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Btcshort

BTC | ALT Season, then BEARISH CYCLE BeginsBitcoin is likely moving in to the beginning of a bearish cycle. I'm not saying this is immediate, we first need to see altseason - however, if BTC increases it may not go any higher than the last high of $123k. We could easily see the price hover around this zone with a few small increases and decreases for the next few weeks as alts make their respective moves. I have been talking about the 2021 fractal for a couple of months, where BTC took its time to correct and then made another ATH which was only slightly higher. We already see a similar pattern playing out in the monthly timeframe if we overlay bars pattern from 2021: Although Bonce zone 3 may only be in several months, these are the major support zones where BTC could bounce from. Ideal for a swing: ____________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Short
by Crypto-Check-
21
BTC/USD – Key Support Retest & Potential Breakout Zone | Current Price Action: Trading near 118,543, price has broken below the yellow consolidation zone (~119,000) and is showing short-term weakness. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at 119,284, then 119,841, with stronger supply zones at 120,900 and 121,545. Support Levels: First support at 117,923, followed by 116,495. A breakdown of 117,923 could accelerate selling pressure. Trend Outlook: Short-term bias is bearish after repeated rejections from 119,284–119,841 zone; lower highs are forming. Trading Bias: Bullish: Break & hold above 119,284 → targets 119,841 / 120,900. Bearish: Sustained trade below 117,923 → opens path to 116,495.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TheWallstreetCapital
1
BTC Price Action Screams Sell — Is $115K Next? • The move to $122.5k looks like a sharp liquidity grab / exhaustion wick rather than a sustained follow-through. • Price failed to hold the top (small bearish candles after the spike) and is now sitting on/near a shallow support area — a classic place for sellers to press once momentum cools. • Multiple prior “S” markers around the mid-$118k zone show persistent supply there; that same supply can re-assert as price retests. • Bearish bias while price remains below the red supply zone (~$122.2–122.5k) and until it can reclaim & close above ~123k on 1H. Key levels (read from the chart) • Immediate resistance / supply zone: 122,200 – 122,501 (red box). • Current price shown: 121,506.61. • Support levels (dotted lines): 119,872.53 (first), 118,864.72 (second), 115,843.52 (stronger support / demand). • Invalidation for the bearish plan: sustained close above ~123,000 (1H close). Two actionable bearish setups (with exact math) Setup A — “Rejection short” (preferred) • Rationale: Wait for a retest/rejection of the red supply zone (122.2–122.5k). • Entry: 122,200 (short on clear rejection candle) • Stop: 123,000 (above the supply) → risk = 123,000 − 122,200 = 800 points. • Targets: o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 122,200 − 119,872.53 = 2,327.47 → R:R = 2,327.47 / 800 = 2.91 : 1. o TP2 = 118,864.72 → reward = 122,200 − 118,864.72 = 3,335.28 → R:R ≈ 4.17 : 1. o TP3 = 115,843.52 → reward = 122,200 − 115,843.52 = 6,356.48 → R:R ≈ 7.95 : 1. Setup B — “Breakdown short” (if price loses structure) • Rationale: Trade the structure break — enter only after a clean breakdown below a nearby support retest. • Entry: 121,000 (short once price decisively breaks and retests lower side) • Stop: 122,000 → risk = 1,000 points. • Targets: same support ladder: o TP1 = 119,872.53 → reward = 121,000 − 119,872.53 = 1,127.47 → R:R = 1,127.47 / 1,000 = 1.13 : 1. o TP2 = 118,864.72 → R:R ≈ 2.14 : 1. o TP3 = 115,843.52 → R:R ≈ 5.16 : 1. Short trade management / rules • Position sizing: risk a fixed % of account per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%). Use the risk points above to size the position. • Scaling: take ~25–40% at TP1, move stop to breakeven on first partial fill, trail rest to TP2/TP3. • Confirmation: prefer one of these confirmations before entry — bearish 1H close below the short entry or clear rejection wick + volume spike to the upside followed by selling. (I can’t see live volume here — check it on your platform.) • Invalidation: an hourly close above ~123k invalidates the bearish plan; flip bias to neutral/bull. Why this is a high-probability bearish setup • The rally was fast and left small-range candles after the spike — typical of exhaustion where liquidity was swept. • Prior range had repeated sells around lower highs (S markers) — that supply doesn’t vanish; a failed breakout often returns to fill that liquidity. • The downside targets are relatively close (TP1 is only ~1.63k points below current price, about 1.34%), so short targets are reachable without needing a large trend reversal. (Example percent math shown exactly: current 121,506.61 − TP1 119,872.53 = 1,634.08 points → 1,634.08 ÷ 121,506.61 = 0.0134485 → ≈ 1.345% drop to TP1.) Watchouts / final notes • If BTC prints strong continuation volume on a push above 122.5k and holds >123k on hourly closes, the short edge is gone. • Check 4H / daily to ensure this isn’t just a higher-timeframe bullish leg that will quickly absorb short pressure. If higher TF shows strong bullish structure, keep stops tighter. • Not financial advice — treat this as a technical plan and adjust sizing/risk to your rules.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
BTC going back to the trenches to schemeBTC/USD – Bearish Pullback to $110,000 Incoming? Technical Overview: Bitcoin is currently showing signs of exhaustion after reaching the $125K–$130K resistance zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the long-term ascending channel formed since the $20K breakout. RSI is flashing strong bearish divergence on the daily and weekly timeframes, suggesting the bulls are losing momentum. The price also failed to hold above the key psychological level at $120K, now acting as strong resistance. A decisive break below the $115K support zone could trigger a broader correction down toward $110,000, which marks the following confluences: 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the last impulse from $95K to $130K High-volume node on the VPVR (Volume Profile Visible Range) Retest of the previous macro breakout level (former resistance now potential support) Macro Factors: Growing speculation of delayed rate cuts from the Fed is putting pressure on risk-on assets, including crypto Whales and institutional players have been seen rotating out of BTC into altcoins and cash in recent on-chain data ETF inflows have slowed dramatically compared to earlier in the cycle Conclusion: Unless BTC can reclaim $120K with strong volume, the path of least resistance looks like a healthy correction toward $110,000, where stronger demand may kick in. This could provide a better risk-reward entry for long-term bulls. 🚨 Watch for a daily close below $115K to confirm bearish!
VANTAGE:BTCUSDShort
by MrYounity
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) !!U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Long-Term Channel Support Held The chart shows DXY moving within a rising parallel channel since around 2008. Recent price action bounced right from the lower trendline (~98 zone), indicating strong structural support. Bearish Pressure DXY dropped below 100, currently around 98.72, down 1.32% this month. Trading below the 200-month EMA, which suggests weakening long-term strength. Bearish candlesticks forming near the lower channel indicate an increased risk of a breakdown if support fails. Ichimoku Cloud Signal Price below the Kumo (cloud) = bearish territory. Cloud turning thin ahead — signaling potential indecision or transition. What This Means for Markets If the DXY breaks below this channel, it could trigger a broader USD sell-off, potentially bullish for cryptocurrencies, gold, and emerging markets. If support holds, expect a rebound toward the 104–106 zone, especially if macro sentiment favors the dollar. Stay updated and manage your risk accordingly. DYOR | NFA
TVC:DXY
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC-Stay Sharp. Self RegulateBTC Update 👀All Eyes on These Levels 👇 We’re back in A zone. The level? 115,727. This isn’t just any line on the chart — this is the same trendline that flipped from major resistance to support back to resistance on the same date of the infamous #bUCKmOON pump. 📈 If BTC breaks this level with strength and volume — I’m in long.🟢 No volume? No conviction. No entry. But let’s not get carried away — resistance lurks right above at 117,000 — the former Exhaustion Zone Support now turned resistance. A classic case of "what once held you up now wants to drag you down." And if the bulls somehow clear that hurdle? They'll run headfirst into the Exhaustion Zone Resistance — the real boss fight. These are stacked walls — one after the other. No easy wins here. 🧠 As a chartist, I’m not here to write about what happens if we break through every ceiling like it’s some fanboy fantasy. That’s not analysis — that’s hopium. 🥂 Yeah yeah but— it’s fun to daydream about all the champagne showers, yacht parties, laser eyes, and the sudden urge to start a DAO that changes the world. We all picture it. We all love it. And sure, when BTC rips through all resistance like butter, we’ll act like we "knew all along." But anyways — snap back to reality... There’s another level we can’t ignore: 112,388 👀 Even a 4-hour close below this level? Just check the chart. That’s when the bears come storming out of hibernation — angry, hungry, and ready to feast. 🎯Bottom line: Stay sharp. Self Regulate. The chart is the map. Discipline is the treasure.
Long
by TheAlphaView
#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025#BTC Update #13 – Aug 01, 2025 Bitcoin has approached the lower edge of its current channel and received a reaction from there. However, in the current timeframe, the ongoing candle seems willing to pull back again. The MA200 band held the previous candle well, which also represented the bottom of the current channel. There is high liquidity between the $113,200 and $121,000 zones. I believe Bitcoin will continue to move by sweeping through this region. Therefore, I think Bitcoin’s current target is to reach around the $118,000 level with a 3% push move. If Bitcoin does not make this move and chooses to pull back instead, it may go as far as filling the imbalance at the $110,000 level. The last impulsive move was made around 20 days ago, and since then, the chart has been progressing with a correction of a correction. As long as there’s no close below $107,500, the uptrend will remain intact in the long term. However, if the $107,500 level is broken with a strong candle, we can say that Bitcoin has turned bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. For now, this doesn’t seem very likely. I believe Bitcoin’s next move will target the $118,000 region, continuing to clear out the liquidity accumulating in the upper ranges. However, this channel will need to break at some point.
by BTCETH2X
BTC Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone HeldExhaustion Zone Update: 2025–208 📉 Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone Held On Friday, BTC dipped to 114,700, printing a fresh Daily Swing Low — a classic liquidity grab. The bulls stormed in for reinforcements, pushed price back up late in the day… but once again, the Exhaustion Zone stood its ground. BTC closed lower than Thursday, and since then? Pure chop. Feels like both bulls and bears took the weekend off to watch Netflix. — 🔻 The Downward Trendline Still Rules Today, it’s simple: Bulls must close above 118,477. That’s the trendline test — hesitation here, and the bears come clawing. Usually I’d say, "give the bulls until Monday"... but this year has shown us one thing: 🐋 The Whales Hunt on Sundays. If the bulls don’t step up today, we might learn the hard way why it’s called the Exhaustion Zone. — 📉 The Risk if Bulls Fail BTC already gathered all the bulls it could down at the Daily Swing Low — and they’re tired. If they can’t break out, the High-Powered Short Zone (dashed red lines) will take over. The bears? Heavy. Angry. Overdue for a window jump. 🎯 Next floors down: • May ATH → 111,965 • January ATH → 109,354 That’s the Take Profit$ Zone 👇 And honestly? I’m letting a small short position ride in case the evil whales take us all the way to the 50% level (98,811). — 📌 The Alpha View To the bulls: It’s showtime. Either close above 118,477 today… or the All-Time High Parade might just reroute — straight down the fire escape. 🐻🔥
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheAlphaView
BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped BTCUSD Key Supply Zone Rejection – Bearish Target Mapped (Educational Breakdown) ⸻ 🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart): • Range Structure: BTCUSD is currently trading within a well-defined consolidation range between the Resistance Zone ($119,850–$120,591) and the Support Zone ($116,937). • Volume Profile (VRVP): Volume is noticeably thick near the mid-range, suggesting accumulation/distribution behavior. Price is struggling to break above the value area high near $120K. • Resistance Rejection: After testing the upper supply zone, price failed to sustain bullish momentum and is showing signs of exhaustion – a possible sign of institutional selling. • Target Zone: If price rejects this resistance again, a strong move toward the target level of $117,260 is expected. This aligns with: • Mid-range liquidity sweep • Low-volume node (LVN) below current price • Fair Value Gap fill near $117,200–$116,900 ⸻ 🧩 Key Concepts Highlighted: • Support & Resistance Mapping • Volume Profile Readings • Institutional Order Flow Bias • Target Projection using Smart Money Concepts ⸻ ⚠ Educational Insight: This setup is a perfect example of how to combine Volume Profile + Price Action to identify liquidity traps and smart entries. Always wait for confirmation near key zones — not every level breaks! ⸻ ✅ Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice): • Watch for bearish engulfing/rejection wick at resistance • Short entry below $119,000 with SL above $120,600 • Target: $117,260 / Final TP: $116,937 zone
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
BTC-Alpha-"Exhaustion Zone" Update📍All Eyes on $119,300 Why? Because that’s the line that could break the bearish narrative. A clean push above = bulls showing real strength — not just surviving, but swinging. It might look like BTC is doing nothing… but under the hood, the chart is very much alive. If bulls can’t break the descending trendline, it’s not just hesitation — it’s exhaustion. And when bulls run out of gas? The High-Powered Short Zone starts pulling like gravity. — 🔸 Chart Patterns in Play 🟥 Bear Flag / Distribution Box • Price is consolidating beneath a lower high + descending trendline • Every rally attempt has fizzled inside the Exhaustion Zone • Repeated failures at $119,300 = a clear ceiling 🟩 Coil Within Compression • Higher lows pushing up against downtrend resistance • Price is coiling tight — and compression always precedes expansion • A breakout (or breakdown) is coming… the spring’s loaded — 🧭 What to Watch 🔓 Break above $119.3K with volume = bull momentum resumes ❌ Break below $117K = bear flag confirmed → welcome back to the High-Powered Short Zone — Stay Sharp. Don’t confuse quiet charts with quiet outcomes. BTC is gearing up for a move that won’t whisper.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TheAlphaView
MSTR - Microstrategy Short...for now.The White Fork is created by choosing point A, which must be the lowest price before the swing. B and C are the natural high and low of the swing we want to measure. What this gives us is a Pitchfork that projects the most probable path of price. Additionally, with the three lines that make the Fork, we have the natural extremes above, below, and the center—the mean. We can see that price started to rise in March 2025. The 80% rule states that price will reach the Centerline around 80% of the time. And as we see, it did this time as well. Price reached the CL (Center Line), and immediately the big whales dumped positions. Then price fell—only to be picked up before reaching the Lower Line, also called the L-MLH or Lower Median Line Parallel. When price can't make it to this (or any of these) lines, we call this a 'Hagopian,' because it follows 'Hagopian's Rule.' This rule says that if price can't reach 'the line' (the L-MLH in this case), there is a high chance that price will reverse in the previous direction (up in this case), and even go further than where it came from (the Centerline). And as we see, price indeed traded upwards—beyond where it came from—and overshot the Centerline (CL). Unfortunately for long-positioned traders, the gas in the goose was empty, and price now starts to head south again, missing the target, which would have been the U-MLH (Upper Median Line Parallel). So, the open happened below the CL! If we also see a close this week, I'm ready to initiate a short trade. Why? Well, as before, Hagopian’s Rule applies—an indication that price will trade further down than where it came from, which is below $361. And since we know that the natural target is the Centerline about 80% of the time, we have a heck of a good chance that we’ll be happy campers in a couple of weeks. :-) With a risk/reward of about 2 to 3, and such a high chance of a profitable trade, I’ll sleep like a baby in the coming weeks. The trade idea would be cancelled if price closes above the CL this Friday. Let’s stalk it closely...
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE 2.0HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE ⚡️ Usually, a 3% move doesn’t make anyone blink—but this one? It sent BTC into all-time high territory. I almost popped the champagne… until I remembered I’m in a short. Not because I don’t believe in upside—but because my add zone in the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE hasn’t been tagged. Yet. Here’s the breakdown 🧵👇 ________________________________________ Before anyone goes bUCK wilD and cracks open that dusty bottle of Veuve, double-check something: 📅 The July 10th daily candle needs to close above the monthly swing high (orange line). If BTC bulls lock that in, then a move deeper into the HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE becomes real... play-the-game real… ________________________________________ Where’s this HIGH POWERED SHORT ZONE coming from? 🔻 Solid red line – a trendline from Dec 2024 that has held strong through three separate tests — marking it as a key line on the sand. 🔻 Dashed red line – goes all the way back to Dec 2017. A seasoned veteran of resistance. I also drew in a white ascending channel—not just for looks. If BTC breaks out, this channel will help us ask: “How high is too high?” ________________________________________ Now enters Fibonacci — where nature maps out key alignments on the chart. 🌱 🟡 Gold lines = Fib golden ratios 🔵 Teal lines = Fib Degen Ratios It’s wild how they just line up: • 2.618? Right on the top of the channel. • 1.618? Sitting on the 2017 trendline. • 0.618? Near current support + bottom of the channel. Also had to draw that horizontal support white line to keep an eye on. A Bounce or bust? Ask the bUCKmOON!
Short
by TheAlphaView
BTC - Calling the Start of the Bearish SeasonHello Watchers ☕ This was my previous Bitcoin update where I had a target of $116K, and also then closed all open positions at $122K: I'm calling the top here mainly because of the way the chart looks, it really is classic Wyckoff if you look at the duration of the current bullish cycle, which has lasted a whole 973 Days with a 564% increase. What goes up, must come down! Just for interest sake, the previous bullish cycle ran for 600 days with a 700% increase.
Short
by BlockTechEv
31
Link short setup tradeAS previous short setup hits the tp but actually first manipulation to hit the sl, now closely monitor the trade and manually close if 4hr candle closes above the mentioned point, overall I'm bearish on whole market, needs to take a correction before another leg up, until unless usdt.d breaks and closes below 4.59% on 4hrs tf market is bearish, you need to take short position intsead of long positions, when usdt.d reaches 4.63% open short on link, inj, eth and btc and hold till 4.80%-4.89%. I will open long if we break 4.59% and retest this, other scenario if we reaches 4.80-4.90% first no long positions for me from here.
Short
by mejazkhanm
2
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis. BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge. The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500. The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support. Ichimoku BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal. The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC at Critical Resistance… Drop Incoming!Hi traders! Currently analyzing BTCUSD on the 1H timeframe. Price is reacting to the upper boundary of a descending channel, where sellers are showing strong pressure. This area has previously acted as a significant resistance, pushing price lower multiple times. I'm now selling from 108,075.19, expecting a bearish move towards my target at the bottom of the channel. Take Profit: 104,493.63 Stop Loss: 111,891.49 RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence near the resistance area, adding confluence to this setup. Price may have performed a liquidity grab above the trendline before rejecting the area, which aligns with the current market structure. I'm actively managing this trade, keeping an eye on how price behaves around this key level. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Trading-On-Top