BTC-D
#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025
Bitcoin has approached the lower edge of its current channel and received a reaction from there. However, in the current timeframe, the ongoing candle seems willing to pull back again. The MA200 band held the previous candle well, which also represented the bottom of the current channel. There is high liquidity between the $113,200 and $121,000 zones. I believe Bitcoin will continue to move by sweeping through this region. Therefore, I think Bitcoin’s current target is to reach around the $118,000 level with a 3% push move.
If Bitcoin does not make this move and chooses to pull back instead, it may go as far as filling the imbalance at the $110,000 level. The last impulsive move was made around 20 days ago, and since then, the chart has been progressing with a correction of a correction. As long as there’s no close below $107,500, the uptrend will remain intact in the long term. However, if the $107,500 level is broken with a strong candle, we can say that Bitcoin has turned bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. For now, this doesn’t seem very likely. I believe Bitcoin’s next move will target the $118,000 region, continuing to clear out the liquidity accumulating in the upper ranges. However, this channel will need to break at some point.
BTC defies expectations –Absorbs 9 billion USD, aiming for 130K?BTCUSDT maintains its bullish momentum despite Galaxy Digital offloading 80,000 BTC (worth ~9 billion USD). Price only saw a slight dip before bouncing back quickly, signaling strong demand and a more mature market sentiment.
Citi analysts point to ETF inflows and retail participation as the primary drivers of BTC’s rally, even as investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision.
On the daily chart, BTC continues to trade within an ascending channel, with the 116,200 zone acting as a potential buy area on any pullback. The next target is set at 129,500 USDT, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary and technical resistance.
Suggested strategy: Look to buy near 116,200–117,000. Target 129,500. Stop-loss below 115,000.
BTC Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone HeldExhaustion Zone Update: 2025–208
📉 Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone Held
On Friday, BTC dipped to 114,700, printing a fresh Daily Swing Low — a classic liquidity grab. The bulls stormed in for reinforcements, pushed price back up late in the day…
but once again, the Exhaustion Zone stood its ground.
BTC closed lower than Thursday, and since then? Pure chop.
Feels like both bulls and bears took the weekend off to watch Netflix.
—
🔻 The Downward Trendline Still Rules
Today, it’s simple: Bulls must close above 118,477.
That’s the trendline test — hesitation here, and the bears come clawing.
Usually I’d say, "give the bulls until Monday"...
but this year has shown us one thing:
🐋 The Whales Hunt on Sundays.
If the bulls don’t step up today, we might learn the hard way why it’s called the Exhaustion Zone.
—
📉 The Risk if Bulls Fail
BTC already gathered all the bulls it could down at the Daily Swing Low — and they’re tired.
If they can’t break out, the High-Powered Short Zone (dashed red lines) will take over.
The bears? Heavy. Angry. Overdue for a window jump.
🎯 Next floors down:
• May ATH → 111,965
• January ATH → 109,354
That’s the Take Profit$ Zone 👇
And honestly? I’m letting a small short position ride in case the evil whales take us all the way to the 50% level (98,811).
—
📌 The Alpha View
To the bulls: It’s showtime.
Either close above 118,477 today…
or the All-Time High Parade might just reroute — straight down the fire escape. 🐻🔥
BTC USD 180K BIG HOW?Trends and price targets is how, but realistically, it looks like 134k in the short term.
Drop is wicked if it were to occur, takes price to literally 12k, which you want to go all in if that occurs.
55k is another drop zone.
Otherwise, it looks fairly bullish.
buy zone marked in green,
sell in red.
watch the trends
and price targets are pretty accurate usually.
good luck!!
Custom charts by request.
BTC/USD 4h chart🔸 Formation: Triangle descending (descending)
• Upper trend line (orange) - inheritance, connects lower and lower peaks.
• Lower support line (red) - approx. 116,700 USD - key support, tested many times.
🔻 Support
USD 116,700
Tested several times, currently threatened
🔻 Another support
USD 114,669
Target level when struck with a triangle
🔼 Resistance
USD 118,321
The nearest resistance - the former level of support
🔼 Resistance
USD 119,931
Local peak
🔼 Strong resistance
USD 121,107
Upper level of structure
📉 STOCHASTIC RSI (lower indicator)
• Line cutting and a decrease in the purchase area (> 80) towards the center.
• No extreme sales signal, but the trend begins to be negative.
⸻
📌 Applications and possible scenarios:
🔻 Bearish script (more technically likely):
• If BTC breaks below USD 116,700 with a 4H candle closure, possible:
• a decrease around USD 114,669 (lower limit of the triangle)
• Even lower - around 113,500-112,000 USD with an increased volume
🔼 Bullly script (less likely but possible):
• needed quick breaking above USD 118,300 and maintaining above this level
• Then the goal will be USD 119,931, and then possible traffic up to USD 121.107
⸻
📍 Summary:
• We see classic triangle descending-pro-draft formation.
• Support 116,700 USD very close to breaking - if it falls, down movement can be dynamic.
• Stochastic RSI coincides with the deterioration of the moment.
• The inheritance scenario seems dominant, unless there is a strong demand and over 118,300 USD.
ADA Setup – Eyeing Entry After 70%+ RallyCardano (ADA) has surged over 70% in recent weeks. A healthy pullback is underway, and we’re watching the key support zone for a potential long entry targeting the next leg higher.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.65 – $0.67
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.98 – $1.15
o 🥈 $1.50 – $1.60
• Stop Loss: Just below $0.62
BONK Setup – Watching for Retracement After 200%+ RallyBONK has surged over 200% in recent weeks. We're now eyeing a retracement to a key support zone that could offer a prime entry for the next leg higher.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.00002240 – $0.00002500
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.00004050 – $0.00004800
o 🥈 $0.00005500 – $0.00006500
• Stop Loss: Just below $0.00002000
Bitcoin held the $115k level ┆ HolderStatBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently in a triangle formation just above key support near 112,000. The price recently dipped below short-term support, likely triggering stop-losses, but still holds inside a bullish structure. If momentum builds, a push toward 125,000+ is likely. The trend remains intact above 110,000.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #140👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, the interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve was announced, and once again, just like the past few months, it remained unchanged. Let’s see what impact it had on Bitcoin.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, after the announcement of the unchanged interest rate and Powell’s speech, Bitcoin printed a red candle on the support zone and even wicked lower, but then recovered and the price returned back into the box.
✔️ Basically, we can say that this month’s rate decision had no real impact on the market, and Bitcoin is still moving inside its range box. The fact that the support zone wasn’t lost is a positive sign for the continuation of the trend.
⭐ But the important point is this: if the uptrend is going to continue, the price must print a higher high or at least a level equal to 120041, and in my opinion, if for any reason a lower high gets printed, the chances of breaking below 116829 significantly increase.
📊 I currently have no new position on Bitcoin, and all my entries are below 110000. But if 120041 breaks, I’ll open a long position for the next bullish wave that Bitcoin might start.
💥 A major trigger for starting a new leg is the 61.67 level on the RSI. As long as RSI remains below this level, there’s no bullish momentum in the market — and considering that the number of touches to 116829 has increased, the probability of a correction is also rising.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin & The Altcoins —Name Your AltcoinBitcoin is sideways right now and is moving in a very tight and narrow range. All the action has been happening between $117,000 and $120,000 based on candle close since 11-July. This is bullish, think about it.
Bitcoin hits a new all-time high and next thing you know it turns sideways very close to resistance. The only drop was short-lived and everything sold was quickly bought. Why is Bitcoin consolidating so close to resistance? It is preparing to move ahead.
What happens when Bitcoin moves forward after so much recovery? Everything experiences a positive cycle. This is a very strong signal.
This chart allows for more whipsaw as you know nothing else is possible in a trading range. We predict the pattern to resolve bullish, but there can be swings to either side. A swing down just as it happened 25-July. A swing up just as it happened 14-July. This is always possible but the end result won't change. Bitcoin will continue sideways but when the sideways period is over, you will not see a move toward $110,000 or $100,000. The break of the trading range will confirm the advance toward $135,000 next month. Bitcoin is likely to continue in the same mode. While Bitcoin consolidates the new advance, the altcoins grow. In this way the entire market continues to recover and grow month after month after month.
Name Your Altcoin
Leave a comment with your favorite altcoin trading pair and I will do an analysis for you. I will reply in the comments section. Make sure to include any questions you might have beforehand.
If you see a comment with a pair you like, boost and reply so these can be done first.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Chart Patterns - How to read them like a ProChart patterns are visual formations on price charts that help traders anticipate potential market movements.
These patterns fall into three main categories: bullish , bearish , and indecisive .
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1. Bullish Chart Patterns
Bullish patterns often signal that price is likely to move upward.
1.1 Bull Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp upward move followed by a small downward-sloping rectangle (the flag).
* Meaning: After a strong rally, the price consolidates briefly before continuing higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the flag typically signals a continuation of the trend.
1.2 Pennant (Bullish)
* What it looks like: A strong upward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bull flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: Once price breaks above the pennant, the uptrend often resumes.
1.3 Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: A “U”-shaped curve (the cup) followed by a small downward drift (the handle).
* Meaning: This pattern suggests a period of accumulation before price breaks higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the handle signals the beginning of a new bullish leg.
1.4 Inverse Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three low points, with the middle low being the deepest.
* Meaning: This reversal pattern appears after a downtrend and signals a potential change to an uptrend.
* Key insight: A breakout above the “neckline” confirms the reversal.
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2. Indecisive Chart Patterns
These patterns show market hesitation, where neither bulls nor bears are clearly in control.
2.1 Consolidation Channel
* What it looks like: Price moves within a horizontal channel.
* Meaning: Market is moving sideways with no strong trend.
* Key insight: A breakout in either direction often leads to a significant move.
2.2 Symmetrical Triangle
* What it looks like: Two converging trend lines forming a triangle.
* Meaning: This is a neutral pattern that can break out in either direction.
* Key insight: Traders wait for a breakout before taking a position.
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3. Bearish Chart Patterns
Bearish patterns signal a high probability of downward price movement.
3.1 Bear Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp decline followed by a small upward-sloping rectangle.
* Meaning: After a strong drop, price consolidates before continuing lower.
* Key insight: A breakout below the flag suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
3.2 Pennant (Bearish)
* What it looks like: A sharp downward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bear flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: A breakout downward typically resumes the bearish trend.
3.3 Inverse Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: An upside-down cup with a small upward drift forming the handle.
* Meaning: Indicates weakness after an uptrend, often followed by a drop.
* Key insight: A break below the handle usually signals a strong bearish move.
3.4 Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three peaks, with the middle one being the highest.
* Meaning: A classic reversal pattern that indicates a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
* Key insight: A break below the “neckline” confirms the bearish reversal.
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How to Use These Patterns
* Combine pattern recognition with support/resistance, volume, and indicators for stronger confirmation.
* Always wait for breakouts and avoid acting too early.
* Manage risk with stop-loss orders.
Bitcoin BTC price analysis by the end of 2025🕯 July is coming to an end, with 3 weeks of OKX:BTCUSDT consolidation between $117k–121k.
Tomorrow begins the last month of summer — and it promises to be "hot" as, according to our earlier published calendar Trump's administration plans to send letters with new, increased tariffs to "all countries" on 01.08.
💰 Also, take a look at Bitcoin Monthly Returns. In our view, 2025 resembles 2020 the most.
What do you think?
👉 According to this dynamic, the real "hot" may come not in summer, but late autumn.
💰 We've also tried to find a price fractal for #BTCUSD that fits the current structure — and for now, it looks plausible:
◆ In the coming days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC should not rise above $121k.
◆ A low of correction might hit mid-September around $93k.
◆ A cycle top for #BTC could arrive to the end of 2025, near $147k.
📄 Now that you've seen our version — share your forecasts on future #BTCUSDC price action in the comments 👇
Keep following to the H&S PatternMorning folks,
To be honest, not too many things to talk about. We've prepared our scenario with H&S is still valid. Reaction to GDP numbers was quite welcome as it set the right arm's bottom. The only thing that we have to be busy with is to control its validity - reaching of the neckline and price standing above 116 lows and right arm.
At the first signs that market is start falling back - do not take any new longs. H&S failure is also the pattern and in this case we get deeper correction. But daily chart still makes me think that bullish context is here
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance...
XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support...
Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352
Support levels: 3.05, 3.00
I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart...
Best regards, R. Linda!
#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025#BTC Update #12 – July 31, 2025
Bitcoin is currently at the upper boundary of the channel it has been following. It may experience a pullback from this upper boundary. This pullback is estimated to reach the $116,800 level. If it wants to go lower, it could drop as far as the $114,500 level.
There is a significant amount of liquidity between $121,000 and $117,000. Bitcoin may also try to sweep this area. However, despite 4 or 5 attempts, it still hasn’t managed to break above the upper resistance zone. Therefore, a pullback should always be taken into account.
Overall, Bitcoin is still in a correction within a correction. That means no impulsive move has occurred yet. It’s not at a suitable point for either long or short positions. You may choose to trade within this range, but keep in mind that it's quite risky.
BTCUSD – Descending Channel or Bullish Flag?BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Market Maker’s Game Inside a Descending Channel
Timeframe: 2H | MJTrading View
Market Structure Overview:
Bitcoin recently printed a new ATH at $122,000 after a parabolic run from the previous ATH at $111,937.
Since then, price has been consolidating inside a descending channel, which could act as a bullish flag in higher timeframes.
Liquidity pools are clearly formed:
Above $122K – resting stops of late shorts.
Below $115K–$114K – weak long stops and untapped demand near the Order Block (OB).
Key Levels & Liquidity Zones:
Upside:
$122K Liquidity Pool → If swept, could trigger momentum towards $124K–$125K.
Downside:
$116K OB → First defensive zone for bulls.
$112K Strong Support → Aligns with previous ATH breakout base.
Market Maker’s Dilemma:
If you were a market maker… which liquidity pool would you hunt first?
Price is coiling tighter within the channel, and both scenarios are possible:
Upside Sweep → Rapid breakout above $122K to clear shorts, then potential continuation.
Downside Sweep → Sharp drop into $116K–$112K liquidity, flushing longs before any recovery.
⚡ MJTrading Insight:
This is the classic market maker compression – first sweep likely determines direction.
Patience here is key; let the liquidity tell the story.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #Liquidity #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MJTrading #ChartDesigner #CryptoAnalysis
Psychology Always Matters:
Dash RocketDash has been in a bearish trend for some time now, but it has stood the test of time being one of the OG coins of the market with this double bottom within this descending channel on the daily and a retest of demand I believe this coin will see $50 soon.
It’s master node runners and minors have kept the chain going, and we should be breaking its bearishness very soon.
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th
Hello, fellow traders!
Follow us for quick updates.
Have a great day!
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(BTCUSDT 1M Chart)
Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins.
There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year.
For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below.
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My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36).
If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again.
Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins.
Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86.
More details will likely be available once the movement begins.
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The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms.
Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance.
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Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not.
This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone.
Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line.
Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line.
We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line.
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(1D chart)
If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility.
By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th.
Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th.
The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range.
This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support.
This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56.
If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64.
Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point.
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The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend.
If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet.
Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator.
The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator.
The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend.
In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend.
Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend.
However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse.
In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response.
In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level.
As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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BTCUSDT | Bitcoin needs liquidity to be able to go up more🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔽 Sell | Short 🔽
⌛️ TimeFrame: 1H
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🛡 Risk Management:
🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000
🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1%
🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $1204.82
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☄️ En1: 118829.28 (Amount: $120.48)
☄️ En2: 119162.54 (Amount: $421.69)
☄️ En3: 119400.34 (Amount: $542.17)
☄️ En4: 119638.61 (Amount: $120.48)
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☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 119283.83 ($1204.82)
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☑️ TP1: 118025.43 (+1.05%) (RR:1.27)
☑️ TP2: 117427.5 (+1.56%) (RR:1.88)
☑️ TP3: 116671.89 (+2.19%) (RR:2.64)
☑️ TP4: 115717.73 (+2.99%) (RR:3.6)
☑️ TP5: 114673.35 (+3.87%) (RR:4.66)
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❌ SL: 120276.34 (-0.83%) (-$10)
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💯 Maximum.Lev: 66X
⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
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