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New BTC ATH, National FOMO💎 Update Plan BTC (May 22) Notable news about BTC: Gold prices climbed over 0.50% on renewed safe-haven demand, holding firm above the $3,300 threshold as investor anxiety grows ahead of the U.S. tax bill vote and mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,317, rebounding from an intraday low of $3,285. Sentiment remains fragile, with U.S. equity markets slipping into negative territory and Treasury yields ticking higher. All eyes are on the impending vote on President Trump’s tax reform proposal, which the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates could inflate the national debt by approximately $3.8 trillion. Uncertainty around the fiscal outlook continues to fuel demand for gold as a defensive asset. Technical analysis angle The question that investors most interested now is when BTC will have 120k? After the breakdown of channel structure increases around the 108k area, the 113k landmark is the most expected milestone before the price approaches 120k We still expect a slight adjustment to 108k to continue Long and Target are still 113k and 120k 🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this beat will last until 23-25/5 At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
2
BTC/USD Bullish Setup: Double Bottom Breakout Targeting $110,000 Trade Setup Analysis 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Buy Zone): Highlighted in purple, between $103,764 and $104,633, with a noted stop loss area near $104,061. Resistance/Target Zone (Take Profit Area): Around $109,878 – $110,002 labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”. 2. Double Bottom Pattern (Bullish Signal) There are two orange circles at the bottom, indicating a double bottom pattern—often a bullish reversal signal. This is supported by a neckline break near the entry point at $104,534. 3. Moving Averages Two moving averages are displayed: Likely a short-term MA (red) and a medium/long-term MA (blue). The price crossing above both suggests bullish momentum. 4. Trade Plan Entry Point: Around $104,534 Stop Loss: Below $104,061 Take Profit (Target): $109,878 – $110,002 Risk/Reward Ratio: High, given the tight stop and wide target. 📈 Price Projection The blue arrowed path suggests: A minor dip or consolidation near $104,534, followed by a strong upward move toward the target zone. The movement outlines a classic cup-and-handle or double-bottom breakout pattern. 🧠 Conclusion This is a bullish trading setup for BTC/USD with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The chart suggests: Buying near $104,534 Stop loss just below support Targeting a move to ~$110,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
38
Bitcoin Overextended? Watch These Key Levels for the Next Move!BTC/USDT 1H – Retrace Before the Next Leg? 🚦 Bitcoin has shown impressive strength recently. On the 1-hour chart the current price action looks overextended 📈. After a strong impulsive move up, we’re seeing signs of exhaustion, with price stalling near the $111,800 region. Liquidity appears thin on the buy side, and there’s a cluster of potential sell stops resting below the current high in the form of sell stop. I’m anticipating a retrace into the Fibonacci zone, with key levels at the 50% - 61.8% retracement. This area aligns with previous consolidation and could act as a magnet for price, especially as liquidity is swept from late long positions. If we see price rotate and break structure bullishly at my point of interest, I’ll be looking for a long entry opportunity. 🔄 Fundamentals & Macro Backdrop 🌍 On the fundamental side, Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical developments. Ongoing uncertainty in global politics and central bank policy continues to drive volatility across risk assets. Bitcoin’s correlation with tech stocks and the NASDAQ remains significant—recent data shows that when the NASDAQ pulls back, Bitcoin often follows suit. If we see a correction in tech stocks, be prepared for a retrace in BTC as well. 📉 Institutional interest is still strong, but short-term sentiment is cautious as traders await clarity on inflation, interest rates, and regulatory news. Keep an eye on U.S. economic data releases and any major headlines out of Washington or global hotspots, as these can quickly shift risk appetite. Fundamentals and macro news remain key drivers—stay nimble! Let’s see if BTC can reload for another leg up, or if broader market weakness drags it lower. Trade safe! 🚀
by fxtraderanthony
2
BTCUSDT | Chasing in Euphoria? Here’s the Smarter MoveI’ve watched BTC explode during rallies like this, and trust me, finding low-timeframe entries in euphoria is a trap for most. The move looks unstoppable… until it isn't. Right now, I’m only considering a 1R risk from the green box support . No more. No less. The risk is calculated, not emotional. If you’re thinking of jumping in recklessly, don’t. I’ll be watching the 1-minute timeframe closely for a clean upward break before doing anything. No confirmation, no trade. Reminder: “I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.” Most people don’t know how to think like this. That’s why they lose. You’re here to win, and I’m here to guide you. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! 📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
BTC- crash is coming? Most likely no)In its best traditions, bitcoin in one impulse reached the monthly target 95000, which I wrote about The probability of a correction to set a higher low in the equilibrium area of the range is increasing. Probably in May the crypto market will have to pass the last stability test, in case of success we will get excellent opportunities for spot and speculative positions before the next cyclical growth spiral. For now have to wait for weekly open but there are 2 options: pump till PWH and then move on correction slow bleeding till 0.5 or mb till 83k in worst case and then pump to ATH
Long
by Almenio
Bitcoin BTC Bullish Setup: Here’s What I’m Watching Next!Bitcoin (BTC) is looking incredibly strong right now on the higher timeframes 🔥. We’re seeing a clear bullish trend with consistent higher highs and higher lows, which keeps my bias firmly to the upside 🚀... In this video, I take you through my full multi-timeframe analysis, breaking down: - The macro bullish structure unfolding on the daily chart 🗓️ - My key levels of interest for a potential pullback entry 🎯 - What I’m watching for on the 4H and 1H charts to confirm continuation setups ⏱️ - My target zones, including recent swing highs and areas of liquidity 📍 If Bitcoin gives us a healthy retrace, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure to confirm a high-probability buy opportunity 🟢. ⚠️ Reminder: This is not financial advice — always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately. 🛡️💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony
$BTC 4H Outlook – Holding the Trendline or Losing Momentum?Bitcoin just saw a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (highlighted in red), forming a sharp wick after a quick pump. ✅ Key support has held for now, aligning with both the ascending trendline and moving average — historically zones of strong buyer interest (green circles). ⚠️ What’s next? A 4H candle close above the resistance zone is crucial for bullish continuation. Failure to close above = potential fakeout and downside pressure. Eyes on the next reaction — will we see the same buying volume kick in again from support? 📌 Watch closely – confirmation will shape the next move.
by persis10t
$108K BTC ATH in Sight Despite ETF & Moody's HeadwindsBitcoin's Turbulent Ascent: Charting a Course Through Volatility, Institutional Embrace, and the $108,000 Horizon Amid Shifting Economic Sands The world of cryptocurrency is once again fixated on its undisputed leader, Bitcoin (BTC). The digital behemoth is currently navigating a period of intense market activity, marked by dramatic price swings, a nuanced evolution in institutional engagement, and a striking resilience in the face of macroeconomic tremors. As Bitcoin flirts with the $102,900 threshold and repeatedly tests the crucial $104,000 psychological barrier, the air is thick with anticipation. Market analysts and enthusiasts alike are closely watching for a potential surge that could propel Bitcoin beyond its previous all-time high (ATH) to an ambitious $108,000 within the current month. This intricate dance unfolds against a complex global backdrop: a recent downgrade of US debt by Moody's, significant and strategic Bitcoin accumulation by institutional players like Japan's Metaplanet, and observable shifts in the open interest of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). The narrative for Bitcoin in May 2025 is one of inherent strength and heightened expectation. While a recent, sharp pullback from the $107,000 mark was widely attributed to investors capitalizing on recent gains—a classic profit-taking maneuver—rather than a panicked reaction to Moody's revised outlook on US debt, the digital asset staged a swift and impressive recovery, climbing back towards the $105,000 level. This rapid rebound underscores a complex interplay of market forces, investor sentiment, and perhaps a growing perception of Bitcoin as an asset with unique characteristics. This resilience, buttressed by robust underlying network fundamentals and an increasingly confident institutional presence, paints a compelling and multifaceted picture of Bitcoin's current trajectory and its potential future. Navigating Price Swings: Profit-Taking, Market Maturity, and a Dismissal of Moody's Downgrade Bitcoin's recent price journey has been nothing short of a rollercoaster, a testament to its well-documented volatility. However, these fluctuations also hint at a market that is gradually maturing in its response to external economic shocks. The digital currency experienced a notable dip, with some initial commentary linking it to a broader "risk-off" sentiment ostensibly triggered by Moody's downgrade of US sovereign debt. Indeed, Moody's Investors Service adjusted the U.S. government's long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings from the pristine AAA to Aa1. The agency cited mounting concerns over the nation's escalating debt burden and the sustainability of its interest payments, a move that traditionally sends ripples of caution through global financial markets, often prompting investors to reduce exposure to assets perceived as higher risk. However, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin's reaction quickly evolved. The sharp sell-off from its recent high near $107,000 was predominantly identified by market observers as a consequence of profit-taking. Investors who had benefited from the preceding upward trend chose to realize their gains, a standard market dynamic in any asset class. This distinction is critically important. It suggests that the selling pressure was primarily an internal market mechanism within the cryptocurrency space itself, rather than a direct, sustained erosion of confidence directly attributable to the US debt downgrade. In a remarkable display of this independent strength, Bitcoin demonstrated a robust recovery, rallying back towards the $105,000 mark. This price action was widely interpreted as Bitcoin effectively "ignoring" or "shrugging off" the downgrade's potential long-term implications for its own valuation. Some market analysts posit that this behavior lends further credence to Bitcoin's burgeoning role as a potential hedge against instability in traditional financial systems and a perceived decline in the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies. While Bitcoin's price did exhibit a corrective phase around the time of the downgrade announcement, its capacity to swiftly regain lost ground suggests that the market may have either already factored in such macroeconomic developments or, more significantly, views Bitcoin's fundamental, long-term value proposition as increasingly detached from traditional economic indicators. The market's reaction, characterized by an initial dip followed by a spirited recovery, highlights Bitcoin's complex and evolving relationship with macroeconomic news. It behaves at times like a risk asset, sensitive to global liquidity and investor sentiment, and at other times, it exhibits characteristics of a safe-haven asset, sought after during periods of uncertainty. The Alluring Prospect of a New Zenith: Is $108,000 Bitcoin's Next Landmark? Amidst this characteristic volatility, a palpable undercurrent of optimism pervades the Bitcoin market. Strong suggestions and analytical forecasts point towards the possibility that Bitcoin could not only retest but decisively surpass its previous all-time high, potentially charting a course towards $108,000, and perhaps even higher, within the current month. Technical analyses, which scrutinize historical price patterns and market statistics to predict future movements, lend support to this bullish outlook. Some chartists and forecasters have identified take-profit targets for bullish positions clustering around the $109,158.98 region. Currently, Bitcoin's price appears to be in a consolidation phase, hovering around the $102,957 mark after a retreat from a local peak of $107,115. Market participants are intensely focused on key resistance levels. The zone between $105,000 and $108,700 is viewed as a particularly critical hurdle. A decisive daily trading session closing above the $108,700 level could act as a powerful catalyst, potentially triggering a fresh wave of buying interest and propelling Bitcoin towards the $110,000 milestone. Should this momentum be sustained, a further ascent to $115,000 by the end of May is considered a plausible scenario by optimistic analysts. This bullish sentiment is further amplified by what some market commentators describe as Bitcoin's "volatile liquidity run." This phenomenon, characterized by rapid shifts in market liquidity and price, is believed by some analysts to be capable of paving the way for new record highs. The market has recently observed unusual trading patterns, such as CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Bitcoin futures contracts leading volatile price action, even during weekend trading sessions when traditional markets are closed. This indicates a dynamic and continually evolving market structure, increasingly influenced by institutional-grade trading venues. Historically, Bitcoin's price has demonstrated a notable correlation with global liquidity conditions, particularly metrics like the M2 money supply. Expansions in M2, representing a broader measure of money in circulation, have often coincided with upward trends in Bitcoin's price. While current expansions in M2 could theoretically provide a tailwind for Bitcoin, the future trajectory of global liquidity is somewhat clouded by persistent inflation concerns and mixed signals from various economic sectors. Nevertheless, the potent combination of strong technical chart patterns, the potential for favorable liquidity conditions, and a resilient underlying market sentiment keeps the prospect of a new all-time high firmly within the realm of possibility. Analysts are keenly eyeing the $108,000 mark as a significant psychological and technical target. A convincing breakout above this level could potentially unleash further euphoric momentum, drawing in more retail and institutional capital. The Institutional Equation: ETF Open Interest Moderates, While Metaplanet Intensifies Accumulation The role and behavior of institutional investors continue to be a pivotal factor shaping Bitcoin's market dynamics and its journey towards mainstream acceptance. Recently, a noteworthy development was observed in the Bitcoin ETF space: open interest saw a 5% dip, settling at approximately $29.47 billion. This occurred even as Bitcoin itself maintained its price position near the $102,900 level. This decline in open interest, which represents the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled, coupled with a discernible slowdown in weekly inflows into Bitcoin ETFs (which were reported as the lowest in a month, at $603.74 million for the period of May 12-16), suggests a degree of caution or perhaps a phase of consolidation among ETF investors. This follows a period of particularly heightened activity and significant inflows earlier in the year, often associated with the launch and growing popularity of spot Bitcoin ETFs in major markets. The relatively rangebound trading of Bitcoin, oscillating primarily between $102,711 and $104,971 during this period, likely contributed to this softer, more measured demand for ETF exposure. However, it would be premature to interpret this dip in ETF open interest as a signal of a broader or sustained institutional retreat from Bitcoin. Activity in the derivatives markets, for instance, paints a more nuanced, and in some aspects, more bullish picture. Strong demand for call options, which give buyers the right but not the obligation to buy Bitcoin at a specific price in the future, indicates that a segment of sophisticated traders is actively positioning for an upward price movement, with some targeting levels around $110,000. In futures markets, when open interest rises in tandem with price, it typically signals that new capital is entering the market, reinforcing the strength and conviction behind the prevailing trend. Contrasting sharply with the moderation observed in ETF flows is the aggressive and strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by corporate entities, most notably exemplified by Metaplanet. The Japanese investment firm recently captured headlines with its announcement of an additional purchase of 1,004 Bitcoin. This transaction marked its second-largest single acquisition of the cryptocurrency to date. This significant purchase, valued at approximately $104.3 million at the time of execution, increased Metaplanet's total Bitcoin holdings to an impressive 7,800 BTC. This substantial stash is currently worth over $800 million, fluctuating slightly with market prices but generally estimated between $806 million and $807 million. The company disclosed that its average acquisition price for this latest tranche of Bitcoin was around 15.13 million Japanese yen per BTC. Crucially, its overall average cost per BTC for its entire holdings now stands at approximately $91,340. Metaplanet's Bitcoin strategy is notably ambitious and long-term in its orientation. The company has publicly stated its goals of accumulating 10,000 BTC by the end of 2025 and has even hinted at a more audacious long-term vision of potentially holding up to 1% of the total global Bitcoin supply. This proactive accumulation positions Metaplanet as a significant corporate holder of Bitcoin, particularly prominent within the Asian financial landscape. Its approach has drawn frequent comparisons to that of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the US-based software intelligence firm renowned for its pioneering and substantial investments in Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset. Such large-scale corporate buying, as demonstrated by Metaplanet and Strategy, can exert considerable upward pressure on Bitcoin's price. By acquiring and holding substantial amounts of BTC, these corporations effectively reduce the freely circulating supply available on exchanges, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as exerting deflationary pressure, especially when corporate and even governmental buying activity is rapid and sustained. Metaplanet's actions, alongside those of other forward-thinking firms, underscore a growing and significant trend: the diversification of corporate treasuries into digital assets. These companies increasingly view Bitcoin not just as a speculative investment, but as a strategic reserve asset, a potential hedge against inflation, and a safeguard against the perceived long-term devaluation of fiat currencies. This movement has seen a notable surge in Bitcoin holdings by businesses globally, particularly since early 2024, signaling a paradigm shift in how corporations manage their financial reserves. The Bedrock of Bitcoin: Network Health, Hashrate Resilience, and Expanding Mining Margins Beneath the often-turbulent surface of price charts and the ebb and flow of institutional capital, the fundamental health and security of the Bitcoin network itself remain remarkably robust. Investment banking giant JPMorgan recently reported that the Bitcoin Network Hashrate experienced a slight but discernible rise in the first two weeks of May. The average hashrate during this period was noted at 88.5 Exahashes per second (EH/s), representing a 2% increase. Other data sources from the blockchain analytics community corroborate this trend, showing the daily hashrate reaching even higher levels, such as 831 EH/s as of May 1, 2025, and even peaking at an impressive 921 EH/s earlier in the month. This represents a significant increase from the lows observed in 2024. As of May 15, 2025, the Bitcoin Network Hash Rate was recorded at approximately 864.51 million Terahashes per second (TH/s), which translates to 864.51 EH/s. This continued upward trajectory in computational power dedicated to the network, even in the aftermath of events like the Bitcoin halving (which reduces the block rewards issued to miners), underscores the sustained confidence of miners and contributes directly to the network's formidable security. Adding to this positive picture, mining gross margins have reportedly expanded sequentially throughout this month. JPMorgan's analysis highlighted that as Bitcoin prices appreciated, miners' gross profit margins also saw a month-on-month expansion, leading to improved economic conditions for those securing the network. The "hash price," a key metric representing daily mining profitability per unit of hash power, increased by a notable 13% when compared to April's figures. In the initial two weeks of May, Bitcoin miners earned approximately $50,100 per EH/s in daily block rewards (which includes both newly minted bitcoins and transaction fees). This figure is up 13% from the previous month and shows a 3% year-on-year increase. This financial viability is crucial. It enables miners to continue investing in their operations, which includes covering significant energy costs and upgrading their specialized hardware (ASICs – Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) to maintain competitiveness and efficiency. Leading manufacturers like Bitmain and MicroBT continuously release more powerful and energy-efficient mining rigs. The fact that the market price of Bitcoin remains significantly higher than the average cost of mining (estimated by some analyses to be around $36,800 per BTC) indicates a healthy profit margin for the mining industry. These margins are comparable to those observed at the beginning of previous bull market cycles, further fueling optimism. Some publicly traded mining companies, such as LM Funding, have reported improved mining margins in the first quarter of 2025, successfully navigating the headwinds from the halving event through operational improvements, strategic power agreements, and in some cases, diversifying revenue streams like power sales. The Untamed Frontier: Meme Coins and the Curious Case of BTC Bull Token While Bitcoin, with its established infrastructure and growing institutional adoption, commands the lion's share of attention, the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to be a fertile ground for innovation, experimentation, and, undeniably, speculation. One of the most prominent and often controversial manifestations of this is the meme coin phenomenon. The question frequently arises in online forums and social media: "Best Meme Coins like BTC Bull Token Next to Surge?" This highlights the persistent allure of these unique digital assets. Meme coins are a distinct category of cryptocurrency, typically inspired by internet memes, viral social media trends, or popular culture. Their value is often driven less by intrinsic utility or underlying technological fundamentals and more by community-generated hype, speculative fervor, and the quest for rapid, exponential gains. They are infamous for their extreme volatility, capable of producing meteoric price surges in short periods, but also equally susceptible to precipitous crashes. BTC Bull Token ($BTCBULL) has emerged as a specific example within this highly speculative niche. It has positioned itself with taglines such as "the official Bitcoin meme coin" or a "Bitcoin-themed meme coin," attempting to leverage the brand recognition and market sentiment surrounding Bitcoin itself. Its core proposition appears to be a system of rewarding its token holders with airdrops of actual Bitcoin when BTC achieves certain predetermined price milestones (for example, when Bitcoin's price reaches $150,000, $200,000, or $250,000). Additionally, the $BTCBULL project outlines plans for token burn events. These events, designed to reduce the total supply of $BTCBULL tokens and theoretically increase their scarcity, are scheduled to occur when Bitcoin's price increases by specific increments (e.g., for every $25,000 increase in Bitcoin's price, starting from a baseline of $125,000). Currently reported to be in its presale phase, projects like BTC Bull Token aim to capitalize on the excitement and upward momentum of Bitcoin bull runs. They offer a highly leveraged, and therefore highly risky, way for speculators to potentially profit from Bitcoin's upside. It is absolutely paramount for anyone considering an allocation to meme coins, including those linked thematically to Bitcoin, to thoroughly understand their inherent high-risk, high-reward nature. These assets are, by definition, intensely speculative. They are highly susceptible to "pump-and-dump" schemes, where coordinated buying inflates the price before early holders sell off en masse, leaving later entrants with significant losses. Many meme coins lack long-term viability, tangible real-world applications, or robust development teams. While the allure of quick, life-changing profits can be undeniably strong, the potential for substantial, and often total, financial loss is equally, if not more, significant. Prudent investors should approach such tokens with extreme caution, treating them more as a form of high-stakes gambling or digital entertainment rather than a serious, fundamentally-driven investment. Due diligence, a clear understanding of the risks involved, and an investment amount one can afford to lose are critical prerequisites. Weaving the Narrative: A Complex Market of Resilience, Adoption, and Speculation The current Bitcoin landscape presents a fascinating and intricate tapestry, woven from a diverse array of threads. We observe robust price action that seems increasingly capable of defying or quickly recovering from macroeconomic pressures. There is the steady, albeit sometimes fluctuating, march of institutional adoption, most visibly through products like ETFs, but also through direct corporate treasury allocations. The unwavering commitment of long-term corporate accumulators, exemplified by firms like Metaplanet, adds another layer of demand. Underpinning all of this is the fundamental strength and security of the Bitcoin network itself, evidenced by a healthy and growing hashrate. And, at the periphery, the ever-present speculative fervor of the broader crypto market, including the volatile world of meme coins, adds a unique dynamism. Bitcoin's demonstrated ability to absorb the potential shock of Moody's US debt downgrade and subsequently rally, largely on the back of what was identified as profit-taking, indicates a growing maturity within its market. It also suggests a potential decoupling, at least to some extent, from the reflexive reactions often seen in traditional financial markets. The widespread anticipation of a new all-time high, with many eyes fixed on the $108,000 level, is not without foundation. It is supported by various technical indicators, ongoing positive sentiment, and a persistent bullish undercurrent in many segments of the market. However, the recent dip in ETF open interest serves as a salient reminder that institutional sentiment can be subject to caution and re-evaluation, and that the path to higher valuations is rarely a straight, uninterrupted line. Corrections and consolidations are natural parts of any market cycle. Metaplanet's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy highlights a different, perhaps more profound, facet of institutional interest. This is not just about short-term trading or exposure to a new asset class; it's about a long-term conviction in Bitcoin's potential role as a strategic treasury reserve asset. Such a trend, if it continues to grow, could have a more sustained and significant impact on Bitcoin's supply and demand dynamics over time. Meanwhile, the healthy hashrate figures and reports of improving miner profitability provide a solid and reassuring foundation for the network's continued secure operation and the confidence of its participants. The emergence and popularity of meme coins like BTC Bull Token, while arguably peripheral to Bitcoin's core value proposition and its aspirations as a global financial asset, reflect the undeniable speculative energy that often accompanies bull markets in the cryptocurrency space. It serves as a reminder of the diverse and sometimes bewildering ecosystem that Bitcoin anchors – an ecosystem that now ranges from highly sophisticated institutional financial products and regulated investment vehicles to community-driven, high-risk, and often ephemeral digital tokens. Gazing Forward: A Market Poised for Potentially Defining Movements As May 2025 continues to unfold, the Bitcoin market stands at a fascinating and potentially pivotal juncture. The confluence of technical factors, institutional behavior, network fundamentals, and macroeconomic influences creates an environment ripe for significant moves. Several key elements will be crucial to watch in the coming weeks and months: • Price Action Around Critical Levels: Bitcoin's ability to decisively breach and, more importantly, hold above the formidable resistance zone generally identified between $105,000 and $108,700 will be a critical determinant of whether a new all-time high is imminent. A strong breakout could ignite further momentum. Conversely, key support levels, likely around the $100,000 to $102,000 range, must hold firm to maintain the prevailing bullish market structure. A break below these supports could signal a deeper correction. • Institutional Capital Flows: Continued monitoring of inflows and outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, as well as changes in their open interest, will provide valuable insights into shorter-term institutional sentiment and positioning. Simultaneously, tracking further corporate accumulation by entities like Metaplanet and Strategy will offer signals regarding long-term conviction and the adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset. • Network Fundamentals and Security: Sustained growth in the Bitcoin network hashrate and the maintenance of healthy mining economics will continue to be vital indicators of the network's underlying security, resilience, and the confidence of its core infrastructure providers. Any significant disruptions or negative trends in these areas could impact broader market sentiment. • Overarching Macroeconomic Influences: While Bitcoin has demonstrated a degree of resilience, the broader global economic climate will undoubtedly continue to exert an influence. Key factors to watch include inflation data from major economies, monetary policy decisions from central banks (particularly regarding interest rates and quantitative easing/tightening), and any further significant developments related to sovereign debt or geopolitical stability. • Prevailing Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment within the cryptocurrency market, as reflected in metrics like the Fear & Greed Index, activity in derivatives markets (funding rates, options skew), and the tenor of discussions within online communities and social media, will play a significant role in driving short-term price movements. This is particularly true for the more speculative assets within the ecosystem. Bitcoin's journey is one of perpetual evolution, marked by innovation, debate, and dramatic market cycles. The current phase, characterized by ambitious price targets, strategic institutional chess moves, and robust underlying network strength, suggests that the coming weeks and months could be particularly pivotal in shaping its longer-term narrative. While the prospect of Bitcoin surpassing the $108,000 mark and venturing into new price discovery territory excites many participants, the asset's inherent volatility, coupled with the speculative elements that froth at the market's fringes, necessitates a balanced and informed perspective. Acknowledging both the transformative potential of Bitcoin and the considerable risks that continue to define its unique position in the global financial landscape remains essential for anyone navigating this dynamic space.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin BTC price analysis - be careful📉 The cryptocurrency market is forming an "order" for "Red Monday". On the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, the "Triple Top" pattern is probably nearing completion - its recognizable feature is the more lower central top and the right “powerful shake out” (for more details, if you are interested, you can read Encyclopedia of chart patterns/Thomas Bulkowski) 🆗 So, the minimum target for this pattern is $96100 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC ❗️ Confirmation of the "Triple Top" pattern development - after the base breakout and the inability to consolidate higher on the retest. 💰 Globally, we wrote our thoughts on the possible price of #Bitcoin in May/June a week earlier 👇 Also, to make trading decisions and determine which direction to trade, you need to analyze the situation on the charts: 1️⃣ BTC.D 👇 and 2️⃣ USDT.D 👇 _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
2
BTC/USDT at Decision Point: Triangle Pattern Signals BreakoutHello guys! Bitcoin is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern near a key resistance zone after a strong uptrend within the ascending channel. The price is trading just below the triangle’s top line, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown setup. ✔ Key Scenarios: 👀 Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks above the top of the triangle, we could see a sharp move upward toward the $106K resistance zone and potentially higher. This would signal trend continuation and strength in the bullish momentum. 👀 Scenario 2 – Temporary Pullback (Triangle Breakdown): If BTC breaks the bottom of the triangle, the price might fall toward the $99,715 support level. This zone is also aligned with a previous consolidation and could serve as a strong demand area. A bullish reversal from this area is likely, providing another long opportunity targeting the same $106K resistance. Conclusion: Bitcoin is moving in a tightening range. A breakout from the triangle will dictate the next move. For clearer direction, traders should watch for a decisive move above or below the triangle structure.
Short
by melikatrader94
18
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on May 16: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was single negative and single positive. The price was still consolidating at a high level. The attached chart indicator was running with a shrinking volume and the fast and slow lines showed signs of a dead cross. But again, the current signal is a retracement correction, not a trend, because at the weekly level, the price is just retracing the moving average, and everyone should be clear about this; the high pressure level is in the 105800 area, and the low point is in the 100600 area; the short-term price rebounded in the early morning, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning. The intraday high was around the 104500 area. The current retracement did not continue, so there is still a demand for consumption during the day, but the hourly chart attached chart indicator has already crossed. Therefore, today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102500 area
Short
by Toml1314
BTC Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & VolatilityBitcoin (BTCUSD) Strength Alert: Key Levels, Fibonacci & Volatility Point to Entry Opportunities Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis: Navigating Strength and Volatility Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to capture the attention of the global financial markets, demonstrating notable resilience and underlying strength. The current market structure suggests a period where bulls are actively defending key price thresholds, creating a fascinating technical landscape. This analysis will provide an in-depth examination of BTCUSD, focusing on its price action relative to significant psychological levels, the supportive role of Fibonacci retracements, characteristic volatility patterns, and strategic entry considerations based on bullish candlestick formations. 1. Introduction to Bitcoin and the BTCUSD Pair Bitcoin, introduced in 2009, stands as the progenitor of cryptocurrencies, operating on a decentralized peer-to-peer network secured by cryptographic principles and recorded on a public distributed ledger known as the blockchain. It was designed as a digital alternative to traditional fiat currencies, free from central bank control. The BTCUSD pair represents the exchange rate between Bitcoin and the United States Dollar, making it one of the most liquid and heavily traded instruments in the digital asset space. Its price movements are a barometer for the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and are influenced by a myriad of factors including adoption trends, regulatory news, macroeconomic developments, and technological advancements within the Bitcoin network itself. Understanding the technical dynamics of BTCUSD is crucial for traders, investors, and market analysts seeking to navigate its often-turbulent price swings. 2. Current Market Sentiment and Price Action: Holding Above Key Psychological Levels A significant observation in the current BTCUSD market is its ability to maintain its footing above a key psychological price level. Such levels, often round numbers (e.g., $50,000, $60,000, or in this context, a hypothetical significant level like $100,000 if we assume a major bull run has occurred), act as important mental benchmarks for market participants. When price successfully breaks above such a level and subsequently holds it as support, it can signal a powerful shift in market sentiment. This behavior suggests that buyers are willing to step in and defend this new valuation, absorbing selling pressure and preventing a swift retracement. The act of holding above a major psychological level often has a self-fulfilling prophecy component. As traders and algorithms identify this level as critical, buy orders tend to cluster around it, reinforcing its strength as a support zone. Conversely, if the price were to decisively break below such a level after holding above it, it could trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and a rapid decline, indicating that the previous bullish conviction has waned. The current strength shown by Bitcoin in maintaining its position above such a noted psychological threshold is therefore a bullish indicator, suggesting underlying demand and a positive short-to-medium-term outlook, provided this support continues to hold. This resilience can build confidence among market participants, potentially attracting further capital inflow. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Analysis: Identifying Strong Support Fibonacci retracement levels are a cornerstone of technical analysis, employed to identify potential areas of support and resistance. Derived from the Fibonacci sequence – a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.) – the key retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages are applied to a prior price swing (from a significant low to a significant high in an uptrend, or vice-versa in a downtrend) to project areas where the price might pull back before resuming the primary trend. The observation that Fibonacci retracement levels suggest strong support at current BTCUSD levels is particularly pertinent. When the market is in an uptrend and experiences a corrective pullback, traders watch these Fibonacci levels closely. The 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels are often considered the most significant. A retracement to, and subsequent bounce from, one of these levels indicates that the correction is likely a healthy pause within a larger bullish trend, rather than a reversal. If BTCUSD is currently finding support near a critical Fibonacci level, it implies that the preceding upward momentum was strong, and the current consolidation or minor pullback is being met with buying interest at a mathematically significant point. For example, if Bitcoin recently rallied from point A (low) to point B (high), and has now retraced to the 61.8% level of that rally and is holding, it's a classic sign that bulls are re-entering the market, viewing the pullback as a discounted buying opportunity. The confluence of a psychological level with a Fibonacci support level would create an even more potent support zone, significantly increasing the probability of a price bounce. Traders often look for candlestick confirmation at these Fibonacci levels before committing to a position. 4. Volatility Analysis: US Evening and Asian Morning Hours Volatility is an inherent characteristic of Bitcoin, representing the degree of variation of its trading price series over time. The observation that BTCUSD volatility tends to increase during US evening and Asian morning hours is a valuable insight for strategic trade timing. This period typically corresponds to the overlap between the closing of the New York trading session and the opening of major Asian financial centers like Tokyo, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Several factors contribute to this heightened volatility: Market Overlap and Liquidity Shifts: As one major market winds down and another ramps up, there can be shifts in liquidity. The initial hours of the Asian session often bring fresh news, order flows, and participants, leading to price discovery and increased trading activity. News Dissemination: Significant economic data releases, corporate earnings (for Bitcoin-related companies), or crypto-specific news from either the US (late announcements) or Asia can occur during these hours, directly impacting BTCUSD prices. Algorithmic Trading: Many trading algorithms are programmed to react to specific inter-market conditions or news events, and their activity can amplify price movements during these transitional periods. Derivatives Market Activity: The global nature of Bitcoin derivatives markets (futures, options) means that activity in these markets can influence spot prices around the clock. The US evening/Asian morning window sees active participation from traders in these regions. For traders, this period of increased volatility presents both opportunities and risks. Opportunities arise from potentially larger price swings that can be capitalized upon with well-timed entries. Risks are elevated due to the potential for rapid price changes, which can trigger stop-losses or lead to slippage. Therefore, while these hours can be opportune for entry, they also demand heightened vigilance and robust risk management. 5. Entry Strategies: Volatility, Candlestick Patterns, and Timing Leveraging the increased volatility during US evening and Asian morning hours for entry timing requires a methodical approach, primarily focusing on the confirmation provided by bullish candlestick patterns. Candlestick charts offer a visual representation of price movements and can signal shifts in market sentiment and potential reversals or continuations. Key Bullish Candlestick Patterns for Entry Confirmation: Hammer: Appearing after a downtrend, a Hammer is characterized by a small real body at the upper end of the trading range, with a long lower shadow (at least twice the size of the body) and little to no upper shadow. It indicates that sellers initially pushed prices down, but buyers stepped in strongly to drive prices back up near the open, suggesting a potential bottom and bullish reversal. Inverted Hammer: Also a bottom reversal pattern, the Inverted Hammer has a small real body at the lower end of the trading range, a long upper shadow, and a short (or absent) lower shadow. It suggests that buyers attempted to push the price up, but sellers resisted. However, the fact that buyers showed strength is a tentative bullish sign, requiring further confirmation. Bullish Engulfing: This is a powerful two-candle reversal pattern. The first candle is bearish (red/black), and the second candle is bullish (green/white) with a real body that completely "engulfs" the real body of the preceding bearish candle. It signifies that buying pressure has overwhelmed selling pressure. Piercing Line: Another two-candle bullish reversal pattern seen after a downtrend. The first candle is a strong bearish candle. The second candle opens below the low of the first candle but then closes more than halfway up the real body of the first bearish candle. This indicates a significant shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish during the second candle's session. Morning Star: A three-candle bullish reversal pattern. It begins with a long bearish candle, followed by a small-bodied candle (which can be bullish or bearish and ideally gaps down from the first candle), and then a long bullish candle that closes well into the body of the first bearish candle (ideally gapping up from the second candle). The small middle candle (the "star") represents indecision, and the strong bullish third candle confirms the reversal. Three White Soldiers: This is a strong bullish continuation or reversal pattern consisting of three consecutive long-bodied bullish candles. Each candle should open within the body of the previous candle and close at or near its high, making progressively higher highs. It signals sustained buying pressure. Strategic Entry Timing: Monitor Volatile Periods: Be particularly attentive to price action during the US evening and Asian morning hours. Identify Key Support: Note the psychological levels and Fibonacci retracement zones where BTCUSD is expected to find support. Scan for Bullish Candlesticks: Look for the formation of one of the aforementioned bullish candlestick patterns (or others like Dojis at support, Bullish Harami) at or near these support levels during the identified volatile periods. Seek Confirmation: Wait for the candlestick pattern to fully complete at the close of its period (e.g., end of the hour for an hourly chart). Some traders wait for the next candle to trade above the high of the bullish pattern for further confirmation. Volume Analysis: Higher trading volume accompanying the formation of a bullish candlestick pattern adds to its reliability, indicating stronger conviction behind the buying pressure. Context is Key: Bullish reversal patterns are most potent when they appear after a discernible pullback within a larger uptrend, or at the end of a consolidation phase near strong support. By combining the timing advantage of predictable volatility spikes with the confirmation signals from bullish candlestick patterns at technically significant support levels, traders can refine their entry strategies for BTCUSD. 6. Other Key Technical Indicators for Comprehensive Analysis While the core observations provide a strong foundation, incorporating other technical indicators can offer a more holistic view of BTCUSD's market dynamics: Moving Averages (MAs): MAs smooth out price data to identify trend direction and potential support/resistance. The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs (Simple Moving Averages) or EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are widely watched. Price trading above these MAs is generally bullish. Crossovers, like a "golden cross" (50-day MA crossing above the 200-day MA), are considered strong long-term bullish signals. Conversely, a "death cross" (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA) is bearish. Relative Strength Index (RSI): This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100. An RSI above 70 is often considered overbought (suggesting a potential pullback), while below 30 is oversold (suggesting a potential bounce). However, in strong trends, BTCUSD can remain in overbought or oversold territory for extended periods. Bullish or bearish divergences between price and RSI (e.g., price making a new high while RSI makes a lower high) can signal weakening momentum. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): This trend-following momentum indicator consists of the MACD line and a signal line. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, suggesting increasing upward momentum. A bearish crossover is the opposite. The MACD histogram visualizes the distance between the MACD and signal lines; a growing positive histogram is bullish. Horizontal Support and Resistance Levels: Beyond Fibonacci, historical price action creates distinct support (price floor) and resistance (price ceiling) levels. These are areas where the price has previously reversed or consolidated. Identifying these levels on daily and weekly charts provides a broader map of potential turning points. Trendlines and Channels: Drawing trendlines connecting successive lows (uptrend line) or highs (downtrend line) helps visualize the dominant trend. Price often respects these lines. Parallel trendlines can form channels, providing dynamic support and resistance boundaries. A break out of a well-established trendline or channel can signal a significant change in trend. Volume Analysis: Trading volume is a critical confirming indicator. A price rally accompanied by increasing volume is generally seen as healthy and sustainable. Conversely, a rally on declining volume may indicate weakening conviction. Spikes in volume during breakouts above resistance or bounces from support add validity to the price move. Integrating these indicators with the primary observations about psychological levels, Fibonacci support, and candlestick patterns during volatile periods can provide a more robust and nuanced trading framework. 7. Risk Management in Bitcoin Trading The high volatility inherent in BTCUSD, while offering profit potential, also necessitates stringent risk management. Without it, traders expose themselves to significant losses. Key risk management practices include: Stop-Loss Orders: Always define an exit point for a trade if it moves against you. A stop-loss order automatically closes a position when the price reaches a predetermined level, limiting potential losses. Position Sizing: Determine the appropriate amount of capital to allocate to a single trade based on your overall portfolio size and risk tolerance. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of trading capital on any individual trade. Risk/Reward Ratio: Before entering a trade, assess the potential profit (reward) versus the potential loss (risk). Aim for trades where the potential reward is significantly greater than the risk (e.g., 2:1 or 3:1). Diversification: While this analysis focuses on BTCUSD, traders should consider diversifying their overall crypto portfolio if they are investors, rather than concentrating all funds in one asset. Emotional Discipline: Avoid making trading decisions based on fear (FUD - Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt) or greed (FOMO - Fear Of Missing Out). Stick to a well-defined trading plan. 8. Potential Future Outlook (Based on Technicals) Based on the current technical posture where Bitcoin shows strength above a key psychological level and finds support at Fibonacci retracement zones, the outlook leans cautiously optimistic, contingent on these supports holding. Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD continues to respect these support levels, particularly during periods of consolidation, and bullish candlestick patterns during volatile US evening/Asian morning hours lead to upward impulses, further upside is likely. A sustained break above immediate overhead resistance, confirmed by volume, could see BTCUSD challenge its next major resistance zones and potentially trend towards new highs. The ongoing defense of psychological levels is paramount for this scenario. Bearish Scenario: Should the identified support levels (psychological and Fibonacci) fail to hold, the outlook could shift. A decisive break below these supports, especially on increased selling volume, would indicate that sellers have gained control. This could lead to a deeper correction, targeting lower support structures and potentially invalidating the current bullish sentiment. Increased volatility during the US evening/Asian morning hours could, in this case, exacerbate downward moves if bearish patterns emerge. 9. Conclusion The technical analysis of BTCUSD reveals a market displaying notable strength, characterized by its ability to hold above a significant psychological price point and find robust support at Fibonacci retracement levels. This underlying resilience is a positive sign for bulls. The tendency for volatility to surge during the US evening and Asian morning trading sessions presents strategic windows for traders, particularly when seeking entries confirmed by validated bullish candlestick patterns at these critical support junctures. A comprehensive trading approach should also integrate other indicators like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume analysis to confirm signals and understand the broader market context. While the current technical setup suggests a favorable environment for bulls, the inherent volatility of Bitcoin demands disciplined risk management practices. Traders must remain vigilant, adapting their strategies to the evolving price action and ensuring that any bullish conviction is continuously validated by the market's behavior at these key technical inflection points. The interplay between these technical elements will be crucial in determining BTCUSD's trajectory in the near to medium term.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Scalping Opportunity – Fib & Trendline Confluence!As analyzed, BTC is sitting perfectly at the Fibonacci level combined with trendline support – a strong confluence zone for a long scalp. 📌 Entry 1: 101.8k 📌 Entry 2: 101.6k 🛡️ Stop Loss: 1hr candle close below 101.4k 🎯 Target: 300 – 1000 points This zone has been tested and respected multiple times. We either bounce strong from here or hunt the liquidity at 100.7k before reversal. Both plans are marked in green – stay sharp! #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Scalping #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #Trendline #FibStrategy
Long
by Forexcryptowithjohn
Bitcoin Update – Expecting a Correction to $96K! Crypto traders! 💙 Bitcoin looks ready for a pullback to our key level at $96,000. I’m waiting to BUY in this zone, but if the level breaks and price stabilizes below, I’ll consider a SHORT trade to our next target (as previously defined). ⚡️ Pro Trading Tip: ✅ If you’re a trader, always have a strategy—be ready for any scenario! ✅ For long-term investors, accumulate on dips near support levels. 📌 Risk management is key! Double your position size at each lower level to drastically reduce your average entry price. 💎 The Golden Rule of Crypto Success: 🔹 Keep losses small & disciplined. 🔹 Let your winners run to maximize gains! 🔹 The market is unpredictable, but YOU control your capital! 🚀 Bitcoin never sleeps—what’s your play? 👇 What’s your take on this move? For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexCSP
Momentum Fades: Is Bitcoin Poised for a Pullback to Rebalance?Given the recent easing of US-China tariff tensions 🇺🇸🇨🇳, we’re observing a notable rotation of capital into equities 📈. This shift is lending strength to the US dollar 💵, which in turn has exerted downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price action. After a strong momentum-driven rally 🚀, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of weakness, suggesting a potential consolidation or a measured pullback. With equity markets—particularly tech stocks—appearing overextended 🏦, a retracement seems likely. Since Bitcoin remains closely correlated with the tech sector, a synchronized pullback across both asset classes is a plausible scenario. I’m closely monitoring for a counter-trend opportunity, specifically eyeing a short entry should we see a decisive break in market structure 🔍. It’s important to note that this setup is highly dependent on price action confirming the thesis as outlined in the accompanying video. If the anticipated conditions do not materialize, this trade idea will be promptly invalidated. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and equities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. 📊
Short
by fxtraderanthony
"Bearish Reversal Setup with Target at Key Support Zone (95,440 1. EMA Indicators: 50 EMA (red line): Currently at 103,112.73. 200 EMA (blue line): Currently at 98,739.46. The price is above both EMAs, typically a bullish sign, but the analysis suggests a potential reversal. 2. Support Zone (Top Pink Box): Around the 105,000–106,000 USD range. Labeled as "support" but is likely being interpreted as a resistance now due to failure to break higher. 3. Target Zone (Bottom Pink Box): Around the 95,000–96,000 USD range. Marked as the "target point" for a potential drop. 4. Bearish Projection: A curved arrow suggests a rejection from the current levels (~104,000 USD) leading down toward the target zone. Large blue arrow emphasizes expected bearish momentum. Interpretation: The chart suggests a reversal from the recent highs and expects a decline toward the 95,440.94 USD support. This could be driven by: Rejection from resistance. Overbought conditions. Price losing momentum near the upper level. Confirmation may be awaited via a break below the 50 EMA or loss of key support. Strategy Implication: Short bias if price fails to reclaim the resistance. Take profit potentially near the 95,440 level. Invalidation of the bearish scenario may occur on a strong breakout above the resistance zone (~105,700 USD).
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
14
No Clear Break Yet – Bounce or Bigger Correction?There haven’t been any major changes in Bitcoin’s directional structure compared to yesterday. We saw a rebound while successfully holding the local low set during yesterday’s early morning session, and price action has followed the expected path quite well—reaching into the resistance zone and reacting accordingly. The recent rebound from the $100,700 low may offer enough of a recovery move, but for a sustained continuation to the upside, we now need to see price hold the first support zone between $103,000 and $102,000, and ideally also preserve the second support around $101,500. However, even if these support zones hold, failure to break previous highs could still result in another downward leg—potentially leading to a break back below $100K. This is an important scenario to keep in mind. In short, we still need to determine whether this bounce is: The completion of a correction wave and the start of a new uptrend or Just a temporary rebound before a deeper correction unfolds on the higher timeframe. Even if we see meaningful bullish movement on the lower timeframes, it must also be confirmed across higher timeframes to be reliable. This is not a zone to hold blindly with blind optimism—whether long or short, if you’re in profit after a solid wave, consider partial profit-taking and manage your position proactively. At the moment, the market remains in a range-bound structure, with neither the highs nor the lows broken decisively. I recommend using today’s update in conjunction with yesterday’s analysis—it will help you better understand the current structure, improve your positioning, and support your trading decisions.
Short
by GoldenCloud_Jude