BTC ANALYSIS (4H)Last week, Bitcoin made a sharp bullish move upward, aiming for retail liquidity, which made the forecast path more difficult.
The green zone is a support area where Bitcoin might react.
To collect the ATH liquidity, Bitcoin needs to break through the red zone.
Let’s see what happens | when the market direction isn’t clear, there’s no need to take unnecessary risks.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC
Check for support near 104463.99-106133.74
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Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The next volatility period we should pay attention to is around June 22nd (June 21-23).
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 108316.90, so the key is whether it can rise above that point and maintain the price.
If not, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to check whether there is support near 99705.62.
However, we need to check whether there is support near 104463.99-106133.74.
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If we look at the auxiliary indicator OBV, the High Line is showing a downward trend.
This means that the high point is getting lower.
Therefore, if it rises above 108316.90 this time, we need to check whether the OBV can rise above the High Line and maintain it.
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DOM(60), DOM(-60) indicators are displayed by the Close value.
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are displayed by the (Open + High + Low + Close) / 4 value.
Therefore, HA-Low and HA-High indicators represent the middle value, and DOM(60) and DOM(-60) represent the end point value.
This makes it difficult to trade when DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are generated.
To make this clearer, I added an arrow signal.
DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator are indicators that represent high points.
In other words, the generation of DOM(60) indicator and HA-High indicator means that there has been a decline in the high point range.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the DOM(60) indicator is not easy to respond to because it indicates the end point, but the HA-High indicator indicates the middle value, so there is time to check whether there is support near the HA-High indicator and respond accordingly.
Therefore, you should check whether there is support in the section between the HA-High indicator and the DOM(60) indicator and respond accordingly.
On the contrary, the DOM(-60) indicator and the HA-Low indicator are indicators that indicate the low point.
You can think of it as the opposite of what I explained above.
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By not indicating the support and resistance points according to the arrangement of the candles, but using the indicator points as the support and resistance points, anyone can see how the support and resistance points were created.
This will provide important objective information for trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin Consolidates Near Highs — Bullish Wedge Signals StrengthHolding Strong Amid Uncertainty:
Despite rising geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin remains resilient, trading near recent highs. This stability reflects strong institutional confidence and sustained accumulation by long-term holders.
Bullish Technical Setup:
The ongoing consolidation between $100,000 and $110,000 is forming a wedge pattern—a classic bullish continuation structure. This suggests the market is coiling for its next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Resistance: $112,500
Support Zone: Holding above $100,000 keeps the bullish case intact
Measured Move Target: $130,000–$135,000
Outlook:
This tight consolidation signals a healthy pause in a strong uptrend, positioning Bitcoin for a potential breakout and continuation higher. All signs point to the bulls remaining firmly in control.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishWedge #CryptoMarket #InstitutionalBuying #PriceAction #Geopolitics #SupportAndResistance #BullRun
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout.
Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating.
The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction.
Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍
Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts.
NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈
The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets.
Summary & Outlook 🚦
BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart.
Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained.
The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
107.6-107.8 and 109-110KMorning folks,
So, position taking stage is done, now let's take a look at targets. In general we have a sequence of a few targets, starting from 107.6-107.8, 109-110, 113 and 116K. But in current situation I would watch for only first two.
Daily overbought is around 114, so 116K target seems too far. 113K is possible, but with rather extended downside action last week, it seems as very optimistic. That's why, more or less base case seems around 109-110K, while the easiest target is 107.6-107.8K.
So, once the first target will be reached - think about partial profit booking, if you want to continue trading. Say, take off 30-40% and move stops to the breakeven on the rest.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 101,082.81
1st Support: 94,030.59
1st Resistance: 110,969.18
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Bitcoin 100K Support Intact, The Bulls Win!Lately we've seen many cries about volume. Where is the volume? There is no volume! Etc. I tend to agree. My excuse in favor of a bullish Bitcoin was to say that low volume as prices moved higher worked as a continuation signal, things change.
We are now looking at BTCUSDT on the Daily timeframe and what I can notice is trading volume being relatively high. The days with high bull (green-buy) volume, are sometimes two to three times higher than the days with bearish (red) volume. This signal seals the deals. The bulls win.
This is a chart drawing that I used in the past. We have the low 7-April low and a higher low 5-June. Very strong bullish action for two months straight; very little retrace, weak bearish action for several weeks, the bulls win again.
The consolidation zone, the accumulation range, is defined here with blue and green, we know the price to be $100,000 and $110,000, Bitcoin trades at the exact middle, above $105,000. Giving the bulls another win.
Yesterday the action produced a higher low compared to 5-June. Even with very bad geopolitical conditions, a surprise war, Bitcoin remains strong. If not even war can break 100K as support, this simply means that Bitcoin isn't going any lower, Bitcoin is going up.
The most revealing part is the fact that Bitcoin didn't even reach 100K. Not in 5-June, not yesterday. 5-June the low was hit at 100,386. Yesterday, the low was 102,656.
There is lots of demand, supply is limited.
People are buying the dip. Whales are buying, institutions are buying; the world wants Bitcoin. Price action says Bitcoin is going up.
We can extract supporting signals from the Altcoins, Ethereum, XRP and Dogecoin are good examples, all the big projects are strong now when we consider the fact they are trading above MA200 daily and weekly, and this confirms a bullish bias with long-term growth.
$150,000 is not the top, Bitcoin is likely to go higher by the end of the next bullish wave. We can consider prices such as $180,000 and $200,000. This is because nobody is selling. Since people are not willing to sell, prices are sure to increase. Many altcoins are now extremely bullish, small and big.
All market conditions are fully aligned, it is only a matter of time.
Patience is key. Prices will rise.
Namaste.
BTC USD 180K BIG HOW?Trends and price targets is how, but realistically, it looks like 134k in the short term.
Drop is wicked if it were to occur, takes price to literally 12k, which you want to go all in if that occurs.
55k is another drop zone.
Otherwise, it looks fairly bullish.
buy zone marked in green,
sell in red.
watch the trends
and price targets are pretty accurate usually.
good luck!!
Custom charts by request.
Next Volatility Period: Around June 22
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The morning star candle that we often heard about when studying candles appeared.
However, since the candle has not closed yet, the shape of the candle may change.
In stock charts, there were cases where the movement could be predicted with the shape of these candles, but in the coin market, it is impossible to predict.
The reason is that trading is possible 24 hours a day.
Most candle shapes occur with gaps, allowing for a comprehensive interpretation, but in the coin market, gaps are not likely to occur, so I think there is nothing that can be known from the shape of the candles.
Therefore, it is recommended not to try to analyze the chart with the actual shape or pattern of the candles.
However, you need to study to be able to read the arrangement of the candles in order to set support and resistance points.
Even this is not difficult to indicate support and resistance points because there are indicators that indicate support and resistance points.
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(1W chart)
The 104463.99 point is the DOM (60) indicator point, which corresponds to the end of the high point.
Also, the 99705.62 point is the HA-High indicator point, which corresponds to the middle of the high points.
Therefore, the 99705.62-104463.99 section can be interpreted as the high point boundary section.
The actual trend is likely to occur while falling from 99705.62.
The importance of the 99705.62 point is increasing because the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising near the HA-High indicator point.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, it is possible that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Also, if it falls from the HA-High indicator, it can meet the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, if the price starts to fall, you should check whether the HA-Low indicator is generated.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low range.
That is, just as the HA-High indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the highs, the HA-Low indicator corresponds to the midpoint of the lows.
The end point of the lows corresponds to the DOM(-60) indicator point.
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(1D chart)
For this reason, it is important to see support around 104463.99-106133.74.
The trend is likely to appear after the next volatility period, around June 22nd (June 21st-23rd).
Therefore, we should consider the 104463.99-106133.74 range as the middle range,
- and see if it falls below 99705.62,
- or rises above 108316.90.
Accordingly, we should create a response strategy and be prepared not to panic when a trend appears.
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The OBV is currently below the Low Line.
Therefore, if it does not receive support at the 104463.99 point, it is likely to fall again.
Since the OBV oscillator is still below the 0 point, we can see that the selling pressure is strong.
However, looking at the overall movement of the oscillator, we can see that the selling pressure is decreasing.
Therefore, if there is another decline, the key issue is whether there is support near 99705.62.
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In summary, the area around 104463.99 is playing an important role as support and resistance.
Therefore, after the next volatility period, around June 22, we need to check and respond to the direction in which it deviates from the 99705.62-108316.90 range.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin - Levels of the Range On the hourly time frame it is clear that BTC is within a rangebound environment. Using key levels such as the weekly highs and lows with Mondays highs and lows to to paint a picture of where support and resistance may be.
In the "weekly outlook" post for this week I suggested a retest of the $108,500 area, an orderblock that pushed prices lower and is notorious for protecting Stop losses of the shorts that pushed price lower, nearly instantly as the week starts we get that move to sweep the supply zone and stop hunt the short trades.
After a successful sweep the swing fail pattern typically follows when in a rangebound environment or absent of a trend. This structure plays out and the sell-off follows.
Price breaks through the Monday low with zero fight so momentum is with the bears in the low time frame. Should momentum continue the previous week low is @ $102,500 which is in line with HTF key level too.
RSI is also entering the oversold zone and in a rangebound environment can be when price reverses direction, as seen by the previous Monday High and Previous week low.
With FOMC just over 24 hours away volatility usually follows. No rate cut forecast however many think the interest rate should be brought down in line with inflation as the ECB has already done.
In conclusion, BTC is in a clear rangebound environment on the hourly time frame.
Stop loss hunt/supply zone sweep and then SFP, the LTF momentum is with the bears going into FOMC.
Next point of support at $102,500 (Previous week low) and could be boosted by the oversold RSI.
An FOMC rate cut should be bullish although currently thought to be unlikely.
$DXY Dollar stays weak but is it bottommed?Have not many ANY trades based on the US Dollar. Have not been convinced in either way, yet.
TVC:DXY has been weaker lately but not by much. Well, at least compared to its previous low.
However, LONGER TERM we see it's biz as usual.
It is currently fairly oversold on the weekly chart & could be primed to change direction.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Reach Previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the specified supply range. If this range is broken, the path to the rise and a new ATH for Bitcoin will be presented.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market is required, more than we would like. If the downtrend continues, I can buy in the desired range.
Bitcoin is now approaching its all-time high, yet unlike previous bullish cycles, we have not seen widespread profit-taking so far. The market’s whales currently seem uninterested in large-scale selling at these levels and appear to be waiting for higher price targets.
Since the start of January 2024, cumulative inflows of over $60 billion have poured into crypto-related investment products in the U.S., including ETPs and ETFs. In addition, retail investor futures trading volumes have recently surpassed their one-year average. Indicators of retail activity suggest that a significant number of smaller investors have become active in the futures markets.
The total assets under management by crypto investment funds surged to an unprecedented $167 billion in May. This impressive growth was fueled by net inflows of more than $7 billion into these funds. Meanwhile, global equity funds recorded $5.9 billion in outflows, and gold funds, for the first time in 15 months, also saw capital leaving.
The year 2025 could turn out to be the most dangerous year yet for cryptocurrency holders. Already, more than 25 incidents involving physical attacks on crypto owners have been reported, and the year isn’t even over. These attacks have targeted individuals whose digital asset information or identities were compromised, leading to thefts, kidnappings, physical threats, or assaults.
On another front, the total value of circulating stablecoins has surpassed $250 billion, more than doubling from its mid-2023 low of $123 billion. USDT remains the market leader with a 62% share, followed by USDC at 24%, while other stablecoins such as USDe, DAI, and BUIDL are also expanding their presence.
It is worth noting that average spot trading volumes on centralized exchanges have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2020.This kind of pattern typically precedes a significant price move—whether that’s a sharp rally or a deep correction. It’s also possible that this phase of uncertainty could persist for several more weeks.
BitcoinEntry Point:
Entry Level: 106,300 USDT
Price is currently slightly below entry (106,254.67), so the trade setup is still valid and could trigger soon.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Stop Level: 104,250 USDT
Defined just below the lower FVG zone, indicating where invalidation would occur.
Take-Profit Targets (TP):
TP1: 109,000 USDT (near minor resistance)
TP2: 113,250 USDT (major target)
The Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) looks favorable — possibly over 3:1, which is strong.
Shift stop to entry after reaching TP1
Bitcoin Consolidation: Easy, Walk Away.Bitcoin consolidation in progress. The easiest thing to do in these situations is avoid taking any trades until a new trend is established. Even smaller time frames will be harder to trade unless you are employing mean reversion strategies. At some point the market will choose which way it wants to go but trying to guess in advance is a coin flip. The broader trend is bullish but the 110K and 113K area is a tough resistance. If price struggles to break this area over the next few weeks, then a broader retrace may be more likely.
In this situation it pays to wait for specific levels to take any action at all. What type of action you take will depend on your risk tolerance and time frame. In my opinion, the higher probability scenarios will be a test of the 102K area supports, followed by reversal patterns. Even if they don't follow through to new highs, at least there will be some attempt to maintain the support since Bitcoin is still generally strong.
IF Bitcoin breaks the support (anything is possible) that will confirm the broader corrective scenario which can see price testing 95K at minimum. There is no way to know the certainty of this scenario, it is all about how price action unfolds and confirms.
This time of year is typical of lower volume, lower momentum and less follow through. Often it is better to just sit it out and wait until the season shows clear signs of improvement. Seasonal volume does not typically get back to consistently high momentum levels until November. This does not mean there will be no opportunities at all, it just means if there is going to be a time to purposely be more selective, the next couple of months would be that time.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
$BTC - Weekend LTF OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT | 4H
We've got a swing point retest here on the 4-hour timeframe.
Immediate resistance at 106k, but I'm eyeing the internal liquidity — the wicks on both sides.
Most likely it’ll fill the upper wick first (107.3k–107.8k). If we reject there again, we could sweep the lower wick around 103.5k–103k.
BITCOIN - Price can fall a little and start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price entered to rising channel, where at once bounced from support line and rose a little, and then corrected.
Next, price continued to move up and soon reached $100500 level, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
After this movement, BTC corrected and continued to grow in rising channel and later reached $110500 level.
Bitcoin exited from rising channel, made a fake breakout of resistance level, and started to trades inside flat.
In flat, price tried to grow but failed and fell to support level and then grew back again, after which started to decline.
Now, I expect that BTC can repeat as move before, it falls a little and then grows to $110500 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers.
Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls.
Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark.
Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
BITCOIN: The $110K Crossroads - Bull vs Bear Battleground! The Setup: "The Healthy Pullback Hypothesis
🔵 BLUE SUPPORT TRENDLINE (Rising from ~$76K)
The Foundation: This ascending support has held multiple tests
Current Status: Price dancing right on this crucial line
Psychology: Bulls' last stand
🔴 RED RESISTANCE CHANNEL (Descending from $112K peak)
The Ceiling: Two parallel resistance lines creating downward pressure
Pattern: Classic bearish channel formation
Volume Profile: Declining volume suggests exhaustion
🟡 YELLOW HORIZONTAL ZONES
Key Level 1: ~$98K (Previous resistance turned support)
Key Level 2: ~$112K (The rejection zone)
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (65% Probability)
Setup: Breakout above red channel resistance (~$108K)
🚀 Rocket Ship: Explosive move to $120K+
📉 Reality Check: Deeper correction to $95K-98K range
Entry: $97K - 98K (confirmed breakout)
Target 1: $104K
Target 2: $110K
Stop Loss: $95K
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⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! ⚠️