Btcusdanalysis
BITCOIN Smart Money SetupPrice reclaimed a key support zone with a bullish structure shift (CHoCH), followed by a strong rally into a premium resistance area. Volume confirms the push with increased participation. Multiple timeframes show bullish sentiment, and a potential continuation is in play unless rejection from the current resistance zone triggers a reversal. Watch for reaction and volume cues.
Where is Bitcoin Now ? Daily and 4 hour chart - BULLISH
On this chart, the Bold While rising lines are the upper and Lower Trendlines of the Ascending channel
The Blue Dashed line is tha current ATH line
PA finally reached the Lower trend line having spent Months in a controlled descent from the ATH in January. PA attempted to rise over the Local line of resistance ( dashed white line) on a number of occasions but was defeated.
This is probably duwe to the Bulls as that Fib circle we were heading towards was possibly Strong and they wanted to wait until we had the support of the Lower rising Trend line.
And, as you can see, we still got defeated when that Fib circle Met the rising line of support and PA Fell below..But thankfully, we had that 2.272 Fib extension to bounce off.
The battle we now have, is trying to reclaim that rising line as Support. ( Arrow)
And for Days now, we have attempted , Failed, reattempted.
The BEARS are determined.
However, Bitcoin Bulls have the advantage here.
The 4 hour shows more detail
This weekend offers the best chance of reclaiming this line as support.
PA has the strength of a Neutral MACD on the weekly, a Strong RSI and turning Sentment
LETS GO
Next BTC Peak in Dec 2025?#Bitcoin Duration of Expansion Phases Above Previous All-Time Highs (ATH)
Historically, the time Bitcoin spends above its previous ATH increases with each cycle.
> In 2017, the expansion phase lasted 211 days.
> In 2021, it extended to 285 days, a 74-day increase (+29%).
If this trend continues, the current cycle’s expansion phase (starting Oct 2024) could last 425 days (+29% from 2021), projecting an end in Dec 2025.
BTCUSD Weekend Possible Move 18-20 April 2025🔍 Key Levels
Immediate Support: $84,350 (lower trendline support)
Immediate Resistance: $85,250
Major Resistance Target: $86,000 – $86,250
Major Support Target: $83,000 and $81,400 below
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Green Path)
If BTC respects the lower trendline zone between $84,350–$84,550 and successfully retests it:
✅ Enter LONG on confirmation of bounce
🎯 Target 1: $85,250
🎯 Target 2: $86,000 – $86,250
🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $84,200
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Red Path)
If BTC breaks below the trendline at ~$84,350 and retests from below:
✅ Enter SHORT on successful rejection
🎯 Target 1: $83,000
🎯 Target 2: $81,400
🛡️ Stop-loss: Above $84,700
✅ Signal
🔔 Watch for a confirmed bounce or break at $84,350–$84,550.
Buy above $84,550 after retest confirmation → Target: $86,000
Sell below $84,350 after breakdown + retest → Target: $81,400
Follow, comment, boost and share to show your support.
[BTC/USDT] Wave (4) Completed? Road to $140K Begins HereBitcoin is consolidating just above key support after a textbook correction. The first chart shows a completed Falling Wedge breakout from Wave ④, while the second chart lays out macro Fibonacci targets for Wave (5).
Chart 1 (Daily): Local Breakout Setup
• Falling wedge breakout above 83.9K–84.3K
• Completed structure: Wave ③ → ④ → Potential Wave ⑤
• Invalidation: Below 73.8K or worst-case 69.5K
• Bullish continuation requires break & close above 86K
Chart 2 (Weekly): Macro Target Projections
Using Fibonacci extension from Wave (3), BTC shows:
• 0.618 Target = $114,983
• 1.000 Target = $140,033
• 1.618 Target = $180,560
If current support holds, Bitcoin could be entering a massive Wave (5) cycle with upside potential towards $140K–$180K. Reclaiming levels like $92.5K, $101K, and $106K will confirm the bullish structure.
What’s your Wave 5 target?
#Bitcoin #BTC #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTA
BITCOIN WEEKLY ANALYSIS - April 18th, 2025BTC/USD is currently hovering just below a major descending trendline and key horizontal resistance near the 91,500 level. 🧱
🔍 What We’re Watching:
- Price has tested the downtrend line multiple times — the structure is weakening.
- A breakout above 87,500 could trigger a strong bullish move.
- Until then, "Wait for the Breakout" remains the strategy. No confirmed long entries yet.
📉 Current Price: $84,500
📈 Breakout Confirmation: Clean close above resistance zone + volume spike = 🔥🔥 potential rally.
🧠 Pro Tip: False breakouts are common. Watch for confirmation — not just a wick!
Stay sharp, stay patient. Breakouts give the best reward-risk trades! 💹
BTCUSDT - Trade Log BTCUSDT – Weekly Bullish Outlook
Weekly Context: Price has held the weekly Fair Value Gap and bounced off the 50 EMA, with clean wick rejections signaling strong buyer demand. The recent pullback (~32% from ATH) remains within historical correction bounds, and the tiny current retrace (<1%) suggests low downside risk. A triple bottom on the weekly RSI cycle around 40 further supports a bullish reversal.
Trade Plan (Long):
– Entry: Add longs near the weekly FVG / 50 EMA (around 75–87k).
– Stop: Place just below the FVG low (≈70k), risking ~5% of account.
– Target: First at 100k (psychological level), then previous ATH region for a 1:3+ RRR.
Bullish Catalysts:
• Weekly 50 EMA has only closed below twice—support intact.
• Weekly FVG wick signals have historically delivered high-probability bounces.
• Triple bottom on weekly RSI signals major capitulation is complete.
• Macro backdrop (equities & gold) remains positive for BTC.
Stay alert for any decisive weekly close below the EMA—until then, the bulls remain in control. 🚀
Bear market coming soon Btc goes to 50,000$2️⃣ Daily Chart (1D) Analysis
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is consolidating below EMA and inside the red supply zone (0.618–0.65 Fib).
200 EMA is acting as dynamic resistance (around $85K).
Bearish structure with a lower high formation.
💡 Interpretation:
Current price zone (~$86.3K) is a potential short trigger area.
If rejected here, price may drop first to GETTEX:82K (0.786), then $74.5K.
If price breaks above GETTEX:92K (0.5 Fib), this bearish setup is invalidated.
✅ Suggested Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Short Entry $86,300 – $87,900
Stop Loss $92,500 (above 0.5 Fib)
Take Profit 1 $82,000 (0.786 Fib)
Take Profit 2 $74,500 (1.0 Fib)
Take Profit 3 $52,800 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Risk/Reward 1:3 or better
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Exiting the Triangle📊 Technical Analysis
- Bullish Breakout
BTC/USDT confirms the “breakout and retest” by exiting the triangle formation.
- Key Resistance
Critical barrier at $85,000; breakout of this barrier strongly supports bullish continuation.
- Predicted scenario
Price is likely to move higher towards the key resistance at $108,000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Improved market sentiment following tariff tensions, as well as increased institutional interest and regulatory clarification, favor a bullish outlook for BTC.
✨ Summary
Bullish technical breakout paired with favorable fundamentals. Watch for BTC/USDT to test and potentially break the $85,000 resistance soon!
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin Bearish Reversal Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting1. Entry Point:
Marked around $86,853, this is where a potential short (sell) trade might have been initiated.
2. Stop Loss:
Placed above $88,783, protecting the trade in case the market goes against the position.
3. Target Point (Take Profit):
Aiming down toward $74,443.76, suggesting a large bearish move is anticipated.
4. EMA Indicators:
30 EMA (Red Line) at ~$84,271: Indicates short-term trend.
200 EMA (Blue Line) at ~$83,496: Indicates long-term trend.
Price is currently trading above the 200 EMA but slightly below the 30 EMA, showing mixed short-term momentum.
What factors could drive Bitcoin(BTC/USD) to reach the $68KGiven the current market conditions, Bitcoin has not managed to establish a new high in its recent upward movement. Various factors, including uncertainty regarding upcoming economic changes, reduced liquidity, the focus of financial institutions on the decline of stock markets, and the market's inability to react to sudden shifts, have contributed to the lack of a clear directional trend.
However, based on the presented analysis and chart review, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will reach the level of $68,000 in the coming weeks, paving the way for the initiation of a strong bullish trend. This upward movement is expected to first drive Bitcoin's price to approximately $130,000, and after a brief correction, the upward momentum may continue, potentially pushing the price to levels as high as $179,000.
BTC LONG TP:91,000 15-04-2025🚀 Time to go Long! Targets are set between 90,000 and 91,000, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes showing a strong bullish trend.
We expect this movement to materialize within 2 to 3 days, so be sure to enter and average down as needed.
Stay tuned for updates to optimize your gains. Follow me to stay informed, and let’s work together to boost those profits! 💰🔥
BTC-----Sell around 84150, target 83150 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 16:
Today, the daily level of the big cycle closed the small negative line yesterday, and the K-line form is single yin and single yang. The price has reached above the moving average during the strong pullback trend in the previous three trading days. The indicator in the attached picture is running golden cross. Although the current rebound trend seems to be relatively strong, the suppression at the weekly level is still very obvious. Under such circumstances, our transactions must remain short-term, do not be greedy, and enter and close the position. All positions must be decisive, otherwise it is easy to be trapped; in the four-hour chart, the price of the European market yesterday was under pressure and retraced. The K-line pattern was continuously negative, and the price was below the moving average. The indicators in the attached picture were running dead cross, and the moving average pressure was near the 84500 area. On the short-period hourly chart, the K-line pattern was continuously negative, with the correction high point near the 84200 area. Looking at today, it is simple. Use the four-hour moving average pressure as a defense to sell.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: counter sell in the 84150 area, stop loss in the 84600 area, and target the 83150 area;
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Formed a Rising Bottom📊 Technical Analysis
Breakout formation
BTC/USDT bounced from strong support, forming higher lows and testing the resistance line.
Key resistance
The main resistance zone is at $92,000; a breakout here could trigger strong upward momentum.
Predictive scenario
The price is likely to continue rising toward resistance with a potential breakout if momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Cooling U.S. inflation and Fed pause support risk assets. Over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B in BTC ETF inflows and fading tariff tensions add bullish pressure. On-chain data shows whales accumulating BTC.
✨ Summary
Technical setup aligns with improving fundamentals. A break above GETTEX:92K could lead to a sharp BTC rally. Monitor macro data and ETF flows.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
BTC/USD Short Setup – Triple Top Reversal with EMA Confirmation Entry Point (Sell): Around $85,699.52
Stop Loss: $86,741.44 (above resistance zone)
Target (Take Profit): $82,982.09
This provides a Risk-Reward Ratio of approximately 1:2, a commonly acceptable ratio in trading.
📈 Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red) is currently above the EMA 200 (Blue), indicating bullish momentum—but this setup anticipates a trend reversal.
If price breaks below the EMAs, that would confirm bearish strength.
🧠 Conclusion:
This setup is based on:
A strong resistance zone,
Bearish reversal pattern (triple top),
Risk management via stop loss and take profit levels.
If you're trading this:
Wait for confirmation with a bearish candlestick below the EMAs or a break of recent support.
Manage position size based on stop distance and your account risk tolerance.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 74,300
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 79,056
First target: 80,422
Second target: 81,950
Third target: 84,000
On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017
I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid.
The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year.
You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017.
Things to note
When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence.
Why ?
If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves
In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher
We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line.
PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive.
We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast......
Hang on