Bitcoin's Consolidation Almost Over —200-220 DaysBitcoin's consolidation period before a bullish breakout tends to last some 200-220 days on average. We have four instances of this pattern since the 2022 bear market counting 2025. Let's look at those. This proves that Bitcoin is set to grow in a matter of days. Continue reading below and make sure to boost. When you reach the end of the article leave a comment with your opinion about this issue. Do you agree? Do you disagree? Can you see what I mean?
» Back in 2022 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2023 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2024, last year, Bitcoin consolidated for 217 days before a bullish breakout.
It really depends on where you start counting for the total days but it all adds up to 200-220 days. With 220 being the maximum.
» Currently, in 2025, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 210 days. Looking at previous patterns, this means that only a few days are left before Bitcoin produces a bullish continuation.
We also saw that once Bitcoin breaks out of a this long-term consolidation range/period/phase, it never moves back to the lows of the consolidation range. That is, Bitcoin will never trade below 80K nor 90K once it resumes growing.
I am estimating that the next jump can start as early as next week. The entire move can take months to develop. After a peak is reached, Bitcoin will then start a new consolidation phase with a bearish bias first. This bearish bias produces a low after several months yet a strong higher low compared to the previous consolidation period which is current prices. After this low, more consolidation and then a new bullish jump.
If we take into consideration a bear market, then the dynamics can be different. Bear markets only happen once every four years. Seeing how different market conditions are now, the next bear market will be interesting because it won't be anything like the bear markets of the past. Bitcoin will remain much stronger but that is an analysis for another time.
Summary
Bitcoin is going up. It is very close now. When Bitcoin breaks up and hits a new all-time high, just to continue growing, the altcoins market will explode. You've been warned.
Now you can leave your comment.
Share your opinion on the comments section below. I know you have something to say. You've been trading Cryptocurrencies for years, buying and selling, making profits so... Are you ready for the 2025 bull market?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Btc-e
BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutBitcoin is holding firmly above the ascending trendline, consolidating within the accumulation range of $98,000 to $117,000. The current structure suggests that buyers remain in control, especially after a strong rebound from the $98,450 support zone.
In terms of news, BTC has been slightly affected by market concerns over new U.S. tariffs. However, on-chain data still shows strong accumulation around the $108,000 level. If this base holds, BTCUSDT could break out toward the $117,424 target in the near term. Conversely, if the trendline fails, the $98,000 level will be the final stronghold for the bulls.
₿itcoin: ATHBitcoin recently marked a new all time high. Our primary expectation is for an even bigger breakout to the upside, allowing green wave B to reach its peak within the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. After this corrective high, we anticipate a sharp sell-off during green wave C, which should drive Bitcoin down into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323—where we also expect the low of the larger orange wave a. This move should, for now, signal the start of another corrective rally along orange wave b, with a retest of the freshly marked all-time high well within reach. Once this countertrend move concludes, another significant decline should follow as orange wave c develops, targeting the low of the higher-level blue wave (ii). Alternatively, there remains a 30% chance that the preceding wave alt.(i) is still in progress, which could result in a direct breakout above resistance at $130,891.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTC makes new all time highs!Crypto has been soaring today.
Ethereum and BTC pumping liquidity!
Fed minutes came out today around 2pm, indicating rate cuts at next meeting and throughout the rest of the year and crypto absolutely loved that.
Crypto thrives in a cheap liquidity environment, rallying in potential rate cuts.
We took profits on IBIT calls - still holding longs in the BTC market expecting higher price.
Bitcoin - Liquidity grab at $111.000?This 4-hour BTCUSD chart illustrates a potential short-term bullish continuation scenario followed by a deeper retracement, highlighting key liquidity levels and an important Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone.
Liquidity sweep
At the top of the current price action, just above the $110,612.16 level, there is a clear area of resting liquidity. This zone has likely accumulated a significant number of stop-loss orders from traders who are shorting the market or who went long earlier and are protecting profits below previous highs. The market tends to seek liquidity to fill institutional orders, making this zone a high-probability target for a sweep. As a result, price is likely to take out these resting stop orders in a quick upward move, often referred to as a "liquidity grab" or "stop hunt", before potentially reversing or consolidating.
Bullish 4H FVG
Following this liquidity sweep, the chart suggests a retracement into a bullish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located around the $106,600 to $107,400 region. This imbalance zone was formed during an impulsive move up, leaving behind a gap between the wicks of consecutive candles. Such gaps represent areas where demand previously overwhelmed supply, and they often act as strong support on a retest. If price revisits this zone, it is expected to offer support and could serve as a base for another upward push, assuming bullish momentum remains intact.
Downside risk
However, if the bullish FVG fails to hold as support and price breaks down through this imbalance zone, it would signal a weakening of bullish structure. In that case, the breakdown would likely lead to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, with price seeking lower levels of support further down the chart. This would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario and suggest that sellers are gaining control, possibly triggering further liquidations and more aggressive selling pressure.
Conclusion
Overall, the chart is currently leaning bullish, anticipating a liquidity sweep to the upside followed by a potential pullback into the FVG. The reaction at the FVG will be critical in determining whether the market can continue higher or if it shifts into a deeper bearish correction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
If we were to publish an update for Bitcoin, wave D could move toward higher levels.
After hitting the green zone and gaining momentum, it could once again move upward to liquidate short positions.
In this update, we've naturally raised and revised the invalidation level.
The new targets have been marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BITCOIN → Market manipulation. Chance for growth to 110KBINANCE:BTCUSDT , as part of a correction triggered by negative news from the US regarding tariffs, is testing liquidity in the support zone. There is a chance of recovery to 110K.
Bitcoin is reacting with a decline to fundamentally negative data on tariffs from Trump. Technically, the price is facing support and forming a false breakdown, the purpose of which was to capture liquidity. This could lead to a recovery within consolidation in an uptrend, but again, there are conditions...
Countries that have received notification of tariffs are responding positively to cooperation (if this trend continues, Bitcoin could receive a local bullish driver).
The market perceives this as positive, and after liquidity is captured, the price could recover to the resistance of the trading range.
Resistance levels: 108230, 109690
Support levels: 107500, 106500
Bulls are trying to hold the local interim bottom at 107500. There is a reaction to the false breakdown of support. The focus is on 108230; if the market can break through this level, we will have a chance to grow to 110K.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC Bulls, this one is for you ;)As most of you know, I’ve been bullish on Bitcoin for quite a while now. And today, I want to show you exactly which resistance levels I’m watching if the breakout continues.
On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, I’ve marked out five key upside targets, all based on Fibonacci extension levels — not just random lines, but technical zones that often attract serious reaction from the market.
Let’s break them down:
🔸 Target 1 — $124K
This lines up with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension and also happens to match the projected move of a textbook Cup & Handle pattern. It’s the first big checkpoint.
🔸 Target 2 — $137K
Here we’ve got the 227.2% Fib level — a classic continuation zone if momentum remains strong.
🔸 Target 3 — $145K
Next up is the 241.4% extension, where we could see some heavier resistance and price interaction.
🔸 Target 4 — $155K
One of the strongest zones on the map. Why? Because it merges four separate Fibonacci extensions in one cluster. A real decision point.
🔸 Target 5 — $167K
And the final target (for now) — the 261.8% extension. If BTC gets here, it’ll be a major event.
🎯 My View:
This isn’t hopium. These levels are based on market structure, Fibonacci math, and historical behavior. As always, I’ll adjust based on price action, but these are the areas I’m preparing for.
BITCOIN: BULL TRAP???! (Be careful if you are long)Yello! I am breaking down Bitcoin, and sharing with you the Elliot Wave descending Leading diagonal formation, Rising wedge aka contracting triangle where E wave might be forming a corrective mode wave triangle itself and, after that’s formed we might start crashing if we will get the confirmations we are waiting for, and which some of them I shared with you in this video. Enjoy Paradisers!
There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout.🚨 Bitcoin Technical Update – Key Levels Ahead! 🚨
Bitcoin is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic setup that often signals a strong move ahead. At the moment, the market is leaning toward the upside, showing early signs of bullish momentum.
📈 If we see a breakout to the upside, it's crucial to wait for a retest of the breakout level. A successful retest could confirm the move, setting the stage for a strong upward rally. However, if the breakout fails, don’t rush in — just observe the price action closely to see how the market reacts.
⚖️ There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout, as liquidity is still building above, and there are strong support levels holding below. This combination could act as a springboard for price to move higher.
🔍 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
BITCOIN turning the Bull Flag into Support??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading sideways, almost flat, since the July 03 High, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Perhaps the strongest development of the week though is the fact that this consolidation has been taking place at the top (Lower Highs) of what we previously identified as a Bull Flag pattern.
Together with the 1D MA50, this Lower Highs trend-line forms a formidable Support, which as long as it holds, can technically fulfil the technical expectations out of this pattern and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $168500.
Is this one step closer to our 'fair valued' $150k Target for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
What is the key that makes you start trading?
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Therefore, they are determined by Heikin-Ashi's Open, Close, and RSI values.
If the RSI indicator value is above 70 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-High indicator is generated.
If the RSI indicator value is below 30 when the candle starts to rise and then falls on the Heikin-Ashi chart, the HA-Low indicator is generated.
Therefore, rather than judging the rise and fall with your eyes, you can judge the rise and fall transitions with more specific criteria.
If you look at a regular chart, you can see that there are many rise and fall transition points, unlike the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The Heikin-Ashi chart has the effect of reducing fakes.
Therefore, it has a higher reliability than judging with a regular chart.
The biggest disadvantage of the Heikin-Ashi chart is that it is difficult to know the exact values of the Open and Close values.
Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used to accurately and quickly identify the Open and Close values by indicating the rising and falling transition points of the Heikin-Ashi chart on a general chart.
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The Heikin-Ashi chart uses the median.
Therefore, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the low range, and the HA-High indicator corresponds to the median when it leaves the high range.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated and then receives support, there is a high possibility that an upward trend will begin, and if the HA-High indicator is generated and then receives resistance, there is a high possibility that a downward trend will begin.
Therefore, the HA-Low, HA-High indicators are used in basic trading strategies.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, and if the HA-High indicator supports and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise rise.
Therefore, to compensate for this, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators were used.
The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM indicators.
When these indicators are above 60 or below -60, the DOM (60) and DOM (-60) indicators are created.
In other words, the DOM (60) indicator corresponds to the overbought range and indicates the end of the high point.
The DOM (-60) indicator corresponds to the oversold range and indicates the end of the low point.
Therefore, when the HA-Low indicator resists and falls, the actual stepwise decline is likely to start when it falls below DOM (-60).
On the other hand, when the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, the actual step-up trend is likely to start by rising above DOM (60).
This compensates for the shortcomings of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
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There is no way to be 100% sure in all transactions.
Therefore, if the motivation to start a transaction is clear, it is only worth challenging the transaction.
Finding that motivation and deciding how to start a transaction that suits your investment style is the trading strategy and the core of trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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BTCUSDT – Ready to Launch from Accumulation Zone?BTCUSDT is consolidating around the $101,000 FVG zone – a previously strong launchpad. Price structure remains bullish, forming higher lows and showing a healthy throwback pattern.
If the $101,448 level holds, the next target could be $116,000 – a potential 14% rally in two weeks.
Fundamentals support the upside: expectations of Fed rate cuts and renewed ETF inflows are fueling fresh momentum for Bitcoin.
Still, watch for price action confirmation – and always manage your risk!
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th
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This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th.
The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6.
It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart.
For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators.
Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed.
What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point.
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It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction.
Conditions for continuing the uptrend include:
1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend,
2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line,
3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend,
If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
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If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important.
If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21.
If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline.
The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section.
Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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DOGE Long Swing Setup – Musk-Fueled Hype & Political BuzzElon Musk’s launch of the “America Party” is reigniting interest in his potential impact on crypto—especially Dogecoin. With his history of moving DOGE’s price, this political pivot could stir volatility and renewed upside. We’re watching for a dip into the $0.15–$0.16 zone for a possible long entry.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.15 – $0.16
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.19 - $0.20
o 🥈 $0.23 – $0.24
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.13
Macro Moves & Market Reversals: BTC-Metals-Tech-Dollar & more! 🤖📊 Macro Moves & Market Reversals: Bitcoin, Metals, Tech, Dollar & DAX Breakdown 🔥💹
Hey beautiful people,
FXPROFESSOR here with a massive market update to kick off the week. This one’s for my serious traders—those of you ready to read the market like a pro 📚💡
We’re in a critical transition. The Trump–Powell standoff, rate cut games, tariff escalations, and a surprising shift in risk appetite across bonds, metals, and equities are reshaping the entire trading landscape.
Let’s get into the full breakdown 👇
🧠 MACRO FIRST – THE FUNDAMENTAL PULSE
🟢 Interest Rates:
The Fed is keeping rates steady at 4.25%–4.50%, citing strong jobs data. 147K jobs added, unemployment at 4.1%. The market wanted bad news for rate cuts... didn’t get it.
🗓 September remains the most likely cut, but the Fed isn’t rushing. Strong labor = slow policy change.
⚠️ Tariffs Heating Up:
Trump just slapped 25–40% tariffs on imports from Japan, Korea, and others – effective August 1.
➡️ If no political resolution by July 9, prepare for a volatility wave.
Tariffs = supply chain risks + cost-push inflation.
💣 Geopolitics:
Middle East tensions remain background noise, but no major disruptions for now. Still, oil remains sensitive.
📈 Risk Appetite (Bonds):
U.S. Treasuries still lagging, but junk bonds and quality credit (LQD) have pumped. That’s a big clue: risk appetite is returning, even without a Fed pivot.
📉 DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – "THE YEAR OF THE NORMALIZED DOLLAR"
We’ve followed this dollar short all year.
🔻 From rejection at 100.965, DXY dropped straight into our long-term 94–95 target zone.
📌 Now what? This level is MAJOR. A bounce could trap dollar bears.
🧭 No new short from me unless we re-tag 100+. The juice is squeezed.
Key takeaway:
The dollar already priced in rate cuts, and we didn’t even get them. That’s telling me the next macro move might not be so predictable.
💰 BITCOIN – STILL THE KING
📍 BTC at $115K resistance – a level I’ve charted for years, not weeks.
Three hits:
1️⃣ First rejection
2️⃣ Second rejection
3️⃣ And now... a decisive moment
🚨 Break 115K → BTC flies.
📉 Fail here → we could revisit $64K, yes, seriously. I’m ready for both outcomes.
This is not the time for hopium. It’s 50/50.
🪙 BTC DOMINANCE – THE ALTCOIN SWITCH
BTC.D is now above 65%. That means:
✔️ Capital flowing back into BTC
❌ Altcoins not ready yet
We don’t chase alts until BTC.D hits 71.3–72.9%. That’s the real “altseason trigger zone.”
🔒 I’m personally turned off from alts for now—too much noise, too many memes, not enough macro support.
🔩 PRECIOUS METALS – SHINING BRIGHT
💛 Gold (XAU/USD):
Reached near $3,500 highs
Now stalling
🛑 Taking profits here – caution warranted.
🤍 Silver (XAG/USD):
13-year high
Holding $36+ well
Potential breakout pending global inflation data
💿 Platinum (the sleeper):
+47% YTD
Beautiful long setup played out exactly as planned
Still bullish above $1,400 if supply squeeze continues
💡 ETFs in metals are seeing inflows – more institutions hedging as dollar weakens.
🚗🔌 TECH STOCKS – NVDA, TSLA & THE NASDAQ
📈 NVIDIA (NVDA)
Best trade of the year for me
Clean re-entry, now hitting ATH levels
AI demand + tight supply = rocket fuel
⚡ Tesla (TSLA)
Bounce off 4H trendline
Still lagging slightly – political tensions (Trump vs. Musk) not helping
But levels are working like a charm
📊 NASDAQ (QQQ)
Hit our “max pain” zone perfectly
Rebounded with textbook precision
Momentum intact – watching for new highs
🇩🇪 DAX INDEX – CHARTS DON’T LIE
All-time high. Boom. Called it weeks ago.
Despite:
No Russian energy
Industrial drag
ECB policy constraints
📌 But what worked?
➡️ Simple chart structure.
➡️ Market psychology.
➡️ Pure TA.
Now at resistance again. Watch carefully – support below is clearly defined.
🧾 FINAL THOUGHTS – THE PROFESSOR'S NOTES
🔹 The market’s narrative can change fast, especially with Trump in the mix. He’s Mr. Volatility.
🔹 Powell holds the real power – and right now, he’s not flinching.
🔹 Risk appetite is back – but not evenly. Bitcoin is leading, altcoins are lagging, metals are maturing.
🔹 If rate cuts materialize in September, expect massive rotation across all risk assets.
💭 Until then, I’m playing level-to-level. No FOMO. Just charts and logic. That’s how we survive, and thrive.
Let me know which chart you want next – and thank you for staying sharp 💪📚
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈