BTC 4H. $104K or Bust — Critical BTC Moment! 06/13/25BINANCE:BTCUSDT remains in a sideways range between $110,336 – $101,297. The main trading volume is concentrated around $103,907.
Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the range at $110,336 and sharply declined from there — confirming the strength of resistance. The drop was intensified by negative geopolitical news (Israel–Iran tensions).
As a result, BTC retraced into the $104,185 – $101,297 demand zone — a potential area where buyers might step in again.
Personally, I expect one more dip into the $104,185 – $101,297 range to test the strength of buyers.
⚠️ If negative news continues, a breakdown below $100,349 and a new local low is possible.
DYOR.
BTC
BITCOIN is only now starting the final Cycle rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
Are you worried about the latest geopolitical conflict or this chart is enough to give you long-term assurances? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –BTC/USDT 4H Chart Update –
After a strong rejection from the $110K+ zone, Bitcoin is now retesting a critical trendline support on the 4-hour chart.
Key Highlights:
Price dropped sharply to $103K, almost tagging the key ascending support zone.
The previous breakout from the descending trendline is now being retested, which is a classic bullish retest pattern.
If bulls defend this region successfully, expect a potential bounce towards $108K–$ 114 K.
However, a clean breakdown below $102K would shift short-term momentum bearish.
Eyes on this zone. High-probability decision area.
Watch for reaction candles and volume spikes to confirm the next move.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC - No champange toast Well, that was unfortunate. BTC too the very beating that was forecasted. Demonstrating the power of the combined methods that I use. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and K wave ( Kumar Wave ) We have a small chance, in the low single digits to recover from this. But the Lions share of probability remains with the Re test down toward $84k. I will update more later. That chart is in my profile. Good luck.
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT price is now near the resistance zone 110259-112265. If the price cannot break through the 112265 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 107,000.93
1st Support: 104,300.41
1st Resistance: 108,341.47
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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5 Bearish Signals —Bitcoin CME Gap (91,970 - 92,525)Bitcoin's bearish bias is confirmed clearly. Bearish signals are starting to pile up one on top of the other, let's recap those real quick:
1) Bitcoin is trading below its December 2024 high, it's January 2025 peak price and the recent 22-May all-time high. Trading below these levels open the doors for a move downward.
2) Recent lower high. 10-June closed lower compared to 22-May. This is a local lower high.
3) Overall low volume. Total volume decreasing since January 2025. No strong buying activity.
4) Sustained growth. Bitcoin grew straight up for 45 days. It is normal to see a retrace after sustained growth.
5) CME Gap. This is the latest signal that came to my attention and this gives further strength to the bearish case. The GAP sits between $91,970 and $92,525.
It is likely that Bitcoin will move lower before producing a new all-time high. Bitcoin is not likely to move below 80K. This is very unlikely.
Most likely Bitcoin will find support above 90K and if it moves below 90K this might be a brief occurrence lasting only a few hours or a few days at max. When all is set and done, we will continue to see long-term growth based on a bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows. The 7-April bottom will remain untouched.
Namaste.
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
Bitcoin's Correction Confirmed, 93-97K Next TargetBitcoin's bearish continuation is now confirmed with three consecutive days of bearish action, today being a full red candle.
Good afternoon my fellow trader, how are you feeling today?
Opportunities are endless in this market, and if you trade, you can profit from the bullish as well as the bearish waves. Good entry timing is all that is needed for a successful trade, the right map and mindset.
So the lower high is confirmed and today's action confirms an incoming lower low. The 100K support is very likely to break but this is not written in stone. This is a high probability scenario. We are aiming for a price range of $97,000 - $93,000. But this isn't necessarily the end. Depending on how this level is handled, we will be able to know if prices will go lower or what.
$88,000 is a good level in the case there is strong bearish volume when the above price range is challenged as support. Now it is all a wait and see. Patience is key.
Once the a new support zone settles, we adapt to the market and focus on green. The next step is red. Down we go.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTCUSD: Can it repeat the U.S. elections rally?Bitcoin is on a slight pullback, being only marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.024, MACD = 1611.500, ADX = 23.439). Based on the 1W RSI we may be on the October 30th - November 4th 2024 pullback that preceded the U.S. elections. The decisive test will be on the 1D MA50 again, but as long as the S1 level holds, chances are we will see a similar +106.40% rally. We remain bullish on BTC, TP = 150,000.
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BTC Triple JumpRSI Fired ✔ Breakout Above $110,200 Next ➜ Targeting 140K
BTC is entering a critical phase on the 4H chart, and this setup looks remarkably similar to previous moments that led to sharp bullish continuation. Price is steadily forming higher lows and now pressing right up against the key resistance at $110,200 — the last confirmed swing high. 🧱
What makes this moment particularly interesting is what’s happening beneath the price: momentum is quietly shifting. Using a custom triple RSI setup — with short, medium, and long lengths — I’m seeing a familiar pattern unfold. The white line (longer-term RSI) has already crossed above the 50 level ✅, a strong signal of building trend strength. Meanwhile, both the short and medium RSIs are deep in the oversold zone 🔻 — a dynamic that, in the past, has front-run explosive rallies.
This exact structure has preceded multiple breakout moves over the past months. The RSI alignment acts as an initiative confirmation, and now price is approaching the final confirmation level: a break and 4H close above $110,200. If that happens, I expect a swift push toward $112,500–$114,000, with potential for much more.
🔥 This aligns perfectly with my previous idea, where I laid out a case for a major breakout in June that could drive BTC toward $140K. That outlook was based on higher-timeframe expansion patterns and macro structure — and what we’re seeing now could be the moment where it all starts.
As of now, it’s too early to talk about invalidation. The structure remains intact. Momentum is shifting. All that’s left is the breakout.
If you haven’t seen my 140K projection yet, check it out — this could be the first real ignition point. 🚀
JASMY Long Swing Setup – Oversold Bounce from Major SupportJASMY has seen a sharp decline in recent weeks, but price has now landed in a key support zone. With a potential bounce on the table, we’re eyeing the $0.015–$0.01355 range for a possible long entry toward resistance tests.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.015 – $0.01355
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.020
o 🥈 $0.024
o 🥉 $0.030
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.013
Bitcoin will overperform Gold in lower time frame?When i looked into BTC/GOLD chart (BTCXAU), i saw 2 things. The gap has been filled and BTC bounced against GOLD over the trend line support. If this is a retest of bullish continuation, then things will be positive for BTC price. Losing this support zone of 30 - 31 is the invalidation.
BTCETH parabolic run pointing towards 100:1Historically, during bull markets, Ethereum frequently surpassed Bitcoin at various moments.
However, this time around, that trend has not materialised, leading to a decline in investor confidence.
With capital exiting the ETH market, sentiment has soured, and critical indicators are revealing significant losses.
Unless a robust bullish turnaround occurs, Ethereum's struggle may persist, as the market currently favors Bitcoin as the more secure option.
However once this parabola breaks, we could see a strong snap back reaction in favour of the more riskier #ALTS, #DEFI and #MEMES as #ETH is still the home for stablecoin issuance and still the most trusted secure smart contract blockchain available.
Bitcoin New ATH - Where now?After Bitcoin makes new all time highs, the next steps are very important. Where price goes now can be tricky to predict as there is the rare factor of price.
One of the only ways to predict where BTC may find resistance during price discovery is to use Fibonacci levels, using Fib extensions the first target for me would be between $117,500-$120,000. This area would be between the fib extension and the big even level, RSI would also be overbought on the daily time frame.
For the bearish scenario I think it's a much simpler play from a TA standpoint, lose the trend channel and get back under the old ATH level and I think we see a pullback towards $97,000. After such an extreme rally over the last 2 months with little to no rest a 10% correction would not be out of the ordinary despite such bullish ETF inflows. I have mapped a second target area should $97,000 fail, a SFP of the range can lead to a retest of the midpoint, this correction path would be much more severe with a more than 15% move lower.
To sum it all up Bitcoin has been on a great run in the last 2 months and has reached most traders common target of making a new ATH. Now there must be a new objective... Continue the move into price discovery or a corrective move? Price discovery has no previous selling history and so Fib levels along with big even levels are used to predict resistance levels. Corrective move would mean dropping out of the bullish trend channel and falling into a place of support, in my mind that would be ~$97,000 or failing that ~$91,000 (range midpoint).
BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - UH OH ? - RE CORK THE CHAMPAGNE ? Last night the momentum was so strong , and resistance levels where being taken out one after another. Today when we should have been making new highs, instead we hit a wall. Not good. That wall in yellow is the 7/8ths reflection line. The bounce backward from here could pick up massive steam downward. The 1st stop loss has already been hit, #2 and #3 look to be tested today, and from the way things look now, they look to yield. I am stopped out, and will not reenter long until a new high is made. Good Luck!
EURUSD BULLISH OR BARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after a clean bounce from the key support zone around 1.12. Price structure confirms higher lows and strong bullish candle formations on the daily chart, suggesting the bulls are in control. This recent move is backed by a textbook retest and rejection from the previous resistance-turned-support zone, giving confidence in a potential continuation toward the 1.19 level. With the current price trading near 1.15 and pushing higher, the market is positioned for a strong bullish wave in the coming sessions.
From a fundamental perspective, the Euro has gained fresh support after the ECB’s decision last week to proceed with a measured and data-dependent rate cut cycle. While the ECB delivered its first cut, the tone was cautious and far less dovish than anticipated, which kept EUR strength intact. On the USD side, traders are pricing in a more dovish outlook for the Federal Reserve, especially with recent CPI and PPI data pointing toward cooling inflation. This divergence in policy outlook continues to favor EURUSD upside in the medium term.
Technical indicators are also confirming the bullish bias. The pair is riding an ascending trendline, and momentum indicators like RSI remain in bullish territory without yet being overbought. A daily close above the 1.1550 area strengthens the case for a continuation move. The price is aiming for the next major resistance around 1.1770–1.19, where bulls are likely to take profit or scale out. Until then, dips are likely to be bought aggressively, as long as the 1.12 support remains intact.
This setup presents a high-probability opportunity in a trending market backed by both fundamentals and technical confluence. As long as the bullish structure holds, I remain long-biased on EURUSD with eyes on the 1.19 zone as the next key level. With increasing market interest, low volatility on the downside, and strong trend-following signals, this pair is set for a continued rally.
106.5K and 104.5KMorning folks,
As we've suggested upward action happened. Now overall situation stands relatively easy to understand. 100K seems like short-term vital area for upside tendency. While two support levels of 106.5K and 104.5K are those which market has to hold to keep tendency intact.
I would even prefer 106.5K area because this is also natural support line and because it agrees with downside AB-CD 1.618 extension target.
KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles TA+Trade plan1. Market context & chart structure
Asset / venue / timeframe: KAS-USDT (Bybit spot), 4-hour candles, data to 12 Jun 2025 06:45 UTC (see image).
Primary pattern in play: Price has compressed into a contracting (symmetrical) triangle that began after the 28 May low. The apex is only ~1–2 candles away, so a decisive break is statistically imminent.
Preceding structure:
17-day descending channel → capitulation into a falling-wedge reversal (27–28 May).
Two-legged double-bottom (“Bottom 2”) at 0.075–0.078 USDT.
Sideways rectangle 29 May-7 Jun, now morphing into the present triangle.
Key horizontal levels (4 h closes): 0.0930 (upper triangle rail / neckline) · 0.0891 (local supply) · 0.0797 (strong demand / wedge base) · 0.0620 (monthly support)
Volume picture: Realised volume has been drying up since 31 May, a classic pre-breakout contraction. A spike on the break will confirm direction.
2. Indicator read-out
Market Cipher B - Green momentum wave printing, money-flow bars just turned positive Mildly bullish, Early bull divergence vs 28 May
RSI(14) - 46 and curling up - Neutral-to-bullish Hidden bullish divergence vs price higher-lows
Stoch RSI 26/24 and crossing up from oversold Bullish Momentum reset complete
ArTy Money-Flow Index +3.5 and rising Bullish Positive inflow after five sessions of outflow
Collectively the oscillators favour an upside resolution, provided volume confirms.
3. Scenario probability matrix
Scenario Trigger & confirmation
Option 1 – Uptrend continuation
4 h close ≥ 0.0925 USDT with volume ≥ 2× 20-period average
Measured-move 0.107 → 0.118;
extended fib 1.618 ≈ 0.125–0.128
Est. probability: 60 %
Option 2 – Downtrend resumption
4 h close ≤ 0.079 USDT with similar volume spike 0.072 (range EQ) → 0.067–0.062 structural support
Est. probability: 40 %
Weighting derives from: oscillator bias, shrinking supply above 0.092 (order-book heat-map), but tempered by external models calling for a short-term dip toward 0.067 USDT
4. Trading plan
Component Long (Option 1) Short (Option 2)
Entry Buy stop 0.0926 USDT Sell stop 0.0789 USDT
Initial stop-loss 0.0838 USDT 0.0870 USDT (back inside triangle)
Primary target-1 0.1050 (≈1R) 0.0725 (≈1R)
Secondary target-2 0.1180 (≈2.5R) 0.0670 (≈2.5R)
Position size Risk ≤ 1 % of account per trade (adjust contracts accordingly)
5. Additional catalysts & risk factors
Macro-beta: BTC dominance and broad market risk-on / risk-off could swamp pattern-based setups; monitor DXY and SPX correlations.
Protocol news: Kaspa’s DAG-based roadmap upgrades and potential exchange listings remain upside catalysts. Conversely, lack of progress or regulatory headlines could accelerate a downside break.
kaspa.org
Weekend liquidity gaps: KAS often shows slippage outside US trading hours; consider reducing size or using wide stops if breakout occurs late Friday–Sunday.
6. To sum up
Bias: I lean 60 % toward Option 1 (bullish breakout) provided we get a 4 h close above 0.092 with volume confirmation. Otherwise, a flush to the 0.07 area (Option 2) is the alternative. Trade the break, not the prediction, and keep risk tight.