We might be changing the trend in the coming months!I found this indicator extremely accurate for the past tops. We are focusing on the histogram today and looking once that green candles starts growing momentum taking BTC down the hill. If this idea proves right we might be bottoming around 400 days perhaps August 2026 ~45k
Btcupdate
BITCOIN PREDICTION: NOBODY IS WATCHING THIS PATTERN !!!(warning)Yello Paradisers, I'm updating you about the current Bitcoin situation, which is extremely dangerous for crypto noobs that will get rekt again very soon!
It's going to be a big move soon. I'm telling you on a high timeframe chart we are doing multi-time frame analysis and on a high timeframe chart I'm updating you about the RSI indicator, the bearish divergence, the moving average reclaim, and the channel reclaim that we are having right now.
We are observing a shooting star candlestick pattern, which is a reversal sign, and I'm telling you what confirmations I'm waiting for to make sure that I can say with the highest probability that we are going to the downside. On a medium timeframe, I'm showing you two patterns: one is a head and shoulders pattern, then a contracting triangle, and on a low time frame, I'm sharing with you the ending diagonal because on a high time frame chart, we are either creating ABC or impulse, and I'm telling you what the probabilities are for the zigzag, which is a corrective mode wave, or the impulse, which is a motive mode wave.
I'm sharing with you what's going to happen next with the highest probability. Please make sure that you are trading with a proper trading strategy and tactics, and that's the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Bitcoin FOMC aftermath & plan aheadHi all,
As you may have noticed, Wednesday's FOMC meeting delivered a less-than-optimistic outlook. The absence of rate cuts, combined with uncertainty about potential cuts in September, triggered a downward move in the markets.
Bitcoin is currently trading 7% below its high from July 14th. I anticipate a relatively shallow downtrend and plan to add to my position around $112,000.
BTC : The future of Bitcoin...Hello friends🙌
👀According to the price history, the price has always been bullish and is in a long-term bullish channel.
📈Now that the price is struggling in the middle of the channel and is gathering strength for a big move, which is expected to break the middle of the channel in the form of a resistance or middle channel, the price will move to the ceiling of the channel.
⚠Don't forget risk and capital management.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
BTC:LIVE TRADEHello friends🙌
📉Given the decline we had, we now had a good price rebound in the specified support area, which shows the power of buyers. Now, with capital and risk management, we can buy at the specified points in a stepwise manner and move to the specified targets.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
BITCOIN- Charging Towards 122k Momentum Building BTC/USD Long Setup – Targeting 122K 🔥
Bitcoin is holding strong above 118500, signaling bullish momentum.
✅ Price broke key resistance & forming higher lows.
🟢 Current structure favors buy-side continuation with next major target at 122000.
Support Zones:
🔹 117800 – intraday bullish retest
🔹 116500 – strong demand zone
Resistance Ahead:
🔸 120200 – short-term reaction
🔸 122000 – major target
🚀 Expecting bullish wave continuation.
If momentum sustains above 118K, 122K breakout highly probable!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BTC122K #ChartAnalysis #BullishBreakout
Reversal from Channel Bottom or a Real Breakdown? Identifying th
🎯 BTCUSDT - Analysis
🔹 Analysis Date: 1 August 2025
📉BTCUSDT:
Price is currently moving inside an ascending channel and has touched the bottom of the channel again, offering a potential buy opportunity.
However, for those seeking a low-risk entry, the zone around 118,000 could be ideal—if price returns to the channel and confirms support.
Although it seems the channel’s lower boundary might break, this could be a fake break to mislead traders before a rebound.
The support at 110,000 is a crucial short-term level; if it fails, a deeper correction toward 98,090 or even 94,000 is likely.
Our targets remain at the upper boundary of the channel.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Wait for confirmation near 118,000 if unsure, and always size positions based on overall volatility.
BTC not looking pretty....even with lipstickBTC just crossed every meaningful SMA technical indicators and has been lingering at the top of the house like an unwanted guest. Awaiting an UltraBear signal, but watch out on this as massive dips repeat themselves and we are in an overheated market. Also, IMHO don't short as it could back-fire. It will naturally go back to it's support levels....fun times!
BTC/USDT Buy Setup – VSA & Demand Zone Reaction✅ Entry: Current price action near 117,297
🎯 Target: 119,078 (+1.22%)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 116,944 (below demand zone)
📊 Technical Insight (Volume Spread Analysis):
Stopping Volume at Lows:
The recent down move halted with a wide spread down-bar on high volume, followed by an immediate rejection. This indicates potential professional buying absorbing supply.
No Supply Confirmation:
After the stopping volume, several narrow spread candles on low volume formed, suggesting weak selling pressure and a lack of commitment from bears.
Bullish Reaction:
Price rebounded from the demand zone with increasing volume on up-bars, showing early signs of demand dominance.
The current consolidation just above the support is typical of absorption before a markup phase.
Risk-Reward Structure:
The setup offers a favorable 2.2:1 R:R ratio, with the stop placed just below the zone to avoid false breakouts while allowing the trade room to breathe.
📌 Trade Plan:
Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 116,944.
A breakout above the minor resistance (117,828) with volume expansion would confirm the next leg up toward the 119,078 target.
If volume fails to support the move, reassess before committing additional capital.
BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?BTCUSD Market Breakdown – Liquidity Sweep Incoming?
🔍 Technical Analysis (July 29, 2025)
Chart Observations:
1. BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS events are identified, confirming key directional shifts in market structure. The last BOS near the support zone signals bearish intent.
2. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A clean bearish FVG is left behind after a sharp drop on the 25th, indicating institutional imbalance and potential retracement area. Price rejected from that FVG later.
3. Equal Low & Sellside Liquidity:
The highlighted equal lows around July 25-26 mark areas of resting liquidity—prime targets for smart money manipulation.
4. New FVG Formed (July 28):
Another bearish FVG appears just before the projected breakdown, strengthening the case for a bearish continuation.
5. Support Zone Target – $115K:
A clean support zone (marked between 114,500–115,500) sits directly below the current market price. This is the likely liquidity target after sweeping equal lows.
6. Volume Profile (VRVP):
Low-volume nodes between the current price and support suggest minimal resistance to a sharp downward move.
⸻
🎯 Conclusion:
The structure, FVGs, and liquidity pools all point toward a liquidity raid below the equal lows, aiming for the support target near $115K. Traders should watch for a decisive break below the current range, especially if the FVG acts as resistance again.
Chart Analysis (2h Timeframe)✅ Chart Analysis (2h Timeframe)
MY using Ichimoku Cloud, support/resistance zones, and trend lines.
Price is currently around 118,319 USD.
It has broken out of the Ichimoku cloud and is respecting the trendline support, indicating bullish momentum.
---
🎯 Upside Target Levels
🔵 Target 1:
Level: ~120,000 USD
Reason: Horizontal resistance (clearly marked)
Action: Minor profit-taking or partial exit
🔵 Target 2 (Main):
Level: ~122,000 USD
Reason: Second resistance zone & projected move from breakout
Action: Ideal full target zone
---
🔻 Support & Invalidations
🟡 Immediate Support Zone:
Levels:
118,404
118,296
118,065
These are dynamic Ichimoku & short-term support levels
BITCOIN PREDICTION - MASSIVE CANDLE INCOMING!!! (WARNING) Watch this Bitcoin Prediction video now, you will love it!
Yello, Paradisers! Big warning sign: #Bitcoin is about to liquidate more traders soon if we get these confirmations that I'm sharing with you in this video. Loads of people will get wrecked again. Be careful not to get trapped into fakeouts.
In this video, I'm describing exactly what I'm seeing on Bitcoin, what patterns I'm waiting to form, and what confirmations I want to see before being able to say with 100% accuracy guaranteed that MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is moving in that direction.
I'm sharing with you all the important targets and also how professional trading works: how risk-reward proper ratio trading works, and how high-probability trading depends a lot on how you choose to create your trades.
Watch this Bitcoin prediction to understand what I'm seeing right now on the chart and how I'm acting and making my decisions.
BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Break and Retest Above Daily Range🟠 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading range-bound on the daily timeframe ⏳📉📈. I’m monitoring price action for a bullish break and retest 🔓🔁 of the current range to confirm a potential long entry 🎯.
📍 Key levels are already marked on the chart 🗺️—
🛑 Stop-loss would sit just below the previous swing low,
🎯 Target aligns with the higher price zone marked out to the left of the chart 🔼👈.
This is a classic range breakout setup—patience and precision are key.
🧠 As always, this is not financial advice.
BTC May Extend Rally as ETF Flows & Policy Support Push Higher📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin trades around $118,660, rebounding from lows near $114,500 earlier this week after a sharp decline. Strong inflows into BTC and ETH ETFs are bolstering market sentiment
• Regulatory clarity via the Genius Act, Clarity Act, along with the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, is fueling institutional interest
• High-profile corporate Bitcoin purchases, such as by Trump Media, underscore growing adoption and bullish sentiment in crypto treasuries ________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $119,500 – $120,500
• Key support: $115,000 – $114,500
• EMA 09 (H1): Trading above EMA09, indicating short-term bullish bias
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
• BTC is consolidating within a range of $115K–$119K, prepping for potential breakout
• Indicators like RSI and MACD show positive momentum
• At 1-hour chart, a double bottom around $118,950 signals buyer strength near dips
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin is likely to continue rising in the short term, particularly on a push through $119,500–$120,500. ETF inflows and regulatory tailwinds remain supportive. However, a breakdown below $115,000 may indicate short-term bearish risk toward $112,000.
________________________________________
💡 Trade Setup
🟢 BUY BTC/USD: $115,500 – $116,500
🎯 TP: $119,200 → $120,000
❌ SL: $115,000
🔴 SELL BTC/USD: $120,500 – $121,000
🎯 TP: $119,000 → $118,000
❌ SL: $121,500
BTC- Following the TrendLine since YEARS, ExactlyYear on Year , each cycle BTC is adhering to this trend line, and also hit the 2 FIB EXACTLY for now - rejected there. It must cross this to test higher levels, but that may need a few weeks more of sideways moves. Keep a watch cause another rejection at this trend line will probably indicate we are not going higher.
Navigating BTC Tremors on the Path to a Million Dollar New Bitcoin Paradigm: Navigating Short-Term Tremors on the Deliberate Path to a Million-Dollar Valuation
The Bitcoin market is currently a paradox, a theater of conflicting signals where short-term jitters coexist with audacious, long-term prophecies. On one hand, the price experiences sharp, gut-wrenching drops, with a recent dip to $118,000 attributed to institutional selling, sending waves of anxiety through the retail sector. On the other, the world’s most formidable financial institutions are issuing forecasts that seem to border on the fantastical, with one Wall Street banking giant boldly predicting a $200,000 Bitcoin by the end of December. This schizophrenic market sentiment is the new normal for an asset in the midst of a profound transformation. Bitcoin is no longer the fringe digital curiosity of a decade ago; it is a maturing global asset class being integrated into the very heart of the traditional financial system. This integration brings with it immense capital, but also new complexities and a different rhythm of growth. The story of Bitcoin today is one of navigating immediate volatility, fueled by market maker games and institutional repositioning, while keeping an eye on a future where corporate adoption, macroeconomic shifts, and a new, more deliberate growth pattern could methodically pave the way to a once-unthinkable $1,000,000 valuation.
The current landscape is a confluence of powerful, often opposing, forces. While institutional capital is the primary engine of this bull cycle, it is also a source of calculated selling pressure. At the same time, a steady drumbeat of corporate adoption continues, with companies like the UK-based The Smarter Web Company quietly adding hundreds of Bitcoin to their balance sheets. This is happening against a backdrop of favorable macroeconomic tailwinds, including what some are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" sealed by the United States, an event that subtly reinforces Bitcoin's role as a neutral, global store of value. And just when the narrative seems set, a new player like the mysterious "WeWake" enters the stage with a "big launch" that stuns investors, hinting at a new frontier of consumer-level adoption that could dwarf previous catalysts. This intricate dance between short-term technicals and long-term fundamentals defines Bitcoin's current journey—a journey that is less about the parabolic explosions of the past and more about a calculated, powerful ascent.
The Immediate Battleground: Volatility, Support, and the $123,000 Squeeze
To understand Bitcoin's path to six figures and beyond, one must first dissect the trench warfare happening at current price levels. The recent plunge to $118,000 served as a stark reminder that the road up is paved with volatility. While alarming, this dip was not seen as a catastrophic failure by seasoned analysts, but rather as a textbook example of institutional mechanics at play. Unlike retail investors who may hold with unwavering conviction, institutional desks are constantly managing risk, rebalancing portfolios, and taking profits to meet quarterly targets. The selling that triggered the drop was likely not a sign of lost faith, but a strategic repositioning, shaking out over-leveraged positions and creating liquidity for larger players to re-enter at more favorable prices.
This is precisely where the concept of the "ideal long zone" comes into play. For bullish traders and institutions, these orchestrated dips are not a crisis but an opportunity. An "ideal long zone" is a price range where multiple technical support indicators converge, creating a high-probability area for a price reversal. This zone might be defined by a combination of a key moving average (like the 50-day or 200-day), a significant Fibonacci retracement level drawn from a previous major low to a high, and a historical price range where the asset has previously found strong buying support. The fact that bulls were able to gain traction in this zone following the $118,000 dip indicates that this calculated selling was met with equally calculated buying. The market is currently engaged in a reversal campaign with an initial, modest target of reclaiming the $121,000 level, a crucial psychological pivot point.
However, a far more explosive scenario is brewing just beneath the surface: the potential for a massive short squeeze. Market makers, the large entities that provide liquidity to exchanges, are reportedly setting a "trap" for traders betting against Bitcoin. A short squeeze is a powerful market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset begins to rise in price. The initial price increase forces short sellers to buy back the asset to close their positions and cut their losses. This wave of forced buying creates a feedback loop, driving the price even higher and forcing more short sellers to capitulate. It's a cascade of liquidations that can lead to rapid, vertical price movements.
Analysts believe that market makers are intentionally allowing short positions to build up around the current range, creating a pool of rocket fuel. The target for igniting this fuel appears to be a decisive break above $123,000. If Bitcoin can push past this level, it could trigger a chain reaction of short liquidations, propelling the price upwards with violent speed. This is not organic buying pressure but a technical event driven by market structure.
Looking at the week ahead, two primary scenarios emerge from this tense setup. The bullish scenario involves Bitcoin successfully bouncing from the current support zone, holding its ground, and making a concerted push towards $123,000. A break of this level would likely trigger the short squeeze, leading to a rapid retest of recent highs and potentially pushing into the $125,000-$130,000 range. The bearish scenario, conversely, would see Bitcoin fail to hold this "ideal long zone." A break below the recent lows around $118,000 would invalidate the immediate bullish thesis, suggesting that the institutional selling pressure is more significant than anticipated. This could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing support levels closer to $100,000-$110,000. The outcome of this short-term battle is critical, as it sets the stage for the remainder of the year and will determine whether the more ambitious price targets remain in play. Adding to the tension, the market is heading into August, a month that analysts have flagged as being filled with potential volatility catalysts, from central bank policy announcements to major options expiry dates, ensuring that the current state of high alert will persist.
The Wall Street Endorsement: The Race to Six Figures by Year-End
While traders battle over short-term levels, Wall Street has its eyes fixed on a much grander prize. The narrative of this bull run has been fundamentally defined by the legitimization of Bitcoin as an institutional asset, and the price targets now emanating from the heart of traditional finance reflect this new reality. In a stunning vote of confidence, a major, unnamed banking giant has put forth a research note predicting that Bitcoin could reach an astonishing $200,000 by December of this year.
This is not a casual prediction from a rogue analyst; it represents a calculated forecast from an institution with immense resources and influence. Such a bold call from a pillar of Wall Street signifies a deep conviction in the asset's trajectory, likely based on proprietary models of capital inflows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and high-net-worth individuals. It serves as a powerful signal to the rest of the financial world, effectively giving institutional clients the green light to allocate significant capital to Bitcoin. This prediction, along with a growing consensus that Bitcoin is expected to exceed $150,000 by the end of the year, creates a powerful psychological anchor. When institutions of this caliber set such high targets, they can become self-fulfilling, as asset managers and funds feel compelled to gain exposure, lest they miss out on the anticipated rally.
These bullish forecasts are not based on sentiment alone; they are supported by increasingly sophisticated on-chain analysis. One of the most-watched metrics in this cycle is the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio. In simple terms, the MVRV ratio compares Bitcoin's current market price to the average price at which all coins in circulation were last moved. When the ratio is high, it suggests the market is overheated and holders are in significant profit, increasing the likelihood of selling. When it's low, it suggests the asset is undervalued.
Analysts have taken this a step further by creating MVRV Pricing Bands. These bands represent standard deviation levels above and below the "realized price," creating a data-driven framework for identifying potential market tops and bottoms. Currently, these pricing bands are hinting at a cycle peak valuation of around $130,000. This provides a more conservative, data-grounded target that aligns with the lower end of the Wall Street predictions. However, this on-chain model comes with a critical caveat: it is only valid if Bitcoin's price holds its current macro support level. This elegantly connects the long-term on-chain outlook with the immediate price battle discussed earlier. A failure to hold the line in the short term could invalidate the assumptions underpinning these models, forcing a recalibration of year-end targets. The path to $130,000, $150,000, or even $200,000 is contingent on winning the present fight.
The New Adoption Paradigm: Corporate Strategy, Macro Shifts, and the "WeWake" Wildcard
The fuel for Wall Street's bullish fire is coming from tangible, real-world adoption. The trend of corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, pioneered by MicroStrategy, is quietly but powerfully continuing. A recent example is The Smarter Web Company, a UK-based firm that recently announced the addition of 225 BTC to its holdings. While not on the scale of a multi-billion dollar purchase, this move is incredibly significant. It demonstrates that the corporate treasury thesis is expanding beyond a few high-profile early adopters and is becoming a global phenomenon, embraced by small and medium-sized enterprises who view Bitcoin as a superior long-term store of value and a hedge against currency debasement. Each of these purchases, while small individually, collectively contributes to a persistent supply shock, as more coins are moved from the open market into corporate treasuries for long-term holding.
This steady corporate accumulation is occurring against a highly favorable macroeconomic backdrop. News that the United States has successfully sealed what some insiders are calling the "biggest trade deal ever" is being interpreted as a significant long-term tailwind for Bitcoin. Large-scale international trade agreements often involve complex currency fluctuations and settlements. In a world of increasing geopolitical friction and competitive currency devaluations, Bitcoin's properties as a neutral, apolitical, and globally accessible settlement asset become increasingly attractive. Such trade deals can increase global liquidity and put pressure on national currencies, subtly reinforcing the value proposition of a decentralized, non-sovereign store of value.
Just as the market was beginning to digest this new landscape of institutional flows and macro support, a wildcard has entered the fray. A company named "WeWake" has reportedly stunned investors with a "big launch," creating a new, unexpected catalyst. While details remain scarce, the market chatter suggests WeWake is not another financial firm or institutional player, but a major consumer-facing technology company. The speculation centers on a groundbreaking integration of Bitcoin's Lightning Network for micropayments within a massively popular application or service.
If true, this would represent a paradigm shift in adoption. To date, the primary use case driving this cycle has been Bitcoin as "digital gold"—a store of value for institutions and corporations. The WeWake launch hints at the reawakening of Bitcoin's other primary narrative: a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. A successful, large-scale consumer integration would prove that Bitcoin can function not only as a reserve asset but also as a transactional currency for everyday use, opening up an entirely new dimension of demand. The shock and excitement from this launch stem from its potential to onboard millions of new users to the network, not as investors, but as active participants in a new digital economy. This move from passive investment to active utility could be the key to unlocking the next major phase of exponential growth.
The Long Road to a Million: A Mature Asset's "Pump and Consolidate" Journey
With year-end targets of $200,000 now part of the mainstream conversation, the once-fringe prediction of a $1,000,000 Bitcoin is being re-evaluated with newfound seriousness. However, a key analyst has offered a crucial insight that reframes this journey: "The days of parabolic Bitcoin bull runs are over." This statement may sound bearish, but it is, in fact, a sign of Bitcoin's profound maturation as an asset class. The wild, untamed, 100x rallies of the early cycles, driven by retail mania and a lack of liquidity, are being replaced by a more structured and powerful, albeit less explosive, pattern of growth.
The new path to $1,000,000, according to this expert view, will be a "slow and steady" process defined by a "pump and consolidate" pattern. This model envisions a market that behaves less like a volatile penny stock and more like a blue-chip technology giant. The "pumps" will be powerful, rapid upward movements, but they will be driven by specific, fundamental catalysts—the approval of a new wave of ETFs, a landmark corporate adoption by a Fortune 100 company, a major nation-state adding Bitcoin to its reserves, or a successful consumer integration like the one hinted at by WeWake.
Following each of these catalyst-driven pumps, the market will enter a prolonged "consolidate" phase. Instead of a dramatic crash, Bitcoin will establish a new, higher plateau of price discovery. During these consolidation periods, which could last for months, the market will build liquidity, institutional players will accumulate and distribute positions, and the new price level will be normalized and accepted as a baseline. This creates a far more stable foundation for the next leg up. This methodical, stair-step ascent is the hallmark of a mature market with deep, two-sided liquidity provided by institutional players who both buy and sell, preventing the extreme parabolic blow-off tops and subsequent 80-90% crashes of the past.
This "pump and consolidate" model makes the journey to $1,000,000 seem not only more plausible but almost inevitable, assuming the underlying drivers of adoption continue. It is a path built on structural strength rather than pure speculation. Each consolidation phase absorbs selling pressure and builds a stronger floor, making the entire structure more resilient to shocks.
In conclusion, Bitcoin stands at a fascinating and pivotal juncture. It is weathering the short-term storms of institutional profit-taking and the intricate games of market makers, fighting to establish a firm footing above the critical $120,000 level. At the same time, its long-term trajectory is being underwritten by the full faith and credit of Wall Street, with audacious year-end targets of $150,000 to $200,000 now serving as the institutional base case. This optimism is fueled by a relentless wave of corporate adoption and favorable macroeconomic winds, and has been supercharged by surprising new catalysts that hint at a future of mass consumer utility.
The ultimate destination may be the long-fabled million-dollar mark, but the journey will look different this time. The wild, parabolic arcs of youth are giving way to the measured, powerful, and deliberate steps of a mature global asset. The "pump and consolidate" rhythm is the new heartbeat of a market driven by institutional capital and fundamental adoption. While the path will undoubtedly be fraught with volatility, corrections, and periods of agonizing consolidation, the underlying narrative has never been stronger. Bitcoin is navigating the tremors of the present as it builds the foundations for a truly monumental future.
BITCOIN Current Update !!!we are heading towards support region around 116.8k-115k from where we can expect a reversal.
If price breaks down 115k level then a bat harmonic pattern is also forming which indicates it's PRZ at 113-112k region...
Remember 121k is key level which needs to be broken in order to remain bullish !!!
#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening? Daily Structure + Macro#Bitcoin – What’s Really Happening?
Daily Structure + Macro Setup = Big Move Loading
🔸 1D Chart: CRYPTOCAP:BTC Range-Bound Between $125K–$110K
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight sideways range, marked by resistance near $125,000 and support around $110,000. This is now the third time we've seen price consolidate in this green zone.
🔸 In the previous two attempts, BTC briefly dipped below support before quickly reclaiming the level — classic fakeouts, not real breakdowns. The current price behavior mirrors that same structure.
🔸 What If CRYPTOCAP:BTC Drops Again?
A dip below $110K or even toward $100K should not trigger panic. Historically, these wicks below the range are liquidity grabs — not signs of weakness. As long as the 200 MA holds and price doesn’t sustain under $100K, the macro trend remains bullish.
🔸 Key Zones:
– Immediate support: $112,398
– Major support: $100K psychological level
– Structure invalidation: Sustained loss below $100K (not expected)
🔸 Macro Outlook: Still Bullish
While BTC chops sideways, the broader environment is heating up:
🔸 Trump-EU Mega Trade Deal
Markets just got a major catalyst — a massive U.S.–EU agreement that includes:
– $750B in U.S. energy exports
– $600B in EU investment
– $150B in energy purchases from U.S.
This clears out tariff fears and opens the door for stocks and crypto to run. Risk appetite is returning fast.
🔸 Whale Activity Panic = Noise
Galaxy Digital wallet movement spooked the market temporarily, pushing BTC to $114,500. But zoom out:
– ETF inflows still dominate daily sell volume
– BlackRock continues absorbing supply
– Long-term whales haven’t sold — they’re holding
This was not a breakdown. It was a shakeout. Accumulation is still happening.
🔸 The Real Fuel: M2 Money Supply
Here’s where things really align for the bulls:
– In 2020, a 25% rise in M2 → BTC 800% rally
– In 2025 so far: +2.3% increase, and we’re still in “tightening”
– Largest M2 spike: +0.63% in June
Given BTC typically lags M2 by 60–90 days, the June print is setting up for a 15–17.5% upside over the coming weeks. That puts us on a clear path toward $130,000+
🔸 Bitcoin is sideways, not weak. Range-bound price action is accumulation, not distribution. Macro signals are aligning, M2 is expanding, and whale panic was short-lived.
We’re not just holding a range — we’re coiling for the breakout.
You’re early. Stay ready.
#bitcoin