightened economic risks due to trade disputes, and rising output from non-OPEC producers such as the U.S. and Brazil. Together, these factors created an oversupply amid stagnant demand. Currently, the oil market continues to be shaped by a range of influencing factors. While accurately predicting prices remains a challenge, several key drivers are likely to steer oil price movements in the near term. Here’s a look at the main bullish and bearish factors: • Geopolitical tensions (Bullish driver): Ongoing or emerging conflicts in key oil-producing regions (such as the Middle East and Eastern Europe) raise concerns about potential supply disruptions. Even without actual disruptions, the perceived risk leads traders to factor in a “risk premium,” pushing prices higher. Any escalation could trigger sharp price spikes. • OPEC+ policy (Bullish/neutral driver): The alliance’s production decisions remain a major influence on supply. If OPEC+ maintains or tightens its current output cuts to balance the market or target price levels, this will support price growth or at least stability. Conversely, quota breaches or output increases would weigh on prices. • Global economic outlook (Bearish/bullish driver): The trajectory of global economic growth directly affects oil demand. Signs of GDP slowdowns in major economies (U.S., China, EU) tend to weaken demand and drag prices lower. On the other hand, if economic growth proves more resilient than expected, it would support oil demand and prices. Uncertainty over the growth path of many countries persists in 2025. • Non-OPEC+ output growth (Bearish driver): Countries outside of the OPEC+ alliance — including the U.S. (shale), Brazil, Guyana, and Canada — continue expanding their production. Significant output increases from these nations could offset OPEC+ efforts and lead to market oversupply, applying downward pressure on prices. • Energy transition and underinvestment (Medium-term bullish driver): ESG pressures, the global shift toward renewables, and uncertainty around long-term fossil fuel demand have led to underinvestment in new oil exploration and development. If existing capacity declines faster than new projects come online, a structural supply deficit could emerge, supporting higher prices even amid the energy transition. FreshForex analysts believe that, given ongoing geopolitical risks, strict OPEC+ policies, and underinvestment in production, the oil market is nearing a potential upward reversal. A modest uptick in demand or increased tension could be enough to put oil back on a growth trajectory.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Brent Crude Opens with a Bearish GapBrent Crude Opens with a Bearish Gap As shown on the XBR/USD chart, Brent crude oil opened this Monday morning around $59.00, forming a bearish gap relative to Friday’s closing price of approximately $61.40. The current Brent crude oil price is near the yearly low reached about a month ago, following the announcement of Trump’s tariffs, which turned out to be significantly higher than expected. Why Is Oil Falling? As we noted on 30 April, market participants are closely watching news related to OPEC+. Over the weekend, during an online meeting (according to media reports), the following developments occurred: → It was stated that the current oil market is fundamentally healthy; → A decision was made to accelerate the pace of oil production increases. According to the plan, output will rise by 411,000 barrels per day — with some believing this move is partly due to certain OPEC+ countries previously failing to adhere to production quotas. Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart Oil price movements in 2025 form a descending channel (shown in red), with progressively lower highs and lows indicating bearish sentiment. Although bulls may hope that the lower boundary of the channel could act as support, bears are showing signs of dominance (as indicated by arrows): → the median line of the channel previously acted as resistance; → now, similar behaviour is seen at line Q, which divides the lower half of the channel into two quarters; → the Rounding Top pattern also signals strong selling pressure. Fundamentally, oil prices are supported by China’s willingness to negotiate tariffs with the US. However, considering the OPEC+ decision and ongoing fears of a global recession, the current downward channel on the Brent crude oil price chart is unlikely to lose relevance any time soon. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
Potential Decline of Brent Oil Price to $50 in the Near Future.Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Brent Oil Price to $50 in the Near Future. ➖ Increased OPEC+ Production: On April 3, 2025, eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly decided to accelerate production increases, adding 411,000 barrels per day starting in May. This decision triggered a price drop, with Brent falling 6.42% to $70.14 per barrel at the time. Analysts like Amrita Sen from Energy Aspects noted that this move pressures “lagging” countries to meet quotas, but the market interpreted it as an oversupply signal. Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC+ to Raise Oil Production by More Than Expected in May," April 3, 2025 (oilprice.com) ➖ Decreased Demand Due to Economic Challenges: On April 14, 2025, OPEC revised its 2025 oil demand growth forecast downward by 150,000 barrels per day to 1.3 million barrels per day, citing trade tensions and weak economic indicators. JPMorgan also raised the likelihood of a global recession to 60%. Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC Lowers 2025 Oil Demand Forecast on Trade Tensions," April 14, 2025 (oilprice.com) ➖ Trade Tariffs and Global Instability: On April 3, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on trading partners, heightening recession fears. Fitch Ratings described this as the highest level of U.S. import tariffs since 1910. Brent dropped 4% immediately following the announcement. Source: OilPrice.com, "OPEC+ to Raise Oil Production by More Than Expected in May," April 3, 2025 (oilprice.com) ➖ Geopolitical De-escalation: On April 25, 2025, reports emerged of progress in U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine, as well as Iran’s openness to nuclear negotiations. This reduces geopolitical risks and increases the likelihood of higher oil supply on the market. Source: OilPrice.com, "Oil Set For Weekly Loss on OPEC+ Supply Rumors," April 25, 2025 (oilprice.com) Technical Analysis Section: The monthly chart shows similarities between the 1999–2002 and 2020–2025 periods: an initial impulse, followed by a correction, and then a 6-year upward trend. Nearest entry point targets at the 161.8% Fibonacci level: • $52,46 • $49,06 • $46,50 Growth Potential Medium-term: • $138,00 Long-term: • $500,00 Once the price of oil UKOIL reaches $52.46, a review for the entry point will be prepared. Charts: • •
TVC:UKOILShort
by SergioRichi
Weekly Market Forecast WTI CRUDE OIL: Bearish! Wait For SellsThis forecast is for the week of April 21 - 25th. Oil has made a classic bearish impulse down, then a corrective retracement. The natural expectation is another impulse down. The fact that price pulled back into a W -FVG allows for this bearish expectation. Wait for a bearish break of market structure to confirm a valid sell setup... and trade accordingly. No confirmation, not trade! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by RT_Money
2
Analysis of the BRENT chart with expectations for 2025-2026◽️Technically, all conditions for the completion of the second wave correction have been met, and now quotes can be safely reversed up. However, current events in the global economy do not yet provide grounds for confidently asserting this. Locally, the price may still be driven down to $50 per barrel and even slightly lower. One way or another, it is important to understand a simple thing: everything below $70 per barrel should be seen as an opportunity to buy oil and everything related to it cheaply. ◽️According to my estimates, there is probably still time for deliberation on purchases until the end of spring. But further, from the beginning of summer, I expect a sharp rise in prices amid the escalation in the Middle East. From above, in the $100-150 range, growth will likely be contained for some time, which will be interpreted as the formation of sub-waves (i)-(ii), where after sharp rise in the first sub-wave from approximately $50-60 to $120-130, a local correction will follow within the second sub-wave. ◽️The growth period may take 3-6 months, and the correction to it another 2-4 quarters, and then a breakout of the $120-150 resistance zone and further "to the moon" in the third waves is expected. 🙏 Thank you for your attention and 🚀 for the idea. ☘️ Good luck, take care! 📟 See you later.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by T_A_R_A_S
#BRENT Gold/Oil Ratio, Stocks/Oil RatioOn chart I tried to fit three instruments at once: 1️⃣ Bottom (white) chart: Gold to Oil Ratio. 2️⃣ Middle (red) chart: BRENT crude oil price. 3️⃣ Top (blue) chart: Dow Jones Industrial Average to Oil Price Ratio. 1️⃣ The first thing to pay attention to is the white chart: GOLD/OIL Ratio , specifically where this ratio is today. Over the last 75 years of observation, the ratio has reached unprecedented levels. The spread is once again testing the record values of the COVID-19 hysteria of 2020, when panic caused oil prices to plummet sharply. At the current moment, the ⚖️Gold to Oil Ratio is around the 50 mark, meaning that one ounce of gold can buy as much as 50 barrels of oil. Over the last century, when the spread exceeded 25 barrels per ounce, it was interpreted as a moment of cheap oil relative to gold. Today, against the backdrop of the chaos reigning in the world, the GOLD/OIL Ratio is entering what can be called the " MAGA Mega Cheap Oil Zone" if it is again valued in gold, and not in fiat green piece of paper. Further, we should expect at least a return to its average values, and here three scenarios are possible: 1. First Scenario. Let's assume that today's price of $60-70 per barrel of oil is "fair" and this is where it belongs. In this case, gold is currently strongly overvalued, and it's time for a correction from $3300 to the $2500-2800 range. 2. Second Scenario. Everything is fine with gold, and it will continue to rise without correction. In this case, oil is severely undervalued relative to gold, and it's time for it to catch up so that the spread of 50 returns to its average values in the 10-25 range. 3. Third Scenario suggests that both oil is significantly undervalued and gold has risen too sharply, and now it's time for a correction in gold and a rise in oil prices. In any of the three scenarios described above, the GOLD/OIL Ratio will sooner or later return to its normal values of the last century, that is, to the range of 10-25 barrels per ounce of gold. And most likely, we will see the third scenario unfold this year, where against the backdrop of a stock market crash, problems with liquidity in the global financial system, the entry of Western economies into recession, as well as the start of a full-scale war in the Middle East this summer, all of this together will provoke a correction in gold and an explosive growth in oil prices, and consequently, a return of the gold to oil ratio to its historical averages. 2️⃣ On the second (red) linear chart of BRENT crude oil prices , everything looks quite ordinary. If we briefly describe the chart for the last twenty years in simple terms, it's worth saying the following: since 2008, they have been trying in every possible way to keep the oil price below $130 per barrel, and as soon as the price approaches the $120-150 zone, some "invisible hand of the market" throws it down. The first test of this resistance zone occurred during the GFC global financial crisis of 2008, the second test with prolonged trading took place during the Eurozone debt crisis of 2011-2014 (culminating in the Greek default), and the third test was in 2022, as a consequence of the monetary madness of 2020 (global lockdown, unlimited QE, and as a result: a wave of monetary + structural inflation worldwide). One way or another, from the fourth or fifth time, the $120-150 per barrel boundary will be finally broken. And then the price above, like a samurai, "has no destination, only the path," and this path is upwards, "to the moon"🚀 3️⃣ Now it remains to consider the last (blue) chart at the top, the ⚖️Dow Jones Industrial Average to Oil Price Ratio . This chart should be understood as a long-term trend indicator of cycle changes in financial markets. When it rises, it implies a 10 or even 20-year growth cycle in the stock market, and accordingly, corrections in the commodity market. And when it falls, then vice versa, the cycle changes to growth in the commodities market and a correction in the risky stock market, which also lasts one or even two decades. Today, it can be said with certainty that since 2020, the cyclicality has changed, and we are just entering a ten or even twenty-year growth trend in the commodity sector, which portends a change from the "eternally" growing trend in the American stock market to a fall or at least a multi-year sideways movement a la the 1970s. 🙏 Thank you for your attention and 🚀 for the idea. ☘️ Good luck, take care! 📟 See you later.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by T_A_R_A_S
Brent Crude Price ConsolidatesBrent Crude Price Consolidates When analysing the Brent crude oil price chart six days ago, we: → identified a downward channel marked in red; → noted that the median line was acting as resistance; → suggested the price could find support at the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by the psychological $60 per barrel level. As shown on the XBR/USD chart, since then: → the price has indeed rebounded from the lower boundary (as indicated by the arrow), rising from its lowest level in nearly four years; → the median line has reaffirmed its role as resistance (highlighted by the marker). Why Is Oil Consolidating? From a technical perspective, several indicators suggest the market is consolidating. Notably, both the ADX and ATR indicators are trending downwards, which may be interpreted as a weakening of price momentum and volatility. Additionally, Brent’s price currently hovers around the channel’s median line — a level where supply and demand often reach equilibrium. From a fundamental standpoint, it’s reasonable to assume that the current price has already factored in the latest developments surrounding the global trade war. However, another round of bold statements from the White House could still trigger a fresh move on the XBR/USD chart. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
Long Term Brent Outlook, $32 by 2026Weekly Brent has broken a clear barrier and formed a Bull Flag pattern, but the subsequent rally has been weak, not even reaching the breakout level. The global economy is showing signs of weakening, leading to a reduction in oil demand. Concurrently, Trump's move to lift US production restrictions is boosting oil supply. However, the slight depreciation of the dollar is providing upward pressure on oil prices. Given these factors, Brent remains relatively weak, and we may see a continued decline in line with Scenario 1, potentially targeting ML by 2026. Further downside is also likely. Given the current conditions, I consider shorting oil at any reasonable price on lower timeframes.
NYMEX:BZ1!Short
by mr.dmizer
1
Brent Crude Price Continues to FallBrent Crude Price Continues to Fall Today, the price of Brent crude has dropped below $60 per barrel, marking its lowest level since March 2021. As shown on the XBR/USD chart, from the start of 2025, the price saw a rise of around 2.6% at the end of March 2025. Why is oil falling? The key driver is the escalation of the trade war. Yesterday, the US President announced the imposition of additional tariffs on trade with China, bringing the total to 104%. The decline in Brent prices seems to reflect traders' concerns about the risks of a global recession. Oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026 Yesterday, analysts at Goldman Sachs released their oil price forecasts for Brent and WTI crude. They expect prices to reach $62 per barrel for Brent and $58 for WTI by December 2025. By December 2026, they anticipate a further decline to $55 and $51, respectively. However, analysts caveat that these forecasts are based on the assumption that the US will avoid a recession and that OPEC+ countries will increase their supplies. In the event of a global economic slowdown, Brent prices could drop to $40 by the end of 2026. Technical analysis of the XBR/USD chart today The sharp decline in Brent prices has resulted in a forceful breach of key lows from 2024 and 2025 around the $68.68 level. Additionally, the XBR/USD chart shows that the price continues to follow a downward channel (indicated in red), with the following levels acting as resistance (marked by arrows): → The upper boundary of the channel; → Its median (previously acting as support) – indicating the dominance of supply forces. It is possible that the lower boundary of the channel, strengthened by the psychological level of $60.00, will provide support, slowing the bearish progress of Brent prices. However, the key factor will undoubtedly be the news flow, with sharp statements from the White House. Traders are focusing on how China will react to the 104% tariffs announced by Donald Trump. As Reuters reports, the President stated yesterday, "We have many countries coming to us wanting to make deals," adding that he expects China to also seek an agreement. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
"SPOT BRENT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPOT BRENT CRUDE OIL" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (71.200) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 30mins timeframe (69.500) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 74.000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 🛢️ "SPOT BRENT CRUDE OIL" Energy Market Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Inventory and Storage Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict. Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Thief_Trader
2
Brent Crude Oil Price Rises Above $71Brent Crude Oil Price Rises Above $71 Brent crude oil is trading above $71 per barrel today, marking its highest level since late February. As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the price surged by approximately 2.6% on the last day of March. Why Has Oil Risen? Bullish sentiment in the market is driven by the US President’s stance on Russia and Iran. According to Trading Economics: ➝ Trump has vowed to impose tariffs of 25–50% on buyers of Russian oil if he believes Moscow is obstructing his efforts to end the war in Ukraine. This could put pressure on key importers such as India and China. ➝ He has also threatened Iran with further tariffs and airstrikes until the country agrees to abandon its nuclear weapons programme. The rise in Brent crude prices appears to reflect traders’ concerns over potential disruptions to global oil supply chains. Technical Analysis of XBR/USD In early March, oil formed a bullish Double Bottom pattern (see the lows on 5 and 11 March), followed by an upward trend within a rising channel (marked in blue). Notably, the XBR/USD chart shows that the price: ➝ Has moved into the upper half of the channel. ➝ Broke through key resistance at around $70.25, a level that previously acted as support multiple times (as indicated by the arrows). As a result, the median of the channel, reinforced by the $70.25 level, may now serve as support, keeping Brent crude within the blue channel. However, market direction will likely depend on the news cycle, particularly sharp statements from the White House. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
Brent Crude INTRADAY oversold bounce back The Brent Crude Oil price action remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downtrend. The recent move suggests an oversold bounce, but overall sentiment remains weak unless a significant breakout occurs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 74.25 (critical level), 74.90, 75.90 Support Levels: 71.70, 70.70, 69.13 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the 74.25 resistance level could confirm the bearish outlook, leading to further downside movement toward 71.70, with extended losses targeting 70.70 and 69.13 in the longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 74.25 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 74.90, followed by 75.90. Conclusion: The market sentiment remains bearish, with the 74.25 level acting as a key resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downside trend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favoring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this critical level for confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BRENT
by TradeNation