$DXY Dollar stays weak but is it bottommed?Have not many ANY trades based on the US Dollar. Have not been convinced in either way, yet.
TVC:DXY has been weaker lately but not by much. Well, at least compared to its previous low.
However, LONGER TERM we see it's biz as usual.
It is currently fairly oversold on the weekly chart & could be primed to change direction.
BTC-D
BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year.
As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards!
In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext).
Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below.
There will be some fluctuations along the way.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult.
The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react.
To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone.
Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Will Continue Rising —Long-Term Chart —$200,000+ New ATHIn November 2021, the week after the all-time high was a crash. The weeks that followed were a continuation and the market went full red and didn't stop dropping until November 2022, a year later.
In May 2025, the week after the all-time high is neutral, sideways. Four weeks later and Bitcoin continues sideways consolidating near resistance, ready to break to new highs and continue rising.
Market conditions now are very, very different compared to 2021. Right now, we are only halfway through the current bull market, for Bitcoin, and we have room left available for plenty of growth.
In a matter of days, maybe 5-6 days, we get a new all-time high and this means not the end of the bull market but the start of the next and final bullish wave.
These targets on the chart are the most accurate of all numbers because they are based on almost 5 years of data.
Next target and minimum price for Bitcoin in the coming months is $155,601 but we know there is likely to be more, much more. With the institutional wave now in full force, banks opening to crypto because they have no other choice and the world evolving faster than anything we thought possible, we are aiming for $200,000 or more.
The next relevant level after $155,600 is $209,125. Which one is your target for this new 2025 all-time high?
Do you think Bitcoin will peak in late 2025 or early 2026?
Do you think you will manage to be successful in this round or are you bound to make the same mistakes? Over-trading, over-leverage, no being patient enough; not waiting for the right time to enter and not selling when the market is trading very high, greed; What will it be?
Do you think you have what it takes to succeed? You do!
Even if you made mistakes in the past or even if you are already doing good, you have what it takes.
If you are doing bad, this experience can be used to improve your game. If you are doing great, great, let's do better. There is never enough growth; we are happy, we are grateful but we accept abundance because we receive abundance thanks to hard work.
It is still very early but the market is starting to heat up. Once the bullish action starts, there is nothing that can stop us. The world will change for us. We will adapt to all market and geopolitical conditions, we will continue to improve and evolve.
The best one is not the one that makes no mistakes but the one that can extract learning from all experiences. Success is not being right all the time, success is never giving up.
Will you give up? Or, will you continue to trade long-term?
» Bitcoin is going up!
Namaste.
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high...
After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth.
Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400
Support levels: 102500, 100600
On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200
Best regards, R. Linda!
That wasn’t a breakout. That was the stop runBTC swept the high into 107,991 — precision tap of the premium fib. Now the delivery shifts. Price has already done its job: take liquidity, trigger late longs, and set up the real move.
Here’s the execution breakdown:
Price tagged the 0 level of the fib extension — 107,991 — and rejected
A clean 4H FVG sits just below around 106,195.9 (0.5), aligned with 0.382 and 0.618 fib levels (106,619.8 to 105,772.1)
This is the re-entry zone for Smart Money — not the top chasers
Expectations from here:
→ Rebalance into the 106.6–105.7k region
→ If that zone holds and price shifts structure bullish again, we retest 107.1 → 107.9 → break higher
→ If we lose 105.7 cleanly, I’m watching 104,399.9 — the deeper inefficiency magnet
This isn’t about confirmation. It’s about preparation.
More trades like this — clean, controlled, conviction-based — live in the profile description.
Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty:
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders.
Bullish Technical Setup:
The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $112,500
Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact
Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000
Outlook:
This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
Bitcoin, Good News & Good News —Bullish Confirmed (Retrace Over)First, the good news is that we have a higher low and a strong recovery in place. The current candle has a long lower wick and is already trading green, at the top of the session.
The second good news is how far down the retrace went. Last time Bitcoin bottomed around $100,300, this time the bottom happened at $102,660. This is an early signal of course because the week is not yet over. It can happen that prices move higher today and tomorrow they move back down, crash on Sunday and we get a bearish close. But, looking at short-term price action and other altcoins, also the volume—notice the volume—we can say that the retrace is over and we are set to experience immediately additional growth.
The volume is the most revealing signal right now.
The drop had no volume compared to today. Today's session has more volume than the last three red-days combined.
Another signal to consider is the amount of over-leveraged gamblers that were liquidated, a total of 1 billion dollars. When this much greed is removed from the market, there is no need for lower prices.
I will call it early, the retrace is over. Time to go bullish again.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I will show you several more altcoins that are also looking ready to grow.
Namaste.
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
-
If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
-
DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
-
By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout.
Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating.
The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction.
Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍
Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts.
NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈
The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets.
Summary & Outlook 🚦
BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart.
Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained.
The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Reach Previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the specified supply range. If this range is broken, the path to the rise and a new ATH for Bitcoin will be presented.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market is required, more than we would like. If the downtrend continues, I can buy in the desired range.
Bitcoin is now approaching its all-time high, yet unlike previous bullish cycles, we have not seen widespread profit-taking so far. The market’s whales currently seem uninterested in large-scale selling at these levels and appear to be waiting for higher price targets.
Since the start of January 2024, cumulative inflows of over $60 billion have poured into crypto-related investment products in the U.S., including ETPs and ETFs. In addition, retail investor futures trading volumes have recently surpassed their one-year average. Indicators of retail activity suggest that a significant number of smaller investors have become active in the futures markets.
The total assets under management by crypto investment funds surged to an unprecedented $167 billion in May. This impressive growth was fueled by net inflows of more than $7 billion into these funds. Meanwhile, global equity funds recorded $5.9 billion in outflows, and gold funds, for the first time in 15 months, also saw capital leaving.
The year 2025 could turn out to be the most dangerous year yet for cryptocurrency holders. Already, more than 25 incidents involving physical attacks on crypto owners have been reported, and the year isn’t even over. These attacks have targeted individuals whose digital asset information or identities were compromised, leading to thefts, kidnappings, physical threats, or assaults.
On another front, the total value of circulating stablecoins has surpassed $250 billion, more than doubling from its mid-2023 low of $123 billion. USDT remains the market leader with a 62% share, followed by USDC at 24%, while other stablecoins such as USDe, DAI, and BUIDL are also expanding their presence.
It is worth noting that average spot trading volumes on centralized exchanges have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2020.This kind of pattern typically precedes a significant price move—whether that’s a sharp rally or a deep correction. It’s also possible that this phase of uncertainty could persist for several more weeks.
BITCOIN Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) formation, having consolidated for almost a month since the May 22 All Time High (ATH). What makes the bullish potential even stronger is that it is rising after making a Double Bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 10 2024.
Given that the long-term pattern is a Channel Up and the 1D MA50 is acting as its natural support trend-line, the Cup and Handle can provide a short-term Target on its 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $122000. On the long-term the Channel Up still has the potential to lead it much higher.
So do you think that 122k is achievable after this Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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107.6-107.8 and 109-110KMorning folks,
So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two.
Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action last week, it seems as very optimistic. That's why, more or less base case seems around 109-110K, while the easiest target is 107.6-107.8K.
So, once the first target will be reached - think about partial profit booking, if you want to continue trading. Say, take off 30-40% and move stops to the breakeven on the rest.
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
BitcoinEntry Point:
Entry Level: 106,300 USDT
Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Stop Level: 104,250 USDT
Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance)
TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target)
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong.
Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101,082.81
1st Support: 94,030.59
1st Resistance: 110,969.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Short-Term, 1H Timeframe, Bullish ($115,482 Next Target)Bitcoin completed its retrace 13-June 01:00 AM with a higher low at $102,663. Price action and trading volume indicates that the bearish move is over. Bitcoin is trading above support in the form of 0.618 Fib. retracement.
Bitcoin is turning bullish moving above EMA34, EMA21, EMA13 and EMA8 all in this current active session.
Immediate support stands between $105,293 and $105,314.
Next support is $104,533 and main support $104,282 matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement level.
Next target easy hit is $106,625, followed by $107,559. The second being a mild resistance.
Bitcoin can easily continue higher short-term aiming next at $108,989 followed by the last high at $110,586. Depending on how this level is handle we can update the short-term view.
The 1H timeframe is bullish now based on price action, candlestick patterns, higher lows, moving averages and the oscillators.
Namaste.
Bitcoin 100K Support Intact, The Bulls Win!Lately we've seen many cries about volume. Where is the volume? There is no volume! Etc. I tend to agree. My excuse in favor of a bullish Bitcoin was to say that low volume as prices moved higher worked as a continuation signal, things change.
We are now looking at BTCUSDT on the Daily timeframe and what I can notice is trading volume being relatively high. The days with high bull (green-buy) volume, are sometimes two to three times higher than the days with bearish (red) volume. This signal seals the deals. The bulls win.
This is a chart drawing that I used in the past. We have the low 7-April low and a higher low 5-June. Very strong bullish action for two months straight; very little retrace, weak bearish action for several weeks, the bulls win again.
The consolidation zone, the accumulation range, is defined here with blue and green, we know the price to be $100,000 and $110,000, Bitcoin trades at the exact middle, above $105,000. Giving the bulls another win.
Yesterday the action produced a higher low compared to 5-June. Even with very bad geopolitical conditions, a surprise war, Bitcoin remains strong. If not even war can break 100K as support, this simply means that Bitcoin isn't going any lower, Bitcoin is going up.
The most revealing part is the fact that Bitcoin didn't even reach 100K. Not in 5-June, not yesterday. 5-June the low was hit at 100,386. Yesterday, the low was 102,656.
There is lots of demand, supply is limited.
People are buying the dip. Whales are buying, institutions are buying; the world wants Bitcoin. Price action says Bitcoin is going up.
We can extract supporting signals from the Altcoins, Ethereum, XRP and Dogecoin are good examples, all the big projects are strong now when we consider the fact they are trading above MA200 daily and weekly, and this confirms a bullish bias with long-term growth.
$150,000 is not the top, Bitcoin is likely to go higher by the end of the next bullish wave. We can consider prices such as $180,000 and $200,000. This is because nobody is selling. Since people are not willing to sell, prices are sure to increase. Many altcoins are now extremely bullish, small and big.
All market conditions are fully aligned, it is only a matter of time.
Patience is key. Prices will rise.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Consolidation: Easy, Walk Away.Bitcoin consolidation in progress. The easiest thing to do in these situations is avoid taking any trades until a new trend is established. Even smaller time frames will be harder to trade unless you are employing mean reversion strategies. At some point the market will choose which way it wants to go but trying to guess in advance is a coin flip. The broader trend is bullish but the 110K and 113K area is a tough resistance. If price struggles to break this area over the next few weeks, then a broader retrace may be more likely.
In this situation it pays to wait for specific levels to take any action at all. What type of action you take will depend on your risk tolerance and time frame. In my opinion, the higher probability scenarios will be a test of the 102K area supports, followed by reversal patterns. Even if they don't follow through to new highs, at least there will be some attempt to maintain the support since Bitcoin is still generally strong.
IF Bitcoin breaks the support (anything is possible) that will confirm the broader corrective scenario which can see price testing 95K at minimum. There is no way to know the certainty of this scenario, it is all about how price action unfolds and confirms.
This time of year is typical of lower volume, lower momentum and less follow through. Often it is better to just sit it out and wait until the season shows clear signs of improvement. Seasonal volume does not typically get back to consistently high momentum levels until November. This does not mean there will be no opportunities at all, it just means if there is going to be a time to purposely be more selective, the next couple of months would be that time.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.